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11 Players to Buy Low/Sell High (Fantasy Football)

Oct 28, 2021


 
Now that we’re halfway through the fantasy regular season, plenty of squads are looking to the trade market to position themselves for a strong second half. Even though we just got through what was (and could potentially be) arguably the season’s toughest bye week, there are still plenty of byes to be had and they can make a big impact on trades. Struggling teams would likely pay a higher price for athletes who have already had their bye, whereas strong teams may have less of a need for those players. This is yet another wrinkle added to the general goal of buying low and selling high when making deals. With that being said, who are today’s featured pundits looking to trade for or away this week? Read on below to see their top trade candidates.

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Q1. Who is your favorite buy-low trade candidate at this point in the season and why? Also, who are you willing to give up for him?

Will Fuller (WR – MIA) 
“I’m a pretty frugal guy, so when I buy things, I shop around for the best prices and search for hidden gems. The player with the highest upside for the rest of this year is clearly Will Fuller and you won’t have to give up much to get him. Feel free to part with Allen Robinson, Robby Anderson, or DeVante Parker at this point. Fuller’s drawback has always been that he misses half the season with an injury, and he is expected to miss Week 8. When he returns, he will step into a role currently being held by Mack Hollins, who is Miami’s second-most targeted WR over the past three games. Miami leads the NFL in pass rate and is sixth in pass attempts. Tua Tagovailoa has been lighting it up since returning from injury and Fuller is in-line to see 15-20% of the targets as early as Week 9. Should I even mention a possible reunion with Deshaun Watson? — nah. Honorable mention buys – Javonte Williams, Tee Higgins, Rashod Bateman, Zack Moss
– Kevin Wheeler (The Draft Zone)

Tee Higgins (WR – CIN) 
“Higgins has been a bit of a disappointment since coming back from his injury and there are plenty of fantasy managers in leagues that just look at the fantasy points column in lineups versus studying what the surrounding context was. Higgins finished with just a 7-62-0 stat line in Week 7, but it’s incredibly important to note that he had a shocking 15 targets! This total was enough to lead the entire team last week and it’s notable that number was double what Tyler Boyd saw in this game. Plenty of fantasy managers chase touchdown production or unsustainable yards per reception efficiency, but volume is what matters the most in fantasy football. If you can find someone in your league who’s only focusing on the production the past few weeks versus the opportunity, it’s a perfect time to strike. Maybe consider selling someone like Calvin Ridley for Higgins plus another asset?”
– Kyle Yates (FantasyPros)

Darren Waller (TE – LV) 
“Fantasy managers were upset with Waller even before he missed Week 7, so they’re likely really disappointed with him on bye. Of course, Waller hasn’t been quite as good as he looked in Week 1 when he got 19 targets. But he has a 20.6% target share and seven red zone targets already. I know fantasy managers are enamored with Dalton Schultz and Dawson Knox, but tight ends who get Waller’s target share are incredibly rare, and there’s every reason to expect him to see upwards of seven or eight targets every game. I’d be happy to sell a Marquise Brown, Chris Godwin, or Mike Evans for him, or a running back like Leonard Fournette.”
– Dan Harris (FantasyPros)

Allen Robinson (WR – CHI)
“Not reaching 64 yards in a game with just one score is not ideal, but hear me out. The situation that has developed in Chicago is far from perfect with a rookie quarterback that did not get enough first-team reps and the hardest schedule in the league so far. The Bears’ opponents outside of Detroit are 32-10 and all would be playoff teams. The schedule is much softer down the stretch so I would look to give up one of the surprising WR3s like Marvin Jones, Corey Davis, A.J. Green, or Jakobi Meyers.”
– Michael Tomlin (Fantasy Six Pack)

Calvin Ridley (WR – ATL) 
“If you’re fed up with Ridley, I’ll be happy to take him off your hands. Only Cooper Kupp, Davante Adams, and D.J. Moore are averaging more targets per game this season. Ridley also ranks fourth at the position in expected fantasy points per game. As a proven NFL talent, it’s only a matter of time before the 26-year-old improves on his WR27 PPR scoring average. I have already traded Marquise Brown straight up to acquire Ridley, and I’d bet you could give away DeAndre Hopkins to get Ridley plus additional help.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)

Trey Lance (QB – SF) 
“Lance is the lowest of the buy-lows, unrostered in some leagues, forgotten bench fodder in others. Get him while you can, before he inevitably replaces Jimmy Garoppolo as the 49ers’ starting QB. Lance is going to do exactly what Jalen Hurts is doing right now: provide QB1 value while not always looking like an NFL-caliber passer. Such is the power of Konami Code quarterbacks, who consistently enhance their fantasy value with their rushing output. If you’re still looking for a permanent answer at QB, contact the Trey Lance investor in your league and trade him some mildly intriguing bench piece like Amon-Ra St. Brown or Kenyan Drake.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Q2. Who is your favorite sell-high candidate at this point in the season and why? Also, who would you try to get in return?

DeAndre Hopkins (WR – ARI) 
“We should be able to count on Hopkins for continued production, right? Maybe even more than his current WR13 level? But Hopkins sits just 29th among WRs in targets. He’s leading Arizona in that category, but garnering just 21.1% target share and has yet to reach 10 looks in a game. At WR13 in PPR, he’s actually outscoring his usage. We have Hopkins at WR29 in expected fantasy points per game. I’d move him straight up for Stefon Diggs or target packages centered on Calvin Ridley or Keenan Allen, each of whom look bound for positive regression in their fantasy production. Let’s hope this week’s hamstring injury doesn’t derail the whole thing.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)

DeAndre Hopkins has kind of morphed into a touchdown-depend wide receiver, sort of akin to how we have viewed Adam Thielen in the past, right? 35% of his fantasy points come from touchdowns, he’s on pace for just 114 targets (in 17 games, remember), he’s yet to surpass 87 yards receiving, and he’s been below 56 yards receiving in four of seven games. He’s been missing practice frequently which might indicate that he’s continuing to battle an injury, so if fantasy managers are still valuing him as a strong WR1, I’m more than willing to swap him out for someone like Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel, or Justin Jefferson.”
– Dan Harris (FantasyPros)

Jakobi Meyers (WR – NE) 
“The Jakobi Meyers experience isn’t the pleasure cruise some people have made it out to be. He piles up cheap bonus points for receptions in PPR leagues, but there’s no ‘there’ there — no touchdowns, no splash plays, no significant value above and beyond the replacement-level guys you can find on waivers each week. Meyers is on a 100-catch pace, but he’s also on pace for just 947 yards in a 17-game season, and he couldn’t find the end zone if you gave him a roadmap and a compass. He’s averaging 9.5 yards per catch and 6.6 yards per target. Woof. Trade Meyers for Miles Sanders, whose ankle injury isn’t serious as first believed, or a committee back like Zack Moss or Melvin Gordon.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Marquise Brown (WR – BAL) 
“Brown is what he has been in his short NFL career: touchdown-dependent. In the games that he has scored a touchdown, Brown is averaging over 23 PPR points per game. If he does not score a touchdown, then he is not even averaging eight PPR points per game. The schedule gets much harder with tough matchups the last eight weeks of the season. I would look to get one of the higher ADP receivers that has disappointed like A.J. Brown, Calvin Ridley, Robert Woods, or Keenan Allen.”
– Michael Tomlin (Fantasy Six Pack)

Elijah Mitchell (RB – SF) 
“Mitchell has emerged this year to become San Francisco’s starting RB, but for one reason or another, there seems to be quite a bit of turnover in that backfield through the past few years. He has missed three games already with injury. His value is buoyed by two big games (100 plus yards and a touchdown in each) and some dynasty-darling hype coming out of college. With JaMycal Hasty also returning from injury, Mitchell loses third-down duties and all of his limited targets. Jeff Wilson is also expected to return at some point and is a Shanahan favorite. The 49ers’ next three games are pretty tough matchups for running backs so cash in on the value now! I would be targeting RBs like Javonte Williams, Zack Moss, or Michael Carter instead. Honorable mention sell – David Montgomery.”
– Kevin Wheeler (The Draft Zone)

Myles Gaskin (RB – MIA) 
“Gaskin’s fantasy football production has been a yo-yo this season. He’s finished each good game with a bad performance and followed it right back up with a big outing, which is infuriating for fantasy players. He’s coming off a blowup performance in Week 7, so this is the chance to ship him off for as high a cost as you can get and save yourself the headache. It’s really as simple as that. I’d be looking to target someone with a more guaranteed workload like Michael Carter potentially.”
– Kyle Yates (FantasyPros)


Thank you to the experts for naming their trade candidates. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter if you’re not already doing so and check out our latest podcast below for more great advice.


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