Fantasy Football Player Notes
2020 Draft Rankings
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1.
Christian McCaffrey
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
You can try to make the argument that McCaffrey shouldn't go No. 1 overall this year, but you'd lose the argument. Outside of saying, "running backs don't repeat as the top option," there's nothing that should suggest McCaffrey won't. He's not just a running back. He's a wide receiver. He scored 182.5 half-PPR points through the air alone, which would've been the No. 20 wide receiver in fantasy last year, ahead of Stefon Diggs. Even if McCaffrey simply stopped playing football in Week 12, he would've finished as the No. 1 running back by a massive 22.1 PPR points. The new offense and improved quarterback play shouldn't hurt at all.
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2.
Saquon Barkley
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
After an extremely impressive rookie season, Barkley came back down to earth a bit in 2019, though 4.6 yards per carry behind that Giants offensive line is nothing to scoff at. Playing through injury was a clear net-negative to his overall numbers, and something he hopefully learned from. The biggest difference was breakaway runs of 15-plus yards, as Barkley rattled off 20 of them in his rookie season, but just nine of them in his sophomore season. With all the weapons in this offense, you have to wonder just how many targets Barkley will get, but trust me, the Giants are building their offense around him and not anyone else. If Daniel Jones can take a step forward in year two, it'll help open lanes for Barkley. It also doesn't hurt that they dramatically improved the offensive line this offseason.
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3.
Michael Thomas
WR - NO (at CAR)
You know what the craziest thing about Thomas' 2019 season was? Among the top 40 single-game performances throughout the season, he had just one of them, yet he still finished as the No. 1 fantasy receiver by a massive 67.0 half-PPR points. You can argue that another receiver may finish No. 1, but you can't find a safer receiver atop of drafts.
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4.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - DAL (at NYG)
There's only one running back over the last five years who's finished top-six three times, and that's Elliott. Oddly enough, he's never finished as No. 1 though. The Cowboys passing offense just got better with the addition of CeeDee Lamb, and while that may put a cap on Elliott's targets in the passing game, he should be free to rock against seven-man fronts. He saw eight-plus defenders in the box 19.3 percent of the time last year, a number that may dip down into the single digits, provided the Cowboys go three-wide more often than not. Stop trying to find "the next big thing," because Elliott has proven time and time again that he's among the safest picks at the top of the draft. He's posted RB2 or better numbers in 92.9 percent of his career games, which is better than any running back I've ever charted. In fact, the closest is Le'Veon Bell, who's hit that mark 87.0 percent of the time.
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5.
Dalvin Cook
RB - MIN (at DET)
It turns out Gary Kubiak is very good for a run-game. Cook took his game to another level in 2019, finishing as the No. 5 running back despite missing two games. Not only did he total 18-plus carries in eight games, but he also ranked third in yards per route run among running backs. With Stefon Diggs gone, we could see him highlighted even more in the passing game, though Justin Jefferson will eat some of them. Cook also led the league with 21 carries inside the five-yard-line. Health has always been a question mark with Cook, but when healthy, he's easily a top-10 back.
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6.
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN (at HOU)
Yes, Derrick Henry finished with 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns last year en route to a No. 3 finish. Yes, he was dominant in the playoffs. We still can't forget that he was the No. 14 running back in points per game before Week 10 last year, behind David Johnson and Mark Ingram. Should we automatically assume Henry picks up where he left off in 2019? My issue with Henry is that he's not involved in the passing-game, which lowers his weekly floor. That alone will allow us to choose someone like Alvin Kamara over him. Henry is best-suited as a second-round pick rather than one in the first round.
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7.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO (at CAR)
There's just one running back who's had a higher "boom" percentage (25-plus PPR points) than Kamara over the course of their careers, and that's Christian McCaffrey. Kamara has now topped 25 PPR points in 14 of his 45 career games, which is quite ridiculous. His 2019 season was easily his worst to date, though he still finished as the RB12 despite missing two games. The Saints offense continues to groove, and though Drew Brees is still playing great football, his arm strength is declining, which could lead to more targets than every for Kamara, who's averaged 6.7 targets per game over the first three years in a Saints uniform. Provided he doesn't get hurt, Kamara is a near-lock to finish as a top-six running back.
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8.
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
Tyreek Hill has been a very good fantasy asset to have over the last three years. However, he's not someone you want to trust with consistency. For instance, he's posted WR2 or better numbers in just 21-of-43 games over that time. Those numbers pale in comparison to guys like Thomas, Adams, Jones, and Hopkins.
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9.
Davante Adams
WR - GB (at CHI)
I'm convinced that because Adams missed part of the 2019 season, many don't realize just how consistent he's been over the last few years. He's played 27 games over the last two years, and he's scored 16-plus PPR points in 23 of them. The Packers didn't add a wide receiver in the draft, so it's not likely his massive target-share is going away. He's the only other receiver who should be considered close to Michael Thomas in drafts.
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10.
Joe Mixon
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
It's one thing to project a breakout for a player due to an increase in opportunity. It's another thing to project a breakout due to an increase in offensive production. Mixon got the opportunity last year under Zac Taylor, as he totaled 18-plus touches on 10 different occasions. But he'll need the offense to take a step forward in 2020 if he wants to ascend into stardom, as he's been an RB2 or better in just 57 percent of his games over the last two years. You must pay attention to his contract status as you approach drafts because Mixon has stated he'll hold out without an extension. This is a real thing with running backs, as they're trying to preserve their health while cashing in on a second contract. Stay tuned.
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11.
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
Through 10 games last year, Chubb was doing very well and was the No. 4 running back (PPG) in half-PPR formats. Keep in mind that was despite the offense not being very good. From that point forward (when Kareem Hunt joined the offense), Chubb was the No. 18 running back while Hunt was the No. 26 running back. This is clearly more of a timeshare than Chubb owners would like, leaving him best-suited as a high-end RB2 rather than the RB1 he appeared destined to be.
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12.
Julio Jones
WR - ATL (at TB)
You'd have to go all the way back to 2013 to find the last time Julio Jones didnt finish as a top-8 wide receiver in fantasy football, and the only reason he didn't was due to injury (he was the No. 3 wide receiver in points per game that year). Keep in mind he's done all that without scoring a lot of touchdowns. Sure, the Falcons have Calvin Ridley making his way into a bigger role, but you simply cannot find a safer option to finish inside the top-10 every single year.
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13.
Josh Jacobs
RB - LV (at DEN)
We've continually heard that Jacobs is going to be more heavily involved in the passing game, though that never materialized last year, seeing just 27 targets in 13 games played. Then we heard, "we're going to involve him more in 2020." They then re-signed Jalen Richard, added Henry Ruggs, and Lynn Bowden. It's not looking likely that Jacobs sees the 50-plus targets he deserves, which lowers him down the rankings. The overall offense should improve, giving him more scoring opportunities, but relying on touchdowns is a tricky thing. He's best-suited as a high-end RB2 who has RB1 upside if they follow through on the promise to use him more in the passing game.
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14.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - ARI (at LAR)
Moving to a new team/offense is never an easy thing to do, especially when you don't get to have an offseason with your new team. Still, you don't trade for someone like Hopkins to not target him like a true No. 1 wide receiver. With Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk in the lineup, it may be hard for him to reach the 150-target mark like he consistently did with the Texans, but Hopkins has shown the ability to be efficient with practically every quarterback he's played with. Still, it drops him just outside the elite tier of Thomas, Adams, and Jones.
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15.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
We saw Godwin ascend into superstardom last year, compiling over 1,300 yards and nine touchdowns in just 14 games, finishing as the WR2. Insert Tom Brady into the offense, and you suddenly have room for optimism that it continues. The arrival of Rob Gronkowski hurts a bit, but knowing Bruce Arians has used Godwin the way he used Larry Fitzgerald, the numbers should continue to grow. Godwin is a legitimate WR1 in fantasy once again in 2020.
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16.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (vs . LAC)
Kelce has now been a top two fantasy tight end in each of the past four seasons including #1 last year. There is no reason to expect that to change anytime soon considering Kansas City did not add to the stable of pass catchers. You can bet he will be off the board by the end of round two and more than likely, he will return value.
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17.
Kenny Golladay
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
We've watched Golladay ascending into the clear-cut No. 1 role in the Lions offense, and even though he did finish as the No. 6 wide receiver in 2019, there's still some meat left on the bone. Matthew Stafford went down in Week 9 last year. Golladay had four games with 23-plus PPR points with Stafford in the lineup, and just one game with more than 18 PPR points without him. If Stafford can stay healthy, Golladay should return WR1 numbers.
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18.
George Kittle
TE - SF (vs . SEA)
Kittle may not have been the #1 fantasy tight end last season but let's not forget that he missed some time and played through a broken leg. Even still, he scored as many fantasy points per game as Kelce. Kittle is also still coming into his prime and Kelce is over 30 so he should surpass Kelce as the #1 tight end in fantasy this year and makes for a solid mid-second round pick.
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19.
Aaron Jones
RB - GB (at CHI)
Despite having Aaron Rodgers under center, the Packers decided to add a third-string running back and fullback to their roster on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Is that worrisome to Jones' production? Maybe a bit, as Matt LaFleur seems to want to continue his timeshare ways. Jones is by far the most talented, so even if we were to see him dip down to 13-15 touches per game, that's enough for him to do damage, especially considering Rodgers targets him in the passing game. Jones is one of just two running backs (Alvin Kamara is the other) who've finished with a top-30 season over the last 10 years with less than 300 touches. Jones is one of the most efficient running backs in football, though the coaching staff keeps him in RB2 territory.
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20.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
Evans has now finished as a top-10 receiver in 4-of-6 seasons with the Bucs, but will he lose some of his massive target totals from years past? Evans has continually been peppered with targets by Jameis Winston, as he was willing to trust the receiver in jump-ball situations. Tom Brady isn't a risk-taker, as evidenced by his low interception totals. With the ascention of Chris Godwin, arrival of Rob Gronkowski and Keshawn Vaughn, and likely declining pass attempts in the Bucs offense, Evans may lose some of his top-end upside, though he should still remain in the low-end WR1 conversation.
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21.
Kenyan Drake
RB - ARI (at LAR)
It's crazy to see Kenyan Drake not getting the respect he deserved when he performed the way he did under Kliff Kingsbury last year. Since coming over in Week 9, he was the No. 4 running back through the remainder of the fantasy season, and the Cardinals liked him enough to move on from David Johnson and not draft a running back until the seventh round.
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22.
Miles Sanders
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
We all know Doug Pederson has loved his timeshares since coming to the Eagles, and after they moved on from Jordan Howard, many expected them to add a running back in the draft. Things can change, as there are a few free agent running backs out there, but for now, Sanders has the looks of a 15-plus touch running back.
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23.
Amari Cooper
WR - DAL (at NYG)
You won't find a bigger Cooper fan than me, but he may be a tad overrated in the fantasy world. Since arriving in Dallas, he's played 25 games. In those games, he's finished as a WR2 or better in just 11 of them. While it's difficult to find players that hit that mark over 50 percent, you want your WR1 to hit that mark more often than not, which is something Cooper can't say. Now adding CeeDee Lamb to the mix, he may lose some of his target upside, though he didn't have an elite target share to begin with.
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24.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (at CIN)
Andrews was remarkably efficient last season as he managed to finish #4 among all tight ends despite playing less than 50% of Baltimore's snaps. Now that Hayden Hurst is gone Atlanta, the sky is the limit for Andrews. With that said, you'd have to expect his touchdown rate to come crashing back to reality too.
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25.
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL (at CIN)
What Jackson did in 2019 was remarkable on many levels, though many are expecting regression in 2020. Rightfully so, as he threw a touchdown on 9.0 percent of his pass attempts, which ranks 15th all-time, and ahead of Patrick Mahomes' 8.6 percent in 2018. If we dial that back to a managable 5.0 percent, Jackson would've thrown 20 touchdown passes instead of the 36 he did, which would result in 64 less fantasy points. That still would've been the No. 1 quarterback. And then you still have to factor in that he may have some positive regression with rushing touchdowns, as he rushed for 1,206 yards but scored just seven rushing touchdowns, which are worth more than passing touchdowns. By comparison, Josh Allen scored nine rushing touchdowns in 2019 while rushing for just 510 yards. Jackson will regress in passing touchdowns, but he might make up for it with a few more rushing touchdowns. If he stays healthy for all 16 games, he's a lock for top-two quarterback production.
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26.
Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC (vs . LAC)
We talked until we couldn't talk anymore about the regression Mahomes would face in 2019, though many didn't want to believe it. Here's the thing: He's still very good. His 5.4 percent touchdown rate is one that is easily sustainable and one he can even improve on as he continues to grow in his career. Over the last two years, he's produced QB1-type numbers in 21-of-29 games where he's played the entire game (had to leave early against the Broncos in Week 7 last year). That's a ridiculous 72.4 percent rate. To give an idea as to how crazy that is, the highest career rate outside of him since 2000 is 63.2 percent. If you want to take him as the No. 1 quarterback off the board, no one would fault you. He's worthy of a late third-round pick.
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27.
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
Many have already moved on from Beckham, like he wasn't a top-three receiver whenever he took the field for the first five years of his career. I'm unwilling to move him out of the top-10 receivers when practically everyone on the Browns was a disaster last year. Despite his bad 2019 season, Beckham has been a WR2 or better in 64.0 percent of the games over his career. The only players with better rates over their career are Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, and Antonio Brown.
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28.
Austin Ekeler
RB - LAC (at KC)
After seeing Ekeler's contract extension this offseason, it seemed a little light for a workhorse, leading many to believe they'd draft a running back early on. They waited until the fourth round to select UCLA's Joshua Kelley, who's a bigger complementary back. The Chargers offense isn't likely going to be as high scoring as it was with Philip Rivers under center, but Ekeler remains the top dog in the backfield. Still, don't just anticipate this offense is going to be as potent, or that he'll have as many scoring opportunities, which is why he's best-suited as a high-end RB2 than an RB1.
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29.
A.J. Brown
WR - TEN (at HOU)
We all know Brown was a monster over the second half of the season, finishing as the No. 8 wide receiver from Week 7 through Week 16. The issue... he was 47th in targets over that span. That screams regression. While he should progress as a player in his second season, we must anticipate regression with his efficiency. In a run-first offense, Brown should be considered a WR2/3 with upside for more.
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30.
Todd Gurley
RB - ATL (at TB)
The Rams offense was in complete disarray last year, as their offensive line started to crumble, which dragged Gurley's efficiency down the drain. He did show that he's still able to handle a big workload down the stretch, finishing with 98 touches over the final five games. Now going to the Falcons, who have one of the better offensive lines in football, with little competition, Gurley could return to RB1 status. It's a high-scoring offense where the running backs have averaged 1,383 yards and 9.7 touchdowns on the ground, while averaging another 572 yards and 4.7 touchdowns through the air over the last three years. With Ito Smith and Brian Hill the only running backs behind him, Gurley should receive most of the work/production.
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31.
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN (at DET)
Coming off a year in which he played just 10 games while dealing with back issues, many are down on Thielen. You must remember he posted back-to-back 1,200-plus yard seasons before 2019. Not just that, but with the teams forced to stay away from camps, Kirk Cousins won't have much time to develop chemistry with any of the other receivers, so Thielen should be a target monster. He should have a bounceback season.
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32.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - PIT (at CLE)
After the Steelers selected Chase Claypool in the second round, they came out and said that Smith-Schuster will move back into the slot role he played while Antonio Brown was there. That's great news for his outlook, as it allows him to be mismatched with nickel cornerbacks who only come on the field at certain times. Provided Roethlisberger is healthy and returns to normal, Smith-Schuster should return low-end WR1/high-end WR2 numbers.
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33.
Chris Carson
RB - SEA (at SF)
If we knew Carson would be healthy the entire season, he'd be ranked as a top-12 running back. But we don't. There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the Seahawks backfield, as Carson is coming off a season-ending hip injury, while Rashaad Penny is recovering from a torn ACL, and they drafted DeeJay Dallas in the fourth round of the draft. You'll want to pay close attention to this backfield as we approach fantasy draft season.
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34.
Allen Robinson
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
The Bears offense revolves around Robinson, plain and simple. They didn't fix the offensive line, which means running the ball will be difficult again. They also didn't replace Taylor Gabriel's 5.6 targets per game that he was receiving under Matt Nagy with anyone noteworthy in the draft or free agency. There's a realistic scenario where Robinson sees 150-plus targets this year. If you want to go RB heavy in the first few rounds, Robinson could make for a solid low-end WR1.
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35.
Leonard Fournette
RB - JAC (at IND)
After trying to trade him prior to the NFL Draft, Fournette appears destined to play for the Jaguars once again in 2020. With Jay Gruden calling the offense, they should be much more efficient this year, though Fournette's volume made him a great play throughout 2019. The only running backs who offered RB2 or better numbers more often than Fournette in 2019 were Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott, Dalvin Cook, and Austin Ekeler. Do they go with more of a timeshare under Gruden? it's possible, but he should still offer low-end RB1 value.
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36.
D.J. Moore
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
The new offense should be exciting, as should the arrival of Teddy Bridgewater, who is an upgrade over what Moore had throwing to him last year. The issue is that the Panthers decided to add another target to the offense, snagging Robby Anderson in free agency. It'll make his target share a bit lower, though the defense is in severe rebuild mode, which should allow for more pass attempts. Moore remains a relatively safe WR2 even if his upside took a hit.
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37.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
Remember last year when Kupp was the No. 2 wide receiver through eight weeks? While he scored touchdowns in five straight games to close out the season, he was the No. 44 wide receiver from Weeks 9-16. It does help that Brandin Cooks is gone, but the emergence of Tyler Higbee is what cooled Kupp off. The Rams seem to change things quite often, so you'd draft Kupp as a WR2 hoping they target him like they did at the start of 2019.
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38.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
Let me be clear about this: The Jerry Jeudy draft pick was a great one for the Broncos, as was the KJ Hamler one. However, from a fantasy standpoint, they were terrible for Sutton. He saw 125 targets last year with absolutely no competition on the roster. Now, with Jeudy, Hamler, Melvin Gordon, and year two Noah Fant in the mix, Sutton should be considered unlikely to match that number in 2020 and beyond.
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39.
Calvin Ridley
WR - ATL (at TB)
Prior to getting hurt and having his season cut short, Ridley was on pace for 1,066 yards and eight touchdowns in 2019, which would have had him as the WR14. Now going into his third NFL season, there's a real chance for a breakout, though Julio Jones isn't going away any time soon. If you want to know if there's room for both to be WR1s, look no further than the Bucs last year with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, though it's rare for that to happen. Still, Ridley is an ascending talent and the Falcons didn't add a receiver of significance to replace Mohamed Sanu.
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40.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
I had Edwards-Helaire as my top running back in this year's class due to the way he fits the NFL today. He's a true three-down back who can catch 80-plus passes out of the backfield, while running for 1,000-plus yards. Landing with the Chiefs was a dream scenario, especially in the first round. Over the last seven years, running backs who've been drafted in the first round have averaged 280.7 touches in year one. 75 percent of them have finished as an RB2 or better. Don't think this is Darwin Thompson all over again, as he was a sixth-round pick last year, and those average just 29.8 touches in year one. This is Edwards-Helaire's backfield after Andy Reid said he's better than Brian Westbrook on film. You don't take those players off the field very often. He's worth a second-round pick and would be a steal in the third round.
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41.
Melvin Gordon
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
He left the Chargers at the right time, as they're going to be going through a transitional period. Instead, he joins a now-exciting Broncos offense that suddenly has tons of firepower. You don't add Gordon in free agency if you don't plan on using him as your lead back. The potential upside is that new offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur has been a one-back kind of guy, so it's possible that Phillip Lindsay is just there to give Gordon breathers when he needs them. With Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler, and Noah Fant out there are receiving threats, Gordon should see a lot of light fronts this year. He's a middling RB2 with RB1 upside if they decide to give him 15-plus touches per game.
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42.
Robert Woods
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
Despite scoring just two touchdowns last year, Woods was able to finish as the No. 17 wide receiver. Why do we continually doubt that his production will continue? Under Sean McVay, he's been a WR2 or better in 21-of-43 games, which is the same as Tyreek Hill. He may not have the upside that Hill does, but as a WR2 on your team, he's gold.
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43.
DeVante Parker
WR - MIA (at BUF)
There were two wide receivers who hit at least 55 yards in 13 games last season. Michael Thomas and Parker. He didn't rely on touchdowns to score fantasy points. Knowing that Ryan Fitzpatrick will be back, and that Tua Tagovailoa may take over at some point, Parker should remain in the WR2 conversation most weeks. He did finish as the No. 7 wide receiver last year, but the team now has an improved defense and run-game, which will remove some volume from the passing offense.
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44.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (at SF)
It seemed like he picked up in 2019 right where he left off in 2018, as he was the No. 4 wide receiver through nine weeks, but then trailed off as the year went on. He was just the No. 61 wide receiver from Week 10 through Week 16 while D.K. Metcalf emerged, and that continued into the playoffs. It's likely we see more pass attempts out of the Seahawks in 2020, so there should be room for both Lockett and Metcalf to be WR2/3 options with WR1 upside nearly every week.
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45.
Zach Ertz
TE - PHI (vs . WAS)
Ertz has been solid for a handful of years now, but he has never been a top two fantasy tight end, if you can believe it. In fact, last season he led the Eagles entire team by 50 targets and managed to finish just #5 among fantasy tight ends. With Goedert continuing to emerge plus the addition of Reagor and the returns of Alshon/DeSean Jackson, the 29-year-old Ertz should take a further step back.
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46.
D.K. Metcalf
WR - SEA (at SF)
We can't forget that Metcalf had a knee scope just two weeks prior to last season, and that he was considered a "raw receiver" by many who thought he'd take time to develop. During his rookie season, we watched him top 60 yards on nine separate occasions, which was tied for the 10th most among wide receivers. We all know touchdowns will come playing alongside Russell Wilson, too. Metcalf has legitimate WR1 upside if his development continues. After all, we did see him set the rookie record for receiving yards (160) in a playoff game.
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47.
Keenan Allen
WR - LAC (at KC)
Many have underrated Allen for a long time, though it may be time for the tables to turn, as I'm somewhat down on the top-tier route runner. With Tyrod Taylor and/or Justin Herbert under center, the Chargers are not going to be throwing the ball a whole lot. There were nearly 600 targets to go around last year, which could be cut down to around the 500 mark, and that would severely impact Allen's targets. Not just that, but his efficiency is likely to come down with the decline in quarterback play. His talent should help get him into WR2 territory, but I think the days of him being a WR1 are in the rearview mirror.
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48.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
It's looking like a very good possibility for Taylor to see 250-plus carries in his rookie season. Some may think that's absurd, but Marlon Mack totaled 247 carries in just 14 games last year. Even if we give Mack the 100 carries that Jordan Wilkins and Jonathan Williams combined for last year, it'd leave room for Taylor to hit the 250 mark. He's also running behind the best offensive line in football, so it wouldn't be a shock to see him rush for 1,200 yards in year one with his vision and speed in the open field. Taylor is right in the same territory as someone like Nick Chubb.
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49.
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
He's entering the final year of his contract with the Colts and is likely to lead them in targets. Some may be concerned about last year, but Jacoby Brissett wasn't the guy to get him the ball. Philip Rivers, on the other hand, he can sling it. Going back to Hilton with Andrew Luck in the Frank Reich offense, he finished with WR2-type numbers in 64.3 percent of his games. The addition of Michael Pittman and Jonathan Taylor may bring down his touchdown upside, but he should remain a consistent WR3, at worst.
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50.
Mark Ingram II
RB - BAL (at CIN)
Not many expecting Ingram to finish as an RB1 with Lamar Jackson under center, thinking he'd lose some of the goal-line carries to the mobile quarteback. Despite the fact that Ingram had more than 15 carries just twice all season, he finished as the No. 8 running back. We aren't banking on that happening again, especially when the Ravens drafted JK Dobbins in the second round of the NFL Draft. Ingram is going to be 31 years old this year, while Dobbins and Justice Hill have young, fresh legs. We could see Ingram lose a few carries a game, but provided he's healthy, we should still expect him to lead this timeshare and be a borderline RB2.
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51.
David Johnson
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
The Texans gave their running backs 397 touches last year, and that was with DeAndre Hopkins on the roster. That's a lot of work. The only running back they've added was David Johnson. While Johnson looked horrendous down the stretch, it's possible he just tried to work his way back from injury way too soon. It appears Bill O'Brien isn't convinced that Johnson is done with his NFL career, like some. It's possible that he's not as electric as he once was, but guys, the Texans gave Carlos Hyde (who's still unemployed) 255 touches last year. Opportunity is key in fantasy football, and Johnson appears to be in line for a lot of it in 2020, making him a low-end RB2 with upside for more should he actually be healthy.
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52.
Stefon Diggs
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
Now that Diggs is out of Minnesota, will he become the fantasy superstar that we thought he could be? He tallied just 94 targets last year, and that's despite Adam Thielen being hurt for half the season. Diggs has seen more than 112 targets just once in his career, a number that should be attainable in Buffalo, though John Brown and Cole Beasley both topped 100 targets last year. To think Diggs can be more than a WR2, they'd have to severely cut Brown's and Beasley's targets to get him there. With Josh Allen's inconsistency throwning the ball down the field, it'd be unwise to trust Diggs as anything more than a low-end WR2 in fantasy.
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53.
Le'Veon Bell
RB - NYJ (at NE)
You're going to see Bell fall down draft boards this year, and further than he should. That's odd for me to say, as Bell was someone I was avoiding like the plague in drafts. The difference? Expectations. Playing him as your first-round pick in your RB1 slot was never something anyone should've expected, especially behind that offensive line and in Gase's offense. While he's still stuck in Gase's offense, the offensive line was upgraded quite a bit this offseason, which should allow Bell more room to work. Even if he repeated his 2019 performance, that's RB2 production. There were just 11 running backs who produced RB2 or better numbers more often than him. Sure, he didn't have a ton of weekly upside, but he was safe. Now coming off the board outside the top three rounds, Bell is a value play.
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54.
David Montgomery
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
There's only one direction for Montgomery and the Bears offense to go this year, right? They didn't address the offensive line as aggressive as I thought they would, but Mongtomery's role is safe as the only running back on the roster capable of handling 15-plus carries per game. It's also worth noting that despite not starting right out of the gate, Montgomery ranked sixth in the NFL for carries inside the five-yard-line. He may be a low-end RB2, but he's still an RB2 who's locked into 15-plus touches per game.
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55.
Dak Prescott
QB - DAL (at NYG)
He might have the best starting trio in the NFL after the Cowboys snagged CeeDee Lamb at No. 17 overall. We all knew they needed a third wide receiver to play in three-wide sets, but no one thought Lamb would fall to them. The Cowboys are going to find a way to lock him into a long-term contract, and it'd be wise to do it before he explodes statistically. Prescott is the best fantasy quarterback not named Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes.
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56.
James Conner
RB - PIT (at CLE)
If Conner were able to stay on the field, he'd be considered as a top-10 running back in fantasy. Unfortunately, he hasn't done that, and it's led them to draft Jaylen Samuels, Benny Snell, and now Anthony McFarland. While none of them are better than Conner, it's likely we see them take some of the workload away from him in 2020.
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57.
D.J. Chark
WR - JAC (at IND)
It was an up-and-down season for Chark in 2019, though he certainly put his name on the map for fantasy enthusiasts. He had six games with 15-plus half-PPR points, but also had eight games with less than 9.0 half-PPR points, which is going to hurt fantasy lineups. The Jaguars also added a couple of wide receivers in the draft, including Laviska Shenault in the second round. Chark certainly has WR2 upside, but he also has a lower floor than most want to admit.
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58.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (at PHI)
McLaurin came out of nowhere as a waiver wire acquisition last year, finishing as the No. 27 wide receiver on a bad offense. It wasn't all pretty, as he had four games with less than 40 yards, but they were going through a lot of changes on the offense. They reportedly tried to acquire Amari Cooper, but after failing to land him, they fell back on Antonio Gandy-Golden in the fourth round of the draft. He's not going to threaten McLaurin's lead role on the team. It's safe to say we should expect 100-plus targets in year two, even if they aren't highly efficient coming from Dwayne Haskins.
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59.
Darren Waller
TE - LV (at DEN)
Waller was extremely consistent last year and managed to finish #4 among fantasy tight ends but he was virtually the only receiving threat on the entire team. Now that they grabbed three quality wideouts in the draft, his target share should take a big of a step back. Even so, he is one of the few reliable tight ends.
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60.
Russell Wilson
QB - SEA (at SF)
Wilson is about as safe as they come at the quarterback position, as he's now been a top-12 quarterback in each of his eight seasons, while finishing top-three four different times. He does that by staying on the field, as he's as durable as they come. His 48.1 percent QB1 hit-rate ranks 10th since 2000, though he refuses to bust, scoring fewer than 14.0 fantasy points in just 27.3 percent of his games, which ranks as the fifth-lowest mark in that time. He's reportedly asked the Seahawks brass to unleash the passing game a bit more in 2020, which could give him a bit more upside. We already know the floor is there.
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61.
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI (at LAR)
The hype was there for Murray in 2019, though he went through his ups and downs as a rookie. Now heading into his second year, a leap should be expected, especially since the Cardinals added DeAndre Hopkins to his weaponry and Larry Fitzgerald chose to return for another season. The Cardinals defense is still in rebuild mode, so we should see more shootout potential in 2020, which gives Murray top-three upside.
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62.
A.J. Green
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
It's amazing to see so many fantasy analysts down on Green, like he hasn't been a top-12 receiver every year he's been on the field. Sure, he's got some injury concerns and is aging, but I'll always side with the surefire producer. He's also never played with a quarterback as good as Joe Burrow. Don't sleep on Green this season.
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63.
Devin Singletary
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
There were many celebrating the end of the Frank Gore era in Buffalo, but they went out and added one of my favorite backs in the draft, Zack Moss, to use in that Gore role. GM Brandon Beane said, "I think more of the goal line and things like that as we did with Frank last year, you'll see Zack do. I think Devin will do a similar role that he had." This is your reminder that Singletary had just two carries inside the five-yard-line all year, while Josh Allen had five, and Frank Gore had 11. That's a crushing blow to Singletary's value.
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64.
Deebo Samuel
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
It was odd to see Samuel finish as a top-30 wide receiver last year, because it didn't feel that way throughout the year. He saw just 81 targets and had just two games with more than eight targets. The 49ers offense is going to be run-heavy, but Samuel will be the go-to guy when they do drop back to pass. He's also included in the run-game, as evidenced by his 159 rushing yards and three touchdowns last year. It's tough to see him having a true breakout season, but finishing in WR2 territory is within the realm of possibilities.
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65.
Raheem Mostert
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
After the way Mostert played in the playoffs, many were looking forward to a 2020 breakout season, and it helps knowing that Matt Breida was traded to the Dolphins. The issue is that they are getting Jerick McKinnon back, still have Tevin Coleman, and Jeff Wilson. The passing game also got a new weapon, which could lead to slightly more pass attempts. Despite being on the roster the past two years under Shanahan, Mostert has received 171 carries in 25 games. It's tough to see that changing drastically. There's a chance, which is why he's in the high-end RB3 conversation, but there's also a chance you can't start him with confidence every week.
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66.
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU (vs . TEN)
Let's be clear: Losing your No. 1 receiver (DeAndre Hopkins) that you targeted nearly 10 times per game is going to hurt production, especially when he was the type of receiver you could throw the ball up to in one-on-one situations and expect him to win. The Texans now have Will Fuller, Brandin Cooks, Randall Cobb, Kenny Stills, and Keke Coutee as his primary receivers. That's a list complied of speed and slot... that's it. Watson might be running more than ever in 2020, which is very appealing to fantasy owners, but his efficiency through the air is going to come down. We've never seen Watson without Hopkins, so he comes with an additional level of concern that you don't want when selecting a quarterback in the top six rounds.
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67.
Jarvis Landry
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
Landry is seemingly always undervalued and it's risky doing it again, but he did have hip surgery this offseason, and we are expecting much more out of Odell Beckham. Not just that, but the addition of Austin Hooper means they're going to target the tight end position a lot more under Kevin Stefanski. It just doesn't feel likely that Landry will see the 138 or 149 targets he did over the last two seasons. Still, here's a fun fact: There have been three wide receivers who've been top-24 fantasy options in each of the last five seasons. Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and Landry.
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68.
Michael Gallup
WR - DAL (at NYG)
I think there were a lot of people shocked by the Cowboys selecting CeeDee Lamb at No. 17 overall considering how well Gallup has played to this point. Sure, the Cowboys needed a third wide receiver, but Lamb was the worst-case scenario for Gallup, who's likely moving down to third on the totem pole, capping his potential.
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69.
Josh Allen
QB - BUF (vs . MIA)
I'm not questioning Allen's ability to finish as a top-eight quarterback (where he's being drafted), because he finished as the No. 6 quarterback last year. However, his rushing touchdowns will come back down to earth. He scored nine of them in 2019, while Lamar Jackson scored seven rushing for more than double Allen's yards. The addition of Stefon Diggs won't hurt Allen's passing totals, but it's on the ground where he makes most of his marks, and I'm expecting that to regress.
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70.
D'Andre Swift
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
Some are automatically assuming that Swift will get 20 touches per game in the Lions offense, though I'm not part of that group. Kerryon Johnson has been solid for the Lions when on the field, though he's had issues staying on the field, and the Lions are tired of bringing in guys like LeGarrette Blount, C.J. Anderson, and Bo Scarbrough. So, they'll likely work both running backs to keep them healthy and fresh. I do believe Swift is the better back, hence the higher ranking, but expecting more than 12-14 touches per game out of the gate would be a mistake.
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71.
Hunter Henry
TE - LAC (at KC)
Henry was banged up once again last season but still produced double-digit fantasy points per game while on the field. The issue here, is that the Chargers' quarterback situation is a downgrade this year. If he can stay healthy, Henry is a lock for a top-ten tight end and is young enough that he has upside for much more.
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72.
Tyler Boyd
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
Do you believe the Bengals will be a better football team in 2020? If you do, that could be harmful to Boyd's output. He totaled 60-plus yards in nine games last year, with all of them being losses where he racked up some targets. Granted, the Bengals didn't win many games in 2019, but the return of A.J. Green will also cap his target share. Still, there is some reason for optimism, as Boyd has now finished with 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons, and will get an upgrade at quarterback. He's best viewed as a WR3 with upside to make it into the top 15.
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73.
Evan Engram
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
We heard rumors that the Giants were looking to trade Engram, though I wasn't ever certain that would be the case. As it turns out, he's their guy. The Giants don't have a prototypical No. 1 wide receiver who'll steal 140-plus targets, so Engram should be right back in the middling TE1 conversation this year.
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74.
Marquise Brown
WR - BAL (at CIN)
When your team is throwing the ball just 439 times the entire season, it's going to be hard to become a consistent fantasy option. It's going to be even harder when you're a rookie who was coming off foot surgery and dealing with ankle injuries throughout the year. That was the reality for Brown, who played just 14 games, yet finished as a top-50 fantasy wide receiver. The team added a few wide receivers in the draft ,but no one who should trump him in targets. If the Ravens drop back to pass a bit more in 2020, Brown could be a legitimate breakout option, though he shouldn't be drafted as anything more than an upside WR3/4.
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75.
Sony Michel
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
Michel has justifiably fallen out of favor for fantasy owners after yet another sub-par year, and there's little excitement about him this year. He has averaged nearly 16 carries per game in his career, however, and may be asked to carry more of a load now that Tom Brady is no longer under center. But his upside is limited by two roadbloacks: the presence of James White, Rex Burkhead, and Damien Harris, and his complete lack of involvement in the passing game. Michel has just 31 targets and 19 receptions over his 29 career games. In standard scoring leagues, there's a chance he may be slightly undervalued, but it would be hard to rely on him as anything more than a bench player in or half- or full-PPR leagues.
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76.
Julian Edelman
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
As of now, it appears Edelman will have Jarred Stidham throwing him the ball in 2020. Is that a good thing? We don't really know just yet, though his 9.2-yard average depth of target shouldn't be impacted by quarterback play too much. Unless you're expecting Mohamed Sanu or N'Keal Harry to hit 100-plus targets, Edelman should be safe to hit the century mark, even if the offense is less potent than in years past. But also don't forget to take his injury history into consideration, as the reward might not be worth the risk anymore without Tom Brady there.
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77.
Marvin Jones
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
When doing the "Boom, Bust, and Everything In Between" series, I can't help but notice how undervalued Jones is nearly every season. The "bust" score is anything less than 8.0 PPR points. Jones busted just 23.1 percent in 2019, the 22nd lowest mark among wide receivers. He was at just 22.2 percent in 2018, the 25th lowest mark. And lastly, he was at just 18.8 percent in 2017, the ninth-lowest mark. Meanwhile, he'll give you big games here and there while not completely tanking your team. If you want to wait at wide receiver in your draft and play him as your WR3, it's not that bad.
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78.
Will Fuller
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
The definition of a boom-or-bust player, as Fuller has posted WR1-type numbers in 23.8 percent of his games, which ranks 30th among wide receivers since 2000. The issue is that he's posted WR3 or better numbers in just 33.3 percent of his games, which ranks 94th (right behind Donte Moncrief) during that time. The loss of Deandre Hopkins should provide him with a more stable target floor, though Brandin Cooks is arguably a better football player than Fuller and will steal a lot of those targets. The chemistry between Fuller and Deshaun Watson has to be taken into account, but so does the injury history. Ideally, you draft him as a WR4 that you can rely on as a WR3 while healthy.
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79.
Drew Brees
QB - NO (at CAR)
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80.
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL (at TB)
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81.
Derrius Guice
RB - WAS (at PHI)
Guice has played in only five of 32 games in his young NFL career due to injuries, but has looked explosive when he has made it onto the field. His stock is certainly trending up as he approaches the 2020 season in full health, but the Redskins have dropped every signal in the world that they're not ready to turn the reins over to Guice just yet. The Washington backfield consists of Guice, Adrian Peterson, Peyton Barber, J.D. McKissic, Antonio Gibson, and Bryce Love, and while not every one of these options may be on the roster come Week 1, it's going to be a crowded backfield nonetheless. The best bet is to draft Guice as a bench player with upside and hope he breaks out.
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82.
Tyler Higbee
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
Up until Week 10, Higbee was an afterthought owned in less than 2% of fantasy leagues but from the time the Rams added him to the starting lineup, Higbee went for over 500 receiving yards in five weeks. There is a chance he leaps to the top tier of fantasy tight ends in 2020 but there is some risk here compared to the other second-tier tight ends.
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83.
Kareem Hunt
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
The Browns are going to have a new offense in 2020, so we can't automatically assume that Hunt will be as big as he was in the gameplanning process in 2020. From the time he entered the lineup last year, he was the No. 26 running back in half-PPR formats while Nick Chubb was the No. 18 running back. The reason we have to assume he'll have a role is due to the Browns tendering him with a second rounder instead of moving on. Chubb is the superior play in this backfield, but it's important to note that Hunt has standalone value, while also offering league-winning handcuff value. If Chubb were to miss time, Hunt would be a top-five play.
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84.
John Brown
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
Brown was the definition of consistency last year, finishing with at least 10.4 PPR points in 13-of-15 games. The issue was that he lacked upside, topping 20 PPR points just twice all year. Now adding Stefon Diggs to the offense, his target share is going to dip and make him much more inconsistent, as they're both perimeter players who'll compete for targets. After seeing 115 targets in 2019, it's possible that number dips into the 80-90 range in 2020. This receiving corps will be better for real life football in 2020, but fantasy-wise, there's likely to be a lot of bumpy roads.
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85.
Jared Cook
TE - NO (at CAR)
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86.
Brandin Cooks
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
There have been just nine wide receivers who've finished as top-24 fantasy options in at least four of the last five seasons: Julio Jones, Mike Evans, Jarvis Landry, DeAndre Hopkins, Antonio Brown, Davante Adams, Amari Cooper, and... Cooks. Keep in mind he's done that while playing for three different teams, so he's essentially team-proof. Concussions were problematic in 2019 and will be a problem moving forward in his career, as another one could end it. While on the field, though, he's proven to have a WR2 floor in the NFL. We can't pretend that going to Deshaun Watson isn't an upgrade from Jared Goff, either. The issue is that Will Fuller plays a similar role and has chemistry with Watson. Cooks can likely be drafted as a WR4, but he'll be a starter when he's on the field.
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87.
Mike Williams
WR - LAC (at KC)
If there's one thing I know, it's that Mike Williams is going to miss Philip Rivers throwing him the ball in tight one-on-one situations. Rivers was intercepted an amazing eight times while targeting Williams, which led all wide receivers, and he saw just 90 targets. Tyrod Taylor isn't someone who takes a lot of risks, and if Justin Herbert is put under center, they won't be throwing a whole lot with a rookie quarterback. Williams is a very risky fantasy selection in 2020.
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88.
Cam Akers
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
The Rams were going to draft a running back - we knew that after they interviewed a ton of them in the draft process. What we didn't know was that they'd take one with their first pick in the draft. While Darrell Henderson is a threat to Akers' overall workload, they clearly know what they have in Henderson, and drafted Akers early. It seems like Henderson is going to be the lesser part of the timeshare, while Akers is the early-down back and likely to receive goal-line work. There's a chance Henderson has a bigger role than anticipated, which prevents us from trusting Akers as anything more than a high-end RB3.
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89.
Carson Wentz
QB - PHI (vs . WAS)
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90.
Tom Brady
QB - TB (vs . ATL)
If you're looking for a competent quarterback to platoon with, Brady should be a solid target. However, you must understand what you're sacrificing by drafting him. Upside. Of the top 100 fantasy games by quarterbacks over the last two years, Brady has accounted for precisely zero of them. Sure, he has the best receiving corps he's ever had, but he also hasn't had an entire offseason to work with them.
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91.
Aaron Rodgers
QB - GB (at CHI)
It was a foregone conclusion that the Packers would add some wide receiver help for Rodgers in the draft. Not only did they not draft a wide receiver, but they also traded up and drafted a quarterback in the first round. The way the Packers drafted suggest that they don't realize they have an all-time great as their quarterback. Here's a fun stat: Rodgers has thrown 364 touchdowns in his career. Just one of them has gone to a player drafted in the first round. The Packers aren't going to become a pass-first team under Matt LaFleur, meaning Rodgers won't be a fantasy stud. Still, he's played at least 15 games 10 times in his career, and has never finished worse than the No. 9 quarterback.
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92.
Austin Hooper
TE - CLE (vs . PIT)
When it comes to tight ends, it's all about targets. Going back to 2009, there have been just 11 tight ends who've finished top-10 without seeing a minimum of 80 targets, which might be difficult for Hooper to come by with his new team. Not only do they have Odell Beckham, Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb, and Kareem Hunt, but Hooper is now part of a crowded tight end room with David Njoku and Harrison Bryant (who they drafted in the fourth round). Kevin Stefanski's offense in Minnesota did run a lot of 2TE sets, but their top three tight ends combined for just 105 targets, and none had more than 48 targets.
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93.
Christian Kirk
WR - ARI (at LAR)
Kirk went from someone who was set to have a massive amount of targets come his way once Larry Fitzgerald retired, but now that he's announced his return, and the team has traded for DeAndre Hopkins, Kirk suddenly might be stuck as a fringe fantasy option. Kirk did see 107 targets in just 13 games last year, and it's not like Fitzgerald is getting any younger/better. You don't want to write him off completely, but he fits in more as a low-end WR3/high-end WR4 in 2020.
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94.
Jordan Howard
RB - MIA (at BUF)
Howard is perpetually undervalued in fantasy football, in part because of his lack of success as a receiver. But over his four-year career, he's totaled 3,895 yards rushing, 30 touchdowns, and a 4.3 YPC average. Those numbers are more than adequate for fantasy purposes, especially considering Howard should get the bulk of the work for the Dolphins. While Matt Breida should siphon off some carries, Howard will likely be the primary ball carrier and the goal-line option, making him a Flex option in standard leagues.
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95.
Kerryon Johnson
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
We all know Johnson's struggled to stay on the field over his first two seasons, and it led the Lions to draft D'Andre Swift at the top of the second round. You don't draft a running back at the top of the second round to not use him. Johnson's skillset clashes with that of Swift, so it's unlikely he sees more than 10-12 touches per game.
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96.
Marlon Mack
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
We never reached the expected performance out of Mack behind the Colts top-tier offensive line, so why shouldn't we have expected them to draft a running back? Drafting Jonathan Taylor in the second round was a straight dagger to Mack's value in any format. He'll be lucky to get eight touches per game in that offense this year.
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97.
Phillip Lindsay
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
I don't think I've ever seen someone glanced over as easily as Lindsay in both real life and fantasy. Over the last two years, here are the only players who have more rushing yards than him: Ezekiel Elliott, Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, Christian McCaffrey, Chris Carson, Saquon Barkley, Joe Mixon, and Todd Gurley.
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98.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
Did you know there wasn't a single game in 2019 where Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate, Slayton, Evan Engram, and Saquon Barkley were on the field together? That's an issue for Slayton's projection in 2020, as he's clearly the fourth or fifth option in the pass-attack. Add in the inconsistency of Daniel Jones, and you have yourself a very high-risk wide receiver who's being taken over some valuable commodities.
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99.
Matthew Stafford
QB - DET (vs . MIN)
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100.
Damien Williams
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
There are some who aren't convinced Williams' value is completely gone, but rest assured, it is. There have been just two running backs drafted in the first round under Andy Reid: LeSean McCoy and Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Reid said that Edwards-Helaire is better than Brian Westbrook on film, and Patrick Mahomes pulled for them to draft Edwards-Helaire. They're going to use him as much as they can, which means Williams is going to be there to offer a breather from time-to-time. He's an elite handcuff, but that's about it.
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101.
Ronald Jones II
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
We heard the Bucs say all offseason that Jones was their guy. We didn't even hear about them meeting with any of the free agent running backs. Then we heard the name Keshawn Vaughn in the third round, creating a problem for Jones. When teams select a running back on Day 2, it's typically to play them right out of the gate, even if it's not a clear-cut loss of the job for Jones. No matter which way you slice it, he has some new and improved competition.
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102.
Sterling Shepard
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
In a season where he was dealing with injuries and a rookie quarterback, Shepard still posted WR2 or better numbers in 40 percent of his games, which ranked 33rd among wide receivers. Now, to be fair, the offense has changed, but it doesn't appear the new regime is very fond of Evan Engram, as evidenced by putting him on the trade block during the NFL Draft. Golden Tate is aging, and while Darius Slayton did flash at times, it was a relatively small sample size. It shouldn't shock anyone to see Shepard get 100-plus targets in 2020 and finish as a WR3, though you do have to wonder what his upside actually is with so many mouths to feed.
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103.
Emmanuel Sanders
WR - NO (at CAR)
Sanders is getting up there in age, but there were few better landing spots for him than New Orleans. As with his new counterpart Michael Thomas, Sanders has an elite catch rate, and will now have perhaps the most accurate passer in the history of the NFL throwing him the ball. His upside is limited by inability to find the end zone, as he hasn't scored more than four touchdowns in a season since 2016. But he should see plenty of targets, enough to make him a borderline WR3 most weeks in half- of full-PPR leagues.
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104.
Matt Breida
RB - MIA (at BUF)
There are a lot of fantasy owners expecting Jordan Howard to be the lead back in Miami, though if I'm being honest, Breida may be the better option, and he's much cheaper. While health has been an issue for Breida, he's performed when given opportunity and will get most of the passing-down work in 2020. Staying on the field has been and will continue to be an obstacle.
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105.
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
During the scouting process, I felt like Vaughn was just a guy, not a difference maker. That's not to say he wouldn't be able to produce if given the opportunity, but I don't think opportunity will simply be given to him. Don't forget that David Johnson saw just 161 touches his rookie season under Bruce Arians, and that was while he was extremely efficient. Interestingly enough, he was also a third-round pick. This is a situation to monitor throughout the offseason.
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106.
Tevin Coleman
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
Coleman had several excellent games, but was all but irrelevant late in the year when Raheem Mostert took over as the primary back. Mostert will almost certainly lead the way in 2020, but given the turnover in 2019, Coleman could get his shot again at some point. If he does receive the lion's share of the carries in San Francisco, it's a perfect situation, as the 49ers ran the ball 51% of the time last year, second most in the league. Heading into 2020 drafts, however, Coleman is nothing more than a high-end handcuff for your bench.
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107.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - BAL (at CIN)
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108.
Jamison Crowder
WR - NYJ (at NE)
Did you know Crowder finished as the No. 31 wide receiver in half-PPR formats last year? The Jets moved on from Robby Anderson and brought in Breshad Perriman, who's now with his fourth team in as many years, and drafted rookie Denzel Mims in the second round. While you can assume those players walk in and see targets, it's Crowder who'll likely be Darnold's go-to guy. He may not be a sexy pick, but he'll get the job done for a cheap WR4.
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109.
Noah Fant
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
While the Titans have a great defense overall, they struggled to contain pass catchers over the middle of the field and ended up as a bottom-five unit against the tight end position last year. Fant has some seasonal upside but is primarily just a Week 1 streamer. He carries an ADP of TE13 so he should be available in the closing rounds of your draft. You can snag him for this quality Week 1 matchup before dumping him before three tough matches in the following four weeks at Pittsburgh, at Jamal Adams and the Jets then at New England.
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110.
Robby Anderson
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
One thing to watch with Anderson to the Panthers is that he's reunited with his old coach Matt Rhule from college. That's a check in the plus column for him, though there are a lot of mouths to feed in the Panthers offense. D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, and Ian Thomas have all shown ability to produce with targets, while Anderson has been extremely hit-or-miss while asked to be "the guy" in New York. He's best viewed as a bench option with week-to-week upside.
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111.
Latavius Murray
RB - NO (at CAR)
Did everyone forget what happened when Alvin Kamara had to miss time last year? It was only two weeks, but in those two games, Murray destroyed the Bears and Cardinals to the tune of 307 total yards and four total touchdowns. He's legitimately a league-winner if Kamara misses time. This is what handcuff dreams are made of. He's also going to have bye week appeal, even when Kamara is on the field.
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112.
Anthony Miller
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
Despite playing with Mitch Trubisky, Miller has now seen 139 targets in his first two seasons, compiling 85 receptions for 1,079 yards and nine touchdowns. By comparison, Robert Woods saw 139 targets last year, finishing with 90 receptions for 1,134 yards and two touchdowns. But for whatever reason, Matt Nagy has chosen not to let Miller flourish in the Bears offense. There were just seven games he saw more than three targets. In those seven games, he totaled 42 receptions for 547 yards, and two touchdowns. With Taylor Gabriel gone, it's very possible that Miller becomes more of a staple in the offense. He's best viewed as a WR4/5-type option with WR3 upside.
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113.
James White
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
White derives almost all of his value from his prowess as a receiver, as he's topped 67 carries just once in his career. While his work in the passing game (218 targets, 159 receptions over the past two years) has kept him as a solid, if perhaps inconsistent, fantasy option, it's unclear if that will continue this season. He will undoubtedly remain the Patriots' passing-down back, but it's unlikely that he'll see quite the same production with Jarrett Stidham. He'll remain an option in PPR leagues, but that's likely the only format in which he'll be relevant.
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114.
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE (vs . PIT)
Do you recall how horrendous Jared Goff was under Jeff Fisher back in 2016 where he averaged just 5.3 yards per attempt while throwing five touchdowns and seven interceptions? The very next year, Goff averaged 8.0 yards per attempt with 28 touchdowns and seven interceptions. It just goes to show how big of an effect a coach can have on an offense, especially one led by a young quarterback. Is Kevin Stefanski the right coach? Time will tell, but don't forget Mayfield was being drafted as the No. 4 quarterback in fantasy drafts last year. The talent is there and the surrounding cast got even better.
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115.
Ben Roethlisberger
QB - PIT (at CLE)
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116.
Diontae Johnson
WR - PIT (at CLE)
Johnson is going to be a trendy breakout pick this year, considering he managed to find success as a part-time player with continually sub-par quarterbacks throwing him the ball. Despite that, Johnson was the 40th-ranked wide receiver in standard scoring formats. An elite route-runner, Johnson now has the chance to blossom into a reliable starting wide receiver with Ben Roethlisberger back throwing him the ball. Still, Johnson is more of an upside play, and should be drafted as a bench receiver with a high ceiling.
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117.
Daniel Jones
QB - NYG (vs . DAL)
Here's a fun fact: Jones had two top-10 single performances by a quarterback in 2019. The only other quarterbacks who can say that are Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson. He hit the "boom" mark in 30.8 percent of his starts in 2019, the third-highest mark in the league. Keep in mind that he did that while not having a single game with Barkley, Engram, Shepard, Tate, and Slayton all healthy. He needs to become more consistent, but he does present tons of upside.
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118.
Ryan Tannehill
QB - TEN (at HOU)
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119.
Rob Gronkowski
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
The fact that Tom Brady won't have a full offseason with his new receivers, you have to wonder if he'll gravitate towards his old friend Gronkowski. During Gronkowski's career, he posted top-five-type numbers in 40.9 percent of his games, which is easily the best of all-time. In fact, the closest tight end, Travis Kelce, has posted those numbers in 31.6 percent of his games. While Gronkowski isn't the young stud he once was, but he should be a consistent presence while on the field with Brady.
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120.
Jared Goff
QB - LAR (vs . ARI)
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121.
Mike Gesicki
TE - MIA (at BUF)
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122.
Darrell Henderson
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
Some Henderson truthers are dead-set on him being "the guy" in this offense, but the Rams selecting Cam Akers with their first pick in the draft is extremely worrisome. They used a second-round pick on Akers, while Henderson himself was taken with a third-round pick. I'm not willing to say that Henderson is completely out of contention, but his value took a blow in the draft. This is likely to be a timeshare backfield, making him a risky RB3 in redraft leagues.
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123.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI (vs . WAS)
Even though Zach Ertz played 15 games last season, Goedert still finished as a top 10 fantasy tight end so you can expect him to be in that neighborhood again. And if Ertz were to miss time, we'd be talking about Goedert as potentially a top-three tight end right away. His upside is certainly worth stashing much like a high-end backup running back.
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124.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
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125.
Jonnu Smith
TE - TEN (at HOU)
Smith is one of the more intriguing names to be outside of the TE1 range. He is one of the most efficient tight ends in the game, and has a clear road to targets at the positon now that Delanie Walker is no longer in his way. The problem is that there aren't all that many targets to go around in Tennessee, and Smith's targets have rarely come around the end zone. If that changes, then he's certainly got a shot at being fantasy-relevant. For now, however, he should be drafted only in leagues that reward bonus points for tight ends.
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126.
Alshon Jeffery
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
Since joining the Eagles in 2017, Jeffery has played 38 games for them. In those 38 games, he's finished with WR1-type numbers 10 times, while posting WR2 (or better) numbers 16 times. For someone who's being drafted outside the top 40 wide receivers, that's pretty dang good. Sure, you have to worry about injuries, but when you have him as your WR4 or WR5, you're not too concerned.
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127.
Breshad Perriman
WR - NYJ (at NE)
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128.
Mecole Hardman
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
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129.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (at NYG)
It was a shock to see the Cowboys snag Lamb at No. 17 overall, as they already had two top-24 receivers (fantasy-wise). This complicates the matter, as both Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup each lose target volume with Lamb in the fold. The question is: How much? It's tough to see Lamb rack up more than 80 targets in his rookie season, which means he should be kept in WR4/5 territory until we know he'll play ahead of Gallup in 2WR sets.
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130.
Preston Williams
WR - MIA (at BUF)
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131.
Golden Tate
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
Tate missed four games last year after his suspension but he had a very solid year when he was on the field. He finished the season ranked 31st among wide receiver in fantasy points per game (half-PPR formats) and continued to excel in producing yards after the catch. Tate will be 32 years old when the season starts and will continue to compete for targets with Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram, and Saquon Barkley. But in full PPR formats at least, he should be a viable flex option most weeks. In standard or half-PPR leagues, however, draft him only as a bench player.
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132.
Alexander Mattison
RB - MIN (at DET)
Mattison is the best handcuff in fantasy football - period. He excelled last year whenever he got on the field, averaging 4.6 yards per carry, and clearly looked capable of taking on a featured role if called upon. On a team that ran the ball 48% last year (4th-most in the league), Mattison could be a league-winner if Dalvin Cook were to miss significant time, and should be stashed in every league.
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133.
Tarik Cohen
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
We knew big play regression was coming for Cohen in 2019, though it hit him more than anyone thought possible. Did you know that Cohen posted RB1-type numbers in 31.3 percent of his games in 2018? That ranked 12th among running backs. His lack of big plays crushed his hopes in 2019, as he went down to just 6.3 percent. Still, his floor stayed intact, highlighting he's still the same player. There's an in-between 2018 and 2019 outcome that's likely in 2020. He's never going to be a workhorse running back, but he's going to beat his current ADP.
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134.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
We didn't get the landing spot we'd hoped for with Jeudy, as he'll fight for targets with Courtland Sutton. That doesn't mean he can't be productive in fantasy, but rather that we need to dial back expectations. The Broncos are not going to be a high-volume passing offense, which limits the potential to Jeudy and the entire offense. He's best viewed as a WR4 right now who can potentially sneak into the WR2/3 conversation, though you shouldn't bank on it.
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135.
Jack Doyle
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
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136.
Kirk Cousins
QB - MIN (at DET)
A run-first offense that just lost their best receiver? Cousins is likely to finish higher than where I have him ranked because he's been durable and has zero chance of losing the starting job, but I'd rather select someone with more upside in that range. The best-case scenario for Cousins is that he finishes as a high-end QB2, which is a reach considering he threw the ball just 444 times last year.
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137.
Duke Johnson
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
Chances are, you won't need to use an RB or WR from a late-round pick in the first week of the season, but if injuries, suspensions or holdouts strike, as they often do, Johnson could come in handy. The Chiefs were one of the worst teams against fantasy running backs last year, and as you may have guessed, they were torn up through the air with teams trying to play catch-up. Duke doesn't have much seasonal upside but is a steady RB4/RB5 who should benefit from that exact game-script in Week 1.
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138.
Tony Pollard
RB - DAL (at NYG)
We saw flash out of Pollard last year, as he posted three games with 17-plus PPR points, and that was with Ezekiel Elliott on the field. Now a year older, the Cowboys may decide to dial back the veteran's workload, which would provide Pollard with a bigger role. If Elliott were to miss time, Pollard would immediately jump into the RB1 conversation.
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139.
Curtis Samuel
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
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140.
Hayden Hurst
TE - ATL (at TB)
Opportunity means everything to a tight end and Hurst is going to walk into plenty of it. The Falcons have used their tight end quite heavily over the last couple years and they really didn't replace Mohamed Sanu. Instead of trying to re-sign Austin Hooper, they decided it'd be better to trade a second-round pick for Hurst, showing just how much they valued him. Don't think he's not talented just because he played behind Mark Andrews. He should see 80-plus targets in 2020 en route to a top-12 finish.
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141.
Eric Ebron
TE - PIT (at CLE)
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142.
Zack Moss
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
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143.
Sammy Watkins
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
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144.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (at DET)
The landing spot in Minnesota is a good thing for Jefferson, as Stefon Diggs is gone and Adam Thielen is going to be 30 years old (with back problems) at the start of the season. But for now, Jefferson is just a middling WR4 due to the low volume available in the Vikings offense.
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145.
DeSean Jackson
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
We only got to see Jackson in Doug Pederson's offense for one full game before the wheels fell off and Jackson needed to be shut down. In that game, he caught 8-of-9 targets for 154 yards and two touchdowns. The Eagles drafted a lot of speed, but Jackson will be there to mentor them and will be starting in 2WR sets.
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146.
Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF (vs . SEA)
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147.
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN (vs . BAL)
I don't often want any part of rookie quarterbacks in year one, but Burrow is an exception to the rule. Zac Taylor's offense never had a chance to succeed last year with the injuries they had. Burrow will have A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, John Ross, Tee Higgins, and Auden Tate at his disposal, while having a plus-receiving back in Joe Mixon. You also can't forget that he'll get first-round left tackle Jonah Williams back from injury. This offense should surprise some people.
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148.
Boston Scott
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
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149.
Henry Ruggs III
WR - LV (at DEN)
He was the first wide receiver off the board and now goes to a team where there's plenty of opportunity available. Ruggs isn't a wide receiver who should demand anywhere close to 120-plus targets, but knowing the equity used to acquire him, he should have no issue approaching the 100 target mark, which puts him on the WR3/4 radar, as he has game-breaking upside.
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150.
San Francisco 49ers
DST - SF (vs . SEA)
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151.
Philip Rivers
QB - IND (vs . JAC)
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152.
Drew Lock
QB - DEN (vs . LV)
The Broncos have made it clear. If Lock can't get it done with the guys we've put in front of him, he never will. The skill-position group of Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, KJ Hamler, Melvin Gordon, and Noah Fant is suddenly one of the best in the league, and they have a few competent backups as well. He makes for a great No. 2 quarterback in 2QB leagues, and will be a streamer's favorite in 1QB leagues.
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153.
Blake Jarwin
TE - DAL (at NYG)
When the Cowboys selected CeeDee Lamb at No. 17 overall, it dragged down both Michael Gallup and Jarwin, as the targets will be harder to come by. Still, you don't want to underrate Jarwin considering he and Jason Witten combined for 124 targets in this offense last year.
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154.
Adrian Peterson
RB - WAS (at PHI)
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155.
Pittsburgh Steelers
DST - PIT (at CLE)
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156.
Gardner Minshew II
QB - JAC (at IND)
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157.
N'Keal Harry
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
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158.
Baltimore Ravens
DST - BAL (at CIN)
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159.
Justin Jackson
RB - LAC (at KC)
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160.
Chase Edmonds
RB - ARI (at LAR)
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161.
Chris Herndon IV
TE - NYJ (at NE)
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162.
Sam Darnold
QB - NYJ (at NE)
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163.
Ian Thomas
TE - CAR (vs . NO)
The loss of Greg Olsen will free up the starting role for Thomas, who has done extremely well when asked to fill-in a larger role. Despite seeing just 79 targets over the last two years combined, Thomas has four games with 14.8 or more PPR points. He might hit that target number in 2020 alone.
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164.
Jalen Reagor
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
If everyone remains healthy in Philadelphia, it's going to be tough for Reagor to see more than 5-6 targets per game. That's the thing, though. The combination of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson is not one we're expecting to be healthy all year, which provides Reagor with some upside that could be tapped into. He's an ideal bench stash that you can play when we know Jeffery will deal with a top-tier cornerback, or if/when one of them misses a game. He could be a fantasy superstar if he gets the targets.
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165.
Nyheim Hines
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
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166.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
It would seem likely that Pittman would start right away, as the Colts wanted to give Philip Rivers a big-bodied wide receiver. Some have compared Pittman to Vincent Jackson, a former teammate of Rivers, and one who had a lot of success when he was on the field. The expectation is that T.Y. Hilton and Pittman will play in 2WR sets, with Parris Campbell coming on when they go three wide. Because of that, Pittman could see a consistent five-plus targets per game. He's on the WR5 radar with upside for more.
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167.
New England Patriots
DST - NE (vs . NYJ)
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168.
Buffalo Bills
DST - BUF (vs . MIA)
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169.
Hunter Renfrow
WR - LV (at DEN)
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170.
Chicago Bears
DST - CHI (vs . GB)
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171.
Harrison Butker
K - KC (vs . LAC)
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172.
Justin Tucker
K - BAL (at CIN)
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173.
Tyrell Williams
WR - LV (at DEN)
He went from someone dynasty owners gravitated towards as a top-30 wide receiver last year, to one they want no part of in just one year. I was never aboard the Williams bandwagon, but I didn't envision a scenario where he'd be completely removed from the starting lineup. After they drafted Henry Ruggs, Bryan Edwards, and Lynn Bowden, it's tough to see a spot for him on the field, and maybe the roster.
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174.
Teddy Bridgewater
QB - CAR (vs . NO)
He may not be mobile anymore, but he now has D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, Ian Thomas, and Christian McCaffrey at his disposal. He could be the 2020 version of Jameis Winston. Why? Because his defense is going through a major rebuilding process and will be allowing tons of points, forcing the Panthers to throw more than they'd like to. He's going to be a favorite of streamers. He's going to be a great option for those in 2QB leagues.
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175.
Rashaad Penny
RB - SEA (at SF)
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176.
A.J. Dillon
RB - GB (at CHI)
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177.
Corey Davis
WR - TEN (at HOU)
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178.
Jamaal Williams
RB - GB (at CHI)
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179.
Parris Campbell
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
He didn't make a big impact during his rookie season, but now that Chester Rogers is gone, Campbell should have the starting slot role all to himself. Not only will he be a starter this year, but he'll also get a quarterback upgrade with Philip Rivers in town. Campbell has big-play upside, and at this cost, you only need a few of them.
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180.
Wil Lutz
K - NO (at CAR)
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181.
Allen Lazard
WR - GB (at CHI)
In a draft class littered with wide receiver talent, I'm fairly certain that everyone had the Packers taking a wide receiver in the first three rounds. Not only did they not do that, but they didn't draft one at all. Lazard looks to be the No. 2 in the offense, provided he can beat out Devin Funchess, who also gained value in the aftermath of the draft.
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182.
Minnesota Vikings
DST - MIN (at DET)
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183.
Derek Carr
QB - LV (at DEN)
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184.
John Ross
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
We saw flashes of what could be a great player in 2019 with Ross, as he racked up 270 yards and three touchdowns over the first two weeks of the season in Zac Taylor's offense. Sure, A.J. Green is back to take a lot of targets but adding Joe Burrow's arm to the offense will help deliver the ball down the field to the speedy Ross. He's not going to be consistent, but we aren't looking for consistency in this range.
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185.
Greg Olsen
TE - SEA (at SF)
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186.
Dede Westbrook
WR - JAC (at IND)
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187.
James Washington
WR - PIT (at CLE)
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188.
New Orleans Saints
DST - NO (at CAR)
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189.
Larry Fitzgerald
WR - ARI (at LAR)
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190.
Greg Zuerlein
K - DAL (at NYG)
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191.
O.J. Howard
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
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192.
Denzel Mims
WR - NYJ (at NE)
The Jets surely needed wide receivers, and knowing Mims was a second-round pick, he's going to get plenty of opportunity to shine. He's essentially the receiver that the Jets have given Sam Darnold to grow with throughout his NFL career, as Breshad Perriman's contract was just for one year. Because of that, Mims should see 70-plus targets in year one with growth for more, and he likely walks in as the best contested catch receiver on the team, meaning he could be a favorite in the red zone.
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193.
Los Angeles Rams
DST - LAR (vs . ARI)
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194.
Kenny Stills
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
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195.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - MIN (at DET)
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196.
Kansas City Chiefs
DST - KC (vs . LAC)
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197.
Cole Beasley
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
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198.
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
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199.
Ryquell Armstead
RB - JAC (at IND)
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200.
Robbie Gould
K - SF (vs . SEA)
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201.
Randall Cobb
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
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202.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
When a receiver is drafted in the first round, he's starting immediately. When that player was traded up for, they already have a plan in mind. Aiyuk is someone who can stretch the field, while Deebo Samuel and George Kittle work the underneath part of the field. The 49ers did not take very many deep shots last year, which doesn't bode well for Aiyuk from a fantasy perspective, but it could've been that they didn't have the personnel necessary to do so. He's just a late-round bench stash right now who will have some big weeks.
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203.
Kyle Rudolph
TE - MIN (at DET)
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204.
Matt Gay
K - TB (vs . ATL)
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205.
Anthony McFarland Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
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206.
Philadelphia Eagles
DST - PHI (vs . WAS)
The Eagles defense will either be drafted very late in most leagues or not at all. As of now, Philly is the #13 D/ST in ECR which puts them right on the fence. Frankly, though, there are only three defenses I'd draft over them (PIT, SF and NE in that order). It isn't as though the Eagles have a world-beating defense this year but rather, their Week 1 (and 2 vs LAR) matchups are so good that they'll return more value than other D/ST1s who are fringe-startable in Week 1. The position is so volatile that you can't waste draft capital on a fantasy asset that is historically more likely to finish outside the top 12 D/STs than within the top 5. Take the Eagles against Dwayne Haskins (then Jared Goff), celebrate double-digit fantasy points and move onto the next one-hit-wonder in Week 3.
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207.
Denver Broncos
DST - DEN (vs . LV)
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208.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
This was a questionable draft pick, only because I don't see him getting on the field right away. The Bengals have A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, and John Ross who figure to be the starters, while Auden Tate showed the ability to be competent last year. This could be more of a "beyond 2020" selection, as Green is currently being franchise tagged. Unless the Bengals trade someone, Higgins doesn't have much redraft appeal.
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209.
Darrynton Evans
RB - TEN (at HOU)
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210.
Joshua Kelley
RB - LAC (at KC)
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211.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (at CIN)
It was a shame we didn't get to see Hill in a bigger role last year, but we all felt that Mark Ingram was a year closer to the end, and Gus Edwards was going to be a free agent. Well... Ingram is still closer to retirement, but Edwards was retained by the team, and then they went and drafted JK Dobbins in the second round, eliminating the shot of Hill getting a bigger role. He's going to be stuck in the 4-6 touches per game role unless there are multiple injuries.
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212.
Matt Prater
K - DET (vs . MIN)
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213.
Los Angeles Chargers
DST - LAC (at KC)
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214.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . MIA)
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215.
New York Jets
DST - NYJ (at NE)
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216.
Devin Funchess
WR - GB (at CHI)
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217.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - JAC (at IND)
He's coming off core muscle surgery and won't be around the team for a bit, so it's probably not likely we'll see Shenault make a big splash in year one. He'll likely be rotated in with Chris Conley, while D.J. Chark and Dede Westbrook are cemented in the lineup. It's better to take a wait-and-see approach with Shenault.
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218.
Seattle Seahawks
DST - SEA (at SF)
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219.
Giovani Bernard
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
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220.
Zane Gonzalez
K - ARI (at LAR)
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221.
Benny Snell Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
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222.
Michael Badgley
K - LAC (at KC)
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223.
Tennessee Titans
DST - TEN (at HOU)
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224.
Ka'imi Fairbairn
K - HOU (vs . TEN)
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225.
Jace Sternberger
TE - GB (at CHI)
There were many (myself included) who considered Sternberger a major buy-low target in dynasty leagues, though we can't pretend there wasn't a possibility the Packers added another option. They drafted a tight end, and in the third round, but it was Josiah Deguara, a player the Packers themselves described as a fullback. Sternberger should get plenty of opportunity.
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226.
Antonio Gibson
RB - WAS (at PHI)
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227.
Will Dissly
TE - SEA (at SF)
Injuries have sadly derailed the production for Dissly, but when on the field, he's been ridiculously good. He's only played 10 games, but in those games, he's posted TE1-type numbers in 60 percent of them. That's the same percentage as George Kittle in his career. Again, it's a small sample size, but as the 31st tight end off the board? He's well worth the risk. And no, don't worry about Greg Olsen.
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228.
Mohamed Sanu
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
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229.
Jake Elliott
K - PHI (vs . WAS)
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230.
Ryan Fitzpatrick
QB - MIA (at BUF)
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231.
Damien Harris
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
The 2019 usage, or lack thereof, for Harris was puzzling to say the least. When you draft a running back in the third round, you typically use him in some sort of role. Of the 22 running backs who've been drafted in the third round over the last seven years, Harris' four touches were the fewest. He's the clear-cut handcuff to Sony Michel who's been extremely inefficient. If that continues in 2020, we could see the Patriots activate Harris (who doesn't contribute on special teams) and use him as their early-down back.
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232.
Carlos Hyde
RB - SEA (at SF)
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233.
Josh Reynolds
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
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234.
Dwayne Haskins
QB - WAS (at PHI)
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235.
Devonta Freeman
RB - FA (BYE)
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236.
Mason Crosby
K - GB (at CHI)
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237.
Royce Freeman
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
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238.
Tyrod Taylor
QB - LAC (at KC)
If I miss out on the low-end QB1/high-end QB2 upside plays like Aaron Rodgers, Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford, you'd better believe I'll be playing the quarterback streaming game. As crazy as it may sound, Tyrod is the top option in Week 1 so he is actually draftable in one-QB leagues. Not only does he take on one of the weakest defenses in Week 1, but his next eight weeks before the bye are ALL promising matchups (KC, CAR, @TB, @NO, NYJ, @MIA, JAC, LV) so don't be surprised if he is sitting within the top 12 fantasy QBs by mid-season.
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239.
Jalen Richard
RB - LV (at DEN)
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240.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (vs . PIT)
Not only did the Browns add Austin Hooper in free agency, but they decided to throw down a fourth-round pick on Harrison Bryant, another tight end to add to the mix. The Browns further hurt Njoku's value when they picked up the fifth-year option on his contract. He's in a bad place right now. All dynasty owners can hope is that he's traded.
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241.
Green Bay Packers
DST - GB (at CHI)
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242.
Tre'Quan Smith
WR - NO (at CAR)
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243.
Gerald Everett
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
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244.
Andy Isabella
WR - ARI (at LAR)
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245.
Cleveland Browns
DST - CLE (vs . PIT)
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246.
Gus Edwards
RB - BAL (at CIN)
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247.
Ito Smith
RB - ATL (at TB)
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248.
Indianapolis Colts
DST - IND (vs . JAC)
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249.
Dan Bailey
K - MIN (at DET)
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250.
Danny Amendola
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
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251.
Dallas Cowboys
DST - DAL (at NYG)
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252.
Miles Boykin
WR - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
253.
Brandon McManus
K - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
254.
Jimmy Graham
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
255.
Chris Conley
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
256.
Rex Burkhead
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
257.
Joey Slye
K - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
258.
Chase Claypool
WR - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
259.
Kelvin Harmon
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
260.
Jason Myers
K - SEA (at SF)
|
|
261.
Albert Wilson
WR - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
262.
Nick Foles
QB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
263.
Jaylen Samuels
RB - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
264.
Younghoe Koo
K - ATL (at TB)
|
|
265.
Dion Lewis
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
266.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DST - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
267.
Jarrett Stidham
QB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
268.
Chris Boswell
K - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
269.
Phillip Dorsett
WR - SEA (at SF)
|
|
|
270.
KJ Hamler
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
|
271.
Steven Sims
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
|
272.
Houston Texans
DST - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
|
273.
Zach Pascal
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
274.
DeAndre Washington
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
275.
Vance McDonald
TE - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
276.
Stephen Hauschka
K - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
|
277.
Darwin Thompson
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
278.
Chris Thompson
RB - JAC (at IND)
|
|
|
279.
Jalen Hurd
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
|
280.
Russell Gage
WR - ATL (at TB)
|
|
281.
Auden Tate
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
I'm not going to pretend that Tate had a ton of value pre-draft, but he definitely had some considering A.J. Green was likely gone after 2020. Well, the Bengals snagged his replacement in Tee Higgins with the first pick in the second round. Tate is once again multiple injuries away from fantasy relevance.
|
|
282.
Josh Lambo
K - JAC (at IND)
|
|
283.
Jerick McKinnon
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
284.
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
285.
Peyton Barber
RB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
286.
Tua Tagovailoa
QB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
287.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
288.
Adam Humphries
WR - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
289.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
|
290.
Austin Seibert
K - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
|
291.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DST - JAC (at IND)
|
|
292.
Stephen Gostkowski
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
293.
Washington Redskins
DST - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
294.
Nelson Agholor
WR - LV (at DEN)
|
|
295.
Brett Maher
K - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
296.
David Moore
WR - SEA (at SF)
|
|
297.
Aldrick Rosas
K - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
298.
Atlanta Falcons
DST - ATL (at TB)
|
|
299.
Mitch Trubisky
QB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
300.
Cameron Brate
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
|
301.
Jacob Hollister
TE - SEA (at SF)
|
|
302.
Lamical Perine
RB - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
303.
Mike Boone
RB - MIN (at DET)
|
|
|
304.
Daniel Carlson
K - LV (at DEN)
|
|
|
305.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
306.
Detroit Lions
DST - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
307.
Devin Duvernay
WR - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
308.
Bryce Love
RB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
309.
Tyler Eifert
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
310.
Cam Newton
QB - FA (BYE)
|
|
311.
Trey Burton
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
312.
Brian Hill
RB - ATL (at TB)
|
|
313.
Van Jefferson
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
314.
Keke Coutee
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
315.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - SEA (at SF)
|
|
|
316.
Carolina Panthers
DST - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
317.
Frank Gore
RB - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
|
318.
Darrel Williams
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
319.
Antonio Gandy-Golden
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
320.
Dustin Hopkins
K - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
321.
Justin Herbert
QB - LAC (at KC)
|
|
322.
Darren Fells
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
323.
Jordan Wilkins
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
|
324.
Las Vegas Raiders
DST - LV (at DEN)
|
|
325.
Willie Snead
WR - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
326.
T.J. Yeldon
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
|
327.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
|
328.
Patrick Laird
RB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
329.
Marquise Goodwin
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
330.
DaeSean Hamilton
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
|
331.
Jordan Akins
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
|
332.
Chase McLaughlin
K - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
333.
Lamar Miller
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
334.
Travis Homer
RB - SEA (at SF)
|
|
335.
Jameis Winston
QB - NO (at CAR)
|
|
336.
Wayne Gallman
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
337.
Reggie Bonnafon
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
338.
Bo Scarbrough
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
339.
Kai Forbath
K - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
340.
Antonio Brown
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
341.
Bryan Edwards
WR - LV (at DEN)
|
|
342.
Demaryius Thomas
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
343.
Myles Gaskin
RB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
344.
Adam Vinatieri
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
345.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
WR,RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
346.
Delanie Walker
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
347.
Qadree Ollison
RB - ATL (at TB)
|
|
348.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
349.
Ted Ginn
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
|
350.
Tyler Johnson
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
351.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
352.
Eno Benjamin
RB - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
353.
Dante Pettis
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
354.
C.J. Uzomah
TE - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
355.
Randy Bullock
K - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
356.
LeSean McCoy
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
357.
Greg Ward
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
358.
Keelan Cole
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
359.
Kalen Ballage
RB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
360.
Taylor Gabriel
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
361.
Andy Dalton
QB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
362.
Geronimo Allison
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
363.
Ryan Griffin
TE - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
|
364.
Arizona Cardinals
DST - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
|
365.
Justin Watson
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
366.
Paul Richardson Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
367.
Jason Witten
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
368.
Marcus Mariota
QB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
|
369.
Josh Oliver
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
370.
Nick Boyle
TE - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
|
371.
Justin Rohrwasser
K - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
372.
Josh Gordon
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
373.
KeeSean Johnson
WR - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
|
374.
New York Giants
DST - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
375.
Cincinnati Bengals
DST - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
376.
Jacoby Brissett
QB - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
377.
Jeff Wilson
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
378.
Adam Trautman
TE - NO (at CAR)
|
|
379.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
380.
Mike Davis
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
381.
Devin Asiasi
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
382.
Tajae Sharpe
WR - MIN (at DET)
|
|
383.
Corey Clement
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
384.
Miami Dolphins
DST - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
385.
Taysom Hill
QB,TE - NO (at CAR)
|
|
|
386.
Dexter Williams
RB - GB (at CHI)
|
|
387.
Zay Jones
WR - LV (at DEN)
|
|
|
388.
Dontrell Hilliard
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
389.
Jeremy Sprinkle
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
390.
Bilal Powell
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
391.
Ty Johnson
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
392.
Marqise Lee
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
393.
Raymond Calais
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
394.
Ty Montgomery
RB - NO (at CAR)
|
|
395.
Eddy Pineiro
K - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
396.
Jalen Hurts
QB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
397.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
|
398.
Dalton Keene
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
399.
Jason Sanders
K - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
|
400.
Kaden Smith
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
401.
Hakeem Butler
WR - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
|
402.
Scott Miller
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
|
403.
Foster Moreau
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
404.
Greg Joseph
K - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
405.
Albert Okwuegbunam
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
406.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
|
407.
Jake Kumerow
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
408.
C.J. Anderson
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
409.
Javon Wims
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
|
410.
Sam Sloman
K - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
411.
Thaddeus Moss
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
|
412.
Kerrith Whyte Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
|
413.
K.J. Hill
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
414.
Trent Taylor
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
415.
Rashard Higgins
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
|
416.
Olabisi Johnson
WR - MIN (at DET)
|
|
417.
Devontae Booker
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
418.
Cordarrelle Patterson
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
|
419.
Ryan Nall
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
420.
Brycen Hopkins
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
|
421.
Kyle Allen
QB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
|
422.
James Proche
WR - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
423.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
424.
Gabriel Davis
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
425.
Devine Ozigbo
RB - JAC (at IND)
|
|
426.
Hunter Bryant
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
427.
Jay Ajayi
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
428.
Isaiah Coulter
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
|
429.
Jaeden Graham
TE - ATL (at TB)
|
|
430.
John Kelly
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
431.
Donte Moncrief
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
432.
James Robinson
RB - JAC (at IND)
|
|
433.
Jordan Reed
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
434.
Dan Arnold
TE - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
|
435.
Joe Reed
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
436.
Dwayne Washington
RB - NO (at CAR)
|
|
437.
Rodney Anderson
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
|
438.
Salvon Ahmed
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
439.
Trey Quinn
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
440.
Maxx Williams
TE - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
441.
Ryan Succop
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
442.
Allen Hurns
WR - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
|
443.
Karan Higdon
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
444.
David Fluellen
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
445.
Robert Foster
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
446.
Case Keenum
QB - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
|
447.
Matt LaCosse
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
448.
Dez Bryant
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
449.
Adrian Killins Jr.
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
450.
Josh Doctson
WR - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
451.
Darnell Mooney
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
452.
J.D. McKissic
RB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
453.
Shelton Gibson
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
454.
Riley Ridley
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
455.
Trey Edmunds
RB - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
|
456.
Jordan Scarlett
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
|
457.
Anthony Firkser
TE - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
|
458.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
459.
Josh Rosen
QB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
|
460.
Rodrigo Blankenship
K - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
461.
Corey Coleman
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
462.
CJ Ham
RB - MIN (at DET)
|
|
463.
Nick Vannett
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
464.
Damiere Byrd
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
465.
Seth Roberts
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
466.
Chris Hogan
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
467.
Kahale Warring
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
|
468.
Josh Reed
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
|
469.
John Hightower
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
470.
Damion Ratley
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
471.
Jesse James
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
472.
Ricky Seals-Jones
TE - KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
|
473.
Quintez Cephus
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
|
474.
Jordan Chunn
RB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
475.
Charles Clay
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
476.
Joe Flacco
QB - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
477.
Rod Smith
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
|
478.
J.J. Taylor
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
479.
Logan Thomas
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
480.
Isaiah Hodgins
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
|
481.
Jakob Johnson
FB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
482.
Kalif Raymond
WR - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
483.
Collin Johnson
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
484.
Brian Hoyer
QB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
485.
Demetrius Harris
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
486.
Roosevelt Nix
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
|
487.
Quez Watkins
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
488.
Cody Hollister
WR - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
|
489.
Buddy Howell
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
490.
Matt Bryant
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
491.
Taquan Mizzell
RB - NO (at CAR)
|
|
|
492.
Dalyn Dawkins
RB - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
493.
Andy Janovich
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
|
494.
Dalton Schultz
TE - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
|
495.
Dezmon Patmon
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
496.
Tyler Kroft
TE - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
|
497.
Tim Patrick
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
|
498.
Alec Ingold
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
499.
Mason Rudolph
QB - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
|
500.
Jakeem Grant
WR - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
|
501.
Jordan Thomas
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
|
502.
Mike Davis
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
503.
Andre Patton
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
|
504.
Michael Warren II
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
505.
K.J. Osborn
WR - MIN (at DET)
|
|
506.
Spencer Ware
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
507.
Elijah Holyfield
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
508.
Jonathan Williams
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
|
509.
Elijhaa Penny
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
510.
Josiah Deguara
TE - GB (at CHI)
|
|
511.
James O'Shaughnessy
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
|
512.
Cedrick Wilson
WR - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
513.
Laquon Treadwell
WR - ATL (at TB)
|
|
|
514.
Khari Blasingame
RB - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
|
515.
Marquez Callaway
WR - NO (at CAR)
|
|
516.
Kenneth Dixon
RB - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
|
517.
Jacob Breeland
TE - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
518.
Alex Armah
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
519.
Richard Rodgers
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
520.
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
|
521.
Christian Blake
WR - ATL (at TB)
|
|
|
522.
Ross Dwelley
TE - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
523.
Jordan Love
QB - GB (at CHI)
|
|
|
524.
Deonte Harris
WR - NO (at CAR)
|
|
525.
Taywan Taylor
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
|
526.
Keith Kirkwood
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
527.
Devin Smith
WR - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
528.
Nick Mullens
QB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
529.
Alex Smith
QB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
|
530.
Jake Luton
QB - JAC (at IND)
|
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