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Who Should I Draft?

Zach Plesac or Dinelson Lamet (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 40
Best Rank# 21# 19
Worst Rank# 63# 262
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 106
Best Rank# 60# 71
Worst Rank# 102# 113
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149169
Wins109
Saves00
ERA4.193.42
WHIP1.201.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 53
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 62
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 57
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 44
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 45# 50
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 24# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 43
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 54
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 40# 62
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 39
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 35# 55
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 49# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 56
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 21# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 33# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 38# 56
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 31# 39
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 35# 38
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 42# 47
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 39
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 46# 262
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 48# 66
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 37
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 23
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 30
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 35# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 35
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 40# 38
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 33
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 37
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 43# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 43
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 22
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 49# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 56# 25
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 57# 22
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 60# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 63# 31
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played812
   
Games Started812
   
Innings Pitched55.169.0
   
Wins43
   
Losses21
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3839
   
Earned Runs1416
   
Home Runs Allowed85
   
Strikeouts5793
   
Walks620
   
ERA2.282.09
   
WHIP0.800.86
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2824
   
Games Started2824
   
Innings Pitched160.5130.4
   
Wins109
   
Losses96
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed151101
   
Earned Runs7549
   
Home Runs Allowed2617
   
Strikeouts149169
   
Walks4144
   
ERA4.193.42
   
WHIP1.201.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings in a 5-3 win over the White Sox in Game 2 of a Thursday doubleheader. Plesac struck out four and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 23rd
Dinelson Lamet has been activated from the 10-day IL. He hasn't pitched since June 26th due to a couple of injuries.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Sep 1st
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed five runs over six innings in an 8-0 loss to the Yankees on Friday. Plesac struck out six and allowed two homers in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 17th
Padres manager Jayce Tingler noted that Dinelson Lamet had a hip infection "cleaned out." Lamet underwent a procedure that will delay his return although it's not another arm injury.
Corbin Young
Fri, Aug 13th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings in a 3-0 loss to the Brewers on Saturday. Plesac struck out three and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 11th
Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) threw live batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 8th
 Cleveland right-hander Zac Plesac allowed three runs over five innings in an 11-5 win over Boston on Sunday. He struck out five and walked three in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 5th
San Diego pitcher Dinelson Lamet (forearm) is scheduled to throw live batting practice in the next couple of days.
Brad Camara
Mon, Jul 19th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac tossed a gem in a 7-2 win over the Royals on Tuesday. Plesac threw seven scoreless innings, striking out seven and allowing just two hits.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 1st
Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) won't pitch before the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 9th
Notes 
 Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Plesac is one of the most polarizing starting pitchers among fantasy analysts this offseason. A questionable off-the-field decision maker, Plesac dominated when on the mound in 2020. In an era where it's rarer and rarer to pitch deep into games, Plesac completed six full innings in all eight of his starts last year. He completed seven innings in 5-of-8 starts. So, how did he get so good all of a sudden? Plesac cut his fastball usage in order to throw an increased number of sliders and changeups. In short, the change in pitch mix worked. It was a short-but-terrific body of work. I'm a believer moving forward, and it's going to cost an early-to-middle round pick to get him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros