Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 1 Half PPR Rankings
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1.
Christian McCaffrey
RB - SF (at PIT)
The 49ers were judicious in their usage of McCaffrey after acquiring CMC from the Panthers last October. But while McCaffrey didn't see the massive touch counts that categorized his early years in Carolina, he was still highly productive, averaging 21.7 fantasy points per game in 11 games with the Niners. McCaffrey's run-catch versatility makes him a hand-in-glove fit for 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan's offense, and an abundance of surrounding skill-player talent makes it hard for opposing defenses to focus on CMC. Start McCaffrey with confidence this week even in a tricky road matchup against the Steelers.
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2.
Austin Ekeler
RB - WAS (vs . ARI)
The expectation is that in 2023, Austin Ekeler won't see the same insane volume he's had over the last two years, while he's scored more touchdowns than everyone else. With everyone healthy in the offense for Week 1, he probably won't be seeing an insane target share. But he's still the lead back on the Bolts' offense with the third-highest implied team total on the Week 1 slate. Chances are he is going to find the end zone on Sunday versus Vic Fangio's defense. In Ekeler's last three contests versus Fangio's Broncos, he has averaged over 17 fantasy points per game in half-PPR scoring, catching no fewer than three balls to go along with at least one TD score. Top-5 RB play in Week 1.
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3.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
In his three seasons in the league, Jefferson has finished WR6, WR4 and WR1 in fantasy scoring. In 50 career regular-season games, Jefferson has averaged 6.5 receptions, 96.5 receiving yards and 0.5 touchdowns per contest. There's not much else to say here. If you were lucky enough to be positioned to draft Jefferson, you're starting him and feeling great about it.
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4.
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
The Bengals had an above-average run defense last year, but Chubb is nearly matchup-proof. In his first meeting with Cincinnati last season, Chubb trampled the Bengals to the tune of 23-101-2 on the ground. He wasn't as effective in the Week 14 rematch, finishing with 14-34-0 on the ground, his second-lowest rushing output on the year. But of course you're throwing Chubb into your lineup this week and feeling darned good about it.
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5.
Bijan Robinson
RB - ATL (vs . CAR)
Finally, the debut that so many of us have been waiting for. It will be fun to see what the best RB prospect to enter the league since Saquon Barkley can do in a run-heavy offense, operating behind one of the NFL's better run-blocking offensive lines. It's possible Falcons head coach Arthur Smith uses Bijan and Tyler Allgeier in something close to a 50/50 split in Week 1, eventually shifting more of the workload toward Bijan. But it's also possible that Bijan handles a big load right away. He's a multitalented back with run-catch versatility, so it's possible we'll see Bijan used as a weapon in the passing game. Bijan will face a middling Carolina run defense. But matchup be damned - you didn't spend an early-round draft pick on Bijan just to leave him on your bench. Let's ride!
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6.
Tony Pollard
RB - TEN (at NO)
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7.
Ja'Marr Chase
WR - CIN (at CLE)
An elite WR option, Chase is a must-start in all managed fantasy leagues and an appealing option in DFS. The Cleveland pass defense was solid last season, but in the one game against the Browns he was healthy for last year, Chase caught 10-of-15 targets for 119 yards and a touchdown. The Browns will probably try to get high-quality CB Denzel Ward as often as they can if Ward is able to play, but he's recovering from a concussion, leaving his status uncertain. Regardless of whether Ward plays, start Chase with confidence.
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8.
Tyreek Hill
WR - MIA (at LAC)
Due to Cooper Kupp's injury, Tyreek Hill has crept into the top-3 consensus WR season-long rankings. And after his monster season in his first year with Miami, it's hard to argue with the bump. As for Week 1, Hill slides in as the WR2 overall in the half-PPR projections with a high-end target share locked in versus a defense that he hung 81 yards and one TD on back in Week 14. Despite being inefficient - four catches on 10 targets - Hill still finished that week as the WR10.
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9.
Saquon Barkley
RB - PHI (at NE)
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10.
Derrick Henry
RB - BAL (vs . HOU)
The king of rushing volume, Henry has led the NFL in carries in three of the last four seasons and has averaged 22.7 rushing attempts per game since 2019. He even caught a career-high 33 passes last season after never getting to 20 receptions in any of his six previous seasons. Henry has finished top five in fantasy points per game in each of the last five seasons. At age 29 and with plenty of mileage on the odometer, Henry might not have a lot of good years left. But now is not the time to fade him. Start Henry with confidence this week against a New Orleans run defense that ranked 20th in DVOA last year.
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11.
Josh Jacobs
RB - GB (at CHI)
Until we see another Raiders running back eat into Josh Jacobs's workload, he needs to be treated like a full-blown bell cow. That was the case last season when he led the NFL in touches. That's concerning for his long-term availability, but he should be a locked-and-loaded fantasy RB1 for Week 1. In two games versus Denver last year, Jacobs averaged nearly 25 fantasy points per game. Start him.
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12.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR - DET (at KC)
St. Brown was a beast last season, finishing as the WR10 in fantasy points per game. He drew a 28.1% target share (11th-best) while leading all receivers in red zone targets after Week 9 last year. Last season, Kansas City was crushed by slot receivers, allowing the sixth-most receptions per game and the eighth-most fantasy points per game to slots. The Chiefs also permitted the 13th-highest missed tackles allowed per reception last year. St. Brown was tied for 21st in missed tackles forced among wide receivers in 2022. St. Brown is a WR1 who will run about 59% of his routes against Trent McDuffie, who gave up a 67.8% catch rate and 94.3 passer rating in slot coverage last season.
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13.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (at NYG)
Lamb has gotten better and seen more volume in each of his three seasons in the NFL, and he'll be up for a contract extension soon. I have concerns about the post-Kellen Moore Cowboys offense, but Lamb is going to remain the Alpha in this Dallas passing attack regardless. I expect the Cowboys to throw the ball more in 2023, and Lamb will be the focal point of that attack. He caught 107 of his 156 targets for over 1,350 yards in 2022 despite Dak Prescott missing five games. A full season with Dak should push those numbers even higher. The Giants were middle of the pack in allowing points to opposing points to WRs in 2022, and their defense should remain mostly unchanged in Wink Martindale's second season. FantasyPros ECR currently has Lamb as one of six A+ WR starts for Week 1 despite the fact that he'll see plenty of Adoree' Jackson on Sunday night.
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14.
Joe Mixon
RB - HOU (at BAL)
This game sets up extremely well for Mixon. Bengals QB Joe Burrow is coming back from a calf injury, so you have to figure that the Bengals will make an earnest effort to run the ball to keep the Cleveland pass rush honest. The Bengals will also be facing a Browns defense that was much better against the pass than it was against the run last season. Cleveland's defense ranked 12th in DVOA against the pass, 26th against the run. The Browns gave up 1,994 rushing yards to opposing RBs last season, the fifth-highest total in the league. They allowed 17 TD runs to RBs, third-most in the league. Mixon had a disappointing 8-27-0 rushing performance when the Browns blew out the Bengals on Halloween night last year, 32-13, although Mixon did have seven catches for 32 yards in that game. In a Week 14 rematch, Mixon had 14-96-0 and 2-10-0 receiving as the Bengals cruised to a 23-10 win. Expect Mixon to get a more substantial carry total against Cleveland this time around. For fantasy purposes, view him as a midrange to low-end RB1.
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15.
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB - JAC (at IND)
For a guy coming off a debut NFL season in which he ran for 1,125 yards, Etienne seems to be causing a lot of anxiety for his investors. As good as Etienne was last season, the Jaguars still spent a third-round draft pick on Tank Bigsby, who played well in the preseason. It's possible that Bigsby could steal some goal-line work from Etienne, and the Jaguars have already shown an inclination to use JaMycal Hasty on some obvious passing downs. Etienne will no doubt get his fair share of touches, but we want him to get plenty of high-value touches - i.e., goal-line carries and receptions. You're confidently starting Etienne against a Colts defense that gave up the ninth-most fantasy points to RBs a year ago, but you're crossing your fingers that Etienne's usage justifies the early draft pick you spent on him.
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16.
A.J. Brown
WR - PHI (at NE)
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17.
Aaron Jones
RB - MIN (vs . TB)
Jones has been seldom used with the first-team offense during the preseason, twice just playing one snap before being taken out of the game entirely. His fantasy value will remain through his uber-efficient rushing effectiveness and his proficiency as one of the league's best RB pass-catchers. He ripped through the Bears defense early last season with 132 yards on 15 carries. Jones followed up with a strong receiving game, catching five targets for 24 yards in the second matchup. With A.J. Dillon taking over red zone duties, Jones settles in the mid-range RB2 territory in a plus-matchup.
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18.
Stefon Diggs
WR - HOU (at BAL)
You can't bench one of the best receivers in the game, but this is not exactly a smash spot for Diggs. The Jets allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers last season. In two games against the Jets last season, Diggs put up stat lines of 5-93-0 and 3-37-0. The Jets have one of the best cover corners in the league in Sauce Gardner, and CBs D.J. Reed and Michael Carter II are no slouches. Diggs profiles as more of a lower-end WR1 than as a top WR option this week.
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19.
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB - NE (vs . PHI)
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20.
Davante Adams
WR - LV (at DEN)
Will Patrick Surtain make Davante Adams a bust in Week 1? Probably not. In both games versus the Broncos in 2022, Adams went over 100 receiving yards. Nearly 23 fantasy points per game. Keep him in all lineups.
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21.
Garrett Wilson
WR - NYJ (vs . BUF)
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22.
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB - DET (at KC)
Gibbs takes over the "D'Andre Swift role" in the offense. In this role, Swift ranked sixth in target share and 19th in route participation among running backs last season. This occurred while also mentioning that Swift bounced between the injury report and the Detroit dog house last season. Gibbs could surpass both numbers in his rookie season while also seeing some work on early downs. He's an explosive receiver, ranking in the top ten yards per route run and receiving grade in each of his final three collegiate seasons (minimum 20 targets). Kansas City was putrid against receiving backs last season, allowed the most receptions to the position, the fourth-most receiving yards, and the seventh-most receiving touchdowns (tied). Gibbs is a strong RB2 this week with RB1 upside (especially in PPR formats).
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23.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - LAC (vs . MIA)
Must-start in Week 1. Dobbins has been kept in bubble wrap for the entire preseason, with the expectations set that he will assume RB1 duties in the Baltimore backfield. The Texans run defense has been a bottom-5 unit over the past three seasons, so Dobbins should be set for a very productive day rushing. The Texans tried to plug up their interior with the additions of Sheldon Rankins and Hassan Ridgeway this offseason, but it remains to be seen if new head coach Demeco Ryans can turn this unit into the stingy 49ers run defense of the south with overall inferior personnel.
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24.
Kenneth Walker III
RB - SEA (vs . LAR)
Kenneth Walker III stood as the RB8 from Weeks 6-17 after Rashaad Penny was placed on IR with a season-ending injury in 2022. The rookie was the RB9 in points per game. If you remove the two games, he missed due to injury (Weeks 13/14) he averaged 16.4 fantasy points per game, which would have placed him as the RB8 in points per game. He got absolutely FED after returning from a late-season ankle injury. Walker was either consistently playing 70 percent-plus snaps or carrying the ball 23-plus times as the Seattle workhorse. And at times, we even saw Walker earn targets while leading the backfield in routes run. But overall, he underwhelmed as a receiver as he did at the college level. And his tendency to look for home runs resulted in a rushing success rate that ranked second-to-last (31.4%) among rushers with at least 100 carries in 2022. He also missed games because of injuries. His path to RB1 upside will be that much tougher to realize after the team added Zach Charbonnet in the second round of this year's draft. And to add literal insult to injury, Walker popped up this offseason with a groin injury, forcing him to miss time in training camp and during the preseason contests. However, he is healthy entering Week 1 and should be started in all formats as a fantasy RB2 with upside for more until we learn more about a workload split between Walker/Charbonnet. The last time he faced the Rams (Week 18 of last season), Walker rushed for 114 yards on a whopping 29 carries. The Rams also lost linebacker Bobby Wagner (who is back on the Seahawks) who finished as PFF's highest-graded run defender among linebackers in 2022.
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25.
Jaylen Waddle
WR - MIA (at LAC)
Waddle was not as fortunate the last time he faced the Chargers. He busted out with just 4.1 fantasy points, with just two catches for 31 yards on 4 targets. His explosive skill set makes him an auto start every single week but bear his downside should the Bolts present more problems for Tagovailoa and company. View Waddle was a mid-range fantasy WR2 for Week 1.
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26.
Chris Olave
WR - NO (vs . TEN)
A QB upgrade from Andy Dalton to Derek Carr should suit Olave nicely, since Carr should be able to better leverage Olave's wheels. Last season, Carr averaged 9.1 intended air yards per pass attempt last season, fourth-highest in the league. Dalton averaged 7.9 intended air yards per pass attempt last season. Olave was dynamite as a rookie, finishing with 1,042 receiving yards in 15 games and averaging 8.8 yards per target. Fire up Olave this week against a pass-funnel Titans defense that gave up the most fantasy points to opposing WRs in 2022.
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27.
Alexander Mattison
RB - LV (at DEN)
After spending the first four years of his NFL career backing up Dalvin Cook, Mattison has inherited a starting role. In six previous career starts, Mattison averaged 79.5 rushing yards and 36.0 receiving yards, topped the 100-yard rushing mark twice, and scored five touchdowns. Mattison is a jack-of-all-trades type who isn't considered particularly gifted in any area but does everything well enough. The Buccaneers aren't an easy matchup, but nor are they a prohibitive matchup. Roll with Mattison as a midrange RB2.
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28.
Keenan Allen
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
The Justin Herbert-Keenan Allen duo has faced Vic Fangio's defense on three separate occasions since 2020. Allen has posted 12 targets, 10 targets and 9 targets in those three contests. He has also scored or posted at least 67 yards with four-plus receptions. As long as Allen is not held back by any injury, he's going to be posting fringe fantasy WR1 numbers like we saw during the back half of the 2022 season. He also cooked this Miami defense to the tune of 12 catches for 92 yards on 14 targets last season.
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29.
Cam Akers
RB - MIN (vs . TB)
I would expect to see more of what we saw of Cam Akers during the latter part of the 2022 Rams' season, when he operated as a full-blown bell cow over the final six weeks of the season leading the NFL in rushing yards (85 yards per game). The matchup versus a questionable Seahawks' run defense - albeit one that should be improved after offseason moves - is one we saw Akers take advantage of last season. He averaged 82 rushing yards, 21 touches and 16.4 points per game in two matchups versus the Seahawks in 2022. And it was the first Seattle game that Akers got back into the good graces of Sean McVay, out-touching Kyren Williams 18 to 3. I'd easily expect double-digit carries for Akers and some solid rushing production with volume on his side. But a ceiling game might not be in the cards if Akers fails to find the end zone or loses work in the receiving game to Williams, who the team has rested as a "starter" along with Akers during the preseason. Akers is a backend RB2, but profiles more as a floor than ceiling play in Week 1. Likely wouldn't FLEX him if I wanted more upside.
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30.
DK Metcalf
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
We love Geno Smith this week, therefore we love his WRs. Metcalf was Seattle's target share leader in 2022, and I'd expect nothing less from him in his first matchup versus a sans-Jalen Ramsey defense. Metcalf has an easy chance to hit paydirt in this particular matchup after leading all players in end-zone targets a season ago. The Rams were at their best in 2022 inside the red zone, allowing the league's lowest conversion rate. Expect that number to dip dramatically in favor of the Seattle passing game. Start Metcalf as a back-end fantasy WR1 in Week 1.
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31.
Miles Sanders
RB - CAR (at ATL)
Sanders missed time in training camp with a groin injury and didn't play in the preseason, but he returned to practice two weeks ago and is expected to be fine for Week 1. It's hard to tell whether we'll see bell-cow usage with Sanders this season. If we do, it might not come so soon after a soft-tissue injury. But this is nonetheless a pretty decent spot for Sanders. The Falcons gave up the eighth-most rushing yards to RBs last season and ranked 27th in DVOA vs. the run. Panthers head coach Frank Reich probably doesn't want his offense to be extremely pass-heavy in rookie QB Bryce Young's first regular-season game, so we can expect an earnest effort to maintain offensive balance. Sanders is best viewed as a midrange RB2 this week.
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32.
Calvin Ridley
WR - TEN (at NO)
The last time Ridley played an NFL game was Oct. 24, 2021. He stepped away from football in the fall of 2021 citing mental health issues, and he was suspended for the 2022 season for gambling. Ridley reportedly had a terrific training camp, and it will be fascinating to see how he and talented young QB Trevor Lawrence work together. It might take time for them to build chemistry, but you're not waiting to put Ridley into your starting lineup. regard him as a high-end WR2 for Week 1.
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33.
Najee Harris
RB - PIT (vs . SF)
There's been speculation that the Steelers will give more work to Jaylen Warren this week, although Najee probably isn't in any danger of falling into a 50/50 timeshare. The bigger problem for Najee's investors this week is a bad matchup with the 49ers. San Francisco allowed the fewest fantasy points and rushing yards to RBs last season. Running backs scored only seven touchdowns against the 49ers in 2022. You're probably starting Najee this week, but the outlook isn't as bright as it would be in a better matchup. He's a midrange to low-end RB2 this week.
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34.
DeVonta Smith
WR - PHI (at NE)
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35.
Rachaad White
RB - TB (at MIN)
After sharing a backfield with Leonard Fournette as a rookie, White appears to be Tampa's lead RB entering his second season. Not that we should expect Derrick Henry-type usage for White, but his investors should be encouraged that the Buccaneers have thus far elected not to sign a free-agent RB such as Kareem Hunt or ... well, Fournette. White figures to get at least 12-15 touches against the Vikings this week, and White's pass-catching skill could be put to good use against a Minnesota defense that gave up the ninth-most receiving yards to RBs in 2022. Regard White as a midrange RB2 this week.
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36.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (at CLE)
The Robin to Ja'Marr Chase's Batman, Higgins has topped the 1,000-yard mark in each of his last two seasons even though he was limited to 14 games in 2021 and had to leave two games early last season - including a game against the Browns in which he was injured on his first offensive snap. Higgins will look for a better result against the Browns this time around. Consider him a high-end WR2 this week.
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37.
David Montgomery
RB - DET (at KC)
Montgomery takes over Detroit's early down hammer role this season for Jamaal Williams. Montgomery was an elite tackle-breaker last season, but sadly, it didn't do him much good. He was first in missed tackles forced per attempt but also finished with the lowest explosive run rate in the NFL (per Fantasy Points Data). Montgomery is a spinning top as he never goes down, but sadly, he never advances far upfield. Montgomery will have weeks where he finishes with RB1/2 stat lines, but this probably isn't one of them. It helps his cause that Chris Jones is likely out, and Carlos Dunlap is gone, though. Each player ranked inside the top 70 highest-graded run defenders in the NFL (among 264 qualifying players), with Jones finishing seventh and Dunlap coming in at 67th. Williams was utilized on gap runs with 57.3% of his carries last season. If Montgomery receives similar usage, he'll have uphill sledding. Last season, the Chiefs allowed the 12th-lowest yards after contact overall, the 12th-lowest success rate on gap runs, and the sixth-fewest rushing touchdowns. Montgomery is a volume-driven low-end RB2/high-end RB3.
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38.
Amari Cooper
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
Cooper has volatile home/road splits for his career. He's scored 34 career touchdowns at home, 21 on the road. Cooper has 31.4% more receiving yards at home than on the road. He has averaged 9.9 yards per target in 61 career home games, 7.5 yards per target in 64 career road games. The good news: Cooper opens the season in front of the faithful at Cleveland Browns Stadium. When Cooper faced the Bengals at home last season on Halloween night, he had five catches for 131 yards and a touchdown. Play him with confidence.
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39.
Dameon Pierce
RB - HOU (at BAL)
All the reasons to be sour on Stroud also apply to the Texans starting RB. Except the matchup might be even worse for Pierce because the Ravens' strengths are certainly in their front seven led by linebacker Roquan Smith. From Week 9 onward (after the Ravens acquired linebacker Roquan Smith), the Ravens were 3rd overall in defensive DVOA (9th in pass, 2nd in run) in 2022. This defense has injuries in their secondary, so that's the only way I can envision the Texans moving the ball successfully, especially with Baltimore offering a lackluster pass rush. I warned the masses about drafting Pierce too aggressively in redraft formats for this exact matchup, and I feel strongly that his value is going to dip dramatically after he inevitably busts in Week 1. Pierce needs to ride the pine in Week 1 as a 10-point road dogs.
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40.
James Conner
RB - ARI (at WAS)
Volume. Volume. Volume. That's the thesis on drafting James Conner, and starting him every single week, regardless of matchup. Because the matchup versus the Commanders' fierce defensive line is horrible. But as we have seen time and time again, volume is king in fantasy football. And I fully expect a Week 1 Conner - by far at the healthiest he will ever be during the season - to be the engine of this unaspiring Arizona offensive attack. Keep in mind that Conner was a BEAST last year even without Kyler Murray. Conner averaged 21 points per game in six games played without Murray last season. RB2. Lock.
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41.
Raheem Mostert
RB - MIA (at LAC)
The planets are aligning for Raheem Mostert in Week 1. Jeff Wilson Jr. was placed on IR and rookie De'Von Achane is returning from a shoulder injury. Mostert is hardly a player that fantasy gamers should be relying on for the long-term given his horrible injury track record and 31-year old age, but for Week 1 he looks like the clear-cut No. 1 rusher in the Miami backfield. And the matchup is divine versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense that does not stop the run. They have ranked inside the bottom-six in rushing yards per game allowed since Brandon Staley took over as the head coach in 2021. Consider Mostert, a low-end RB2 player for Week 1. If you can't start him this week with confidence, you'll likely never start him at any point during the season. Mike McDaniel has been vocal about running the ball more consistently, and Mostert has been his GUY through different rosters and coaching staffs. In Mostert we trust...for Week 1 that is. Have faith in the ex-49ers running back even if the Dolphins should fall behind against a high-powered Chargers offense. Mostert finished the 2022 season 15th in route participation among RBs averaging just under 3 targets per game.
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42.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR - SF (at PIT)
The arrival of Christian McCaffrey might mean that Deebo doesn't add as much rushing value in 2023 as he has in the last couple of seasons. In the seven games he played with CMC last year, Deebo had 19 carries for 96 yards and two touchdowns. Deebo is special with the ball in his hands, so 49ers HC Kyle Shanahan is still going to scheme him some carries - just not as many carries as Deebo handled over the second half of the 2021 season, when he had 53 rushing attempts over an eight-game stretch. Perhaps the more important issue is Deebo's receiving potential with CMC around. After McCaffrey's arrival, Deebo averaged 6.7 targets, 4.1 receptions and 41.0 receiving yards per game. Those are low-end WR3 numbers. Treat Deebo as a midrange WR2 this week but monitor his usage carefully early in the season to assess his value.
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43.
Jamaal Williams
RB - NO (vs . TEN)
Alvin Kamara is serving a three-game suspension. Rookie Kendre Miller is dealing with a hamstring and might not be available for the Saints' opener. Williams could conceivably get 20-plus carries this week. The problem is that he'll be up against a rugged Titans run defense that held opposing RBs to 62.8 rushing yards a game and 3.4 yards per carry last season. Volume generally outweighs matchup in start/sit decisions, so regard Williams as a low-end RB2 this week and lean toward using him this week.
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44.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
Arguably the league's most underrated WR...Tyler Lockett is in a great position for drafters looking for a start in Week 1. The long-time Seahawks WR has traditionally destroyed the Rams, and last year was no different. Two of Lockett's best games in 2022 were versus LA, highlighted by a season-high 128 receiving yards game on nine catches back in Week 13.
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45.
Isiah Pacheco
RB - KC (vs . DET)
Pacheco will reprise his role as the team's early down grinder this year. He was efficient as a rusher, ranking 18th in explosive run rate and 14th in yards after contact per attempt (minimum 100 rushes per Fantasy Points Data). Last season, he only saw a 2.3% target share and a 14.8% route per dropback rate. If you're plugging him into your lineup this season, it likely should be when he has an easy matchup on the ground. Luckily for Pacheco, Christmas came early, as the Lions couldn't stop anyone on the ground last season. Detroit gave up the third-most rushing touchdowns, allowed the seventh-most missed tackles, and surrendered the fifth-highest yards before contact per attempt. Last season, 65.9% of Pacheco's runs were on zone concept plays, as he was fourth-best in zone run success rate with the tenth-highest yards per carry on zone runs. Detroit allowed the sixth-highest success rate on zone runs. Pacheco is a low-end RB2/strong flex play.
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46.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB (at MIN)
There's little question that Godwin is a high-quality receiver, but will the Buccaneers have enough passing volume to make Godwin a valuable fantasy asset? Tom Brady led the NFL in pass attempts in 2021 and 2022 with more than 700 throws in each of those seasons. That works out to an average of more than 40 pass attempts per game. In 2019, Jameis Winson led the NFL in pass attempts when he was the Buccaneers' quarterback. In 2020, Brady was second in pass attempts. So for the last four years, Godwin's quarterback has either ranked first or second in pass attempts. It's hard to envision Baker Mayfield finishing top 10 in pass attempts, let alone leading the league. So, what happens if Godwin is playing with a quarterback who throws 550 passes instead of 700? Let's not worry about that this week, since Godwin has an appealing matchup against a Minnesota defense that ranked 27th in DVOA against the pass last year and gave up the third-most fantasy points to WRs.
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47.
Mike Williams
WR - NYJ (vs . BUF)
Williams had a rare boom game alongside a healthy Allen when he last faced Miami, going 6 for 116 and 1 TD. He was not heavily targeted (6 targets) but delivered in a big way as Big Mike tends to do. 5-99-1, 4-39-0, 3-63-1 and 4-54-0 are the stat lines he has posted versus Vic Fangio's Broncos defenses since 2020, which fits William's boom-bust profile to a tee. But given his status as the clear-cut No. 2 - miles ahead of Joshua Palmer and Quentin Johston- I am embracing the boom-or-bust profile with Williams in Week 1 as an upside WR3 play.
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48.
DJ Moore
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
As the clear-cut No. 1 option in the Bears passing game, D.J. offers a target volume floor with spike week potential should he and Fields connect on a big play or two. A WR2 start for fantasy is appropriate for the ex-Panthers WR.
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49.
Drake London
WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
As a 21-year-old rookie, London had a 29.4% target share and was targeted on 32.4% of his pass routes. He averaged 2.07 yards per route run. It's possible the kid was just revving his engine and is really going to stomp the gas pedal in Year 2. Sure, London's target share spiked after Kyle Pitts got hurt last year. And, yes, the Falcons will be run-heavy. But, hey, there's really no one other than London, Pitts and possibly Bijan Robinson who's going to see a lot of targets in this offense. London is a weekly must-start in fantasy. That said, London's matchup against Carolina might mean a lot of face time with Panthers CB Jaycee Horn, a talented young cover man with the size (6-1, 205) to avoid being bullied by the 6-4, 213-pound London. Tread lightly with London in DFS (but don't rule him out of your lineups completely).
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50.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - TEN (at NO)
The 31-year-old Hopkins joins a Titans squad that desperately needed pass-catching help. Although he's on the wrong side of the age curve, Hopkins is still a high-volume receiver. He played only nine games last year because of a six-game PED suspension at the beginning of the season and a knee sprain that cost him two games at the end, but Hopkins was the WR9 in fantasy points per game and had a hefty 29.4% target share and 43.5% air-yard share. Hopkins draws a tricky Week 1 matchup against CB Marshon Lattimore and the Saints. Treat Hopkins as a lower-end WR2 in his debut with Tennessee.
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51.
Brian Robinson Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . ARI)
I haven't been high on Brian Robinson during the fantasy football draft process, with his profile as an early-down grinder on a team that will likely be trailing in contests. But Week 1's matchup versus the bottom-dwelling Cardinals is the exact matchup where Robinson can thrive for the Commanders run game. They are favorites at home, so I expect Robinson to see a healthy amount of rushing volume even while splitting snaps with Antonio Gibson. From Week 6 onward last season, B-Rob averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game (RB34). But the points per game hardly depict Robinson's rookie campaign because he was getting pumped with volume. He ranked fourth in carries (17.8 per game) and averaged over 70 rushing yards per game as PFF's ninth-highest-graded running back (82.1). Start him versus the Cardinals in one of the few plus-matchups he will get all season.
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52.
James Cook
RB - BUF (at NYJ)
In a game rich with interesting storylines, one of them is the RB duel between the Cook brothers, Dalvin and James. A committee back last year, James Cook seems to have ascended to a leading role, at least based on preseason usage and reports from Bills beat writers. New Bills RBs Damien Harris and Latavius Murray will get some early-down work and could poach goal-line carries since they're heavier and more rugged than Cook. Still, a meatier role for Cook is reason for his stakeholders to celebrate. It's nice to have the No. 1 back in one of the league's better offenses. This week, however, it's best to regard Cook as a high-end RB3 in a difficult matchup against the Jets.
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53.
Jahan Dotson
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
Without McLaurin (or even a potentially limited one) the target floodgates will open for Jahan Dotson to absolutely feast versus an extremely suspect defense. Dotson had more WR1 finishes than Terry McLaurin in 2022, who played in 5 more games than Dotson. Factor in Dotson's strong finish after his injury from Weeks 13-18, and he's a no-brainer breakout candidate for Week 1. Over that span, he led the Commanders with a 24% target share averaging 2.2 yards per route run (tied with McLaurin). And during the preseason, it was clear he was Sam Howell's favorite target. He played 100% of the snaps with Howell during the NFL preseason. And after McLaurin got hurt, Dotson caught 5-of-7 targets for 76 yards. The former Penn State star recorded all 76 of his yards in the second quarter (28% target share).
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54.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF (at PIT)
Aiyuk quietly finished WR15 in PPR fantasy scoring last year, catching 78 passes for 1,015 yards and eight touchdowns in his age-24 season. Aiyuk has averaged an impressive 8.8 yards per target over his three NFL seasons, and last year he demonstrated that he can thrive despite the abundance of skill-position talent on the San Francisco roster. Consider Aiyuk a high-end WR3 this week against the Steelers.
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55.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (at MIN)
Please refer to the Chris Godwin blurb above for an ominous message about a potential drop-off in target volume for Godwin and Evans this year. Evans has topped the 1,000-yard receiving mark in all nine of his NFL seasons, but he endured a career-long 11-game touchdown drought last season and was borderline unplayable for fantasy over the second half of the season. Evans just turned 30, so it's not as if we should be worried about him tumbling over the age cliff, but he's not the slam-dunk fantasy investment that he used to be. Still, he's a worthwhile fantasy play this week against a Vikings pass defense that was bad last year and hasn't made enough personnel upgrades in the offseason to significantly improve.
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56.
Khalil Herbert
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
The Packers were atrocious against the run last season, finishing 31st in DVOA. And I am not entirely convinced they have totally revamped the unit into a stone wall that the Bears cannot overcome. In Chicago's last four matchups versus current GB defensive coordinator, Joe Barry, the Bears have averaged 153 rushing yards per game. Herbert started one of those games back as a rookie in 2021, when he rushed for 97 yards on 19 carries. As the clear-cut RB1 in the offense on early downs based on preseason usage, Herbert can easily flirt with mid-range RB2 numbers, given his projected workload of at least 13 touches. Herbert has played eight games over the last 2 seasons when he has seen 13-plus touches. The Bears RB1 has averaged 15.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) in those contests. Fantasy RB1 numbers.
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57.
Diontae Johnson
WR - CAR (at ATL)
Somehow, Johnson failed to score a touchdown last year despite drawing 147 targets and catching 87 passes. No other receiver in NFL history has drawn more than 109 targets in a season without scoring a touchdown. Whether Johnson will reverse his TD misfortune against the 49ers this week is unclear, but Johnson has averaged 9.6 targets, 5.9 catches and 61.8 receiving yards a game over the last three years, making him a must-start in most formats. Johnson is a low-end WR2 this week against a 49ers defense that yielded the sixth-most receiving yards to WRs last year.
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58.
Christian Kirk
WR - JAC (at IND)
What's slightly concerning if you're a Kirk stakeholder is that he wasn't always on the field in two-WR sets when the Jaguars' starters played in the preseason. And obviously, Kirk's target total was already at risk of being reduced thanks to the arrival of stud WR Calvin Ridley. Kirk is too good to be completely marginalized, but he might be hard-pressed to repeat last year's 84-1,108-8 stat line. As a midrange WR3 type, Kirk will be a tough start-sit call for a lot of people this week.
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59.
Javonte Williams
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
Javonte Williams has made a miraculous return from his multi-knee ligament tear from the 2022 season. His speedy recovery allowed him to play in the preseason, with favorable usage as both a rusher and receiver. On the first drive, he had 3 targets and one carry over the 1st four plays. Then Perine entered the game. Over the first 23 plays, it was a 50/50 split essentially with Williams (56%, 8 RB opportunities) and Perine (47%, 3 RB opportunities). Perine played more receiving downs...but Williams was still peppered with targets like last year's pre-injury. However, I would hardly say that Juggernaut Javonte is 100% back to fantasy stardom with him still splitting work with Perine and potentially undrafted free agent, Jaleel McLaughlin. The Raiders' run defense is no world-beater - 24th in PFF's defensive line rankings - so I understand the appeal of starting Williams, but he's probably more of a floor play than ceiling option with it being his first real game back from the injury. A 20-touch guaranteed workload is likely too aggressive to project.
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60.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
In Weeks 1-5 without Jerry Jeudy fully healthy last season, Sutton's target share was 28%. In Weeks 10-12 (Jeudy also missed these games), Sutton's target share was back up to 27%. But even in the games where Sutton commanded the lion's share of looks, he came up short more often than not. He was completely forgotten in the red zone - 11 RZ targets, one red-zone TD before Week 18 - and he failed to capitalize on 1200-plus air yards. Considering Jeudy is likely going to miss Week 1 due to severe hamstring injury, it's difficult to not view Sutton as a fantasy WR3 at worst with volume coming his way, with room for more if he can take advantage of a beatable Raiders secondary and positive TD regression on his side. Sutton posted solid stat lines in his two matchups versus LV in 2022, both that also occurred without Jeudy healthy. He averaged five receptions for 66 yards on 7 targets, while also scoring one of his two total touchdowns from the 2022 season.
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61.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - MIN (vs . TB)
After a midseason trade took him from Detroit to Minnesota, Hockenson averaged 8.6 targets, 6.0 catches and 51.9 receiving yards in 10 games with the Vikings. Is Hockenson still the No. 2 target in the Vikings' passing game behind Justin Jefferson, or will Jordan Addison usurp that role and diminish Hock's fantasy value? The guess here is that Hock remains one of the more valuable tight ends in fantasy but sees a noteworthy reduction in targets. Start him this week against a Buccaneers defense that allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to tight ends last year.
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62.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
Terry McLaurin is currently dealing with a turf toe injury that he suffered in the team's final preseason game. Listed as day-to-day, he will suit up Week 1 but will be less than 100%. The matchup is too good versus the Cardinals to pass. View him as a fantasy WR3 for Week 1. Not an auto-start.
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63.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
Pittman is a talented young receiver, but he was stuck in a bad situation last year with a dusty Matt Ryan playing quarterback for most of the season, and Pittman's situation might not be that much better this year with rookie QB Anthony Richardson facing NFL defenses for the first time. Pittman is a good bet to lead the Colts in targets for a third consecutive season, but that might not translate into worthwhile fantasy production. Treat Pittman like a midrange WR4.
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64.
Dalvin Cook
RB - BAL (vs . HOU)
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65.
George Pickens
WR - PIT (vs . SF)
A big-play specialist, Pickens has a remarkable flare for making acrobatic catches. What Pickens stakeholders need more of is target volume. Pickens had a 15.3% target share last year. He didn't see more than eight targets in any game all season, and he didn't see more than six targets in any game from Week 6 on. Pickens is the sort of receiver who could make his weekly fantasy quota with one big TD catch, but the lower target volume makes for an unstable floor. He's a boom-or-bust WR3 this week.
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66.
Antonio Gibson
RB - NE (vs . PHI)
As the Commanders' No. 1 pass-catching back, AG has more appeal in PPR formats. But in a contest that projects for Washington to be playing with a lead, this isn't the spot to thrust him into your starting lineups. It's a Brian Robinson week, not a Gibson week.
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67.
D'Andre Swift
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
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68.
Brandin Cooks
WR - DAL (at NYG)
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69.
Breece Hall
RB - NYJ (vs . BUF)
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70.
Marquise Brown
WR - KC (vs . DET)
I think it's smart to avoid starting WRs when we don't know who their starting QBs will be. Especially when it's a combination of a Day 3 rookie and journeyman veteran with zero track record of any success at the NFL level. Case in point, Marquise Brown should be on ALL benches in Week 1 versus an underrated Commanders secondary. Hollywood Brown played five games without Kyler Murray (three which overlapped with DeAndre Hopkins also playing), Brown was down to just 5.4 points and 35 receiving yards per game. He also posted similar production in the final two games of the season with both Hopkins/Murray sidelined.
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71.
Skyy Moore
WR - KC (vs . DET)
Fantasy GMs were hurt and wanting more last year as Andy Reid kept Moore capped all year in a part-time role. Every offseason report for Moore this summer has been glittering as he has been dubbed a starter in two wide receiver sets. This fact is huge as Kansas City was 24th in 11 personnel rate (three wide receivers on the field) last season. In the limited role we saw Moore in last year, he was immensely productive from an efficiency standpoint. Among 119 wide receivers with at least 150 routes run (per Fantasy Points Data), Moore ranked seventh in YAC per reception and tenth in missed tackles forced per reception. We'll see how much Moore plays in the slot versus outside in this game, but when he's lined up on the perimeter, he'll face Cameron Sutton (50.7% catch rate, 69.6 passer rating allowed in 2022) and Jerry Jacobs (55.0% catch rate, 74.9 passer rating allowed in 2022). This isn't a good matchup for Moore's YAC game. Last year, Detroit allowed the fourth-lowest YAC per reception and fifth-lowest missed tackles allowed per reception. Moore is a WR4.
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72.
Jordan Addison
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
The Vikings are currently listing Addison behind K.J. Osborn on their depth chart, but Addison will be on the field in three-receiver sets, and it's possible he'll play with Justin Jefferson in two-receiver sets. The Vikings' first-round draft pick is 5-11, 173 pounds and not especially athletic, but he is a route-running savant a la Keenan Allen. With Justin Jefferson hogging targets for the Vikings, Addison will pose a difficult start/sit dilemma for many of his fantasy managers. Best to play it cautiously and view Addison as a midrange WR4 for Week 1.
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73.
Gabe Davis
WR - JAC (at IND)
Maybe you can't bench Stefon Diggs, but you can - and probably should - bench Davis. With a collection of good cover men, the Jets are stingy to opposing WRs. Davis is especially dependent on big plays. Those Jets cornerbacks are hard to beat, and the ferocious Jets pass rush might not give Bills QB Josh Allen much time to find receivers downfield. Consider Davis a dicey WR4 option for Week 1.
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74.
Michael Thomas
WR - NO (vs . TEN)
Plagued by foot problems that limited him to 10 games over the last three seasons, Thomas is seemingly healthy now. The NFL's receptions leader in 2018 and 2019 probably isn't going to catch 100 passes this year even if he stays completely healthy - teammate Chris Olave is too good - but Thomas can be a useful fantasy asset as a complementary possession receiver. With Thomas in a home matchup against a bad Tennessee pass defense, Thomas is flex-worthy this week as a low-end WR3.
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75.
Samaje Perine
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
Perine was viewed during draft season as a stopgap for fantasy teams that went with a zero-RB approach. But a crazy return by Williams has forced Perine back into the RB3 ranks with only a receiving role seemingly in his possession outside the occasionally early down rush attempt. I'd keep him on the bench, with his stand-alone role likely not enough to warrant FLEX/RB3 consideration.
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76.
Darren Waller
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
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77.
Zay Flowers
WR - BAL (vs . HOU)
He's a first-round rookie WR with a clear path to targets. He's the only Ravens pass-catcher that hasn't missed significant time this preseason with any injury concerns, so I like him as my highest-ranked Baltimore WR entering Week 1. The best ability is availability... which has not been the case for either of his teammates Odell Beckham Jr. or Rashod Bateman.
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78.
AJ Dillon
RB - GB (at CHI)
Dillon ran wild versus the Bears defense the last time he faced them, going for 93 yards and 1 TD on 18 carries. A heavy dosage of Dillon seems to be the Packers' fancy because earlier in the season he saw the exact same workload of 18 carries (albeit for 61 yards). The 2022 game logs suggest we should expect a healthy dosage of Dillon versus a beatable Bears defensive line, as the Packers offense looks for balance in the post-Aaron Rodgers era. If you are in a pinch at RB2 or FLEX, Dillon is a sneaky start I like a lot for Week 1. His projected workload and red-zone usage in the second half of last season present fantasy managers several different paths to early-season fantasy production.
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79.
Treylon Burks
WR - TEN (at NO)
Before the Titans signed DeAndre Hopkins, Burks was ticketed to be Tennessee's No. 1 receiver. It might be best, however, that Burks is playing with a classic No. 1 like Hop and not being shoehorned into a role that may not suit him. Hopkins' presence allows Burks to do what he does best - operate near the line of scrimmage and run routes designed to get the ball into his hands in easy pitch-and-catch situations, setting him up to raise hell after the catch the way he did at the University of Arkansas. Still, Burks isn't a great percentage play in fantasy this week against a Saints defense that ranked fifth in DVOA against the pass a year ago. He's also been dealing with a knee issue, though he's expected to play. Regard Burks as a low-end WR4.
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80.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI (at NE)
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81.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - NE (vs . PHI)
Hard to say how long JuJu Smith-Schuster will remain the team's WR1, given his doomsday timetable regarding his knee health. But until it goes #kaboom, he should be viewed as the target leader in this offense in Week 1. That gives him fantasy WR4 appeal against the Eagles, who he last faced in the Super Bowl. Smith-Schuster commanded a team-high nine targets (38% target share) for seven receptions and 53 receiving yards.
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82.
Van Jefferson
WR - PIT (vs . SF)
Without Kupp, Van Jefferson projects to slide in as the de-facto No. 1 WR versus the Seattle Seahawks. From Weeks 10-18 without Kupp last season, Jefferson was the WR39 coming off a major injury. But his 14% target rate was abysmal, as Higbee led the team in total targets. Still, Jefferson commanded basically everything downfield, with a 40% air yards share...which ranked 10th among all WRs over that span. How much of Jefferson's actual production that was either injury/QB-related remains to be seen. At least you can bet that Jefferson will be out there running a ton of routes like the locked-and-loaded No. 1 WR with a golden opportunity. He earned 7 targets the last time he faced Seattle, catching three for 61 yards. View him as a top-40 WR for Week 1, with volume likely coming his way. Considering some of the roster holes you might be faced with due to some high-priced fantasy studs being zeroes for Week 1, you could do worse than flexing Jefferson in a full-time role. Just note that Jefferson's probably more of a floor play versus a Seahawks defense that was extremely stingy versus perimeter WRs last season, allowing the fewest fantasy points to WRs aligned outside.
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83.
Elijah Moore
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
It will be interesting to see what sort of chemistry Moore has with Bengals QB Deshaun Watson. Moore couldn't get on the same page with Zach Wilson last year and more or less sulked his way into a trade to Cleveland. As a rookie in 2021, Moore had a six-game stretch where he had 34 catches for 459 yards and 5 touchdowns. Moore has the talent to become a valuable fantasy contributor, but it's easy to understand why his investors would want to see positive signs before plugging him into their starting lineups. Consider Moore a midrange WR with a wide range of outcomes.
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84.
George Kittle
TE - SF (at PIT)
A groin injury has left Kittle's status in question for week 1, so you'll have to monitor his status throughout the week. Kittle has some huge games, so it would be hard to leave him on your bench if he's active. But Kittle's target counts can oscillate wildly, and the injury raises the risk of a dud game if he's able to suit up. Should Kittle miss this game, no San Francisco TE would be worth your consideration.
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85.
Jerick McKinnon
RB - KC (vs . DET)
McKinnon ran hot to close the year in 2022. If you've drafted him, it's for his PPR appeal, but sadly, this isn't a week to consider him in your flex. McKinnon had an 11.7% target share last season while leading the Kansas City backfield with a 43.1% route per dropback rate. He was 15th in yards per route run with a 23% target per route run rate. Detroit shut down backs in the passing game last season, allowing the second-fewest receptions and the lowest receiving yards to the position. They were also 17th in yards per reception while surrendering zero receiving touchdowns. McKinnon is a desperation flex play in PPR formats.
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86.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - LV (at DEN)
Meyers ranks 26th in targets and 24th in target share (21.4%) over the last two seasons. He inked a 3-year deal with the Raiders this offseason, reuniting him with his former Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. He joins a Las Vegas offense filled with playmakers, including Josh Jacobs, Davante Adams, and Hunter Renfrow. And that offense will be led by ex-Patriots and 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. And that's where things could be problematic for Meyers, who has been the target hog in a lackluster Patriots offense over the last two seasons. It's hard to envision Meyers commanding a 23% target share (a mark he has reached the last two seasons) with Adams' alpha presence in the offense, along with Renfrow chipping in. However, the Waller trade suggests Meyers could still end up as the clear-cut No. 2 - which is a pretty enticing role. I'd imagine Meyers still plays primarily on the outside, with Renfrow operating from the slot in 11 personnel, which means Meyers won't leave the field (as he did in the preseason). That makes Meyers a fringy WR4 option in Week 1 with him most likely taking over the Mack Hollins role. Hollins finished 10th in routes run per dropback (93%) and commanded 1,153 air yards as the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver in the Raiders offense last season. He finished last season as WR41 in half-point scoring, which seems like a nice floor projection for Meyers's season-long numbers. There's more competition in the offense for targets, but Meyers is the superior talent after averaging nearly 2.0 yards per route run in 2022. The Surtain-Adams matchup could also force targets toward Meyers in Week 1, as it did for Hollins the last time LV played the Broncos. Hollins commanded nine targets for 6 catches and 52 yards in that Week 11 contest.
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87.
Nico Collins
WR - HOU (at BAL)
Collins is WR1 in Houston and he owns a juicy matchup on deck vs. the Ravens' banged-up secondary in Week 1. With C.J. Stroud under center: Collins has posted a 35% target share this preseason. Considering the Ravens' lack of pass rush, I think Stroud will have enough time to deliver the ball to Collins in full-blown comeback mode versus sub-par cornerbacks. Low-end WR4/FLEX option in Week 1.
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88.
Tyler Higbee
TE - LAR (at SEA)
Higbee could stumble into a ton of production in Week 1. The Rams tight end finished 7th in route participation (71%) through 17 weeks last season, posting a 21% target share (4th) and 24% target rate per route run (3rd) among TEs with 80 targets. He finished 9th in PPR points per game (9.04). Higbee could easily emerge as the No. 2 target on the offense, and he could easily see his target share skyrocket should Kupp miss any time with his hamstring injury. Start him as back-end fantasy TE1. Seattle has ranked inside the bottom-five in points allowed to tight ends over the last two seasons.
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89.
Kyle Pitts
TE - ATL (vs . CAR)
After a disappointing, injury-marred 2022 campaign, will Pitts live up to his vast fantasy potential in 2023? Two seasons ago, Pitts became the first rookie tight end to record a 1,000-yard season since Mike Ditka did it 60 years earlier. Pitts had only 28-356-2 in 10 games last year before a torn MCL ended his season. While he was healthy, he was plagued by an extraordinarily high percentage of uncatchable throws from Marcus Mariota. Pitts is a midrange TE1 with the potential to ascend to the top of the position. Don't leave him out of your lineup.
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90.
Rashod Bateman
WR - BAL (vs . HOU)
Before I can click the button on Bateman, I need to see that he is fully healthy with zero limitations. The Texans have an underrated secondary - 15th in defensive EPA/dropback on defense in 2022 - and that makes me lean toward sitting non-Flowers Ravens WRs in Week 1. Very much want to see how the targets are distributed with the starting offense playing a full allotment of snaps.
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91.
Kadarius Toney
WR - KC (vs . DET)
Andy Reid has declared Toney good to go for Week 1. Color me skeptical about that. In ten games last year with Kansas City (including the playoffs), Toney was an efficiency darling and target-per-route run king. He had 2.60 yards per route run and a ridiculous 29.4% TPRR. Those are beautiful numbers in a bubble. When you also add in the context that he surpassed 32% of the snaps played once, Toney's scintillating efficiency stats get a heavy dose of cold water. If Toney plays Week 1, it's likely on a strict snap count, so you're praying he runs hot with targets on limited usage and scores a touchdown. Both of those things could happen, but that's asking a lot.
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92.
Evan Engram
TE - JAC (at IND)
After establishing new career highs in catches (73) and receiving yards (766) last season, Engram was franchise-tagged by the Jaguars, but the team then worked out a three-year deal with the six-year veteran, who just turned 29. Engram showed how good he can be last year, but it might be hard for him to replicate his 2023 numbers now that the Jaguars have added WR Calvin Ridley, a potential target hog. Engram should be regarded as a lower-end TE1.
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93.
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
The Texans boast a myriad of talented cornerbacks from Steven Nelson, Tavierre Thomas, Derek Stingley and Shaquill Griffin. So again, the individual WR matchups for the Ravens WRs I do not love. However, if I were to bet on a one finding the end zone, it would probably be OBJ, given his red-zone prowess the last time we saw him healthy with the LA Rams. Still, I'd rather just leave him on my bench as I anxiously await the target distribution in the Ravens' new-look offense.
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94.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (vs . CIN)
Njoku had 58-628-4 receiving last year in only 14 games, and this weekend he'll face a Bengals defense that lost both of its starting safeties from last year, Jessie Bates and Vonn Bell. Njoku profiles as a midrange to low-end tight end for Week 1 and probably belongs in your lineup.
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95.
Allen Lazard
WR - NYJ (vs . BUF)
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96.
Romeo Doubs
WR - GB (at CHI)
Doubs is dealing with a hamstring injury, which puts his status for Week 1 in doubt. Lower body injuries are also tricky to address, especially with their high rate of recurring during play. Not worth the risk even if he's deemed healthy enough to play in Week 1. The expectation is that he is going to play, but I'd much rather take a shot on one or two GB rookies instead.
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97.
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
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98.
Adam Thielen
WR - CAR (at ATL)
Yes, Thielen turned 33 last month, and his efficiency numbers have been trending in the wrong direction for years. But is it crazy to think that a rookie quarterback making his NFL debut might lean heavily on a veteran receiver known for his precise route running and red-zone prowess? The problem is that Thielen is dealing with an ankle injury that had him limited in practice this week. If he's able to go on Sunday, Thielen could be a sneaky flex play against a Falcons defense that ranked 31st in DVOA vs. the pass a year ago.
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99.
Pat Freiermuth
TE - PIT (vs . SF)
After catching 60 passes for 497 yards as a rookie, Freiermuth had 63 receptions for 732 yards last year. His average depth of target went from 5.3 yards in 2021 to 8.3 yards in 2022, and his yards per target jumped from 6.3 to 7.5. Although the trends are positive, Freiermuth is no better than a low-end TE this week vs. a 49ers defense that gave up the sixth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends last season.
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100.
Zay Jones
WR - JAC (at IND)
Jones was a pleasant surprise last season, finishing with career-best 82-823-5 receiving numbers. Calvin Ridley is sure to cut into Jones' target totals, but Jones will still be a fixture in three-receiver sets. He even played with Ridley in two-receiver sets during the preseason. The trouble is, with Ridley, Jones, Christian Kirk and TE Evan Engram all sharing targets, Jones' week-to-week productivity could be wildly unpredictable, and the lows could be unpalatable. He's a low-end WR4 for Week 1.
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101.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
As we get closer to Week 1, we should know more about JSN's injury and availability. But after suffering a wrist injury in the preseason, Pete Carroll has been curiously optimistic about JSN's status saying he will play in Week 1. It's shocking given the intial diagnosis of 1-2 weeks missed, but you can really never rely on Petey Sunshine for accurate injury information. View JSN as a boom-or-bust WR3, that I am okay with starting if you drafted him as a starter before his ADP dipped out of starter range due to the injury scare.
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102.
Deon Jackson
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
With Jonathan Taylor on the PUP list and Zack Moss out for Week 1, Jackson has a decent chance to see double-digit touches in Week 1. In two NFL seasons, Jackson has just 81-267-2 rushing and 30-209-1 receiving. The Duke product never had a 1,000-yard rushing season in college, so there's probably not star potential here. But RB value is often more about opportunity than talent, and Jackson has a good chance to see 12-15 touches in Week 1. Consider Jackson a midrange RB4 with upside.
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103.
Jayden Reed
WR - GB (at CHI)
I'd much rather take advantage of Watson's injury by stashing or even starting Jayden Reed. The second-round rookie WR was the slot starter in 11 personnel with the Packers during the preseason Reed checks off all the boxes of a Day 3 sleeper WR, but the Green Bay Packers couldn't wait until Day 3 draft him in the 2023 NFL Draft. They selected Reed 50th overall. Expect the Michigan State product to step in and be the immediate No. 2 WR. He broke out at an early age, at 18 years old while playing alongside NFL talent at Western Michigan. In 2021, Reed blew up as a junior, with 1,026 yards and ten receiving touchdowns en route to a career-high 34% dominator rating. His 23-year-old age isn't ideal, but his experience might just help him hit the ground running sooner rather than later, especially considering that Reed flashed ability as a downfield threat with a top-5 deep target rate (29%) in his draft class in 2022. Make sure he's not hanging out on any waiver wires. Could be in line for a big Week 1.
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104.
Tyler Boyd
WR - CIN (at CLE)
A high-quality slot receiver, Boyd has averaged 74 catches and 901 receiving yards over his last five seasons. The numbers have been trending slightly downward in recent years, due largely to the presence of teammates Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, exceptional talents who command a lot of targets. The problem with Boyd for fantasy is that it's hard to know when to use him. He's had some big games even when both Chase and Higgins have been healthy, but there are also games where Boyd is the forgotten man in the Cincinnati offense. Since it's Week 1 and fantasy managers aren't dealing with byes or a large number of injuries left, Boyd will most likely be left on benches in Week 1.
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105.
Zach Charbonnet
RB - SEA (vs . LAR)
Charbonnet posted the 5th-highest PFF receiving grade and tied for first in receptions per game (3.7) among his 2023 running back draft class. The former UCLA running back also finished with the highest positive run rate (57%) and lowest bust rate (4%) among drafted running backs. The rookie Seahawk can't deliver explosive rushes like Walker, but he can be trusted to hit doubles as a rusher and receiver consistently. He caught all four of his targets for 21 yards during the preseason. That's concerning for those hoping Walker was stepping into a legitimate three-down role this season, which was very appealing about his fantasy profile last year. I'd expect Charbonnet to get some solid run at points versus the Rams, but not to the extent that he should be started in most formats. We still don't know if he owns the receiving role with DeeJay Dallas seeing reps as the receiving back in the preseason. And it remains to be seen who Seattle will give the ball to when they enter the goal line. Keep the second rounder on your bench for Week 1, but don't be shocked to see him rise in the Week 2 rankings if he sees favorable usage.
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106.
Darnell Mooney
WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
At this time last season, Mooney was penciled as the WR1 in the Bears offense. And although he ranked 12th in air yards share (37%) and 15th in target share (27%) in his 11 healthy games played, it was not enough to vault him to fantasy production in an anemic offense. If anything the concentrated usage suggests Moore will be clearly favored over every other Bears receiver. Until we see Mooney manage to carve out targets alongside Moore, he needs to stay on fantasy benches. He has not topped 45 yards in his last three games versus the Packers defense.
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107.
Curtis Samuel
WR - BUF (at NYJ)
Samuel is a super-talented slot WR that fits the new scheme very well. He can make plays after the catch, and I fully expect him to see a decent chunk of volume/targets in Week 1, especially if McLaurin is limited. If you are in a pinch for a FLEX or WR3, add Samuel off waivers and plug him into your lineup. He likely won't give you a massive ceiling outcome, but he can give you a handful of points if you don't have any alternatives. Keep in mind that last season, Samuel was second on the team in catches, third in overall touches and first in catch rate (70%). He's the perfect safety option for his quarterback making his second regular-season start.
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108.
Juwan Johnson
TE - NO (vs . TEN)
On one hand, Johnson gets a great matchup against a Titans defense that was bashed by TEs last season to the tune of 98 catches, 1,130 yards and 6 touchdowns. Only four teams allowed more fantasy points to tight ends in 2022 than the Titans did. On the other hand, Johnson's fantasy value has been more about touchdowns than catch volume, and it's unlikely that Johnson will ramp up the volume with Saints WR Michael Thomas healthy. Consider Johnson a midrange TE2 this week.
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109.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
WR - DET (at KC)
DPJ had a career-best 61 catches for 839 yards and three touchdowns last season, but he wasn't an impactful fantasy asset. It's hard to see People-Jones becoming impactful now that the Browns have added Elijah Moore. For now, DPJ is merely a depth piece for fantasy managers.
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110.
Michael Gallup
WR - FA (BYE)
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111.
Tyler Allgeier
RB - ATL (vs . CAR)
As run-heavy as the Falcons can be under head coach Arthur Smith, it's possible that Allgeier could have standalone value even with rookie Bijan Robinson taking over as Atlanta's lead back. Allgeier, a surprise 1,000-yard rusher last season as a rookie, could get 10-15 carries against the Panthers if the game script cooperates. But he could also yield to Bijan and get 4-6 carries. He's off the radar for fantasy this week in all but the largest of leagues.
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112.
Jonathan Mingo
WR - CAR (at ATL)
A second-round rookie with good size (6-1, 226) and speed (4.46), Mingo is an intriguing sleeper for 2023. It's encouraging that Mingo ran a route on 29 of Bryce Young's 31 preseason dropbacks. That sort of involvement bodes well for Mingo's Year 1 production. With Adam Thielen dealing with an ankle injury and D.J. Chark out, Mingo could be a flex option in deeper leagues this week as a low-end WR4.
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113.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - FA (BYE)
At this juncture, we know who Valdes-Scantling is. He's a drop-prone (18th-most) field stretcher. Valdes-Scantling had a 13.3% target share last year, ranking seventh in aDOT and 14th in deep targets among receivers. He had the seventh-highest passer rating while sitting at 21st in YPRR when targeted 20+ yards downfield (minimum ten deep targets). With Detroit remaking their corner room, their 2022 stats against deep passing could be a tad noisy as they allowed the fourth-highest completion rate and second-most deep passing yards. I'm sorry if you're stuck plugging in Valdes-Scantling in Week 1. He could surprise with a long touchdown. He'll run about 60% of his routes against Sutton and Jacobs as a WR5/6.
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114.
Jaylen Warren
RB - PIT (vs . SF)
Although he was far more efficient than Najee Harris last season in terms of yards per carry and yards per target, to conclude that Warren is the better back would be submitting to the fallacy of small sample sizes. Warren is talented, but it would be a leap of faith to conclude that he's better than Najee. Still, Warren may have earned himself a bigger role this season. That role won't be big enough to justify starting Warren this week against a lights-out 49ers run defense, but Warren is a player to watch closely early in the season.
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115.
Gerald Everett
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
Everett has been my favorite sleeper tight end to select this season, and I feel great about thrusting him into my starting lineup with offensive fireworks likely on deck versus the Miami Dolphins. He should occupy the Dalton Schultz role in Kellen Moore's offense, which should lead to plenty of routes/snaps for Everett to create fantasy production. Denver's defense under Fangio was extremely stingy in the red zone - first in red-zone scoring defense from 2020-2021 - so it might be more of a floor performance than a ceiling game if Everett can't find the end zone. Luckily for him, the Dolphins were horrible versus tight ends in 2022 (3rd-most points allowed) and there has not been a dramatic personnel change along the safety or linebacker positions that would suggest they will start to completely nullify tight end production in 2023. David Long is much more of a run defending linebacker as is DeShon Elliott at the safety position. Everett posted a 5-28-0 stat line on 8 targets in his lone matchup versus the Dolphins in Week 14 of the 2022 season.
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116.
Chigoziem Okonkwo
TE - TEN (at NO)
The Saints were stingy to opposing TEs last year, allowing a league-low 58 catches and 509 receiving yards to the position. Okonkwo is an intriguing young player, but leave him on ice this week in a tough matchup.
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117.
Dalton Schultz
TE - HOU (at BAL)
Schultz is the quintessential definition of a floor play at tight end. He will likely see plenty of volume running the majority of routes among Houston's tight ends. But the fact that he was constantly subbed out in red zone packages during the preseason, shy me away from his upside, especially with almost zero YAC to work with. To add more concerns, the Ravens' strengths are at linebacker and safety between Kyle Hamilton, Marcus Williams, Patrick Queen and Roquan Smith. Considering those will be Schultz's matchups in most coverage looks, I don't LOVE his chances of having a super productive game. Low-end fantasy TE1 option for Week 1.
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118.
Rondale Moore
WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
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119.
Isaiah Likely
TE - BAL (vs . HOU)
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120.
Sam LaPorta
TE - DET (at KC)
Sammy Ballgame could have people deleting their "rookie tight ends never produce" tweets immediately in Week 1. Ballgame was a beast in college, ranking seventh in yards per route run and sixth in receiving grade in his final collegiate season. He lined up in the slot or out wide on 50.6% of his snaps, which makes him a perfect fit for T.J. Hockenson's old role. Last year with the Lions, Hockenson spent 54.5% of his snaps in the slot or as a perimeter wide receiver. Ballgame is a monster after the catch, ranking third in YAC and second in missed tackles forced last year among tight ends. Ballgame should have a field day against a defense with the 13th-highest missed tackles allowed rate last year while also giving up the tenth-highest yards per reception and MOST fantasy points in the NFL to slot tight ends. LaPorta is a TE2 that could post strong TE1 numbers in Week 1.
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121.
Kenneth Gainwell
RB - PHI (at NE)
See: D'Andre Swift. This backfield is going to be frustrating all season if everyone stays healthy. The Eagles love Gainwell, but they also know what he is: solid and reliable if not spectacular. He hits the holes that are there and is reliable as a pass catcher, but he isn't necessarily explosive. He's valuable, and he started to take snaps and touches away from Miles Sanders late last season, but he doesn't scream "RB1." He's going to have a role in this offense, but he doesn't offer the weekly ceiling that fantasy managers want or need.
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122.
K.J. Osborn
WR - NE (vs . PHI)
Will the arrival of Jordan Addison marginalize Osborn? Maybe not, but Addison could drain what little fantasy value Osborn has. Don't use Osborn against the Buccaneers this week.
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123.
Isaiah Hodgins
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
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124.
Damien Harris
RB - FA (BYE)
The ex-Patriot will get touches, but he might not be fantasy-relevant if the Bills are committed to using James Cook as their lead back. Harris had 15 touchdown runs in 2021, but even if he ends up as Buffalo's designated goal-line back, it's hard to imagine Harris scoring double-digit touchdowns when Bills QB Josh Allen is so fond of calling his own number when the Bills are close to the end zone. Fade Harris until we see how his role evolves.
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125.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
Kmet should see a favorable route-running role in the Bears' offense, but the additional bodies at tight end such as Robert Tonyan and WRs added to the offense create doubt on how effective he will be on a weekly basis. Despite posting the league's highest route participation (84 percent) last season, he posted a horrible 16 percent target rate - identical to Foster Moreau. He also caught five red-zone touchdowns, despite just nine red-zone targets - a mark that ranked outside the top-15 at the position. All in all, Kmet finished as a top-12 tight end in just 25 percent of his games played (22nd). Kmet is going to remain a TD-or-bust tight end unless we see him really separate from the other pass-catchers in Chicago's offense. Given he has surpassed 50 receiving yards once versus the Packers in his last four games with zero TDs, I am not optimistic this is a spot to start him.
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126.
Elijah Mitchell
RB - SF (at PIT)
Will Mitchell have stand-alone fantasy value with Christian McCaffrey around? We don't have a lot of information to go on, since injuries limited Mitchell to five games last season. McCaffrey was around for four of those games, and Mitchell averaged 9.8 carries, 59.5 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns per game after CMC's arrival. Mitchell doesn't catch many passes, and McCaffrey's presence puts a lid on Mitchell's rushing volume. Mitchell might be flex-worthy in deep leagues once byes and injuries start to hit fantasy managers hard. But for now, keep Mitchell on your bench.
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127.
Alec Pierce
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
A vertical receiver like Pierce should mesh well with a rocket-armed quarterback like Anthony Richardson. But while Richardson gets accustomed to facing NFL defenses, connections between Richardson and Pierce could be more infrequent than we'd like. Keep Pierce on ice until we see him establish chemistry with the rookie QB.
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128.
Dalton Kincaid
TE - BUF (at NYJ)
A first-round pick out of Utah, Kincaid is a talented pass catcher who could cause matchup nightmares for opposing defenses. There have been 25 tight ends drafted in the first round since 2000. Only four of them finished in TE1 range in fantasy scoring as rookies - Kyle Pitts, Evan Engram, Jeremy Shockey and Heath Miller. Kincaid could be the rare first-round TE who makes a fantasy splash in Year 1, but I wouldn;t be eager to use him in Week 1, especially not against a tough Jets defense.
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129.
Quentin Johnston
WR - LAC (vs . MIA)
All indications are that QJ is the No. 4 WR on the depth chart behind Joshua Palmer. Will that be the case all season? Probably not. But for Week 1, leave the first-rounder on the bench with him likely not accumulating enough snaps/routes for any worthwhile fantasy production.
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130.
Greg Dulcich
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
The time is now to fade Greg Dulcich. The new coaching staff has no allegiance to him as the TE1 on the roster. During the team's first preseason game, Dulcich only ran a route on 50% of Russell Wilson's dropbacks. He was also out-snapped 10 vs 15 and out-targeted (0 vs. 3) by Adam Trautman (who was brought over from New Orleans). There are MUCH better tight ends to play in Week 1 with full-time roles. Stay away from Dulcich until he shows a usable role in Denver's offense.
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131.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - NE (vs . PHI)
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132.
Rashid Shaheed
WR - NO (vs . TEN)
This former undrafted free agent from Weber State was wildly efficient in his first NFL season, averaging 14.4 yards per target and 2.59 yards per route run. Unfortunately, Shaheed isn't likely to see a lot of targets as long as Chris Olave and Michael Thomas are both healthy. Leave Shaheed on your bench.
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133.
Tank Bigsby
RB - JAC (at IND)
As noted above, Bigsby enjoyed a strong preseason, rushing 28 times for 159 yards. The 6-0, 213-pound Bigsby could earn goal-line touches and change-of-pace carries, but until we know more about his role, it's probably best to leave him out of lineups.
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134.
Jake Ferguson
TE - DAL (at NYG)
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135.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
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136.
Hayden Hurst
TE - LAC (vs . MIA)
Hurst has noted that tight ends are often a quarterback's best friend, and he has volunteered to get chummy with rookie QB Bryce Young. Hurst faces a Falcons defense that gave up the third-most fantasy points to tight ends last year, so this is a good spot for the veteran tight end. He won't get a lot of love from fantasy managers, but Hurst is a viable option this week and an interesting contrarian choice in DFS tourneys.
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137.
Hunter Renfrow
WR - FA (BYE)
Renfrow is this year's Curtis Samuel. Everybody is just going to completely forget that Renfrow leveraged his savvy route-running to a 111-1096-9 stat line in 2021 because he was never healthy at any point in 2022. Don't be that person who overlooks Renfrow. He showed in Week 18 that he still has "it" going a perfect 7-for-7 for a season-high 63 yards and 1 TD. We still don't know what his role will be with Meyers added to the offense, so he cannot be started in Week 1. But if he sees great usage from the slot (that's what I am projecting) look out for him on the Week 2 waiver wire.
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138.
Joshua Palmer
WR - LAC (vs . MIA)
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139.
Luke Musgrave
TE - GB (at CHI)
Packers TE Luke Musgrave is the clear-cut TE1 in Green Bay with an elite role. He ran a route on 100% of Jordan Love dropbacks in Week 2 of the preseason, indicating his status as a full-time player. Running enough routes is critical in finding breakout TEs, and Musgrave's role and impressive college production profile suggest he is on the cusp of immediate impact. Stash him if he's on waivers and start him if you need a Week 1 flier. He's also the perfect punt tight end on DraftKings, egregiously priced at $2,900. Better yet, no Watson should create more opportunities for Musgrave to produce.
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140.
Hunter Henry
TE - NE (vs . PHI)
If there's any non-Stevenson Patriots player, I'd feel okay about starting in Week 1, it would be Hunter Henry. He is the clear TE1 for the Patriots with Mike Gesicki missing time due to a shoulder injury. Henry is by far Jones' preferred red-zone target, and one receiving TD is enough to vault any tight end into TE1 territory. Henry has been with the Patriots through the entire Mac Jones era, and the two have consistently flashed their chemistry through training camp. Considering Henry has been Jones' favorite RZ target over the past two seasons, he has a TD upside in half-PPR scoring formats. The Patriots tight end should maintain a full-time role after running a route on 70% of dropbacks over the last two seasons (11th).
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141.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - KC (vs . DET)
Three years into Irv Smith Jr.'s career, we have no real idea of how good he can be. The former second-round draft pick has lost 13 games to injury over the last two years. But Smith just turned 25 and is in a great situation as the starting tight end in an offense triggered by QB Joe Burrow. It might be best to wait at least a week before plugging Smith into your lineup, however, as he opens the season against a Browns defense that allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to tight ends in 2022.
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142.
Gus Edwards
RB - LAC (vs . MIA)
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143.
Devin Singletary
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
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144.
Robert Woods
WR - HOU (at BAL)
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145.
Parris Campbell
WR - PHI (at NE)
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146.
Chuba Hubbard
RB - CAR (at ATL)
It's possible Hubbard gets a significant number of snaps this week if the Panthers decide to keep Miles Sanders' role limited following his return from a groin injury. It's also possible Hubbard will have some standalone value if this is more of a split backfield than most fantasy managers are suspecting. But for Week 1, Hubbard is little more than a contrarian play for DFS tournaments.
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147.
Noah Fant
TE - SEA (vs . LAR)
The Seattle Seahawks are operating with a dreaded tight end by committee with Fant, Will Dissly and Colby Parkinson all mixed in the fold with the team's starting offense during the preseason games. Fant has the most upside of the bunch based on his receiving and athletic profile, but you're just praying for a TD or massive run after the catch score. Two games versus the Rams last season, Fant averaged four receptions for 31 yards. He won't score zero points but won't be useful unless he scores. All Fant's four touchdowns last season came on targets inside the 10-yard line. Avoid the Seattle tight end room.
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148.
Taysom Hill
TE - NO (vs . TEN)
Is Hill TE-eligible in your league? He might not be now that the NFL lists him as a quarterback rather than as a tight end. Regardless, Hill is a boom-or-bust fantasy option who finished TE9 in PPR fantasy scoring last season. There might not be as many boom games now that the Saints have stabilized the QB position with Derek Carr, who's likely to come off the field less often for Hill's wildcat gadgetry than Anday Dalton did last year. Fade Hill in Week 1.
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149.
Evan Hull
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
The rookie from Northwestern was a prolific pass catcher in college. However, mobile quarterbacks tend not to check down to their running backs as often as pocket passers, and Colts QB Anthony Richardson is extremely mobile. But Hull is a capable runner, too, and if Colts head coach elects to be run-heavy to make life easier for Richardson - as Steichen did two years ago when he was the Eagles' offensive coordinator in Jalen Hurts' first year as a starter - Hull could get a significant number of early-season carries in what figures to be an RB-by-committee. Still, it's probably best to keep Hull on your bench this week.
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150.
Mike Gesicki
TE - CIN (at CLE)
If he didn't miss so much time in camp, I'd feel much better about Gesicki. But given questionable health and currently unknown role on offense. The ex-Dolphins tight end is just a wait and see proposition, that should remain on waiver wires until further notice.
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151.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB - KC (vs . DET)
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152.
Tyler Conklin
TE - NYJ (vs . BUF)
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153.
Josh Reynolds
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
Even in the deepest of formats, Reynolds is barely even on the flex radar. He finished outside the top 80 receivers last season in target share (12.1%, 81st) and target per route run rate (16.4%, 84th). If you're touchdown hunting in those deep leagues, though, he isn't the worst target to plug in. In the eight games he played at least 70% of the snaps, Reynolds saw ten red zone targets from Goff. The Chiefs gave up the third-most receiving touchdowns to wide receivers last year. Reynolds will run about 63% of his routes against Jaylen Watson (65.9% catch rate, 93.4 passer rating allowed in 2022) and L'Jarius Sneed (70.5% catch rate, 91.6 passer rating allowed in 2022).
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154.
Cade Otton
TE - TB (at MIN)
He showed signs of competence as a rookie, but Otton topped 40 receiving yards in only three of his 16 games. Pass.
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155.
Puka Nacua
WR - LAR (at SEA)
Nacua has been a fun toy for Sean McVay during the offseason, with reports of the team giving him an immediate role in the wake of Kupp's injury. Makes sense, considering FantasyPros' own Thor Nystrom coined Nacua as "Discount Deebo" in his final draft player comps. I also liked Nacua's profile coming out of college and felt like his 5th-round draft capital did not match his production. The 6-foot-2 and 201-pound wideout ended the 2021 season as a junior sixth in yards per route run behind future NFL WRs like Treylon Burks, Wan'Dale Robinson, and Drake London. And like London, Nacua operated primarily on the outside with a 78 percent perimeter alignment. Nacua finished his BYU tenure strong as PFF's second highest-graded WR in the nation (90.1) due to his impressive efficiency on a per route run basis. He was targeted on 38 percent of his routes in 2022 and posted the second-highest targets above expectation in his class per Sports Info Solutions. On a depth chart with zero certified studs after Cooper Kupp - Van Jefferson, Ben Skowronek, Tutu Atwell, Demarcus Robinson - I'm not shocked he has impressed enough to earn a Day 1 role with his versatility. However, becoming an immediate "contributor' does not mean he is destined for immediate fantasy football success from the get-go. Again, he's still probably the third option on offense that might struggle to move the ball without Kupp. Keep him stashed on your bench to see how Week 1 shakes out first, before thrusting him into any lineups. The Athletic's Jourdan Rodrigue expects Nacua/Atwell to essentially split WR3 duties when Kupp is healthy, as they will both be used more situationally than anything else.
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156.
Chase Claypool
WR - MIA (at LAC)
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157.
Trey McBride
TE - ARI (at WAS)
Should Zach Ertz not be available, that would tee up McBride to be the Cardinals' clear-cut TE1 for Week 1. McBride was the TE11 from Weeks 14-18 as his role expanded due to injuries on the Cardinals roster. His major highlight came against the Falcons in Week 17, where he caught 7 balls for 78 yards and 1 TD on ten targets with Marquise Brown active in the lineup. That earned him a top-3 weekly fantasy finish, making him one of just 23 unique tight ends to do so. His decorated college profile - 1,125 receiving yards and 30% target rate per route run in 2021 - suggests he can post points with a starting role. It's not crazy to think he could be the No. 2 pass-catcher on this offense in 2023. But let's see how things shake out first in Week 1 with a total unknown at quarterback.
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158.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (at NYJ)
One of the less interesting offseason debates in the fantasy community was whether Dawson Knox would maintain fantasy relevance in 2023 after Buffalo's drafting of first-round TE Dalton Kincaid. Knox likely hit his fantasy peak in 2021, when he finished TE11 in PPR fantasy scoring, mostly on the strength of his nine touchdowns. Knox averaged 4.7 targets a game that season. Even though that's a modest number, it's hard to imagine Knox coming close to it with Kincaid around. Knox shouldn't be anywhere near your starting lineup this week.
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159.
Jalin Hyatt
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
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160.
Roschon Johnson
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
Don't get cute looking to start Roschon Johnson in Week 1. It seems like he has earned a role on the starting offense in third/receiving downs, but that role may not offer enough for fantasy football purposes. Keep in mind, Fields is a running quarterback, and he is less likely to check the ball down to his RB. Only the Eagles threw fewer passes to RBs last season than the Bears. Leave RJ on the bench and keep tabs on how his role grows as the season progresses.
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161.
Tyjae Spears
RB - TEN (at NO)
The rookie from Tulane probably won't have any standalone value as long as Derrick Henry is healthy, but Spears is one of the most valuable handcuffs in fantasy, and he might get some change-of-pace usage. If Spears isn't rostered in your league, be prepared to pounce should anything happen to King Henry.
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162.
Josh Downs
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
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163.
Michael Mayer
TE - LV (at DEN)
Like Dulcich, Mayer saw discouraging usage in the preseason by splitting snaps with veteran tight end Austin Hooper. It's problematic with three decent WRs atop the depth chart for Meyer to have a major role in Year 1, let alone in Week 1 of the 2023 season.
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164.
Tank Dell
WR - HOU (at BAL)
It's still unclear where Dell sits on the Texans depth chart with Robert Woods and Noah Brown seeing plenty of snaps with the starters during the preseason. It's just a matter of time until Dell usurps those players, but I doubt we see it off the bat in Week 1.
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165.
D'Onta Foreman
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
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166.
Marvin Jones Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
Jones isn't a spring chicken, and it showed last year as he limped to a WR69 (nice
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167.
Logan Thomas
TE - FA (BYE)
Logan Thomas has missed a lot of time this preseason period dealing with a nagging calf injury, but he is believed to be back to full health in preparation of Week 1. We know that he will have a featured role on the offense given Bieniemy's experience with tight ends in his days spent in Kansas City. If healthy, LT could surprise in a big way as soon as Week 1. Recall that he finished 4th at the position in 2020 and was 10th in points per game in 2021. And the matchup versus a Jonathan Gannon-led defense could prove very favorable. Gannon's defense was very strong in Philadelphia over the last two years, but linebacker depth was always a serious question mark. Kyzir White came over from the Eagles this offseason, but the team traded Isaiah Simmons for a seventh-round pick. White is not a difference maker in coverage which lends itself to Thomas finding production in Week 1. Gannon's Eagles in 2021 were the second-worst team versus tight ends in fantasy points allowed.
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168.
Kyren Williams
RB - LAR (at SEA)
Seattle's defense has traditionally been leaky toward defending RBs in the passing game. Last year, they were a bottom-10 unit defending RBs in terms of receptions, targets and receiving yards. If Kyren Williams truly owns the "receiving back role" that has been suggested throughout the offseason, it's entirely possible he racks up several receptions should the Rams fall behind. Makes him an interesting flier in deep PPR formats, but I'd rather see it first before thrusting him into a lineup based on a projected role and game script - both of which are no guarantees. Williams also lacks the requisite athleticism to create chunk plays on his own, so his fantasy value will be solely dependent on the amount of receiving volume he sees. Worth stashing if you have an extra bench spot.
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169.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - NE (vs . PHI)
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170.
Joshua Kelley
RB - LAC (vs . MIA)
It's possible we see more of a 1-2 split with Kellen Moore inserted as the new offensive play caller, but I wouldn't bet a Week 1 Flex spot on it. Keep Kelley stashed as a high-end handcuff in case Ekeler suffers an injury. The former UCLA product has been a great fit in Moore's downhill running scheme and did enough during the preseason to get the initial No.2 nod over second-year RB Isaiah Spiller.
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171.
Rashee Rice
WR - KC (vs . DET)
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172.
Michael Wilson
WR - ARI (at WAS)
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173.
Jerome Ford
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
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174.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
WR - KC (vs . DET)
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175.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
WR - CAR (at ATL)
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176.
Ty Chandler
RB - MIN (vs . TB)
The fleet-footed Chandler appears to have earned the Vikings' No. 2 RB job. He didn't have an illustrious college career, but Chandler did run for more than 1,000 yards as a fifth-year senior at North Carolina. Speed is Chandler's calling card, as he clocked a 4.38 at the NFL Scouting Combine. We'll need a prove-it game before regarding Chandler as fantasy viable, but at least he's positioned to give us one.
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177.
Allen Robinson II
WR - FA (BYE)
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178.
Tutu Atwell
WR - LAR (at SEA)
Atwell was thrust into a larger role in 2022 and was halfway decent in a horrible situation. He finished the season 28th in expected yards per route run (1.85). However, from Week 12 onward when he started playing a full allotment of snaps, he still ranked outside the top 60 overall among WRs. He should be the favorite to take over snaps in the slot, which gives him a decent matchup inside. Desperation dart-throw that should see a solid target share (18% from Weeks 13-18, superior to Jefferson), but he's not accompanied by a ton of upside.
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179.
Richie James Jr.
WR - KC (vs . DET)
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180.
Sean Tucker
RB - TB (at MIN)
It's too early to consider using Tucker, an undrafted free agent from Syracuse. But Tucker has apparently won the No. 2 RB job behind starter Rachaad White, and it will be interesting to see how the Buccaneers use the rookie. Tucker almost certainly would have been drafted if not for a heart condition that was detected during a predraft workout. But the condition is said to be manageable, and Tucker has a chance to establish himself as a useful fantasy asset.
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181.
Deuce Vaughn
RB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
182.
Noah Gray
TE - KC (vs . DET)
Avoid Noah Gray. If Kelce sits, I wouldn't be picking up Gray with the idea of starting him. Even in limited action, Gray has not been an impressive player, with a career 0.78 yards per route run and 10.2% TPRR. If you need a streaming tight end, look for Juwan Johnson, Gerald Everett, or Logan Thomas (if you're exceptionally desperate) on the waiver wire. Each player is below 45% rostered in Yahoo leagues and has a strong to exceptional matchup for Week 1.
|
|
183.
Zamir White
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
184.
Mack Hollins
WR - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
185.
Salvon Ahmed
RB - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
186.
Austin Hooper
TE - NE (vs . PHI)
|
|
187.
Michael Carter
RB - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
188.
Chase Edmonds
RB - TB (at MIN)
|
|
189.
Keaontay Ingram
RB - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
190.
Chris Evans
RB - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
191.
Latavius Murray
RB - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
192.
Deonte Harty
WR - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
193.
Quez Watkins
WR - PIT (vs . SF)
Watkins disappointed in 2022 and, despite reportedly winning the No. 3 WR job in training camp, is likely to split time with the newly acquired Olamide Zaccheaus this season. He's a GPP DFS dart throw given his big play ability, but he isn't someone you should be relying on.
|
|
194.
Randall Cobb
WR - NYJ (vs . BUF)
|
|
195.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR - TEN (at NO)
|
|
196.
Matt Breida
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
Breida is a handcuff to Barkley and nothing more. And he may not even be a valuable handcuff because in the event of an injury to Barkley, he'll likely split time with (and possibly even take a back seat to) rookie Eric Gray.
|
|
197.
Ben Skowronek
WR - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
198.
Rico Dowdle
RB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
199.
Greg Dortch
WR - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
200.
Khalil Shakir
WR - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
|
201.
Justyn Ross
WR - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
|
202.
Cedric Tillman
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
203.
Sterling Shepard
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
204.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
205.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
206.
Kayshon Boutte
WR - NE (vs . PHI)
|
|
207.
Isaiah Spiller
RB - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
208.
Chris Moore
WR - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
209.
Boston Scott
RB - PHI (at NE)
|
|
210.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
211.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
212.
Adam Trautman
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
213.
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
214.
Raheem Blackshear
RB - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
215.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
216.
Kalif Raymond
WR - DET (at KC)
|
|
217.
Jordan Mason
RB - SF (at PIT)
|
|
218.
Tyler Scott
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
219.
D'Ernest Johnson
RB - JAC (at IND)
|
|
220.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
221.
Eric Gray
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
222.
Kylen Granson
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
With Jelani Woods on IR, none of the Colts' tight ends are worthwhile fantasy options. Leave Granson on the waiver wire.
|
|
223.
Durham Smythe
TE - MIA (at LAC)
Durham Smythe has seen inspiring route participation during the preseason contests with the first-team offense. It's clear that he is viewed as the TE1 on the Dolphins, but that role in itself may not be worth much given how concentrated targets are between the top two WRs. No need to dabble in Smythe unless you're manning some insane 16/18-team tight end premium league. But his usage is worth monitoring should it carry over into the regular season.
|
|
224.
Zach Ertz
TE - WAS (vs . ARI)
Remains to be seen whether Ertz will be available in Week 1 coming off a major knee injury suffered during the half-point of the 2022 season. He's not on the PUP, but Ertz has remained non-committal on his Week 1 status. Regardless, he will be 33 in November. That combined with his return from a knee injury is a recipe for disaster.
|
|
225.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (at PIT)
|
|
|
226.
Trey Palmer
WR - TB (at MIN)
|
|
227.
Braxton Berrios
WR - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
228.
Zonovan Knight
RB - DET (at KC)
|
|
229.
Myles Gaskin
RB - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
230.
Cole Turner
TE - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
231.
Malik Davis
RB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
232.
Jauan Jennings
WR - SF (at PIT)
|
|
233.
Will Dissly
TE - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
234.
DeWayne McBride
RB - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
235.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
236.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
237.
Daniel Bellinger
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
238.
Noah Brown
WR - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
239.
Jonnu Smith
TE - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
240.
DeMario Douglas
WR - NE (vs . PHI)
|
|
241.
Isaiah McKenzie
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
242.
Donald Parham Jr.
TE - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
243.
C.J. Uzomah
TE - PHI (at NE)
|
|
244.
Foster Moreau
TE - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
245.
Justin Watson
WR - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
246.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
247.
Samori Toure
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
248.
Calvin Austin III
WR - PIT (vs . SF)
|
|
|
249.
Luke Schoonmaker
TE - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
250.
Brandon Johnson
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
251.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
252.
Nelson Agholor
WR - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
253.
Jamal Agnew
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
254.
Trent Sherfield
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
255.
Brock Wright
TE - DET (at KC)
|
|
256.
Robert Tonyan
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
257.
Ty Montgomery II
WR,RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
258.
Darnell Washington
TE - PIT (vs . SF)
|
|
259.
Harrison Bryant
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
260.
Devin Duvernay
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
261.
Charlie Kolar
TE - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
262.
Colby Parkinson
TE - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
263.
Alec Ingold
RB - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
264.
Dyami Brown
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
265.
Josh Oliver
TE - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
266.
KhaDarel Hodge
WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
267.
Jimmy Graham
TE - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
268.
Deven Thompkins
WR - TB (at MIN)
|
|
269.
Dontayvion Wicks
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
270.
Malik Heath
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
271.
Tucker Kraft
TE - GB (at CHI)
|
|
272.
James Robinson
RB - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
273.
Chris Brooks
RB - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
274.
Jordan Akins
TE - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
275.
C.J. Ham
RB - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
276.
Jalen Tolbert
WR - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
277.
Blake Bell
TE - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
278.
Peyton Hendershot
TE - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
279.
Zach Pascal
WR - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
280.
Brandon Bolden
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
281.
Mike Boone
RB - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
282.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
283.
Brevin Jordan
TE - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
284.
Trenton Irwin
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
285.
Tommy Tremble
TE - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
286.
Tony Jones Jr.
RB - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
287.
Tyler Kroft
TE - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
288.
Ko Kieft
TE - TB (at MIN)
|
|
289.
Scott Miller
WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
290.
Brenton Strange
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
|
291.
Ronnie Rivers
RB - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
292.
Teagan Quitoriano
TE - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
293.
Brycen Hopkins
TE - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
294.
Adam Prentice
RB - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
295.
Jalen Nailor
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
296.
Phillip Dorsett II
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
297.
Ian Thomas
TE - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
298.
Reggie Gilliam
RB,TE - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
299.
Emari Demercado
RB - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
300.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
|
301.
Rakim Jarrett
WR - TB (at MIN)
|
|
302.
Josh Whyle
TE - TEN (at NO)
|
|
303.
Julius Chestnut
RB - TEN (at NO)
|
|
304.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
WR - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
305.
James Mitchell
TE - DET (at KC)
|
|
306.
Jeremy Ruckert
TE - NYJ (vs . BUF)
|
|
307.
Josiah Deguara
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
308.
David Bell
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
309.
Jake Funk
RB - DET (at KC)
|
|
310.
Marquise Goodwin
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
|
311.
Drew Ogletree
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
312.
DeAndre Carter
WR - LV (at DEN)
|
|
313.
Tre' McKitty
TE - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
314.
Elijah Dotson
RB - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
315.
Travis Homer
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
316.
Kirk Merritt
WR,RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
317.
Patrick Ricard
RB - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
318.
Connor Heyward
TE - PIT (vs . SF)
|
|
319.
Craig Reynolds
RB - DET (at KC)
|
|
320.
Leonard Fournette
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
321.
Trevon Wesco
TE - TEN (at NO)
|
|
322.
Luke Farrell
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
323.
Jake Bobo
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
324.
Ross Dwelley
TE - SF (at PIT)
|
|
325.
Erik Ezukanma
WR - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
326.
Chris Manhertz
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
327.
Johnny Mundt
TE - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
328.
John Bates
TE - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
329.
Antoine Green
WR - DET (at KC)
|
|
330.
MyCole Pruitt
TE - PIT (vs . SF)
|
|
331.
Brandon Powell
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
332.
Keith Smith
RB - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
333.
Keith Kirkwood
WR - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
334.
Derius Davis
WR - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
335.
Michael Burton
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
336.
Jakob Johnson
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
337.
Xavier Hutchinson
WR - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
338.
Geoff Swaim
TE - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
339.
Kareem Hunt
RB - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
340.
Quintin Morris
TE - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
341.
Jamison Crowder
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
342.
Jack Stoll
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
343.
Grant Calcaterra
TE - PHI (at NE)
|
|
344.
Gary Brightwell
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
345.
Anthony McFarland Jr.
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
346.
River Cracraft
WR - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
347.
Davis Allen
TE - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
348.
Mitchell Wilcox
TE - NE (vs . PHI)
|
|
349.
Marquez Callaway
WR - PIT (vs . SF)
|
|
350.
Charlie Jones
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
351.
Godwin Igwebuike
RB - PIT (vs . SF)
|
|
352.
Tim Jones
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
353.
Andrei Iosivas
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
354.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
355.
Marcedes Lewis
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
356.
Matt Bushman
TE - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
357.
Jesper Horsted
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
358.
Melvin Gordon III
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
359.
Charlie Woerner
TE - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
360.
Ronnie Bell
WR - SF (at PIT)
|
|
361.
Robbie Chosen
WR - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
362.
David Wells
TE - TB (at MIN)
|
|
363.
Giovanni Ricci
TE - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
364.
Kenyan Drake
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
365.
Pharaoh Brown
TE - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
366.
KJ Hamler
WR - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
367.
Stone Smartt
TE - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
368.
Dontrell Hilliard
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
369.
Byron Pringle
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
370.
Corey Clement
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
371.
Darrell Henderson Jr.
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
372.
Royce Freeman
RB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
373.
J.D. McKissic
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
374.
Miles Boykin
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
375.
Darrel Williams
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
376.
Khari Blasingame
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
|
377.
KaVontae Turpin
WR - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
378.
Tylan Wallace
WR - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
379.
Parker Hesse
TE - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
380.
N'Keal Harry
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
381.
Patrick Taylor Jr.
RB - SF (at PIT)
|
|
382.
Demetric Felton Jr.
RB - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
|
383.
Hunter Luepke
RB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
384.
Ben Sims
TE - GB (at CHI)
|
|
385.
Jalen Reagor
WR - NE (vs . PHI)
|
|
386.
Grant DuBose
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
387.
Jody Fortson
TE - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
388.
Trent Taylor
WR - SF (at PIT)
|
|
389.
Andrew Beck
RB,TE - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
390.
Zach Gentry
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
391.
Tanner Hudson
TE - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
|
392.
Deneric Prince
RB - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
393.
Nick Bawden
RB - NYJ (vs . BUF)
|
|
394.
Cody Thompson
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
395.
Kearis Jackson
WR - TEN (at NO)
|
|
396.
Cam Sims
WR - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
397.
Julio Jones
WR - PHI (at NE)
|
|
398.
Dan Arnold
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
399.
Braylon Sanders
WR - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
400.
William Fuller V
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
401.
DeSean Jackson
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
402.
T.Y. Hilton
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
403.
Steven Sims Jr.
WR - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
404.
Kristian Wilkerson
WR - LV (at DEN)
|
|
405.
Cameron Brate
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
406.
Jared Cook
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
407.
Anthony Schwartz
WR - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
408.
John Brown
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
409.
Trey Burton
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
410.
Johntay Cook II
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
411.
Adrian Peterson
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
412.
Kevin Harris
RB - NE (vs . PHI)
|
|
413.
Racey McMath
WR - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
|
414.
Jalen Brooks
WR - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
415.
Derek Watt
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
416.
Jordan Franks
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
417.
Trey Sermon
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
418.
David Sills
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
419.
Shane Zylstra
TE - DET (at KC)
|
|
420.
Tyree Jackson
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
421.
Mark Ingram II
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
422.
Montrell Washington
WR - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
423.
Rex Burkhead
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
424.
Ty Johnson
RB - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
425.
Juwann Winfree
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
426.
Maurice Alexander
WR - DET (at KC)
|
|
427.
Zander Horvath
RB - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
428.
Jason Huntley
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
429.
Dylan Drummond
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
430.
Mike Strachan
WR - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
431.
Daurice Fountain
WR - DET (at KC)
|
|
432.
Simi Fehoko
WR - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
433.
Taiwan Jones
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
434.
Cornell Powell
WR - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
435.
Dezmon Patmon
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
436.
Xavier Gipson
WR - NYJ (vs . BUF)
|
|
437.
Kevin Rader
TE - TEN (at NO)
|
|
438.
Britain Covey
WR - PHI (at NE)
|
|
439.
Tyler Johnson
WR - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
440.
Spencer Brown
RB - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
441.
Darrynton Evans
RB - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
442.
La'Mical Perine
RB - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
443.
Travis Vokolek
TE - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
|
444.
Tanner Taula
TE - TB (at MIN)
|
|
445.
Darrell Daniels
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
446.
Bruce Miller
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
447.
Lucas Krull
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
448.
Nick Bowers
TE - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
449.
Derrick Gore
RB - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
450.
Gerrit Prince
TE - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
451.
Breshad Perriman
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
452.
Johnny Lumpkin
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
453.
Dwayne Washington
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
|
454.
Hassan Hall
RB - KC (vs . DET)
|
|
455.
Tyler Badie
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
456.
Snoop Conner
RB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
457.
Jashaun Corbin
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
458.
Robert Burns
RB - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
|
459.
Greg Bell
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
460.
Austin Allen
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
461.
Troy Fumagalli
TE - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
462.
Josh Pederson
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
463.
Sean McKeon
TE - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
464.
Tommy Hudson
TE - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
465.
Zack Kuntz
TE - NYJ (vs . BUF)
|
|
466.
Maxx Williams
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
467.
Tucker Fisk
TE - ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
468.
Blake Whiteheart
TE - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
469.
Cole Fotheringham
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
470.
Joel Wilson
TE - GB (at CHI)
|
|
471.
Dalton Keene
TE - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
472.
Ryan Jones
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
473.
John Samuel Shenker
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
474.
Tyler Mabry
TE - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
|
475.
Brady Russell
TE - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
476.
Michael Bandy
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
477.
David Moore
WR - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
478.
Greg Ward
WR - PHI (at NE)
|
|
479.
Cade Johnson
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
480.
Laquon Treadwell
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
481.
Andre Baccellia
WR - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
482.
Dee Eskridge
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
483.
Lawrence Cager
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
484.
Tanner Conner
TE - MIA (at LAC)
|
|
485.
Xavier Smith
WR - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
486.
Amari Rodgers
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
487.
Trishton Jackson
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
488.
Seth Williams
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
489.
Derek Wright
WR - CAR (at ATL)
|
|
490.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
WR - NO (vs . TEN)
|
|
491.
Easop Winston Jr.
WR - SEA (vs . LAR)
|
|
492.
Kwamie Lassiter II
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
493.
Matt Landers
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
494.
Tyrell Shavers
WR - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
495.
Bo Melton
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
496.
T.J. Luther
WR - NE (vs . PHI)
|
|
497.
Austin Watkins Jr.
WR - PHI (at NE)
|
|
498.
Nsimba Webster
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
499.
Bryan Thompson
WR - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
500.
Marcell Ateman
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
501.
Kazmeir Allen
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
502.
Brycen Tremayne
WR - WAS (vs . ARI)
|
|
503.
Tyron Billy-Johnson
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
504.
Johnny Johnson III
WR - HOU (at BAL)
|
|
505.
Jaelon Darden
WR - CLE (vs . CIN)
|
|
506.
Xazavian Valladay
RB - NYJ (vs . BUF)
|
|
507.
Sincere McCormick
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
508.
Qadree Ollison
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
509.
Owen Wright
RB - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
510.
Patrick Laird
RB - TB (at MIN)
|
|
511.
Isaiah Winstead
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
512.
Andy Isabella
WR - BUF (at NYJ)
|
|
513.
Dez Fitzpatrick
WR - PIT (vs . SF)
|
|
514.
Chris Conley
WR - SF (at PIT)
|
|
515.
Sean Ryan
WR - BAL (vs . HOU)
|
|
516.
Shaquan Davis
WR - PHI (at NE)
|
|
517.
Raleigh Webb
WR - TB (at MIN)
|
|
518.
Stanley Morgan Jr.
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
519.
Matthew Slater
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
520.
Mason Kinsey
WR - TEN (at NO)
|
|
521.
Thayer Thomas
WR - MIN (vs . TB)
|
|
522.
Shedrick Jackson
WR - CIN (at CLE)
|
|
523.
Willie Snead IV
WR - SF (at PIT)
|
|
524.
Kaden Davis
WR - ARI (at WAS)
|
|
525.
Tre'Shaun Harrison
WR - TEN (at NO)
|
|
526.
Alex Erickson
WR - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
527.
Keelan Doss
WR - LAC (vs . MIA)
|
|
528.
Tay Martin
WR - SF (at PIT)
|
|
529.
Terrell Bynum
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
530.
D.J. Montgomery
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
531.
Austin Trammell
WR - LAR (at SEA)
|
|
|
532.
Joseph Ngata
WR - PHI (at NE)
|
|
533.
Devon Allen
WR - PHI (at NE)
|
|
534.
Nikola Kalinic
TE - LAR (at SEA)
|
