Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 16 Half PPR Rankings
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1.
Bijan Robinson
ATL (at ARI)
One of these seasons, Bijan is going to string together multiple huge performances. Watching his dynamic playmaking ability on Thursday Night Football against the Buccaneers, just reminded everyone why he may be the best running back in the league right now. Finishing the week as a top 5 back, he had 19 carries for 93 yards and a score, along with eight catches on 11 targets for 82 yards. Only behind CMC in targets and receptions at the position, Robinson is primed to stay hot into the fantasy playoffs. This week, he faces the Cardinals, who are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to the RB position over the last five weeks. This is a great matchup for the superstar RB.
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2.
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET (vs . PIT)
Since Week 7, Gibbs had alternated a week of 30+ fantasy points with a week below 20. Based on the pattern, last week was supposed to be a huge game for the star RB. Unfortunately, the Rams are the best defense against the back and managed to hold him to 50 total yards. This week, he has another tough matchup, but not nearly as tough as the Rams. The Steelers held the Dolphins' ground game relatively in check last week, with DeVon Achane accumulating 60 rushing yards on 12 attempts. The Steelers are allowing the 10th fewest fantasy points to the position, but this is Jahmyr Gibbs we are talking about. Continue to ride the explosive back with confidence as we come down the fantasy playoff stretch.
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3.
Christian McCaffrey
SF (at IND)
For the first time since Week 14 of 2023, CMC finished a game with only one target. Much like their match against the Titans last week, this was largely due to his ability to gouge the defence on the ground. Carrying the ball 22 times for 73 yards and a score was a surprisingly modest day at the office for the fantasy RB1. Unfortunately, his next two matchups are against solid run defenses, with the Colts and Bears, who are 11th and 13th in fewest RB fantasy points allowed since Week 10. Either way, CMC is not your average Joe. Whether it is through the air or on the ground, CMC will always find a way through for fantasy.
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4.
De'Von Achane
MIA (vs . CIN)
Arguably the most consistent RB of the season, Achane has been phenomenal for fantasy. To make it even better, he has the best matchup for fantasy RBs in your fantasy playoffs. The Bengals can not stop anyone. Averaging the most fantasy points to the position both on the season and over the last five weeks, Ahcane should feast. The Dolphins have quietly turned their season around, despite being out of playoff contention for a few weeks now. With their defense stepping up and Mike McDaniels creating great schemes, I would be worried if I saw Achane on the other side of my playoff matchup.
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5.
Jonathan Taylor
IND (vs . SF)
Last year, Taylor was abysmal over the start of the season, but became a league winner over the fantasy playoffs. This year, it seems the script was flipped, as he started on a fantasy record-setting pace, but four straight weeks of being the RB19 or worse. Especially with Daniel Jones out for the season, fantasy managers will need to rely on Philip Rivers to move the ball. Thankfully, he did an admirable job against the Seahawks last week, giving Taylor 28 touches. With the 49ers next on the schedule, the Colts should find a way to move the ball against their depleted defense. Unfortunately, he plays the Jaguars in championship week, but we'll cross that bridge when we get there.
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6.
James Cook III
BUF (at CLE)
For only the second time in his career, Cook graced us with a three-touchdown game to open up the fantasy playoffs. Despite New England being one of the toughest run defenses on the season, Cook tormented them for 107 yards and two scores on the ground, adding a third touchdown in the receiving game. This week, they face the Browns, who look like a terrible matchup on paper. However, since Week 10, the Browns are allowing the 14th fewest fantasy points to the RB position. Although not a phenomenal matchup, the Bills' offense against an average run defense should find a way to Cook (pun intended).
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7.
Saquon Barkley
PHI (at WAS)
Barkley might be heating up at the perfect time for anyone who has made it this far with him. Despite producing as a middling RB2 for most of the season, we now have back-to-back RB1 games. In each of his last two games, he has had 20 carries and a score, a combination that had only happened once in the first 13 weeks of the season. To make everything even better, Barkley has the best schedule for RBs down the stretch. With the Commanders twice, sandwiching the Bills, he faces the two teams allowing the sixth and fourth most fantasy points to the RB position over the last five weeks. If you've overcome his down weeks, he should come through for you when it matters most.
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8.
Derrick Henry
BAL (vs . NE)
Playing 37% of snaps and having 11 carries for a crisp 100 rushing yards might be the most Derrick Henry performance of all time. Unfortunately, he did not explode against a brutal Bengals defense, but he still managed to rack up enough yards to help your fantasy week. What is most concerning is that despite a positive game script, he only saw 37% of snaps. In past December games with this script, Henry would be almost guaranteed 30 touches. Instead, we saw Keaton Mitchell involved, carrying the ball eight times for 66 yards. December Derrick may not be what he has been in the past, and now he faces a tough Patriots defense. Even though James Cook exploded for three touchdowns against them last week, they are allowing only 70 rushing yards and 0.4 RB touchdowns per game since Week 10.
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9.
Javonte Williams
DAL (vs . LAC)
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10.
Travis Etienne Jr.
JAC (at DEN)
For the sixth time in the last seven weeks, Etienne has finished as a top 12 RB on the week. His three-touchdown performance overshadowed his abysmal 12 carries for 32 yards on the ground last week. Instead, he made his hay with three receptions that all went for touchdowns and combined for 73 yards. With Bayshul Tuten set to miss the next few weeks after receiving surgery on his finger, Etienne is one of the true bell cow RBs down the stretch. Unfortunately, the stretch starts with a tough matchup against the Broncos. Although Jacobs found success on limited work last week against the Broncos, they are allowing the eighth-fewest fantasy points to the position since Week 10.
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11.
Bucky Irving
TB (at CAR)
Bucky had his first down week since returning from injury in Week 13. Fortunately, his down week was not a result of a decrease in usage, rushing 16 times for 60 yards and playing his most snaps since his return. Unfortunately, in a competitive game against the Falcons, the Bucs relied heavily on Baker Mayfield feeding his fully healthy arsenal of receivers. This week, the Bucs have the first of two huge games against the Panthers. Since Week 10, the Panthers have allowed the tenth most fantasy points to the position. Despite splitting work, Bucky is a low-end RB1 this week in a positive matchup.
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12.
Josh Jacobs
GB (at CHI)
There are two ways to look at last week's performance by Jacobs. The first is that he faced the Broncos defense, and managed his third-highest fantasy points of the season. However, it was a rollercoaster to get there. Not only was he questionable to play up until Sunday morning, but he also played his second fewest snaps of the season. On top of this, he had his fewest rushing attempts in a full game all season, which is likely an outcome of not being fully healthy. Since this knee injury has been lingering, it is fair to assume he won't be fully healthy for the rest of the season. Despite playing his lowest snaps and receiving his fewest rush attempts in a game, he came through with his longest rushing touchdown of the season (40 yards) and his first receiving touchdown of the season. Together, it was clear that the fantasy gods were smiling down on Jacobs' managers last week. As a result, he is still a must-play in Week 16 against the Bears, but managers would like to see his usage increase to feel confident trusting him as an RB1.
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13.
Chase Brown
CIN (at MIA)
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14.
RJ Harvey
DEN (vs . JAC)
RJ Harvey sustained a rib injury last week, but he is practicing in full so it doesn't look like a concern for Week 16. Since Week 11, Harvey has averaged 18 touches and 69.3 total yards as the RB12 in fantasy points per game. During this span, among 51 qualifying backs, he has ranked 25th in missed tackle rate, 12th in rushing success rate, and 44th in yards after contact per attempt. This week, he'll encounter ANOTHER brutal run defense. Since Week 11, Jacksonville has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game, the lowest explosive run rate, and the fourth-lowest missed tackle rate. Harvey will need to rely upon volume and touchdown equity again.
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15.
TreVeyon Henderson
NE (at BAL)
Henderson might be having one of the most head-scratching seasons for a fantasy running back. Despite having three games with 27 or more fantasy points, he does not have a game between 12 and 26 fantasy points all season. Ultimately, he is the definition of a boom-bust player this season. One thing is clear, and that is his ability to spring big plays. Finishing with 14 carries for 148 yards and two scores, was electric last week. Unfortunately, Rhamondre Stevenson was heavily involved for most of the game as well. If you have made the playoffs with Henderson, his highs are too high to bench, but he is unlikely to score more than 12 fantasy points unless he explodes again. It's a risk, but the Ravens' defense this week is not the scariest. Hopefully, you are relying on him in your flex, and not as your locked-in RB1 this week.
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16.
Kyren Williams
LAR (at SEA)
The Rams have been splitting up the backfield work as the coaching staff wants to keep Kyren Williams fresh for the playoffs. Last week, Williams played 53.6% of the snaps with a 36.6% route share and 2.6% target share. He finished with 16 touches, 88 total yards, and three red zone rushing attempts. I expect Williams to keep a slim margin in usage and playing time over Blake Corum. This week, Williams will have a tough road, but considering the context of the offense he is in, he should be able to overcome the matchup with volume and touchdown equity. Since Week 11, Seattle has allowed the 13th-lowest explosive run rate, the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game, the lowest rushing success rate, and the sixth-lowest missed tackle rate.
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17.
Quinshon Judkins
CLE (vs . BUF)
Quinshon Judkins is the RB23 in fantasy points per game, ranking 13th in snap share, 16th in weighted opportunities, and 24th in red zone touches. Judkins has averaged 18.7 touches and 72.8 total yards. Among 43 qualifying backs, Judkins ranks 32nd in explosive run rate and 22nd in yards after contact per attempt. He should post a solid RB2 stat line again this week. Since Week 11, Buffalo has allowed the tenth-most rushing yards per game, the 12th-highest explosive run rate, the most yards before contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest rushing success rate.
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18.
Breece Hall
NYJ (at NO)
Breece Hall remains a volume-driven RB2. Hall is the RB21 in fantasy points per game, averaging 17.5 touches and 87.4 total yards. Among 43 qualifying backs, Hall ranks fifth in explosive run rate and 16th in missed tackle rate. This week, he faces a Saints run defense that, since Week 11, has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game, the 13th-highest explosive run rate, and the 14th-most yards before contact per attempt.
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19.
Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN (at NYG)
Aaron Jones is a solid RB2 this week. Since Week 14, he has averaged 14.5 touches and 70.5 total yards with a 51.3% snap rate and 45.5% route share. Jones has been the backfield leader, but he hasn't been the team's goal line back with only two red zone totes over the last two games (Mason, six). Jones could easily break a long run against the Giants and pay off, though. Since Week 11, the Giants have remained one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, giving up the most rushing yards per game, the second-highest explosive run rate, and the most yards after contact per attempt.
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20.
D'Andre Swift
CHI (vs . GB)
Since Week 11, D'Andre Swift has averaged 16.8 touches and 87 total yards with a 53.3% snap rate, a 37.8% route share, and a 4.8% target share. Since Week 11, he has lost the goal-line battle to Kyle Monangai with 11 red-zone rushing attempts versus Monangai's 16. Swift has still been the lead back and the preferred passing down back. Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift ranks ninth in explosive run rate and 14th in missed tackle rate. He'll have a tough matchup this week, but with the injuries to the receiver room, I expect Ben Johnson to lean on the ground game. Since Week 11, Green Bay has allowed the seventh-lowest explosive run rate, the 13th-lowest rushing success rate, the third-lowest missed tackle rate, and the 12th-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
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21.
Rico Dowdle
CAR (vs . TB)
The Carolina backfield has been a back-and-forth situation over the last two games, with Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard trading lead back weeks. Since Week 13, Dowdle has had a 50.8% snap rate with a 32.7% route share and 9.1% target share. In those two games, Dowdle had two red zone rushing attempts while averaging 18.5 touches and 66.5 total yards. Overall, this season, among 48 qualifying backs, Dowdle ranks 15th in explosive run rate and eighth in yards after contact per attempt. He's in the RB2/3 conversation this week against a Bucs' run defense that, since Week 11, has allowed the tenth-highest missed tackle rate and the ninth-most yards before contact per attempt while also sitting at 18th in explosive run rate.
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22.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
NYG (vs . MIN)
In his last two full games played, Tracy has been the Giants' workhorse with a 73.6% snap rate, a 60.2% route share, and a 9.5% target share while averaging 20.5 touches and 113.5 total yards. He finished as the RB12 and RB5 in weekly PPR scoring. Tracy has had a 10% missed tackle rate and 2.09 yards after contact per attempt this season. He's a pure volume play as a strong RB2 who could easily be an RB1 again this week. Since Week 11, Minnesota has allowed the 13th-most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest rushing success rate, and the second-most yards after contact per attempt.
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23.
Omarion Hampton
LAC (at DAL)
Since his return, Hampton has had a 33.8% snap rate, a 17.6% route share, and only a 5.5% target share. He has averaged 15.5 touches and 66 total yards as the Bolts' goal-line back. In those two games, Hampton has had six red zone rushing attempts versus Kimani Vidal's one. Hampton has looked like a shell of himself, though, with an 11% missed tackle rate and 1.25 yards after contact per attempt. He's a middling flex play again this week. Since Week 11, Dallas's run defense has been beastly, giving up the second-fewest rushing yards per game, the 11th-fewest yards after contact per attempt, the ninth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest rushing success rate.
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24.
Michael Carter
ARI (vs . ATL)
Last week, with Zonovan Knight injured and Emari Demercado back, Carter was given the keys to the offense to operate as their bellcow with an 80.3% snap share, 18 touches, and 94 total yards. Carter also had a 62.8% route share and a 10% target share. I expect Carter to operate in this role again this week. Carter hasn't been efficient with his workload, sadly. He hasn't managed an explosive run this season while posting only a 4% missed tackle rate and 1.39 yards after contact per attempt. Carter is a volume-based RB2/3. Since Week 11, Atlanta's run defense has picked up the slack, allowing the ninth-fewest rushing yards per game, the third-lowest explosive run rate, and the fourth-fewest yards before contact per attempt.
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25.
Ashton Jeanty
LV (at HOU)
Ashton Jeanty is the RB19 in fantasy points per game, ranking sixth in snap share, second in opportunity share, seventh in weighted opportunities, and 17th in red zone touches. Jeanty has averaged 17.8 touches and 69 total yards. Among 43 qualifying backs, Jeanty is 12th in missed tackle rate and 25th in yards after contact per attempt. Jeanty will need a heaping amount of volume this week and a touchdown to pay off for fantasy. He has a terrible matchup incoming. Since Week 11, Houston has allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game, the third-lowest missed tackle rate, and the fourth-fewest yards before contact per attempt.
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26.
Kenneth Gainwell
PIT (at DET)
Since Week 12, Gainwell has been the RB12 in fantasy points per game with a 49.3% snap share, a 48.4% route share, and an 18.1% target share while averaging 13.3 touches and 73.8 total yards. He has been the team's preferred passing down back while also eating into Jaylen Warren's red zone usage with seven red zone rushing attempts (Warren, nine). Among 58 qualifying backs, Gainwell ranks 20th in explosive run rate and 11th in missed tackle rate. He's a strong RB2/3 again this week. Since Week 11, Detroit's run defense has been a middle-of-the-road unit ranking 17th in yards after contact per attempt, 16th in yards before contact per attempt, 15th in rushing success rate, and allowing the 14th-most rushing yards per game.
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27.
Tony Pollard
TEN (vs . KC)
Tony Pollard has turned in his two best games of the season over the last two weeks with a 56.3% snap rate, 20 touches, and 135.5 total yards per game. He was the RB2 and RB11 in weekly scoring. Since Week 14, Pollard has churned out a 10.3% explosive run rate and a 15% missed tackle rate. In those two games, he has had a combined two targets and one reception, so don't expect much passing game usage this week. Pollard will need a ton of volume this week to pay off for fantasy against one of the best run defenses in the NFL. Since Week 11, Kansas City has allowed the 11th-lowest explosive run rate, the fifth-lowest missed tackle rate, and the second-fewest yards after contact per attempt.
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28.
Jaylen Warren
PIT (at DET)
Since Week 12, Jaylen Warren has averaged 14 touches and 55.6 total yards with a 49.3% snap rate, a 33.9% route share, and a 7.8% target share. He has had nine red zone rushing attempts (Gainwell, seven), but he has been losing the passing game role to Gainwell. Among 58 qualifying backs, Warren ranks fifth in missed tackle rate and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. He's an RB2/3 again this week. Since Week 11, Detroit's run defense has been a middle-of-the-road unit ranking 17th in yards after contact per attempt, 16th in yards before contact per attempt, 15th in rushing success rate, and allowing the 14th-most rushing yards per game.
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29.
Kenneth Walker III
SEA (vs . LAR)
The Seattle backfield has been a constant back and forth all season. Once we finally think Kenneth Walker is about to take over, Zach Charbonnet or some other backup running back comes out of the woodwork to foil those plans, so I'm going to look at the last few games as a conglomerate. Since Week 11, Walker has averaged 14 touches and 66.6 total yards with a 51.8% snap rate, a 36.6% route share, and an 8% target share. He has had eight red zone rushing attempts versus Zach Charbonnet's 12. Among 43 qualifying backs, Walker ranks fourth in explosive run rate and third in missed tackle rate. Walker has a horrible matchup this week. Since Week 11, the Rams have allowed the ninth-lowest explosive run rate, the sixth-lowest rushing success rate, and the eighth-lowest yards before contact per attempt.
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30.
David Montgomery
DET (vs . PIT)
Since Week 11, David Montgomery has been a touchdown-dependent flex play with a 33.9% snap rate, 7.8 touches per game, and 45.4 total yards per game. Overall, among 58 qualifying backs, Montgomery ranks 34th in explosive run rate and seventh in yards after contact per attempt. This is a nice matchup to consider plugging Montgomery into a lineup. Since Week 11, Pittsburgh has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest explosive run rate, the third-most yards before contact per attempt, and the tenth-highest rushing success rate.
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31.
Kyle Monangai
CHI (vs . GB)
Since Week 11, Kyle Monangai has taken over as the team's goal-line back with 16 red-zone rushing attempts while averaging 14.6 touches and 61 total yards with a 44.2% snap rate, a 26.5% route share, and a 3% target share. Among 43 qualifying backs, Monangai ranks 21st in explosive run rate and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. Ben Johnson should lean on the ground game with all of the injuries to his aerial attack this week. Since Week 11, Green Bay has allowed the seventh-lowest explosive run rate, the 13th-lowest rushing success rate, the third-lowest missed tackle rate, and the 12th-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
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32.
Audric Estime
NO (vs . NYJ)
Audric Estime is an interesting flex play this week with Alvin Kamara out. Estime will likely split the backfield work with Evan Hull this week. Last week, in the second half, Estime played 52.8% of the snaps with a 46.4% route share, finishing with six touches and 50 total yards. Evan Hull had both of the red zone carries last week, but that could have been circumstantial with who was rotating in on that drive. I'll lean on Estime's snap and route share last week as the possible lead back for this offense in Week 16, but is there volatility and risk playing him this week? Absolutely. Estime could pay off nicely this week, though. Since Week 11, New York has allowed the ninth-most rushing yards per game, the tenth-highest explosive run rate, and the third-most yards after contact per attempt.
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33.
Chuba Hubbard
CAR (vs . TB)
The Carolina backfield has been a week-to-week changing of the guard over the last two games. Since Week 13, Hubbard has had a 50.8% snap share with a 49.1% route share and 6.8% target share. In those two games, Hubbard had one red zone rushing attempt while averaging 14 touches and 81 total yards. Hubbard remains in the RB2/3 conversation this week with a decent matchup against a declining Bucs run defense. Since Week 11, Tampa Bay has allowed the tenth-highest missed tackle rate and the ninth-most yards before contact per attempt, while also sitting at 18th in explosive run rate.
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34.
Blake Corum
LAR (at SEA)
Blake Corum has eaten into Kyren Williams' workload with the Rams becoming a split backfield. The Rams are doing this to keep Williams fresh for the rest of the season and the playoffs. Corum has had little to no passing game usage, with only one game this season with more than two targets. His avenue to scoring fantasy points is entirely dependent upon his early downs production in the rushing department. Last week, he played 46.4% of the snaps with a 26.8% route share as he finished with 11 carries for 71 rushing yards. This isn't the matchup to plug in a touchdown-drive flex play. Since Week 11, Seattle has allowed the 13th-lowest explosive run rate, the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game, the lowest rushing success rate, and the sixth-lowest missed tackle rate.
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35.
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE (at BAL)
Over the last two games, Rhamondre Stevenson has had a 62.4% snap rate with one red zone rushing attempt while averaging 12 touches and 78.5 total yards. Overall, among 43 qualifying backs, Stevenson ranks 26th in explosive run rate, sixth in missed tackle rate, and 24th in yards after contact per attempt. Stevenson is a flex play that is best left on the bench this week. Since Week 11, Baltimore's run defense has tightened up, allowing the second-lowest explosive run rate, the 14th-lowest missed tackle rate, and the second-fewest yards before contact per attempt.
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36.
Kareem Hunt
KC (at TEN)
Last week, Kareem Hunt ceded control of the Kansas City backfield to Isiah Pacheco. Hunt had only one red zone rushing attempt, while Pacheco had five. Hunt finished with a 49.2% snap rate, a 42.5% route share, seven touches, and 20 total yards. Sit Hunt this week. The Tennessee run defense has MASSIVELY improved. Since Week 11, Tennessee has allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game, the fourth-lowest explosive run rate, and the eighth-lowest missed tackle rate.
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37.
Jordan Mason
MIN (at NYG)
Over the last two games, Jordan Mason has been the team's early down thumper and goal line back, averaging 10.5 carries and 40.5 rushing yards with a 31.9% snap rate. He has six red zone rushing attempts during those games versus Aaron Jones' two. Mason is a strong touchdown-dependent flex play this week. If Minnesota builds a strong lead, we could see him creep into the 13-15 carry range (or higher). Since Week 11, the Giants have remained one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, giving up the most rushing yards per game, the second-highest explosive run rate, and the most yards after contact per attempt.
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38.
Kimani Vidal
LAC (at DAL)
Over the last two weeks, Kimani Vidal has been a decent flex play as the Chargers' passing-down back. In those two weeks, Vidal has averaged 14 touches and 76 total yards while compiling a 66.9% snap rate, a 56.8% route share, and a 7.3% target share. Vidal has only one red zone rushing attempt in that span, so the odds of him scoring a touchdown are slim. Overall, among 58 qualifying backs, Vidal ranks 25th in explosive run rate and 40th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 11, Dallas's run defense has been beastly, giving up the second-fewest rushing yards per game, the 11th-fewest yards after contact per attempt, the ninth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest rushing success rate. Vidal is an uninspiring volume-based flex again this week.
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39.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
WAS (vs . PHI)
Chris Rodriguez practiced in full all week and will be good to go for Week 16. Rodriguez will be reinstalled as Washington's early down thumper. In Weeks 11-14, in this role, Rodriguez averaged 12.3 touches and 59.3 total yards with two top 36 running back weekly finishes (RB29, RB35). Rodriguez has been efficient in his early down role, ranking 33rd in explosive run rate and first in yards after contact per attempt (among 58 qualifying backs). Rodriguez is a strong RB3/flex this week. Since Week 11, Philly has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the eighth-most rushing yards per game, and the 11th-most yards before contact per attempt. If Rodriguez gets in the end zone this week, he'll likely finish as an RB2 for the week.
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40.
Zach Charbonnet
SEA (vs . LAR)
The Seattle backfield has been a constant back and forth all season. Once we finally think Kenneth Walker is about to take over, Zach Charbonnet or some other backup running back comes out of the woodwork to foil those plans, so I'm going to look at the last few games as a conglomerate. Since Week 11, Charbonnet has averaged ten touches and 46.2 total yards, with the backfield lead in red zone rushing attempts with 12. He has played 43% of the snaps with a 26.3% route share and 3.7% target share. He has been a touchdown-dependent flex. Among 43 qualifying backs, he ranks 18th in missed tackle rate and fifth in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 11, the Rams have allowed the ninth-lowest explosive run rate, the sixth-lowest rushing success rate, and the eighth-lowest yards before contact per attempt.
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41.
Tyler Allgeier
ATL (at ARI)
Tyler Allgeier is a solid flex play again this week. Allgeier has averaged 8.8 touches and 35.4 total yards this season with eight top-36 finishes among running backs in weekly scoring. Among 45 qualifying backs, Allgeier ranks 18th in explosive run rate and 33rd in missed tackle rate. Arizona's run defense has been engaged in a competition with the pass defense over the last few weeks to see who can play worse. Since Week 11, you could argue that the run defense is winning, giving up the fourth-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-most rushing yards per game, the fourth-highest missed tackle rate, and the fifth-most yards before contact per attempt.
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42.
Nick Chubb
HOU (vs . LV)
With Woody Marks expected to sit this week, Nick Chubb could easily be Houston's workhorse this week, but there's also risk that Jawhar Jordan is heavily involved, considering his production last week. Chubb isn't fully healthy and hasn't been the pinnacle of efficiency this season, with only a 7% missed tackle rate and 2.30 yards after contact per attempt. If he gets the volume and goal line work this week, he could still be a solid flex with gross RB2 upside. Since Week 11, the Raiders have allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game, the 13th-highest rushing success rate, and the eighth-most yards after contact per attempt.
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43.
Isiah Pacheco
KC (at TEN)
Last week, Pacheco took over as the team's goalline back with five red zone rushing attempts, 11 touches, and 21 total yards. He played 45.8% of the snaps with a 35% route share. Pacheco is a flex option that is best left on the bench. Pacheco will be running behind a battered offensive line and against an improved Titans' run defense. Since Week 11, Tennessee has allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game, the fourth-lowest explosive run rate, and the eighth-lowest missed tackle rate.
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44.
Samaje Perine
CIN (at MIA)
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45.
Devin Singletary
NYG (vs . MIN)
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46.
Tyjae Spears
TEN (vs . KC)
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47.
Evan Hull
NO (vs . NYJ)
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48.
Emari Demercado
ARI (vs . ATL)
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49.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS (vs . PHI)
Well, after last week's strong game, Bill might only get a one-game run as the team's starter. After missing last week's game, Chris Rodriguez opened this week with a full practice (groin). We'll see what Rodriguez's practice reports look like this week, and I'll update Bill's outlook on Friday.
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50.
Keaton Mitchell
BAL (vs . NE)
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51.
Jawhar Jordan
HOU (vs . LV)
Last week, with Nick Chubb out and Woody Marks knocked out of the game, Jawhar Jordan had a career-best game with 17 touches and 118 total yards. With Woody Marks out this week, Jordan could team with Nick Chubb to lead the Houston ground game. His workload is up in the air, though. Chubb isn't fully healthy, but the team could still lean on him if he is healthy enough to hold up to the volume. Jordan is a wild card flex play that could have big-time upside if Houston is salting the clock away or the coaching staff looks to reward Jordan for his standout effort last week with another game in the sun. Last week, Jordan put up bonkers per-touch numbers with a 6.7% explosive run rate, a 33% missed tackle rate, and 4.67 yards after contact per attempt. I don't expect him to keep up that legendary pace, but he can still be solid this week on a per-touch basis. Since Week 11, the Raiders have allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game, the 13th-highest rushing success rate, and the eighth-most yards after contact per attempt.
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52.
Rachaad White
TB (at CAR)
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53.
Emanuel Wilson
GB (at CHI)
In Emanuel Wilson's one start this season, he had 30 touches, 125 total yards, and two scores as the RB3 for the week. Wilson played 56.1% of the snaps in that game. If Josh Jacobs is out this week, I expect him to be the team's workhorse and a plug-and-play RB2. Among 58 qualifying backs, Wilson ranks 54th in explosive run rate and 19th in yards after contact per attempt. Wilson has a nice matchup against a Bears' run defense that, since Week 11, has allowed the seventh-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, and the second-most yards before contact per attempt.
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54.
Brian Robinson Jr.
SF (at IND)
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55.
Jeremy McNichols
WAS (vs . PHI)
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56.
Sean Tucker
TB (at CAR)
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57.
Ty Johnson
BUF (at CLE)
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58.
Isaiah Davis
NYJ (at NO)
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59.
Jaleel McLaughlin
DEN (vs . JAC)
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60.
Malik Davis
DAL (vs . LAC)
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61.
LeQuint Allen Jr.
JAC (at DEN)
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62.
Ameer Abdullah
IND (vs . SF)
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63.
Tank Bigsby
PHI (at WAS)
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64.
Ollie Gordon II
MIA (vs . CIN)
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65.
Jaylen Wright
MIA (vs . CIN)
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66.
Rasheen Ali
BAL (vs . NE)
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67.
Trayveon Williams
CLE (vs . BUF)
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68.
Ray Davis
BUF (at CLE)
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69.
Tyler Badie
DEN (vs . JAC)
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70.
Brashard Smith
KC (at TEN)
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71.
Dare Ogunbowale
HOU (vs . LV)
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72.
Raheem Mostert
LV (at HOU)
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73.
Chris Brooks
GB (at CHI)
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74.
Kyle Juszczyk
SF (at IND)
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75.
Will Shipley
PHI (at WAS)
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76.
Raheim Sanders
CLE (vs . BUF)
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77.
Hunter Luepke
DAL (vs . LAC)
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78.
Corey Kiner
ARI (vs . ATL)
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79.
Adam Prentice
DEN (vs . JAC)
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80.
Trevor Etienne
CAR (vs . TB)
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81.
Tahj Brooks
CIN (at MIA)
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82.
Alec Ingold
MIA (vs . CIN)
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83.
Tyler Goodson
IND (vs . SF)
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84.
Dylan Laube
LV (at HOU)
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85.
Zavier Scott
MIN (at NYG)
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86.
C.J. Ham
MIN (at NYG)
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87.
D'Ernest Johnson
NE (at BAL)
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88.
Patrick Ricard
BAL (vs . NE)
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89.
Khalil Herbert
NYJ (at NO)
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90.
Reggie Gilliam
BUF (at CLE)
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91.
British Brooks
HOU (vs . LV)
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92.
Kalel Mullings
TEN (vs . KC)
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93.
Travis Homer
CHI (vs . GB)
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94.
DeeJay Dallas
JAC (at DEN)
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95.
Hassan Haskins
LAC (at DAL)
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96.
Julius Chestnut
TEN (vs . KC)
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97.
Eric Gray
NYG (vs . MIN)
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98.
Kendall Milton
CIN (at MIA)
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99.
Cam Akers
SEA (vs . LAR)
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100.
DJ Giddens
IND (vs . SF)
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101.
Kene Nwangwu
NYJ (at NO)
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102.
Ronnie Rivers
LAR (at SEA)
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103.
Jacob Saylors
DET (vs . PIT)
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104.
Isaac Guerendo
SF (at IND)
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105.
Jakob Johnson
HOU (vs . LV)
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106.
Sione Vaki
DET (vs . PIT)
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107.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
KC (at TEN)
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108.
Ty Chandler
MIN (at NYG)
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109.
Scott Matlock
LAC (at DAL)
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110.
Pierre Strong Jr.
GB (at CHI)
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111.
Brittain Brown
CHI (vs . GB)
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112.
Owen Wright
TB (at CAR)
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113.
Terrence Franks
FA (BYE)
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114.
Jordan James
SF (at IND)
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115.
Myles Gaskin
FA (BYE)
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116.
Terrell Jennings
NE (at BAL)
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117.
Ja'Quinden Jackson
JAC (at DEN)
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118.
Amar Johnson
LAC (at DAL)
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119.
Elijah Mitchell
FA (BYE)
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120.
Jerome Ford
CLE (vs . BUF)
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121.
George Holani
SEA (vs . LAR)
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122.
Taiwan Jones
FA (BYE)
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|
123.
Justice Hill
BAL (vs . NE)
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124.
Dante Miller
NYG (vs . MIN)
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125.
Craig Reynolds
NE (at BAL)
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126.
Josh Williams
TB (at CAR)
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127.
Jacardia Wright
SEA (vs . LAR)
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128.
Roschon Johnson
CHI (vs . GB)
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129.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
MIA (vs . CIN)
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130.
J.K. Dobbins
DEN (vs . JAC)
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131.
Carlos Washington Jr.
ATL (at ARI)
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132.
Gary Brightwell
CIN (at MIA)
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133.
Deuce Vaughn
DEN (vs . JAC)
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134.
Jordan Mims
TEN (vs . KC)
|
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135.
Donovan Edwards
WAS (vs . PHI)
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136.
Carson Steele
KC (at TEN)
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137.
Jonathan Ward
BAL (vs . NE)
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138.
Frank Gore Jr.
BUF (at CLE)
|
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139.
Jashaun Corbin
NE (at BAL)
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140.
Braelon Allen
NYJ (at NO)
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141.
Trey Sermon
PIT (at DET)
|
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142.
Mike Boone
FA (BYE)
|
|
143.
Jase McClellan
FA (BYE)
|
|
144.
Avery Williams
FA (BYE)
|
|
145.
Chris Evans
FA (BYE)
|
|
146.
Dontrell Hilliard
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
147.
Tyrion Davis-Price
FA (BYE)
|
|
148.
D'Onta Foreman
FA (BYE)
|
|
149.
Dillon Johnson
FA (BYE)
|
|
150.
Sincere McCormick
FA (BYE)
|
|
151.
Ty Montgomery II
FA (BYE)
|
|
152.
MarShawn Lloyd
GB (at CHI)
|
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153.
Anthony McFarland Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
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154.
Phil Mafah
DAL (vs . LAC)
|
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155.
Boston Scott
FA (BYE)
|
|
156.
Kevin Harris
FA (BYE)
|
|
157.
Jonathan Williams
FA (BYE)
|
|
158.
Wendell Smallwood
FA (BYE)
|
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159.
Nick Bawden
FA (BYE)
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160.
Nyheim Miller-Hines
NO (vs . NYJ)
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