Fantasy Football Player Notes
2020 Draft Rankings
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1.
Christian McCaffrey
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
You can try to make the argument that McCaffrey shouldn't go No. 1 overall this year, but you'd lose the argument. Outside of saying, "running backs don't repeat as the top option," there's nothing that should suggest McCaffrey won't. He's not just a running back. He's a wide receiver. He scored 182.5 half-PPR points through the air alone, which would've been the No. 20 wide receiver in fantasy last year, ahead of Stefon Diggs. Even if McCaffrey simply stopped playing football in Week 12, he would've finished as the No. 1 running back by a massive 22.1 PPR points. The new offense and improved quarterback play shouldn't hurt at all.
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2.
Saquon Barkley
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
After an extremely impressive rookie season, Barkley came back down to earth a bit in 2019, though 4.6 yards per carry behind that Giants offensive line is nothing to scoff at. Playing through injury was a clear net-negative to his overall numbers, and something he hopefully learned from. The biggest difference was breakaway runs of 15-plus yards, as Barkley rattled off 20 of them in his rookie season, but just nine of them in his sophomore season. With all the weapons in this offense, you have to wonder just how many targets Barkley will get, but trust me, the Giants are building their offense around him and not anyone else. If Daniel Jones can take a step forward in year two, it'll help open lanes for Barkley. It also doesn't hurt that they dramatically improved the offensive line this offseason.
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3.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - DAL (at NYG)
There's only one running back over the last five years who's finished top-six three times, and that's Elliott. Oddly enough, he's never finished as No. 1 though. The Cowboys passing offense just got better with the addition of CeeDee Lamb, and while that may put a cap on Elliott's targets in the passing game, he should be free to rock against seven-man fronts. He saw eight-plus defenders in the box 19.3 percent of the time last year, a number that may dip down into the single digits, provided the Cowboys go three-wide more often than not. Stop trying to find "the next big thing," because Elliott has proven time and time again that he's among the safest picks at the top of the draft. He's posted RB2 or better numbers in 92.9 percent of his career games, which is better than any running back I've ever charted. In fact, the closest is Le'Veon Bell, who's hit that mark 87.0 percent of the time.
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4.
Michael Thomas
WR - NO (at CAR)
You know what the craziest thing about Thomas' 2019 season was? Among the top 40 single-game performances throughout the season, he had just one of them, yet he still finished as the No. 1 fantasy receiver by a massive 67.0 half-PPR points. You can argue that another receiver may finish No. 1, but you can't find a safer receiver atop of drafts.
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5.
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN (at HOU)
Yes, Derrick Henry finished with 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns last year en route to a No. 3 finish. Yes, he was dominant in the playoffs. We still can't forget that he was the No. 14 running back in points per game before Week 10 last year, behind David Johnson and Mark Ingram. Should we automatically assume Henry picks up where he left off in 2019? My issue with Henry is that he's not involved in the passing-game, which lowers his weekly floor. That alone will allow us to choose someone like Alvin Kamara over him. Henry is best-suited as a second-round pick rather than one in the first round.
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6.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO (at CAR)
There's just one running back who's had a higher "boom" percentage (25-plus PPR points) than Kamara over the course of their careers, and that's Christian McCaffrey. Kamara has now topped 25 PPR points in 14 of his 45 career games, which is quite ridiculous. His 2019 season was easily his worst to date, though he still finished as the RB12 despite missing two games. The Saints offense continues to groove, and though Drew Brees is still playing great football, his arm strength is declining, which could lead to more targets than every for Kamara, who's averaged 6.7 targets per game over the first three years in a Saints uniform. Provided he doesn't get hurt, Kamara is a near-lock to finish as a top-six running back.
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7.
Dalvin Cook
RB - MIN (at DET)
It turns out Gary Kubiak is very good for a run-game. Cook took his game to another level in 2019, finishing as the No. 5 running back despite missing two games. Not only did he total 18-plus carries in eight games, but he also ranked third in yards per route run among running backs. With Stefon Diggs gone, we could see him highlighted even more in the passing game, though Justin Jefferson will eat some of them. Cook also led the league with 21 carries inside the five-yard-line. Health has always been a question mark with Cook, but when healthy, he's easily a top-10 back.
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8.
Davante Adams
WR - GB (at CHI)
I'm convinced that because Adams missed part of the 2019 season, many don't realize just how consistent he's been over the last few years. He's played 27 games over the last two years, and he's scored 16-plus PPR points in 23 of them. The Packers didn't add a wide receiver in the draft, so it's not likely his massive target-share is going away. He's the only other receiver who should be considered close to Michael Thomas in drafts.
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9.
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
Tyreek Hill has been a very good fantasy asset to have over the last three years. However, he's not someone you want to trust with consistency. For instance, he's posted WR2 or better numbers in just 21-of-43 games over that time. Those numbers pale in comparison to guys like Thomas, Adams, Jones, and Hopkins.
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10.
Joe Mixon
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
It's one thing to project a breakout for a player due to an increase in opportunity. It's another thing to project a breakout due to an increase in offensive production. Mixon got the opportunity last year under Zac Taylor, as he totaled 18-plus touches on 10 different occasions. But he'll need the offense to take a step forward in 2020 if he wants to ascend into stardom, as he's been an RB2 or better in just 57 percent of his games over the last two years. You must pay attention to his contract status as you approach drafts because Mixon has stated he'll hold out without an extension. This is a real thing with running backs, as they're trying to preserve their health while cashing in on a second contract. Stay tuned.
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11.
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
Through 10 games last year, Chubb was doing very well and was the No. 4 running back (PPG) in half-PPR formats. Keep in mind that was despite the offense not being very good. From that point forward (when Kareem Hunt joined the offense), Chubb was the No. 18 running back while Hunt was the No. 26 running back. This is clearly more of a timeshare than Chubb owners would like, leaving him best-suited as a high-end RB2 rather than the RB1 he appeared destined to be.
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12.
Julio Jones
WR - ATL (at TB)
You'd have to go all the way back to 2013 to find the last time Julio Jones didnt finish as a top-8 wide receiver in fantasy football, and the only reason he didn't was due to injury (he was the No. 3 wide receiver in points per game that year). Keep in mind he's done all that without scoring a lot of touchdowns. Sure, the Falcons have Calvin Ridley making his way into a bigger role, but you simply cannot find a safer option to finish inside the top-10 every single year.
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13.
Josh Jacobs
RB - LV (at DEN)
We've continually heard that Jacobs is going to be more heavily involved in the passing game, though that never materialized last year, seeing just 27 targets in 13 games played. Then we heard, "we're going to involve him more in 2020." They then re-signed Jalen Richard, added Henry Ruggs, and Lynn Bowden. It's not looking likely that Jacobs sees the 50-plus targets he deserves, which lowers him down the rankings. The overall offense should improve, giving him more scoring opportunities, but relying on touchdowns is a tricky thing. He's best-suited as a high-end RB2 who has RB1 upside if they follow through on the promise to use him more in the passing game.
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14.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
We saw Godwin ascend into superstardom last year, compiling over 1,300 yards and nine touchdowns in just 14 games, finishing as the WR2. Insert Tom Brady into the offense, and you suddenly have room for optimism that it continues. The arrival of Rob Gronkowski hurts a bit, but knowing Bruce Arians has used Godwin the way he used Larry Fitzgerald, the numbers should continue to grow. Godwin is a legitimate WR1 in fantasy once again in 2020.
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15.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - ARI (at LAR)
Moving to a new team/offense is never an easy thing to do, especially when you don't get to have an offseason with your new team. Still, you don't trade for someone like Hopkins to not target him like a true No. 1 wide receiver. With Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk in the lineup, it may be hard for him to reach the 150-target mark like he consistently did with the Texans, but Hopkins has shown the ability to be efficient with practically every quarterback he's played with. Still, it drops him just outside the elite tier of Thomas, Adams, and Jones.
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16.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (vs . LAC)
It's now been four straight seasons where Kelce has finished with 1,000-plus yards. He's as safe as they come and should still be in the prime of his career at 30 years old. Patrick Mahomes took a step back in terms of touchdown percentage in 2019, but could very well bounce back to elite levels in 2020, giving Kelce consideration as a second-round pick in fantasy drafts. If you have "your guys" in the middle rounds, Kelce makes sense as an early-round pick. He's now posted TE1-type numbers in 28-of-32 games over the last two years. It also helps when you see 41.4 percent of your team's targets inside the 10-yard line, like Kelce did in 2019.
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17.
Kenny Golladay
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
We've watched Golladay ascending into the clear-cut No. 1 role in the Lions offense, and even though he did finish as the No. 6 wide receiver in 2019, there's still some meat left on the bone. Matthew Stafford went down in Week 9 last year. Golladay had four games with 23-plus PPR points with Stafford in the lineup, and just one game with more than 18 PPR points without him. If Stafford can stay healthy, Golladay should return WR1 numbers.
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18.
George Kittle
TE - SF (vs . SEA)
He's just 26 years old and coming off 2,430 yards and 10 touchdowns over the previous two seasons despite missing two full games. Keep in mind that he was playing through injuries much of last season. The defense is surely going to take a slight step back in 2020, which will lead to more pass attempts, which will lead to more targets. The 49ers added Brandon Aiyuk who'll help stretch the field, which should in turn just open things a bit more for Kittle. His arrow continues to point up. The touchdowns may not match those of Travis Kelce, but we know not to rely on consistency in that department.
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19.
Miles Sanders
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
We all know Doug Pederson has loved his timeshares since coming to the Eagles, and after they moved on from Jordan Howard, many expected them to add a running back in the draft. Things can change, as there are a few free agent running backs out there, but for now, Sanders has the looks of a 15-plus touch running back.
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20.
Aaron Jones
RB - GB (at CHI)
Despite having Aaron Rodgers under center, the Packers decided to add a third-string running back and fullback to their roster on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Is that worrisome to Jones' production? Maybe a bit, as Matt LaFleur seems to want to continue his timeshare ways. Jones is by far the most talented, so even if we were to see him dip down to 13-15 touches per game, that's enough for him to do damage, especially considering Rodgers targets him in the passing game. Jones is one of just two running backs (Alvin Kamara is the other) who've finished with a top-30 season over the last 10 years with less than 300 touches. Jones is one of the most efficient running backs in football, though the coaching staff keeps him in RB2 territory.
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21.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
Evans has now finished as a top-10 receiver in 4-of-6 seasons with the Bucs, but will he lose some of his massive target totals from years past? Evans has continually been peppered with targets by Jameis Winston, as he was willing to trust the receiver in jump-ball situations. Tom Brady isn't a risk-taker, as evidenced by his low interception totals. With the ascention of Chris Godwin, arrival of Rob Gronkowski and Keshawn Vaughn, and likely declining pass attempts in the Bucs offense, Evans may lose some of his top-end upside, though he should still remain in the low-end WR1 conversation.
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22.
Kenyan Drake
RB - ARI (at LAR)
It's crazy to see Kenyan Drake not getting the respect he deserved when he performed the way he did under Kliff Kingsbury last year. Since coming over in Week 9, he was the No. 4 running back through the remainder of the fantasy season, and the Cardinals liked him enough to move on from David Johnson and not draft a running back until the seventh round.
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23.
Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC (vs . LAC)
Mahomes dropped off considerably last year as most expected but was still the #4 fantasy QB in terms of points per game despite being slowed by the injury. He is so talented with such great weapons that QB #4 seems to be his floor unless he suffers another injury. With that said, there is so much QB value to be found later in drafts, that it is almost wild to consider him at his late-second ADP.
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24.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (at CIN)
Did you know that Andrews has still yet to have a game in the NFL where he's seen double-digit targets? Crazy, right? He did have 10 games with 7-8 targets in 2019, so he's inching closer, though the Ravens are still going to be a run-first team. Because of that, you're going to get some duds from the talented tight end. There were six games in 2019 where he posted single-digit PPR points, which is not great when he'll cost you a top-50 pick in drafts. We know Lamar Jackson's touchdown rate will drop, which means we'll need more targets for Andrews to live up to this draft spot. Losing Hayden Hurst as competition surely helps.
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25.
Amari Cooper
WR - DAL (at NYG)
You won't find a bigger Cooper fan than me, but he may be a tad overrated in the fantasy world. Since arriving in Dallas, he's played 25 games. In those games, he's finished as a WR2 or better in just 11 of them. While it's difficult to find players that hit that mark over 50 percent, you want your WR1 to hit that mark more often than not, which is something Cooper can't say. Now adding CeeDee Lamb to the mix, he may lose some of his target upside, though he didn't have an elite target share to begin with.
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26.
Austin Ekeler
RB - LAC (at KC)
After seeing Ekeler's contract extension this offseason, it seemed a little light for a workhorse, leading many to believe they'd draft a running back early on. They waited until the fourth round to select UCLA's Joshua Kelley, who's a bigger complementary back. The Chargers offense isn't likely going to be as high scoring as it was with Philip Rivers under center, but Ekeler remains the top dog in the backfield. Still, don't just anticipate this offense is going to be as potent, or that he'll have as many scoring opportunities, which is why he's best-suited as a high-end RB2 than an RB1.
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27.
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL (at CIN)
Jackson was tremendous last season, blowing away every other fantasy QB by nearly 100 points. The ridiculous 9.0 TD-rate is certain to plummet, as has been the case for every other QB in NFL history to achieve such a mark. With that said, his rushing TD-rate should increase. If Jackson can stay on the field, he is a virtual lock to finish among the top three fantasy QBs because of his rushing floor. Do know, however, that thinner run-heavy QBs have had trouble staying on the field so there is some risk at grabbing him in the 2nd or 3rd round.
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28.
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
Beckham struggled last season but was playing through a core injury all season and with an offense that was terrorized by a horrendous offensive line. Now that the line is cleaned up and Beckham is healthy, the still 27-year-old receiver has the upside to finish as the game's #1 fantasy wideout. Beckham joins only Randy Moss, Jerry Rice, Michael Thomas and Julio Jones as the only five receivers to post over 17.5 fantasy points per game before age 27. Beckham sits at 18.9!
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29.
A.J. Brown
WR - TEN (at HOU)
We all know Brown was a monster over the second half of the season, finishing as the No. 8 wide receiver from Week 7 through Week 16. The issue... he was 47th in targets over that span. That screams regression. While he should progress as a player in his second season, we must anticipate regression with his efficiency. In a run-first offense, Brown should be considered a WR2/3 with upside for more.
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30.
Allen Robinson
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
The Bears offense revolves around Robinson, plain and simple. They didn't fix the offensive line, which means running the ball will be difficult again. They also didn't replace Taylor Gabriel's 5.6 targets per game that he was receiving under Matt Nagy with anyone noteworthy in the draft or free agency. There's a realistic scenario where Robinson sees 150-plus targets this year. If you want to go RB heavy in the first few rounds, Robinson could make for a solid low-end WR1.
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31.
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN (at DET)
Coming off a year in which he played just 10 games while dealing with back issues, many are down on Thielen. You must remember he posted back-to-back 1,200-plus yard seasons before 2019. Not just that, but with the teams forced to stay away from camps, Kirk Cousins won't have much time to develop chemistry with any of the other receivers, so Thielen should be a target monster. He should have a bounceback season.
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32.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - PIT (at CLE)
After the Steelers selected Chase Claypool in the second round, they came out and said that Smith-Schuster will move back into the slot role he played while Antonio Brown was there. That's great news for his outlook, as it allows him to be mismatched with nickel cornerbacks who only come on the field at certain times. Provided Roethlisberger is healthy and returns to normal, Smith-Schuster should return low-end WR1/high-end WR2 numbers.
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33.
Todd Gurley
RB - ATL (at TB)
The Rams offense was in complete disarray last year, as their offensive line started to crumble, which dragged Gurley's efficiency down the drain. He did show that he's still able to handle a big workload down the stretch, finishing with 98 touches over the final five games. Now going to the Falcons, who have one of the better offensive lines in football, with little competition, Gurley could return to RB1 status. It's a high-scoring offense where the running backs have averaged 1,383 yards and 9.7 touchdowns on the ground, while averaging another 572 yards and 4.7 touchdowns through the air over the last three years. With Ito Smith and Brian Hill the only running backs behind him, Gurley should receive most of the work/production.
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34.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
I had Edwards-Helaire as my top running back in this year's class due to the way he fits the NFL today. He's a true three-down back who can catch 80-plus passes out of the backfield, while running for 1,000-plus yards. Landing with the Chiefs was a dream scenario, especially in the first round. Over the last seven years, running backs who've been drafted in the first round have averaged 280.7 touches in year one. 75 percent of them have finished as an RB2 or better. Don't think this is Darwin Thompson all over again, as he was a sixth-round pick last year, and those average just 29.8 touches in year one. This is Edwards-Helaire's backfield after Andy Reid said he's better than Brian Westbrook on film. You don't take those players off the field very often. He's worth a second-round pick and would be a steal in the third round.
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35.
Chris Carson
RB - SEA (at SF)
If we knew Carson would be healthy the entire season, he'd be ranked as a top-12 running back. But we don't. There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the Seahawks backfield, as Carson is coming off a season-ending hip injury, while Rashaad Penny is recovering from a torn ACL, and they drafted DeeJay Dallas in the fourth round of the draft. You'll want to pay close attention to this backfield as we approach fantasy draft season.
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36.
D.J. Moore
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
The new offense should be exciting, as should the arrival of Teddy Bridgewater, who is an upgrade over what Moore had throwing to him last year. The issue is that the Panthers decided to add another target to the offense, snagging Robby Anderson in free agency. It'll make his target share a bit lower, though the defense is in severe rebuild mode, which should allow for more pass attempts. Moore remains a relatively safe WR2 even if his upside took a hit.
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37.
Calvin Ridley
WR - ATL (at TB)
Prior to getting hurt and having his season cut short, Ridley was on pace for 1,066 yards and eight touchdowns in 2019, which would have had him as the WR14. Now going into his third NFL season, there's a real chance for a breakout, though Julio Jones isn't going away any time soon. If you want to know if there's room for both to be WR1s, look no further than the Bucs last year with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, though it's rare for that to happen. Still, Ridley is an ascending talent and the Falcons didn't add a receiver of significance to replace Mohamed Sanu.
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38.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
Remember last year when Kupp was the No. 2 wide receiver through eight weeks? While he scored touchdowns in five straight games to close out the season, he was the No. 44 wide receiver from Weeks 9-16. It does help that Brandin Cooks is gone, but the emergence of Tyler Higbee is what cooled Kupp off. The Rams seem to change things quite often, so you'd draft Kupp as a WR2 hoping they target him like they did at the start of 2019.
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39.
Leonard Fournette
RB - JAC (at IND)
After trying to trade him prior to the NFL Draft, Fournette appears destined to play for the Jaguars once again in 2020. With Jay Gruden calling the offense, they should be much more efficient this year, though Fournette's volume made him a great play throughout 2019. The only running backs who offered RB2 or better numbers more often than Fournette in 2019 were Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott, Dalvin Cook, and Austin Ekeler. Do they go with more of a timeshare under Gruden? it's possible, but he should still offer low-end RB1 value.
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40.
Robert Woods
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
Despite scoring just two touchdowns last year, Woods was able to finish as the No. 17 wide receiver. Why do we continually doubt that his production will continue? Under Sean McVay, he's been a WR2 or better in 21-of-43 games, which is the same as Tyreek Hill. He may not have the upside that Hill does, but as a WR2 on your team, he's gold.
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41.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
Let me be clear about this: The Jerry Jeudy draft pick was a great one for the Broncos, as was the KJ Hamler one. However, from a fantasy standpoint, they were terrible for Sutton. He saw 125 targets last year with absolutely no competition on the roster. Now, with Jeudy, Hamler, Melvin Gordon, and year two Noah Fant in the mix, Sutton should be considered unlikely to match that number in 2020 and beyond.
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42.
Melvin Gordon
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
He left the Chargers at the right time, as they're going to be going through a transitional period. Instead, he joins a now-exciting Broncos offense that suddenly has tons of firepower. You don't add Gordon in free agency if you don't plan on using him as your lead back. The potential upside is that new offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur has been a one-back kind of guy, so it's possible that Phillip Lindsay is just there to give Gordon breathers when he needs them. With Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler, and Noah Fant out there are receiving threats, Gordon should see a lot of light fronts this year. He's a middling RB2 with RB1 upside if they decide to give him 15-plus touches per game.
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43.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (at SF)
It seemed like he picked up in 2019 right where he left off in 2018, as he was the No. 4 wide receiver through nine weeks, but then trailed off as the year went on. He was just the No. 61 wide receiver from Week 10 through Week 16 while D.K. Metcalf emerged, and that continued into the playoffs. It's likely we see more pass attempts out of the Seahawks in 2020, so there should be room for both Lockett and Metcalf to be WR2/3 options with WR1 upside nearly every week.
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44.
James Conner
RB - PIT (at CLE)
If Conner were able to stay on the field, he'd be considered as a top-10 running back in fantasy. Unfortunately, he hasn't done that, and it's led them to draft Jaylen Samuels, Benny Snell, and now Anthony McFarland. While none of them are better than Conner, it's likely we see them take some of the workload away from him in 2020.
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45.
D.K. Metcalf
WR - SEA (at SF)
We can't forget that Metcalf had a knee scope just two weeks prior to last season, and that he was considered a "raw receiver" by many who thought he'd take time to develop. During his rookie season, we watched him top 60 yards on nine separate occasions, which was tied for the 10th most among wide receivers. We all know touchdowns will come playing alongside Russell Wilson, too. Metcalf has legitimate WR1 upside if his development continues. After all, we did see him set the rookie record for receiving yards (160) in a playoff game.
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46.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
It's looking like a very good possibility for Taylor to see 250-plus carries in his rookie season. Some may think that's absurd, but Marlon Mack totaled 247 carries in just 14 games last year. Even if we give Mack the 100 carries that Jordan Wilkins and Jonathan Williams combined for last year, it'd leave room for Taylor to hit the 250 mark. He's also running behind the best offensive line in football, so it wouldn't be a shock to see him rush for 1,200 yards in year one with his vision and speed in the open field. Taylor is right in the same territory as someone like Nick Chubb.
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47.
Zach Ertz
TE - PHI (vs . WAS)
After posting TE1-type numbers in 78.6 percent of his games in 2017, Ertz has slowly started to regress. In 2018, that mark went down to 68.8 percent, and then just 53.3 percent in 2019. The emergence of Dallas Goedert has surely lowered his consistency, as well as his ceiling. Not only that, but the Eagles added tons of wide receiver talent in this year's draft, which will only make targets harder to come by. Ertz should still be considered a top-five tight end by everyone, but he's not someone to consider in the top four rounds.
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48.
David Johnson
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
The Texans gave their running backs 397 touches last year, and that was with DeAndre Hopkins on the roster. That's a lot of work. The only running back they've added was David Johnson. While Johnson looked horrendous down the stretch, it's possible he just tried to work his way back from injury way too soon. It appears Bill O'Brien isn't convinced that Johnson is done with his NFL career, like some. It's possible that he's not as electric as he once was, but guys, the Texans gave Carlos Hyde (who's still unemployed) 255 touches last year. Opportunity is key in fantasy football, and Johnson appears to be in line for a lot of it in 2020, making him a low-end RB2 with upside for more should he actually be healthy.
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49.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (at PHI)
McLaurin came out of nowhere as a waiver wire acquisition last year, finishing as the No. 27 wide receiver on a bad offense. It wasn't all pretty, as he had four games with less than 40 yards, but they were going through a lot of changes on the offense. They reportedly tried to acquire Amari Cooper, but after failing to land him, they fell back on Antonio Gandy-Golden in the fourth round of the draft. He's not going to threaten McLaurin's lead role on the team. It's safe to say we should expect 100-plus targets in year two, even if they aren't highly efficient coming from Dwayne Haskins.
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50.
DeVante Parker
WR - MIA (at BUF)
There were two wide receivers who hit at least 55 yards in 13 games last season. Michael Thomas and Parker. He didn't rely on touchdowns to score fantasy points. Knowing that Ryan Fitzpatrick will be back, and that Tua Tagovailoa may take over at some point, Parker should remain in the WR2 conversation most weeks. He did finish as the No. 7 wide receiver last year, but the team now has an improved defense and run-game, which will remove some volume from the passing offense.
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51.
D.J. Chark
WR - JAC (at IND)
It was an up-and-down season for Chark in 2019, though he certainly put his name on the map for fantasy enthusiasts. He had six games with 15-plus half-PPR points, but also had eight games with less than 9.0 half-PPR points, which is going to hurt fantasy lineups. The Jaguars also added a couple of wide receivers in the draft, including Laviska Shenault in the second round. Chark certainly has WR2 upside, but he also has a lower floor than most want to admit.
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52.
Mark Ingram II
RB - BAL (at CIN)
Not many expecting Ingram to finish as an RB1 with Lamar Jackson under center, thinking he'd lose some of the goal-line carries to the mobile quarteback. Despite the fact that Ingram had more than 15 carries just twice all season, he finished as the No. 8 running back. We aren't banking on that happening again, especially when the Ravens drafted JK Dobbins in the second round of the NFL Draft. Ingram is going to be 31 years old this year, while Dobbins and Justice Hill have young, fresh legs. We could see Ingram lose a few carries a game, but provided he's healthy, we should still expect him to lead this timeshare and be a borderline RB2.
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53.
David Montgomery
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
There's only one direction for Montgomery and the Bears offense to go this year, right? They didn't address the offensive line as aggressive as I thought they would, but Mongtomery's role is safe as the only running back on the roster capable of handling 15-plus carries per game. It's also worth noting that despite not starting right out of the gate, Montgomery ranked sixth in the NFL for carries inside the five-yard-line. He may be a low-end RB2, but he's still an RB2 who's locked into 15-plus touches per game.
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54.
Dak Prescott
QB - DAL (at NYG)
Don't look now, but Dak was the #2 fantasy QB last year before the Cowboys went out and added CeeDee Lamb who might be the most promising rookie wide receiver in nearly a decade. Not only that, but Dak had a surprisingly low TD-rate last season that should only climb in 2020. As if that isn't enough reason to take him as your QB3, Dak is on a contract season.
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55.
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
He's entering the final year of his contract with the Colts and is likely to lead them in targets. Some may be concerned about last year, but Jacoby Brissett wasn't the guy to get him the ball. Philip Rivers, on the other hand, he can sling it. Going back to Hilton with Andrew Luck in the Frank Reich offense, he finished with WR2-type numbers in 64.3 percent of his games. The addition of Michael Pittman and Jonathan Taylor may bring down his touchdown upside, but he should remain a consistent WR3, at worst.
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56.
Le'Veon Bell
RB - NYJ (at NE)
You're going to see Bell fall down draft boards this year, and further than he should. That's odd for me to say, as Bell was someone I was avoiding like the plague in drafts. The difference? Expectations. Playing him as your first-round pick in your RB1 slot was never something anyone should've expected, especially behind that offensive line and in Gase's offense. While he's still stuck in Gase's offense, the offensive line was upgraded quite a bit this offseason, which should allow Bell more room to work. Even if he repeated his 2019 performance, that's RB2 production. There were just 11 running backs who produced RB2 or better numbers more often than him. Sure, he didn't have a ton of weekly upside, but he was safe. Now coming off the board outside the top three rounds, Bell is a value play.
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57.
Keenan Allen
WR - LAC (at KC)
Many have underrated Allen for a long time, though it may be time for the tables to turn, as I'm somewhat down on the top-tier route runner. With Tyrod Taylor and/or Justin Herbert under center, the Chargers are not going to be throwing the ball a whole lot. There were nearly 600 targets to go around last year, which could be cut down to around the 500 mark, and that would severely impact Allen's targets. Not just that, but his efficiency is likely to come down with the decline in quarterback play. His talent should help get him into WR2 territory, but I think the days of him being a WR1 are in the rearview mirror.
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58.
Darren Waller
TE - LV (at DEN)
There was just one tight end in all of football who finished all 16 games with at least 7.0 PPR points. It was Waller. Not only that, but he also offered a ceiling, hitting 16-plus points on five separate occasions. The issue with relying on that again is the new competition for targets. As much as we don't want to consider Jason Witten a threat, he's going to steal some targets. Not just him, but Henry Ruggs, Lynn Bowden, and Bryan Edwards are all guys who'll demand some sort of target share. I still view Waller as a top-five tight end, though he's teetering there.
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59.
Stefon Diggs
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
Now that Diggs is out of Minnesota, will he become the fantasy superstar that we thought he could be? He tallied just 94 targets last year, and that's despite Adam Thielen being hurt for half the season. Diggs has seen more than 112 targets just once in his career, a number that should be attainable in Buffalo, though John Brown and Cole Beasley both topped 100 targets last year. To think Diggs can be more than a WR2, they'd have to severely cut Brown's and Beasley's targets to get him there. With Josh Allen's inconsistency throwning the ball down the field, it'd be unwise to trust Diggs as anything more than a low-end WR2 in fantasy.
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60.
Russell Wilson
QB - SEA (at SF)
Wilson is about as safe as they come at the quarterback position, as he's now been a top-12 quarterback in each of his eight seasons, while finishing top-three four different times. He does that by staying on the field, as he's as durable as they come. His 48.1 percent QB1 hit-rate ranks 10th since 2000, though he refuses to bust, scoring fewer than 14.0 fantasy points in just 27.3 percent of his games, which ranks as the fifth-lowest mark in that time. He's reportedly asked the Seahawks brass to unleash the passing game a bit more in 2020, which could give him a bit more upside. We already know the floor is there.
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61.
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI (at LAR)
Kyler finished as the #7 fantasy QB last year as a rookie despite an unsustainably low 3.7% TD-rate. You can expect that to jump this season, as should his volume both on the ground and in the air. Add in one of the league's best receivers in DeAndre Hopkins and it is challenging to imagine Murray finishing lower than last season unless he suffers an injury of some sort.
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62.
Raheem Mostert
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
After the way Mostert played in the playoffs, many were looking forward to a 2020 breakout season, and it helps knowing that Matt Breida was traded to the Dolphins. The issue is that they are getting Jerick McKinnon back, still have Tevin Coleman, and Jeff Wilson. The passing game also got a new weapon, which could lead to slightly more pass attempts. Despite being on the roster the past two years under Shanahan, Mostert has received 171 carries in 25 games. It's tough to see that changing drastically. There's a chance, which is why he's in the high-end RB3 conversation, but there's also a chance you can't start him with confidence every week.
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63.
A.J. Green
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
It's amazing to see so many fantasy analysts down on Green, like he hasn't been a top-12 receiver every year he's been on the field. Sure, he's got some injury concerns and is aging, but I'll always side with the surefire producer. He's also never played with a quarterback as good as Joe Burrow. Don't sleep on Green this season.
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64.
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU (vs . TEN)
There is plenty of reason to consider Kyler as your #4 fantasy quarterback ahead of Watson now that DeAndre Hopkins is out of town but frankly, fantasy value has much more to do with volume than surrounding talent. The Texans should be bad this season which ought to lead to an additional 50+ pass attempts in 2020 than we've grown used to seeing. That alone would more than supplement the fantasy impact of losing Hopkins.
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65.
Devin Singletary
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
There were many celebrating the end of the Frank Gore era in Buffalo, but they went out and added one of my favorite backs in the draft, Zack Moss, to use in that Gore role. GM Brandon Beane said, "I think more of the goal line and things like that as we did with Frank last year, you'll see Zack do. I think Devin will do a similar role that he had." This is your reminder that Singletary had just two carries inside the five-yard-line all year, while Josh Allen had five, and Frank Gore had 11. That's a crushing blow to Singletary's value.
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66.
Michael Gallup
WR - DAL (at NYG)
I think there were a lot of people shocked by the Cowboys selecting CeeDee Lamb at No. 17 overall considering how well Gallup has played to this point. Sure, the Cowboys needed a third wide receiver, but Lamb was the worst-case scenario for Gallup, who's likely moving down to third on the totem pole, capping his potential.
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67.
Jarvis Landry
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
Landry is seemingly always undervalued and it's risky doing it again, but he did have hip surgery this offseason, and we are expecting much more out of Odell Beckham. Not just that, but the addition of Austin Hooper means they're going to target the tight end position a lot more under Kevin Stefanski. It just doesn't feel likely that Landry will see the 138 or 149 targets he did over the last two seasons. Still, here's a fun fact: There have been three wide receivers who've been top-24 fantasy options in each of the last five seasons. Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and Landry.
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68.
D'Andre Swift
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
Some are automatically assuming that Swift will get 20 touches per game in the Lions offense, though I'm not part of that group. Kerryon Johnson has been solid for the Lions when on the field, though he's had issues staying on the field, and the Lions are tired of bringing in guys like LeGarrette Blount, C.J. Anderson, and Bo Scarbrough. So, they'll likely work both running backs to keep them healthy and fresh. I do believe Swift is the better back, hence the higher ranking, but expecting more than 12-14 touches per game out of the gate would be a mistake.
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69.
Marquise Brown
WR - BAL (at CIN)
When your team is throwing the ball just 439 times the entire season, it's going to be hard to become a consistent fantasy option. It's going to be even harder when you're a rookie who was coming off foot surgery and dealing with ankle injuries throughout the year. That was the reality for Brown, who played just 14 games, yet finished as a top-50 fantasy wide receiver. The team added a few wide receivers in the draft ,but no one who should trump him in targets. If the Ravens drop back to pass a bit more in 2020, Brown could be a legitimate breakout option, though he shouldn't be drafted as anything more than an upside WR3/4.
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70.
Cam Akers
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
The Rams were going to draft a running back - we knew that after they interviewed a ton of them in the draft process. What we didn't know was that they'd take one with their first pick in the draft. While Darrell Henderson is a threat to Akers' overall workload, they clearly know what they have in Henderson, and drafted Akers early. It seems like Henderson is going to be the lesser part of the timeshare, while Akers is the early-down back and likely to receive goal-line work. There's a chance Henderson has a bigger role than anticipated, which prevents us from trusting Akers as anything more than a high-end RB3.
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71.
Tyler Boyd
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
Do you believe the Bengals will be a better football team in 2020? If you do, that could be harmful to Boyd's output. He totaled 60-plus yards in nine games last year, with all of them being losses where he racked up some targets. Granted, the Bengals didn't win many games in 2019, but the return of A.J. Green will also cap his target share. Still, there is some reason for optimism, as Boyd has now finished with 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons, and will get an upgrade at quarterback. He's best viewed as a WR3 with upside to make it into the top 15.
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72.
Josh Allen
QB - BUF (vs . MIA)
I'm not questioning Allen's ability to finish as a top-eight quarterback (where he's being drafted), because he finished as the No. 6 quarterback last year. However, his rushing touchdowns will come back down to earth. He scored nine of them in 2019, while Lamar Jackson scored seven rushing for more than double Allen's yards. The addition of Stefon Diggs won't hurt Allen's passing totals, but it's on the ground where he makes most of his marks, and I'm expecting that to regress.
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73.
Julian Edelman
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
As of now, it appears Edelman will have Jarred Stidham throwing him the ball in 2020. Is that a good thing? We don't really know just yet, though his 9.2-yard average depth of target shouldn't be impacted by quarterback play too much. Unless you're expecting Mohamed Sanu or N'Keal Harry to hit 100-plus targets, Edelman should be safe to hit the century mark, even if the offense is less potent than in years past. But also don't forget to take his injury history into consideration, as the reward might not be worth the risk anymore without Tom Brady there.
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74.
Evan Engram
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
Engram is widely considered to be an excellent tight end but from an efficiency standpoint, that just hasn't been the case. Yes, he had a big rookie season but it was volume-based because Beckham, Brandon Marshall and Sterling Shepard were all injured. More than likely, we are looking at the fifth-best receiving weapon this season behind Tate, Shepard, Slayton and Saquon. This is an easy pass in the sixth round in 2020.
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75.
Marvin Jones
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
When doing the "Boom, Bust, and Everything In Between" series, I can't help but notice how undervalued Jones is nearly every season. The "bust" score is anything less than 8.0 PPR points. Jones busted just 23.1 percent in 2019, the 22nd lowest mark among wide receivers. He was at just 22.2 percent in 2018, the 25th lowest mark. And lastly, he was at just 18.8 percent in 2017, the ninth-lowest mark. Meanwhile, he'll give you big games here and there while not completely tanking your team. If you want to wait at wide receiver in your draft and play him as your WR3, it's not that bad.
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76.
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL (at TB)
Ryan is the definition of consistency in fantasy football. He's not going to win you your fantasy championship, but he's the type of quarterback you can set-it-and-forget-it most of the time. There was just one quarterback who busted (less than 14 fantasy points) less often than him, and that quarterback (Lamar Jackson) is going in the top three rounds. If you want to wait until the middle rounds to snag Ryan, that's been a solid plan the last handful of years.
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77.
Tyler Higbee
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
While it's easy to fall in love with the way Higbee ended the season, we mustn't forget that it's a very small sample size. He finished with 522 yards and two touchdowns over the final five games while seeing a massive 56 targets. He and Gerald Everett COMBINED for 85 targets the entire 2018 season. Injuries certainly helped Higbee get more targets as the year went on, but are we certain it'll continue in 2020? If you don't have to spend a pick in the top five or six rounds to get him, it's worth finding out.
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78.
Kareem Hunt
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
The Browns are going to have a new offense in 2020, so we can't automatically assume that Hunt will be as big as he was in the gameplanning process in 2020. From the time he entered the lineup last year, he was the No. 26 running back in half-PPR formats while Nick Chubb was the No. 18 running back. The reason we have to assume he'll have a role is due to the Browns tendering him with a second rounder instead of moving on. Chubb is the superior play in this backfield, but it's important to note that Hunt has standalone value, while also offering league-winning handcuff value. If Chubb were to miss time, Hunt would be a top-five play.
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79.
Will Fuller
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
The definition of a boom-or-bust player, as Fuller has posted WR1-type numbers in 23.8 percent of his games, which ranks 30th among wide receivers since 2000. The issue is that he's posted WR3 or better numbers in just 33.3 percent of his games, which ranks 94th (right behind Donte Moncrief) during that time. The loss of Deandre Hopkins should provide him with a more stable target floor, though Brandin Cooks is arguably a better football player than Fuller and will steal a lot of those targets. The chemistry between Fuller and Deshaun Watson has to be taken into account, but so does the injury history. Ideally, you draft him as a WR4 that you can rely on as a WR3 while healthy.
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80.
Hunter Henry
TE - LAC (at KC)
There are a lot of questions surrounding the Chargers offense as we head into 2020, and the quarterback position is atop the list. No matter who is under center, they're not going to be throwing the ball a lot. Tyrod Taylor has never attempted more than 436 attempts in a season, and Justin Herbert is a rookie who'll go through growing pains. We already saw Henry being somewhat scaled back in this offense last year, as he failed to top 45 yards in each of the last five games. For a guy who's never topped 652 yards in a season and getting a downgrade at quarterback, he has a high draft price, and is likely not going to live up to expectations.
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81.
Brandin Cooks
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
There have been just nine wide receivers who've finished as top-24 fantasy options in at least four of the last five seasons: Julio Jones, Mike Evans, Jarvis Landry, DeAndre Hopkins, Antonio Brown, Davante Adams, Amari Cooper, and... Cooks. Keep in mind he's done that while playing for three different teams, so he's essentially team-proof. Concussions were problematic in 2019 and will be a problem moving forward in his career, as another one could end it. While on the field, though, he's proven to have a WR2 floor in the NFL. We can't pretend that going to Deshaun Watson isn't an upgrade from Jared Goff, either. The issue is that Will Fuller plays a similar role and has chemistry with Watson. Cooks can likely be drafted as a WR4, but he'll be a starter when he's on the field.
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82.
Carson Wentz
QB - PHI (vs . WAS)
Despite missing every starting wide receiver not named Nelson Agholor, Wentz was able to throw for over 4,000 yards and 27 touchdowns in 2019, highlighting just how stable his floor is when healthy. The Eagles rewarded him by drafting three wide receivers, as well as trading for Marquise Goodwin. It's worth noting that the Eagles did strengthen their defense, which could lead to fewer pass attempts, but his efficiency should rise. His weekly ceiling may not be as high as someone like Josh Allen, but his weekly floor is much higher.
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83.
Sony Michel
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
After a somewhat disappointing rookie campaign where he failed to finish as a top-24 running back despite racking up 209 carries in the high-scoring Patriots offense, Michel had an even worse sophomore campaign, averaging just 3.7 yards per carry and scoring just seven touchdowns on 259 touches. The Patriots spent a first-round pick on him, so he'll be given every opportunity to succeed, but they won't allow him to be inefficient much longer with Damien Harris waiting in the wings. Michel simply hasn't been the player we watched at Georgia. It's hard to see losing Tom Brady actually help him become more efficient.
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84.
Drew Brees
QB - NO (at CAR)
I'm not sure if anyone has realized it, but Brees has broken the age 40 barrier and is now 41 years old. Unlike Tom Brady, Brees is going to retire after this year. His average depth of target continues to decrease, which will require more pass attempts in order to reach QB1 territory. How to prove that? He completed 74 percent of his passes and threw a touchdown on 7.1 percent of his attempts, yet he was just the No. 7 quarterback in fantasy points per game. His ceiling at this point in middling QB1 territory.
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85.
Derrius Guice
RB - WAS (at PHI)
Now entering his third NFL season, Guice has just 49 touches to his name. The Redskins have a new coaching staff that has apparently decided to go with a timeshare approach. Along with Guice, they have Adrian Peterson, Bryce Love, Peyton Barber, Antonio Gibson, and J.D. McKissic. So, even if Guice is the lead back, it's unlikely he's a workhorse, and will concede passing-down work to one of Gibson/McKissic. On a low-scoring team, it's hard to find the upside in Guice's projection, even if he does return to perfect health, which has been an issue.
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86.
Jordan Howard
RB - MIA (at BUF)
It seems like years since Howard has been a force to reckon with in fantasy football, but prior to the 2019 season that was ended with injuries, he'd posted 935 or more rushing yards in each of the previous three seasons. The issue with projecting that moving forward is due to his offensive line play. The Dolphins have what may be the worst line in football, while Howard has only run behind top-10 offensive lines while in Chicago and Philadelphia. Still, if you need a running back who's likely locked into 12-plus touches a week, Howard can fill a role on your fantasy team.
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87.
Jared Cook
TE - NO (at CAR)
Cook may have finished as a TE1 last season but his 9 TDs in just 43 receptions is nowhere close to sustainable. More likely, that number will be cut in half and the targets could go down too as the Saints now added a reliable WR2 in Emmanuel Sanders for the first time in a decade. Cook a streaming tight end this season but being drafted as a surefire fantasy starter.
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88.
Tom Brady
QB - TB (vs . ATL)
If you're looking for a competent quarterback to platoon with, Brady should be a solid target. However, you must understand what you're sacrificing by drafting him. Upside. Of the top 100 fantasy games by quarterbacks over the last two years, Brady has accounted for precisely zero of them. Sure, he has the best receiving corps he's ever had, but he also hasn't had an entire offseason to work with them.
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89.
John Brown
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
Brown was the definition of consistency last year, finishing with at least 10.4 PPR points in 13-of-15 games. The issue was that he lacked upside, topping 20 PPR points just twice all year. Now adding Stefon Diggs to the offense, his target share is going to dip and make him much more inconsistent, as they're both perimeter players who'll compete for targets. After seeing 115 targets in 2019, it's possible that number dips into the 80-90 range in 2020. This receiving corps will be better for real life football in 2020, but fantasy-wise, there's likely to be a lot of bumpy roads.
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90.
Mike Williams
WR - LAC (at KC)
If there's one thing I know, it's that Mike Williams is going to miss Philip Rivers throwing him the ball in tight one-on-one situations. Rivers was intercepted an amazing eight times while targeting Williams, which led all wide receivers, and he saw just 90 targets. Tyrod Taylor isn't someone who takes a lot of risks, and if Justin Herbert is put under center, they won't be throwing a whole lot with a rookie quarterback. Williams is a very risky fantasy selection in 2020.
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91.
Ronald Jones II
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
We heard the Bucs say all offseason that Jones was their guy. We didn't even hear about them meeting with any of the free agent running backs. Then we heard the name Keshawn Vaughn in the third round, creating a problem for Jones. When teams select a running back on Day 2, it's typically to play them right out of the gate, even if it's not a clear-cut loss of the job for Jones. No matter which way you slice it, he has some new and improved competition.
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92.
Damien Williams
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
There are some who aren't convinced Williams' value is completely gone, but rest assured, it is. In the entire 21 years, there has been just one running back drafted in the first round under Andy Reid: Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Reid said that Edwards-Helaire is better than Brian Westbrook on film, and Patrick Mahomes pulled for them to draft Edwards-Helaire. They're going to use him as much as they can, which means Williams is going to be there to offer a breather from time-to-time. He's an elite handcuff, but that's about it.
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93.
Christian Kirk
WR - ARI (at LAR)
Kirk went from someone who was set to have a massive amount of targets come his way once Larry Fitzgerald retired, but now that he's announced his return, and the team has traded for DeAndre Hopkins, Kirk suddenly might be stuck as a fringe fantasy option. Kirk did see 107 targets in just 13 games last year, and it's not like Fitzgerald is getting any younger/better. You don't want to write him off completely, but he fits in more as a low-end WR3/high-end WR4 in 2020.
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94.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
Did you know there wasn't a single game in 2019 where Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate, Slayton, Evan Engram, and Saquon Barkley were on the field together? That's an issue for Slayton's projection in 2020, as he's clearly the fourth or fifth option in the pass-attack. Add in the inconsistency of Daniel Jones, and you have yourself a very high-risk wide receiver who's being taken over some valuable commodities.
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95.
Aaron Rodgers
QB - GB (at CHI)
It was a foregone conclusion that the Packers would add some wide receiver help for Rodgers in the draft. Not only did they not draft a wide receiver, but they also traded up and drafted a quarterback in the first round. The way the Packers drafted suggest that they don't realize they have an all-time great as their quarterback. Here's a fun stat: Rodgers has thrown 364 touchdowns in his career. Just one of them has gone to a player drafted in the first round. The Packers aren't going to become a pass-first team under Matt LaFleur, meaning Rodgers won't be a fantasy stud. Still, he's played at least 15 games 10 times in his career, and has never finished worse than the No. 9 quarterback.
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96.
Deebo Samuel
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
It was odd to see Samuel finish as a top-30 wide receiver last year, because it didn't feel that way throughout the year. He saw just 81 targets and had just two games with more than eight targets. The 49ers offense is going to be run-heavy, but Samuel will be the go-to guy when they do drop back to pass. He's also included in the run-game, as evidenced by his 159 rushing yards and three touchdowns last year. It's tough to see him having a true breakout season, especially when he suffered a broken foot during offseason training. The rumor is that he may not even be ready for Week 1 of the season. When a pass-catcher has foot surgery in the same calendar year, it usually means bad things for fantasy purposes. You may want to wait until 2021 to invest a redraft pick on the young receiver.
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97.
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
During the scouting process, I felt like Vaughn was just a guy, not a difference maker. That's not to say he wouldn't be able to produce if given the opportunity, but I don't think opportunity will simply be given to him. Don't forget that David Johnson saw just 161 touches his rookie season under Bruce Arians, and that was while he was extremely efficient. Interestingly enough, he was also a third-round pick. This is a situation to monitor throughout the offseason.
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98.
Matthew Stafford
QB - DET (vs . MIN)
There have been a lot of people talking about Stafford's 2019 season before injury, highlighting that it could be a sign of things to come. He was the No. 6 quarterback in fantasy through nine weeks, yes. But do you know who No. 5 was? Aaron Rodgers. That didn't end well. Stafford's 8.2 yards per attempt was easily a career high and just the second time in his career over 7.6 yards per attempt. He's going to be a fine low-end QB1/high-end QB2, but he's not likely to be a league winner at this stage of his career.
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99.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - BAL (at CIN)
If you're looking for a handcuff to Mark Ingram, Dobbins is your guy. The Ravens apparently had a first-round grade on him in the draft, so selecting him in the second round was a "no brainer," according to them. He's likely to get 8-10 touches per game even with Ingram in the lineup, as the Ravens are not going to give any one running back more than 15-16 touches per game. That limits the upside of Dobbins, as does Lamar Jackson stealing plenty of goal-line touches.
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100.
Diontae Johnson
WR - PIT (at CLE)
Johnson is going to be a trendy breakout pick this year, considering he managed to find success as a part-time player with continually sub-par quarterbacks throwing him the ball. Despite that, Johnson was the 40th-ranked wide receiver in standard scoring formats. An elite route-runner, Johnson now has the chance to blossom into a reliable starting wide receiver with Ben Roethlisberger back throwing him the ball. Still, Johnson is more of an upside play, and should be drafted as a bench receiver with a high ceiling.
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101.
Rob Gronkowski
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
The fact that Tom Brady won't have a full offseason with his new receivers, you have to wonder if he'll gravitate towards his old friend Gronkowski. During Gronkowski's career, he posted top-five-type numbers in 40.9 percent of his games, which is easily the best of all-time. In fact, the closest tight end, Travis Kelce, has posted those numbers in 31.6 percent of his games. While Gronkowski isn't the young stud he once was, but he should be a consistent presence while on the field with Brady.
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102.
Marlon Mack
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
We never reached the expected performance out of Mack behind the Colts top-tier offensive line, so why shouldn't we have expected them to draft a running back? Drafting Jonathan Taylor in the second round was a straight dagger to Mack's value in any format. He'll be lucky to get eight touches per game in that offense this year.
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103.
Tevin Coleman
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
Now that Matt Breida is out of town, you'd think there's more opportunity to be had for Coleman in this backfield, but the return of Jerick McKinnon could affect that. After seeing 16-plus carries in three of his first four games with the 49ers, Coleman never got more than 12 for the remainder of the season. He's best suited for a timeshare role and somewhat of a handcuff to Raheem Mostert. If Mostert were to miss time, Coleman would likely be an every-week RB2.
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104.
Matt Breida
RB - MIA (at BUF)
There are a lot of fantasy owners expecting Jordan Howard to be the lead back in Miami, though if I'm being honest, Breida may be the better option, and he's much cheaper. While health has been an issue for Breida, he's performed when given opportunity and will get most of the passing-down work in 2020. Staying on the field has been and will continue to be an obstacle.
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105.
Emmanuel Sanders
WR - NO (at CAR)
It was remarkable to see Sanders come back from an Achilles injury at the age of 32, though there were a lot of inconsistencies in his performances. He had three games with 100-plus yards, but also had 10 games with 41 yards or less. Going to the Saints, he's not going to need a whole lot of targets to produce, but betting on him being anything other than a bye week filler would be a mistake. The Saints offense runs through Michael Thomas, and you're not going to take targets from him to feed a 33-year-old.
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106.
Phillip Lindsay
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
I don't think I've ever seen someone glanced over as easily as Lindsay in both real life and fantasy. Over the last two years, here are the only players who have more rushing yards than him: Ezekiel Elliott, Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, Christian McCaffrey, Chris Carson, Saquon Barkley, Joe Mixon, and Todd Gurley.
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107.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (at NYG)
It was a shock to see the Cowboys snag Lamb at No. 17 overall, as they already had two top-24 receivers (fantasy-wise). This complicates the matter, as both Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup each lose target volume with Lamb in the fold. The question is: How much? It's tough to see Lamb rack up more than 80 targets in his rookie season, which means he should be kept in WR4/5 territory until we know he'll play ahead of Gallup in 2WR sets.
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108.
Kerryon Johnson
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
We all know Johnson's struggled to stay on the field over his first two seasons, and it led the Lions to draft D'Andre Swift at the top of the second round. You don't draft a running back at the top of the second round to not use him. Johnson's skillset clashes with that of Swift, so it's unlikely he sees more than 10-12 touches per game.
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109.
Jamison Crowder
WR - NYJ (at NE)
Did you know Crowder finished as the No. 31 wide receiver in half-PPR formats last year? The Jets moved on from Robby Anderson and brought in Breshad Perriman, who's now with his fourth team in as many years, and drafted rookie Denzel Mims in the second round. While you can assume those players walk in and see targets, it's Crowder who'll likely be Darnold's go-to guy. He may not be a sexy pick, but he'll get the job done for a cheap WR4.
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110.
Hayden Hurst
TE - ATL (at TB)
Hurst was a 1st round pick for the Ravens just three seasons ago but has been overshadowed by Mark Andrews. Apparently, the Falcons thought quite a bit about his upside as well, sacrificing a second-round pick for the tight end. We know Matt Ryan loved throwing to Austin Hooper and now with him, Devonta Freeman and Mohamed Sanu all gone, there are 200+ targets up for grabs. Hurst should see nearly 100 which could make him a TE1 by season's end.
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111.
Daniel Jones
QB - NYG (vs . DAL)
Here's a fun fact: Jones had two top-10 single performances by a quarterback in 2019. The only other quarterbacks who can say that are Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson. He hit the "boom" mark in 30.8 percent of his starts in 2019, the third-highest mark in the league. Keep in mind that he did that while not having a single game with Barkley, Engram, Shepard, Tate, and Slayton all healthy. He needs to become more consistent, but he does present tons of upside.
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112.
Anthony Miller
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
Despite playing with Mitch Trubisky, Miller has now seen 139 targets in his first two seasons, compiling 85 receptions for 1,079 yards and nine touchdowns. By comparison, Robert Woods saw 139 targets last year, finishing with 90 receptions for 1,134 yards and two touchdowns. But for whatever reason, Matt Nagy has chosen not to let Miller flourish in the Bears offense. There were just seven games he saw more than three targets. In those seven games, he totaled 42 receptions for 547 yards, and two touchdowns. With Taylor Gabriel gone, it's very possible that Miller becomes more of a staple in the offense. He's best viewed as a WR4/5-type option with WR3 upside.
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113.
Sterling Shepard
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
In a season where he was dealing with injuries and a rookie quarterback, Shepard still posted WR2 or better numbers in 40 percent of his games, which ranked 33rd among wide receivers. Now, to be fair, the offense has changed, but it doesn't appear the new regime is very fond of Evan Engram, as evidenced by putting him on the trade block during the NFL Draft. Golden Tate is aging, and while Darius Slayton did flash at times, it was a relatively small sample size. It shouldn't shock anyone to see Shepard get 100-plus targets in 2020 and finish as a WR3, though you do have to wonder what his upside actually is with so many mouths to feed.
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114.
James White
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
He's one of the trickiest evaluations in fantasy football this year, as losing Tom Brady is going to affect him in a big way. The question becomes: Just how much upside will he lose? White was never someone you relied on for RB1 or RB2 production, but he would give you spikes in production from your flex spot that could help you win a week. He's seen a massive 290 targets over the last three years, and it's extremely unlikely the Patriots have Jarrett Stidham drop back anywhere close to the number of times Brady did. Not just that, but Brady always targeted his running backs in the passing game. There are just too many questions to rely on him for anything for more than low-end RB3/high-end RB4 production.
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115.
Austin Hooper
TE - CLE (vs . PIT)
When it comes to tight ends, it's all about targets. Going back to 2009, there have been just 11 tight ends who've finished top-10 without seeing a minimum of 80 targets, which might be difficult for Hooper to come by with his new team. Not only do they have Odell Beckham, Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb, and Kareem Hunt, but Hooper is now part of a crowded tight end room with David Njoku and Harrison Bryant (who they drafted in the fourth round). Kevin Stefanski's offense in Minnesota did run a lot of 2TE sets, but their top three tight ends combined for just 105 targets, and none had more than 48 targets.
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116.
Latavius Murray
RB - NO (at CAR)
Did everyone forget what happened when Alvin Kamara had to miss time last year? It was only two weeks, but in those two games, Murray destroyed the Bears and Cardinals to the tune of 307 total yards and four total touchdowns. He's legitimately a league-winner if Kamara misses time. This is what handcuff dreams are made of. He's also going to have bye week appeal, even when Kamara is on the field.
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117.
Ben Roethlisberger
QB - PIT (at CLE)
There has always been question marks surrounding Roethlisberger's health, but now coming off season-ending shoulder surgery at the age of 38, there's more concern than ever. He's played all 16 games just four times during his 16 years in the league. When in the lineup, Roethlisberger has proven to give you week-winning upside, especially when playing at home. He's not someone you should rely on every week, but as a platooning starter, he's fine.
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118.
Alexander Mattison
RB - MIN (at DET)
He's one of the best handcuffs in fantasy football. There were times in 2019 where he looked like Dalvin Cook on the field, which is a high compliment. We also cannot pretend that Cook has been the picture of perfect health throughout his three years in the NFL. Mattison won't have much value without a Cook injury, but that's okay when you draft him in the later rounds.
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119.
Ryan Tannehill
QB - TEN (at HOU)
Tannehill is coming off one of the most efficient seasons of all-time. What most don't realize is that he's been pretty efficient throughout the course of his career, though injuries haven't allowed him to stay on the field. His career QB Rating is actually higher than Matthew Stafford. Now firmly entrenched as the starter in Tennessee, will he become a fantasy star? The concern is always going to come to lack of pass attempts. If he'd averaged a decent 7.2 yards per attempt last year, he would not have been a consistent fantasy starter. The Titans are not expected to throw the ball 500 times, which means Tannehill would be relying on super high efficiency or his legs to drive his fantasy production. That's a slippery slope on a week-to-week basis, so consider Tannehill a streamer who's unlikely to repeat.
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120.
Noah Fant
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
While the Titans have a great defense overall, they struggled to contain pass catchers over the middle of the field and ended up as a bottom-five unit against the tight end position last year. Fant has some seasonal upside but is primarily just a Week 1 streamer. He carries an ADP of TE13 so he should be available in the closing rounds of your draft. You can snag him for this quality Week 1 matchup before dumping him before three tough matches in the following four weeks at Pittsburgh, at Jamal Adams and the Jets then at New England.
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121.
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE (vs . PIT)
Do you recall how horrendous Jared Goff was under Jeff Fisher back in 2016 where he averaged just 5.3 yards per attempt while throwing five touchdowns and seven interceptions? The very next year, Goff averaged 8.0 yards per attempt with 28 touchdowns and seven interceptions. It just goes to show how big of an effect a coach can have on an offense, especially one led by a young quarterback. Is Kevin Stefanski the right coach? Time will tell, but don't forget Mayfield was being drafted as the No. 4 quarterback in fantasy drafts last year. The talent is there and the surrounding cast got even better.
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122.
Jonnu Smith
TE - TEN (at HOU)
Remember when T.J. Hockenson dominated the NFL combine just two years ago? Well, Jonnu is the same size but faster, stronger, quicker and a better leaper. Not only that, but he breaks tackles like he's George Kittle and Bill Belichick, himself, called Jonnu "one of the best tight ends in football." If you are looking for this year's version of Darren Waller, it is difficult to look beyond this supreme athlete moving into a much larger role in one of the NFL's top offenses. You can grab Jonnu late in your drafts and if it doesn't work out, move over to streaming the position.
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123.
Jared Goff
QB - LAR (vs . ARI)
It's been a weird ride for Goff in the NFL, as he went from someone who was left for dead, only to be revived by Sean McVay. His weekly performances have been relatively similar every year, despite contrary belief. He's posted top-12-type numbers in 43.8 percent of his games in each of the last two years, while hitting that mark 46.7 percent of the time in 2017. The issue in 2019 was the lack of upside, as he didn't have a single game with more than 25.2 fantasy points. He passed that mark five different times in 2018. Does the loss of Todd Gurley as a safety valve hurt his overall potential? Losing Brandin Cooks surely can't help, either. Goff is one of those quarterbacks you can take in the later rounds and hope he gets some of that upside back, because otherwise, he's just a boring streamer.
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124.
Mike Gesicki
TE - MIA (at BUF)
Gesicki showed some flashes last season and is an elite athlete but the Dolphins will return Preston Williams, Jakeem Grant and Albert Wilson from injury so Gesicki will be hard-pressed to even sniff the 89 targets he was given last season. Even if he does, the efficiency just isn't there for him to be a top 12 fantasy tight end.
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125.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
We didn't get the landing spot we'd hoped for with Jeudy, as he'll fight for targets with Courtland Sutton. That doesn't mean he can't be productive in fantasy, but rather that we need to dial back expectations. The Broncos are not going to be a high-volume passing offense, which limits the potential to Jeudy and the entire offense. He's best viewed as a WR4 right now who can potentially sneak into the WR2/3 conversation, though you shouldn't bank on it.
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126.
Tarik Cohen
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
We knew big play regression was coming for Cohen in 2019, though it hit him more than anyone thought possible. Did you know that Cohen posted RB1-type numbers in 31.3 percent of his games in 2018? That ranked 12th among running backs. His lack of big plays crushed his hopes in 2019, as he went down to just 6.3 percent. Still, his floor stayed intact, highlighting he's still the same player. There's an in-between 2018 and 2019 outcome that's likely in 2020. He's never going to be a workhorse running back, but he's going to beat his current ADP.
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127.
Darrell Henderson
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
Some Henderson truthers are dead-set on him being "the guy" in this offense, but the Rams selecting Cam Akers with their first pick in the draft is extremely worrisome. They used a second-round pick on Akers, while Henderson himself was taken with a third-round pick. I'm not willing to say that Henderson is completely out of contention, but his value took a blow in the draft. This is likely to be a timeshare backfield, making him a risky RB3 in redraft leagues.
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128.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
It can be easy to discount receiving options after one rough season but there are limited examples of any rookie tight end succeeding in fantasy football. Don't forget that this is one of the top tight end prospects of all-time, and while he certainly isn't safe to rely on, Hockenson's ceiling is virtually unlimited.
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129.
Mecole Hardman
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
Did you know that among wide receivers who've seen at least 30 targets, Mecole Hardman's 13.1 yards per target ranks as the third-highest mark among wide receivers over the last 10 years? His 2.77 PPR points per target ranked as the fourth-best mark in that time. He's good, we know that, but will he get the targets necessary to start him confidently? He's one of those players who can certainly take the leap into the top-30 receivers if he gets the opportunity, which is rare to find in the late rounds.
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130.
Golden Tate
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
Closing in on the age of 32, Tate is nearing the end of his NFL career. Sure, he's a smaller receiver, and they do tend to hold up better than the big-bodied receivers, but Tate has taken a beating over the middle of the field while racking up yards after the catch. Now competing with Sterling Shepard, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram, and Saquon Barkley for targets, he's a very low upside fantasy receiver. If he remains healthy, he'll likely finish as a top-40 fantasy receiver, but he's not going to be someone who thrusts you to a fantasy championship.
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131.
Preston Williams
WR - MIA (at BUF)
Despite not starting right out of the gate, Williams impressed the coaches enough to earn a starting spot by Week 3 of his rookie season. He quickly became a fantasy producer and was the No. 39 wide receiver in fantasy through nine weeks despite being a few weeks behind the curve. Now you add Tua Tagovailoa, which should be considered an upgrade over Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen. While Devante Parker may be the 1A, his price is much more expensive than Williams, making Williams the better value late in drafts.
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132.
Zack Moss
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
The Bills have already come forward and said that Moss will take over the role that Frank Gore played last year. Before injuries and age started to add up for Gore, he was getting a lot of work in the Bills offense. He averaged 12.5 carries per game through Week 12, which is a big enough role to be considered an RB4. Not just that, but Gore ranked 12th among running backs for carries inside the five-yard-line. Moss is going to crush Devin Singletary's upside, and if Singletary were to miss time, Moss would be a top-15 start every week.
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133.
Breshad Perriman
WR - NYJ (at NE)
Perriman is now on his fourth team in as many years. It's tough to be a reliable fantasy option when that's the case. Not only that, but the Jets are still under Adam Gase, which means there won't be many plays per game. The Jets have what I deemed the toughest schedule in the league for wide receivers, so even if we see Perriman get the targets, he's unlikely to be efficient with them. He closed the 2019 season with 25 receptions for 506 yards and five touchdowns over his last five games, which will have some intrigued, but my guess is that you'll drop Perriman for a hot waiver wire pickup.
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134.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (at DET)
The landing spot in Minnesota is a good thing for Jefferson, as Stefon Diggs is gone and Adam Thielen is going to be 30 years old (with back problems) at the start of the season. But for now, Jefferson is just a middling WR4 due to the low volume available in the Vikings offense.
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135.
Robby Anderson
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
One thing to watch with Anderson to the Panthers is that he's reunited with his old coach Matt Rhule from college. That's a check in the plus column for him, though there are a lot of mouths to feed in the Panthers offense. D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, and Ian Thomas have all shown ability to produce with targets, while Anderson has been extremely hit-or-miss while asked to be "the guy" in New York. He's best viewed as a bench option with week-to-week upside.
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136.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI (vs . WAS)
We saw an upward trajectory in Goedert's career in 2019, though much of it was due to injuries to all of the wide receivers. Still, he saw at least five targets in 10 of the last 11 games, highlighting how much he's trusted. He's one of the rare cases of a tight end handcuff who has league-winning upside should anything happen to Zach Ertz. He does present some value on his own, but not enough to make it into the top-12 conversation.
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137.
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN (vs . BAL)
I don't often want any part of rookie quarterbacks in year one, but Burrow is an exception to the rule. Zac Taylor's offense never had a chance to succeed last year with the injuries they had. Burrow will have A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, John Ross, Tee Higgins, and Auden Tate at his disposal, while having a plus-receiving back in Joe Mixon. You also can't forget that he'll get first-round left tackle Jonah Williams back from injury. This offense should surprise some people.
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138.
Curtis Samuel
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
The quarterback play was atrocious in Carolina last year, but it was Samuel who was the least efficient of all the pass catchers. In fact, among the 157 wide receivers who've seen at least 100 targets over the last five years, Samuel's 0.96 yards per route run was the worst. There's so much competition for targets with D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Christian McCaffrey, and Ian Thomas, it's hard to see Samuel being a consistent fantasy option.
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139.
Tony Pollard
RB - DAL (at NYG)
We saw flash out of Pollard last year, as he posted three games with 17-plus PPR points, and that was with Ezekiel Elliott on the field. Now a year older, the Cowboys may decide to dial back the veteran's workload, which would provide Pollard with a bigger role. If Elliott were to miss time, Pollard would immediately jump into the RB1 conversation.
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140.
Duke Johnson
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
Despite continually being one of the most efficient running backs in football, it seems there's no head coach who wants to give Johnson his shot at a bigger role. This will be his sixth season in the NFL and he's never topped 104 carries in a season despite the fact that he's averaged 4.5 yards per carry (4.91 over the last four years) over his career. Now having to deal with David Johnson, whose best attribute is catching passes out of the backfield, it's unlikely Duke has any value with David healthy. However, it needs to be stated that David has played just 22 full games over the last three years and will be 29 years old at the end of the season. Should he miss time, Duke might get the opportunity that we've been waiting for.
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141.
Henry Ruggs III
WR - LV (at DEN)
He was the first wide receiver off the board and now goes to a team where there's plenty of opportunity available. Ruggs isn't a wide receiver who should demand anywhere close to 120-plus targets, but knowing the equity used to acquire him, he should have no issue approaching the 100 target mark, which puts him on the WR3/4 radar, as he has game-breaking upside.
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142.
Jack Doyle
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
If we know anything about Philip Rivers, it's that he throws to tight ends quite a bit. Doyle appears to be the beneficiary of the Colts signing him. With that said, he was merely the TE #18 last season despite playing all 16 games so besides potentially streaming Doyle in Week 1 versus the Jags, there isn't much fantasy appeal here.
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143.
DeSean Jackson
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
We only got to see Jackson in Doug Pederson's offense for one full game before the wheels fell off and Jackson needed to be shut down. In that game, he caught 8-of-9 targets for 154 yards and two touchdowns. The Eagles drafted a lot of speed, but Jackson will be there to mentor them and will be starting in 2WR sets.
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144.
Cam Newton
QB - NE (vs . NYJ)
There are many who'll be jumping to draft Newton as a QB1 like it's still 2017, but you shouldn't be one of them. Newton will be coming off shoulder surgery, which had countless teams passing on him. That's a concern, yes, but it's not the biggest concern. He's now 31 years old. Do you know how many quarterbacks have rushed for more than 500 yards after turning 31? Three. Now as how many of those quarterbacks had more than four rushing touchdowns... None. Newton was once a dominating force who required coordinators to adjust gameplans, but I just don't think he's that guy anymore.
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145.
Jalen Reagor
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
If everyone remains healthy in Philadelphia, it's going to be tough for Reagor to see more than 5-6 targets per game. That's the thing, though. The combination of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson is not one we're expecting to be healthy all year, which provides Reagor with some upside that could be tapped into. He's an ideal bench stash that you can play when we know Jeffery will deal with a top-tier cornerback, or if/when one of them misses a game. He could be a fantasy superstar if he gets the targets.
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146.
Kirk Cousins
QB - MIN (at DET)
A run-first offense that just lost their best receiver? Cousins is likely to finish higher than where I have him ranked because he's been durable and has zero chance of losing the starting job, but I'd rather select someone with more upside in that range. The best-case scenario for Cousins is that he finishes as a high-end QB2, which is a reach considering he threw the ball just 444 times last year.
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147.
Blake Jarwin
TE - DAL (at NYG)
When the Cowboys selected CeeDee Lamb at No. 17 overall, it dragged down both Michael Gallup and Jarwin, as the targets will be harder to come by. Still, you don't want to underrate Jarwin considering he and Jason Witten combined for 124 targets in this offense last year.
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148.
N'Keal Harry
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
Despite spending a first-round pick on Harry last year, the Patriots targeted Harry more than four times just once, and it came in Week 17. The Patriots still have Julian Edelman and Mohamed Sanu on the roster, and neither of them are going away. Now you take away Tom Brady and add in the uncertainty of Jarrett Stidham under center, and it's enough to make Harry essentially a non-factor in fantasy.
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149.
Boston Scott
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
The end of the 2019 season brought a lot of optimism for Scott's outlook, racking up 350 total yards and four touchdowns on just 61 touches over the season's final four games. During those four games, Miles Sanders scored exactly 1.3 more fantasy points than Scott. It may have been good enough for the Eagles to avoid free agent running backs and allow him to be the part of the timeshare duo with Sanders.
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150.
Eric Ebron
TE - PIT (at CLE)
Although it may seem like a distant memory, it wasn't long ago that Ebron was a top-four fantasy tight end. The former top 10 NFL draft pick is still just 27 years old which is prime-age for a fantasy tight end. He will need to stay healthy, of course, but with Big Ben under center, Ebron has a chance to bounceback in a big way this season.
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151.
Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF (vs . SEA)
The 49ers aren't likely to become a pass-happy team overnight, even though they added Brandon Aiyuk in the first round of the NFL Draft. They also added stability to the offensive line when they traded for Trent Williams. These are certainly not bad things when searching for a potential breakout, but a non-mobile quarterback with a great defense isn't a recipe for success. He's best suited for QB2 leagues.
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152.
San Francisco 49ers
DST - SF (vs . SEA)
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153.
Sammy Watkins
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
You can say what you want about Watkins being an overall disappointment but when he was actually healthy, Watkins was a top 10 fantasy wideout through 8 games and was the Chiefs' top receiver in the playoffs. The former top-five pick has tons of upside for a late-round wideout because of his ability but also the presence of Patrick Mahomes. At this point in Watkins' career, you don't have to invest much to buy the lottery ticket.
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154.
Gardner Minshew II
QB - JAC (at IND)
Minshew is someone who might be a bit underrated by fantasy owners coming into the 2020 fantasy season. It took an average of 15.2 fantasy points to finish as a top-18 quarterback in 2019. Minshew hit that mark in 71.4 percent of his starts, highlighting a sturdy floor, as there were just 11 quarterbacks who posted a higher number than him. With no competent backup, this is Minshew's team to run for the season, and that brings stability in 2QB leagues.
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155.
Pittsburgh Steelers
DST - PIT (at CLE)
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156.
Drew Lock
QB - DEN (vs . LV)
The Broncos have made it clear. If Lock can't get it done with the guys we've put in front of him, he never will. The skill-position group of Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, KJ Hamler, Melvin Gordon, and Noah Fant is suddenly one of the best in the league, and they have a few competent backups as well. He makes for a great No. 2 quarterback in 2QB leagues, and will be a streamer's favorite in 1QB leagues.
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157.
Chase Edmonds
RB - ARI (at LAR)
There are some who believe Edmonds is the surefire handcuff to Kenyan Drake, though I'm not entirely sure of that, as Eno Benjamin is someone who can play. Sure, he fell to the seventh round, but it's not like Edmonds is a can't-miss player. We do know the Cardinals starting position is very valuable, so once we know which player is the handcuff, they should have bench priority in case an injury should arise.
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158.
Baltimore Ravens
DST - BAL (at CIN)
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159.
Philip Rivers
QB - IND (vs . JAC)
Going to a new team is always tough on a quarterback, but it surely helps that Rivers has played in Frank Reich's offensive system before. Back in 2014-2015, Rivers threw for 9,078 yards, 60 touchdowns, and 31 interceptions over those two seasons. The offensive line in Indianapolis is the best Rivers has ever played behind, and his receiver corps of T.Y. Hilton, Parris Campbell, and Michael Pittman isn't too shabby, either. He may be towards the end of his career, but he's going to have plenty of fantasy-worthy performances for streamers.
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160.
Alshon Jeffery
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
Since joining the Eagles in 2017, Jeffery has played 38 games for them. In those 38 games, he's finished with WR1-type numbers 10 times, while posting WR2 (or better) numbers 16 times. For someone who's being drafted outside the top 40 wide receivers, that's pretty dang good. Sure, you have to worry about injuries, but when you have him as your WR4 or WR5, you're not too concerned.
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161.
Nyheim Hines
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
There are some who are pointing at Hines as the primary beneficiary to Philip Rivers' arrival in Indianapolis, but I'm not one of them. Did we forget that the Colts dealt with tons of injuries last year and Hines still wound up with just 96 touches on the year? This is still the same coaching staff who didn't put him on the field over a guy like Jonathan Williams. Now you add in Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman, and he's going to get a bigger role? Nah. Let someone else draft him.
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162.
Adrian Peterson
RB - WAS (at PHI)
It's remarkable what Peterson's been able to do at 33 and 34 years old, compiling nearly 2,000 rushing yards over the last two seasons, but now 35 years old and in a new offense with tons of competition, it's hard to see him making a difference in fantasy football. He's still likely to command 8-12 carries per game and maybe get goal-line duties, so he could fill in for a few weeks in flex spots for those who are desperate.
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163.
Chris Herndon IV
TE - NYJ (at NE)
Herndon's breakout year was delayed by a suspension and injuries, as he barely saw the field last year. But he should be a prime target in leagues that award bonus points to tight ends, as the youngster showed in 2018 that he can be successful. Frequently targeted downfield, Herndon was one of the league leaders in air yards in 2018, and he could be one of Sam Darnold's primary targets, particularly if the truncated offseason prevents Darnold from developing chemistry with Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims. He's not a TE1 at this point, but fantasy owners should keep their eyes on him in the preseason.
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164.
New England Patriots
DST - NE (vs . NYJ)
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165.
Buffalo Bills
DST - BUF (vs . MIA)
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166.
Justin Jackson
RB - LAC (at KC)
We all watched Raheem Mostert take off during the 2019 season, right? He had tremendous numbers when on the field in his earlier years, just like Jackson, who's averaged 5.14 yards per carry over his career to this point. Jackson is going to be fighting for playing time with fourth-round rookie Joshua Kelley this year trying to earn that Melvin Gordon role. It seems likely that the Chargers want Kelley in that role, but is Jackson good enough for them to change their course? It's a situation to monitor, as this will be a run-heavy team.
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167.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
It would seem likely that Pittman would start right away, as the Colts wanted to give Philip Rivers a big-bodied wide receiver. Some have compared Pittman to Vincent Jackson, a former teammate of Rivers, and one who had a lot of success when he was on the field. The expectation is that T.Y. Hilton and Pittman will play in 2WR sets, with Parris Campbell coming on when they go three wide. Because of that, Pittman could see a consistent five-plus targets per game. He's on the WR5 radar with upside for more.
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168.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
When a receiver is drafted in the first round, he's starting immediately. When that player was traded up for, they already have a plan in mind. Aiyuk is someone who can stretch the field, while Deebo Samuel and George Kittle work the underneath part of the field. The 49ers did not take very many deep shots last year, which doesn't bode well for Aiyuk from a fantasy perspective, but it could've been that they didn't have the personnel necessary to do so. He's just a late-round bench stash right now who will have some big weeks.
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169.
Teddy Bridgewater
QB - CAR (vs . NO)
He may not be mobile anymore, but he now has D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, Ian Thomas, and Christian McCaffrey at his disposal. He could be the 2020 version of Jameis Winston. Why? Because his defense is going through a major rebuilding process and will be allowing tons of points, forcing the Panthers to throw more than they'd like to. He's going to be a favorite of streamers. He's going to be a great option for those in 2QB leagues.
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170.
Ian Thomas
TE - CAR (vs . NO)
The loss of Greg Olsen will free up the starting role for Thomas, who has done extremely well when asked to fill-in a larger role. Despite seeing just 79 targets over the last two years combined, Thomas has four games with 14.8 or more PPR points. He might hit that target number in 2020 alone.
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171.
Harrison Butker
K - KC (vs . LAC)
Butker led the NFL in field-goal attempts and conversions last year, and the Chiefs are nearly always among the league leaders in field-goal attempts. Wait on kicker, obviously, but Butker will be one of the, if not the single, best yet again.
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172.
Chicago Bears
DST - CHI (vs . GB)
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173.
Justin Tucker
K - BAL (at CIN)
To the extent there's a sure thing in terms of fantasy kickers, it's Tucker, who has finished as a top-12 kicker in every year of his career. The Ravens offense was better than ever last year which limited his opportunities more than usual, but he remains as accurate as ever. Perhaps a 1B to Harrison Butker this year, Tucker should be one of the first kickers off the board.
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174.
Sam Darnold
QB - NYJ (at NE)
Will things finally come together for Darnold? The Jets have completely rebuilt the offensive line, though it's far from a guarantee they'll be a good unit. They added Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims to the receiver corps but lost Robby Anderson. The biggest issue is Adam Gase calling plays, as his offenses have been horrendous outside of the time he spent with Peyton Manning. Add in a brutal schedule and it's unlikely we see him take that leap.
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175.
Allen Lazard
WR - GB (at CHI)
In a draft class littered with wide receiver talent, I'm fairly certain that everyone had the Packers taking a wide receiver in the first three rounds. Not only did they not do that, but they didn't draft one at all. Lazard looks to be the No. 2 in the offense, provided he can beat out Devin Funchess, who also gained value in the aftermath of the draft.
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176.
A.J. Dillon
RB - GB (at CHI)
Some believe Dillon is going to walk in and destroy the value of someone like Aaron Jones, while others say he negates the role of Jamaal Williams. I don't know if he does either, but when a team spends a second-round pick on a running back, they typically have a plan for them. Over the last seven years, running backs drafted in the second round average 172.3 touches in their rookie season. Dillon is just an early-down back, so he'll be extremely touchdown dependent. Knowing how good Jones has been in that role, it's tough to take him off the field, so I'm fine with going the wait-and-see approach with Dillon (and every other non-Jones back in this backfield).
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177.
Hunter Renfrow
WR - LV (at DEN)
If you tuned out of the fantasy season prior to Week 16, you may have missed Hunter Renfrow's back-to-back 100-yard games to close out the season. The issue with expecting that to continue? The Raiders have added tons of pass catchers this offseason, including No. 12 overall pick Henry Ruggs. It's very possible that Renfrow turns into a receiver like Cole Beasley was during his time in Dallas. He's going to have a game here and there, but ultimately, his role isn't big enough to warrant a fantasy starter.
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178.
Parris Campbell
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
Campbell should be a prime sleeper this season, after missing all but seven games in his rookie season with injury. Philip Rivers likes to push the ball deep, and Campbell's elite speed should mesh with Rivers' skill set well. You can't rely on any Colts wide receiver outside of T.Y. Hilton as a fantasy starter, but Campbell has tons of upside and can play out of the slot, and should be drafted and stashed on fantasy benches everywhere.
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179.
Wil Lutz
K - NO (at CAR)
Lutz has everything you want in a kicker. He plays on a strong offense, with his home games inside a dome, and is extremely accurate. He's finished the last two seasons as the second-ranked kicker in fantasy and there's no reason to expect him to finish outside the top three. Kickers are almost always volatile but Lutz is the exception.
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180.
Corey Davis
WR - TEN (at HOU)
Remember when everyone left DeVante Parker for dead? It feels that way with Davis, who is going into the final year of his rookie deal. Unfortunately, he's not on a team that's going to throw the ball 600-plus times like Parker's team did last year. Still, there's an opportunity for increased efficiency with Ryan Tannehill under center and A.J. Brown drawing the opponent's top cornerback. We have watched Davis' yards per target increase each year (5.8, 8.0, 8.7), so you shouldn't abandon all hope. He's someone to stash at the end of your bench.
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181.
Jamaal Williams
RB - GB (at CHI)
It's tough to say Williams will be the running back behind Aaron Jones on the Packers' depth chart, but it's also tough to say he shouldn't be, as he was extremely effective in his role last year. But them drafting A.J. Dillon in the second round screams "he's the guy" behind Jones, and potentially the one even stealing some goal-line work from Jones. Because of that, Williams is not someone you need to draft in shallow leagues. It's best to see how this backfield shakes out before commiting a bench spot on a handcuff.
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182.
Derek Carr
QB - LV (at DEN)
It's not exciting drafting someone like Carr, who's presented very little upside and consistency over the course of his career. Sure, he finished as the QB16 last year, but that's more of a product of playing all 16 games. From a per-game standpoint, he was actually the QB24. Not just that, but with Marcus Mariota on the roster, it's possible they bench him at some point this year, which presents risk for those in 2QB formats.
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183.
James Washington
WR - PIT (at CLE)
Has everyone given up on James Washington too early? He quietly led the Steelers receivers in yards (735) last year despite trailing Diontae Johnson by 12 targets. His 9.2 yards per target was also much higher than JuJu Smith-Schuster's 7.8 yards per target. The issue is that the Steelers drafted another perimeter option in Chase Claypool, and it seems unlikely that they send Johnson back to the bench. Washington will be battling with Claypool for the No. 3 job in the offense, which will have streaming appeal.
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184.
Greg Olsen
TE - SEA (at SF)
Based on where Olsen's targets took place last year, he scored 20.5 fewer fantasy points than the average tight end would've, which was the worst mark in football, just ahead of Trey Burton. He's now 35 years old and wants to go to the booth soon enough. He was the Seahawks insurance to Will Dissly. Once they know Dissly is healthy, it's back to fantasy irrelevance for Olsen. If Dissly isn't ready for the start of the year, Olsen could have some streaming appeal.
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185.
Minnesota Vikings
DST - MIN (at DET)
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186.
New Orleans Saints
DST - NO (at CAR)
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187.
Greg Zuerlein
K - DAL (at NYG)
Zuerlein hasn't been close to the fantasy stalwart he once was over the last two seasons, as accuracy issues have plagued him as they did earlier in his career. Now with the Cowboys, Zuerlein should have every opportunity to bounce back on a team that provides its kickers with plenty of field goal opportunities. Once the top few kicking options are gone, Zuerlein should be next off the board (in the last round, of course).
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188.
Carlos Hyde
RB - SEA (at SF)
After ranking 12th in rushing yards last year, Hyde accepted a one-year deal with the Seahawks. It seems that he's insurance for Rashaad Penny, who's expected to start the year on the PUP list. But you never know with Pete Carroll, as he's not afraid to shake things up. If Chris Carson struggles coming off his hip injury, or fumbles again, we could see Hyde in a 15-touch role. He's worth a pick in one of the last few rounds.
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189.
Larry Fitzgerald
WR - ARI (at LAR)
We knew that Christian Kirk had surpassed Fitzgerald as the No. 1 option in the offense, but he's now down to the No. 3 option with the arrival of Deandre Hopkins. Now 37 years old, it's going to be tough to find a place for Fitzgerald in fantasy. He failed to top 56 yards in each of the Cardinals final 10 games, and that was without Hopkins.
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190.
Dede Westbrook
WR - JAC (at IND)
The Jaguars added Laviska Shenault in the NFL Draft, but his role is a threat to Chris Conley, and not Westbrook, so I'm unsure why everyone's forgotten about the Jaguars slot receiver who finished as the WR45 last year while seeing 101 targets in 15 games. Jay Gruden is his new offensive coordinator, and if you recall, we watched Jamison Crowder flourish under him. Westbrook won't be a league-winner, but it's possible he's a steady WR3/4 option you can plug in for certain matchups. This team will be throwing the ball quite a bit.
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191.
Denzel Mims
WR - NYJ (at NE)
The Jets surely needed wide receivers, and knowing Mims was a second-round pick, he's going to get plenty of opportunity to shine. He's essentially the receiver that the Jets have given Sam Darnold to grow with throughout his NFL career, as Breshad Perriman's contract was just for one year. Because of that, Mims should see 70-plus targets in year one with growth for more, and he likely walks in as the best contested catch receiver on the team, meaning he could be a favorite in the red zone.
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192.
Tyrell Williams
WR - LV (at DEN)
He went from someone dynasty owners gravitated towards as a top-30 wide receiver last year, to one they want no part of in just one year. I was never aboard the Williams bandwagon, but I didn't envision a scenario where he'd be completely removed from the starting lineup. After they drafted Henry Ruggs, Bryan Edwards, and Lynn Bowden, it's tough to see a spot for him on the field, and maybe the roster.
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193.
Kansas City Chiefs
DST - KC (vs . LAC)
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194.
Antonio Gibson
RB - WAS (at PHI)
There are a lot of people out there who like Gibson as a sleeper, though I can't get on board. He plays for what might be the lowest-scoring offense in the league, and is on a depth chart with at least five other running backs. Sure, he's going to be used in some sort of hybrid way, but do we really expect two Redskins wide receivers to be consistent enough to rely on? He may be an electric player but his offense isn't. I'd rather take a player tied to an exciting offense.
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195.
Los Angeles Rams
DST - LAR (vs . ARI)
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196.
John Ross
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
We saw flashes of what could be a great player in 2019 with Ross, as he racked up 270 yards and three touchdowns over the first two weeks of the season in Zac Taylor's offense. Sure, A.J. Green is back to take a lot of targets but adding Joe Burrow's arm to the offense will help deliver the ball down the field to the speedy Ross. He's not going to be consistent, but we aren't looking for consistency in this range.
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197.
Damien Harris
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
The 2019 usage, or lack thereof, for Harris was puzzling to say the least. When you draft a running back in the third round, you typically use him in some sort of role. Of the 22 running backs who've been drafted in the third round over the last seven years, Harris' four touches were the fewest. He's the clear-cut handcuff to Sony Michel who's been extremely inefficient. If that continues in 2020, we could see the Patriots activate Harris (who doesn't contribute on special teams) and use him as their early-down back.
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198.
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
We've heard Sean McVay say that the Rams backfield will be more of a timeshare in 2020, but will it include Brown? It's highly unlikely considering they already tried that, and they've now spent a second- and third- round pick on running backs over the last two years. Brown may get some goal-line work, but he's not going to be anything you can rely on for fantasy.
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199.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - MIN (at DET)
Smith played a fair amount in his rookie season, but he's still second fiddle to Kyle Rudolph. Although the two tight ends essentially split targets last year, Smith was used fairly closer to the line of scrimmage and almost never had a chance to break big plays. He may see a bit more usage now with plenty of vacated targets in the absence of Stefon Diggs, but he's nothing better than a low-end TE2.
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200.
Randall Cobb
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
While both Kenny Stills and Keke Coutee are both better slot receivers than they are on the perimeter, the signing of Cobb indicated he'll be taking over in the slot. He's going to be starting on a team that just lost Deandre Hopkins, which creates a lot of uncertainty. The reason I'm not big on Cobb is due to the fact that Deshaun Watson hasn't checked down very much throughout his career.
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201.
Darrynton Evans
RB - TEN (at HOU)
If you haven't looked at the depth chart behind Derrick Henry in Tennessee, you should know that Evans is the only one who should be considered his handcuff. The Titans have Henry under the franchise tag and haven't worked out a long-term deal, so Evans seems to be in their long-term plans at the position after they drafted him in the third round. He may not be built like a workhorse back, but he's electric in a run-heavy offense. The Titans would be wise to give him 5-10 touches even when Henry is healthy, though there's no guarantee that will be the case.
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202.
Rashaad Penny
RB - SEA (at SF)
It seems that Penny will start the year on the PUP list after tearing his ACL towards the end of last year. That would knock him out for at least the first six weeks, which is not something fantasy owners should be looking to draft. Even when he returns, we don't know where he stands on the depth chart, as they still have Chris Carson, then drafted DeeJay Dallas in the fourth round, and also signed Carlos Hyde in free agency. Unless you have an IR spot, Penny should be on waivers to start the season.
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203.
Denver Broncos
DST - DEN (vs . LV)
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204.
Philadelphia Eagles
DST - PHI (vs . WAS)
The Eagles defense will either be drafted very late in most leagues or not at all. As of now, Philly is the #13 D/ST in ECR which puts them right on the fence. Frankly, though, there are only three defenses I'd draft over them (PIT, SF and NE in that order). It isn't as though the Eagles have a world-beating defense this year but rather, their Week 1 (and 2 vs LAR) matchups are so good that they'll return more value than other D/ST1s who are fringe-startable in Week 1. The position is so volatile that you can't waste draft capital on a fantasy asset that is historically more likely to finish outside the top 12 D/STs than within the top 5. Take the Eagles against Dwayne Haskins (then Jared Goff), celebrate double-digit fantasy points and move onto the next one-hit-wonder in Week 3.
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205.
Anthony McFarland Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
The Steelers have already said that if James Conner is healthy, they want him to be that "lead back" that Mike Tomlin has always leaned on. They also said they believe Benny Snell can be that guy if something were to happen to Conner. That doesn't mean McFarland will be chopped liver, but it does mean he's not going to be a 10-plus touch running back without injury. I've compared McFarland to Chris Thompson, which would make sense based on the Steelers' comments on the power running backs. If he gets 6-10 touches per week, he has enough explosion on a per-play basis to make an impact at times, but nothing you want to rely on consistently.
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206.
Joshua Kelley
RB - LAC (at KC)
We figured the Chargers might add a running back to replace Melvin Gordon, and it appears Kelley is that guy, though some are torn on whether it's him or Justin Jackson to get the bigger workload. Knowing they invested a fourth-round pick on Kelley, it seems likely that he'll get the first crack at the job. Realistically, it could be a three-headed backfield between them. This won't be the same offense it was with Philip Rivers and we're likely to lose some overall potential from a fantasy perspective. But for now, we should assume that Kelley is the handcuff to Ekeler, even though they're completely different players.
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207.
Matt Gay
K - TB (vs . ATL)
Gay had a bizarre rookie year with the Bucs, in that he finished as a top kicker but really struggled in terms of his accuracy (77% on field goals). His production simply came from his extremely high number of opportunities - he had 35 field-goal attempts and 48 extra-point attempts, both in the top-four in the league. He should similarly be among the leaders in attempts this year with Tom Brady at the helm, and if he can improve on his accuracy, he has a legitimate chance to finish as the top fantasy kicker.
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208.
Cole Beasley
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
It's hard to say that Beasley shouldn't be considered higher in the rankings than he is. He did finish as the WR34 last year, ahead of Darius Slayton, Curtis Samuel, and others after all. The arrival of Stefon Diggs will surely affect John Brown more than Beasley considering the roles they play, but Beasley is still very unlikely to see the 104 targets he did last year. He's someone you snag during bye weeks to give you a 8-point floor in PPR formats.
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209.
Robbie Gould
K - SF (vs . SEA)
Despite seeing plenty of attempts with the 49ers, last year was fairly disastrous for Gould, as he hit just three quarters of his field goal attempts. He's 37 years old now, so the bottom may have fallen out on the veteran. But for now, he remains an historically accurate kicker on a team the routinely provides its kickers with plenty of field goal attempts. That makes him worth drafting in most fantasy leagues.
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210.
O.J. Howard
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
One of the more talented tight ends in the league, but also someone who is going to play second fiddle to Rob Gronkowski. The Bucs have said they'll be running a lot more 2TE sets, but it remains to be seen. With the other receiving options they have ahead of Howard, it's tough to see a path to consistent production. If Gronkowski were to miss time, Howard would jump into the TE1 conversation.
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211.
Jace Sternberger
TE - GB (at CHI)
There were many (myself included) who considered Sternberger a major buy-low target in dynasty leagues, though we can't pretend there wasn't a possibility the Packers added another option. They drafted a tight end, and in the third round, but it was Josiah Deguara, a player the Packers themselves described as a fullback. Sternberger should get plenty of opportunity.
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212.
Giovani Bernard
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
It's kind of crazy how fast everyone fell off the Bernard bandwagon, as he was once considered a borderline RB1. He is obviously behind Joe Mixon on the depth chart, but that's the only player standing between him and a 15-touch role. Mixon is also in a contract year and has threatened a holdout without a new contract. If we get closer to the NFL season and Mixon still hasn't been locked up long term, Bernard should be someone you consider in the late rounds.
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213.
Kenny Stills
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
Stills wasn't heavily involved last year after a preseason trade to the Texans, and he missed three games do to injuries. But he did rank seventh in the league in yards per target and had the fourth highest catch rate (72.7%) among wide receivers. Although DeAndre Hopkins is gone, the Texans added Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb, so it's unlikely that Stills will suddenly have an important role on the team. Given that he's never had more than 63 catches or 931 yards receiving, it's unlikely that he'll be worth rostering this season.
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214.
Los Angeles Chargers
DST - LAC (at KC)
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215.
Matt Prater
K - DET (vs . MIN)
Prater is getting up there in age, but he remains one of the most accurate long-range kickers in the game. He hit 7-of-8 field goals from 50 or more yards last year, and nearly 84% of his overall attempts. He's also missed just two extra-point attempts over the last three seasons. On a good but not elite offense that will trust him from long range, Prater makes one of the best kicker options in fantasy.
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216.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
This was a questionable draft pick, only because I don't see him getting on the field right away. The Bengals have A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, and John Ross who figure to be the starters, while Auden Tate showed the ability to be competent last year. This could be more of a "beyond 2020" selection, as Green is currently being franchise tagged. Unless the Bengals trade someone, Higgins doesn't have much redraft appeal.
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217.
Ryquell Armstead
RB - JAC (at IND)
He's probably one of the worst handcuffs in fantasy because even if there were an injury to Leonard Fournette, he'd be a mediocre RB3, which is something you can find in pass-catching backs. It seems likely the Jaguars move on from Fournette after this year, so it'd make sense for them to use and abuse him in 2020. The only hope Armstead has is that Fournette gets traded, which is possible.
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218.
Kyle Rudolph
TE - MIN (at DET)
Rudolph scored six touchdowns last season, but overall, it was a disappointing effort from the veteran. He essentially split targets with Irv Smith Jr. (seeing just 48, his lowest since 2014), and had just 39 catches for 367 yards, both well below his usual numbers. Even without Kevin Stefanski, the Vikings are surely going to be a run-first offense once again, which will leave Rudolph searching for targets for the second straight season, well outside of TE1 consideration.
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219.
Tennessee Titans
DST - TEN (at HOU)
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220.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . MIA)
Knox saw four-plus targets in eight games as a rookie, which isn't bad for someone you're looking at for a streaming performance, but the addition of Stefon Diggs will certainly cost him some targets in the Bills run-first offense. He's the fifth-best option in the passing game, so you can feel free to leave him undrafted.
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221.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - JAC (at IND)
He's coming off core muscle surgery and won't be around the team for a bit, so it's probably not likely we'll see Shenault make a big splash in year one. He'll likely be rotated in with Chris Conley, while D.J. Chark and Dede Westbrook are cemented in the lineup. It's better to take a wait-and-see approach with Shenault.
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222.
Benny Snell Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
Snell Jr. got a fair amount of work last year in relief of James Conner, seeing 108 carries and gaining 426 yards with two touchdowns. When he got enough volume, he generally produced, totaling at least 89 total yards or a touchdown in each game he received 17 touches or more. He'll likely be the primary backup again to James Conner, but Anthony McFarland Jr. and Jaylen Samuels will still factor in. He's a low-end handcuff at this point given the crowded Pittsburgh backfield.
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223.
Seattle Seahawks
DST - SEA (at SF)
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224.
Ka'imi Fairbairn
K - HOU (vs . TEN)
Fairbairn's accuracy fell significantly last year, from 88.1% on field-goal attempts and 95% on extra-point attempts in 2018, to 80% and 89%, respectively, last year. To make matters worse, Fairbairn's field-goal attempts dropped from 42 down to 25 last year. It's the perils of drafting any fantasy kicker, but on a decent offense and kicking mostly indoors, Fairbairn is worth drafting in a 12-team league.
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225.
Mohamed Sanu
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
It's crazy to think the Patriots gave up a second-round pick for Sanu last year, especially when you know he'll turn 31 later this year. He's going to start for them, and it's possible his value went up with Cam Newton's signing, though it's important to remember Newton has thrown more than 24 touchdowns in his career just once. Still, Sanu tried playing through injuries with the Patriots last year and it affected his production. He may have some bye week streaming appeal if Newton can get his career back on track.
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226.
Michael Badgley
K - LAC (at KC)
Badgley missed the first eight games of the season with a groin injury, but was reliable once he returned. He didn't miss a single field goal from within 45 yards, though he struggled from distance a bit. On a team that should play conservatively and rely on their defense, Badgley should see enough opportunities to warrant consideration in most fantasy leagues.
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227.
Jake Elliott
K - PHI (vs . WAS)
Elliott actually had his most accurate year of his career (84.6% field goal percentage, 35-of-37 extra points made), but he simply saw fewer chances. After seeing 31 field goal attempts in each of his first two seasons, he saw just 26 last year, and only 11 from at least 40 yards. The Eagles offense should be somewhat better this year if the team can avoid similar devastating injuries to its receivers, which should mean more chances for Elliott. He's a borderline starter in 12-team leagues.
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228.
Zane Gonzalez
K - ARI (at LAR)
Gonzalez finished as the fifth-best kicker in fantasy last year, buoyed by his 35 attempts. He also hit nearly 89% of his attempts, a number inflated by the fact that the vast majority of his chances (25) came inside 40 yards. The Cardinals should have a strong offense this season, again offering Gonzalez plenty of opportunities and the chance to finish as a top-12 kicker in fantasy.
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229.
Devin Funchess
WR - GB (at CHI)
It's kind of funny how so many people are willing to dismiss Funchess after he missed the 2019 season. Did everyone forget that he was the WR21 in 2017 despite playing with the often-inaccurate Cam Newton? He's now going to play with Aaron Rodgers, one of the most accurate quarterbacks of this era. Funchess has caught a touchdown every 15 targets over the course of his career, which is well above average. He could be the guy who emerges as the No. 2 receiver for Rodgers. He's a great pick in the late rounds as someone you'll learn what you have immediately.
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230.
New York Jets
DST - NYJ (at NE)
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231.
Indianapolis Colts
DST - IND (vs . JAC)
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232.
Green Bay Packers
DST - GB (at CHI)
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233.
Josh Reynolds
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
Did the draft pick of Van Jefferson affect Josh Reynolds' role as the No. 3 receiver in the offense? Jefferson fits more of the Brandin Cooks mold than Reynolds, which is where there's some hesitance to draft Reynolds in 2020. However, we do have a history that shows when he is in the starting lineup, he produces. In the 14 games he's seen four-plus targets, he's totaled 46 receptions for 613 yards and seven touchdowns. There's a chance he's being underdrafted, but there's also a chance that he remains the No. 4 receiver on the team.
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234.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (at CIN)
It was a shame we didn't get to see Hill in a bigger role last year, but we all felt that Mark Ingram was a year closer to the end, and Gus Edwards was going to be a free agent. Well... Ingram is still closer to retirement, but Edwards was retained by the team, and then they went and drafted JK Dobbins in the second round, eliminating the shot of Hill getting a bigger role. He's going to be stuck in the 4-6 touches per game role unless there are multiple injuries.
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235.
Will Dissly
TE - SEA (at SF)
Injuries have sadly derailed the production for Dissly, but when on the field, he's been ridiculously good. He's only played 10 games, but in those games, he's posted TE1-type numbers in 60 percent of them. That's the same percentage as George Kittle in his career. Again, it's a small sample size, but as the 31st tight end off the board? He's well worth the risk. And no, don't worry about Greg Olsen.
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236.
Gerald Everett
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
Everett wasn't a startable tight end for most of the season anyway, but he dealt with injuries over the last several weeks of the year and was completely irrelevant. Unfortunately for Everett, Tyler Higbee emerged as a force down the stretch, furthering deepening the divide between Everett and fantasy-relevancy. He's beyond even TE2 consideration at this point.
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237.
Dwayne Haskins
QB - WAS (at PHI)
It wasn't the ideal start to his career where he threw no touchdowns and four interceptions over his first two games, but things started to look a bit better for Haskins as the year went on. In the following seven games, he threw seven touchdowns compared to just three interceptions. The issue is the lack of volume, as he hit 30 pass attempts just once. Knowing he has limited mobility, that'll cap any quarterback's ceiling. He's fine for a low-end QB2 in 2QB leagues because he won't lose the job, but ideally, he's your QB3.
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238.
Mason Crosby
K - GB (at CHI)
Crosby is coming off the most accurate year of his career (91.7% on field goals, 40-of-41 extra-point attempts converted). But he saw just 24 field goal attempts after seeing 37 the previous year. The Packers offense isn't what it once was, and Crosby spends the majority of his games kicking outside in cold weather. He's a borderline draftable kicker but there's little to get excited about.
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239.
Cleveland Browns
DST - CLE (vs . PIT)
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240.
Chris Thompson
RB - JAC (at IND)
Thompson followed his old coach Jay Gruden over to the Jaguars, though it's not worth getting excited about, as Thompson has struggled to stay healthy and is going to be 30 years old later this year. He's more of a party pooper to someone like Leonard Fournette than he is a standalone fantasy asset. Even if Fournette were to miss time, Thompson's role wouldn't change much.
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241.
Dan Bailey
K - MIN (at DET)
After two years in which he struggled with his accuracy, Bailey bounced back last season by hitting 93.1% of his field-goal attempts, including hitting all three from 50-plus yards. Unfortunately, he saw just 29 attempts, the third straight year in which he saw fewer than 30. Bailey is a decent option in 15-team leagues, but nothing more.
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242.
Tyrod Taylor
QB - LAC (at KC)
If I miss out on the low-end QB1/high-end QB2 upside plays like Aaron Rodgers, Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford, you'd better believe I'll be playing the quarterback streaming game. As crazy as it may sound, Tyrod is the top option in Week 1 so he is actually draftable in one-QB leagues. Not only does he take on one of the weakest defenses in Week 1, but his next eight weeks before the bye are ALL promising matchups (KC, CAR, @TB, @NO, NYJ, @MIA, JAC, LV) so don't be surprised if he is sitting within the top 12 fantasy QBs by mid-season.
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243.
Danny Amendola
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
Not many realize that Amendola saw five-plus targets in 10-of-15 games last year, including eight or more targets in seven of them. Sure, losing Marvin Jones for half the season allowed him to see more targets, but he's definitely a bigger part of the offense than most realize. He's someone who'll give you a decent floor in PPR formats during bye weeks, but that's about it.
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244.
Ryan Fitzpatrick
QB - MIA (at BUF)
x
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245.
Dallas Cowboys
DST - DAL (at NYG)
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246.
Royce Freeman
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
Freeman carved out a role on the short side of a platoon with Phillip Lindsay in the first half of the season, particularly with his involvement as a receiver. But the Broncos turned over nearly full control of the backfield to Lindsay toward the latter half of the season, and Freeman lost nearly all value. Now, with Melvin Gordon in the fold, it's nearly impossible to see Freeman adding any fantasy value absent multiple injuries. There's no reason to be concerned about him absent extremely deep leagues.
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247.
Brandon McManus
K - DEN (vs . LV)
McManus bounced back from a few sub-par years, hitting 85.3% of his field-goal attempts and all but one of his extra-point attempts. The biggest difference for McManus was that he saw 34 field-goal tries, second-most of his career. With more offensive weapons for Drew Lock and a sturdy defense, McManus should again see plenty of chances. In the thin air in Denver, he's a decent bet to finish as a top-12 kicker.
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248.
Jalen Richard
RB - LV (at DEN)
It's odd that Richard was re-signed to the Raiders roster when they said they wanted to get Josh Jacobs more involved in the passing game, as Richard is the primary competition. Not just that, but they then drafted running back/wide receiver Lynn Bowden in the second round. However we slice it, Richard isn't likely to top the 43 targets he got in 2019, which makes him a non-factor in fantasy leagues.
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249.
Gus Edwards
RB - BAL (at CIN)
Edwards could probably be a star if he got a full workload in Baltimore. He's averaged 5.3 yards per carry in his career and has lost just one fumble in two seasons. He would have been a high-end handcuff for Mark Ingram this year, but the addition of J.K. Dobbins essentially relegates Edwards to irrelevancy. He'd almost certainly need multiple injuries to have much fantasy value, and despite the high upside in that unlikely scenario, he's not worth wasting a roster spot on.
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250.
Tre'Quan Smith
WR - NO (at CAR)
It's odd to see a third-round pick see just 69 targets through 26 games in his career, but that's the case with Smith. Not only that, but they signed Emmanuel Sanders in free agency, highlighting the fact that they don't feel he's capable of being the No. 2 behind Michael Thomas. There will be a big game here and there, but nothing that you'll be able to predict.
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251.
Ito Smith
RB - ATL (at TB)
Some are automatically assuming that Smith is the handcuff to Todd Gurley, but I wouldn't be so sure. The Falcons were talking about benching Smith prior to him getting injured last year. It's not like Brian Hill did a lot to change their mind, but it's likely they'd split the carries among them.
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252.
Chris Conley
WR - JAC (at IND)
Not many realize just how good of a year Conley had in 2019, racking up 90 targets, 47 receptions, 775 yards, and five touchdowns. It may not matter, though. The Jaguars drafted his eventual replacement in Laviska Shenault in the second round of the NFL Draft, so it's only a matter of time before Conley is booted from the starting lineup. Shenault did have offseason core muscle surgery, so it's possible Conley can hold him to start the year, but that's far from a guarantee.
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253.
Rex Burkhead
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
With Tom Brady out of town, we know the Patriots are going to be running the ball much more. The issue is that they've shown a significant amount of trust in Sony Michel, invested a third-round pick on Damien Harris, and James White isn't going anywhere. That's a lot of mouths to feed. Burkhead is someone you look to if there's injuries to others, but it's unlikely he's an asset with everyone healthy.
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254.
Miles Boykin
WR - BAL (at CIN)
Boykin saw just 22 targets in his rookie season, though that should hardly be viewed as an indictment of his talent. The Ravens' run-heavy approach and positive game script left few targets to go around. Because they ran the ball at such an historic rate last year, the Ravens' natural regression suggests there should be more targets to go around. Boykin should benefit, but with the addition of Devin Duvernay, there's one more mouth to feed in Baltimore. Boykin should improve, but he's unlikely to see enough work to be worth drafting in fantasy leagues.
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255.
Jimmy Graham
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
It's hard to imagine Graham clawing his way back into being fantasy relevancy this year. Despite the lack of a second option behind Davante Adams, Graham barely made any noise last year for the Packers, finishing 22nd in 1/2 PPR points among tight ends. Now in what was a stagnant offense last year and with several other tight ends on the roster, it would be surprising if Graham found a way to factor in significantly. Ignore him in all leagues but deeper formats that award bonus points to tight ends.
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256.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (vs . PIT)
Not only did the Browns add Austin Hooper in free agency, but they decided to throw down a fourth-round pick on Harrison Bryant, another tight end to add to the mix. The Browns further hurt Njoku's value when they picked up the fifth-year option on his contract. He's in a bad place right now. All dynasty owners can hope is that he's traded.
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257.
Steven Sims
WR - WAS (at PHI)
There was a ramp in Sims' production down the stretch, racking up 36 targets, 20 receptions, 230 yards, and four touchdowns over the final four games. The issue with expecting that to continue? There's a new coaching staff and they used a couple high draft picks on receivers, including Antonio Gibson, who is likely to steal a lot of those intermediate routes over the middle of the field. Sims can clearly play in the league, but opportunity is the most important trait.
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258.
Jason Myers
K - SEA (at SF)
Myers' first year in Seattle was a disappointment coming off his stellar 2018 with the Jets. He missed four extra points, and was only 6-of-11 from 40-plus yards. Kicking for Seattle's offense should be a good thing, however, as the Seahawks have a solid offense but often like to play conservatively. But, at this point, Myers is just one of a handful of low-end kickers you can consider drafting in a 15-team league.
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259.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DST - TB (vs . ATL)
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260.
Younghoe Koo
K - ATL (at TB)
Although Koo's 2019 season will be remembered primarily for his three successful onside kicks in Week 14 against the Saints, he actually had a pretty dominant year for the Falcons. Despite playing just eight games, he had 26 field-goal attempts, converting 23 of them. Back with the Falcons and kicking indoors, Koo should easily finish as a top-12 kicker this season if he can again hit 88.5% of his field-goal attempts.
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261.
Andy Isabella
WR - ARI (at LAR)
It was odd to see Isabella fail to get playing time last year considering how bad KeeSean Johnson was. Johnson saw 42 targets and netted just 187 yards and a touchdown, while Isabella tallied 189 yards and a touchdown on just 13 targets. Adding DeAndre Hopkins to the offense surely won't help his available target total, but he should be expected to be the No. 4 wide receiver in the Cardinals offense this year. He's someone to pay attention to should there be an injury to one of the three wide receivers in front of him.
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262.
Russell Gage
WR - ATL (at TB)
I'll be the first to say that I expected Gage to be replaced this offseason, but he is apparently the Falcons replacement for Mohamed Sanu in 2020. He filled in quite a bit last year, totaling 68 targets over the final nine games. Injuries to Calvin Ridley and Austin Hooper certainly didn't hurt his cause, but he's going to have a role no matter what. Think of him as a Hunter Renfrow-type.
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263.
Joey Slye
K - CAR (vs . NO)
Slye struggled a bit with his accuracy in his rookie year, missing four extra-point attempts and hitting just 78.1% of his field-goal tries. He'll likely see a fair amount of attempts this year with Teddy Bridgewater guiding a decent but less than explosive offense, but he'll need to start converting more of his attempts to make him worth drafting in standard-sized leagues.
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264.
Nick Foles
QB - CHI (vs . GB)
Foles finds himself in Chicago after missing most of the season last year with Jacksonville, including eventually getting benched. Although he had an incredible 2013 season and a magical playoff run in 2018, Foles has rarely been relevant in fantasy. He'll battle Mitchell Trubisky for the starting job, but it's worth noting that he has experience with Bill Lazor, John DeFilippo, and Juan Castillo, and could fit in in nicely with the Bears if given a shot. For now, however, Foles remains beyond fantasy consideration.
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265.
Albert Wilson
WR - MIA (at BUF)
Will Chan Gailey's reputation of highlighting slot receivers benefit someone like Wilson, who's been the Dolphins slot receiver when healthy, or will it be Mike Gesicki? Wilson has been efficient with his targets over the years, but has never received enough of them to be consistent in fantasy. With DeVante Parker and Preston Williams healthy, it's hard to see Wilson topping his career high of 62 targets in 2019.
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266.
Jaylen Samuels
RB - PIT (at CLE)
Samuels has received just 122 carries in his first two seasons, and although he can factor in as a receiver at times, he doesn't have a path to regular playing time. Even if James Conner deals with injuries again, Benny Snell Jr. and Anthony McFarland Jr. stand in Samuels' way. He's relevant only in extremely deep PPR leagues.
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267.
Chase Claypool
WR - PIT (at CLE)
The Steelers seemed to have their starting trio of receivers in JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, and James Washington, but when they drafted Claypool in the second round, it threw a wrench into the plans of fantasy owners. He'll be in direct competition with James Washington for the No. 3 job, though I believe Washington is more talented and has more experience in the league. Because of that, Claypool should not be drafted.
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268.
Chris Boswell
K - PIT (at CLE)
After a disastrous 2018 season, Boswell bounced back in a big way last year, hitting 93.5% of his field-goal attempts and all 28 of his extra-point attempts. Boswell's upside is limited somewhat by Heinz Field, a notoriously difficult place to kick because of its turf. Indeed, Boswell has attempted just 11 field goals of 50-plus yards in his five seasons. Nevertheless, with Ben Roethlisberger returning, the Steelers offense should move the ball with ease, providing Boswell with plenty of opportunities, which may make up for the lack of long attempts.
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269.
KJ Hamler
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
While watching Hamler's film in college, he shouldn't have been labeled as a slot-only receiver, though most did due to his smaller stature. Knowing that he'll play alongside Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy, he's most likely going to be fairly slot-heavy and only come onto the field in 3WR sets. That's going to limit his fantasy appeal for a team that wants to run the ball fairly often. Still, he's electric with the ball in his hands and is going to have a few weeks that'll make you wish you had him in your starting lineup.
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270.
Dion Lewis
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
Lewis is highly unlikely to see significant touches so long as Saquon Barkley is healthy. Even if Barkley were to get injured, Lewis is now 29 years old and does not have the frame to take over every-down work. In other words, his best-case scenario is 10-12 touches with work in the passing game, and there are obstacles to reach that point. There's little reason to consider Lewis in your fantasy draft.
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271.
Jerick McKinnon
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
It's been a while since we've seen McKinnon on a football field. He's been with the 49ers for two years but hasn't played a down of regular season football. Now that they've traded away Matt Breida, there's a role to be had, but we don't know if he's capable at this stage of his career. There's been some whispers that he may not make the team, though that may be a surprise considering they've held onto him this long. Between Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman, and McKinnon, it's going to be tough to find consistent volume and production in this backfield.
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272.
Houston Texans
DST - HOU (vs . TEN)
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273.
Devonta Freeman
RB - FA (BYE)
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274.
Stephen Hauschka
K - BUF (vs . MIA)
Hauschka hasn't hit at least 80 percent of his field goal attempts since 2017, and has converted exactly 22 chances in each of the last two seasons. Although the Bills can move the ball up and down the field, the wind and cold in in Orchard Park can wreak havoc on any kicker. Hauschka falls outside the list of fantasy-relevant kickers unless you're in a 20-team league.
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275.
Jalen Hurd
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
He's a name to watch as we get closer to the NFL season. We know that Deebo Samuel had foot surgery this offseason and that he may not be ready for the start of the year. Many will wonder who can fill his role in the offense. It's Hurd. He played running back throughout college but switched to wide receiver his final season, so he can play that movable chess piece in Kyle Shanahan's offense. It's clear the 49ers liked him during the draft process, enough to draft him at the top of the third round. You may see him moving up draft boards in the near future.
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276.
Tyler Eifert
TE - JAC (at IND)
We've seen tight ends have success in Jay Gruden's offense and Eifert does have one year of experience in his offense, dating all the way back to 2013. He's on his third straight one-year deal, as no team wants to commit to him. The Jaguars will be racking up the pass attempts, but last year's draft pick Josh Oliver is also likely to be involved in the offense. It's possible Eifert has streamable weeks, but he's not in the every-week consideration.
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277.
Vance McDonald
TE - PIT (at CLE)
McDonald has always felt like he could be a breakout candidate one year, but those feelings are gone by this point. Although he'll return with the Steelers, Eric Ebron should see primary snaps from the tight end position, making McDonald an afterthought in fantasy. Either way, the oft-injured McDonald has cleared 391 receiving yards and 38 catches just once in his career, and is no longer a fantasy option, even in deeper leagues.
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278.
Washington Redskins
DST - WAS (at PHI)
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279.
Austin Seibert
K - CLE (vs . PIT)
Seibert was adequate last year hitting 86.2% of his field-goal attempts, though he was just 30-of-35 on extra points. The Cleveland offense should be improved this year, so there's a good chance that Seibert will see more than the 29 field-goal attempts he saw last year. Still, he's not worth drafting in standard-sized leagues, given his middling accuracy.
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280.
Josh Lambo
K - JAC (at IND)
Lambo had an outstanding 2019 season, hitting all but one of 34 field-goal attempts, including all four of his attempts from at least 50 yards. The Jaguars are likely to be playing from behind often this year, which could limit his chances. But given that he's hit at least 90.5% of his field-goal attempts in each of the last three seasons, he's worth considering as one of the last kickers off the board.
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281.
Zach Pascal
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
Pascal had his moments last year, including a two-touchdown game against the Texans and a two-game stretch in December when he caught 12 passes for 183 yards and a touchdown. But, overall, he made little noise in his second season. Although a third-year breakout was there to be had with Philip Rivers at quarterback, the Colts' drafting of Michael Pittman Jr. put a major damper on those prospects. Pascal will likely need an injury to get on the fantasy radar this year, so he's more of someone who fantasy managers should look at on the waiver wire rather than during their drafts.
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282.
Phillip Dorsett
WR - SEA (at SF)
Dorsett goes from Tom Brady to Russell Wilson. Must be nice. While Dorsett doesn't have much appeal as the No. 3 wide receiver in a low-volume offense, he does have some rare handcuff value. If Tyler Lockett were forced to miss any time, Dorsett would be the natural replacement in the slot, a role that he exceled in during his time with the Patriots. In fact, Dorsett has averaged 1.46 more fantasy points PER TARGET while in the slot over the last two years, which is more than any other receiver in the league. Something to think about should Lockett miss time.
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283.
DeAndre Washington
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
After being the primary backup with the Raiders for the past four years, Washington signed with the Chiefs this offseason. Although the Kansas City offense offers incredibly opportunities for running backs, it's nearly impossible to envision a scenario where Washington is the beneficiary. The Chiefs spent a first-round pick on Clyde Edwards-Helaire, still have Damien Williams, and continue to roster Darwin Thompson and Darrel Williams. There's next to no chance that Washington is worth rostering this season so long as he remains with the Chiefs.
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284.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DST - JAC (at IND)
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285.
Tua Tagovailoa
QB - MIA (at BUF)
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286.
Adam Humphries
WR - TEN (at HOU)
It's crazy how fast we forget that Humphries was a top-30 wide receiver in 2018. The trade to the Titans was supposed to give him a bigger role, but knowing he saw more than six targets just one time, it's problematic. What's even worse is that his role diminished once Ryan Tannehill was under center. Knowing this is a run-heavy team and one that doesn't consistently have three wide receivers on the field, Humphries should not be considered a fantasy option.
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287.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - GB (at CHI)
It seems likely that Valdes-Scantling will move back to the slot now that Geronimo Allison is no longer with the team. That's great news considering Valdes-Scantling has averaged 1.02 points PER TARGET in half-PPR formats while being targeted in the slot. That's the second-highest number in football over the last two years, so you can say he's slot-dependent. If he can get back on Aaron Rodgers' good side, there's a chance at a revival for the receiver who was drafted as a top-40 wide receiver in 2019 fantasy leagues.
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288.
Darwin Thompson
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
Remember when Thompson had an incredible preseason and everyone wanted to draft him as the potential starter in this backfield? One year and 46 touches later, no one is drafting the second-year running back. He'd need multiple injuries to find his way into fantasy relevance, as both Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Damien Williams are well ahead of him on the depth chart.
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289.
Mike Boone
RB - MIN (at DET)
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290.
Auden Tate
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
I'm not going to pretend that Tate had a ton of value pre-draft, but he definitely had some considering A.J. Green was likely gone after 2020. Well, the Bengals snagged his replacement in Tee Higgins with the first pick in the second round. Tate is once again multiple injuries away from fantasy relevance.
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291.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
Despite playing in one of the best offenses in football, Robinson has one little from a fantasy perspective. He set or tied career-highs last year with 55 targets, 32 receptions, 449 receiving yards, and four touchdowns, but it will take far more than that for him to get on the fantasy radar. Behind Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, and Mecole Hardman, Robinson needs injuries to one or more of the other receivers to have any relevancy.
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292.
Atlanta Falcons
DST - ATL (at TB)
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293.
Brett Maher
K - NYJ (at NE)
Maher went from being one of the best fantasy kickers in the game in 2018 to hitting just 2/3rds of his chances last year, including just 5-of-13 from 40-plus yards. He continued to be lights out in terms of extra points, converting all 36 of his chances, but that was little consolation to fantasy managers in light of his inconsistency otherwise. Now with the Jets, he finds himself in a far less explosive offense, and isn't worth considering unless he can find his accuracy once again.
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294.
Aldrick Rosas
K - NYG (vs . DAL)
After an outlier 2018 during which he hit 97% of his field-goal attempts, Rosas reverted to form last year, hitting just 12 of his 17 attempts. The Giants offense should be better this year with Daniel Jones in his second year, but considering Rosas has hit 72% of his attempts or less in two of his three seasons, he's not worth considering on draft day.
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295.
Peyton Barber
RB - WAS (at PHI)
Barber never found sustained success with the Bucs, and will now try his hand with the Redskins. Unfortunately, it's a bad situation for Barber. Not only does he find himself in a below-average offense with a sub-par offensive line, he'll also be competing with Derrius Guice, Adrian Peterson, J.D. McKissic, Antonio Gibson, and Bryce Love. The amount of hurdles that Barber needs to clear to be relevant in fantasy are numerous, and there's no reason to consider him for fantasy purposes.
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296.
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
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297.
Frank Gore
RB - NYJ (at NE)
Leave it to Adam Gase to bring back Frank Gore for one more season. The last time Gore played for Gase (in 2018), he tallied 722 yards on the ground but failed to score a single touchdown. Now playing behind Le'Veon Bell, Gore is going to be relied upon for 5-8 carries per game, which means very little in the Jets low-scoring offense.
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298.
Devin Duvernay
WR - BAL (at CIN)
Walking into the top-scoring offense in the league with a depth chart that's easy to climb, it's easy to find a path to production for Duvernay. The question is whether the Ravens will move him above Willie Snead right away, as that's the role he needs to work his way into (the slot). Duvernay has much more playmaking ability than Snead, but knowing there's been limited offseason work, it's unlikely we see many rookies get the nod.
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299.
Detroit Lions
DST - DET (vs . MIN)
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300.
Daniel Carlson
K - LV (at DEN)
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301.
Cameron Brate
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
Brate has plenty of talent, but has now become known more as second fiddle to O.J. Howard. Now, with Rob Gronkowski added, Brate is unlikely to be relevant even in tight end-premium leagues, particularly in Bruce Arians' system. Absent a trade, forget about Brate on draft day.
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302.
Stephen Gostkowski
K - FA (BYE)
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303.
David Moore
WR - SEA (at SF)
Moore took a step back in 2019, catching just 17 passes and scoring two touchdowns. Now, he'll fall out of even three-receiver sets, with Phillip Dorsett on board. Even with an injury in front of him, it seems doubtful that Moore would be worth rostering, so ignore him on draft day and likely beyond.
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304.
Brian Hill
RB - ATL (at TB)
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305.
Mitch Trubisky
QB - CHI (vs . GB)
Some have already declared Nick Foles as the starter, but I'm not so sure of that. It seems the Bears wanted competition at the quarterback position, and Ryan Pace's job is likely tied to what happens. Think about this: What has Nick Foles looked like outside of Philadelphia? A below-average quarterback who lost his job to Case Keenum and Gardner Minshew. If you're looking for a QB3 in a 2QB league, Trubisky could be a steal.
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306.
Bryce Love
RB - WAS (at PHI)
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307.
Carolina Panthers
DST - CAR (vs . NO)
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308.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
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309.
Nelson Agholor
WR - LV (at DEN)
Agholor has never made the most of his opportunities, struggling with drops throughout his five-year career. Now with the Raiders, even if a fresh start would have done him some good, there's simply no room for him to find fantasy production. Behind Tyrell Williams, Henry Ruggs, and Hunter Renfrow, not to mention the presence of Bryan Edwards and Zay Jones, it's almost impossible to envision a scenario where fantasy managers are starting Agholor at any point.
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310.
Van Jefferson
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
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311.
Jarrett Stidham
QB - NE (vs . NYJ)
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312.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
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313.
Darren Fells
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
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314.
Lamical Perine
RB - NYJ (at NE)
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315.
Justin Herbert
QB - LAC (at KC)
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316.
Dustin Hopkins
K - WAS (at PHI)
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317.
Antonio Gandy-Golden
WR - WAS (at PHI)
The injury to Kelvin Harmon will open the door for Gandy-Golden to make it into the starting lineup opposite Terry McLaurin. While we don't expect Dwayne Haskins to throw more than 20-24 touchdowns this season, Gandy-Golden should be able to top 60 targets in his rookie season, which will lead to some fantasy relevant weeks.
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318.
Willie Snead
WR - BAL (at CIN)
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319.
Trey Burton
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
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320.
Patrick Laird
RB - MIA (at BUF)
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321.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - SEA (at SF)
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322.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
RB,WR - LV (at DEN)
The Raiders used a second-round pick on Bowden, who's played numerous positions, though they're officially listing him as a running back. The Raiders clearly have better receivers on their roster heading into this season, and while they did allow DeAndre Washington and his 40 targets walk, it's tough to find very much work available to Bowden. He's a name to watch, though, as you don't spend a second-round pick on a player you don't have plans for. Keep him on waiver wire speed dial.
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323.
Chase McLaughlin
K - IND (vs . JAC)
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324.
Antonio Brown
WR - FA (BYE)
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325.
Keke Coutee
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
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326.
Jacob Hollister
TE - SEA (at SF)
Hollister made the most of his opportunity to get into the starting lineup last year, putting up a 41-349-3 line in 11 games. Unfortunately for Hollister, the Seahawks brought in Greg Olsen this offseason, and Will Dissly should also be back at some point. That puts plenty of roadblocks between Dissly and fantasy-relevance, so he can be firmly ignored on draft day.
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327.
Las Vegas Raiders
DST - LV (at DEN)
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328.
Jordan Akins
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
Not many realize Akins saw a very respectable 55 targets in 2019, which ranked 23rd among tight ends. It was Darren Fells who was stealing touchdowns, but Akins may see a bump in targets knowing DeAndre Hopkins' 150-plus targets have disappeared. The issue is that there are so many different options in this passing game, it'll be difficult to see a consistent stream of targets. Akins should be looked at as a streamer in plus matchups.
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329.
Reggie Bonnafon
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
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330.
Bryan Edwards
WR - LV (at DEN)
While scouting receivers for this year's draft, I came across Edwards and said that if he got the opportunity, he could be a player in this league. He wasn't expected to go on Day 2, but the Raiders selected him to play alongside Henry Ruggs. Will he beat out Tyrell Williams for the starting job? Probably not right away, but he should surpass him as the year goes on. Unfortunately, it's hard to see a scenario where the Raiders have two consistent wide receivers in fantasy.
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331.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
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332.
C.J. Uzomah
TE - CIN (vs . BAL)
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333.
Justin Rohrwasser
K - NE (vs . NYJ)
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334.
T.J. Yeldon
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
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335.
DaeSean Hamilton
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
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336.
Marquise Goodwin
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
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337.
Darrel Williams
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
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338.
Jordan Wilkins
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
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339.
Arizona Cardinals
DST - ARI (at LAR)
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340.
Jameis Winston
QB - NO (at CAR)
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times for Winston in 2019. Although he led the NFL in passing yards with 5,109, he also threw 30 interceptions and completed barely 60% of his passes. Now a backup to Drew Brees, Winston could become extremely interesting with an injury, though the presence of Taysom Hill might negate that potential. There's zero reason to draft Winston in redraft leagues, but his value in dynasty formats would obviously get an enormous boost if he takes over after Brees inevitably retires next season.
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341.
Travis Homer
RB - SEA (at SF)
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342.
Bo Scarbrough
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
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343.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
|
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344.
Wayne Gallman
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
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|
345.
Eno Benjamin
RB - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
346.
Randy Bullock
K - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
347.
Lamar Miller
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
348.
Myles Gaskin
RB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
349.
Adam Vinatieri
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
350.
Kai Forbath
K - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
351.
Jeff Wilson
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
352.
Jason Witten
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
353.
Devin Asiasi
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
354.
Qadree Ollison
RB - ATL (at TB)
|
|
355.
Ted Ginn
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
Going from the Drew Brees to Mitch Trubisky/Nick Foles seems suboptimal, right? Ginn has looked done for the last year and a half, so it was surprising to see him land the role previously held by Taylor Gabriel in Chicago. It was a role that received 141 targets over 25 games, so it's possible that Ginn puts together some fantasy relevant weeks, but you shouldn't bet on it.
|
|
|
356.
Josh Oliver
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
357.
Keelan Cole
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
358.
Nick Boyle
TE - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
|
359.
Tyler Johnson
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
It's tough finding a spot for Johnson on the field with the Bucs without injury. Chris Godwin is the primary slot receiver in 3WR sets, which is where Johnson has been projected to play, so it's likely he's more of a handcuff to Godwin than anything.
|
|
360.
Dante Pettis
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
Will Pettis find his way out of the doghouse? After a promising rookie season, Pettis was sent to the bench and received just 24 targets in 2019. But with Deebo Samuel potentially missing part of the season, the 49ers may decide to call upon their former second-round pick. If we get any indication that he'll be a starter, he'll be worth a late-round pick that just might work out.
|
|
361.
Josh Gordon
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
362.
Greg Ward
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
363.
Ryan Griffin
TE - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
364.
Kalen Ballage
RB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
|
365.
New York Giants
DST - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
366.
LeSean McCoy
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
367.
Taylor Gabriel
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
368.
Taysom Hill
QB,TE - NO (at CAR)
|
|
|
369.
Miami Dolphins
DST - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
370.
Marcus Mariota
QB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
371.
Delanie Walker
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
372.
Demaryius Thomas
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
373.
Andy Dalton
QB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
|
374.
Cincinnati Bengals
DST - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
|
375.
Olabisi Johnson
WR - MIN (at DET)
|
|
376.
Mike Davis
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
377.
Paul Richardson Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
378.
Tajae Sharpe
WR - MIN (at DET)
Remember when Tajae Sharpe was a fantasy relevant receiver? I do. It was with Marcus Mariota at quarterback when Sharpe was a rookie. Volume was hard to come by in Tennessee, but it's going to be a similar story in Minnesota. Sharpe will be starting in 3WR sets alongside Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson, but he's clearly the third option on the run-heavy team.
|
|
379.
Geronimo Allison
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
|
380.
Justin Watson
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
381.
Ty Montgomery
RB - NO (at CAR)
Montgomery is an interesting one to keep your eye on. If there's someone who can semi-replicate the role that Alvin Kamara plays on the Saints, it's him. He's still a solid pass-catcher out of the backfield, which we know has value in the Saints passing game. If something should happen to Kamara, everyone would flock to Latavius Murray, and rightfully so. Still, Montgomery would have a role that could produce some fantasy points.
|
|
382.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
|
383.
Dan Arnold
TE - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
384.
Jacoby Brissett
QB - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
385.
Adam Trautman
TE - NO (at CAR)
|
|
386.
Greg Joseph
K - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
387.
Ty Johnson
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
388.
Trent Taylor
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
389.
Eddy Pineiro
K - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
390.
Jason Sanders
K - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
391.
Jeremy Sprinkle
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
|
392.
Raymond Calais
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
393.
Corey Clement
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
394.
Jalen Hurts
QB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
395.
Dontrell Hilliard
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
396.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
397.
KeeSean Johnson
WR - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
|
398.
Foster Moreau
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
|
399.
Kaden Smith
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
400.
Bilal Powell
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
401.
Allen Hurns
WR - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
402.
Thaddeus Moss
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
403.
Zay Jones
WR - LV (at DEN)
|
|
|
404.
Jake Kumerow
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
|
405.
Dexter Williams
RB - GB (at CHI)
|
|
|
406.
Scott Miller
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
407.
Marqise Lee
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
408.
Anthony Firkser
TE - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
409.
Cordarrelle Patterson
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
410.
Albert Okwuegbunam
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
411.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
|
412.
Hakeem Butler
WR - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
413.
C.J. Anderson
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
414.
Devontae Booker
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
415.
Rashard Higgins
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
416.
J.D. McKissic
RB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
|
417.
K.J. Hill
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
|
418.
Javon Wims
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
|
419.
Sam Sloman
K - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
|
420.
Dalton Keene
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
421.
Matt Bryant
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
422.
Maxx Williams
TE - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
423.
Rodney Anderson
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
424.
Ryan Succop
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
425.
Ricky Seals-Jones
TE - KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
|
426.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
|
427.
Kalif Raymond
WR - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
|
428.
Quintez Cephus
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
429.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
430.
Trey Quinn
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
|
431.
Andre Patton
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
|
432.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
|
433.
Damon Gibson
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
434.
Josh Doctson
WR - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
|
435.
Tim Patrick
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
|
436.
Jakeem Grant
WR - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
|
437.
Damion Ratley
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
438.
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
|
439.
Kerrith Whyte Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
|
440.
Jeff Thomas
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
441.
Damiere Byrd
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
442.
Jordan Reed
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
443.
James Robinson
RB - JAC (at IND)
|
|
444.
Jay Ajayi
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
445.
Charles Clay
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
446.
Donte Moncrief
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
|
447.
Sam Ficken
K - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
448.
Nick Vannett
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
449.
Corey Coleman
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
|
450.
Ryan Nall
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
451.
Dwayne Washington
RB - NO (at CAR)
|
|
452.
Logan Thomas
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
453.
Gabriel Davis
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
454.
Brycen Hopkins
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
455.
Hunter Bryant
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
|
456.
Tyler Bass
K - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
|
457.
Matt LaCosse
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
458.
Kyle Allen
QB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
459.
Jesse James
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
460.
Tyler Kroft
TE - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
|
461.
Elijah Holyfield
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
462.
Emanuel Hall
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
463.
Dez Bryant
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
464.
Josh Hill
TE - NO (at CAR)
|
|
|
465.
Riley Ridley
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
466.
Jeff Heuerman
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
467.
James O'Shaughnessy
TE - JAC (at IND)
|
|
|
468.
Jason Huntley
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
469.
Shelton Gibson
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
470.
Karan Higdon
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
|
471.
Isaiah Coulter
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
472.
Josh Rosen
QB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
|
473.
James Proche
WR - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
474.
Trey Edmunds
RB - PIT (at CLE)
|
|
|
475.
Rodrigo Blankenship
K - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
476.
Robert Foster
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
477.
Darnell Mooney
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
|
478.
Kahale Warring
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
479.
Alex Erickson
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
480.
CJ Ham
RB - MIN (at DET)
|
|
|
481.
Marcus Johnson
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
482.
Brandon Bolden
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
483.
Dalton Schultz
TE - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
484.
Devine Ozigbo
RB - JAC (at IND)
|
|
|
485.
Jaeden Graham
TE - ATL (at TB)
|
|
|
486.
Joe Reed
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
|
487.
Josh Reed
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
|
488.
Buddy Howell
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
|
489.
J.J. Taylor
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
|
490.
Lirim Hajrullahu
K - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
491.
Seth Roberts
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
492.
Joe Flacco
QB - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
493.
Kenneth Dixon
RB - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
494.
Case Keenum
QB - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
495.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - MIN (at DET)
|
|
|
496.
Isaiah Ford
WR - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
497.
Jonathan Williams
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
498.
Devin Smith
WR - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
499.
Virgil Green
TE - LAC (at KC)
|
|
|
500.
Adrian Killins Jr.
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
|
501.
Cam Batson
WR - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
|
502.
Jakob Johnson
FB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
503.
John Kelly
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
|
504.
Salvon Ahmed
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
505.
Brian Hoyer
QB - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
506.
Graham Gano
K - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|