Fantasy Football Player Notes
2020 Draft Rankings
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1.
Christian McCaffrey
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
You can try to make the argument that McCaffrey shouldn't go No. 1 overall this year, but you'd lose the argument. Outside of saying, "running backs don't repeat as the top option," there's nothing that should suggest McCaffrey won't. He's not just a running back. He's a wide receiver. He scored 182.5 half-PPR points through the air alone, which would've been the No. 20 wide receiver in fantasy last year, ahead of Stefon Diggs. Even if McCaffrey simply stopped playing football in Week 12, he would've finished as the No. 1 running back by a massive 22.1 PPR points. The new offense and improved quarterback play shouldn't hurt at all.
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2.
Saquon Barkley
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
After an extremely impressive rookie season, Barkley came back down to earth a bit in 2019, though 4.6 yards per carry behind that Giants offensive line is nothing to scoff at. Playing through injury was a clear net-negative to his overall numbers, and something he hopefully learned from. The biggest difference was breakaway runs of 15-plus yards, as Barkley rattled off 20 of them in his rookie season, but just nine of them in his sophomore season. With all the weapons in this offense, you have to wonder just how many targets Barkley will get, but trust me, the Giants are building their offense around him and not anyone else. If Daniel Jones can take a step forward in year two, it'll help open lanes for Barkley. It also doesn't hurt that they dramatically improved the offensive line this offseason.
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3.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - DAL (at NYG)
There's only one running back over the last five years who's finished top-six three times, and that's Elliott. Oddly enough, he's never finished as No. 1 though. The Cowboys passing offense just got better with the addition of CeeDee Lamb, and while that may put a cap on Elliott's targets in the passing game, he should be free to rock against seven-man fronts. He saw eight-plus defenders in the box 19.3 percent of the time last year, a number that may dip down into the single digits, provided the Cowboys go three-wide more often than not. Stop trying to find "the next big thing," because Elliott has proven time and time again that he's among the safest picks at the top of the draft. He's posted RB2 or better numbers in 92.9 percent of his career games, which is better than any running back I've ever charted. In fact, the closest is Le'Veon Bell, who's hit that mark 87.0 percent of the time.
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4.
Derrick Henry
RB - TEN (at HOU)
Yes, Derrick Henry finished with 1,540 yards and 16 touchdowns last year en route to a No. 3 finish. Yes, he was dominant in the playoffs. We still can't forget that he was the No. 14 running back in points per game before Week 10 last year, behind David Johnson and Mark Ingram. Should we automatically assume Henry picks up where he left off in 2019? My issue with Henry is that he's not involved in the passing-game, which lowers his weekly floor. That alone will allow us to choose someone like Alvin Kamara over him. Henry is best-suited as a second-round pick rather than one in the first round.
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5.
Dalvin Cook
RB - MIN (at DET)
It turns out Gary Kubiak is very good for a run-game. Cook took his game to another level in 2019, finishing as the No. 5 running back despite missing two games. Not only did he total 18-plus carries in eight games, but he also ranked third in yards per route run among running backs. With Stefon Diggs gone, we could see him highlighted even more in the passing game, though Justin Jefferson will eat some of them. Cook also led the league with 21 carries inside the five-yard-line. Health has always been a question mark with Cook, but when healthy, he's easily a top-10 back.
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6.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO (at CAR)
There's just one running back who's had a higher "boom" percentage (25-plus PPR points) than Kamara over the course of their careers, and that's Christian McCaffrey. Kamara has now topped 25 PPR points in 14 of his 45 career games, which is quite ridiculous. His 2019 season was easily his worst to date, though he still finished as the RB12 despite missing two games. The Saints offense continues to groove, and though Drew Brees is still playing great football, his arm strength is declining, which could lead to more targets than every for Kamara, who's averaged 6.7 targets per game over the first three years in a Saints uniform. Provided he doesn't get hurt, Kamara is a near-lock to finish as a top-six running back.
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7.
Josh Jacobs
RB - LV (at DEN)
Jacobs had an excellent rookie season, despite missing three games with injury. He flashed explosiveness and the ability to continue to gain yards after contact. To the extent there was a downside, it's that he barely factored in as a receiver (just 27 targets). Although he's expressed a desire to be far more involved in the passing game, the presence of pass-catching running backs, including Jalen Richard, makes that less likely, though the recent trade of Lynn Bowden Jr. helps Jacobs' cause in that regard. Regardless of any increased work in the passing game, Jacob should have a workhorse role and be drafted as a borderline RB1.
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8.
Joe Mixon
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
Mixon's value was up in the air for a week or two before he agreed on a new deal with the Bengals that will keep him in Cincinnati for several more seasons. With that locked in, Mixon is good to go for the 2020 season and it should be a good one. The downside for Mixon is his lack of usage in the passing game, which admittedly limits his upside a tad. But he was a true workhorse back over the latter half of the 2019 season, and will now be playing behind a better offensive line with a better quarterback in an offense that should score plenty of points. He may not have the ceiling of the top three or four backs being drafted, but if he's healthy, RB1 status is nearly a lock. Draft him with confidence.
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9.
Michael Thomas
WR - NO (at CAR)
I'm not sure how many realize how rare Thomas' season was in 2019. He saw 185 targets on a team that threw the ball just 581 times. That's a ridiculous 31.8 percent target share. Just so you know, it's rare for a receiver to see a 25 percent target share. I've already stated in the Drew Brees paragraph that I expect this offense to throw just a bit less in 2020. Initial projections have them around 560 pass attempts, so bringing that down to even a 28 percent target share would force Thomas to lose about 28 targets. You can see why a repeat of last year's numbers are unlikely, especially when you factor in the arrival of Emmanuel Sanders as a rock-solid No. 2 receiver who'll garner more targets than Ted Ginn and/or Tre'Quan Smith would've. Still, Thomas is my WR1 heading into the season, because outside of injury, he's projected as my top receiver by a full 15 half-PPR points.
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10.
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
Through 10 games last year, Chubb was doing very well and was the No. 4 running back (PPG) in half-PPR formats. Keep in mind that was despite the offense not being very good. From that point forward (when Kareem Hunt joined the offense), Chubb was the No. 18 running back while Hunt was the No. 26 running back. This is clearly more of a timeshare than Chubb owners would like, leaving him best-suited as a high-end RB2 rather than the RB1 he appeared destined to be.
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11.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
Edwards-Helaire was probably set to be overvalued in fantasy drafts, but now that Damien Williams has opted out, he immediately vaults into reliable RB1 territory. The Chiefs spent their first-round pick on Edwards-Helaire and, regardless, pretty much any replacement value running back can find fantasy gold in Kansas City's system. There are still other running backs on the roster who will garner touches, including Darrel Williams and Darwin Thompson, and because the Chiefs' offense is so dynamic, there is no reason for them to run their rookie back into the ground. Still, without Damien Williams, Edwards-Helaire should get the majority of the touches in the backfield, and that puts him in firm RB1 territory, full stop.
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12.
Davante Adams
WR - GB (at CHI)
I'm convinced that because Adams missed part of the 2019 season, many don't realize just how consistent he's been over the last few years. He's played 27 games over the last two years, and he's scored 16-plus PPR points in 23 of them. The Packers didn't add a wide receiver in the draft, so it's not likely his massive target-share is going away. He's the only other receiver who should be considered close to Michael Thomas in drafts.
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13.
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
He's a very good football player and one who can help you win fantasy weeks... but is he a No. 1 wide receiver on fantasy teams? In my Boom, Bust, and Everything In Between series, I highlighted the fact that he's been a WR2 or better in just 44.1 percent of his career games, while someone like Julio Jones has posted WR1 numbers in 42.4 percent of his games. Hill averaged just 7.4 targets per game last year, a number that will need to come up for him to be a more consistent fantasy option. Can it happen? Absolutely. The addition of Clyde Edwards-Helaire will not help that, nor will the supposed increase in Mecole Hardman offensive snaps. There were just two games in 2019 where Hill saw double-digit targets, which again, limits his consistency. By comparison, Davante Adams has averaged 11.0 targets per game over the last two years while Julio Jones saw 10-plus targets in 7-of-15 games in 2019. If you want to draft Hill as your WR1, I have no issue with it, but understand that you'll need to balance your roster throughout the remainder of the draft. Robert Woods is someone that immediately comes to mind as consistent and reliable, and would make a perfect complement to someone like Hill.
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14.
Julio Jones
WR - ATL (at TB)
Fade aging wide receivers, they said. Julio laughs as he posted his sixth straight season with more than 1,390 yards. He still has just one season under his belt with double-digit touchdowns, which is quite ridiculous when you consider he's had three seasons with 1,500-plus yards. He's as safe as they come at the wide receiver position. Think 31 years old is too old? Check out this piece on what age a wide receiver declines. There are a lot of fantasy owners drafting Tyreek Hill over him, and while I understand the upside Hill presents on a weekly basis, Jones presents stability that Hill can only dream of. Hill has posted WR2 or better numbers in 21-of-43 games (48.8 percent) over his career. Meanwhile, Jones has hit that mark in 64.8 percent of his career games and has posted WR1-type numbers in 42.4 percent of them. Sure, Calvin Ridley is going to ascend, but a lot of his ascension comes from the missing targets from Mohamed Sanu. Jones should be the No. 3 wide receiver off draft boards, at worst.
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15.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (vs . LAC)
It's now been four straight seasons where Kelce has finished with 1,000-plus yards. He's as safe as they come and should still be in the prime of his career at 30 years old. Patrick Mahomes took a step back in terms of touchdown percentage in 2019, but could very well bounce back to elite levels in 2020, giving Kelce consideration as a second-round pick in fantasy drafts. If you have "your guys" in the middle rounds, Kelce makes sense as an early-round pick. He's now posted TE1-type numbers in 28-of-32 games over the last two years. It also helps when you see 41.4 percent of your team's targets inside the 10-yard line, like Kelce did in 2019.
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16.
Aaron Jones
RB - GB (at CHI)
Despite having Aaron Rodgers under center, the Packers decided to add a third-string running back and fullback to their roster on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Is that worrisome to Jones' production? Maybe a bit, as Matt LaFleur seems to want to continue his timeshare ways. Jones is by far the most talented, so even if we were to see him dip down to 13-15 touches per game, that's enough for him to do damage, especially considering Rodgers targets him in the passing game. Jones is one of just two running backs (Alvin Kamara is the other) who've finished with a top-30 season over the last 10 years with less than 300 touches. Jones is one of the most efficient running backs in football, though the coaching staff keeps him in RB2 territory.
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17.
Miles Sanders
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
We all know Doug Pederson has loved his timeshares since coming to the Eagles, and after they moved on from Jordan Howard, many expected them to add a running back in the draft. Things can change, as there are a few free agent running backs out there, but for now, Sanders has the looks of a 15-plus touch running back.
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18.
George Kittle
TE - SF (vs . SEA)
He's just 26 years old and coming off 2,430 yards and 10 touchdowns over the previous two seasons despite missing two full games. Keep in mind that he was playing through injuries much of last season. The defense is surely going to take a slight step back in 2020, which will lead to more pass attempts, which will lead to more targets. The 49ers added Brandon Aiyuk who'll help stretch the field, which should in turn just open things a bit more for Kittle. His arrow continues to point up. The touchdowns may not match those of Travis Kelce, but we know not to rely on consistency in that department.
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19.
Chris Godwin
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
NextGenStats tracks each player's usage and routes throughout every game, and I wish I could remember who posted it, but Godwin's routes were essentially the same exact ones that Bruce Arians used for Larry Fitzgerald back in Arizona. That's a very good thing. I want to do an exercise with you. Close your eyes and imagine Tom Brady dropping back to pass. What do you see? Do you see him muscling a pass towards the sideline? I didn't think so. I also saw him targeting a receiver over the middle of the field. Godwin played 63.4 percent of his snaps last year in the slot. He was second in the league in slot yards (838) behind only Cooper Kupp, and despite seeing 31 fewer slot targets than Kupp, he only finished with 15 fewer yards and the same number of touchdowns. Godwin's average depth of target was 10.4 yards last year while Mike Evans' was 15.3 yards. The average depth of target for Brady last year was 7.6 yards down the field. It's clear that Godwin should quickly become a favorite of Brady, who hates to take risks, as Godwin is a better separator than Evans. Believe it or not, there's a clear path for Godwin to finish as the WR1 in 2020. I don't say that about many receivers. He's in the tier immediately after Michael Thomas, Davante Adams, and Julio Jones.
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20.
Kenyan Drake
RB - ARI (at LAR)
It's crazy to see Kenyan Drake not getting the respect he deserved when he performed the way he did under Kliff Kingsbury last year. Since coming over in Week 9, he was the No. 4 running back through the remainder of the fantasy season, and the Cardinals liked him enough to move on from David Johnson and not draft a running back until the seventh round.
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21.
Kenny Golladay
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
We've watched Golladay ascending into the clear-cut No. 1 role in the Lions offense, and even though he did finish as the No. 6 wide receiver in 2019, there's still some meat left on the bone. Matthew Stafford went down in Week 9 last year. Golladay had four games with 23-plus PPR points with Stafford in the lineup, and just one game with more than 18 PPR points without him. If Stafford can stay healthy, Golladay should return WR1 numbers.
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22.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - ARI (at LAR)
Did you know Hopkins hasn't seen less than 150 targets since way back in 2014? Now going to a Cardinals team with Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald, it's unlikely he reaches that mark. The odd offseason also hasn't given him a lot of time with new quarterback Kyler Murray. From reports, the first time the duo got together was at the end of June. Is that enough time to develop any sort of chemistry? Hopkins has played with a lot of bad quarterbacks in his time, though the only one who held him back from producing was Brock Osweiler, as Hopkins finished as the No. 29 wide receiver in 2016 despite seeing 151 targets. Murray's rookie season wasn't particularly efficient (both Fitzgerald and Kirk saw over 105 targets but outside the top-36 wide receivers), but we should expect growth in year two. There is a scenario where Hopkins is a rock-solid player but not a top-five fantasy receiver, however, given his history of producing with guys like Tom Savage, TJ Yates, and Brian Hoyer, I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt. Still, his targets will take a hit, making him a second-round pick rather than the first-round one he's been.
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23.
Patrick Mahomes II
QB - KC (vs . LAC)
If you invested a first-round pick in Mahomes last year, you weren't happy with the results. In games he started, he posted QB1-type numbers in just 57.1 percent of them. However, there were some factors to take into consideration. One, he was going to regress. Two, he suffered an injury during the Week 7 game against the Broncos that seemed to affect him throughout the remainder of the regular season. In the seven games following that injury, he threw for three touchdowns just once, while throwing for more than 283 yards just twice. Was that a sign of things to come? Probably not considering he threw for 901 yards and 10 touchdowns in three playoff games. You must ask yourself, "What's the worst/best-case scenario with Mahomes?" prior to drafting him. Worst case was probably last year, where he was the No. 52 value-based player. That means if we'd drafted 2019 all over again, his value would've been correct as the 52nd player selected, so a fifth-round pick. Best case scenario is that he finishes as the No. 5 value-based player like he did in 2018. If you're somewhere in the middle, he's still worth a third-round pick with upside for more. Most of the time with Mahomes, it all just depends on your particular draft, as there are some who'll see him go in the first round of their 1QB league. You're baking in too much risk there. As a late-second, early-third round pick, you have some room for growth. Anything beyond that is just a steal. With the lack of offseason, it'll affect defenses more than it will offenses, so we could see a record-breaking year for Mahomes.
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24.
Austin Ekeler
RB - LAC (at KC)
After seeing Ekeler's contract extension this offseason, it seemed a little light for a workhorse, leading many to believe they'd draft a running back early on. They waited until the fourth round to select UCLA's Joshua Kelley, who's a bigger complementary back. The Chargers offense isn't likely going to be as high scoring as it was with Philip Rivers under center, but Ekeler remains the top dog in the backfield. Still, don't just anticipate this offense is going to be as potent, or that he'll have as many scoring opportunities, which is why he's best-suited as a high-end RB2 than an RB1.
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25.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
There are a lot of people who'll point out the fact that Evans finished as a WR1 in 2019 despite missing three games. Well, I hate to break it to you, but he was not a WR1 in terms that actually matter to you, the fantasy player. Despite averaging an elite 9.1 targets per game, Evans posted WR2 or better-type numbers in just 38.5 percent of his games. That ranked 28th among wide receivers. Seriously, guys like Sterling Shepard, Cole Beasley, and Jamison Crowder had higher percentages. Now you take away Jameis Winston, someone who was more than willing to throw the ball into tight coverage all the time, and swap him with one of the most risk averse quarterbacks in football? Evans' 2.4 yards of separation at target was one of the worst marks among wide receivers, and while it doesn't tell the full story, those who watch Evans knows he uses his body extremely well to box out defenders rather than gain multiple yards of separation with precision route running. Look, he's still a good player who's totaled at least 1,000 yards in each of his first six NFL seasons, so I'm not completely writing him off, though it does help that he's seen at least 8.7 targets per game over the last five years. I don't think Brady is as bad as some think at throwing the deep ball anymore, I just don't think he does it nearly as often as Winston did/was willing to. I'm expecting a slight dip in targets and less air yards, which in turn, equals less production for a player like Evans. It's not bad if you land him as your WR2, but I wouldn't recommend him as a WR1.
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26.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (at CIN)
The trio of tight ends in Baltimore accounted for a massive 40.2 percent target share last year, which easily led the league. Just one other team (Eagles) had their tight ends see over a 30.0 percent target share. Hayden Hurst is gone, which shifts those targets to the duo of Andrews and Boyle. While I anticipate some of them moving to the wide receivers, it's not a bad thing for Andrews supporters. I think many have forgotten just how hard it is for young tight ends to produce elite numbers, yet Andrews posted 852 yards and 10 touchdowns in his sophomore season on a team that threw the ball just 440 times. He's very good. With a slight bump in pass attempts for the team overall combined with the exit of Hurst, and we could see Andrews reach 120 targets this season. My issue with Andrews is that he's been a bit more inconsistent than the likes of Travis Kelce and George Kittle, so it takes a bit of projecting to see him reach that tier. Andrews played just 46 snaps per game in 2019, while those two averaged 60 snaps. For me, Andrews is in the tier directly behind them alongside Zach Ertz. If you can get him in the late-fourth or early-fifth round, I'm good with that. If you take him earlier, you're have to project 120 targets.
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27.
Chris Carson
RB - SEA (at SF)
If we knew Carson would be healthy the entire season, he'd be ranked as a top-12 running back. But we don't. There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the Seahawks backfield, as Carson is coming off a season-ending hip injury, while Rashaad Penny is recovering from a torn ACL, and they drafted DeeJay Dallas in the fourth round of the draft. You'll want to pay close attention to this backfield as we approach fantasy draft season.
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28.
A.J. Brown
WR - TEN (at HOU)
WPrior to the NFL Draft last year, I had D.K. Metcalf as my 1A receiver and Brown as my 1B. Loved them both, but Metcalf's landing spot moved him into the driver's seat. Maybe I underestimated just how much Brown could do without an elite quarterback. Despite not being a full-time player until Week 9 and seeing just 84 targets, Brown finished as the No. 21 wide receiver in his rookie season. There have been just 10 wide receivers over the last 10 years who've finished as a top-24 fantasy receiver while seeing fewer than 87 targets. Going back to when Ryan Tannehill started playing, Brown received a very stable 21 percent target share. That's not elite. Not bad, but not elite. Let's go from Week 9 through Week 17 when Brown moved to a full-time role. Brown's target share was 24 percent in that time, which ranked 10th among wide receivers. If we project Tannehill for 480-500 pass attempts, that'd amount to 115-120 targets. It is possible Brown's target share goes up but staying at 24 percent feels like it's repeatable. It's important to note that Brown averaged a ridiculous 8.9 yards after the catch last year, a number that isn't repeatable. You typically won't see even the best of the best receivers average more than 6.0 yards after the catch. If you move Brown down to the 5.5 range, he would've recorded 187 fewer yards and finished as the WR28. Then you must factor in Tannehill's ridiculous 7.7 percent touchdown rate regressing, so don't automatically assume that Brown's efficiency remains the same. He's still a phenomenal talent, but he needs to get the bump in pass attempts to take the next step. If I were guaranteed 500 pass attempts out of Tannehill, I'd draft him as a low-end WR1. It's best to be a bit cautious though and have some equity built in, making him a WR2 with serious upside.
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29.
Allen Robinson II
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
We saw a 150-plus target season for Robinson in 2019, which was a rarity among wide receivers. Based on where his targets took place, he had the fourth-most expected fantasy points among wide receivers last year. There's little reason to expect that to change, as the Bears lost Taylor Gabriel and replaced him with an older, slower version in Ted Ginn. There were just two games last season where Robinson finished with fewer than seven targets, making him an easy every-week start. In fact, he posted WR2 or better numbers in 62.5 percent of his games, which ranked fifth behind only Michael Thomas, DeAndre Hopkins, Julio Jones, and Davante Adams. The fact that the Bears snagged Nick Foles only helps the Bears receivers, as they have twice the chance at competent quarterback play. Robinson should be considered a high-floor, low-end WR1, as it's unlikely he comes with the ceiling of those with better quarterback play.
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30.
Adam Thielen
WR - MIN (at DET)
It was a down year for Thielen in 2019, who's suddenly 30 years old (August 22nd, he will be) with back problems. That's not a recipe for success for a wide receiver, though it helps that he's the only steady presence at wide receiver. Most will look at the target totals from last year and wonder where his targets come from, but don't forget that Thielen saw 298 targets over the previous two seasons. Last year was an incredibly efficient year for the Vikings on the ground, and when you combine the fact that Thielen missed half the season, you can understand why their pass attempts came crashing down to earth. With the defense likely taking a step back after losing many starters, we should expect to see their run-to-pass ratio come back towards the league average, which would help Thielen's target potential. Knowing that he's the only receiver in the starting lineup who has any chemistry with Cousins, we should expect at least eight targets per game. That calls for him being a high-end WR2 at the very least when he's in the lineup, though his injury concerns have to be built into his cost. His current ADP is the WR11, which is too expensive for the risk you're taking on.
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31.
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL (at CIN)
If we were replaying the 2019 season, Jackson would be the No. 2 pick in fantasy leagues, and it wouldn't be a reach. He was behind only Christian McCaffrey in value based drafting score. We talk all the time about regression when it comes to quarterbacks with a high touchdown rate, and Jackson is no different after posting a ridiculous 9.0 percent touchdown rate in 2019. That's going to come down. Lowering that mark to 5.0 percent (which is still above average), he would've thrown 20 touchdowns instead of the 36 that he did. However, something to help offset that is his rushing touchdown output. Based on where his carries took place last year, Jackson should've scored closer to 12 rushing touchdowns rather than the seven that he did. The downside to Jackson is that he's a bit thinner than you'd like as a mobile quarterback. While it's tough to get a clean hit on him, we have a history of mobile quarterbacks not withstanding a lot of hits. When you invest a second- or third-round pick on a quarterback, you need him on the field. If Jackson were a lock to play all 16 games, he'd be my QB1 and well worth a second-round pick. When you add in some of that risk, he's more of a third-round selection. There were nine separate occasions last year where he delivered 28-plus fantasy points. Those are week-winning performances.
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32.
James Conner
RB - PIT (at CLE)
If Conner were able to stay on the field, he'd be considered as a top-10 running back in fantasy. Unfortunately, he hasn't done that, and it's led them to draft Jaylen Samuels, Benny Snell, and now Anthony McFarland. While none of them are better than Conner, it's likely we see them take some of the workload away from him in 2020.
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33.
D.J. Moore
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
It really stinks that we may not get to see Moore play with a top-tier quarterback during his early years. He's an extremely good football player who's been stuck in a bad situation. He made the most of bad targets last year, finishing as the WR18 and delivering WR2 or better performances 60.0 percent of the time, which ranked eighth among wide receivers. Now another obstacle to cross. He'll have a new quarterback and a new head coach in 2020. The coach (Matt Rhule) also decided they needed to bring in Robby Anderson, a receiver who previously played under him, which could mean the targets get spread out a bit. The good news is that Bridgewater attempted a deep ball on just 7.1 percent of his pass attempts, which was the second-lowest rate in the NFL, and not an area where Moore operates. The talent is there for Moore to make a jump into WR1 status, but the situation doesn't seem ideal with virtually no offseason. He's best suited as a WR2 on fantasy teams, as top-24 should be his absolute floor.
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34.
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
What in the world happened to Beckham in 2019? If we were replaying last season, we wouldn't be drafting him until the fifth or sixth round of fantasy drafts. But that's where fantasy players go wrong. That's a one-year sample size. We had 59 career games prior to that we can look at where he was the best game-by-game fantasy wide receiver of all-time. Which do you trust? Everyone on the Browns struggled last year and knowing that Beckham was playing through a hernia only added to the disappointment. 2019 was the first year he'd posted WR2 or better numbers in less than 66.7 percent of his games (which is ridiculous). We know the offense is changing, but that also comes with some concerns. While in Minnesota last year, Kevin Stefanski's wide receivers combined for just 201 targets and a 43.1 percent target share, which ranked as the fourth-lowest mark in football. Stefon Diggs, who is also very talented, saw just 94 targets in 15 games last year. While I don't expect the Browns to be as run-heavy as the Vikings were, it's an added level of concern. But here's the thing - it's not like a lot of the wide receivers in the 10-15 range don't come with similar issues or question marks. Beckham has done it before and has true No. 1 overall wide receiver upside. He's in the prime of his career at 27 years old and his only competition for targets (Jarvis Landry) is coming off hip surgery. Getting him as your high-end WR2 is worth it.
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35.
Amari Cooper
WR - DAL (at NYG)
It's somewhat maddening that Cooper can't get the 150-plus targets that some do, as he's continually one of the most efficient receivers in the league. Did you know Michael Gallup averaged more targets per game than Cooper last year? Cooper's injury may have played into that but it didn't stop him from being one of the best in the league. Based on the number of his targets and where they took place on the field, Cooper should've finished as the No. 23 wide receiver, and not the No. 9 receiver he did. In fact, he was the only receiver in the league who scored 20-plus more fantasy points than he was expected to in both the red zone and outside the red zone. The addition of CeeDee Lamb isn't going to make getting targets any easier for Cooper, who's now seen 195 targets in 25 games with the Cowboys. Because he's not getting the gaudy numbers that some are, Cooper should be considered a semi-volatile WR2 in fantasy who has more WR1 upside than most on a weekly basis. If Cooper were to get 150 targets, I have zero doubts that he'd finish as a top-three receiver, but as we've seen, that just doesn't happen.
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36.
Todd Gurley II
RB - ATL (at TB)
The Rams offense was in complete disarray last year, as their offensive line started to crumble, which dragged Gurley's efficiency down the drain. He did show that he's still able to handle a big workload down the stretch, finishing with 98 touches over the final five games. Now going to the Falcons, who have one of the better offensive lines in football, with little competition, Gurley could return to RB1 status. It's a high-scoring offense where the running backs have averaged 1,383 yards and 9.7 touchdowns on the ground, while averaging another 572 yards and 4.7 touchdowns through the air over the last three years. With Ito Smith and Brian Hill the only running backs behind him, Gurley should receive most of the work/production.
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37.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - PIT (at CLE)
Did everyone forget just how talented Smith-Schuster is because he had a down year in 2019? He played through multiple injuries and dealt with what was probably the worst quarterback situation in the league. In Week 1 and Week 2, when Ben Roethlisberger was on the field, Smith-Schuster saw 16 targets, catching 11 of them for 162 yards. Not too shabby. Insert bad quarterbacks, paired with Smith-Schuster trying to run routes from the perimeter, and it was a recipe for disaster. The Steelers have vowed to put him back in the slot where he belongs, and he's getting back Roethlisberger, who's continually supported fantasy receivers throughout his long career. Going all the way back to 2008, Ben Roethlisberger's No. 1 and No. 2 wide receivers combined for at least 225 targets on eight different occasions, including 334 times when he had Antonio Brown and Smith-Schuster in 2018. With Roethlisberger on the field, the Steelers haven't thrown the ball less than 584 times since way back in 2012. It's hard to see a scenario where Smith-Schuster doesn't see at least 130 targets if he's healthy (that would be just a 22.2 percent target share), which is elite volume, so even if he's average, he'd be a high-end WR2. I'll leave you with this... Smith-Schuster posted 1,426 yards in his second NFL season at the age of 22. There are just six players who posted more yardage in one of their first two seasons. The list includes Isaac Bruce, Josh Gordon, Torry Holt, Jerry Rice, Victor Cruz, and Odell Beckham Jr. We can't pretend Smith-Schuster is anywhere close to average. He's worth a third-round pick in drafts, even though many are getting him in the fourth.
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38.
Calvin Ridley
WR - ATL (at TB)
Prior to getting hurt and having his season cut short, Ridley was on pace for 1,066 yards and eight touchdowns in 2019, which would have had him as the WR14. Now going into his third NFL season, there's a real chance for a breakout. Sure, Julio Jones isn't going away but he doesn't have to. Not many realize that Mohamed Sanu saw 94 targets in 2018 and was on pace for 96 targets before being traded in 2019. We don't really expect Russell Gage to fill that role, do we? If you want to know if there's room for both Ridley and Jones to be WR1s, look no further than the Bucs last year with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, even if it is rare for that to happen. Ridley saw 49 targets in the six games he played without Sanu, which would amount to 131 over an entire 16-game season. Ridley has real top-five breakout potential and is an ideal high-end WR2 on your fantasy team.
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39.
Robert Woods
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
Despite scoring just two touchdowns last year, Woods was able to finish as the No. 17 wide receiver. Why do we continually doubt that his production will continue? Under Sean McVay, he's been a WR2 or better in 21-of-43 games, which is the same as Tyreek Hill. He may not have the upside that Hill does, but as a WR2 on your team, he's gold.
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40.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
It's looking like a very good possibility for Taylor to see 250-plus carries in his rookie season. Some may think that's absurd, but Marlon Mack totaled 247 carries in just 14 games last year. Even if we give Mack the 100 carries that Jordan Wilkins and Jonathan Williams combined for last year, it'd leave room for Taylor to hit the 250 mark. He's also running behind the best offensive line in football, so it wouldn't be a shock to see him rush for 1,200 yards in year one with his vision and speed in the open field. Taylor is right in the same territory as someone like Nick Chubb.
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41.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
It was a tale of two seasons for Kupp last year, as he was the No. 2 receiver in fantasy football through eight games, tallying 58 receptions for 792 yards and five touchdowns. He then fell off hard, finishing as the No. 31 receiver over the final eight games, totaling just 36 receptions for 369 yards and five touchdowns. The Rams started moving towards more 12 personnel, which includes two tight ends, which in turn leaves just two wide receivers on the field. Knowing Kupp is a slot receiver by nature, it affects him greatly. He actually played just 61 percent of the team's snaps in Weeks 16 and 17. But I'd argue that Jared Goff needs him on the field. While targeting Kupp, Goff posted a 117.0 QB Rating. While targeting everyone else, that number is just 78.6. Sean McVay is consistently evolving as a play caller, which bodes well for Kupp, as he'll likely be expanded to different roles moving forward. There are question marks, that much we know. However, we have still yet to see a "bad" season from Kupp in the NFL. I don't consider him as safe as his teammate Robert Woods, but Kupp should still be considered a low-end WR2 who has more touchdown upside. I mean, he's scored 21 receiving touchdowns in 39 career games. Woods has 25 receiving touchdowns in 100 career games.
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42.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (at PHI)
It was remarkable what McLaurin was able to do last year while playing on one of the worst teams in football. The disappointing part was that even though he saw 37.1 percent of his team's air yards (sixth in the NFL), he finished with just 93 targets. Knowing it's unlikely we see a big increase in pass attempts, it's hard for him to see an air yards number that is much higher. The reason we can be semi-optimistic with his targets is due to the lack of options around him. Kelvin Harmon and Paul Richardson are gone, along with the 86 targets they saw last year. In comes rookie Antonio Gandy-Golden, and veteran Dontrelle Inman, who was recently signed off the street. If we look at offensive coordinator Scott Turner's offense last year, you'll see it was very top-heavy when it came to the wide receivers, as D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel both hit 106-plus targets. I can't say there's anyone else on this Washington receiver depth chart that deserves more than 75 targets. This could be very similar to A.J. Brown, where we're looking at a player who might get a 25 percent target share in his offense, even if it is a low volume one. The difference is that McLaurin's quarterback hasn't ever posted all-time great numbers, and it's unreasonable to expect that. Still, McLaurin can likely live up to low-end WR2 expectations, though getting him as your WR3 is the ideal scenario.
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43.
David Johnson
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
The Texans gave their running backs 397 touches last year, and that was with DeAndre Hopkins on the roster. That's a lot of work. The only running back they've added was David Johnson. While Johnson looked horrendous down the stretch, it's possible he just tried to work his way back from injury way too soon. It appears Bill O'Brien isn't convinced that Johnson is done with his NFL career, like some. It's possible that he's not as electric as he once was, but guys, the Texans gave Carlos Hyde 255 touches last year. Opportunity is key in fantasy football, and Johnson appears to be in line for a lot of it in 2020, making him a low-end RB2 with upside for more should he actually be healthy.
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44.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (at SF)
It was a tale of two different seasons for Lockett, as he started out the year hot, but then had an injury derail his production. Clearly, he was affected by a serious shin contusion that had him in the hospital. I won't pretend that D.K. Metcalf started removing some of his elite target upside, but even Lockett's efficiency went down the tube. Combining Lockett's games under Brian Schottenheimer prior to the shin injury, he's totaled 116 receptions for 1,732 yards and 16 touchdowns over a span of 25 games. That's pretty dang good. Knowing that I'm projecting a rise in pass attempts for the Seahawks overall, Lockett should see 110-plus targets as long as he's healthy, a number that goes very far with Russell Wilson as his quarterback. Seriously, stop talking about regression when it comes to Wilson's receivers. First it was Doug Baldwin. Regression never really happened. Then there was Lockett. Next, it'll be Metcalf. Lockett is perfectly fine as your WR2. He's the safer of the Seahawks receivers because his role is locked in. If the Seahawks were to sign or bring in someone like Josh Gordon/Antonio Brown, that would affect Metcalf a lot more.
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45.
D.K. Metcalf
WR - SEA (at SF)
Remember when most people said Metcalf was "raw" and could only run the go-route? Or how about he had no agility because his three-cone drill was bad? Or how about that J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, Mecole Hardman, Parris Campbell, and Andy Isabella went before him? Yeah, me too. Despite having a knee scope done during the last preseason, Metcalf managed to make it back for Week 1 where he racked up 89 yards on six targets. He wound up tallying nine games with more than 60 yards, which ranked 10th among wide receivers. That doesn't even count his playoff game against the Eagles where he broke the rookie record for receiving yards (160) in a playoff game. There was progression in his routes as the year went on, and he's been working out with Russell Wilson at his house this offseason. At 6-foot-4 and 229 pounds, the ceiling is endless with Metcalf, who has true WR1 potential as soon as this year. The biggest concern is that the Seahawks were looking into Antonio Brown, which tells me they may add another perimeter wide receiver. It would directly impact his target upside if that were to happen, and not as much Tyler Lockett. Because of that, Lockett is the safer pick this year, though it's Metcalf who has the higher ceiling.
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46.
Zach Ertz
TE - PHI (vs . WAS)
After posting TE1-type numbers in 78.6 percent of his games in 2017, Ertz has slowly started to regress. In 2018, that mark went down to 68.8 percent, and then just 53.3 percent in 2019. The emergence of Dallas Goedert has surely lowered his consistency, as well as his ceiling. Not only that, but the Eagles added tons of wide receiver talent in this year's draft, which will only make targets harder to come by. Ertz should still be considered a top-five tight end by everyone, but he's not someone to consider in the top four rounds.
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47.
D.J. Chark Jr.
WR - JAC (at IND)
There were flashes of what could be an alpha wide receiver in Chark last year, but there were also times where he disappeared. For example, he had six games of 15-plus fantasy points, but he also had eight games with less than nine fantasy points. Is it reasonable for him to grow as a player? Yes. Is there now a bit more competition for targets on the roster? Yes. With the shortened offseason, it will be difficult to learn a new playbook, especially for rookies like second-round pick Laviska Shenault. Because of that, Gardner Minshew will likely be looking Chark's way a lot. With a schedule that starts with the Colts, Titans, Dolphins, Bengals, Texans, and Lions, Chark should have a monster first half of the fantasy season. There are much tougher matchups as the season goes on, however, but drafting Chark as a low-end WR2 with upside in the fifth round makes sense. But again, you may want to look at the possibility of trading him during his bye in Week 7.
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48.
Melvin Gordon III
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
He left the Chargers at the right time, as they're going to be going through a transitional period. Instead, he joins a now-exciting Broncos offense that suddenly has tons of firepower. You don't add Gordon in free agency if you don't plan on using him as your lead back. The potential upside is that new offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur has been a one-back kind of guy, so it's possible that Phillip Lindsay is just there to give Gordon breathers when he needs them. With Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler, and Noah Fant out there are receiving threats, Gordon should see a lot of light fronts this year. He's a middling RB2 with RB1 upside if they decide to give him 15-plus touches per game.
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49.
Mark Ingram II
RB - BAL (at CIN)
Not many expecting Ingram to finish as an RB1 with Lamar Jackson under center, thinking he'd lose some of the goal-line carries to the mobile quarteback. Despite the fact that Ingram had more than 15 carries just twice all season, he finished as the No. 8 running back. We aren't banking on that happening again, especially when the Ravens drafted JK Dobbins in the second round of the NFL Draft. Ingram is going to be 31 years old this year, while Dobbins and Justice Hill have young, fresh legs. We could see Ingram lose a few carries a game, but provided he's healthy, we should still expect him to lead this timeshare and be a borderline RB2.
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50.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
What a year for Sutton in 2019, eh? He didn't finish as high as some thought (WR19), but it was a miracle he finished there if you were to go back and watch some of the passes he came down with. His 125 targets were the 15th most among wide receivers, though it's hard to see that continuing. He had zero competition for targets last year, which is why he saw over 50 percent of the ones that went to wide receivers. He'll now have to contend with first-round pick Jerry Jeudy, who's the most polished receiver who's come out in the last five years, and second-round pick KJ Hamler in the starting lineup. That's not to mention Melvin Gordon, who's an established pass-catcher out of the backfield. Sutton is clearly a star, but this offense is now littered with talented pass catchers. There were just two games all last year Sutton saw fewer than seven targets, but I think that number goes up this year. He was a middling WR2 last year with those high target totals, yet he's being drafted essentially where he finished last year, and that's despite the improved talent around him. If Sutton wants to finish better than a low-end WR2/high-end WR3, he's going to need double-digit touchdowns, and that's just not something I can predict given the talent around him.
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51.
Raheem Mostert
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
After the way Mostert played in the playoffs, many were looking forward to a 2020 breakout season, and it helps knowing that Matt Breida was traded to the Dolphins. The issue is that they are getting Jerick McKinnon back, still have Tevin Coleman, and Jeff Wilson. The passing game also got a new weapon, which could lead to slightly more pass attempts. Despite being on the roster the past two years under Shanahan, Mostert has received 171 carries in 25 games. It's tough to see that changing drastically. There's a chance, which is why he's in the high-end RB3 conversation, but there's also a chance you can't start him with confidence every week.
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52.
Le'Veon Bell
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
You're going to see Bell fall down draft boards this year, and further than he should. That's odd for me to say, as Bell was someone I was avoiding like the plague in drafts. The difference? Expectations. Playing him as your first-round pick in your RB1 slot was never something anyone should've expected, especially behind that offensive line and in Gase's offense. While he's still stuck in Gase's offense, the offensive line was upgraded quite a bit this offseason, which should allow Bell more room to work. Even if he repeated his 2019 performance, that's RB2 production. There were just 11 running backs who produced RB2 or better numbers more often than him. Sure, he didn't have a ton of weekly upside, but he was safe. Now coming off the board outside the top three rounds, Bell is a value play.
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53.
Dak Prescott
QB - DAL (at NYG)
We all know that Cam Newton was a pretty dang good fantasy quarterback throughout his career, right? Like, one of the best of this generation. Or how about Drew Brees, he's been extremely good and consistent throughout his career. What happens when we look at them and Prescott side-by-side? Prescott's numbers have been just as good, if not better. He's never finished outside the top-12 quarterbacks and is about to play in the same system that just netted him the QB2 finish. Did I mention he also had CeeDee Lamb added to his arsenal? And do you remember all those years we drafted Aaron Rodgers as the top quarterback? That was with Mike McCarthy as his head coach (Prescott's new coach). If you're on the clock and choosing between Prescott, Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, and Russell Wilson, I'm choosing Prescott. There's the least number of variables with him, though Wilson is close. I'll leave you with this: Since Amari Cooper joined the team, Prescott has completed 616-of-916 passes (67.2 percent) for 7,369 yards (8.04 yards per attempt), 44 touchdowns, and 15 interceptions. That's over a span of 25 games. He's also rushed for 346 yards and seven touchdowns.
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54.
Keenan Allen
WR - LAC (at KC)
Did you know Allen hasn't topped six touchdowns in any of the last six seasons? That's despite Philip Rivers throwing at least 28 touchdowns in five of them. He's a phenomenal route runner, but not the go-up-and-get-it receiver you'll fall in love with in the red zone. The move to Tyrod Taylor is likely going to be a tough one for Allen, as Taylor will lack pass attempts in comparison to Rivers. Even if we were to say the Chargers threw the ball 500 times (Taylor's career-high is 437 attempts), that's still a massive decrease from the 597 times they threw the ball in 2019. Taking away 97-plus targets will be felt throughout the depth chart, especially when you don't score a lot of touchdowns. It does help that the Chargers receiving corps is very top heavy with Allen and Mike Williams, though. Still, it's likely there'll be less than 250 targets between the Chargers receivers, so Allen isn't getting close to the 149 targets he got in 2019. Realistically, he's likely to be in the 110-120 target range. That's still enough for low-end WR2/high-end WR3 numbers, but don't expect the same Allen whose been relied upon as a borderline WR1 anymore.
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55.
DeVante Parker
WR - MIA (at BUF)
It's about time, right? I remember last year on the podcast talking about Parker, saying there's a clear avenue for him to see 100-plus targets and that if Fitzpatrick was starting, I wanted him on my roster. Here we are 128 targets and a No. 7 wide receiver finish later. Fun fact: Parker and Michael Thomas were the only two receivers who posted at least 55 yards in 13 games last year. You were able to get Parker outside the top 60 wide receivers last year, something that isn't happening this time around. His current draft position is right around WR20-22, so you're receiving a discount from last year's production, and rightfully so. Preston Williams is back from his ACL injury, which isn't great news for Parker, who was the No. 34 wide receiver through nine weeks with Williams in the lineup. That was really solid for him considering where he was drafted, but once Williams left, Parker exploded and finished as the No. 2 wide receiver the remainder of the season. Part of the reason that happened was due to Ryan Fitzpatrick's willingness to target him relentlessly, as he averaged 9.5 targets per game over that span. To be fair, Williams is coming back, but both Allen Hurns and Albert Wilson have opted out of the season, clearing up 110 targets from last year. Knowing Fitzpatrick is starting the season under center helps me feel more confident in Parker, but there's certainly hesitation in drafting him this year as the Dolphins defense is going to be much better, which will result in fewer pass attempts, and that they'll be moving to a rookie quarterback at some point. I think he's best viewed as a stable WR3 who comes with top-12 upside. If I knew Fitzpatrick would start all year, he'd be a WR2.
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56.
Russell Wilson
QB - SEA (at SF)
The knock on Wilson has forever been "he doesn't throw the ball enough!" That argument only holds so much water, as Wilson has now finished as a top-three fantasy quarterback in four of the last six seasons. Let me tell you... if Wilson attempted 600 pass attempts, he'd under consideration as the first quarterback off the board. Despite topping out at 553 attempts, Wilson has thrown at least 31 touchdowns in four of the last five seasons. There's been just one season he's averaged less than 7.7 yards per attempt. He's hit a 6.0 percent touchdown percentage in 6-of-8 career seasons. He's the good stuff. Can we anticipate more pass attempts? Sure we can. The first year under Brian Schottenheimer they threw the ball just 427 times. The second year (2019), that number went up to 516 attempts. Why did that happen? Not because the run game wasn't effective. It certainly was. It's because the Seahawks defense has trended in the wrong direction, which bodes well for Wilson's pass attempts. They did just trade for Jamal Adams, which will certainly help matters, but their front seven doesn't generate a whole lot of pressure. If they lose Jadeveon Clowney, it only gets worse, but I'd consider 516 attempts the floor for Wilson in 2020. When you add in the growth/chemistry between Wilson and D.K. Metcalf, the ceiling continues to grow. Don't forget that Metcalf was a rookie last year, while Tyler Lockett dealt with injuries over the second half of the season. I can't say Wilson gets to 600 pass attempts, but we don't need him to in order to produce elite numbers, as we've seen. Provided he's healthy, his floor is likely a top-six quarterback, something not many can say.
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57.
Darren Waller
TE - LV (at DEN)
There was just one tight end in all of football who finished all 16 games with at least 7.0 PPR points. It was Waller. Not only that, but he also offered a ceiling, hitting 16-plus points on five separate occasions. The issue with relying on that again is the new competition for targets. As much as we don't want to consider Jason Witten a threat, he's going to steal some targets. Not just him, but Henry Ruggs, Lynn Bowden, and Bryan Edwards are all guys who'll demand some sort of target share. I still view Waller as a top-five tight end, though he's teetering there.
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58.
T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
As a soon-to-be 31-year-old coming off an injury-plagued season and playing with a new quarterback, it's not a good look to show up to camp with a non-football hamstring injury. There will be no preseason game action for him to build any chemistry with his new quarterback, so training camp was important. Hilton has never been a touchdown guy, as his career high is capped out at seven touchdowns. So, he's reliant upon targets more than someone like D.K. Metcalf, who can score 10 touchdowns. Not only do we have to worry about Hilton's health and age, but we also have to worry about his quarterback's. Philip Rivers was not good last year and hasn't traditionally thrown to guys like Hilton who are undersized and play on the perimeter. With so many variables and lack of true upside, I'm okay fading Hilton, especially at his current cost. If you're able to land him as a backend WR3, I'm okay with the risk/reward, as there aren't too many safe options in that range.
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59.
Stefon Diggs
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
Going from Kirk Cousins to Josh Allen isn't going to be a highlight of Diggs' career, as Cousins has continually been one of the better deep-ball passers, while Allen was among the worst in 2019. Diggs actually led the league in yardage on passes that traveled over 20 yards in the air last year. The Bills are still a run-first team that has a top-tier defense, so it's hard to expect a big jump in pass attempts. They targeted their wide receivers 310 times last year, which was a lot for a team that threw the ball just 513 times. The 60.4 percent target share was the fourth-highest mark in the league. So, again, it's tough to say there will be more to go around. Knowing that John Brown was fantastic last year (115 targets), as was Cole Beasley (104 targets), it's tough to take targets away from them, but we have to start taking them from someone because you don't trade for someone like Diggs and not target him. Still, giving him even 115 targets might be too generous, as it'd completely crush the value of Brown, who already has experience with the quarterback/offense. Realistically, I have Diggs down for 111 targets in my projections. When tied to Allen's inconsistencies, that is a WR3 in fantasy who can get into WR2 territory at year's end, similarly to the way Brown did last year. Diggs is probably a top-eight wide receiver in the league, but you need to targets to move up the boards in fantasy football. I'd be happy landing him as my WR3, but that's about it.
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60.
Deshaun Watson
QB - HOU (vs . TEN)
After finishing as the No. 4 quarterback in back-to-back seasons, many are starting to slide Watson down draft boards due to the loss of DeAndre Hopkins. We've never seen Watson without Hopkins, which certainly does raise some questions, but it also could provide an outlet for even more rushing yards for him. Watson maneuvers the pocket extremely well and buys himself time to find open receivers. Now without his safety blanket in Hopkins, we could see his rushing ceiling go up. Did you know he rushed for at least 32 yards in 9-of-15 games last year but never topped 47 rushing yards? That's odd, to say the least. The Texans defense will be as bad as it's ever been with Watson under center, which should mean even more dropbacks. The reason I'm still okay drafting Watson as a top-six quarterback: He's only thrown 26 touchdown passes in each of the last two years and has still been a top-12 type quarterback in 63.2 percent of his career games, which is the second-highest rate since 2000, behind only Patrick Mahomes. For context, there were just seven quarterbacks who topped 50 percent last year alone. Watson may not have the passing ceiling without Hopkins, but I'm expecting his rushing totals to make up for some of that, leaving him in the top-six quarterbacks.
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61.
Michael Gallup
WR - DAL (at NYG)
It's funny how I've become someone who's viewed as a "Gallup hater" in some circles. Let it be known that Gallup was one of my favorite receiver prospects in the 2018 draft class. But guys, he's not better than Amari Cooper. It's clear that Gallup benefits from Cooper's presence in the lineup and has fit into his field-stretching role rather nicely. Now, the question becomes: How much does CeeDee Lamb affect Gallup's target share? When Lamb was first drafted, I was concerned, but after sitting down and going through projections, I was still able to find 100-105 targets for him in the offense, which should net him a WR3 finish in fantasy. There are some risks taking him inside the top-30 because you're taking on some of the risk that Lamb doesn't eat into his target share a bit more, though it's a smaller risk knowing we've had a shortened offseason with no preseason action. I have Gallup as a back-end WR3 in fantasy with upside for a bit more if Lamb takes time to develop, which is not out of question. If Cooper missed time, Gallup would be my favorite receiver in the offense and a high-end WR2 start most weeks.
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62.
Cam Akers
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
The Rams were going to draft a running back - we knew that after they interviewed a ton of them in the draft process. What we didn't know was that they'd take one with their first pick in the draft. While Darrell Henderson is a threat to Akers' overall workload, they clearly know what they have in Henderson, and drafted Akers early. It seems like Henderson is going to be the lesser part of the timeshare, while Akers is the early-down back and likely to receive goal-line work. There's a chance Henderson has a bigger role than anticipated, which prevents us from trusting Akers as anything more than a high-end RB3.
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63.
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI (at LAR)
There's a realistic scenario where Murray is the QB1 at the end of the season, though I can't say we should expect it. In the first year of Kliff Kingsbury's offense, he averaged just 6.9 yards per attempt. While it was his rookie season, the Cardinals also had the element of surprise, in that no one had existing tape on the offense. Adding DeAndre Hopkins surely helps his chances, though. Did you know there were six games that Murray didn't throw a touchdown last year? Based on where his pass attempts and rushing attempts took place, Murray should've scored the third-most fantasy points among quarterbacks last year. Natural progression to his career should improve efficiency. If you're looking for upside, he's got it. He belongs in the same tier as guys like Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson, and Deshaun Watson. The difference between him and those guys? They've proved to be top-three fantasy quarterbacks already.
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64.
David Montgomery
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
Montgomery had a rough 2019 season, but there are plenty of reasons to expect him to be much better in 2020. He has no real competition for carries, he was used heavily within the 10-yard line last year, and the entire Chicago offense should be better either because Mitch Trubisky improves or the team benches him eventually for Nick Foles. Although his season-long outlook is good, he suffered a groin injury in camp and is expected to miss 2-to-4 weeks, putting Week 1 in jeopardy. Unless the Bears sign another running back of significance, however, you can draft Montgomery and expect him to be back at full strength shortly after the start of the season. Take the draft day discount, however, and target him more as a mid-tier Flex play.
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65.
Marquise Brown
WR - BAL (at CIN)
He was coming off foot surgery last year, and it was the reason I was avoiding him in drafts. Same calendar year surgery on foot/ankle never goes well for pass catchers. Still, Brown went out there and played well the first two weeks, racking up 253 yards and two touchdowns over the first two weeks. Unfortunately, the injuries to his lower body added up as the year went on and his performances reflected that, as he topped 50 yards just once over the remaining 12 games he played. Offensive coordinator Greg Roman has said Brown's "had a great offseason." Brown's schedule is great to start the year, too. In Weeks 2-5, he'll play against the Texans, Chiefs, Washington, and Bengals. The upside to Brown is a DeSean Jackson-like presence of someone who won't be a consistent WR1, but rather one you play as a WR2/3 who gives you "boom" potential on a weekly basis. However, if the Ravens don't up their pass attempts, it'll be hard figuring out when those booms will come. Relying on him as more than a WR3 this year would probably be a mistake, because there's not much evidence suggesting they'll throw the ball a lot more than they did in 2019.
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66.
Jarvis Landry
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
Did you know there have been just three wide receivers who've finished as a top-24 wide receiver in each of the last five years? Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and Landry. The way he got there in 2019 wasn't ideal (posted WR2 or better numbers just 31.3 percent of the time), but it was a horrendous offense. The issue now is that he's coming off hip surgery this offseason. While it seems like his recovery has gone well, that could be something to hold him back from being as consistent as he's been the last few years in Cleveland. Another hurdle is the limited targets that may be available in Stefanski's offense. The Vikings receivers combined for just 201 targets last year, and it would appear the Browns are trying to recreate that offense with both Austin Hooper and David Njoku in 2TE sets, while using the run game heavily. There's been just two times in Landry's career where he's finished with more than 7.0 yards per target, and he's scored more than six touchdowns just once. If he's cut down anywhere close to the 100-110-target mark, which seems very likely, it's really going to hurt his fantasy impact. Because of that, he's a WR3, and one who might be a bit dicier than in past years.
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67.
A.J. Green
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
I get it, he hasn't been healthy the last two years. However, when he's been on the field, Green has been a legitimate superstar. Since 2000, here's the list of wide receivers who've posted WR2 or better type numbers at a higher percentage than Green: Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, and Odell Beckham. That's the end of the list. He's played his entire career with Andy Dalton. Now moving to Joe Burrow, the quality of the targets should improve. You could argue that Green didn't have a chance to work with Burrow this offseason, but that's the case with all of Burrow's new group of pass catchers. There is legitimate top-10 upside with Green, which is extremely hard to find where he's being drafted. There's risk, but with where he's being drafted, it's worth it.
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68.
Leonard Fournette
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
Fournette signed with the Bucs after being released by the Jaguars. His contract ($2 million base, incentives based on playing time and rushing yards) suggests that he is expecting to see significant work. Still, given that he signed with the team a little more than a week before the season begins, it's going to take him time to get acclimated to the offense. Fournette can be considered a Flex play, but don't expect him to contribute immediately and, even when he does, he won't be a workhorse back given the presence of Ronald Jones.
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69.
Evan Engram
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
Since coming into the league, Engram has been one of the most consistent tight ends in the league. Don't believe me? I've tracked all tight ends since the start of the 2000 season and Engram has posted TE1-type numbers in 58.8 percent of his games. The only players with higher percentages over that time are Travis Kelce, Rob Gronkowski, and George Kittle. Engram hasn't had the upside of someone like Jimmy Graham or Tony Gonzalez, but he's been reliable. Now in an offense with more weapons than ever, will that continue? Even with most of them on the field last year, there was just one game where he saw less than seven targets (he still saw five). Do you know how many tight ends averaged more than even 6.5 targets last year? Six. Engram averaged 8.5 targets, so even if we knocked off a full 1.5 targets per game, he'd still be in elite territory. Injuries have added up, though, and he's missed 13 games over the last two years, which is why he doesn't belong in the elite conversation. You need a discount to take players like him. Fortunately, you're getting that, as he's the eighth tight end to come off draft boards in the seventh round.
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70.
Will Fuller V
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
Even with DeAndre Hopkins on the field, Fuller has totaled 116 targets in 18 games over the last two years (6.4 per game), which is more than enough to do damage, especially when you've averaged 14.3 yards per reception over your career. Fuller's volume will be there when he's in the lineup, as Hopkins' 150-plus targets have to go somewhere, and Fuller is the only one returning to the starting lineup who has any familiarity with Deshaun Watson. You must understand the nature of his game before drafting him though. He's finished with fewer than 8.0 PPR points in 20-of-42 career games. He's also finished with more than 20.0 PPR points in nine games. He's been the definition of a boom-or-bust receiver, and one who's been hurt a lot (missed 22 games over four years). Still, with Hopkins gone, Fuller should see a bump in targets and become a bit more stable. If he's healthy, you should have zero issue plugging him in as your WR3 with top-10 upside. You're getting a discount due to his health concerns.
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71.
Tyler Boyd
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
After finishing as the WR17 in 2018 and then the WR23 in 2019, Boyd's being disrespected in fantasy drafts, coming off the board outside the top 30 wide receivers. Sure, A.J. Green is back in the lineup, but drafters aren't high on him, either. Oddly enough, Boyd was a better fantasy asset with Green in the lineup in 2018. Boyd is 25 years old, it's surely not his age. Do people really think that Joe Burrow will be a downgrade from Andy Dalton? That can't be it. Looking at Burrow at LSU, his top receiver (stat-wise) was Justin Jefferson, who put up a stupid 111 receptions for 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns. Jefferson was his slot receiver. While it's a different offense, we know Boyd saw 147 targets in the first year of Zac Taylor's offense. He's the ideal WR3 who's already proven to be better than that, and if the public is right on Green being "done", then Boyd would be a mega-hit in fantasy.
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72.
Matt Ryan
QB - ATL (at TB)
His finishes over the last four years are (most recent first): QB11, QB2, QB15, QB2. So, are we supposed to expect another QB2 finish this year? The bad news is that Ryan offers nothing on the ground. The good news is that he's played under Dirk Koetter in four separate seasons and has finished top-8 in pass attempts in each of them. It also doesn't hurt throwing to Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and now Todd Gurley and Hayden Hurst. Knowing there isn't any running back depth behind the trending-downward Gurley, it seems more likely than ever that Ryan chucks the ball up 620-plus times. His weekly floor won't be as high as some of the top-six quarterbacks, but Ryan is certainly in the next tier. The best part is that you get him at a discount because he's not the "sexy" pick that someone like Josh Allen is. He's my No. 7 quarterback and I feel pretty good about that.
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73.
Josh Allen
QB - BUF (vs . MIA)
Did you know that 36.4 percent of Allen's fantasy production came on the ground last year? His nine rushing touchdowns were the sixth-most all-time, while his 631 rushing yards ranked 18th on that list. According to where his carries took place on the field, he scored 30.97 more fantasy points than he was supposed to on the ground alone. As a passer, he scored 1.66 fewer fantasy points than expected. The Bills want to play solid defense with a ball control style offense, and knowing Allen's strengths, they'll be running the ball quite a bit. The addition of Zack Moss to the backfield will lower Allen's rushing touchdown ceiling, as Moss is a better version of 2019's Frank Gore. Not many realize Gore ranked 13th among running backs for carries inside the five-yard-line. Adding Stefon Diggs will certainly help his choices when scanning the field, but Allen needs to get better completing the deep ball. My issue with Allen is his inconsistency, and I can best explain it with this stat: It took 18.6 fantasy points on average to finish as a top-12 quarterback in 2019. Allen hit that mark just 43.8 percent of the time, which was worse than Ryan Fitzpatrick, and the same percentage as Jared Goff. Sure, the booms will be bigger with Allen than those guys, but he's not someone you want to put in your starting lineup every week.
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74.
Marvin Jones Jr.
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
When doing the "Boom, Bust, and Everything In Between" series, I can't help but notice how undervalued Jones is nearly every season. The "bust" score is anything less than 8.0 PPR points. Jones busted just 23.1 percent in 2019, the 22nd lowest mark among wide receivers. He was at just 22.2 percent in 2018, the 25th lowest mark. And lastly, he was at just 18.8 percent in 2017, the ninth-lowest mark. Meanwhile, he'll give you big games here and there while not completely tanking your team. If you want to wait at wide receiver in your draft and play him as your WR3, it's not that bad.
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75.
Devin Singletary
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
There were many celebrating the end of the Frank Gore era in Buffalo, but they went out and added one of my favorite backs in the draft, Zack Moss, to use in that Gore role. GM Brandon Beane said, "I think more of the goal line and things like that as we did with Frank last year, you'll see Zack do. I think Devin will do a similar role that he had." This is your reminder that Singletary had just two carries inside the five-yard-line all year, while Josh Allen had five, and Frank Gore had 11. That's a crushing blow to Singletary's value.
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76.
Kareem Hunt
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
The Browns are going to have a new offense in 2020, so we can't automatically assume that Hunt will be as big as he was in the gameplanning process in 2020. From the time he entered the lineup last year, he was the No. 26 running back in half-PPR formats while Nick Chubb was the No. 18 running back. The reason we have to assume he'll have a role is due to the Browns tendering him with a second rounder instead of moving on. Chubb is the superior play in this backfield, but it's important to note that Hunt has standalone value, while also offering league-winning handcuff value. If Chubb were to miss time, Hunt would be a top-five play.
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77.
Julian Edelman
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
Did you realize Edelman has seen 793 targets over his last 83 games? That's a pace of 152.9 targets per season. But what happens when your whole world is flipped upside down? Losing Tom Brady is going to affect Edelman more than anyone, as those two had a connection and were continually on the same page. The Patriots also threw the ball 620 times last year, a number they won't even come close to in 2020. It's a different offense, yes, but did you know Cam Newton has never thrown more than 517 pass attempts in a single season? He's also failed to throw for more than 3,869 yards since his rookie year and has thrown more than 24 touchdowns just once. Meanwhile, Edelman has never averaged more than 7.9 yards per target. What does that mean? Even if he were to get 125 targets, his career-best wouldn't have totaled 1,000 yards. There's a lot of issues and question marks surrounding Edelman, and we haven't even discussed him turning 34 years old this offseason. He's likely to post low-upside WR3 numbers when on the field, but that's been a chore in itself, as he's played all 16 games just three times over his 11 years in the league. If you take the late-WR approach in drafts, it's not the worst thing to have Edelman as your WR3, but ideally, he's your WR4 with all the question marks and lack of upside.
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78.
Hunter Henry
TE - LAC (at KC)
There are a lot of questions surrounding the Chargers offense as we head into 2020, and the quarterback position is atop the list. No matter who is under center, they're not going to be throwing the ball a lot. Tyrod Taylor has never attempted more than 436 attempts in a season, and Justin Herbert is a rookie who'll go through growing pains. We already saw Henry being somewhat scaled back in this offense last year, as he failed to top 45 yards in each of the last five games. For a guy who's never topped 652 yards in a season and getting a downgrade at quarterback, he has a high draft price, and is likely not going to live up to expectations.
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79.
Jordan Howard
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
It seems like years since Howard has been a force to reckon with in fantasy football, but prior to the 2019 season that was ended with injuries, he'd posted 935 or more rushing yards in each of the previous three seasons. The issue with projecting that moving forward is due to his offensive line play. The Dolphins have what may be the worst line in football, while Howard has only run behind top-10 offensive lines while in Chicago and Philadelphia. Still, if you need a running back who's likely locked into 12-plus touches a week, Howard can fill a role on your fantasy team.
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80.
Tyler Higbee
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
While it's easy to fall in love with the way Higbee ended the season, we mustn't forget that it's a very small sample size. He finished with 522 yards and two touchdowns over the final five games while seeing a massive 56 targets. He and Gerald Everett COMBINED for 85 targets the entire 2018 season. Injuries certainly helped Higbee get more targets as the year went on, but are we certain it'll continue in 2020? If you don't have to spend a pick in the top five or six rounds to get him, it's worth finding out.
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81.
D'Andre Swift
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
The draft capital the Lions spent on Swift suggested that he'd take the lion's share of the running back touches in Detroit even with the presence of Adrian Peterson. But Swift has battled injury and missed two weeks of practice heading into the season, and word is that the Detroit coaching staff preferred a committee approach to the backfield. With the Lions now signing Adrian Peterson, it's hard to see Swift getting a big workload early on even if he is healthy. He'll likely eventually be the back you want to roster in Detroit and should certainly be drafted as a low-end Flex play, but be prepared to ride with other options for the first several weeks of the season.
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82.
Carson Wentz
QB - PHI (vs . WAS)
Despite missing every starting wide receiver not named Nelson Agholor, Wentz was able to throw for over 4,000 yards and 27 touchdowns in 2019, highlighting just how stable his floor is when healthy. The Eagles rewarded him by drafting three wide receivers, as well as trading for Marquise Goodwin. It's worth noting that the Eagles did strengthen their defense, which could lead to fewer pass attempts, but his efficiency should rise. His weekly ceiling may not be as high as someone like Josh Allen, but his weekly floor is much higher.
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83.
Drew Brees
QB - NO (at CAR)
I'm not sure if anyone has realized it, but Brees has broken the age 40 barrier and is now 41 years old. Unlike Tom Brady, Brees is going to retire after this year. His average depth of target continues to decrease, which will require more pass attempts in order to reach QB1 territory. How to prove that? He completed 74 percent of his passes and threw a touchdown on 7.1 percent of his attempts, yet he was just the No. 7 quarterback in fantasy points per game. His ceiling at this point in middling QB1 territory.
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84.
Hayden Hurst
TE - ATL (at TB)
When projecting Matt Ryan for somewhere in the neighborhood of 620-plus pass attempts, you need to disburse them somewhere. The Falcons didn't even make an offer to Austin Hooper but decided to spend a second-round pick to acquire Hurst from the Ravens. It's clear they view him as someone who can step right into Hooper's role. It may take some time for Hurst to get acclimated to the new offense with a shortened offseason, but Hooper's role was massive last year. He totaled 97 targets in just 13 games, which was a pace of 119 targets on a full 16-game season. Did you know that of the 116 tight ends who've seen more than 85 targets the last 10 years, that 97 of them finished as top-12 tight ends? That's an 83.6 percent success rate and it seems highly likely that Hurst is going to hit that. Move that number up to 90 targets and it's a 92.4 percent success rate. One of my bold predictions this year is that Hurst finishes as a top-five fantasy tight end. Don't think he was bad because he was playing behind Mark Andrews, one of the best tight ends in the league.
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85.
J.K. Dobbins
RB - BAL (at CIN)
If you're looking for a handcuff to Mark Ingram, Dobbins is your guy. The Ravens apparently had a first-round grade on him in the draft, so selecting him in the second round was a "no brainer," according to them. He's likely to get 8-10 touches per game even with Ingram in the lineup, as the Ravens are not going to give any one running back more than 15-16 touches per game. That limits the upside of Dobbins, as does Lamar Jackson stealing plenty of goal-line touches.
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86.
Brandin Cooks
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
There have been just nine wide receivers who've finished as a top-24 receiver in at least four of the last five years. Julio Jones, Mike Evans, Jarvis Landry, Michael Thomas, DeAndre Hopkins, Antonio Brown, Davante Adams, Amari Cooper, and... Cooks. He's done that with three different quarterbacks, and it's hard to say Deshaun Watson is a downgrade. The lack of offseason might prove to be a lot for the chemistry between the two, but knowing Cooks has transitioned well in the past, it shouldn't take too long. Concussions, on the other hand, are a big worrisome point. He only missed two games due to concussions in 2019, but they're starting to add up. It also affected his performance (clearly) in a big way, as he never topped 46 yards in the six games following the injury. There's going to be one of Will Fuller or Cooks who shines as a top-30 receiver with top-20 upside, yet neither are being drafted there. Knowing Cooks has been in this situation before, he gets a vote of confidence. If you land him as your WR4, you should be psyched. If Fuller misses any time, he'd be a must-play WR2 nearly every week.
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87.
Zack Moss
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
The Bills have already come forward and said that Moss will take over the role that Frank Gore played last year. Before injuries and age started to add up for Gore, he was getting a lot of work in the Bills offense. He averaged 12.5 carries per game through Week 12, which is a big enough role to be considered an RB4. Not just that, but Gore ranked 12th among running backs for carries inside the five-yard-line. Moss is going to crush Devin Singletary's upside, and if Singletary were to miss time, Moss would be a top-15 start every week.
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88.
Tom Brady
QB - TB (vs . ATL)
The end of an era. Crazy to write Brady's name under the Bucs, but hey, this might be the least crazy thing about 2020. He's going from Julian Edelman and Mohamed Sanu to Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. That should help his shockingly low 6.6 yards per attempt from 2019. Not only that, but 2019 was the first time in Brady's career where he didn't have a touchdown percentage of 4.0 or above. It was also the first time since 2004 where he completed less than 61 percent of his passes. Will the upgrade in receivers help him get back on track, or are we at the end for the greatest of all-time? The Patriots offensive line was not particularly good last year, so when you combined that with Brady's inability to move at all, you get bad numbers. The Bucs offensive line hasn't been good over the last few years, though they were slightly better in 2019, and they did draft tackle Tristan Wirfs in the first round, highlighting the fact that they know Brady needs protection. They don't have a James White/Julian Edelman on the roster to be his safety valve, though I suspect Godwin will become that player to him. Will the pass attempts drop off from Jameis Winston? Probably, but know that Bruce Arians has not fallen out of the top 20 in pass attempts since back in 2010. His teams have now been top-five in each of his last three years as a coach. Knowing they don't have a running back like Saquon Barkley on the roster, we should expect 580-plus pass attempts, and if you look at the receivers on the roster, and what their career averages are when it comes to yards per target, yards per reception, touchdowns, etc., it's hard to say Brady won't finish as a top-12 quarterback in 2020. There's risk that he's just flat-out done, as well as risk of chemistry with no offseason, but Brady did workout with a lot of the skill-position players even when the NFL advised against it. He's not a top-five candidate, but if you snag him as a back-end QB1, he shouldn't lose you fantasy leagues.
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89.
Diontae Johnson
WR - PIT (at CLE)
When the Steelers drafted Johnson in the third round in 2019, many did a double take, but once he got on the field, he proved worthy. The Steelers liked him so much, he saw a very-high 18.0 percent target share in his rookie season. It didn't hurt that JuJu Smith-Schuster was hurt and missing some time, but it highlights how much they believe in him. He'll play the "Antonio Brown role" in the offense moving forward while Smith-Schuster goes back to the slot. The downside is that Johnson will then see the opposing No. 1 cornerback, as they don't go into the slot very often. Still, throughout Ben Roethlisberger's long 15-year career (excluding 2019), he's supported two top-40 wide receivers in 12 of them, with 11 of them supporting two top-32 receivers. There is certainly risk with Roethlisberger's elbow, but at WR43 (his current ADP), you're getting a slight discount. I mean, even with Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges under center, he finished as the WR43 his rookie season. Snagging him as your WR4 would be a good idea, as I believe he'll be a WR3 more often than not.
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90.
Matthew Stafford
QB - DET (vs . MIN)
There have been a lot of people talking about Stafford's 2019 season before injury, highlighting that it could be a sign of things to come. He was the No. 6 quarterback in fantasy through nine weeks, yes. But do you know who No. 5 was? Aaron Rodgers. That didn't end well. Stafford's 8.2 yards per attempt was easily a career high and just the second time in his career over 7.6 yards per attempt. He's going to be a fine low-end QB1/high-end QB2, but he's not likely to be a league winner at this stage of his career.
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91.
Deebo Samuel
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
Samuel suffered a broken foot (a Jones fracture, near the mid-point of the foot) on June 16th and had surgery that same day. He's been given a 10-week timetable for his return to action - six weeks for the fracture to heal plus four weeks to gradually return to playing shape - which would put him back to full speed by the start of the season with the 49ers. He has since avoided the PUP list, though his availability for Week 1 is uncertain. At this point, draft Samuel as a WR4 and don't plan on relying on him for at least the first few weeks, but there's optimism he can contribute significantly soon if he avoids setbacks.
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92.
Jared Cook
TE - NO (at CAR)
It's very uncommon for tight ends to finish in the top-10 with less than 100 targets, but Cook finished as the No. 7 tight end in 2019 with just 65 targets. He did that because he scored a touchdown every 7.2 targets, a number that is sure to regress. It's tough to find him more targets in the offense in 2020 with the arrival of Emmanuel Sanders, too. He's likley going to be a touchdown-or-bust option, which puts him in the low-end TE1/high-end TE2 territory.
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93.
Antonio Gibson
RB - WAS (at PHI)
There were a lot of people out there who liked Gibson as a sleeper, though I can't get on board now that he's going in the mid rounds. He plays for what might be the lowest-scoring offense in the league, and is still on a depth chart littered with at least three other running backs. Sure, he's going to be used in some sort of hybrid way, but do we really expect two Washington wide receivers to be consistent enough to rely on? He may be an electric player but his offense isn't. I'd rather take a player tied to an exciting offense.
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94.
Marlon Mack
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
We never reached the expected performance out of Mack behind the Colts top-tier offensive line, so why shouldn't we have expected them to draft a running back? Drafting Jonathan Taylor in the second round was a straight dagger to Mack's value in any format. He'll be lucky to get eight touches per game in that offense this year.
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95.
Jamison Crowder
WR - NYJ (at NE)
There were just 24 wide receivers who finished with 110-plus targets last year. Crowder was one of them. He was No. 16, actually. Did you know he's the only one who didn't finish as a top-26 wide receiver? His No. 31 finish was better than most would anticipate, though it was uglier than you'd like it to be. In fact, he produced WR3 or better numbers just 43.8 percent of the time, which ranked 42nd among wide receivers. He also scored fewer than 8.0 PPR points in 43.8 percent of his games. With that being said, he's the only receiver returning to the starting lineup for Sam Darnold. Both Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims are new faces who are going to require time to learn the new offense and develop chemistry with Darnold. Crowder's targets aren't likely to go anywhere. In fact, they might actually go up, which is kind of crazy. Crowder doesn't offer top-15 wide receiver upside, but he does present some stability as a mix-and-match WR3/4 type who presents a solid floor in a pinch. His current ADP of WR49 allows you to get him as your WR5 in some situations, which is fine if you need to add some balance to your high-upside team.
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96.
John Brown
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
The addition of Stefon Diggs likely crushed the appeal that Brown had in fantasy football. The Bills gave up a first, fourth, fifth, and sixth-round pick for Diggs (and a seventh rounder). That's a lot. The fact that there will be no preseason certainly helps Brown, as he has experience and chemistry with Josh Allen, as well as knowing the offense. Here's the crazy part about Brown last year: He hit WR3 or better numbers in 73.3 percent of his games, which ranked 11th in the league. He only hit WR2 or better numbers in 26.7 percent of his games, which ranked 51st in the league. Now start removing targets to get Diggs his, and we suddenly lose some of that WR3 floor that he had. He is a good football player who just won't get enough targets to start on a consistent basis. Now, if Diggs were to miss any time, we could go back to playing him as a low-end WR2/high-end WR3. Until then, Brown is in the WR4 range for me.
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97.
Aaron Rodgers
QB - GB (at CHI)
How did we get here? Rodgers was the poster child for consistency in fantasy football. He may not have had the Lamar Jackson upside, but you knew he would finish as a top-five quarterback as long as he was healthy. Last year was the first time he finished worse than the No. 7 quarterback while playing at least 10 games. His QB9 finish was worse than it appears at first sight. Rodgers actually finished with fewer than 15 fantasy points in 10-of-16 games. There were four games that essentially carried him through the season, and those games were against the Raiders, Giants, Chiefs, and Eagles. Three of those were among the worst in football. Fortunately, Rodgers has a semi-decent schedule in 2020, as he'll play the Lions twice, Panthers, Falcons, Texans, and Jaguars defenses during the fantasy season. Was it the new offense he was learning? Was it the lack of weapons to throw to? Neither has changed, so it's tough to say he'll return to the Rodgers we all know and love as fantasy players, but his cost doesn't reflect that it's even a possibility, as he's being drafted outside the top-10 quarterbacks. If you're one of those fantasy owners who refuses to spend up at quarterback, taking a shot on Rodgers in the eighth or ninth round would make plenty of sense. He's 36 years old and has seven top-two finishes under his belt.
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98.
Christian Kirk
WR - ARI (at LAR)
He has the benefit of playing a year with Kyler Murray in Kliff Kingsbury's offense, while DeAndre Hopkins may go through a learning curve. Despite playing just 13 games last year, Kirk saw 107 targets (132 target pace over 16 games). The issue is that Hopkins will get a large chunk of the pie, and Larry Fitzgerald didn't return to play another season to see just 50 targets. It'll be hard for anyone to correctly predict the target share among these receivers, but Kirk is an ascending talent who's entering year three of his young career. Knowing the Cardinals receivers combined for 368 targets last year, it's hard to see a scenario where Kirk sees more targets than he did last year, especially when you know they run a lot of 4WR sets (which cuts into the overall target pie). Kirk has also scored just three touchdowns in each of his first two seasons, so touchdowns aren't likely to make up for a lower target share. He's likely going to be somewhat of a hit-or-miss WR3/4 in 2020 with inconsistent targets.
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99.
Phillip Lindsay
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
I don't think I've ever seen someone glanced over as easily as Lindsay in both real life and fantasy. Over the last two years, here are the only players who have more rushing yards than him: Ezekiel Elliott, Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, Christian McCaffrey, Chris Carson, Saquon Barkley, Joe Mixon, and Todd Gurley.
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100.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (at NYG)
When the Cowboys drafted Lamb at No. 17 overall, I wondered if he'd immediately take over Michael Gallup's No. 2 role in the offense, but cooler heads prevailed. Lamb is coming from the Big-12 where the defenses are pretty horrendous, so the learning curve might be bigger than some expect. On top of that, he's going to have zero game experience with no preseason. It seems very likely that Lamb will start out as a slot-heavy receiver, which should help his transition into the faster pace of the NFL, and it's a role that Randall Cobb saw 83 targets in last year. Keep in mind that was Cobb's first year in the offense, so we should see Lamb reach or exceed that number. But temper expectations in fantasy, as he's clearly the third option this year behind Cooper and Gallup. He's someone who belongs in the WR4/5 conversation. If either of Cooper or Gallup were to miss time, Lamb would be a WR3 start with upside for more.
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101.
Rob Gronkowski
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
The fact that Tom Brady won't have a full offseason with his new receivers, you have to wonder if he'll gravitate towards his old friend Gronkowski. During Gronkowski's career, he posted top-five-type numbers in 40.9 percent of his games, which is easily the best of all-time. In fact, the closest tight end, Travis Kelce, has posted those numbers in 31.6 percent of his games. While Gronkowski isn't the young stud he once was, but he should be a consistent presence while on the field with Brady.
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102.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
Everyone wants the shiny new toy that just posted 740 yards and eight touchdowns on just 83 targets last year, as evidenced by his WR39 ADP. The issue is stability. With Sterling Shepard and Golden Tate in the mix, it's going to be very hard for Slayton to get consistent targets and be reliable in fantasy. Sure, he had multiple 120-yard, two-touchdown games last year, but you know what else he had... after those games? A game with three targets. Another game with two targets. Keep in mind that was while Evan Engram was out of the lineup. Slayton outproduced what everyone expected last year, being a fifth-round pick, but there's a real chance he's the No. 5 option in this passing attack when everyone is healthy. His average depth of target last year was 14.5 yards down the field, which ranked 10th in all of football. That further indicates a boom/bust player who's being taken as a low-end WR3/high-end WR4. If you want to believe in his ceiling, that's fine, but don't pay for it. He's in the WR4 territory and not as safe as Shepard or Tate. If someone misses time, we saw what he can do if promoted.
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103.
Cam Newton
QB - NE (vs . NYJ)
Newton missed most of last season with a foot injury, but wasn't very good in the two games he did play, completing just 56.2% of his passes. He has always made up for any deficiencies in his passing game with his legs, but at 31 years old and coming off two injury-plagued years, it's fair to wonder how much he'll contribute on the ground. Nevertheless, despite the less than stellar options at receiver, Newton will start at quarterback for the Patriots and they'll surely figure out how best to use his talents. That makes Newton a mid-tier QB2 with upside, despite all the uncertainty.
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104.
Ronald Jones II
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
Jones' value was ascending right up until the Bucs signed Leonard Fournette, after which it dropped significantly. Fournette's contract suggests he's going to see (or at least he signed expecting to see) significant playing time, which likely moves him into a rough timeshare with Jones. Both Fournette and Jones can be drafted as Flexes, but Jones is more likely to contribute earlier in the season while Fournette gets comfortable with the offense. Draft Jones if you need someone immediately, but Fournette if you're taking a longer-term view.
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105.
Daniel Jones
QB - NYG (vs . DAL)
Here's a fun fact: Jones had two of the top-10 single game performances by quarterbacks in 2019. Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson are the only two other quarterbacks who can say that. In fact, Jones had four games where he tallied 28-plus fantasy points, including three games over 30 points, something Philip Rivers has never done in his career. It wasn't all pretty, though. Outside of those four explosion games, Jones was a train wreck, finishing with 14.7 or fewer fantasy points in the eight other games he started. His matchups where he exploded were against the Washington Football team, Bucs, Jets, and Lions. That's a far cry from his start to the season in 2020 where he'll open the season against the Steelers, Bears, and 49ers. You're going to find him on waiver wires before long. In fact, he has one of the toughest schedules in the league, though the start is just brutal. What his 2019 season reminded me of was 2018 Mitch Trubisky. Don't believe me? The stats highlighted in The Primer: Draft Day Edition back that up. Now to be fair, Jones is under a new head coach, though Jason Garrett may not be a better play caller than Pat Shurmur. On top of that, Jones never got the luxury to play with Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram, Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate, and Darius Slayton on the field at the same time. The upside is certainly there for Jones to take the leap into top-12 quarterback status, but the early schedule means you shouldn't draft him in 1QB leagues, unless you plan on platooning quarterbacks. In 2QB formats, he's the ideal solution, as he has job security, rushing upside, and his defense is horrendous.
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106.
Ben Roethlisberger
QB - PIT (at CLE)
This is one of the weirdest offseasons in NFL history. It's uncharted territory with so many question marks. Then you add in Roethlisberger, who's been rehabbing from an elbow injury that had him tear three tendons in his throwing arm. Yikes. His teammates have said he looks good while throwing the ball around, and have also said he's lost weight, and looks lighter on his feet. Many are undervaluing the Steelers this year due to what happened last year, but don't forget they averaged 66.4 and 66.1 plays per game in 2017 and 2018, while averaging just 58.6 plays per game in 2019. That amounts to an extra 120-plus plays for this offense with Roethlisberger back. The pass attempts dropped from 687 to 510. While that 687 number from 2018 was sky-high, the Steelers continually have averaged 585-610 pass attempts. We can talk about Roethlisberger throwing at least 26 touchdowns in six of his last eight seasons and that he's averaged at least 7.5 yards per attempt each year from 2014-2018, but none of that matters if his elbow isn't right. It adds a level of risk to the entire roster, though he was apparently playing through some elbow pain for quite some time, and it makes sense considering how three tendons finally snapped. We'll talk about it throughout the season in The Primer, but you should also know that Roethlisberger has been horrendous on the road over the last six years, averaging just 15.22 fantasy points per game compared to the 22.19 fantasy points per game at home. He opens the season on the road against the Giants, which is a juicy matchup, but should you trust him coming off the arm injury? I'd probably play it safe and stream him throughout the year once we know he's healthy.
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107.
Sterling Shepard
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
In a season where he was dealing with injuries and a rookie quarterback, Shepard still posted WR2 or better numbers in 40 percent of his games, which ranked 33rd among wide receivers. Now, to be fair, the offense has changed, but it doesn't appear the new regime is very fond of Evan Engram, as evidenced by putting him on the trade block during the NFL Draft. Golden Tate is aging, and while Darius Slayton did flash at times, it was a relatively small sample size. It shouldn't shock anyone to see Shepard get 100-plus targets in 2020 and finish as a WR3, though you do have to wonder what his upside actually is with so many mouths to feed.
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108.
Sony Michel
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
Michel has justifiably fallen out of favor for fantasy owners after yet another sub-par year, and there's little excitement about him this year. He has averaged nearly 16 carries per game in his career, however, and may be asked to carry more of a load now that Tom Brady is no longer under center. But his upside is limited by his complete lack of involvement in the passing game, as he has just 31 targets and 19 receptions over his 29 career games. In standard scoring leagues, there's a chance he may be slightly undervalued given that Damien Harris was placed on IR and Lamar Miller was released, but it would be hard to rely on him as anything more than a bench player in or half- or full-PPR leagues. That's especially true given his foot surgery in May which could impact him early in the season.
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109.
Matt Breida
RB - MIA (at BUF)
There are a lot of fantasy owners expecting Jordan Howard to be the lead back in Miami, though if I'm being honest, Breida may be the better option, and he's much cheaper. While health has been an issue for Breida, he's performed when given opportunity and will get most of the passing-down work in 2020. Staying on the field has been and will continue to be an obstacle.
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110.
James White
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
White has always been a value, especially in PPR formats, but with Tom Brady gone, this team is likely to throw a whole lot less, and White has never averaged more than 5.9 carries per game. He's not likely to live up to his usual RB3-type numbers. I wouldn't want to trust him every week.
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111.
Mike Gesicki
TE - MIA (at BUF)
The good news? Gesicki totaled 89 targets last year, which ranked seventh among tight ends. The bad news? He finished as the No. 11 tight end and now has Chan Gailey as his offensive coordinator. In the eight years Gailey has called an offense, his tight ends have finished 28th or worse in seven of them, with Tony Gonzalez being the only one who succeeded. Gesicki has averaged a measly 6.4 yards per target in the NFL to this point, which is bottom of the barrel, so you can't say that he's the difference maker that Gailey needs to feature. Drafting him as a TE1 is too risky.
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112.
Tevin Coleman
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
Now that Matt Breida is out of town, you'd think there's more opportunity to be had for Coleman in this backfield, but the return of Jerick McKinnon could affect that. After seeing 16-plus carries in three of his first four games with the 49ers, Coleman never got more than 12 for the remainder of the season. He's best suited for a timeshare role and somewhat of a handcuff to Raheem Mostert. If Mostert were to miss time, Coleman would likely be an every-week RB2.
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113.
Jared Goff
QB - LAR (vs . ARI)
I can't explain what happened to Goff after that game in 2018 where the Rams went toe-to-toe with the Chiefs (remember that 54-51 game?) but something happened. In his first 26 games under Sean McVay, Goff threw 54 touchdowns on 858 pass attempts (6.3 percent touchdown rate). Since that Chiefs game in 2018, he's thrown just 28 touchdowns in 21 games on 806 pass attempts (3.5 percent touchdown rate). That's not great for a quarterback who offers nothing with his legs. He did throw two touchdowns in eight games last year but didn't hit three touchdowns until Week 17. Now you take away Brandin Cooks and Todd Gurley, only to replace them with Van Jefferson and Cam Akers? It's quite ridiculous, but the Rams didn't address the offensive line issues, either. Their offensive line was among the worst in football last year, which is a problem because Goff isn't good under pressure. He ranked 25th among quarterbacks with a 60.4 QB Rating under duress. The offensive line is the biggest concern for me, as that's the one thing that took a major step back last year, and it seriously impacted his numbers. The good news is that his pass attempts have been skyrocketing, which help make up for some of the decreased efficiency. Goff makes for a decent No. 2 quarterback in Superflex/2QB leagues, as he's not getting benched, and there's always the possibility he goes back to who he was, though I'm not counting on it based on the moves that were - and weren't - made this offseason.
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114.
Austin Hooper
TE - CLE (vs . PIT)
Yes, the Browns just paid Hooper a lot of money. Yes, the Browns also picked up the fifth-year option on Njoku's contract, and then drafted a tight end in the fourth round. What a mess. This is a lot like the Vikings duo of Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith last year. Don't forget that the Vikings paid Rudolph a lot of money (4 years, $36 million) just one year ago, after they had already drafted Smith. Do you know how that situation played out? Rudolph got 48 targets while Smith got 47 of them. The Vikings tight ends combined for 105 targets last year when you add in Tyler Conklin. Even if you want to weight them more towards Hooper, what are you looking at? A 55/40/10 between these three tight ends? The magic number for a tight end to be considered a TE1 is right around 80 projected targets. We cannot get there with Hooper. Njoku and his agent know that this is a bad situation and want out, but the Browns have said they're holding onto him because Stefanski loves to use two tight ends. The best-case scenario with Hooper is that he gets close to the 70-target mark and scores at least six touchdowns, though I don't see it happening. I'm staying away from this tight end unit unless some injuries arise. If Hooper or Njoku were to get hurt, the other would turn into an attractive option.
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115.
Noah Fant
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
It was a successful rookie year for Fant. So many fantasy players have seemingly forgotten it typically takes a few years for tight ends to become someone you can rely on. He saw 66 targets his rookie year and ranked 15th in expected fantasy points among tight ends. The discerning part is that he didn't tally more than four targets in any game with Drew Lock. In fact, he averaged just 2.8 targets per game with him, while averaging 4.7 targets per game with the other quarterbacks. We've now watched the Broncos add three talented pass-catching options in Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler, and Melvin Gordon this offseason, which won't help his target share go up. On top of that, they selected Okwuegbunam in the fourth round, who happens to be Lock's old college tight end who he loved targeting in the red zone. Fant is still the top tight end on this team, but I cannot say he's a lock to see 70-plus targets in 2020. That puts him outside the starting tight end territory, and knowing his ceiling might be around 80-85 targets, I would probably look elsewhere in the TE10-15 range for someone with true breakout potential.
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116.
Latavius Murray
RB - NO (at CAR)
Did everyone forget what happened when Alvin Kamara had to miss time last year? It was only two weeks, but in those two games, Murray destroyed the Bears and Cardinals to the tune of 307 total yards and four total touchdowns. He's legitimately a league-winner if Kamara misses time. This is what handcuff dreams are made of. He's also going to have bye week appeal, even when Kamara is on the field.
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117.
Anthony Miller
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
Despite playing with Mitch Trubisky, Miller has now seen 139 targets in his first two seasons, compiling 85 receptions for 1,079 yards and nine touchdowns. By comparison, Robert Woods saw 139 targets last year, finishing with 90 receptions for 1,134 yards and two touchdowns. But for whatever reason, Matt Nagy has chosen not to let Miller flourish in the Bears offense. There were just seven games he saw more than three targets. In those seven games, he totaled 42 receptions for 547 yards, and two touchdowns. With Taylor Gabriel gone, it's very possible that Miller becomes more of a staple in the offense. He's best viewed as a WR4/5-type option with WR3 upside.
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118.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
There's an article I wrote this offseason that was titled, "Which Fantasy Players Should Have Scored the Most Fantasy Points." In that article, I highlighted that every target/carry/pass attempt has an expected outcome in fantasy points. A target on your own 10-yard line isn't worth as much as a target on the opponent's 20-yard line, etc. Each of the tight ends who finished top-12 in opportunity finished top-13 at year's end, so it's clearly something to look for. Based on Hockenson's pace over 16 games, he would've been the No. 12 tight end in opportunity. Now going into his second season, we should see his role grow. Hockenson was one of the least efficient players in all of football last year, and even going over the last 10 years, his 54.2 percent catch-rate ranked 331st among 357 tight ends who've seen at least 30 targets. There's only room for improvement, so if you're looking for a potential late-round tight end, he has more opportunity than most realize.
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119.
Henry Ruggs III
WR - LV (at DEN)
It appears that the Raiders will start by using Ruggs in the slot, which makes more sense than most realize. He's fast, sure. However, that's not his best attribute. He's slippery in the open field, takes great angles and utilizes his speed to get away from defenders. The best thing to do is get Ruggs the ball in his hands and let him create. Did you know that Jerry Jeudy had more than double the deep-ball receptions that Ruggs did while at Alabama? It's because Ruggs was used a lot on screens and reverses. Putting him in the slot will manufacture touches to get the ball in his hands and let him create. He shouldn't be pigeonholed to the slot, and I don't think he will be, but playing there is not a bad thing. Did you know slot targets are worth 10.8 percent more than perimeter targets? Seriously, I've done the research (can be read here). On top of that, Derek Carr had the lowest average depth of target among quarterbacks last year, so should love someone like Ruggs who creates after the catch. When a team spends a No. 12 overall pick on someone, they're going to find ways to get him the ball, so finding out the slot is his primary home makes you feel better about his potential in year one. I'd say his floor should be around 70 targets with a ceiling of 100 targets. He should also get some carries mixed in. Because of that combined with his one-play upside, he's worth WR3 consideration. Fortunately, you don't have to use a high pick on him, as he's going around the 11th-12th round. Even if you reach a round or two, I don't think you'll be disappointed if you have him on your roster as a WR4 with tremendous weekly upside.
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120.
Preston Williams
WR - MIA (at BUF)
Did you know that Williams was the No. 39 wide receiver through nine weeks last year? That was despite them having their bye in Week 5, as well as him not being a true starter until Week 3. He was extremely good his rookie year. He's coming off a torn ACL, which isn't an injury that's as detrimental as it used to be, but it may be tough for him to return as the same player in a brand-new offense. The Dolphins defense improved greatly, their run game should be much better, and they'll eventually transition to a rookie quarterback. These are all question marks, but fortunately, Williams is being drafted outside the top 60 wide receivers, similar to the way DeVante Parker was last year. Given their current prices (Williams WR61, Parker WR22), Williams seems like a much better value than Parker this year. Knowing that Allen Hurns and Albert Wilson have opted out, there are plenty of targets up for grabs, making Williams a solid WR4/5 on fantasy teams that you can spot-start depending on matchups.
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121.
Jonnu Smith
TE - TEN (at HOU)
Many compared Smith to someone like Delanie Walker back when he was drafted in 2017. We saw shades of that and even heard Bill Belichick give him props as one of the top tight ends in the league prior to their playoff matchup. Still, he's going to need more than 3-5 targets per game to get into the TE1 conversation. Despite Walker going down for the year, Smith saw more than five targets just twice all season and finished with 44 on the year. With the offense still projected for less than 500 pass attempts, it'll be difficult for Smith to truly break out. He should be considered a strong streamer in good matchups.
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122.
Emmanuel Sanders
WR - NO (at CAR)
In the 17 games that Sanders played last year (no bye week for him with the trade), he totaled more than 33 yards just eight times. In every one of those games, he saw at least six targets. That's going to be difficult to come by during his time in New Orleans. Michael Thomas is going to get a massive chunk of the targets, and rightfully so. You don't want to start taking targets away from Alvin Kamara, either. And judging how efficient Jared Cook was last year, you'd be hard pressed to take away any of his 65 targets from last year. So, where do the targets for Sanders come from? He's now 33 years old and is clearly towards the end of his career. This was a better move from a football standpoint than a fantasy one. Yes, he's getting a big upgrade at quarterback, but you need targets to produce. There was just one game last year where a Saints receiver not named Michael Thomas saw more than six targets. He's a WR5 for me, which means I'll have none at his current cost of WR44.
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123.
DeSean Jackson
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
We saw exactly one game with Jackson healthy in the Doug Pederson offense. It led to nine targets, eight receptions, 154 yards, and two touchdowns. To be fair, it was against Washington, but still impressive. It's tough to take too much away from just one game, though. He is now 34 years old, so it's only a matter of time before his game declines, though we haven't seen it yet. He's averaged at least 10.0 yards per target in six of his last seven seasons. With Marquise Goodwin opting out for the season, they'll need Jackson in the field-stretching role. He's a poor man's version of Will Fuller at this stage of his career but can still fit in your lineup from time to time. At his current WR58 draft position, he's a steal.
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124.
Kerryon Johnson
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
Poor Johnson cannot catch a break. After battling injuries throughout his young career, the Lions drafted D'Andre Swift this offseason, which put Johnson as only borderline relevant in fantasy circles. With Swift battling injury as the Lions approached the season, however, it looked like Johnson would at least have an impact role early in the year, with the chance to carve out a larger role even when Swift was healthy. But now, with the Lions signing Adrian Peterson, Johnson again has impediments to fantasy-relevance. Johnson is talented and could succeed in the right situation, but given all the roadblocks in front of him, he's best left as a bench stash in deeper leagues.
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125.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
Over the last five years, I haven't scouted a wide receiver who was more pro-ready and well-rounded than Jeudy. With essentially no offseason, it's going to be difficult for him to walk in and develop instant chemistry with Drew Lock. At the same time, everyone on the team is learning a new offense, as Pat Shurmur has walked in as the offensive coordinator. Still, it'll be hard for him to overtake Courtland Sutton as the team's leader in targets. Jeudy can play many roles, including being the deep threat down the field, playing the possession-style role, or moving into the slot, which he did regularly at Alabama. Sutton isn't someone who'll move into the slot very often, which is a good thing for Jeudy, as Shurmur's slot receivers have done damage in the past. Again, the negative is that fellow rookie KJ Hamler is also a slot presence who's going to get some playing time. There's a path to Jeudy being a Terry McLaurin-like fantasy option this year, but his path to targets is not as easy. If Sutton stays on the field, Jeudy will be too inconsistent to trust on a weekly basis. He's still not a bad on to have on your bench as a WR4/5, because the talent is there.
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126.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI (vs . WAS)
We saw an upward trajectory in Goedert's career in 2019, though much of it was due to injuries to all of the wide receivers. Still, he saw at least five targets in 10 of the last 11 games, highlighting how much he's trusted. He's one of the rare cases of a tight end handcuff who has league-winning upside should anything happen to Zach Ertz. He does present some value on his own, but not enough to make it into the top-12 conversation.
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127.
Mecole Hardman
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
I understand the want to draft Hardman, I really do. But has the hype train gotten out of control? He's played four years of college and pro football, and here are his touch totals (most recent first): 30, 40, 33, and 0. He's been highly efficient on almost all of those touches, but at some point, you have to ask yourself why he's not getting more. Seriously, his efficiency last year was out of this world. Here are some stats for you from my 175 interesting facts from the 2019 football season article:
- Among wide receivers who've seen at least 30 targets, Mecole Hardman's 13.1 yards per target ranks as the third-highest mark among wide receivers over the last 10 years. - Mecole Hardman averaged 2.77 PPR points per target in 2019, which ranked as the fourth-best mark among wide receivers over the last 10 years. Pretty nuts, right? I'm not arguing his efficiency at all. His performance last year was very Tyreek Hill-esque, and I could see him breaking out similarly to Hill, "if" Hill wasn't on the field with him. It certainly helps that the Chiefs are taking him off special teams to focus on offense, as that's the same thing they did with Hill a few years ago. Drafting him as a WR4/5 could be worth the reward but understand that he might be the No. 5 option in the passing game behind Hill, Travis Kelce, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and Sammy Watkins. For a team that hasn't thrown the ball more than 583 times in Andy Reid's entire time in Kansas City, that directly impacts Hardman, even if he is uber efficient. If he starts playing more snaps than Watkins, that's when you'll see me completely buy in. |
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128.
Ryan Tannehill
QB - TEN (at HOU)
When someone goes from anywhere in between 6.7 and 7.7 yards per attempt throughout their first six years, then jumps up to 9.6 yards per target, we call that an outlier, especially when said outlier contains just a 286-pass attempt sample size. We can't ignore it, though. Tannehill put his name on the record books, as his 117.5 QB Rating in 2019 ranks as the fourth-best all-time. His 0.67 fantasy points per actual pass attempt ranked as the fourth-best mark over the last 10 years. What made it all that more impressive is that he was sacked every 10.8 dropbacks, which was the third-most often in the league. By comparison, Drew Brees was sacked every 32.5 dropbacks. So, that leaves us saying, "Okay, we know there'll be regression, but how much?" Under Mike Vrabel, the Titans have run exactly 58.8 plays per game in each of his first two seasons as head coach. We know they want to be a run-first team, right? That's why the pass attempts have been 432 in 2018 and 448 in 2019. That's a problem. For the sake of argument, let's raise that number to 500, which would be a massive difference. Even assigning Tannehill a number of 8.3 yards per attempt (Patrick Mahomes' number from 2019), it would amount to 4,150 yards. Then let's say he throws a touchdown on 5.0 percent of his passes (Dak Prescott from 2019). That would amount to 25 touchdowns. So, 4,150 passing yards and 25 touchdowns while comparing him to Mahomes and Prescott, while raising his pass attempts up to 500? Do you see why it makes little sense to think Tannehill even approaches top-10 territory? By comparison, Tom Brady threw for 4,057 yards and 24 touchdowns last year - he was hardly usable. Treat Tannehill as a streamer and you'll be happy. He's a great No. 2 quarterback to have in Superflex/2QB leagues because he's locked into the job and has shown top-five upside, even if it's highly improbable.
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129.
Baker Mayfield
QB - CLE (vs . PIT)
It was a nightmare sophomore season for Mayfield, who regressed rather than progressed. His completion percentage dropped 4.4 points, yards per attempt dropped 0.5 yards, he threw five less touchdowns, and threw seven more interceptions. Wait, I thought Odell Beckham was supposed to help? It's clear that Freddie Kitchens hurt all players involved, as even Nick Chubb was extremely inefficient in the red zone, totaling negative 16 yards on nine carries inside the five-yard-line. Let's just erase that season, shall we? Kevin Stefanski will be the new head coach and play caller. Do we have a lot to go off? Not really. What we do know is that they added two offensive linemen who'll make a difference at the most important positions, as well as add a pass-catching tight end. It seems they would like to replicate what the Vikings did last year under Stefanski, which would be brutal for Mayfield's outlook, as Kirk Cousins threw the ball just 444 times. Mayfield has some mobility but not enough to overcome that low of volume through the air. But knowing that's possible, we know Mayfield could have a lower floor than most would like to admit. He should be treated as an excellent QB2 in Superflex/2QB formats, while being looked at as a streamer in standard leagues.
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130.
Tarik Cohen
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
Cohen had a down year last season (like most others in the Chicago offense), but it was largely just his lack of big plays. He's a lock for at least 70 catches, which makes him someone you can start as a Flex play in half- and full-PPR leagues. He's not going to cut into David Montgomery's carries very much, but with Montgomery potentially missing the first game or two with a groin injury, Cohen could get additional work early. Either way, as he often does, he's likely to outperform his average draft position.
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131.
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN (vs . BAL)
Trusting a rookie quarterback in fantasy? Nonsense. Now? After we practically had no offseason? It sounds crazy, and it probably is. However, I don't know if I've seen a quarterback with Burrow's confidence and swag come into the league in a long time. He's also walking into a situation where he has one of the best wide receiver depth charts in the league (when healthy). The offense that Zac Taylor ran last year presented plenty of opportunity, as Andy Dalton finished with the 12th most expected fantasy points despite missing three full games. He threw the ball at least 36 times in 11-of-13 games, including three games with 50-plus attempts. The offensive line is a problem, though it helps he'll get last year's first-round pick Jonah Williams back at left tackle. While the pass attempts and talent at wide receiver are great, what should attract you to Burrow is his willingness to run with the ball. Sure, he broke records as a passer at LSU, but he also rushed for nearly 800 yards and 12 touchdowns over the last two years. That adds breakout potential to a quarterback, so when you combine that with his arm talent, he makes for an ideal QB2 in fantasy. The Bengals defense is in a complete rebuild mode, and while they've added talent this offseason, it'll take time for them to come together. They allowed 26.2 points per game last year (8th most), so if they continue to struggle, Burrow could become 2020's version of Jameis Winston.
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132.
Golden Tate
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
I remember when Tate was just a young guy in the league trying to find a role in the Seahawks offense. Here we are, now entering his 11th season at 32 years old. As you can see from the Shepard paragraph, Tate was semi-consistent with his targets, but you also have to factor in where he played on the field. Both Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram missed time throughout the year, which should've led to more targets for Tate. He had them most of the time, but even more importantly, he produced when he played. He produced WR3 or better numbers in 81.8 percent of his games last year. You know who did that more often than him? Michael Thomas. That's it. It is a new offense and Barkley/Engram are healthy, so don't expect that anymore, but understand that there's likely a place for him in fantasy football, especially when you consider the state of the Giants defense that'll be among the league's worst. He's not sexy and won't finish as a top-24 receiver, but he can be a WR4 type that you plug in when you know the Giants will be throwing a ton.
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133.
Mike Williams
WR - LAC (at KC)
Williams suffered a shoulder injury during camp and and although the Chargers have been publicly optimistic about him being ready for Week 1, there are reports that the team is preparing to be without him in September. He led all receivers last year with an 18.1 aDOT as Philip Rivers didn't hesitate to throw it up to him in deep in contested situations. Ordinarily, that would have probably made Williams a sleeper coming into this year, as his two touchdowns from last year were almost certainly due some positive regression. But with Tyrod Taylor replacing Williams, both the deep targets, and the number of targets, are likely to decline, and the Chargers should likely lean on their strong defense and running game. In other words, Williams is only a borderline WR4 this year who you probably won't be able to start with any regularity, even when he returns from injury.
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134.
Chris Herndon IV
TE - NYJ (at NE)
There were many who were willing to draft Herndon last year despite his suspension, but he's going undrafted after a wasted 2019 season. The Jets are apparently looking to feature him in the passing game, and knowing Jamison Crowder saw 122 targets over the middle of the field last year, it'd make sense. While Adam Gase has held players back throughout his time as a head coach, Herndon should have a few streaming performances in him this year.
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135.
Alexander Mattison
RB - MIN (at DET)
He's one of the best handcuffs in fantasy football. There were times in 2019 where he looked like Dalvin Cook on the field, which is a high compliment. We also cannot pretend that Cook has been the picture of perfect health throughout his three years in the NFL. Mattison won't have much value without a Cook injury, but that's okay when you draft him in the later rounds.
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136.
Gardner Minshew II
QB - JAC (at IND)
It was quite miraculous what Minshew accomplished in 2020, especially when you factor in the lack of draft capital (sixth-round pick) they used to acquire him. Don't understand just how good he was? Put his numbers up next to Kyler Murray's. Minshew averaged more yards and passing touchdowns, while having fewer interceptions per game. And keep in mind that Minshew didn't even start two of the games included in that sample. Am I going to say that he should be drafted like Murray? No. However, he is being undervalued by those in 2QB leagues. The average quarterback rushes for a touchdown every 96.2 yards rushing. Had Minshew scored three rushing touchdowns (instead of the zero that he did) on 344 rushing yards, he would've finished as the No. 14 fantasy quarterback... in his rookie season... as a sixth-round pick. The Jaguars defense is as bad as ever, so we'll see plenty of pass attempts out of him. It should also be noted that Jay Gruden (his new coordinator) has produced top-14 quarterbacks in 6-of-9 years, and the years he didn't, there were injuries and/or multiple quarterbacks playing. Minshew has zero competition and can potentially be a Jameis Winston-lite in 2020. He's the perfect target in 2QB leagues and will be streamable quite a bit in 1QB leagues.
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137.
Blake Jarwin
TE - DAL (at NYG)
Did you know that Jarwin and Jason Witten combined for 124 targets last year? With Witten gone, a lot of targets are up for the taking in Kellen Moore's obviously tight end friendly offense. Over the last two seasons, Jarwin has seen a total of 77 targets, turning them into 58 receptions for 672 yards and six touchdowns. That's 132.2 half PPR points, which would've ranked eight among tight ends. While he may not be as efficient, it's extremely likely that he sees at least 77 targets this season. Think about it... sure, CeeDee Lamb might see more than the 83 targets than Randall Cobb did last year, but not that many more. Even if Jarwin sees just the 83 targets that Witten left behind, he'll be a top-12 tight end in 2020. With where he's going in drafts, it's a no brainer to take him as a late-round upside pick. With all the mouths they have at wide receiver, it's tough to see a top-three ceiling, but hey, we aren't looking for that.
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138.
Eric Ebron
TE - PIT (at CLE)
Not many realize that there will be another 100-plus targets available in the Steelers offense with Ben Roethlisberger returning, though we don't know how Ebron factors in to that. They still have Vance McDonald under contract and have three wide receivers who are more than capable, which could leave Ebron off the field more than on the field, as he's not someone you want blocking for you. He's best-suited as a streaming option and not someone you rely on every week.
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139.
Boston Scott
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
The end of the 2019 season brought a lot of optimism for Scott's outlook, racking up 350 total yards and four touchdowns on just 61 touches over the season's final four games. During those four games, Miles Sanders scored exactly 1.3 more fantasy points than Scott. It may have been good enough for the Eagles to avoid free agent running backs and allow him to be the part of the timeshare duo with Sanders.
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140.
Allen Lazard
WR - GB (at CHI)
We had to wonder whether it'd be Lazard or Devin Funchess as the starting receiver opposite Davante Adams, but after finding out that Funchess opted out, it should be Lazard's job. Despite only being a part of the offense in 10 games, Lazard racked up 52 targets last year, including 17 of them in the final two games that he turned into 114 yards and a touchdown. That pace of targets over a 16-game season would add up to 83.2, which is certainly enough to be relevant, and there's obviously room for growth with the departure of Geronimo Allison. Aaron Rodgers has continually gone to bat for Lazard, and that's something to latch onto, as Rodgers did the same thing for Davante Adams back when he struggled at the start of his career. Lazard isn't someone you should rely on for WR3 production right out of the gate, but it's certainly within the realm of possibilities knowing that Rodgers trusts him. If you can land him as your WR5/6, there aren't many in that territory who offer the target upside Lazard does without injury in front of them.
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141.
Breshad Perriman
WR - NYJ (at NE)
Perriman is now on his fourth team in as many years. It's tough to be a reliable fantasy option when that's the case. Not only that, but the Jets are still under Adam Gase, which means there won't be many plays per game (he's been under 59 plays per game in each of the last two seasons). The Jets have what I deemed the toughest schedule in the league for perimeter wide receivers, so even if we see Perriman get the targets, he's unlikely to be efficient with them. He closed the 2019 season with 25 receptions for 506 yards and five touchdowns over his last five games, which will have some intrigued, but my guess is that you'll drop Perriman for a hot waiver wire pickup, as Gase's offense isn't Bruce Arians' and Sam Darnold isn't Jameis Winston. There will be weeks where Perriman snags a deep ball and pays off, but those are the types of players you can find on the waiver wire all the time. I just don't see him getting more than 5-6 targets per game.
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142.
Jimmy Garoppolo
QB - SF (vs . SEA)
There are a lot of people (myself included) who don't realize just how impressive Garoppolo's numbers have been to this point in his career. He's averaged at least 8.0 yards per attempt in every year he's started a game, including 8.4 yards per attempt in 2019. He's completed 67.5 percent of his passes, and he has a 2.10:1 touchdown to interception ratio. Despite all that, he's been a top-12 type quarterback in fantasy just 28.0 percent of the time since joining the 49ers. How is that? He plays for Kyle Shanahan and has averaged just 29.7 pass attempts per game. When you do that to a strictly pocket passer, it crushes his fantasy upside. It's unlikely that changes in 2020, especially when you consider he'll be without his No. 1 receiver for a while, as Deebo Samuel recovers from broken foot surgery. It's worth noting that two of his four QB1 performances in 2019 were against the Cardinals, the team he'll play in Week 1. Again, he'll be without Samuel, but George Kittle might go nuclear. Garoppolo is a solid quarterback in 2QB formats, even if he doesn't come with a top-12 type ceiling.
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143.
Duke Johnson Jr.
RB - HOU (vs . TEN)
Despite continually being one of the most efficient running backs in football, it seems there's no head coach who wants to give Johnson his shot at a bigger role. This will be his sixth season in the NFL and he's never topped 104 carries in a season despite the fact that he's averaged 4.5 yards per carry (4.91 over the last four years) over his career. Now having to deal with David Johnson, whose best attribute is catching passes out of the backfield, it's unlikely Duke has any value with David healthy. However, it needs to be stated that David has played just 22 full games over the last three years and will be 29 years old at the end of the season. Should he miss time, Duke might get the opportunity that we've been waiting for.
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144.
San Francisco 49ers
DST - SF (vs . SEA)
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145.
Pittsburgh Steelers
DST - PIT (at CLE)
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146.
N'Keal Harry
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
If there's someone who moved up my rankings when Cam Newton signed, it was Harry. I didn't like him much coming out of college as a wide receiver who didn't separate very well, but rather one who relied on winning contested catches. I knew he did that very well, but that didn't mesh well with the risk averse Tom Brady. As for Newton, he's shown the willingness to target his wide receivers with little separation. Look no further than Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess. The last healthy season Newton played, he threw into tight coverage a whopping 20.5 percent of the time. By comparison, Brady only did that 15.2 percent of the time last year and 13.9 percent in 2018. Harry also dealt with some injuries during his rookie season, which prevented him from playing in a full-time role. Will he play over Mohamed Sanu in 2WR sets? Probably not just yet, but he could be a factor in the red zone, where he works best. He's a touchdown-dependent option, but one who won't see enough targets to be relevant if Julian Edelman is on the field. If Edelman misses time, Harry would receive a big boost. He's a bench stash WR5-type.
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147.
Robby Anderson
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
Switching teams as a wide receiver this offseason seems... less than ideal. It does help, however, when there's a new quarterback on that team, as well as a coach you've played for in the past. Matt Rhule was the coach while Anderson was at Temple back in 2015. The issue is that Bridgewater's strengths don't really align with Anderson's. Bridgewater threw the ball 20-plus yards just 7.1 percent of the time last year, which ranked second lowest in the league. Anderson's skill set just doesn't align with Bridgewater's strengths as a passer, though they may try to force the issue after spending $20 million over two years on Anderson. Not having an offseason to build rapport makes me a bit more concerned, especially knowing we've seen Anderson's effort level best described as "inconsistent" on the field. It's tough to say he'll be a better fantasy option than he was in New York, only now his asking price is much lower. Being taken outside the top 50 wide receivers is a discount worth taking in best-ball leagues, but in redraft, it's tough to say he'll be a consistent contributor. He's the third option, at best.
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148.
Jack Doyle
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
We've watched the Colts tight end duo score plenty of fantasy points over the last two years under Frank Reich, right? They've combined for 186 receptions, 2,096 yards and 25 touchdowns in that time. Now, we get Philip Rivers, the guy who's supported a top-11 tight end in all but one season in his long career, yet none of the Colts tight ends are being drafted in the top 18 at the position? The logical one is Doyle, who has now seen 105 targets in 22 games under Frank Reich. Burton is similar in the way that he's more of a move tight end while Doyle is the traditional one who'll be on the field most of the time. In a year where the Colts threw the ball just 513 times, it's good to see Doyle with at least four targets in 12-of-15 games. If you want to wait at tight end and search for a potential every-week starter, Doyle makes some sense.
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149.
Jalen Reagor
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
Reagor sustained a shoulder injury on August 30th and although the word is that he'll avoid surgery, he's reportedly likely to miss about four weeks. Prior to the injury, Reagor was set to be a value in drafts, as Alshon Jeffery's injury and a lack of reliable receiving options outside DeSean Jackson had him set to see a significant role. The timetable for his return is far from certain, but given that Reagor is a rookie and hasn't had any preseason contests to experience the speed of an NFL game, fantasy managers shouldn't count on production for him at the outset even after he returns. That's especially true given that he won't have as much time to benefit from Jeffery's likely absence to start the season. All in all, Reagor is a bench stash currently, but be prepared to be unable to use him for fantasy purposes for at least several weeks into the season.
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150.
Kirk Cousins
QB - MIN (at DET)
It's never easy to lose your top receiver during the offseason, which is what happened to Cousins when the Vikings traded away Stefon Diggs. They tried to replace him immediately, snagging Justin Jefferson in the first round of the NFL Draft. For a guy who threw just 444 pass attempts and offers no mobility, it's quite an accomplishment to finish as the No. 15 fantasy quarterback, as Cousins did. Now, with Kevin Stefanski out of town, you must wonder if the offense moves towards a more balanced attack under Gary Kubiak, though he may have been the genius behind the offense last year. Still, it's unrealistic to think Cousins throws the ball just 444 times again. Not only is the defense going through a rebuild process, but the Vikings just can't remain that efficient on the ground. Did you know the previous three seasons, Cousins was the (most recent first) QB12, QB6, and QB5? He's trending in the wrong direction, but he's still been a usable streamer in 1QB leagues. I'd be shocked if he's below 500 pass attempts this year, though he is going to become less efficient losing Diggs. Even if we repeated last year's numbers, Cousins ranked 20th in top-18-type performances, which make him a solid quarterback to use in 2QB/Superflex formats. He has no shot to lose the job, likely sees increased volume, and has finished as a top-five quarterback before. Just don't draft him in 1QB leagues as a starter for Week 1, because he's playing the Packers, a team he scored just 8.9 and 6.9 fantasy points against last year.
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151.
Baltimore Ravens
DST - BAL (at CIN)
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152.
Chase Edmonds
RB - ARI (at LAR)
There are some who believe Edmonds is the surefire handcuff to Kenyan Drake, though I'm not entirely sure of that, as Eno Benjamin is someone who can play. Sure, he fell to the seventh round, but it's not like Edmonds is a can't-miss player. We do know the Cardinals starting position is very valuable, so once we know which player is the handcuff, they should have bench priority in case an injury should arise.
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153.
Curtis Samuel
WR - CAR (vs . NO)
There are a lot of analysts making excuses for Samuel's poor production last year, stating that his quarterback play was atrocious. While I don't disagree, there are plenty of wide receivers who've had bad quarterback play but managed to be useful. Samuel's 0.96 yards per route run in 2019 ranked dead last among the 157 wide receivers with at least 100 targets over the last five years. Heck, his teammate D.J. Moore was able to finish as the WR18. Based on the targets Samuel received and where they took place, he should have finished as the WR16. Look, I'm not saying Samuel is as bad as he was in 2019, but for him to become a reliable fantasy player, he'd have to overcome the fact that he's now the fourth-best target in the offense, behind McCaffrey, Moore, and Anderson. The Panthers also tried shopping Samuel this offseason, but ultimately held onto him. He's someone to look at during bye weeks when the Panthers are double-digit underdogs. Outside of that, you're just looking for an injury to him to become anything more than a WR5-type option.
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154.
Brandon Aiyuk
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
When you're a first-round pick, you're going to get some opportunities, and even more so when the team's No. 1 receiver is out. With Deebo Samuel slated to miss time, Aiyuk is likely to lead the 49ers receivers in targets over the first few weeks. Knowing the schedule starts with the Cardinals, Jets, and Giants, he might get off to a hot start. While watching college film on Aiyuk, he's someone who popped at times, but would then disappear during others. I classified him as more fast than quick, as he is shifty in routes, but lacks elite short-area burst. I thought he'd be a field stretcher who could eventually turn into a complete receiver with some refinement in his intermediate routes. Knowing Garoppolo was arguably the best deep-ball passer in the league last year, that seems like a match. The issue is that the 49ers had him throw deep just 6.5 percent of the time, which was the lowest in the league. We need those numbers to go up for Aiyuk to truly explode. Knowing his early season schedule, it's not a bad idea to snag him as a WR5 and see what happens.
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155.
Darrell Henderson
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
Some Henderson truthers are dead-set on him being "the guy" in this offense, but the Rams selecting Cam Akers with their first pick in the draft is extremely worrisome. They used a second-round pick on Akers, while Henderson himself was taken with a third-round pick. I'm not willing to say that Henderson is completely out of contention, but his value took a blow in the draft. This is likely to be a timeshare backfield, making him a risky RB3 in redraft leagues.
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156.
Sammy Watkins
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
Does anyone else believe that Watkins may have played through injury in 2019? He hadn't tallied anything less than 8.3 yards per target over the previous four years, and that's despite some subpar quarterback talent in Buffalo and Los Angeles. Knowing that Watkins is the No. 2 option at wide receiver in a Patrick Mahomes-led offense and that he's going outside the top-50 wide receivers is bananas. Sure, he was bad in 2019, but he looked like the player we thought he'd be once they got to the playoffs, as he compiled 14 receptions for 288 yards and a touchdown on 18 targets in their three playoff games. The Chiefs also had an opportunity to move on from Watkins this offseason, but they decided to keep him on the roster. He may not be an every-week option from the get-go, but knowing you have a player tied to Patrick Mahomes who saw six-plus targets in 10-of-17 games last year should carry some weight. Snagging him as a WR4/5 with upside makes too much sense, as we can't let one inefficient year erase what he's been throughout his career. There's an avenue to him finishing as a WR3 without injury in front of him.
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157.
Tony Pollard
RB - DAL (at NYG)
We saw flash out of Pollard last year, as he posted three games with 17-plus PPR points, and that was with Ezekiel Elliott on the field. Now a year older, the Cowboys may decide to dial back the veteran's workload, which would provide Pollard with a bigger role. If Elliott were to miss time, Pollard would immediately jump into the RB1 conversation.
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158.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (at DET)
In case you didn't know, Jefferson is coming off a ridiculous season with LSU where he tallied 111 receptions for 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns over 15 games. He played the big-slot role for them, which is something the Vikings should take into consideration when figuring out how to best deploy him. Unfortunately, Jefferson wound up on the COVID list and is being forced to miss a lot of camp. Still, he's a route-running technician who's playing behind a 30-year-old receiver who's been dealing with back issues. There's an avenue where Jefferson is relied upon as a rookie more than most think, though it would likely require Thielen to be out of the lineup. Under Gary Kubiak/Kevin Stefanski last year, the wide receivers saw just 43.2 percent of the target share (4th-lowest mark in the NFL), making it very difficult for multiple options to be fantasy relevant on a week-to-week basis. Because of that, Jefferson is essentially just a wide receiver handcuff.
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159.
Philip Rivers
QB - IND (vs . JAC)
There's no masking it, Rivers was bad in 2019. He's now 38 years old (will be 39 in December), which is the age quarterbacks used to hit their decline (before Brady and Brees came along). Have we reached the end with him? He played behind a bad offensive line last year, something he's done through much of his career. In 2020, he'll play behind a top-three offensive line in football. He has already played under Frank Reich back when he threw for 4,286 yards and 31 touchdowns, then a career-high 4,792 yards and 29 touchdowns in 2015. Does that make a difference knowing it was five years ago? Well, yeah, in a way. The good news is that he at least knows the basics of the offense, which is important this year when we've had practically no offseason. The bad news is that chemistry will have to be built on the fly, and it's even harder when your top receiver (T.Y. Hilton) shows up to camp on the injured list. We did see Jacoby Brissett and Brian Hoyer combine for 22 touchdown passes last year and Andrew Luck throw for 39 touchdowns in 2018, so it's a good offense. If you want to select Rivers in a 2QB format, it could pay dividends, though his fantasy floor might be a bit lower than someone like Gardner Minshew who uses his legs. There are way too many variables to consider him anything more than a streamer in 1QB formats.
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160.
Buffalo Bills
DST - BUF (vs . MIA)
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161.
Teddy Bridgewater
QB - CAR (vs . NO)
It's going to be tough for the Panthers to have much success this year, as they have a new head coach, new play-caller, new quarterback, and an offensive line that's been shifted around, all while having very little offseason practice time. The defense is in a position to allow a ton of points, which does add appeal to Bridgewater. We should see him rack up the pass attempts, and it doesn't hurt to know that his 6.2 intended air yards per target was the lowest in the league, which should mean a lot of short completions to D.J. Moore and Christian McCaffrey. The issue is that Bridgewater offers no mobility after his reconstructive knee surgery. That means he'll have to be more efficient than other pocket passers available later in the draft, guys like Kirk Cousins and Jared Goff. Again, with no offseason, that's going to be incredibly hard to do. Save Bridgewater for 2QB leagues where he's a great target as a No. 2 quarterback with no chance to lose the starting job.
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162.
Drew Lock
QB - DEN (vs . LV)
Well, there's one thing that's for certain. If Lock can't get it done with the skill-position players around him now, he never will. The Broncos went out and signed Melvin Gordon in free agency, then drafted top wideout Jerry Jeudy in the first round, speedster KJ Hamler in the second round, then Lock's former teammate Albert Okwuegbunam in the fourth round. Pair them with Courtland Sutton, Phillip Lindsay, and Noah Fant, and you suddenly have one of the most talented rooms in the league. It's tough to judge anything we saw from Lock in his rookie season, as he was asked to start late in the season, and it was a different coordinator. What we do know is that Pat Shurmur is his new offensive coordinator, and he's produced some solid quarterback play in his time. The last time he was a coordinator was 2017 when he coached Case Keenum to a 68 percent completion rate, 22 touchdowns, and just seven interceptions. My concern with Lock is that this is still Vic Fangio's team, and their defense should be very good. If Fangio doesn't give full reigns to Shurmur, we're likely to see a defensive-minded, run-heavy offense, which would cripple Lock's fantasy appeal. The high end for Lock's pass attempts is likely in the 525-attempt range, which isn't great for a quarterback with limited mobility. He's a great target in 2QB leagues, but I wouldn't trust him as an every-week starter in 1QB formats.
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163.
Parris Campbell
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
If T.Y. Hilton continues to miss time with his hamstring ailment, Campbell is a candidate for sleeper of the year. Going back through the years with Philip Rivers, there's always been a target over the middle of the field. Whether it be Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry, Keenan Allen, or Eddie Royal. Campbell is going to fill the slot role when T.Y. Hilton is healthy, which isn't a bad thing. And if Hilton were to miss time, Campbell will move around the formation. Fortunately, he's a bigger, stronger, and faster version of Hilton. We haven't seen him play at the level Hilton has, but the Colts did draft him in the second round last year, highlighting their vision for him in this offense. While Hilton remains sidelined and rookie Michael Pittman tries to acclimate to the NFL, Campbell is a dark horse to lead this team in targets. Taking him in the double-digit rounds makes tons of sense, and best of all, you'll find out what you have over the first couple weeks.
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164.
Chris Thompson
RB - JAC (at IND)
Thompson should be in line to see plenty of passing-down work with the Jaguars, as we know that Jay Gruden loved to utilize him heavily in that role when healthy with Washington. With Leonard Fournette being released, Thompson may see a slight uptick in usage, but he does not have the size or durability to carry a major load in the backfield. In half- and full-PPR formats, he should be rostered, but even with Fournette gone, he's not worth much in standard leagues.
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165.
New England Patriots
DST - NE (vs . NYJ)
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166.
Harrison Butker
K - KC (vs . LAC)
Butker led the NFL in field-goal attempts and conversions last year, and the Chiefs are nearly always among the league leaders in field-goal attempts. Wait on kicker, obviously, but Butker will be one of the best yet again.
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167.
Justin Tucker
K - BAL (at CIN)
To the extent there's a sure thing in terms of fantasy kickers, it's Tucker, who has finished as a top-12 kicker in every year of his career. The Ravens offense was better than ever last year which limited his opportunities more than usual, but he remains as accurate as ever. Perhaps a 1B to Harrison Butker's 1A this year, Tucker should be one of the first kickers off the board.
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168.
New Orleans Saints
DST - NO (at CAR)
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169.
Ian Thomas
TE - CAR (vs . NO)
With Greg Olsen out of town, Thomas walks into the starting role. What does that mean under new offensive coordinator Joe Brady? That's tough to say, but there's suddenly a lot of mouths to feed in this offense. Christian McCaffrey is Thomas' biggest issue, as there's been just one team over the last four years who've had their top running back and top tight end combine for more than 198 targets. Keep in mind that's the max. It's rare for teams to have that duo combine for more than 180 targets. So, when you see that McCaffrey saw 141 targets last year, that's a big issue for someone like Thomas. You aren't going to take targets away from McCaffrey to feed him. During Teddy Bridgewater's stint as the starter for the Saints last year, Jared Cook finished with 7, 21, 41, and 37 yards, though he did score twice. Those yardage totals are not what we look for out of streamers, and keep in mind there's more competition for targets in Carolina than there was in New Orleans. Thomas is someone you may want to stream from time to time, but I don't see a breakout season with McCaffrey on the field.
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170.
Joshua Kelley
RB - LAC (at KC)
We figured the Chargers might add a running back to replace Melvin Gordon, and it appears Kelley is that guy, though some are torn on whether it's him or Justin Jackson to get the bigger workload. Knowing they invested a fourth-round pick on Kelley, it seems likely that he'll get the first crack at the job. Realistically, it could be a three-headed backfield between them. This won't be the same offense it was with Philip Rivers and we're likely to lose some overall potential from a fantasy perspective. But for now, we should assume that Kelley is the handcuff to Ekeler, even though they're completely different players.
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171.
Damien Harris
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
Harris will begin the year on injured reserve after having hand surgery, putting a dent in what was shaping up to potentially be a breakout season. There's still some long-term appeal with the young running back, but there's no reason to draft him as anything other than a deep bench stash with the hope of a breakout mid-year.
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172.
Wil Lutz
K - NO (at CAR)
Lutz has everything you want in a kicker. He plays on a strong offense, with his home games inside a dome, and is extremely accurate. He's finished the last two seasons as the second-ranked kicker in fantasy and there's no reason to expect him to finish outside the top three. Kickers are almost always volatile but Lutz is the exception, so draft him with confidence.
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173.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
He's someone who rapidly moved up draft boards as the NFL Draft approached. The Colts liked him so much that they selected him over Jonathan Taylor (who they then traded up to get a few picks later), so it's clear they love Pittman. They did love Parris Campbell in last year's draft, too, so we can't go overboard. They said the plan is for Pittman to be the "X" receiver in the offense, which should present value with someone like Philip Rivers, who has zero issue throwing into tight coverage, especially when his receiver is 6-foot-4 and 223 pounds. This is your reminder that Mike Williams is 6-foot-4 and 220 pounds, while Vincent Jackson was 6-foot-5 and 230 pounds. These are wide receivers that Rivers targeted relentlessly. Mike Williams averaged just 2.0 yards of separation at target last year, the second-worst mark in football. Can Pittman make it into the starting lineup opening day? If so, Rivers could fall in love with his size, particularly in the red zone. He's worth a pick with one of your last few selections, as he's a dark horse to lead the team in receiving touchdowns.
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174.
Chicago Bears
DST - CHI (vs . GB)
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175.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - MIN (at DET)
I'm not certain how many people know Smith saw just one fewer target than his teammate Kyle Rudolph in 2019, but that was the case. The difference was their touchdowns, as Rudolph scored six times compared to Smith's two touchdowns. Will that change in 2020? Well, it wasn't due to lack of opportunity, as Smith saw 10 targets in the red zone compared to Rudolph's 11 targets. Touchdowns are a very fickle thing and they can flip-flop this year. Smith is the one ascending up, while Rudolph is moving towards the end of his tenure.
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176.
Derek Carr
QB - LV (at DEN)
You may or not know that Mike Mayock had an affinity towards Mariota during the 2015 NFL Draft. He's the GM of the Las Vegas Raiders, so when he got the opportunity to sign Mariota, he did. This is not great news for Carr, who has been solid, but not irreplaceable over the last two seasons under the Jon Gruden/Mayock regime. But instead of replacing him, they gave him competition, even if it's one he should win fairly easily. He's going to have a much better surrounding cast in 2020, as the Raiders drafted three skill-position players in the top three rounds of the draft, including wide receiver Henry Ruggs at No. 12 overall. The issue with liking Carr, however, is that he's never going to be an every-week starting quarterback in 1QB leagues; we've learned that by now. He's also not someone you can fully trust as your QB2 in Superflex/2QB formats now that he has actual competition on the roster.
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177.
Kansas City Chiefs
DST - KC (vs . LAC)
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178.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - JAC (at IND)
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179.
Justin Jackson
RB - LAC (at KC)
We all watched Raheem Mostert take off during the 2019 season, right? He had tremendous numbers when on the field in his earlier years, just like Jackson, who's averaged 5.14 yards per carry over his career to this point. Jackson is going to be fighting for playing time with fourth-round rookie Joshua Kelley this year trying to earn that Melvin Gordon role. It seems likely that the Chargers want Kelley in that role, but is Jackson good enough for them to change their course? It's a situation to monitor, as this will be a run-heavy team.
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180.
Greg Zuerlein
K - DAL (at NYG)
Zuerlein hasn't been close to the fantasy stalwart he once was over the last two seasons, as accuracy issues have plagued him as they did earlier in his career. Now with the Cowboys, Zuerlein should have every opportunity to bounce back on a team that provides its kickers with plenty of field goal opportunities. Once the top few kicking options are gone, Zuerlein should be next off the board (in the last round, obviously).
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181.
AJ Dillon
RB - GB (at CHI)
Some believe Dillon is going to walk in and destroy the value of someone like Aaron Jones, while others say he negates the role of Jamaal Williams. I don't know if he does either, but when a team spends a second-round pick on a running back, they typically have a plan for them. Over the last seven years, running backs drafted in the second round average 172.3 touches in their rookie season. Dillon is just an early-down back, so he'll be extremely touchdown dependent. Knowing how good Jones has been in that role, it's tough to take him off the field, so I'm fine with going the wait-and-see approach with Dillon (and every other non-Jones back in this backfield).
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182.
Nyheim Hines
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
There are some who are pointing at Hines as the primary beneficiary to Philip Rivers' arrival in Indianapolis, but I'm not one of them. Did we forget that the Colts dealt with tons of injuries last year and Hines still wound up with just 96 touches on the year? This is still the same coaching staff who didn't put him on the field over a guy like Jonathan Williams. Now you add in Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman, and he's going to get a bigger role? Nah. Let someone else draft him.
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183.
Sam Darnold
QB - NYJ (at NE)
It hasn't been the start to his career that he'd hoped for, as Darnold has finished as a QB1-type performer in just 6-of-26 games (23.1 percent). Even lowering the bar to a top-18-type performance, he's hit those marks in just 10-of-26 games, and that's why it's tough to rely on him as your QB2 in Superflex/2QB leagues. On top of those struggles, he's now dealing with two brand-new receivers on the perimeter with practically no offseason while playing for Adam Gase. That's like the trifecta of bad. Part of the issue has been the offensive line, though the Jets have tried to address that this offseason, snagging three players in free agency, and then another two in the first four rounds of the draft, including the mammoth of a man, Mekhi Becton, in the first round. That's an issue in itself, as offensive lines take time to develop continuity/consistency, so expecting that to happen with four or five new starters is going to be an issue. Darnold is just not in a position to succeed right now.
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184.
Minnesota Vikings
DST - MIN (at DET)
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185.
Hunter Renfrow
WR - LV (at DEN)
If the Raiders are indeed using Henry Ruggs in the slot, you need to understand that Renfrow's role is essentially gone, as he played 71 percent of his snaps in the slot last year. Yes, there are Renfrow supporters out there due to his high yards per route run in 2019, but if he's not running routes, it really doesn't matter. Given there are much more talented options on the roster, he's not someone you should roster. Even if Ruggs were to miss time, Renfrow would be a Cole Beasley-type option, which is hardly exciting.
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186.
O.J. Howard
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
One of the more talented tight ends in the league, but also someone who is going to play second fiddle to Rob Gronkowski. The Bucs have said they'll be running a lot more 2TE sets, but it remains to be seen. With the other receiving options they have ahead of Howard, it's tough to see a path to consistent production. If Gronkowski were to miss time, Howard would jump into the TE1 conversation.
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187.
Greg Olsen
TE - SEA (at SF)
Based on where Olsen's targets took place last year, he scored 20.5 fewer fantasy points than the average tight end would've, which was the worst mark in football, just ahead of Trey Burton. He's now 35 years old and wants to go to the booth soon enough. He was the Seahawks insurance to Will Dissly. Once they know Dissly is healthy, it's back to fantasy irrelevance for Olsen. If Dissly isn't ready for the start of the year, Olsen could have some streaming appeal.
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188.
Los Angeles Rams
DST - LAR (vs . ARI)
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189.
James Washington
WR - PIT (at CLE)
We have the battle of second-round receivers here, as Washington is coming off his most productive season in 2019, though it's important to note that he and Mason Rudolph played in college together, so there was chemistry there. Still, it was impressive for him to post 735 yards and three touchdowns on just 80 targets considering who was throwing to him. If the Steelers hadn't drafted Claypool, Washington would have sleeper appeal. Heck, he still does, but Claypool clouds his path. It does help that rookie minicamps were canceled and that there is no preseason action, so it's likely we see Washington get the reps out of the gate, and Roethlisberger has always talked good about him. Snagging Washington with a late-round pick might make sense, as you'll find out your answer in Week 1 against the Giants. If he plays the starter role and has a few big plays, you'll see many run to snag him off the waiver wire. On top of that, if Smith-Schuster or Johnson were to miss any time, Washington would likely be staring at six-plus targets per game.
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190.
Carlos Hyde
RB - SEA (at SF)
After ranking 12th in rushing yards last year, Hyde accepted a one-year deal with the Seahawks. It seems that he's insurance for Rashaad Penny, who's expected to start the year on the PUP list. But you never know with Pete Carroll, as he's not afraid to shake things up. If Chris Carson struggles coming off his hip injury, or fumbles again, we could see Hyde in a 15-touch role. He's worth a pick in one of the last few rounds.
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191.
Randall Cobb
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
Remember how many people were fading Cobb last year, saying he'd passed his prime and wanted nothing to do with him now that he was separated from Aaron Rodgers? He went on to post his most yardage since 2015. Granted, it took him 83 targets to get there, but he showed that he was capable. Deshaun Watson hasn't been a quarterback to target his slot receivers a whole lot, but he's never had a possession-style on like Cobb, and he's never played without DeAndre Hopkins. Will things change? It's certainly within the realm of possibilities. The issue is that Keke Coutee and Kenny Stills are also solid slot receivers who can fill that role, if needed. My issue with Cobb is... what's the upside? Cole Beasley-type numbers from last year? He even finished as the No. 34 wide receiver, but was any fantasy owner excited to put him in their lineup? Maybe during bye weeks but that's about it. He's just a WR5-type option to me, and one who lacks upside.
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192.
Larry Fitzgerald
WR - ARI (at LAR)
Now entering his age-37 season, we kind of know what to expect from Fitzgerald. He did see a team-high 109 targets last year, and it's difficult to say his role changed much. He's going to be the safety valve over the middle of the field while DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk work the perimeter. There were just six games that Fitzgerald broke the 50-yard barrier last year, so knowing he scored just four times, you understand the lack of upside despite his decent target share. Still, with Hopkins in the mix, that target share will certainly go down. Kyler Murray threw just 20 touchdown passes last year, so it was tough to expect more than the four that Fitzgerald scored. Even with a bump for Murray, it's tough to say the increased touchdown potential will make up for Fitzgerald's decreased target share. He's just a low-upside bye-week filler at this stage of his career. Even with an injury to someone like Hopkins or Kirk, we've already seen that scenario in 2019, and it wasn't more than a WR4-type.
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193.
Corey Davis
WR - TEN (at HOU)
It wasn't long ago where we were drafting Davis as a top-30 receiver with breakout potential. He's now going outside the top-60 wide receivers. It certainly doesn't help that he had to have toe surgery and is now missing time with the team. It's nothing major but it does put him at a major disadvantage when A.J. Brown has overtaken the alpha role on the team. When a team has averaged just 440 pass attempts over the last two years, it's tough to find more than one player with value. The wide receivers have averaged 251 targets per season and a 57 percent target share. So, even if we get Tannehill to 480 pass attempts, we're looking at 274 targets for the receivers, and we know Brown is getting roughly 21-25 percent of the overall target share. It does help that Tajae Sharpe and his 35 targets are gone, so we're trying to find a way to divvy up 135-158 targets between Davis and Adam Humphries (and others). That's enough for him to be reliable at times, especially if Tannehill can maintain some momentum from last year. We also can't forget that if Brown were to miss time, Davis would likely step into that 20-25 percent target share, and as a former first-round talent in a contract year, he could surprise. He has a little bit of a DeVante Parker feel to him, because make no mistake about it, Davis is a good football player. I like him as a late-round bench stash.
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194.
Robbie Gould
K - SF (vs . SEA)
Despite seeing plenty of attempts with the 49ers, last year was fairly disastrous for Gould, as he hit just three quarters of his field goal attempts. He's 37 years old now, so the bottom may have fallen out on the veteran. But for now, he remains an historically accurate kicker on a team the routinely provides its kickers with plenty of field goal attempts. That makes him worth drafting in most fantasy leagues.
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195.
Steven Sims
WR - WAS (at PHI)
It would really make sense for Washington to use Sims in a bigger role this year, as he looked the part at the end of 2019. Over the team's final four games, he racked up 36 targets, 20 receptions, 230 yards, and four touchdowns while manning the slot. Sure, Antonio Gibson is the new toy in the offense, but Ron Rivera has already said that he views him as a running back. When Washington goes three-wide, Sims should be out there in the slot, but that's just my opinion. We could see Gibson or even Trey Quinn play that role. Without preseason action, there are just too many question marks. Depending on which receiver is in the slot, he should have some value throughout the year as a streamer, but you shouldn't need to spend a late draft pick on them, as that is your time to take ultra-high upside picks.
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196.
Philadelphia Eagles
DST - PHI (vs . WAS)
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197.
Bryce Love
RB - WAS (at PHI)
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198.
Adrian Peterson
RB - DET (vs . MIN)
Peterson signed with the Lions shortly after being released by the Redskins. Despite his advancing age, Peterson is coming up off two productive seasons with Washington and likely still has a little gas left in the tank. His role is entirely unclear, however, as both Kerryon Johnson and D'Andre Swift will factor in, and Ty Johnson and Bo Scarbrough are still on the roster. Peterson will likely be usable on occasion in fantasy but there's little reason to draft him in anything other than a bench piece.
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199.
Bryan Edwards
WR - LV (at DEN)
If you're someone who listens to the news blurbs about players, you'd see that Derek Carr said Edwards reminds him of Davante Adams. Knowing they played together at California State, that's quite the compliment. Still, by statements the team has made, it appears that Edwards is on the outside of the starting lineup looking in at the start of the year, though that shouldn't last long. Here's my final line from Edwards' scouting report this offseason: If he gets an opportunity to play (was projected for 3rd/4th round), he can produce in the NFL. If they're planning on using Henry Ruggs in the slot, Edwards would make a good complement to Tyrell Williams on the perimeter. That would leave Hunter Renfrow out of the equation, as he's pretty much a slot-only receiver. So, again, if they're being truthful about Ruggs in the slot, Edwards should get some playing time immediately in 3WR sets, making him an intriguing pick in one of the last few rounds. You need players like him on your roster who you can cut bait on almost immediately if he's not getting playing time.
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200.
Darrel Williams
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
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201.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . MIA)
There were some plays that Knox made last year that suggested he could be a fantasy asset in the future, but the Stefon Diggs trade threw a wrench into any increase in projected targets we could give him. There were eight games where Knox had four-plus targets in his rookie season, which is actually quite good, but we can't pretend the Bills are going to become a team that throws the ball 600 times overnight. Knox is someone you might want to stream when the Bills receivers have tough matchups, but even then, it's going to be hard to project more than five targets for the second-year tight end.
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202.
Benny Snell Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
Snell Jr. got a fair amount of work last year in relief of James Conner, seeing 108 carries and gaining 426 yards with two touchdowns. When he got enough volume, he generally produced, totaling at least 89 total yards or a touchdown in each game he received 17 touches or more. Reports are that he'll be the primary backup again to James Conner, but Anthony McFarland Jr. and Jaylen Samuels will still factor in. He's a low-end handcuff at this point given the crowded Pittsburgh backfield.
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203.
Darrynton Evans
RB - TEN (at HOU)
If you haven't looked at the depth chart behind Derrick Henry in Tennessee, you should know that Evans is the only one who should be considered his handcuff. The Titans worked out a long-term deal with Henry, so Evans may not even be in their long-term plans at the position even after they drafted him in the third round. But although he may not be built like a workhorse back, he has the potential to be electric in a run-heavy offense. The Titans would be wise to give him 5-10 touches even when Henry is healthy, though there's no guarantee that will be the case.
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204.
Tyrod Taylor
QB - LAC (at KC)
Taylor certainly has the potential to be a viable quarterback option in deeper two-quarterback leagues with a soft early schedule, especially with an improved Chargers offensive line. The problem for Taylor is that Los Angeles is almost certainly going to lean on its strong defense and rely on its running game, which isn't a recipe for fantasy production from a quarterback. Even if he does hold off Justin Herbert for the full season, his likely low pass volume should hold his fantasy value in check. He can be considered a low-end QB2 in most leagues, but he's not the most exciting option.
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205.
Matt Prater
K - DET (vs . MIN)
Prater is getting up there in age, but he remains one of the most accurate long-range kickers in the game. He hit 7-of-8 field goals from 50 or more yards last year, and nearly 84% of his overall attempts. He's also missed just two extra-point attempts over the last three seasons. On a good but not elite offense that will trust him from long range, Prater makes one of the best kicker options in fantasy, and should be drafted in leagues of all sizes.
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206.
Tennessee Titans
DST - TEN (at HOU)
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207.
Denver Broncos
DST - DEN (vs . LV)
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208.
Los Angeles Chargers
DST - LAC (at KC)
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209.
Ryquell Armstead
RB - JAC (at IND)
After the Jaguars cut Leonard Fournette, Armstead is the starter for the Jaguars. Unfortunately, it's still a team that'll be in negative gamescripts the majority of time and he's not someone who's an above average pass-catcher. I'm expecting 12-15 touches per game for him, which does offer RB3 value, but there's not a very high ceiling here.
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210.
Jake Elliott
K - PHI (vs . WAS)
Elliott actually had his most accurate year of his career (84.6% field goal percentage, 35-of-37 extra points made), but he simply saw fewer chances. After seeing 31 field goal attempts in each of his first two seasons, he saw just 26 last year, and only 11 from at least 40 yards. The Eagles offense should be somewhat better this year if the team can avoid similar devastating injuries to its receivers (though that's hardly a certainty), which should mean more chances for Elliott. He's a strong starter in 12-team leagues.
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211.
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR (vs . ARI)
We've heard Sean McVay say that the Rams backfield will be more of a timeshare in 2020, but will it include Brown? It's highly unlikely considering they already tried that, and they've now spent a second- and third- round pick on running backs over the last two years. Brown may get some goal-line work, but he's not going to be anything you can rely on for fantasy.
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212.
Cole Beasley
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
It's odd, but the trade for Stefon Diggs doesn't really affect Beasley's role at all. He's the slot receiver in the offense when they go three-wide, and he's the safety valve for Josh Allen. With that being said, many more plays will be designed to the perimeter in order to get the ball into Digg's hands. That will cap the number of targets Beasley sees, which was at a tremendous 104 last year. Even without Diggs on the roster last year, Beasley produced just two games with more than 14.3 half PPR points, so it's not like you were winning weeks because of him. He was a fine streamer during bye weeks as someone who wouldn't crush your lineup. Lowering expectations to around 80-85 targets, Beasley's floor has been lowered and there will be better options to choose during bye weeks in 2020.
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213.
Indianapolis Colts
DST - IND (vs . JAC)
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214.
Zane Gonzalez
K - ARI (at LAR)
Gonzalez finished as the fifth-best kicker in fantasy last year, buoyed by his 35 attempts. He also hit nearly 89% of his chances, a number inflated by the fact that the vast majority of his chances (25) came inside 40 yards. The Cardinals should have a strong offense this season, again offering Gonzalez plenty of opportunities and the chance to finish as a top-12 kicker in fantasy.
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215.
Alshon Jeffery
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
Jeffery wound up avoiding the PUP list, though he's unlikely to be able to suit up for at least the first game or two of the season. When healthy, Jeffery is an excellent fantasy option, capable of putting up WR2 numbers or better regularly. But coming off a Lisfranc injury, and with a checkered health history, it's hard to see him contributing all that much right out of the gate. With roster and IR spots at a premium this year, there's little reason to waste a draft pick on Jeffery until your starting roster is set.
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216.
Jamaal Williams
RB - GB (at CHI)
It's tough to say Williams will be the running back behind Aaron Jones on the Packers' depth chart, but it's also tough to say he shouldn't be, as he was extremely effective in his role last year. But them drafting A.J. Dillon in the second round screams "he's the guy" behind Jones, and potentially the one even stealing some goal-line work from Jones. Because of that, Williams is not someone you need to draft in shallow leagues. It's best to see how this backfield shakes out before commiting a bench spot on a handcuff.
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217.
Seattle Seahawks
DST - SEA (at SF)
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218.
John Ross
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
We don't know for certain who the No. 3 wide receiver will be in the offense to start the year, but knowing there's been limited workouts, my guess would be that Ross is the guy. He compliments A.J. Green and Tyler Boyd well, while Tee Higgins would clash with Green. If you don't think Ross is a good football player, I urge you to get on NFL Game Pass and watch him. There were a lot of times he was open for what would've been a long gain/touchdown, but Andy Dalton simply missed him. Insert Joe Burrow, who completed 76.3 percent of his passes at LSU last year, including feather-like touch on his deep ball. Ross saw five-plus targets in 6-of-8 games last year, so it's clear that Zac Taylor felt he could make a difference. With both Green and Boyd healthy, Ross won't be seeing that consistent of targets, but should either of them miss time, Ross would be a plug-and-play upside option. Contrary to belief around the industry, Ross should be selected in one of the final rounds of your draft.
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219.
Ka'imi Fairbairn
K - HOU (vs . TEN)
Fairbairn's accuracy fell significantly last year, from 88.1% on field-goal attempts and 95% on extra-point attempts in 2018, to 80% and 89%, respectively, last year. To make matters worse, Fairbairn's field-goal attempts dropped from 42 down to 25 last year. It's the perils of drafting any fantasy kicker, but on a decent offense and kicking mostly indoors, Fairbairn is worth drafting in a 12-team league, albeit it as one of the last kickers.
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220.
Denzel Mims
WR - NYJ (at NE)
I like Mims, similar to the way I liked Michael Gallup coming into the league. Not that they're the same player, but rather people didn't know how good they were until they looked past the school they played for. Mims is a possession-style receiver who can stretch the field, as evidenced by his 4.38-second 40-yard dash he ran at the Combine. He should become a favorite of Sam Darnold in the red zone, as he plucks the ball out of the air with his strong mitts. He'll be battling with Breshad Perriman for targets on the perimeter, while Jamison Crowder remains the safety valve in the slot. Robby Anderson did see 96 targets last year while Demaryius Thomas saw 58 of them (in 11 games), so there's room for a fantasy producer. The issue is that Mims is a rookie who hasn't seen any preseason action and hasn't had much time to be around the team. The same can be said for Perriman, so there's a route to immediate production with Mims, though Adam Gase has not been friendly to perimeter wide receivers. Over the last four years, his top receivers were Jarvis Landry (twice), Danny Amendola, and Jamison Crowder... all slot receivers. It's best to be cautious with rookie wide receivers, especially this year, even if I like who Mims is as a player. Selecting him in one of the final rounds makes sense, as you'll find out what you have over the first two weeks and decide whether you want to cut bait or stick with him.
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221.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DST - TB (vs . ATL)
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222.
Dwayne Haskins
QB - WAS (at PHI)
Haskins did not look ready to be an NFL QB in 2019 - it's as simple as that. He was the worst quarterback in the league in terms of completion percentage and yards per attempt, and frequently missed wide open throws. He'll start for Washington but with only Terry McLaurin as a reliable receiver, Haskins would need to take a giant leap to be worth drafting in anything other than two-quarterback or superflex leagues. The odds are not in his favor.
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223.
Green Bay Packers
DST - GB (at CHI)
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224.
Kyle Rudolph
TE - MIN (at DET)
Rudolph scored six touchdowns last season, but overall, it was a disappointing effort from the veteran. He essentially split targets with Irv Smith Jr. (seeing just 48, his lowest since 2014), and had just 39 catches for 367 yards, both well below his usual numbers. Even without Kevin Stefanski, the Vikings are surely going to be a run-first offense once again, which will leave Rudolph searching for targets for the second straight season, well outside of TE1 consideration.
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225.
Jerick McKinnon
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
It's been a while since we've seen McKinnon on a football field. He's been with the 49ers for two years but hasn't played a down of regular season football. Now that they've traded away Matt Breida, there's a role to be had, but we don't know if he's capable at this stage of his career. There's been some whispers that he may not make the team, though that may be a surprise considering they've held onto him this long. Between Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman, and McKinnon, it's going to be tough to find consistent volume and production in this backfield.
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226.
Dede Westbrook
WR - JAC (at IND)
Of the top of your head, do you know how many receivers received 100-plus targets last year? 30. Westbrook was one of them. There's a new offense being installed, but Westbrook should fit Jay Gruden's offense quite well. Remember Jamison Crowder while in Washington? Has seasons with 103 and 99 targets, so it's definitely in reach. We did hear that Gruden plans to use D.J. Chark in the slot a bit more, which tells us that Westbrook won't be pigeonholed into the slot role that he's been the last couple years. Westbrook has real speed on the perimeter and could be more than just a target-heavy slot receiver. We know that second-round pick Laviska Shenault had core muscle surgery this offseason which might put him behind the learning curve, and it's not like the Jaguars have any allegiance to Chris Conley, so it's possible that Westbrook is the 2020 version of Jamison Crowder in 2019 (finished as the WR31) with more vertical play upside. The best part is that you can grab him with one of your last picks and find out almost immediately.
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227.
Kenny Stills
WR - FA (BYE)
Stills wasn't heavily involved last year after a preseason trade to the Texans, and he missed three games do to injuries. But he did rank seventh in the league in yards per target and had the fourth highest catch rate (72.7%) among wide receivers. Although DeAndre Hopkins is gone, the Texans added Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb, so it's unlikely that Stills will suddenly have an important role on the team. Given that he's never had more than 63 catches or 931 yards receiving, it's unlikely that he'll be worth rostering this season.
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228.
James Robinson
RB - JAC (at IND)
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229.
Younghoe Koo
K - ATL (at TB)
Although Koo's 2019 season will be remembered primarily for his three successful onside kicks in Week 14 against the Saints, he actually had a pretty dominant year for the Falcons. Despite playing just eight games, he had 26 field-goal attempts, converting 23 of them. Back with the Falcons and kicking indoors, Koo should easily finish as a top-12 kicker this season if he can again hit 88.5% of his field-goal attempts. Draft him as a starter in all leagues.
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230.
Gerald Everett
TE - LAR (vs . ARI)
Everett wasn't a startable tight end for most of the season anyway, but he dealt with injuries over the last several weeks of the year and was completely irrelevant. Unfortunately for Everett, Tyler Higbee emerged as a force down the stretch, furthering deepening the divide between Everett and fantasy-relevancy. He's beyond even TE2 consideration at this point.
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231.
Dallas Cowboys
DST - DAL (at NYG)
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232.
Miles Boykin
WR - BAL (at CIN)
Have the Ravens written him off as a bust? After drafting him in the third round last year, they had him playing behind guys like Seth Roberts and Willie Snead. He played just 27.2 snaps per game and saw just 22 targets his rookie year despite being healthy for all 16 games. He did score three touchdowns on those targets, and outside of Mark Andrews, he's probably the dark horse to lead the team in receiving touchdowns at 6-foot-4 and 220 pounds. Still, he needs to be on the field for that to happen. My guess would be that he starts on the perimeter opposite Marquise Brown with Roberts gone, so there's some sort of opportunity here. The issue is that they targeted wide receivers just 172 times last year. Even a 15 percent increase (which is a lot) would bring them up to 200 targets. Without an injury, it's going to be difficult for Boykin to see more than 50-60 targets, even as a starter.
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233.
Giovani Bernard
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
It's kind of crazy how fast everyone fell off the Bernard bandwagon, as he was once considered a borderline RB1. He is obviously behind Joe Mixon on the depth chart, but that's the only player standing between him and a 15-touch role. Mixon is also in a contract year and has threatened a holdout without a new contract. If we get closer to the NFL season and Mixon still hasn't been locked up long term, Bernard should be someone you consider in the late rounds.
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234.
Dan Bailey
K - MIN (at DET)
After two years in which he struggled with his accuracy, Bailey bounced back last season by hitting 93.1% of his field-goal attempts, including hitting all three from 50-plus yards. Unfortunately, he saw just 29 attempts, the third straight year in which he saw fewer than 30. Bailey is a decent option in 15-team leagues, but not worth drafting in smaller ones.
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235.
Will Dissly
TE - SEA (at SF)
Injuries have sadly derailed the production for Dissly, but when on the field, he's been ridiculously good. He's only played 10 games, but in those games, he's posted TE1-type numbers in 60 percent of them. That's the same percentage as George Kittle in his career. Again, it's a small sample size, but as the 31st tight end off the board? He's well worth the risk. And no, don't worry about Greg Olsen.
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236.
Tyler Eifert
TE - JAC (at IND)
We've seen tight ends have success in Jay Gruden's offense and Eifert does have one year of experience in his offense, dating all the way back to 2013. He's on his third straight one-year deal, as no team wants to commit to him. The Jaguars will be racking up the pass attempts, and they did just lose Josh Oliver for the season. It's possible Eifert has streamable weeks, but he's not in the every-week consideration.
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237.
Mason Crosby
K - GB (at CHI)
Crosby is coming off the most accurate year of his career (91.7% on field goals, 40-of-41 extra-point attempts converted). But he saw just 24 field goal attempts after seeing 37 the previous year. The Packers offense isn't what it once was, and Crosby spends the majority of his games kicking outside in cold weather. He's a borderline draftable kicker but there's little to get excited about in 2020.
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238.
Russell Gage
WR - ATL (at TB)
Once Mohamed Sanu was traded, Gage saw a ridiculous 66 targets in nine games, though it did help that both Calvin Ridley and Austin Hooper both missed time during that stretch. I expected the Falcons to fill that role with someone in the draft or free agency, but it never happened, so it's possible we see Gage as a bye-week filler on fantasy rosters, especially if any of the other pass-catchers were to miss time. There isn't much upside here, though. Best case scenario is that we're looking at someone like Cole Beasley from 2019. Again, could play a role in fantasy, but don't see a consistent fantasy producer.
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239.
Michael Badgley
K - LAC (at KC)
Badgley missed the first eight games of the season with a groin injury, but was reliable once he returned. He didn't miss a single field goal from within 45 yards, though he struggled from distance a bit. On a team that should play conservatively and rely on their defense, Badgley should see enough opportunities to warrant consideration in most standard-sized fantasy leagues.
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240.
Cleveland Browns
DST - CLE (vs . PIT)
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241.
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
During the scouting process, I felt like Vaughn was just a guy, not a difference maker. That's not to say he wouldn't be able to produce if given the opportunity, but I don't think opportunity will simply be given to him. Don't forget that David Johnson saw just 161 touches his rookie season under Bruce Arians, and that was while he was extremely efficient. Interestingly enough, he was also a third-round pick. Then, once you hear the Bucs signed Leonard Fournette, you were able to cut bait and move on from Vaughn in redraft leagues.
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242.
Jason Myers
K - SEA (at SF)
Myers' first year in Seattle was a disappointment coming off his stellar 2018 with the Jets. He missed four extra points, and was only 6-of-11 from 40-plus yards. Kicking for Seattle's offense should be a good thing, however, as the Seahawks have a solid offense but often like to play conservatively. But, at this point, Myers is just one of a handful of low-end kickers you can consider drafting in a 12-team league.
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243.
Frank Gore
RB - NYJ (at NE)
Leave it to Adam Gase to bring back Frank Gore for one more season. The last time Gore played for Gase (in 2018), he tallied 722 yards on the ground but failed to score a single touchdown. Now playing behind Le'Veon Bell, Gore is going to be relied upon for 5-8 carries per game, which means very little in the Jets low-scoring offense.
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244.
Danny Amendola
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
Raise your hand if you knew Amendola had 96 targets last year. Now put your hand down, liar. It was his first year with the team and he clearly had a big role, though he turned those 96 targets into just 678 yards and a touchdown. It does help his projection to know that Geronimo Allison opted out, as he's someone who could've stole slot snaps. Despite being targeted five-plus times in 10-of-15 games last year, Amendola topped 47 yards just four times, and it's not as if touchdowns will help make up for that, as he's scored once every 37.9 targets over the course of his 11-year career. He's a last-ditch bye-week option who'll likely have somewhat of a stable floor in PPR formats, but that's about it.
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245.
Jimmy Graham
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
There wasn't a single Bears tight end who recorded 100 yards last year. No, I'm not talking about a game. I'm talking about the entire season. Signing Graham isn't something they should've done to solve that issue. He'll be 34 years old in November and has averaged just 6.5 yards per target the last three years, and that's despite playing with Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers. At 6-foot-6 and 260 pounds, he can still come down with a jump ball from time-to-time, but he's not someone you should hinge your fantasy season on. He's a streamer, at best.
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246.
Tre'Quan Smith
WR - NO (at CAR)
It seems many have simply forgotten that Smith is still on the roster despite being a third-round pick by the Saints just two years ago. It's fair considering he's seen just 69 targets in that span, but what if Michael Thomas had to miss some time? Smith has averaged a ridiculously high 9.6 yards per target in his first two seasons and can be lined up all over the field. He's also scored a touchdown every 6.9 targets (10 of them on 69 career targets). If you play in a dynasty league and Smith can be had on the cheap, make that move. It's very possible he'd be the top receiver on the team if Thomas were held out, as he has experience in the offense and the Saints have every reason to want him to succeed. Keep him on waiver wire speed dial in redraft leagues.
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247.
Chris Boswell
K - PIT (at CLE)
After a disastrous 2018 season, Boswell bounced back in a big way last year, hitting 93.5% of his field-goal attempts and all 28 of his extra-point attempts. Boswell's upside is limited somewhat by Heinz Field, a notoriously difficult place to kick because of its turf. Indeed, Boswell has attempted just 11 field goals of 50-plus yards in his five seasons. Nevertheless, with Ben Roethlisberger returning, the Steelers offense should move the ball with ease, providing Boswell with plenty of opportunities, which should make up for the lack of long attempts.
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248.
Ryan Fitzpatrick
QB - MIA (at BUF)
Fitzpatrick is going to start the season at quarterback for the Dolphins, but with Tua Tagovailoa waiting in the wings, it's unclear how long he'll last. Fitzpatrick closed 2019 strong with the Dolphins, and was a top-five fantasy quarterback over the final five weeks. But the Dolphins have perhaps the worst offensive line in football and are unlikely to compete for a playoff spot. He's only worth drafting as a backup in superflex or two-quarterback leagues and, even then, don't expect to be able to roster him past the midpoint of the season.
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249.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - GB (at CHI)
It seems that Valdes-Scantling got on the bad side of Aaron Rodgers early in his career, and then a move from the slot to the perimeter essentially decimated his fantasy potential. But did something happen this offseason that could get him back on track to the top-40 receiver he was being drafted as in 2019 fantasy drafts? Geronimo Allison was allowed to let walk in free agency, vacating the slot role once again. Valdes-Scantling seems like the natural replacement, as Davante Adams and Allen Lazard aren't primary slot receivers. That's great news considering Valdes-Scantling has averaged 1.02 more fantasy points per target in the slot than he has on the perimeter. That's the second-highest gap in football over the last two years, so you can say he's slot-dependent. If he can get back on Aaron Rodgers' good side, he'll have some streamer-worthy weeks.
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250.
Chris Conley
WR - JAC (at IND)
Not many realize just how good of a year Conley had in 2019, racking up 90 targets, 47 receptions, 775 yards, and five touchdowns. It may not matter, though. The Jaguars drafted his eventual replacement in Laviska Shenault in the second round of the NFL Draft, so it's only a matter of time before Conley is booted from the starting lineup. Shenault did have offseason core muscle surgery, so it's possible Conley can hold him to start the year, but that's far from a guarantee.
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251.
Anthony McFarland Jr.
RB - PIT (at CLE)
The Steelers have already said that if James Conner is healthy, they want him to be that "lead back" that Mike Tomlin has always leaned on. They also said they believe Benny Snell can be that guy if something were to happen to Conner. That doesn't mean McFarland will be chopped liver, but it does mean he's not going to be a 10-plus touch running back without injury. I've compared McFarland to Chris Thompson, which would make sense based on the Steelers' comments on the power running backs. If he gets 6-10 touches per week, he has enough explosion on a per-play basis to make an impact at times, but nothing you want to rely on consistently.
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252.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
I believe the Bengals selected their eventual A.J. Green replacement in Higgins. He's not the most physically gifted or athletic receiver, but Higgins continually makes plays look easy. The game simply comes to him naturally. He has a lot of room to grow as a complete receiver, though, so he should be learning and paying attention to Green's habits throughout the 2020 season. Should Green miss time, Higgins would likely get the nod over the inefficient Auden Tate, who finished 23 spots lower than he should've based on his expected fantasy output. Some are expecting Higgins to start as the No. 3 wide receiver over John Ross, but I'm not one of them, especially with the shortened offseason. If any of the starters were to miss time, Higgins would absolutely be worth a pickup.
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253.
Brandon McManus
K - DEN (vs . LV)
McManus bounced back from a few sub-par years, hitting 85.3% of his field-goal attempts and all but one of his extra-point attempts. The biggest difference for McManus was that he saw 34 field-goal tries, second-most of his career. With more offensive weapons for Drew Lock and a sturdy defense, McManus should again see plenty of chances. In the thin air in Denver, he's a decent bet to finish as a top-12 kicker, though should probably be drafted only in 15-team leagues.
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254.
Jalen Richard
RB - LV (at DEN)
It's odd that Richard was re-signed to the Raiders roster when they said they wanted to get Josh Jacobs more involved in the passing game, as Richard is the primary competition. Not just that, but they then drafted running back/wide receiver Lynn Bowden in the second round. However we slice it, Richard isn't likely to top the 43 targets he got in 2019, which makes him a non-factor in fantasy leagues.
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255.
New York Jets
DST - NYJ (at NE)
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256.
Rex Burkhead
RB - NE (vs . NYJ)
With Tom Brady out of town, we know the Patriots are going to be running the ball much more. The issue is that they've shown a significant amount of trust in Sony Michel, invested a third-round pick on Damien Harris, and James White isn't going anywhere. That's a lot of mouths to feed. Burkhead is someone you look to if there's injuries to others, but it's unlikely he's an asset with everyone healthy.
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257.
Chase Claypool
WR - PIT (at CLE)
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258.
Josh Reynolds
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
Did the draft pick of Van Jefferson affect Josh Reynolds' role as the No. 3 receiver in the offense? Jefferson fits more of the Brandin Cooks mold than Reynolds, which is where there's some hesitance to draft Reynolds in 2020. However, we do have a history that shows when he is in the starting lineup, he produces. In the 14 games he's seen four-plus targets, he's totaled 46 receptions for 613 yards and seven touchdowns. There's a chance he's being underdrafted, but there's also a chance that he remains the No. 4 receiver on the team.
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259.
Gus Edwards
RB - BAL (at CIN)
Edwards could probably be a star if he got a full workload in Baltimore. He's averaged 5.3 yards per carry in his career and has lost just one fumble in two seasons. He would have been a high-end handcuff for Mark Ingram this year, but the addition of J.K. Dobbins essentially relegates Edwards to irrelevancy. He'd almost certainly need multiple injuries to have much fantasy value, and despite the high upside in that unlikely scenario, he's not worth wasting a roster spot on.
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260.
Andy Isabella
WR - ARI (at LAR)
Isabella saw just 13 targets last season after being selected in the second round of the draft, and would have potentially been considered a breakout candidate in deeper leagues heading into the year. Unfortunately, with the addition of DeAndre Hopkins and the return of Larry Fitzgerald, it will be nearly impossible for Isabella to return any value this season. In dynasty leagues, he's worth holding onto, but ignore him for redraft purposes.
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261.
Jace Sternberger
TE - GB (at CHI)
He was a popular late-round pick earlier this offseason, but after he was placed on the COVID list and forced to miss out on training camp, he's falling further down draft boards, and most of the time not being drafted at all. Packers tight ends have failed to eclipse 103 targets combined in six of the last seven years. It typically takes 80-plus targets for a tight end to finish in TE1 territory without tons of touchdowns, and though Rodgers has thrown plenty of those, his tight ends haven't combined for more than nine touchdowns in each of those seven seasons. This would be Sternberger's first trip into the starting lineup, so it's tough to expect much from a young tight end, even though I did like him as a prospect last year. He's someone that you'll be able to use as a streamer from time-to-time, but he won't be your every-week solution at tight end.
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262.
Rashaad Penny
RB - SEA (at SF)
It seems that Penny will start the year on the PUP list after tearing his ACL towards the end of last year. That would knock him out for at least the first six weeks, which is not something fantasy owners should be looking to draft. Even when he returns, we don't know where he stands on the depth chart, as they still have Chris Carson, then drafted DeeJay Dallas in the fourth round, and also signed Carlos Hyde in free agency. Unless you have an IR spot, Penny should be on waivers to start the season.
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263.
Van Jefferson
WR - LAR (vs . ARI)
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264.
Peyton Barber
RB - WAS (at PHI)
Barber never found sustained success with the Bucs, and will now try his hand with the Washington. Washington has a below-average offense with a sub-par offensive line, but his competition for touches has decreased significantly without Adrian Peterson and Derrius Guice. He'll still be competing for touches with J.D. McKissic, Antonio Gibson, and Bryce Love, but there;s a decent chance he seems some early down work. Still, he's only worth drafting as a bench option.
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265.
Joey Slye
K - CAR (vs . NO)
Slye struggled a bit with his accuracy in his rookie year, missing four extra-point attempts and hitting just 78.1% of his field-goal tries. He'll likely see a fair amount of attempts this year with Teddy Bridgewater guiding a decent but less than explosive offense, but he'll need to start converting more of his chances to make him worth drafting in standard-sized leagues.
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266.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
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267.
Brian Hill
RB - ATL (at TB)
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268.
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
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269.
Devine Ozigbo
RB - JAC (at IND)
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270.
Houston Texans
DST - HOU (vs . TEN)
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271.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (vs . PIT)
Not only did the Browns add Austin Hooper in free agency, but they decided to throw down a fourth-round pick on Harrison Bryant, another tight end to add to the mix. The Browns further hurt Njoku's value when they picked up the fifth-year option on his contract. He's in a bad place right now. All dynasty owners can hope is that he's traded.
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272.
Mitchell Trubisky
QB - CHI (vs . GB)
Trubisky will start the season at quarterback for the Bears, but he's one of the last quarterbacks you'd draft in your fantasy league. He regressed significantly last year, rarely pushing the ball down the field and looking tentative all season long. He threw just 17 touchdown passes, had just a 6.1 YPA average, and ran for only 193 yards. Even with Trubisky beginning the year as the starter, he almost certainly won't have much fantasy value, and should be an afterthought on draft day.
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273.
Ito Smith
RB - ATL (at TB)
Some are automatically assuming that Smith is the handcuff to Todd Gurley, but I wouldn't be so sure. The Falcons were talking about benching Smith prior to him getting injured last year. It's not like Brian Hill did a lot to change their mind, but it's likely they'd split the carries among them.
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274.
Washington Football Team
DST - WAS (at PHI)
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275.
Adam Humphries
WR - TEN (at HOU)
Remember when he was a target monster in Tampa Bay just two years ago and finished as a top-30 wide receiver? He dealt with injuries throughout the year, resulting in limited playing time and just 47 targets on the season. Even worse is that once A.J. Brown entered the lineup on a full-time basis, Humphries didn't see more than four targets in a game. Even if Humphries were to do something, it's not going to make you wonder how you missed it, because his ceiling is a fringe WR3. Shoot for upside in the later rounds. He doesn't have it.
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276.
Austin Seibert
K - CIN (vs . BAL)
Seibert was adequate last year hitting 86.2% of his field-goal attempts, though he was just 30-of-35 on extra points. The Cleveland offense should be improved this year, so there's a good chance that Seibert will see more than the 29 field-goal chances he saw last year. Still, he's not worth drafting in standard-sized leagues, given his middling accuracy.
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277.
Auden Tate
WR - CIN (vs . BAL)
The return of A.J. Green pushed Tate down the depth chart. The second-round draft pick of Tee Higgins buried him. Despite playing just 12 games, Tate ranked 51st in targets among wide receivers last year with 80 of them. Despite being 6-foot-5 and 228 pounds, he scored on just one of them. Clearly, the Bengals did not think of him as Green's successor. It's possible that he's the handcuff to Green because he knows the offense and played that role last year, but it'd only be a matter of time before the rookie Higgins took over.
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278.
Josh Lambo
K - JAC (at IND)
Lambo had an outstanding 2019 season, hitting all but one of 34 field-goal attempts, including all four of his attempts from at least 50 yards. The Jaguars are likely to be playing from behind often this year, which could limit his chances. But given that he's hit at least 90.5% of his field-goal attempts in each of the last three seasons, he's worth considering as one of the last kickers off the board in deeper leagues.
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279.
Nick Foles
QB - CHI (vs . GB)
Foles will begin the year backing up Mitch Trubisky. Although he had an incredible 2013 season and a magical playoff run culminating in an Eagles Super Bowl, he hasn't been fantasy-relevant at many points in his career. Foles has experience with Bill Lazor, John DeFilippo, and Juan Castillo, and could fit in in nicely with the Bears if given a shot. But for now, as a backup, he should be off the fantasy radar.
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280.
KJ Hamler
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
It's tough to like a rookie who's likely the fifth option in the passing game, right? I'll tell you that Hamler is a baller and can play both in the slot and on the perimeter. He's likely going to break a few plays this year that have you wondering if he's worth a pickup, but we must always go back to the fact that he's the fifth option (Sutton, Jeudy, Fant, Gordon all ahead) on a run-heavy team that will only come on the field in 3WR sets. If there's an injury to one of Jeudy or Sutton, he's someone I'd snag off waivers, but you don't need to draft him.
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281.
Jacksonville Jaguars
DST - JAC (at IND)
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282.
Zach Pascal
WR - IND (vs . JAC)
The only two wide receivers who know the offense and have been able to put in time with their new quarterback are Pascal and Parris Campbell. Is it possible that Pascal is better than everyone thinks? Pascal averaged 8.4 yards per target last year while playing with Jacoby Brissett and Brian Hoyer, which included five games of 72 yards or more. Knowing that T.Y. Hilton is dealing with a hamstring injury and that Michael Pittman is a rookie, it's possible that Pascal is in the starting lineup. With so much uncertainty around the 2020 NFL season, Pascal could be an early-season waiver wire pickup if he plays 50-plus snaps in Week 1.
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283.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - KC (vs . LAC)
Despite playing in one of the best offenses in football, Robinson has one little from a fantasy perspective. He set or tied career-highs last year with 55 targets, 32 receptions, 449 receiving yards, and four touchdowns, but it will take far more than that for him to get on the fantasy radar. Behind Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, and Mecole Hardman, Robinson needs injuries to one or more of the other receivers to have any relevancy.
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284.
LeSean McCoy
RB - TB (vs . ATL)
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285.
Antonio Gandy-Golden
WR - WAS (at PHI)
Everyone is talking about Antonio Gibson as the physical specimen on the team, but Gandy-Golden is remarkable in his own right. He doesn't run a 4.39-second 40-yard dash, but he is very agile for a player who's 6-foot-4 and 223 pounds. The biggest question mark with him is his adjustment to the stiffer competition, as he dominated at Liberty, racking up 2,433 yards and 20 touchdowns over his two years there. Once Kelvin Harmon went down with a torn ACL, it opened a door for Gandy-Golden to play opposite Terry McLaurin and make his mark. With no legitimate tight end on the roster, we could see Gandy-Golden become a favorite inside the red zone. Not that we're expecting Dwayne Haskins to throw 25-plus touchdowns, but we didn't expect anything from McLaurin last year, right? I'll be reporting on his snaps in The Primer after Week 1, so make sure you stay tuned. Given the leap in competition, he may start out behind veteran Dontrelle Inman.
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286.
Stephen Gostkowski
K - TEN (at HOU)
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287.
Tua Tagovailoa
QB - MIA (at BUF)
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288.
Matt Gay
K - LAR (vs . ARI)
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289.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (at CIN)
It was a shame we didn't get to see Hill in a bigger role last year, but we all felt that Mark Ingram was a year closer to the end, and Gus Edwards was going to be a free agent. Well... Ingram is still closer to retirement, but Edwards was retained by the team, and then they went and drafted JK Dobbins in the second round, eliminating the shot of Hill getting a bigger role. He's going to be stuck in the 4-6 touches per game role unless there are multiple injuries.
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290.
Detroit Lions
DST - DET (vs . MIN)
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291.
Atlanta Falcons
DST - ATL (at TB)
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292.
Phillip Dorsett II
WR - SEA (at SF)
It's kind of crazy how some wide receivers are just glued to elite quarterbacks no matter where they go. Dorsett fits that bill after playing with Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, and now Russell Wilson. With no offseason, it may be difficult for him to get the nod over Moore, but if he did, his skill set would probably fit very well with Wilson. I say that because Wilson completed 48.2 percent of his passes over 20 yards and had a QB Rating of 119.2 on them. While in New England last year, he saw 17 deep balls, though only five were catchable. He caught all of them for 192 yards and three touchdowns. Both are battling for the No. 3 in targets, so it's not like either will be a weekly producer, but Dorsett is the one with the better pedigree, and his skill set aligns with Wilson's strength. If Lockett were to miss time, Dorsett actually played very well in the slot for the Patriots, catching 13-of-14 targets for 218 yards and three touchdowns. He's someone I've snagged quite a few times at the end of best ball drafts.
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293.
Daniel Carlson
K - LV (at DEN)
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294.
Darwin Thompson
RB - KC (vs . LAC)
Remember when Thompson had an incredible preseason and everyone wanted to draft him as the potential starter in this backfield? One year and 46 touches later, no one is drafting the second-year running back. He'd need multiple injuries to find his way into fantasy relevance, as both Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Damien Williams are well ahead of him on the depth chart.
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295.
Vance McDonald
TE - PIT (at CLE)
McDonald has always felt like he could be a breakout candidate one year, but those feelings are gone by this point. Although he'll return with the Steelers, Eric Ebron should see the primary snaps from the tight end position, making McDonald an afterthought in fantasy. Either way, the oft-injured McDonald has cleared 391 receiving yards and 38 catches just once in his career, and is no longer a fantasy option, even in deeper leagues.
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296.
Darren Fells
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
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297.
Royce Freeman
RB - DEN (vs . LV)
Freeman carved out a role on the short side of a platoon with Phillip Lindsay in the first half of the season, particularly with his involvement as a receiver. But the Broncos turned over nearly full control of the backfield to Lindsay toward the latter half of the season, and Freeman lost nearly all value. Now, with Melvin Gordon in the fold, it's nearly impossible to see Freeman adding any fantasy value absent multiple injuries. There's no reason to be concerned about him other than in extremely deep leagues.
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298.
Dion Lewis
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
Lewis is highly unlikely to see significant touches so long as Saquon Barkley is healthy. Even if Barkley were to get injured, Lewis is now 29 years old and does not have the frame to take over every-down work. In other words, his best-case scenario is 10-12 touches with work in the passing game, and there are obstacles to reach that point. There's little reason to consider Lewis in your fantasy draft.
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299.
Carolina Panthers
DST - CAR (vs . NO)
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300.
Olabisi Johnson
WR - MIN (at DET)
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301.
Ryan Succop
K - TB (vs . ATL)
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302.
Dustin Hopkins
K - WAS (at PHI)
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303.
Jaylen Samuels
RB - PIT (at CLE)
Samuels has received just 122 carries in his first two seasons, and although he can factor in as a receiver at times, he doesn't have a path to regular playing time. Even if James Conner deals with injuries again, Benny Snell Jr. and Anthony McFarland Jr. stand in Samuels' way. He's relevant only in extremely deep PPR leagues and barely so even there.
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304.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
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305.
Willie Snead IV
WR - BAL (at CIN)
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306.
Cameron Brate
TE - TB (vs . ATL)
Brate has plenty of talent, but has now become known more as second fiddle to O.J. Howard. Now, with Rob Gronkowski added, Brate is unlikely to be relevant even in tight end-premium leagues, particularly in Bruce Arians' system. Absent a trade, forget about Brate on draft day.
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307.
Arizona Cardinals
DST - ARI (at LAR)
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308.
Mike Boone
RB - MIN (at DET)
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309.
Dan Arnold
TE - ARI (at LAR)
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310.
Devin Duvernay
WR - BAL (at CIN)
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311.
J.D. McKissic
RB - WAS (at PHI)
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312.
Nelson Agholor
WR - LV (at DEN)
Agholor has never made the most of his opportunities, struggling with drops throughout his five-year career. Now with the Raiders, even if a fresh start would have done him some good, there's simply no room for him to find fantasy production. Even with Tyrell Williams out for the season, behind Henry Ruggs, and Hunter Renfrow, not to mention the presence of Bryan Edwards and Zay Jones, it's almost impossible to envision a scenario where fantasy managers are starting Agholor at any point.
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313.
C.J. Uzomah
TE - CIN (vs . BAL)
The combination of Uzomah and Tyler Eifert totaled 103 targets last year, which isn't bad on the surface, but the tight ends amounted for just a 17.4 percent target share despite A.J. Green missing the entire season. It did seem like Uzomah took over as the starter as the year went on, catching 16-of-20 targets for 125 yards and two touchdowns over the final five games of the season. It surely helped that Sample was inactive from Week 11 forward. Knowing that Sample was a second-round pick under this coaching staff, they're likely going to look for reasons to get him on the field. Sample did grade out as a better blocker than Uzomah in both run and pass blocking, too. They're both going to get playing time, but they'll cancel each other out when it comes to upside. Unless one misses time, it'll be a situation to avoid.
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314.
Logan Thomas
TE - WAS (at PHI)
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315.
David Moore
WR - SEA (at SF)
Moore took a step back in 2019, catching just 17 passes and scoring two touchdowns. Now, he'll fall out of even three-receiver sets, with Phillip Dorsett on board. Even with an injury in front of him, it seems doubtful that Moore would be worth rostering, so ignore him on draft day and likely beyond.
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316.
La'Mical Perine
RB - NYJ (at NE)
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317.
Greg Ward
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
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318.
Justin Herbert
QB - LAC (at KC)
|
|
319.
Randy Bullock
K - CIN (vs . BAL)
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320.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
WR,RB - MIA (at BUF)
Bowden Jr. was traded to the Dolphins on September 5th. The Raiders signing of Theo Riddick was, in hindsight, a sign that Bowden may have been struggling to pick up the offense. It's unclear what his role will be with the Dolphins, but it's unlikely that he'll be fantasy relevant in 2020.
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321.
Devonta Freeman
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
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322.
Mohamed Sanu
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
The Patriots cut Sanu despite giving up a second-round pick for him in the middle of the 2019 season. He'll surely latch on somewhere else, but considering he's rarely had fantasy value in his career in a good offense with Atlanta, it's unlikely he'll be able to join a new team and suddenly find value there. Ignore him on draft day even in the deepest of leagues.
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323.
Scotty Miller
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
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324.
Jordan Akins
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
Not many realize the Texans tight ends saw a very respectable 19.1 percent target share in 2019, and that was with DeAndre Hopkins on the roster. Knowing the defense is likely taking another step back, we could see increased pass attempts, and a higher target total available. The issue is that Fells and Akins shared the role, though not many realize it was Akins who led them with 55 targets, 36 receptions, and 418 yards. The only thing Fells beat him in was touchdowns, as his seven trumped Akins' two. Based on what we saw out of Akins last year, we should expect the third-year player to take a step forward in 2020, and with a little touchdown luck, he might be an underrated fantasy option. You don't need to draft him in standard 1TE leagues, but you can consider him a streamer in good matchups if my projections hold true.
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325.
DeAndre Washington
RB - MIA (at BUF)
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326.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - SEA (at SF)
|
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327.
Las Vegas Raiders
DST - LV (at DEN)
|
|
328.
Stephen Hauschka
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
329.
Josh Gordon
WR - SEA (at SF)
|
|
330.
Sam Sloman
K - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
331.
Cordarrelle Patterson
WR,RB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
332.
Chase McLaughlin
K - JAC (at IND)
|
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333.
Brett Maher
K - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
334.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - JAC (at IND)
|
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335.
Rodrigo Blankenship
K - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
336.
Ted Ginn Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
337.
Devin Asiasi
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
338.
Trey Burton
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
339.
Tyler Bass
K - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
340.
Wayne Gallman
RB - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
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341.
Eno Benjamin
RB - ARI (at LAR)
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342.
DaeSean Hamilton
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
He's buried with the acquisitions of Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. I'd argue that Hamilton had his chance to make a dent in the league last year, as he was the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver behind Courtland Sutton but didn't really earn much with his role. He saw 52 targets but caught just 53 percent of them for 297 yards and one touchdown. The Broncos said no thanks to his 5.5 yards per target through the first two years of his career. He's has more talent than what we've seen, but he's not an enticing option in fantasy football.
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343.
Justin Rohrwasser
K - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
344.
Nick Boyle
TE - BAL (at CIN)
|
|
345.
Keke Coutee
WR - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
346.
Mike Davis
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
347.
Aldrick Rosas
K - JAC (at IND)
|
|
348.
Jakeem Grant
WR - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
349.
Patrick Laird
RB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
350.
Damiere Byrd
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
351.
Miami Dolphins
DST - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
352.
Jordan Wilkins
RB - IND (vs . JAC)
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|
353.
Jason Witten
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
354.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
355.
Corey Clement
RB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
356.
Qadree Ollison
RB - ATL (at TB)
|
|
357.
Reggie Bonnafon
RB - CAR (vs . NO)
|
|
358.
T.J. Yeldon
RB - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
359.
Jacob Hollister
TE - SEA (at SF)
Hollister made the most of his opportunity to get into the starting lineup last year, putting up a 41-349-3 line in 11 games. Unfortunately for Hollister, the Seahawks brought in Greg Olsen this offseason, and Will Dissly looks like he should be ready to contribute early in the season. That puts plenty of roadblocks between Hollister and fantasy-relevance, so he can be firmly ignored on draft day.
|
|
360.
Jarrett Stidham
QB - NE (vs . NYJ)
Unsurprisingly, Stidham lost the starting quarterback job to Cam Newton. He may still be the future in New England, but for 2020, he's purely a backup with little upside even if he eventually takes over should Newton be injured. Ignore him for redraft purposes.
|
|
361.
Jason Sanders
K - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
362.
Bo Scarbrough
RB - SEA (at SF)
|
|
363.
Lamar Miller
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
364.
Taysom Hill
QB - NO (at CAR)
|
|
365.
Keelan Cole Sr.
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
366.
Cincinnati Bengals
DST - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
367.
Isaiah Ford
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
368.
Dante Pettis
WR - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
369.
Robert Tonyan
TE - GB (at CHI)
|
|
370.
New York Giants
DST - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
371.
Graham Gano
K - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
372.
Jameis Winston
QB - NO (at CAR)
|
|
373.
Myles Gaskin
RB - MIA (at BUF)
|
|
374.
Trent Taylor
WR - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
375.
Ryan Nall
RB - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
376.
Ryan Griffin
TE - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
377.
Dontrelle Inman
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
378.
Travis Homer
RB - SEA (at SF)
|
|
379.
Ty Montgomery
RB - NO (at CAR)
Montgomery is an interesting one to keep your eye on. If there's someone who can semi-replicate the role that Alvin Kamara plays on the Saints, it's him. He's still a solid pass-catcher out of the backfield, which we know has value in the Saints passing game. If something should happen to Kamara, everyone would flock to Latavius Murray, and rightfully so. Still, Montgomery would have a role that could produce some fantasy points.
|
|
380.
Jordan Reed
TE - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
381.
Joe Reed
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
382.
Justin Watson
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
383.
Antonio Brown
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
384.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
385.
Quintez Cephus
WR - DET (vs . MIN)
The Lions tried to add depth this offseason, snagging Geronimo Allison in free agency, then snagging Cephus in the fifth round of the NFL Draft. We've learned that Allison has opted out of the season, meaning Cephus may be one injury away from starting for the Lions. I'll be honest... Cephus was a top-10 wide receiver in this draft class and I was really curious where he'd land. Knowing Marvin Jones has dealt with injuries over the last few years and that Danny Amendola will be 35 years old in a few months, there's a chance we see Cephus on the field sooner than expected. He's a name to pay attention to should there be an injury ahead of him on the depth chart.
|
|
386.
Adam Trautman
TE - NO (at CAR)
|
|
387.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
388.
Rashard Higgins
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
389.
Jalen Hurts
QB - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
390.
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR - GB (at CHI)
The Packers are apparently "looking forward" to getting St. Brown back in the lineup after an injury-plagued season in 2019. What exactly does that mean? I'm not sure, but it seems he'll be in the mix now that Devin Funchess has opted out. Knowing the Packers wide receivers totaled just 306 targets last year, it's hard to say that their No. 4 option should be drafted, especially when Davante Adams averages 11.0 targets per game over the last two years, but he's a name to keep on waiver wire speed dial in case anything changes. Aaron Rodgers has supported multiple fantasy relevant receivers plenty of times.
|
|
391.
Tim Patrick
WR - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
392.
Marcus Mariota
QB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
393.
Jeremy Sprinkle
TE - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
394.
Eddy Pineiro
K - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
395.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
396.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (vs . BAL)
|
|
397.
Adam Vinatieri
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
398.
Sam Ficken
K - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
399.
Tyler Johnson
WR - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
400.
Dalton Keene
TE - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
401.
Nick Folk
K - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
402.
Kai Forbath
K - LAR (vs . ARI)
|
|
403.
Andy Dalton
QB - DAL (at NYG)
|
|
404.
Tajae Sharpe
WR - MIN (at DET)
|
|
405.
Devontae Booker
RB - LV (at DEN)
|
|
406.
Ty Johnson
RB - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
407.
Kaden Smith
TE - NYG (vs . DAL)
|
|
408.
Foster Moreau
TE - LV (at DEN)
|
|
409.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
410.
KeeSean Johnson
WR - ARI (at LAR)
|
|
411.
John Hightower
WR - PHI (vs . WAS)
|
|
412.
Kahale Warring
TE - HOU (vs . TEN)
|
|
413.
Anthony Firkser
TE - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
414.
Jacoby Brissett
QB - IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
415.
Zay Jones
WR - LV (at DEN)
|
|
416.
Kalif Raymond
WR - TEN (at HOU)
|
|
417.
Chris Hogan
WR - NYJ (at NE)
|
|
418.
Jalen Guyton
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
419.
Gunner Olszewski
WR - NE (vs . NYJ)
|
|
420.
Kalen Ballage
RB - LAC (at KC)
|
|
421.
Greg Joseph
K - TB (vs . ATL)
|
|
422.
Gabriel Davis
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
423.
Javon Wims
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
424.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WR - ATL (at TB)
|
|
425.
Albert Okwuegbunam
TE - DEN (vs . LV)
|
|
426.
Derrius Guice
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
427.
Paul Richardson Jr.
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
428.
Demaryius Thomas
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
429.
Jake Kumerow
WR - BUF (vs . MIA)
|
|
430.
K.J. Hill
WR - LAC (at KC)
|
|
431.
Delanie Walker
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
432.
Maxx Williams
TE - ARI (at LAR)
Do you know how many times a Cardinals tight end saw more than three targets last year? Once. It was in Week 17. How many times did they score more than 7.1 half PPR points? Three times. There's no upside or targets in Kliff Kingsbury's offense for a tight end, especially knowing they added DeAndre Hopkins to the offense.
|
|
433.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - SF (vs . SEA)
|
|
434.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
WR - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
435.
Riley Ridley
WR - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
436.
Ricky Seals-Jones
TE - KC (vs . LAC)
|
|
437.
Bilal Powell
RB - FA (BYE)
|
|
438.
Trey Quinn
WR - JAC (at IND)
|
|
439.
Dontrell Hilliard
RB - CLE (vs . PIT)
|
|
440.
Jesse James
TE - DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
441.
Josh Hill
TE - NO (at CAR)
|
|
442.
Kyle Allen
QB - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
443.
Cairo Santos
K - CHI (vs . GB)
|
|
444.
Taylor Gabriel
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
445.
Seth Roberts
WR - GB (at CHI)
|
|
446.
Matt Bryant
K - FA (BYE)
|
|
447.
Robert Foster
WR - WAS (at PHI)
|
|
448. Ameer Abdullah RB - MIN (at DET) |