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Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Aaron Nola (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Expert
Recommendation
86%
Recommended by
44 of 51 experts
14%
Recommended by
7 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 8
Best Rank# 3# 3
Worst Rank# 11# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 17# 22
Best Rank# 16# 22
Worst Rank# 19# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts217222
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.373.56
WHIP1.101.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 9
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 4# 5
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 7
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 9
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 5# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 11
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 6
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 6
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 13
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 7
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 4# 7
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 5# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 6
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 6# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 7
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 4# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 7
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 4# 10
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 4# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 5# 8
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 4# 12
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 3
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 6# 5
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 8# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 6
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 4
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 4
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched76.171.2
   
Wins85
   
Losses35
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5954
   
Earned Runs1726
   
Home Runs Allowed59
   
Strikeouts9396
   
Walks1423
   
ERA2.013.28
   
WHIP0.961.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched178.6190.0
   
Wins1313
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed147161
   
Earned Runs6775
   
Home Runs Allowed2324
   
Strikeouts217222
   
Walks5060
   
ERA3.373.56
   
WHIP1.101.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
News 
 Yu Darvish went just four innings on Tuesday, allowing two earned runs on five hits and four walks. He salvaged some of his fantasy day with six strikeouts.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 29th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Wednesday's loss to the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 30th
 Yu Darvish pitched 5.1 innings on Thursday, allowing four earned runs while striking out seven. He only surrendered three hits, but struggled with command as he gave up three walks.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Sep 24th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 24th
 Yu Darvish pitched four innings on Monday, allowing eight earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out just three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 8th
 Yu Darvish pitched six innings on one run ball on Wednesday, allowing just three hits and one walk while striking out seven batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 9th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 3rd
 Yu Darvish went just 2.2 innings on Wednesday, allowing six runs (five earned) on eight hits and one walk while only striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 2nd
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 28th
Notes 
 After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros