Ken Walker III or Rashaad Penny
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Rashaad Penny RB - SEA  Rashaad Penny RB - SEA | Ken Walker III RB - SEA  Ken Walker III RB - SEA |  | |
Expert |
69% Recommended by 114 of 166 experts |
31% Recommended by 52 of 166 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 29 | # 36 | - |
| Best Rank | # 17 | # 19 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 39 | # 62 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 115.7 | 0.0 | - |
| Avg Game | 11.6 | ‐ | - |
| Avg Projection | 154.2 | 112.7 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 25 | 25 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Rashaad Penny | Ken Walker III | Add Player |
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06/02 | #30 | #63 | - |
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01/04 | #24 | #65 | - |
Rashaad Penny RB - SEA Rashaad Penny RB - SEA | Ken Walker III RB - SEA Ken Walker III RB - SEA | |
| 2022 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. DEN | vs. DEN |
| Week 2 | at SF | at SF |
| Week 3 | vs. ATL | vs. ATL |
| Week 4 | at DET | at DET |
| Week 5 | at NO | at NO |
| Week 6 | vs. ARI | vs. ARI |
| Week 7 | at LAC | at LAC |
| Week 8 | vs. NYG | vs. NYG |
| Week 9 | at ARI | at ARI |
| Week 10 | at TB | at TB |
| Week 11 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 12 | vs. LV | vs. LV |
| Week 13 | at LAR | at LAR |
| Week 14 | vs. CAR | vs. CAR |
| Week 15 | vs. SF | vs. SF |
| Week 16 | at KC | at KC |
| Week 17 | vs. NYJ | vs. NYJ |
| Week 18 | vs. LAR | vs. LAR |
Rashaad Penny RB - SEA Rashaad Penny RB - SEA | Ken Walker III RB - SEA Ken Walker III RB - SEA | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 191.4 | 161.6 |
| Rush Yards | 982.3 | 703.2 |
| Rush TDs | 6.7 | 4.8 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 19.6 | 18.6 |
| Rec Yards | 148.0 | 142.1 |
| Rec TDs | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 154.2 | 112.7 |
Rashaad Penny RB - SEA Rashaad Penny RB - SEA | Ken Walker III RB - SEA Ken Walker III RB - SEA | |
| 2021 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 0.8 | ‐ |
| Week 2 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 3 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 4 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 5 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 0.9 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 0.7 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 10 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 1.9 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 6.2 | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 25.8 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 4.4 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 19.5 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 30.5 | ‐ |
| Week 18 | 25.0 | ‐ |
| Total | 115.7 | 0.0 |
| Average | 11.6 | ‐ |
Rashaad Penny RB - SEA Rashaad Penny RB - SEA | Ken Walker III RB - SEA Ken Walker III RB - SEA | |
| 2021 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 0 | ‐ |
| Week 2 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 3 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 4 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 5 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 0 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 0 | ‐ |
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| Week 11 | 0 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 2 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 3 | ‐ |
| Week 18 | 0 | ‐ |
Rashaad Penny RB - SEA Rashaad Penny RB - SEA | Ken Walker III RB - SEA Ken Walker III RB - SEA | |
| Expert | ||
| Kevin Wheeler The Draft Zone | The overrated half of a committee backfield, bad quarterbacks, play NFC/AFC West and will trail heavily, terrible O-line, low-volume offense. | 5'9", 211lb, 31.2 BMI 4.38 forty, 96th percentile speed score. Likely a committee backfield, bad quarterbacks, play NFC/AFC West and will trail heavily, terrible O-line, low-volume offense. Carroll had a glowing -- even by his standards -- assessment of Ken Walker III, saying he's surprised at how well-rounded the rookie RB has become. Said he's "turned the page" with his college pass-pro struggles. "He could play all three downs and we'd feel comfortable with it." |
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Rashaad Penny was excellent to close the season in 2021. In Weeks 14-18, he averaged 18.4 rushing attempts and 134.2 rushing yards per game as the RB1 in fantasy football. He only ran a route on 32.2% (per PFF) of Russell Wilson's dropbacks last year, so don't expect up from him in the passing game. His rushing prowess is legit, though. Penny could be stuck in a committee with Kenneth Walker, but don't rule out him running away with the job for 2022. | Kenneth Walker could also emerge from camp as the starter. Walker's 99th percentile college dominator and 96th percentile speed score will be a welcome sight for Pete Carroll. We know the Seahawks want to establish the hell out of it with one of Drew Lock or Geno Smith looking like a possible Week 1 starter at quarterback. Since 2018 the Seahawks are third in neutral script rushing rate, so the volume will be there to support one elite-level back or tandem of backs with weekly RB2 or high RB3 potential. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | The Seahawks drafted Kenneth Walker III in the second round of the 2022 NFL Draft, but there's no guarantee that he supplants a healthy Rashaad Penny from Day 1. Penny was brought back on a one-year deal worth $5 million (12th-highest cap hit) after an impressive end to the 2021 regular season. He was the fantasy RB1 over the final five weeks of the season. Seems more likely than not that the team rides Penny till the wheels almost certainly fall off to start the season, then turn to their rookie RB down the stretch. That makes Penny enticing as a late-round RB target for those looking for immediate production out of the gates. | Kenneth Walker III made a massive splash upon transferring to Michigan State in 2021, leading his class in rushing yards (1,634), missed forced tackles (89) and explosive runs (46) en route to winning the Doak Walker Award - an honor bestowed upon college football's best running back. His success earned him a 34% dominator rating, which considers the number of touchdowns and receiving yards a player commands within their offense. The number is solid considering Walker commanded just a 4% target share in his junior year, catching 13 passes for 80 receiving yards. His massive accomplishments this past season were inevitable after he rushed for 13 touchdowns as PFF's 15th-best graded running back in 2020 as a sophomore at Wake. With the second-most missed tackles forced over the past two seasons - trailing only Iowa State's Breece Hall - and third-most rushing yards after contact, Walker possesses the groundwork to be an effective rusher at the next level. Breaking tackles and creating after contact in college translates to the pros extremely well, as seen most recently by Denver Broncos running back Javonte Williams. Williams led the nation in missed tackle rate (48%) in his final season at North Carolina and would go on to lead the NFL in the same metric at the conclusion of his stellar rookie season. Elusiveness is just one trait Walker has in common with Williams, as both skipped their senior years to enter the draft. Declaring early is a positive sign for a running back in dynasty formats, as they save themselves from another year of wear and tear. The lack of work in the passing game is really the only major blemish on Walker's prospect profile because his testing at the NFL scouting combine was also exceptional. He weighed in at 211 pounds and ran a 4.38 40-yard dash (96th percentile). "The player I am avoiding is running back Kenneth Walker III. With a rookie draft ADP in the top-3, it's just too steep a price to pay for a running back that is projected to be used heavily on early downs on an offense that easily projects to be bottom-5 in the NFL led by the unsurprising duo of Drew Lock/Geno Smith at quarterback. Even if Walker can carve out a first-year workload similar to that of Chris Carson circa 2020 - 16.4 touches per game, 56% snaps share when healthy - it's still going to be a massive uphill battle for him to be a fantasy producer in Year 1. Pete Carroll has a stable of backs including Rashaad Penny, Travis Homer and DeeJay Dallas who all figure to work in at some point despite Walker's Round 2 draft capital. Again, even when Carson was the RB1, he was splitting snaps. Penny was brought back on a one-year deal for $5 million (12tth-highest cap hit), Chris Carson - if healthy - is due $6.1 million (10th-highest cap hit) and Homer/Dallas have routinely worked as pass-catchers out of the backfield. Seattle also finished dead-last in targets to the RB position last season, creating serious doubt that Walker will be used in that fashion in any capacity as a rookie. Part of that is on Russell Wilson's lack of juice in the screen game, but the offense itself doesn't predicate much RB pass-game usage. Geno Smith posted a meager 12% RB target rate (three per game) in his three starts last season. Drew Lock was at 17%. The Seahawks have the chance to be a running back by committee and dumpster fire on offense this season for all the reasons I've laid out, which is why I am adamantly against paying the premium for Walker. If this team falls behind in games, there's no telling which RB will even be on the field. I feel so much better about going with one of the many rookie WRs selected in Round 1 ahead of Walker based on his landing spot. Hopefully, opportunities should open in this backfield in Year 2 for Walker with Penny likely leaving in free agency. But does he get replaced with another Day 2 running back? Will Seattle's offense even be efficient in 2023 and beyond? So much uncertainty with this entire situation has me hesitant. |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 6/22: Apparently in "the driver's seat" for Lead-Back duties, but Ken Walker is no joke. Tons of upside still on a team that'll run, run, and run some more. After Penny feasted (Was the RB1 in the Fantasy Playoffs), the team rewards him by... drafting Kenneth Walker. Should still be involved in 1-year deal, but very unlikely to be "the horse" | 6/22: Rashaad Penny in "driver's seat"... but also Ken Walker is a complete HORSE & Penny has big injury history. Easy guy to fall in love with |
| Justin Lampkin Clock Management Fantasy Football | This is one of my favorite draft picks. Ken Walker is going to a team that has been top 5 in run percentage 6 of the last 10 years, and Carroll says he wants to get back to the run. Carson may never paly football again and Penny has never impressed in the opportunities he has been afforded. Ken walker will go later in the draft than where I have him ranked but he will finish the year as a top 15 RB. | |
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | I actually really like Walker landing in Seattle. Carson has health concerns and Penny is on a one year deal. Walker could be the #1 RB in this backfield this year, and his dynasty outlook is great. | |
