Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 5 Half PPR Rankings
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1.
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET (at ARI)
The 1.01 in fantasy drafts is currently the #2 player across all positions in fantasy. With seven touchdowns in four games, Gibbs is doing exactly what we had hoped for all offseason. With a four-game touchdown streak, it's hard to see when the streak may end. This offense runs through Gibbs literally and metaphorically. Especially since their defense is rivalling for one of the worst in the league, there will be plenty of shootout game scripts for the star RB. This week they face the Cardinals, who have surprisingly allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing RBs. These two offenses know how to air it out, and neither defense should stand a chance. As a result, Gibbs remains atop fantasy rankings regardless of matchup.
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2.
Bijan Robinson
ATL (vs . BAL)
Bijan Robinson has a knack for exploding during primetime games. With three career 50+ yard touchdown runs, all have come on Monday Night Football. He also had 194 rushing yards and two scores in Week Three Thursday Night Football. He looks to perfect the primetime trifecta with a date with the Ravens on Sunday Night Football. The Ravens have been solid against the run, but they still allowed Jonathan Taylor 121 total yards and two scores in Week One. With Michael Penix taking this offence to new heights, Robinson remains matchup-proof and one of the best fantasy players at any position.
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3.
Jonathan Taylor
IND (at PIT)
Taylor has three two-touchdown weeks through four games this season. That's wild. Last week, he faced a tough Commanders front and still managed 95 yards and two scores on the ground. The only negative is that he has taken a step back in the receiving game, with only six yards over the last two games. That said, he is locked in to 20+ carries and always a touchdown threat. As a result, he may not have the ceiling of Jahmyr Gibbs or Bijan Robinson, but he is next in line. This week, they face the Steelers, who have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to the RB position this season.
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4.
Kyren Williams
LAR (vs . BUF)
There is no reason to doubt Kyren Williams. McVay loves him, and he is the top dog on a great offense. Especially lately, he has seen an increase in receiving work, adding extra stability to his RB1 status. Last week, Kyren saw 13 targets against the Eagles, catching 10 of them for 67 yards. He also had 16 carries for 80 yards and two scores. Any back that has the ability to see that kind of workload will be amazing for fantasy. This week, they take on the Bills, who are allowing the fifth most fantasy points to opposing RBs. Blake Corum is an afterthought in this offense and Kyren should have another electric Week.
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5.
Christian McCaffrey
SF (at SEA)
The 49ers are humming this season. With Brock Purdy having yet to take a sack, the entire offense has been clinical. CMC has been riding the offensive success, despite sharing some touches with rookie Kaelon Black. Last week, the Broncos held McCaffrey to a respectable 70 total yards. However, he managed to find the endzone for the third straight week, making him the RB19 on the Week. This week, they face their toughest test against the 3-1 Seahawks. The defending Super Bowl Champions have been outstanding on defense (outside of their loss to Washington). That said, their weakest part has been against the RB position. Averaging the 18th most fantasy points to opposing RBs. It may be a tough game for CMC, but his endzone work and receiving ability continue to place him in RB1 territory.
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6.
Chase Brown
CIN (at MIA)
Even with a revamped offensive line, the Bengals have struggled to run the ball. Averaging the second-fewest rushing yards per game, only behind Green Bay, Chase Brown has yet to get the ground game going. Thankfully, he is an electric receiving weapon, catching all 11 targets for 71 yards last week. With Ja'Marr Chase potentially missing this week with a concussion, and Tee Higgins dealing with a groin injury, Brown could see a lot of work this week. Even if everyone is healthy, this matchup is perfect for the back out of London, Ontario. The Dolphins defense is a mess, and averaging the third most fantasy points to opposing RBs. This could be the perfect "get right" game for a struggling Bengals rushing attack.
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7.
Derrick Henry
BAL (at ATL)
With Lamar Jackson dealing with an ankle injury, the entire Ravens offense takes a step back. That said, there is even more reason to rely on Henry. Despite defenses being able to focus on Henry, we all know that you can only slow him down for so long; eventually, a big run is coming. However, this week may not be the best week for Lamar to miss. The Falcons have been rolling. More specifically, their run defense has been outstanding. This season, they are allowing 48.3 rushing yards per game. The next fewest is Jacksonville with 73.8 yards. As a result, I am going to have Henry outside of my top-12 RBs this week.
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8.
Javonte Williams
DAL (vs . TB)
If you are an average back who is a workhorse on a good offense, good things will happen. That is exactly what Javonte Williams has been doing, scoring six touchdowns in the first four games of the season. That includes last week, when he had a three-touchdown performance against the Texans. His three touchdowns propelled him to the RB3 on the week, despite having only 83 total yards. This season, he is the RB7 and has three top-10 finishes over the first four weeks. This week he faces the Buccaneers with Vita Vea and company. This should be a great run-stuffing unit; however, they allowed explosive runs to both Kaleb Johnson and Marshawn Lloyd last week. With the firepower of this Cowboys offense, Williams remains a RB1 even in a tough matchup on paper.
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9.
Jaylen Warren
PIT (vs . IND)
Jaylen Warren has been operating as Pittsburgh's bell cow in Rico Dowdle's absence. It sounds like Dowdle will be back this week. I have no clue how Pittsburgh will divvy up the workload between these two backs, but I lean toward Warren retaining the lead role at least for this week, with Dowdle likely being eased back in. Could it be a full-blown committee this week? It's possible, which is why I can't put Warren in the strong start category despite the fact that he's awesome and should retain the clear lead role, if not bell cow usage, even with Dowdle back. In Week 1, Warren had only a 36.5% snap share with 47.6% of the rushing attempts and a 31% route share (14.6% target share). Warren was the RB25 for the week with 15 touches and 73 total yards. Among 46 qualifying backs, Warren is 14th in explosive run rate, sixth in yards after contact per attempt, and fourth-best in missed tackle rate. Indy has allowed the 11th-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the seventh-highest missed tackle rate. Warren could easily be anywhere from a solid flex to an RB1 this week. There's a wide range of outcomes here, as we have no clue about the division of labor for the backfield this week.
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10.
D'Andre Swift
CHI (at GB)
If you have Swift in fantasy, his inability to score on the goal line has been soul-crushing. Fumbling in Week 2 against the Vikings and failing to convert any of his three goal-line attempts last week is the last thing you want to see. Especially when Kyle Monangai ended up taking over for 146 rushing yards and both rushing TDs. Personally, I believe this was to punish Swift's fumble in a game they controlled from start to finish. However, if we see Monangai continue to see a larger workload this week, we may need to reassess. Thankfully, both backs should get home this week against the Packers, who are allowing the second-most fantasy points to the position.
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11.
James Cook III
BUF (at LAR)
Turns out, if you're attached to Josh Allen, you don't need to catch passes. Despite having only 24 receiving yards across four games, Cook's rushing ability has kept him in RB1 territory. Sitting third in the league in rushing yards, he has been one of the more consistent fantasy backs. Add in the fact he is on a three-game touchdown streak, and he has been worth his second-round ADP. This week, they face the Rams, who have stifled opposing running backs. Averaging the second-fewest fantasy points at the position, Cook may finally dip below six yards per carry for the first time since Week 1. Without the passing work and the tough matchup, Cook is an RB2 that has RB1 potential if he can find the end zone again.
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12.
Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN (at NO)
Aaron Jones has operated as Minnesota's bell cow since Week 2 as the RB16 in fantasy points per game. He hasn't played less than 73.1% of the snaps in any of those games, while averaging 23 touches and 108.4 total yards. Jones has volumed his way to productive fantasy days, but his efficiency remains horrible. Among 46 qualifying backs, Jones ranks 26th in explosive run rate, 34th in yards after contact per attempt, and 42nd in missed tackle rate. This week, that likely doesn't matter as he'll see another 20 touches and the matchup is amazing. The Saints have allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the second-highest rushing success rate, and the sixth-highest missed tackle rate. I could list off probably 4-5 categories that the Saints suck in with defending the run, but what's the point? You get the gist here. They stink, and Jones should have plenty of room to scamper this week.
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13.
Ashton Jeanty
LV (at NE)
Entering the league, Jeanty's receiving ability was questioned. After a year and four weeks in the NFL, it is clear that his receiving may not only be effective, but a strong suit of his. Sitting with only three fewer receptions than Jahmyr Gibbs on the season, he is third in receiving yards and tied for the league lead in receiving touchdowns at the position. Add this to 15+ carries a game, and we have the formula for a true fantasy RB1. Unfortunately, he has yet to score a rushing touchdown this season. If Jeanty were finding pay dirt more frequently, he would be in discussion for top five at the position. However, without the scores, he remains a low-end RB1. This week, they face the Patriots, who average well at stopping opposing fantasy RBs. It's only a matter of time until we see Jeanty find the endzone again this year; maybe this will be the week.
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14.
Bhayshul Tuten
JAC (vs . PHI)
I swear I'M NOT TILTING AT ALL! I'M NOT TILTING LAST WEEK! I promise. Ok, fine. I'll admit it. Watching Tuten get two touchdowns whipped off the board by holding calls and then watching Chris Rodriguez score last week made my face melt. Tuten finished with a disappointing 19 touches and 91 total yards when the fantasy box score should have been more grand. Tuten still finished with a season-high 59% snap share, 68% designed carry share, and 40.7% route share. Tuten has averaged 16.8 touches and 82.8 total yards as the RB17 in fantasy points per game. Tuten has another chance at a strong game this week. Philly ranks 17th in rushing success rate allowed while giving up the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the second-highest missed tackle rate. This is a nice matchup for a back with Tuten's elusiveness.
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15.
Braelon Allen
NYJ (vs . CLE)
I expect Braelon Allen to draw another start this week for the Jets with Breece Hall sidelined. Last week, Allen only finished as the RB33 in weekly scoring with 16 touches and 67 total yards, but he operated as the Jets' bell cow. Last week, Allen played 93.8% of the snaps with all of the rushing attempts and a 66.7% route share. Allen still hasn't been impressive on a per-touch basis with only a 3.1% explosive run rate, 1.88 yards after contact per attempt, and a 15% missed tackle rate. When he's seeing this type of volume and workload, it almost doesn't matter, though. The Browns' run defense will be more giving this week. Cleveland has allowed the second-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the 12th-highest missed tackle rate. Allen should be a solid RB2 this week.
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16.
Emanuel Wilson
SEA (vs . SF)
Last week, Emanuel Wilson was the RB6 in fantasy as Seattle's lead back. I expect him to hold that role again this week. Last week, Wilson played 58.6% of the snaps with a 63.6% rushing share, a 34.6% route share, and an 18.2% target share. He finished with 24 touches and 120 total yards (two scores). Wilson has been fairly efficient with this workload. Among 46 qualifying rushers, he ranks 23rd in yards after contact per attempt and 18th in missed tackle rate. Wilson should have success again this week against a 49ers' run defense that has allowed the 13th-highest rushing success rate, the tenth-highest yards before contact per attempt, and the 11th-highest gap rushing success rate (Wilson: 41.5% gap).
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17.
Quinshon Judkins
CLE (at NYJ)
Quinshon Judkins is the RB21 in fantasy points per game now after seeing a bump in the passing game last week and getting into the end zone. Judkins has averaged 18.6 touches and 68 total yards. Judkins has a 36% route share this season with a 13.9% target share. Last week, his route share was still in line with this usage with a 36.1% mark, but he had a 21.9% target share. I don't expect that type of passing game usage to repeat, but I could easily be wrong. Judkins did see a 16.7% target share in Week 2, so maybe he does see somewhere in this area code of passing usage weekly moving forward. Judkins remains inefficient with his workload. Among 46 qualifying backs, he is 43rd in explosive run rate, 31st in yards after contact per attempt, and 21st in missed tackle rate. Much like with Braelon Allen, Judkins is seeing enough volume that it doesn't matter most weeks, especially when he gets in the end zone. Judkins should have another solid RB2 week. The Jets have allowed the seventh-highest rushing success rate, the sixth-most yards before contact per attempt, and the third-highest missed tackle rate.
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18.
Jeremiyah Love
ARI (vs . DET)
One week after operating as Arizona's bell cow, Jeremiyah Love was back into a frustrating committee in Week 4. Love talked about his body being tired post-game, which could be a reason for the backslide with the workload. He also picked up or exacerbated his ankle injury. He opened this week with a limited practice. Love played 46% of the snaps with a 53.8% rushing share and a 23.1% route share (2.9% target share). He finished with 15 touches and 55 total yards. Among 45 qualifying backs, Love ranks 16th in yards after contact per attempt and 30th in missed tackle rate. He faces a run defense that has allowed the highest explosive run rate, the 12th-highest rushing success rate, and the second-most yards before contact per attempt. Love's conditioning, health, and gamescript could be limiting factors for him this week.
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19.
Cam Skattebo
NYG (at WAS)
Cam Skattebo's Week 4 stat line looked much better in totality than it should have. Skattebo finished with 19 touches, 66 total yards, a 62.3% snap share, 64.3% of the rushing attempts, and a 45.5% route share (3.4%). This was thanks to a Najee Harris fumble in the fourth quarter of last week's game. In the first three quarters, Skattebo had a 55.6% snap share with 55.6% of the rushing attempts (Najee Harris: 38.9% of the rushing attempts). Harris had three red zone carries last week while Skattebo had only two. Harris is eating into Skattebo's workload somewhat. Skattebo's 2.16 yards after contact per attempt and 15% missed tackle rate are still passable but not amazing numbers. Skattebo remains a low-end RB2/flex this week, but he has a tough matchup, so he'll likely need a touchdown to pay off for fantasy. Washington has allowed the 12th-lowest explosive run rate, the 12th-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the fifth-fewest yards after contact per attempt.
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20.
Bucky Irving
TB (at DAL)
Last week, Bucky Irving maintained his lead back role with a 55.7% snap rate, 38.9% route share, 16 touches, and 61 total yards. He didn't draw a target last week. The most worrisome part of his usage last week was that he split snaps with Kenneth Gainwell (25%) and Sean Tucker (37.5%) in the red zone. Irving had a 37.5% snap rate inside the 20-yard line last week while logging two red zone rushing attempts, with Tucker finishing with three. This is a horrible outcome for Irving's touchdown prospects weekly if it continues. Irving's per-touch metrics have started to dip from a strong start, which tells me he likely isn't 100% healthy. Among 45 qualifying backs, he is 29th in yards after contact per attempt and 28th in missed tackle rate. We'll see if Irving can bounce back this week. He has a nice matchup in front of him. Dallas has allowed the fourth-highest explosive run rate, the ninth-highest rushing success rate, and the 14th-most yards after contact per attempt.
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21.
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE (vs . LV)
It sounds like Rhamondre Stevenson is going to play in Week 5. He sustained a knee injury last week and has had limited practices all week. He has been listed as questionable. This season, Stevenson has had a 52.7% snap rate with a 29.2% rushing share and 47.2% route share (10% target share) in games with TreVeyon Henderson active. I'd expect similar usage or a full-on split between them, with a slight edge to Stevenson on passing downs. Among 46 qualifying rushers, Stevenson ranks 31st in explosive run rate, 22nd in yards after contact per attempt, and 38th in missed tackle rate. He hasn't been his usual efficient self through four weeks. With him being less than 100%, I'm not expecting that to change this week. He has split the red zone rushing work evenly with Henderson, with each back getting two carries inside the 20-yard line. Stevenson should see double-digit opportunities this week as a flex play in a good matchup. Las Vegas has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the second-most yards before contact per attempt, and the tenth-highest rushing success rate.
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22.
David Montgomery
HOU (at TEN)
David Montgomery continues to split the backfield work with Woody Marks. Since Week 2, Montgomery has had a 57.8% snap rate, a 46.6% rushing share, a 43% route share, and a 3.5% target share. Over the last three weeks, he has averaged 10.3 touches and 38.3 total yards. Montgomery has only a 2.4% explosive run rate, 1.68 yards after contact per attempt, and a 15% missed tackle rate, but he has no running room. Montgomery has seen only 1.02 yards before contact per attempt and has been hit at or behind the line of scrimmage with 55.3% of his carries. I don't see Montgomery finding any more running room this week. Tennessee has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate and yards per carry, the sixth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest EPA per rush.
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23.
Ollie Gordon II
MIA (vs . CIN)
Last week, Ollie Gordon led the way for Miami's rushing attack with a 56.8% snap rate, a 50% rushing share, a 35% route share, and an 11.8% target share. Gordon finished with 11 touches and 100 total yards as the RB16 for the week. Gordon was running through some massive holes, as he had 4.78 yards before contact per attempt. I don't think that he sees anything close to that weekly, so take the massive game with a grain of salt. With the small sample of work this season, Gordon has 3.34 yards after contact per attempt, but his 14% missed tackle rate is more indicative of his elusiveness than the gaudy yards after contact per attempt number. With all of that said, Gordon could have another nice RB2 week against Cincy this week. Cincy has allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the ninth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.
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24.
Omarion Hampton
LAC (vs . DEN)
Last week, the Chargers backfield became a disgusting three-way committee. Hampton was third among the backs in snaps with 32.4%, second in rushing share (28.1%), and third in route share (24.4%). Hampton finished with 11 touches and 53 total yards. It was his lowest touch count of the season. Every week feels like a new frustrating low for Hampton as Mike McDaniel continues to do goofy stuff. The most frustrating part about all of it is that Hampton hasn't been bad when he has carried the rock. Among 46 qualifying rushers, he ranks 18th in explosive run rate and eighth in yards after contact per attempt. If they give Hampton more volume this week, behind a degraded offensive line, he could still have a nice day (possibly). Denver hasn't been able to stop anyone on the ground. The Broncos have allowed the fifth-highest explosive run rate, the second-most yards after contact per attempt, and the highest missed tackle rate.
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25.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
WAS (vs . NYG)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the RB36 in fantasy points per game, averaging 15.3 touches and 49.3 total yards. Bill has a 46.5% snap share with 47.5% of the rushing attempts and a 25% route share (5.1% target share). His rushing metrics have suffered behind Washington's horrible offensive line. Bill has only a 3.7% explosive run rate, 1.84 yards after contact per attempt, and a 5% missed tackle rate. He has another nice matchup this week, but I doubt his ability to find space again this week behind this offensive line. He has only 0.96 yards before contact per attempt. The line isn't even giving him a hard before contact while he also has a 53.6% rate of getting hit at or behind the line of scrimmage. New York has allowed the 12th-highest explosive run rate, the third-highest rushing success rate, and the fifth-most yards before contact per attempt. Bill should see enough volume to be at least flex-viable.
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26.
RJ Harvey
DEN (at LAC)
RJ Harvey has retained his passing-down role for Denver, with some early-down work sprinkled in. Harvey has a 43.3% snap rate with a 19.4% rushing share and a 42.9% route share (20.2% target share). He has averaged 10.3 touches and 60.3 total yards. Harvey hasn't been effective on early downs with zero explosive runs, 1.92 yards after contact per attempt, and only an 8% missed tackle rate. Among 29 qualifying backs, he has been awesome as a receiver, though, ranking first in target share, first in yards per route run, fifth in receiving yards, and seventh in first-read share. Harvey is flex-worthy again this week. The Bolts have allowed the 13th-most receiving fantasy points per game to running backs.
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27.
Tony Pollard
TEN (vs . HOU)
Since Week 2, Tony Pollard has been the RB24 in fantasy points per game, averaging 18 touches and 70.3 total yards. Over the last three weeks, Pollard has had a 54.2% snap rate, a 61.8% rushing share, and a 29.2% route share (9.2% target share). Among 45 qualifying backs, Pollard is 17th in explosive run rate and 14th in yards after contact per attempt. Pollard is only a volume-based flex this week that likely needs a touchdown to pay off for fantasy GMs. Houston has remained a top-tier run defense, allowing the seventh-lowest explosive run rate, the 13th-lowest rushing success rate, and the 11th-fewest yards after contact per attempt.
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28.
Alvin Kamara
NO (vs . MIN)
Alvin Kamara reinjured his knee last week, but he was able to finish the game. Kamara popped up on the injury report with a back issue this week. He didn't practice on Wednesday, but he had limited sessions the rest of the week. He has been listed as questionable. Kamara clearly isn't 100%, but I still expect him to lead the backfield in touches this week. Kamara has only a 4.3% explosive run rate, 1.64 yards after contact per attempt, and an 8% missed tackle rate. There's nothing good to see here. Last week, he scored two touchdowns, which powered his RB9 finish for the week as he had only 12 touches for 58 total yards. Minnesota has allowed the third-lowest rushing success rate, the tenth-fewest rushing yards over expectation, and has the third-highest stuff rate. Kamara is a touchdown-dependent flex this week with a horrible matchup.
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29.
TreVeyon Henderson
NE (vs . LV)
TreVeyon Henderson will split the workload with Rhamondre Stevenson again this week. In their three games together this season, Henderson has had a 43.5% snap rate, a 42.7% rushing share, and a 31.1% route share (2.2% target share). I'd expect Henderson to help out more on early downs this week, with Stevenson taking more of the passing downs. Henderson continues to be an underwhelming pro as a rusher. Among 46 qualifying backs, he ranks 28th in explosive run rate, 33rd in yards after contact per attempt, and 32nd in missed tackle rate. He'll likely flirt with double-digit touches this week as a passable flex option. Henderson has split the red zone work with Stevenson, with both backs seeing two red zone rushing attempts this season. Las Vegas has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the second-most yards before contact per attempt, and the tenth-highest rushing success rate.
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30.
Will Shipley
PHI (at JAC)
With Tank Bigsby on the IR and Saquon Barkley injured, Will Shipley will take over as Philly's lead back until Barkley returns. Shipley hasn't been impressive when on the field during his NFL tenure. Since 2024, with his 59 NFL carries, Shipley has only a 1.8% explosive run rate, 1.63 yards after contact per attempt, and an 8% missed tackle rate. None of that is good or encouraging. Shipley should still see 12-15 touches for the Eagles, so there is some fantasy value here based on volume alone. Shipley is a volume-based flex play this week with a horrible matchup. The Jags have allowed the third-lowest explosive run rate, the ninth-lowest rushing success rate, the lowest missed tackle rate, and the fewest yards after contact per attempt.
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31.
J.K. Dobbins
DEN (at LAC)
Last week, J.K. Dobbins had his usual early down only role with a 31.3% snap share, 50% of the rushing attempts, and a 15.9% route share. Dobbins finished with 13 touches and 52 total yards, which is about the same workload that he has had in most weeks. The problem for Dobbins, outside of the Denver defense taking a huge step back this season, is that he doesn't resemble the same back that we have loved over the last few years. Dobbins has only a 4.9% explosive run rate and 11% missed tackle rate. Those are a shell of his former rushing metrics. Unfortunately for Dobbins, the Bolts have had a formidable run defense this year, and he's a sit this week. The Bolts have allowed the 11th-lowest explosive run rate, the fifth-lowest rushing success rate, and they have the sixth-best stuff rate.
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32.
Keaton Mitchell
LAC (vs . DEN)
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33.
Tyler Allgeier
ARI (vs . DET)
Tyler Allgeier was back in the mix last week with a 54% snap rate, a 30.8% rushing share, a 33.3% route share, and a 5.7% target share. Allgeier finished with ten touches and 49 total yards (one score). I expect Allgeier to flirt with 10-12 touches again this week as a solid flex play. Among 45 qualifying rushers, Allgeier ranks tenth in yards after contact per attempt and 32nd in missed tackle rate. If he can get into the end zone again this week, he'll pay off for fantasy managers. He faces a run defense that has allowed the highest explosive run rate, the 12th-highest rushing success rate, and the second-most yards before contact per attempt.
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34.
Woody Marks
HOU (at TEN)
Woody Marks continues to cut into David Montgomery's workload. Since Week 2, Marks has had a 42.2% snap rate, a 32.8% rushing share, a 35.2% route share, and a 7% target share. He has averaged 8.3 touches and 26 total yards. Marks has only 1.64 yards after contact per attempt, but he has logged a strong 25% missed tackle rate despite his offensive line only generating 1.46 yards before contact per attempt for him. Marks remains a touchdown-or-bust flex this week. Tennessee has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate and yards per carry, the sixth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest EPA per rush.
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35.
MarShawn Lloyd
GB (vs . CHI)
With Chris Brooks out this week, MarShawn Lloyd becomes an interesting desperation flex play. Last week, he led the backfield with a 54.5% snap share and 46.7% route share (16.7% target share). Yes, he was second among the group with a 28% rushing share, but that could change this week. Lloyd's 1.40 yards after contact per attempt isn't great, but he has only seen 1.30 yards before contact per attempt behind Green Bay's horrendous offensive line. Lloyd also has a solid 20% missed tackle rate, which is quite strong, and he posted 2.57 YPRR last week with that season-high 46.7% route share. Lloyd could surprise this week. The Bears' run defense has been awful, allowing the eighth-highest explosive run rate, the highest rushing success rate, and the third-most yards before contact per attempt.
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36.
Brian Robinson Jr.
ATL (vs . BAL)
Brian Robinson Jr. has essentially been Blake Corum of yesteryear over the last two weeks as the Falcons have leaned heavily on their ground game while playing with leads. Over the last two weeks, Robinson has finished as the RB19 and RB8 in weekly scoring while averaging 12.5 touches and 58.5 total yards with four touchdowns. Robinson has been quite good with the work he has received. Among 46 qualifying rushers, he is fifth in yards after contact per attempt and 16th in missed tackle rate. Robinson is a viable flex again this week, but he'll need another touchdown to pay off for fantasy purposes, with a tougher matchup likely. Baltimore has allowed the sixth-lowest rushing success rate, the seventh-fewest yards after contact per attempt, and the ninth-lowest missed tackle rate.
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37.
Blake Corum
LAR (vs . BUF)
Blake Corum's role in the Rams' offense has evaporated. His snap share has dropped in each of the last three games, from 45.2% to 15.5% last week. Last week, he finished with only six touches and 21 total yards. Corum still doesn't have a red zone carry this season. He isn't on the flex radar until his role changes. Kyren Williams looks like a bell cow again.
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38.
Mike Washington Jr.
LV (at NE)
Mike Washington could draw the start if Ashton Jeanty can't go this week. If Jeanty is active, Washington still holds some flex value, as he could see double-digit touches to spell Jeanty more. If Jeanty is out, Washington would be a strong RB2 this week. He has averaged 6.3 touches and 29.7 total yards per game with two outings with at least 40 rushing yards. Among 47 qualifying backs, Washington is 16th in explosive run rate and second in yards after contact per attempt. Washington has a softer matchup this week. New England's run defense has allowed the 14th-highest rushing success rate, the 13th-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-most yards after contact per attempt.
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39.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
JAC (vs . PHI)
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40.
Kaleb Johnson
GB (vs . CHI)
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41.
Kendre Miller
NO (vs . MIN)
Alvin Kamara is banged up. He reinjured his knee last week, but he was able to finish the game. He also popped up on the injury report with a new back issue this week. Kamara had a DNP to open the week. I'll update Kendre Miller's outlook on Friday. He could be the Saints' lead back this week.
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42.
George Holani
SEA (vs . SF)
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43.
Kenny Gainwell
TB (at DAL)
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44.
Jaylen Wright
MIA (vs . CIN)
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45.
Tyjae Spears
TEN (vs . HOU)
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46.
Samaje Perine
CIN (at MIA)
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47.
Kaelon Black
SF (at SEA)
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48.
Rachaad White
WAS (vs . NYG)
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49.
Najee Harris
NYG (at WAS)
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50.
Justice Hill
BAL (at ATL)
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51.
Kimani Vidal
LAC (vs . DEN)
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52.
Ty Johnson
BUF (at LAR)
|
|
53.
Austin Ekeler
WAS (vs . NYG)
|
|
54.
Raheim Sanders
CLE (at NYJ)
|
|
55.
Isaiah Davis
NYJ (vs . CLE)
|
|
56.
Dameon Pierce
PHI (at JAC)
|
|
57.
Rico Dowdle
PIT (vs . IND)
|
|
58.
Sean Tucker
TB (at DAL)
|
|
59.
Demond Claiborne
MIN (at NO)
|
|
60.
Sione Vaki
DET (at ARI)
|
|
61.
Tyler Goodson
DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
62.
Seth McGowan
IND (at PIT)
|
|
63.
Tyler Badie
DEN (at LAC)
|
|
64.
Roschon Johnson
CHI (at GB)
|
|
65.
CJ Donaldson
NO (vs . MIN)
|
|
66.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
NYG (at WAS)
|
|
67.
Ray Davis
BUF (at LAR)
|
|
68.
Jaleel McLaughlin
CLE (at NYJ)
|
|
69.
Nicholas Singleton
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
70.
DeeJay Dallas
MIN (at NO)
|
|
71.
LeQuint Allen Jr.
JAC (vs . PHI)
|
|
72.
Travis Homer
PIT (vs . IND)
|
|
73.
Ameer Abdullah
JAC (vs . PHI)
|
|
74.
Corey Kiner
NE (vs . LV)
|
|
75.
Hunter Luepke
DAL (vs . TB)
|
|
76.
Pierre Strong Jr.
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
77.
Devin Singletary
NYG (at WAS)
|
|
78.
Kaytron Allen
MIA (vs . CIN)
|
|
79.
Bam Knight
ARI (vs . DET)
|
|
80.
Carson Steele
PHI (at JAC)
|
|
81.
Dylan Laube
LV (at NE)
|
|
82.
Jaydon Blue
PHI (at JAC)
|
|
83.
Alec Ingold
LAC (vs . DEN)
|
|
84.
Patrick Ricard
NYG (at WAS)
|
|
85.
Jordan James
SF (at SEA)
|
|
86.
Chris Brooks
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
87.
Tahj Brooks
CIN (at MIA)
|
|
88.
Salvon Ahmed
CHI (at GB)
|
|
89.
Jacob Saylors
DET (at ARI)
|
|
90.
Kene Nwangwu
NYJ (vs . CLE)
|
|
91.
Roman Hemby
LV (at NE)
|
|
92.
Lew Nichols III
PIT (vs . IND)
|
|
93.
Rasheen Ali
BAL (at ATL)
|
|
94.
Robert Henry Jr.
SEA (vs . SF)
|
|
95.
Adam Prentice
DEN (at LAC)
|
|
96.
Josh Williams
TB (at DAL)
|
|
97.
Michael Burton
CLE (at NYJ)
|
|
98.
Carlos Washington Jr.
MIA (vs . CIN)
|
|
99.
DJ Herman
MIA (vs . CIN)
|
|
100.
DJ Giddens
IND (at PIT)
|
|
101.
Zavier Scott
CHI (at GB)
|
|
102.
Owen Wright
LV (at NE)
|
|
103.
Josh Jacobs
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
104.
Dean Connors
LAR (vs . BUF)
|
|
105.
Andrew Beck
NYJ (vs . CLE)
|
|
106.
Adam Randall
BAL (at ATL)
|
|
107.
James Conner
ARI (vs . DET)
|
|
108.
Craig Reynolds
WAS (vs . NYG)
|
|
109.
Frank Gore Jr.
BUF (at LAR)
|
|
110.
Jarquez Hunter
MIA (vs . CIN)
|
|
111.
Dare Ogunbowale
HOU (at TEN)
|
|
112.
Julius Chestnut
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
113.
Tony Jones Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
114.
Max Bredeson
MIN (at NO)
|
