In fantasy football, not all busts are created equal. Some highly-ranked players still produce, but not enough to live up to their lofty ADP. Our Featured Pros have identified 24 players they consider “draft landmines” in 2026.
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Fantasy Football Players Experts Avoid at ADP
What one RB inside the top 50 in our consensus ADP do you plan on avoiding in all or most of your drafts relative to their price and why?
Quinshon Judkins (RB – CLE)
“Quinshon Judkins is coming off a season-ending fibula injury, which has not been kind to players in their first years back (on average, they score fewer than 6.7 PPG the following season, according to Fantasy Points’ Ryan Heath). The schedule is also tough for the Browns as they open the year against two of the better run defenses ON the road ( at JAX and TB), a tall task for a completely new starting five-man blocking OL unit. The second-year RB is also not a lock to play on all passing downs, given his HC took Derrick Henry off the field last year for Justice Hill. Fellow backfield mate RB Dylan Sampson? Underrated. You saw the preseason juice. Simply put, Judkins is a volume-based bet on a bad offense facing an uphill battle out of the gate. Last year, Judkins ranked 38th in juke rate, 55th in yards per touch, 52nd in yards created per touch, 27th in breakaway runs, and second-to-last in rushing success rate (33%). Rather have D’Andre Swift or the plethora of WRs right around his ADP.”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)
“I’m avoiding Quinshon Judkins in drafts this year. The Browns’ offensive environment is concerning because of the quarterback play and the possible scoring output. Also, while I’m optimistic about the rebuilt offensive line, it’s still a ton of new parts and pieces that will have to gel quickly, or they could be just as bad as last year’s cast. The final reason to avoid Judkins this season is his concerning per-touch efficiency. Yes, I know he missed training camp last year with off-the-field issues, but his efficiency woes date all the way back to college. Last year, among 49 qualifying backs, he ranked 40th in explosive run rate, 33rd in missed tackle rate, and 26th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). There are plenty of other backs to draft that I like more near or after his ADP.”
– Derek Brown (FantasyPros)
“You couldn’t pay me to click on Quinshon Judkins as the 44th overall player. The player is solid. The volume will be there. But even if we pretend he’s fully recovered from last season’s ankle dislocation and fracture and that he’ll be 100% healthy all season long, there are too many other red flags. First, the Browns will be a bottom-5 offense. It’s inevitable. Their QB situation is the worst in the NFL. Their offensive line lost all 5 starters this offseason, so while individually better, it should take them a while to gel. And they’ve got a new coach and scheme to learn. Next, their defense is still top-notch despite losing Myles Garrett. This should allow for more rushing volume but also lead to more conservative playcalling and fewer TDs as a result. Finally, QJ doesn’t catch many passes, while backup Dylan Sampson excelled in that role last season. It’s all a recipe for disaster at cost. In the 4th round, I’ll gladly take one of Jaylen Waddle, Garrett Wilson, Tyler Warren, and even D’Andre Swift over Judkins.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)
“In 2025, Quinshon Judkins was on a 17-game pace for 279 carries (16.4 per game), which would have ranked 7th in the NFL. Despite this, the Browns’ poor offensive environment and his lack of pass-catching led him to finish as the RB21 in half-PPR points per game. It’s unlikely Judkins sees much of an increase in carries or receptions, meaning he would need to see a jump in efficiency or touchdowns to outperform his ADP. Per SumerSports, Judkins was 40th among qualified RBs in explosive rush rate last year – he isn’t the type of back to rip off long rushes; additionally, the Browns are projected for the 3rd-lowest points in the NFL in 2026, making touchdowns an unlikely path to fantasy success. Running backs going behind Judkins include Bucky Irving, De’Andre Swift, TreVeyon Henderson, and Bhayshul Tuten, all of whom are in better offensive environments and have more pass-catching upside.”
– Charlie Sisian (The Fantasy DC)
Jeremiyah Love (RB – ARI)
“I said it before his high ankle sprain, and I’ll say it again now: Jeremiyah Love is far too expensive (26th overall, RB13). The Arizona Cardinals continue to make boneheaded decisions (like Love playing 35% of the RB snaps (24) in the preseason when other starters played less than 16% (11 or fewer snaps) at their respective positions) and have the lowest projected win total, the lowest projected team implied point totals, one of the hardest schedules, and now Love will miss the remainder of the preseason (at minimum) while he recovers from a high ankle sprain. How many scoring opportunities are realistic for Love this year with Allgeier and Conner also in the mix? But before you answer that question, ask the same for Kyren Williams, Josh Jacobs, Javonte Williams, Breece Hall, D’Andre Swift, Bhayshul Tuten, Jadarian Price, or Rhamondre Stevenson, all of whom are going after Love and are in much better situations.”
– Avery Thrasher (The Branded Sports)
“Call me crazy, but I’m avoiding Arizona rookie running back Jeremiyah Love. NFL head coaches are notoriously stubborn when shifting away from veterans to rookies, even when they used high draft capital on that rookie. So far, the Cardinals coaching staff has already spent their time talking up veteran James Conner. Add in Tyler Allgeier, who was good enough to be a thorn in the side of rookie-year Bijan Robinson, and this backfield is going to be more of a split than anyone cares to admit. Love is also nursing an ankle injury sustained in Week 1 of the preseason and will be going into the NFL season with little action under his belt, that is, if he is ready to go for Week 1 at all.”
– Aaron St Denis (Fantasy Sports Advice Network)
“Jeremyiah Love (ECR 26, RB13) is an incredible NFL talent and is going to have a great career! This year, he is a player that I am avoiding. Unlike previous early running backs drafted, his ADP is much lower. He is stepping into a situation on a team that is at the bottom of the league and in the toughest division in football. He is already dealing with a high ankle sprain, and those linger through seasons. Plus, the Cardinals signed Tyler Allgeier to a 2-year contract, and he will definitely steal a bunch of touches and vulture some touchdowns. Love should still be heralded into the league with excitement, but this year his expectations should stay lower.”
– Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)
Kyren Williams (RB – LAR)
“Kyren Williams’ raw production remains impressive, with 1,300+ total yards and 10+ TDs in three straight seasons. But his PPR points per game have declined each year, from 21.4 to 17.4 to 15.7. HC Sean McVay has already said Corum will be a “big factor” in 2026, and an expanded role for him could pull Williams down toward RB2 range.”
– Kevin English (Draft Sharks)
Bucky Irving (RB – TB)
“I’m out on Bucky Irving at 46 overall, and Kenneth Gainwell is a much bigger part of that than I think the market is accounting for. Irving missed seven games last year, his YPC dropped by nearly two full yards, and he finished bottom-10 in YPC, yards after contact, and explosive-run rate, while Tampa Bay went from 5th to 20th in EPA per play. The Bucs just gave Gainwell two years, $14 million with $9.83 million fully guaranteed, after he caught 73 passes and topped 1,000 scrimmage yards last season; they didn’t pay a more efficient version of Rachaad White $7 million per year to watch Bucky handle the entire backfield. I still like Irving the player, but with nearly 60 picks separating him and Gainwell, I’d much rather pass on the premium we’re paying for Bucky and take my shot on the cheaper player in this backfield. That gap is simply too wide for how I expect these touches to be distributed.”
– James Emrick-Wilson (The Armchair Sports Corner)
Cam Skattebo (RB – NYG)
“I was shocked to look and find Cam Skattebo coming off the board in Round 3 on average. I haven’t clicked his name once in any drafts this offseason, no matter the format. I just can’t bring myself to draft a guy that high coming off a brutal lower-leg injury in a Matt Nagy offense. He popped last year almost entirely off volume, and now he’s about to lose some early-down work with Najee Harris joining the team. I’ll continue passing on the reckless Skattebo and happily take receivers like DeVonta Smith, Zay Flowers, or Tee Higgins in that range all day long.”
– Wolf Trelles-Heard (FantasyPros)
“Cam Skattebo is coming off of a major injury and is still being drafted as RB19 and 49 overall. His fantasy production last year came off of volume and not efficiency while other backs were down. This is a new coaching staff, so we already don’t have a clear picture of how they will deploy this backfield. We could see Skattebo start off slow as they ease him back into the offense.”
– David Heilman (Dynasty Trade Calculator)
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB – NO)
“Naturally, after I wrote my paragraph, news came of Alvin Kamara getting injured in practice. I swear they do this just to tick me off. Anyway, I digress… it sounds like Kamara avoided a major knee injury and will only be sidelined a few weeks. Travis Etienne Jr. left Jacksonville in free agency for the city known as “The Big Easy.” However, there’s nothing easy about drafting him in 2026. Alvin Kamara took a pay cut to stay in New Awlins’. Kamara will probably cut into Etienne’s third-down usage once he returns. Bottom line- Etienne’s ADP at RB 19 is too rich for my blood. Instead, I’d rather go with other players in that range such as: Colston Loveland, Bhayshul Tuten, or Jameson Williams. Who dat’ want to draft Travis Etienne in 2026? Not Mark Ringo.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV)
“If it was based on talent, Ashton Jeanty would warrant his RB6 price tag, but there are better values at the RB position in better situations. Unfortunately, he has a coaching staff, offensive firepower, and below-average line play working against him. Klint Kubiak has a short record to look at, but we saw how painful the split was with the Seahawks last year, and they just took a very talented Mike Washington in this draft. Vegas implies the Raiders have the 5th-worst offense, and they are between the Titans and Dolphins in expected scoring. The offensive line should be better with Linderbaum, but outside of him, they have no lineman with a PFF grade above 30th at guard or tackle.”
– Justin Weigal (FantasySharks)
“Ashton Jeanty is not draftable in the first three rounds of any Fantasy Football draft. Last season BEAST DOME had Jeanty ranked lower than every site, and he played like an RB3 at best far too often. Jeanty is not a special talent; he does not break tackles frequently, and he does not have top speed. He dominated College Football because he was playing Chico State at 11 pm on a Saturday Night; NFL players are 10x the size of his college competition. Raiders are going to be losing a lot of Football games this season, and Mike Washington Jr. looks like an RB who deserves some touches. Drafting Jeanty in Round 1/Round 2 is the quickest way to throw away your Fantasy Football season.”
– Muntradamus (Beast Dome)
Breece Hall (RB – NYJ)
“I’m avoiding Breece Hall in all of my drafts at his current price. He’s already dealing with a groin injury expected to keep him out 2-3 weeks, and those injuries often linger for running backs. The Jets may be hopeful he’ll be ready for Week 1, but the uncertainty paired with the volatility of their offense makes the risk hard to justify. His ADP of 33 assumes full health and strong efficiency, neither of which feels secure right now. Even after a 1,065‑yard season, the combination of injury concerns and the Jets’ situation makes him an easy fade for me.”
– Lawrence Iacona (FantasyPros)
Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF)
“Christian McCaffrey is one RB I’m avoiding at his current RB3 price in ADP. He’s coming off a league-high 400+ touches, and the historical “Curse of 370″ for RBs since 2016 makes another elite season a risky bet. McCaffrey also averaged just 3.9 YPC last season, his lowest mark since 2020. Add in his preseason injury, and there are simply too many red flags for me to draft him at his current price.”
– Brady Auer (BA Sports Podcast)
“Christian McCaffrey is the running back I’m most likely to avoid at his current RB3 price despite his elite production when healthy. He’s entering his age-30 season after nearly 450 touches across 19 games, the heaviest workload of his career, while averaging 4.0 yards per carry or fewer for the second straight year. His massive receiving role and volume masked declining rushing efficiency, making another enormous workload necessary to justify his first-round cost. With his age, workload history, and the 25th-ranked schedule for running backs, I believe the downside outweighs the upside at his current ADP without considering the injury risk on top of those metrics.”
– Ryan Linkletter (Blitz Sports Media)
“After gathering 430 touches in 2025, Christian McCaffrey simply cannot be relied upon to do it again and stay healthy given the spotty injury record. Those managers who took the gamble on CMC a year ago struck gold, but the chance of striking gold was equal to coming away with nothing. The same can be said for 2026, where McCaffrey is already dealing with “soreness” in camp for the 49ers. If McCaffrey stays healthy again, he will be money for fantasy managers; however, the odds of McCaffrey staying healthy two years in a row feel slim, making him not worth the plunge despite the very obvious overall RB1 upside.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
Omarion Hampton (RB – LAC)
“Omarion Hampton is the running back I most often pass on at his current price, even though I think he could have a very good season. The market is pricing in a clean lead role under Mike McDaniel, but Kimani Vidal has already shown he can handle the work, and Keaton Mitchell brings rare speed and big-play ability that should fit this scheme perfectly. Hampton may still lead the backfield, but I am not convinced he owns every valuable touch or passing-down snap. Whenever he comes up in drafts, I consistently find someone else I would rather take.”
– Jay Henry Ocho (Jay Henry Ocho)
Josh Jacobs (RB – GB)
“Josh Jacobs is still capable of an RB1 season, but I’m not paying his current price for it. He averaged under 4 yards per carry last year, and much of his fantasy value came from 13 rushing touchdowns. Now he’s coming off another injury-plagued season, has already dealt with a groin issue in camp, and there is still some uncertainty about possible league discipline. There are better options at his current ADP, so I’m probably avoiding Jacobs unless he falls.”
– Justin Fuhr (Pro Football Mania)
What one WR inside the top 50 overall in our consensus ADP do you plan on avoiding in all or most of your drafts relative to their price and why?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR – SEA)
“Jaxon Smith-Njigba had a career year in 2025, and historically those do not repeat; expecting regression closer to his 2024 season. Sam Darnold is still the QB (who, despite being tied to JSN, still finished outside the top 12 QBs), Rasheed Shaheed has had an offseason with the team and should be more involved on offense, Klint Kubiak is gone, and opposing defenses will prioritize stopping him. JSN should still have a fine season, but I prefer taking Amon-Ra St. Brown or CeeDee Lamb in that same range tied to much stronger QB play and offensive scheme.”
– Avery Thrasher (The Branded Sports)
Malik Nabers (WR – NYG)
“I’m avoiding Malik Nabers at his current draft cost. The talent is obvious for Nabers; at some point, he is going to challenge for the 1.01 spot in drafts, but that point isn’t in 2026. He is coming back from a torn ACL sustained in Week 4 of last season, which makes him unlikely to be ready to go for Week 1, and even if he is, he likely won’t be back to his peak form until the latter part of 2026 or early 2027. Nabers is going off the board as WR13, and under normal circumstances that would be a great bargain, but at that cost he is likely to be your fantasy squad’s WR1. His health is not a situation I want to hitch my wagon to for my team’s top receiver, and even if I went WR-heavy and he was my WR2, I’m passing up far safer, more predictable options to shoot the moon. I am fairly risk-averse in the early rounds of my drafts. You can’t win your league in the first four rounds, but you sure can lose it. This is just too much risk for me this early in the drafting process.”
– Aaron St Denis (Fantasy Sports Advice Network)
Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB)
“Emeka Egbuka looks questionable for Week 1 after suffering a sprained toe. Even if he’s active, his current ADP is rich after a lopsided 2025. Over his final 12 games, Egbuka mustered only 3.2 catches, 41.1 yards, and 0.1 TDs per game, ranking 57th among WRs in PPR points per game.”
– Kevin English (Draft Sharks)
Rashee Rice (WR – KC)
“Rashee Rice is in the no-fly zone for me at WR12, 30th overall. Not only are there injury and character concerns, but there’s little incentive for Andy Reid to have Rice remain an offensive centerpiece when the Kansas City offense has been broken ever since Rice joined the team three years ago. In his first five seasons as a starter, Patrick Mahomes averaged just shy of 4,800 yards a season, 38.4 TD passes a season, and 8.1 yards per attempt. In the three years since Rice joined the team, Mahomes has averaged about 1,000 fewer yards per season, hasn’t thrown more than 27 TD passes in any season, and has averaged 7.0 yards per attempt. Not that Rice is to blame, but why stick with something that isn’t working? Kenneth Walker III could eat into Rice’s heavy screen-game usage, Xavier Worthy could play a more prominent role after an injury-plagued 2025, and rookie WR Cyrus Allen might be an immediate contributor. I’m completely out on Rice.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)
“Rashee Rice can still put up big fantasy numbers when he is healthy, but I don’t love the price. His aDOT was under five yards last season and nearly 75% of his receiving yards came after the catch, so a lot of his value depends on heavy underneath volume and what he creates after the catch. He has also missed a lot of time over the past two seasons, which adds even more risk at a top-30 ADP. I have Rice at No. 34 overall, and there are other players in that range I would rather take.”
– Justin Fuhr (Pro Football Mania)
“Rashee Rice has struggled with on- and off-field issues for almost his entire career. On the field, Rice has struggled to stay healthy, registering 12 games combined in 2024 and 2025. Off the field, Rice has found himself in trouble too much for many fantasy managers’ liking. While he is so talented, the trust in the player has to be minimal. Combine that lack of trust with Rice being a member of a Chiefs offense that has more questions surrounding the unit now than there has been in a very long time, Rice is an obvious fade in 2026 at his current top-12 WR valuation.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAC)
“The ultimate landmine is Brian Thomas Jr. We know the chemistry isn’t there with Trevor Lawrence like it is with several other Jags receivers. BTJ ranked 4th in targets last year behind Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, and Brenton Strange when they all were healthy. And to lock in the full fade…just take a look at the Jags first-half schedule. Jacksonville faces a tougher schedule to start the year, and it means the Jags’ X receiver will draw some brutal CB matchups. Featuring the likes of Denzel Ward, Patrick Surtain, Christian Gonzalez, DJ Turner, Quinyon Mitchell, Derek Stingley, and Sauce Gardner. If you really want to bet on the profile of BTJ…just pick him off waivers or trade for him dirt cheap after a month of little production.”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)
Ladd McConkey (WR – LAC)
“We might look back on the 2026 season and wonder why we picked Ladd McConkey this high. After a promising and productive rookie campaign, McConkey faceplanted in Year 2. His catches fell by 16, his receiving yards dropped by 360, and he scored one fewer touchdown despite playing the same number of games. His 11.3 fantasy points per game were good for only WR34, and yet he’s being drafted as the WR19 on average. The Chargers have signaled they want to play heavier sets by bringing in multiple tight ends and signing former Pro Bowl fullback Alec Ingold. That could hurt McConkey, who ran the second-most slot snaps in football last year. Instead of clicking on McConkey in the middle of Round 4, I’d rather take Jaylen Waddle, David Montgomery, Tyler Warren, or D’Andre Swift.”
– Wolf Trelles-Heard (FantasyPros)
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – ARI)
“Marvin Harrison Jr. has had his ADP drop like a rock over the off-season, but it still isn’t far enough. On top of the film of practices where we see him dropping a lot of balls, his situation does not inspire confidence. Optimistically, he is WR2a on his team while sharing a lot of targets with Michael Wilson and a Bijan-level pass catcher at running back. His WR41 and WR39 finishes in points per game so far came with less competition and on offenses that were not implied for dead last in points like the Cardinals are this year. I have some bias due to my lower pre-draft grade on him, but this situation is so crowded for a player that looks like they are taking steps back every year.”
– Justin Weigal (FantasySharks)
Zay Flowers (WR – BAL)
“I would love to see the Zay Flowers break out. I just wish I wasn’t paying top-15 WR and Round 3 prices for it. That doesn’t leave us much room to grow for a player that finished top-15 four times last season and five times in 2024. I really like Flowers, just don’t like the price and the players I am having to pass on him in Round 3.”
– David Heilman (Dynasty Trade Calculator)
Drake London (WR – ATL)
“A wide receiver I’m avoiding relative to his ADP is Drake London. His injury history is a real concern, as he has suffered an injury every season since 2021 and missed time in both 2023 and 2024, plus four games last year with a sprained PCL. There is a 73 percent chance he misses time in 2026, which is far too high for a player being drafted at an ADP of 19. When healthy, he’s a superstar, as shown by his 919 yards and 7 touchdowns last season, but availability has consistently held him back. At this price, the risk outweighs the reward, making him an easy fade for me.”
– Lawrence Iacona (FantasyPros)
Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR)
“My avoidance of Tetairoa McMillan in drafts this season isn’t related to McMillan’s talent at all. It’s a bet against a low-volume passing offense and Bryce Young. This offseason, Carolina added Chris Brazzell to the wide receiver room, and they should have a healthy Jalen Coker all season. Last year, Coker wasn’t a full-time player until Week 8 as he was returning from an injury during the early portion of the season. All of these factors could equal a smaller piece of an already child-sized pie for McMillan to feast on. Bryce Young wasn’t allowed to sling it around the yard last season, and I don’t see that changing in 2026 as Carolina will again lean on their ground game and defense to grind out wins. Last year, in Weeks 3-18, Bryce Young surpassed 35 passing attempts only once; he had more than 225 passing yards only twice, and in eight of those 14 games he had 25 or fewer passing attempts. During the same stretch, Carolina was fifth in neutral rushing rate (per Fantasy Points Data). With more weapons to get the ball to in Carolina in 2026 and a volume-limiting passer, McMillan will struggle to pay off his draft cost.”
– Derek Brown (FantasyPros)
“Tetairoa McMillan is my WR fade at his current price (WR18). Carolina’s passing volume is a major concern, with the Panthers ranking 27th in pass rate last season and Bryce Young failing to reach 200 passing yards in 12 of 17 games. Even more concerning, Jalen Coker was competing with McMillan for the top spot in the passing game late last season, posting a higher target share and yards per route run during Weeks 13-19. With Coker expected to be heavily involved again, I’m not willing to pay McMillan’s current price for what could be a limited-volume offense. I would rather take a flyer on Jalen Coker late.”
– Brady Auer (BA Sports Podcast)
“Tetairoa McMillan is a receiver I’m avoiding at his current WR18 price because fantasy managers are already paying for a sizable second-year leap. Despite elite rookie usage, including a 22.5% target share and 42.4% air-yard share, he still finished closer to the low-end WR2 range in fantasy points per game and ranked just 49th in fantasy points per target. Bryce Young and Carolina’s low-volume passing offense limit his ceiling, while Jalen Coker‘s emergence could prevent McMillan from dominating targets at the same level. McMillan is an excellent player, but at WR16 with the 22nd-ranked receiver schedule, I believe his ADP is much closer to his ceiling than his floor.”
– Ryan Linkletter (Blitz Sports Media)
Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ)
“Garrett Wilson being drafted as a Top 50 option is way too rich for my blood. Geno Smith has shown us time and time again that he is over the hill. What more does he have to show that he does not belong in the NFL? Apparently, going 2-13 as a starter with the Raiders in 2025 proved to the Jets that he deserves another opportunity to be a starting QB in 2026. While there is no doubt Wilson has a lot of talent, I do not want to watch Geno Smith throwing the ball to a player I am drafting with a very valuable pick. Let someone else take Wilson, who comes as a package deal with Geno Smith. When the Jets lose a bunch of games, it will only get worse with Cade Klubnik coming in at QB, who makes prime Andy Dalton look like Tom Brady in comparison.”
– Muntradamus (Beast Dome)
“Garrett Wilson is an excellent receiver, but I keep passing on him inside the top 50. I do not trust a Frank Reich offense to consistently create the concentrated volume needed for a true fantasy WR1 season. Wilson can still produce on talent alone, but the environment adds too much risk at this price. There are simply too many proven receivers and cleaner offensive situations available around him.”
– Jay Henry Ocho (Jay Henry Ocho)
Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN)
“Justin Jefferson is fantasy’s 12th overall player off the board at the moment. No thank you. While JJettas is an undeniable talent, what seems to be deniable is his ability to consistently put up stellar fantasy totals with subpar reality QBs. We’ve seen what Kyler Murray is as a passer for years now, and it’s not great. He’s inaccurate at times. He’s indecisive and exhibits poor decision-making at times. He’s not much of a step above JJ McCarthy, the QB who largely led Jefferson to his worst finish as a pro last year, a supreme bust. I do expect a Jefferson bounce-back this season, but I won’t pay up to find out how high he can bounce. A mid-to-late 2nd round pick is far enough for JJ to rise up my board. And at that valuation, he’ll be gone before I get a chance to consider adding him to my squad.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)
Tee Higgins (WR – CIN)
“Tee Higgins – Despite Burrow missing half the season, the Bengals finished 3rd in completions, 6th in passing yards, and 2nd in passing TDs in 2025. Realistically, the offense doesn’t have much room for growth, even with Burrow, meaning Higgins’ 17-game pace of 67 receptions, 959 yards, and 12.5 touchdowns (on an 18.64% TD rate – roughly 8% above his previous career average) is near his ceiling barring an injury to Chase. His 12.1 Half-PPR points per game made him the WR12 in a down-scoring year for WRs last year but would have finished as the WR21 in 2024 and WR20 in 2023. Additionally, data bears out that highly drafted WR2s are generally worse bets at ADP than early drafted NFL WR1s. Higgins’ ADP is lower this year than it has been in the past (WR16, 38th overall), but I’d still prefer Egbuka, McConkey, McMillan, and Waddle over him.”
– Charlie Sisian (The Fantasy DC)

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