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Fantasy Football Player Notes

2024 Draft Rankings

Christian McCaffrey Note
Christian McCaffrey photo 1. Christian McCaffrey RB - SF (at ARI)
McCaffrey remained "THE DUDE" at running back in fantasy last year. He was the RB1 in fantasy, finishing as an RB1 in 81% of his games and as a top 24 RB in every game he played. McCaffrey averaged 21.2 touches and 126.5 total yards per game while ranking second in carries, fourth in targets, and first in red zone touches among running backs. There's no reason to expect a falloff entering 2024. His deeper efficiency metrics all scream that he remains in the prime of his career after ranking fourth in explosive run rate and 10th in yards after contact last season (per Fantasy Points Data).
4 days ago
CeeDee Lamb Note
CeeDee Lamb photo 2. CeeDee Lamb WR - DAL (vs . WAS)
Lamb finally did it. He DID IT! He finished as the WR1 in fantasy points per game while going on an absolute heater to close the season. Lamb surpassed 100 receiving yards in seven of his final 12 games, including a monstrous 227 receiving yard performance in Week 17. Last year, among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked fourth in target share (29.2%), fifth in yards per route run (2.90), and eighth in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). There's nothing to stop him from challenging for the WR1 crown again in 2024, with Dallas running it back with almost the same cast of skilled characters. Lamb should eat.
4 days ago
Tyreek Hill Note
Tyreek Hill photo 3. Tyreek Hill WR - MIA (at NYJ)
Tyreek Hill had arguably a career-best season last year. He finished with career highs in targets (171), receiving yards (1,799), and fantasy points per game (23.5) as the WR2 in fantasy. Hill was similarly stellar in every efficiency and market share stat you can find. He was first in target share (31.1%), second in air-yard share (42.2%), and first in yards per route run (4.05) and first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). There's no reason to expect any falloff in 2024. Hill is a top-five pick in fantasy football.
4 days ago
Ja'Marr Chase Note
Ja'Marr Chase photo 4. Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN (at PIT)
Chase's 2023 season was ruined by injury both with his quarterback (Joe Burrow) and his late-season shoulder sprain. In Weeks 1-4, while Burrow was looking like a shadow of his former self, Chase was still the WR23, drawing a 27.0% target share, a 34.6% air-yard share, and a 36.2% first-read share while producing 1.81 yards per route run (YPRR) and 0.102 first downs per route run (FD/RR). In Weeks 5-10, when Burrow was back to dealing, Chase was the WR4 in fantasy, commanding a 28.4% target share, a 43.1% air-yard share, and a 34.5% first read share while churning out a whopping 2.69 YPRR and 0.145 FD/RR. Chase should be viewed as a consensus top-four wide receiver and a top-three pick in fantasy.
4 days ago
Justin Jefferson Note
Justin Jefferson photo 5. Justin Jefferson WR - MIN (at DET)
Despite dealing with injuries and bad quarterback play for part of the season, Jefferson finished as the WR5 in fantasy points per game. If you exclude Week 14, in which he played only 18% of the snaps, he was the WR4 in fantasy points per game. Even after Week 14, when he was suffering through the quarterback roulette wheel, Jefferson still churned out 22.1 fantasy points per game while drawing a 30.1% target share, manufacturing 3.03 YPRR, and blazing 0.134 FD/RR (ninth-best, per Fantasy Points Data). Jefferson is quarterback-proof, so it doesn't matter to me whether Sam Darnold or J.J. McCarthy is under center this season. Jefferson has proven he can still be a top-five fantasy wideout with putrid passers. If Darnold and McCarthy outperform expectations, Jefferson could still have WR1 overall upside.
4 days ago
Amon-Ra St. Brown Note
Amon-Ra St. Brown photo 6. Amon-Ra St. Brown WR - DET (vs . MIN)
St. Brown proved yet again last year that his talent is real, and he should be considered a top-shelf WR1 in all formats. St. Brown finished as the WR4 in fantasy while ranking top-five in receiving yards (1,515), red zone targets (third-most), and receiving touchdowns (10, fifth-best). St. Brown ranked fourth in first downs per route run and seventh in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). St. Brown should be a locked-in mid-first-round pick this year with a top-three wide receiver upside.
4 days ago
Bijan Robinson Note
Bijan Robinson photo 7. Bijan Robinson RB - ATL (vs . CAR)
The Arthur Smith experiment capsized what could have been an enormous rookie season for Robinson. He ranked ninth in snap share, third in targets, sixth in receptions, and fourth in receiving yards among running backs, but he finished as the RB17 in fantasy points per game. Robinson was the RB12 in expected fantasy points per game, but his opportunity share ranked 31st, and he was also 32nd in red zone touches with Smith's insistence on utilizing Tyler Allgeier. If Robinson receives the bulk of the high-leverage touches under the new Falcons regime, he should crush in 2024. Last year, he ranked 23rd in explosive run rate, 17th in yards after contact per attempt, and 25th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Robinson is a locked-in RB1 for 2024.
4 days ago
Breece Hall Note
Breece Hall photo 8. Breece Hall RB - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Despite recuperating from an extensive knee injury, it didn't derail Hall in his second season. He finished the season as the RB6 in fantasy points per game with 299 touches and 1,585 total yards. Hall was 12th in opportunity share and second in weighted opportunities, and in Weeks 5-18, he averaged 20.2 touches and 102.5 total yards. A huge part of his value last season came from his pass game usage, as he led all running backs in targets, receiving yards, and receptions. While some of this was part of the fallout of Zach Wilson at the helm, Hall should remain a focal point for the passing attack in 2024. He was a baller as a receiver last season, ranking third in yards per route run and fourth in expected fantasy points per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Hall is a top-five fantasy running back in all formats.
4 days ago
A.J. Brown Note
A.J. Brown photo 9. A.J. Brown WR - PHI (vs . NYG)
Brown has cemented his status as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL after he arrived in Philly with back-to-back WR8 finishes in fantasy points per game. The Eagles' offense went off the rails last year with pitiful play calling, but with Kellen Moore in town that hopefully gets rectified. There's no reason Brown can produce top-ten numbers at the wide receiver position again in 2024 with top-five status in his range of outcomes. Brown remains in the prime of his career after ranking eighth in yards per route run and seventh in first downs per route run last season (per Fantasy Points Data).
4 days ago
Puka Nacua Note
Puka Nacua photo 10. Puka Nacua WR - LAR (vs . SEA)
Everyone HURRY! Get it. Grab it. Got it? Good. Pop the tops on those Puka Juice 40s; it's time to CHUG! Nacua had a rookie season for the ages, finishing as the WR6 in fantasy points per game. He set rookie records for receptions and receiving yards. Even after Cooper Kupp returned, he led the duo in target share (25.4%), air-yard share (32.7%), YPRR (2.61, and fantasy points per game (WR12). Nacua could access another level in his sophomore campaign if Matthew Stafford stays healthy and Kupp's powers diminish just a tiny bit more. Nacua could finish as a top-three option at the position this season if everything breaks his way.
4 days ago
Jonathan Taylor Note
Jonathan Taylor photo 11. Jonathan Taylor RB - IND (vs . JAC)
It was a weird year for Jonathan Taylor all around. From contract disputes to injuries, we rarely got to see Taylor fully ramped up and healthy in 2023. Entering his age-25 season, Taylor remains firmly in the prime of his career. In Weeks 7-18, he handled 21 touches per game, churning out 99.4 total yards per game. While many of his efficiency metrics were depressed last season, Taylor still ranked 13th in yards after contact per attempt, which tells me all I need to know. He's still one of the best backs in the league and should remain a locked-in RB1 after finishing last season as the RB12 in fantasy points per game. A rushing attack fueled by Taylor and Anthony Richardson should be a nightmare for defensive coordinators this season.
4 days ago
Garrett Wilson Note
Garrett Wilson photo 12. Garrett Wilson WR - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Assuming Wilson stays healthy in 2024 (which I do), his ascension into the WR1 ranks is a foregone conclusion. Last year, he had no problem drawing the volume that will help him be a top 12 option, ranking ninth in target share (27.1%), first in air-yard share (45.8%), and fifth in first-read share (36.8%). The problem was obvious last year when there was no Aaron Rodgers. The quarterback play was abysmal. Last season, the Jets ranked 30th in adjusted completion rate and 27th in catchable target rate. With Rodgers back in the huddle, Wilson is an easy WR1 with top-five upside
4 days ago
Jahmyr Gibbs Note
Jahmyr Gibbs photo 13. Jahmyr Gibbs RB - DET (vs . MIN)
Every nerd who said the Lions were foolish for selecting Gibbs in the first round has a tiny bit of egg on their face. Gibbs finished the season as the RB8 in fantasy points per game and fantasy points per opportunity. He was a tackle-breaking blur last season, ranking 18th in yards after contact per attempt and 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). After David Montgomery returned from injury, Gibbs averaged 14.1 touches and 73.1 total yards per game. Montgomery isn't going anywhere, but that doesn't mean Gibbs can't be a top-shelf RB1 again in 2024.
4 days ago
Saquon Barkley Note
Saquon Barkley photo 14. Saquon Barkley RB - PHI (vs . NYG)
The Philly front office has officially gaslit the entire Giants' fanbase. Barkley's move to the Eagles might be met with some blowback because people are worried about his touchdown equity with Jalen Hurts. Barkley and D'Andre Swift are not close to being in the same talent area code. Bringing in Barkley means we likely see a downtick of Hurts' goalline dives in 2024. While the overall counting stats for Barkley look depressed, he's still very much an every-down bell cow with juice left in the tank entering his age-27 season. Last season, he played at least 70% of the snaps in 11 of his 14 games while ranking second in opportunity share and ninth in weighted opportunities. Last season, Barkley was still an explosive player, ranking 17th in explosive run rate, but his tackle-breaking metrics took a hit as he was 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt (minimum 50 carries per Fantasy Points Data). Barkley remains a stud RB1.
4 days ago
Derrick Henry Note
Derrick Henry photo 15. Derrick Henry RB - BAL (vs . CLE)
Some players are simply built differently. Henry has and remains one of those guys. Last year, at age 29, he ranked first in rushing attempts and second in rushing yards while showing little drop-off in his efficiency metrics. Last season, among 68 qualifying backs, Henry ranked ninth in explosive run rate and 11th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). While he will cross the dreaded age 30 threshold this year, it's tough to project a drop-off for Henry and any reasons that he can't continue to chug along as an RB1., especially when Henry has proven over the last two seasons that his pass game utility should increase despite his advancing age. Over the last two years, Henry has ranked 11th and 14th in TPRR and seventh and first in YPRR among backs. The big fellow isn't slowing down. Continue to believe in the King in 2024 as the Ravens' workhorse back.
4 days ago
Deebo Samuel Sr. Note
Deebo Samuel Sr. photo 16. Deebo Samuel Sr. WR - SF (at ARI)
Last year, Samuel bounced back after a down year as the WR12 in fantasy points per game. His dynamic playmaking ability and lucrative red zone role (14th in red zone targets) led to 12 total touchdowns (fourth-most). Samuel was the 49ers' go-to weapon against two-high coverages while also flashing strong overall efficiency numbers. Samuel was 14th in yards per route run and 30th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Samuel could easily finish as a WR1 again in 2024, but he's probably better viewed as a WR2.
4 days ago
Josh Allen Note
Josh Allen photo 17. Josh Allen QB - BUF (at NE)
The fantasy track record Josh Allen has compiled is impressive. His yearly finishes in fantasy scoring since 2019: QB7, QB1, QB1, QB2, QB1. He's thrown for more than 4,000 yards in each of his last four seasons, averaging 4,385 passing yards and 34.3 TD passes over that span. Allen adds immense value as a runner. We probably shouldn't expect a repeat of the 15 rushing touchdowns he had this season, since his previous single-season high was nine. But Allen has averaged 596 rushing yards and 9.0 TD runs over the last five years. A spring trade that sent Stefon Diggs to the Texans brings the caliber of the Bills pass-catching into question, but even with a loss of WR firepower, Allen still has a strong case to be considered the QB1.
4 days ago
Kyren Williams Note
Kyren Williams photo 18. Kyren Williams RB - LAR (vs . SEA)
Williams was a revelation in 2023 as he quickly kicked Cam Akers to the curb, taking over the starting job in Week 2. Williams was the RB2 in fantasy points per game, ranking fourth in red zone touches, first in snap share, and fourth in opportunity share. Among 68 qualifying backs, he ranked 25th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 27th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Despite his smaller frame, Sean McVay had no issues leaning on Williams as his bellcow. In Weeks 2-17, he averaged 22.3 touches and 117.8 total yards playing at least 72% of the snaps in ten of 11 games played. The only knock on Williams' usage last season was his pass-game role. Despite entering the NFL as a ballyhooed passing down back, Williams only ranked 18th in target share and 58th in yards per route run (among 60 qualifying backs). Williams will need to reprise his every-down role in 2024 or see a bump in passing game usage to retain his high-end RB1 status, which is possible. Even with the addition of Blake Corum to the roster, this should remain Williams' backfield.
4 days ago
Brandon Aiyuk Note
Brandon Aiyuk photo 19. Brandon Aiyuk WR - SF (at ARI)
Aiyuk was fantastic last season as the WR16 in fantasy, with career highs in yards per reception and receiving yards. He also crushed in deeper efficiency metrics, ranking third in YPRR and second in FD/RR. Aiyuk is a player where you're betting on talent and the complexion of the 49ers' offense changing to an extent depending on where you're drafting him. I don't want him to be my WR1 on teams, but as my WR2, I'm comfortable taking the swing. The worries with his profile are easy to see, starting with volume. As good as Aiyuk was last year, he still only ranked 30th in raw target volume with an astounding 105 targets. He also ranked only 44th in red zone targets and was the WR31 in expected fantasy points per game. There's risk here, but as Aiyuk displayed last year, there can be reward as well.
4 days ago
Mike Evans Note
Mike Evans photo 20. Mike Evans WR - TB (vs . NO)
Mike Evans might be coming off his age-30 season, but he didn't display any falloff. He finished with the third-highest single season, receiving yardage total of his career while also spiking at least 12 touchdowns for the fifth time. Evans finished as the WR10 while ranking 15th in yards per route run, 17th in first-read share, and 19th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). We'll see if he can continue defying Father Time in 2024, but he should at least be considered a strong WR2 with WR1 upside.
4 days ago
Marvin Harrison Jr. Note
Marvin Harrison Jr. photo 21. Marvin Harrison Jr. WR - ARI (vs . SF)
Harrison Jr.'s prospect profile speaks for itself. Over the last two years of college, he ranked fifth and seventh in YPRR and third and sixth in PFF receiving grade. He has the size and overall skillset to command alpha-level volume from the jump, and he'll have that opportunity in Arizona. Yes, he will have to contend with Trey McBride for the weekly team lead in targets, but after McBride, things get sparse quickly. Arizona still has Greg Dortch and Michael Wilson and added Zay Jones this offseason, but none of those players have proven they can consistently push for a 20% target share in the NFL. Harrison's draft stock is spicy, but he deserves it. Last year, Arizona tossed the rock 555 times; if Harrison can command a 25% target share (which is possible), he would be tied for 13th in raw target volume among wide receivers last year. Harrison could rank top 12 in targets among wideouts in his rookie season.
4 days ago
Chris Olave Note
Chris Olave photo 22. Chris Olave WR - NO (at TB)
Did Olave match last year's hype with his production? No. Did he woefully fail, and we should be worried about him in 2024? NOPE. Olave displayed growth with new career highs in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and fantasy points per game (14.5, WR19). Last year, among 81 qualifying receivers, Olave ranked 24th in YPRR and 16th in FD/RR. Olave had to deal with the ups and downs of Derek Carr last year, which smoothed out toward the end of the season with the Saints changing up the complexion of the passing offense, which should continue in 2024. Carr last year was tied to two outcomes. It was either wind-up and chuck it deep or check it down, as Carr ranked eighth in deep attempts while also having the sixth-highest check-down rate. In Weeks 1-12, New Orleans had the fifth-highest aDOT while ranking 14th in catchable target rate with the 16th-highest off-target rate. In Weeks 13-18, the Saints changed it up as their aDOT was the 11th-lowest, and the offense ranked first in catchable target rate with the lowest off-target rate. With Klint Kubiak now the offensive coordinator, we should expect this lower aDOT model to continue with more motion and YAC opportunities opening up for Olave. The needle is pointing up for 2024.
4 days ago
Jalen Hurts Note
Jalen Hurts photo 23. Jalen Hurts QB - PHI (vs . NYG)
Jalen Hurts finished QB2 in fantasy scoring in 2023, but there are reasons for concern heading into the 2024 season. After averaging 25.6 fantasy points per game during a banner 2022 campaign, Hurts' scoring average dropped to 21.9 FPPG in 2023. His passing yardage per game fell from 246.7 to 226.9, and his yardage per attempt slipped from 8.0 to 7.2. Hurts also had slippage in completion percentage and touchdown rate, and his passer rating plummeted from 101.5 to 89.1. On the bright side, Hurts provided ample rushing value, with 605 rushing yards and 15 TD runs, the most ever for a quarterback in a single season. The fear is that Hurts' fantasy value could take a tumble in 2024 if there's a significant drop-off in rushing touchdowns. TD runs accounted for 24.1% of Hurts' 2023 fantasy points. If Hurts is to remain a top-three fantasy quarterback, he'll probably need to boost his passing efficiency.
4 days ago
Travis Etienne Jr. Note
Travis Etienne Jr. photo 24. Travis Etienne Jr. RB - JAC (at IND)
From a top-down view, Etienne's 2023 season looks like a smashing success as he was the RB7 in fantasy points per game, logging 325 touches with 1,484 total yards and 12 total touchdowns. If you rostered him last year, you know that his weekly performances left something to be desired down the stretch, and it was a Jekyll and Hyde type of runout. In Weeks 1-8, he averaged 22.3 touches and 106.2 total yards as the RB4 in fantasy points per game. After Week 9, he saw a big dip in his production as he averaged 16.3 touches and 70.5 total yards for the rest of the season as the RB22 in fantasy points per game. Etienne deserves to be in the RB1 conversation for 2024, but we can't ignore these splits and the Jaguars offensive line that finished 32nd in Fantasy Points rush grade and adjusted yards before contact per attempt. Etienne could easily improve upon last year's stats in 2024, but the Jaguars have work upfront to do this offseason.
4 days ago
Nico Collins Note
Nico Collins photo 25. Nico Collins WR - HOU (at TEN)
Yes, Houston's target tree has another branch that didn't exist last year (Stefon Diggs). Is that worrisome for Collins? Sure, but this is a bet on talent. Drawing volume is a reflection of the talent that Collins has in spades. I'm not willing to back off drafting him and Tank Dell with the arrival of a veteran wide receiver that widely sunk fantasy teams down the stretch last year. In 2023, Collins ranked 12th in targets per route run, second in YPRR, seventh in receiving yards per game, and fifth in FD/RR. Everything in his profile suggests he is an alpha-level talent in the prime of his career, tied to one of the best young quarterbacks in the game.
4 days ago
Davante Adams Note
Davante Adams photo 26. Davante Adams WR - LV (vs . LAC)
Last year was the first season since 2015 that Davante Adams didn't finish as a WR1 in fantasy. Adams checked in as the WR15 in fantasy, with pitiful quarterback play capping his ceiling. Last season, the Raiders signal-callers produced the sixth-lowest adjusted completion rate and the 12th-highest off-target rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Adams had no issue soaking up elite-level volume, ranking second in raw target volume (175) and target share (33.1%). He did the best he could, considering the situation surrounding him, ranking 26th in yards per route run and 17th in first downs per route run. Adams is a volume-driven WR2 at this juncture of his career, with the quarterback play likely still in the toilet for 2024.
4 days ago
DK Metcalf Note
DK Metcalf photo 27. DK Metcalf WR - SEA (at LAR)
Metcalf is another rock-solid pick in fantasy who hasn't finished outside the top 24 fantasy wideouts (WR22, WR24, WR20) in the last three years. Almost all of Metcalf's deeper metrics lived in the WR2 territory as he was 22nd in YPRR, 23rd in first read share, and 20th in FD/RR last season. Seattle's offense remains an enigma for 2024. Will they be run heavy at the behest of their defensive head coach? Will they grip it and rip it in the passing game under the direction of their offensive coordinator? It will be one of the fascinating things that we have to wait until the season to see play out. If Jaxon Smith-Njigba isn't up to the task of taking over as Metcalf's running mate with Tyler Lockett another year older, Metcalf could see a bump from his 20.7% target share last year (31st), which could vault him up the wide receiver leaderboard in 2024. Metcalf is a strong WR2 that still has some untapped upside. It's possible he will revisit his 2020 production (WR10) this year.
4 days ago
Drake London Note
Drake London photo 28. Drake London WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
Arthur Smith is gone. It's time for London to fly. His upside this season is massive in what should be a revamped offensive approach with Kirk Cousins under center and Zac Robinson calling plays. Last year, London's numbers were passable but not amazing, as quarterback play held him in check. The Falcons' quarterbacks posted the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate and the third-lowest catchable target rate. London still posted 1.98 YPRR (32nd) while ranking 27th in FD/RR and top 25 in first read share (20th) and target share (25th). After reexamining his 2023 film, I do not doubt that the same player who posted monster numbers as a rookie is still here. London realizes his massive potential this year. Enjoy the breakout.
4 days ago
Sam LaPorta Note
Sam LaPorta photo 29. Sam LaPorta TE - DET (vs . MIN)
Sam LaPorta was a revelation as a rookie, catching 86 passes for 889 yards and 10 touchdowns to finish as the overall TE1. What can LaPorta do for an encore in Year 2? It might be hard for Sammy Ballgame to improve upon or even equal his 2023 touchdown total, but it's reasonable to think he could improve upon his average of 52.3 receiving yards per game and his 7.4 yards per target. LaPorta's age-22 season was a triumph, and he could be one of the top tight ends in the league -- and in fantasy football -- for years to come. Based on the splash he made at such a tender age, there's a strong case to be made that LaPorta should be the first TE selected in 2024 fantasy drafts.
4 days ago
DJ Moore Note
DJ Moore photo 30. DJ Moore WR - CHI (at GB)
Moore finished 2023 with a career-best season across the board. He was the WR9 in fantasy points per game while setting new career highs in receptions, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, and fantasy points per game. Moore produced stellar per-route efficiency numbers, ranking 13th in yards per route run and 12th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). His efficiency could remain with Caleb Williams at the helm, but his volume stats could take a hit in 2024 with Rome Odunze and Keenan Allen added to the roster. Moore is a WR2 with a murky outlook as the passing game outlook is up in the air with a rookie quarterback and a flush receiving depth chart.
4 days ago
Patrick Mahomes II Note
Patrick Mahomes II photo 31. Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC (at DEN)
Could Patrick Mahomes be a bargain in 2024 fantasy drafts? That will be a distinct possibility if enough fantasy managers are scared off by a disappointing 2023 campaign in which Mahomes finished QB8 in fantasy scoring. Mahomes averaged 261.4 passing yards per game last season, the fewest in his six years as the Chiefs' starting quarterback. He also hit a six-year low in yards per attempt (6.9) and touchdown rate (4.0%). Mahomes is too good to have "lost it." The easy explanation is that Mahomes simply didn't have enough pass-catching firepower. Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is 34 and may have reached the slowdown phase of his career. WR Rashee Rice put up good numbers in 2023, but Rice is a non-traditional receiver who had an average depth of target of only 4.8 yards and made his living off schemed-up receptions. Kansas City has added a couple of quality receivers, signing Marquise Brown and spending a first-round pick on Xavier Worthy, so Mahomes should be back in business. We are, after all, talking about a player who's won two MVP awards, has had two 5,000-yard passing seasons and has had a 50-TD season. Mahomes is on the shortlist of the best pure passers to ever play in the NFL. Fade him at your own peril.
4 days ago
Lamar Jackson Note
Lamar Jackson photo 32. Lamar Jackson QB - BAL (vs . CLE)
Lamar Jackson has long been the best running quarterback in football -- and quite possibly the best of all time. But Jackson made enormous striders as a passer in 2023, thriving under the tutelage of first-year Ravens offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Jackson established new career highs in passing yardage (3,678), completion percentage (67.2%) and yards per attempt (8.0). And of course, Jackson provided plenty of fantasy value as a runner, with 821 rushing yards and five TD runs. Jackson finished QB4 in fantasy scoring in 2023 despite being held out of the season finale, and he had a spectacular stretch run for his fantasy managers, averaging 27.8 fantasy points per game in Weeks 14-17. Jackson will once again take his rightful place on the top QB tier for 2024 fantasy drafts.
4 days ago
Isiah Pacheco Note
Isiah Pacheco photo 33. Isiah Pacheco RB - KC (at DEN)
Pacheco settled in a strong RB2 last season (RB14), but he could have even more upside in 2024 if the team doesn't retain Jerick McKinnon. In the four games he played without McKinnon active, Pachecho averaged 20.2 touches and 100.7 total yards. He was Kansas City's workhorse, as he played at least 70% of the snaps in three of those four games. The second-year back rewarded their faith in him as he was 12th in explosive run rate and 26th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Among 48 qualifying backs, he also ranked 28th in yards per route run. Pacheco had plenty of high-leverage usage last season, ranking seventh in red zone touches and third on Kansas City in red zone targets. He's a solid RB2 who could easily run hot with touchdowns and climb into the RB1 category in 2024.
4 days ago
Jaylen Waddle Note
Jaylen Waddle photo 34. Jaylen Waddle WR - MIA (at NYJ)
Waddle had the worst season of his short career last year, finishing as the WR21 in fantasy. His high-leverage usage dried up as Tyreek Hill gobbled it all up. Waddle was outside the top 50 wide receivers in the NFL in deep targets (54th) and red zone looks (56th). Waddle was the WR27 in expected fantasy points per game. While all of those metrics don't paint a pretty picture, Waddle is still one of the most talented wide receivers in the NFL, and this remains a consolidated passing attack that will run through Hill and Waddle. Waddle ranked fifth in yards per route run and sixth in first downs per route run last season (per Fantasy Points Data). Bet on supremely talented players to bounce back. Always.
4 days ago
Travis Kelce Note
Travis Kelce photo 35. Travis Kelce TE - KC (at DEN)
Once the gold standard at the TE position, Travis Kelce will still be the overall TE1 for a lot of people in 2024 fantasy drafts, but he will no longer be a unanimous choice. Kelce finished the 2023 regular season for 93-984-5. That would be a terrific season for any other tight end, but it was the first time since 2015 that Kelce fell short of 1,000 yards. The statistical decline suggests that the 34-year-old Kelce is starting to slow down, But then Kelce went on a postseason rampage, with 32-355-3 in four playoff games. Obviously, playing with QB Patrick Mahomes is a big plus for any pass catcher. Kelce might not be a first-round pick in fantasy leagues anymore, but he's still an immensely valuable asset.
4 days ago
De'Von Achane Note
De'Von Achane photo 36. De'Von Achane RB - MIA (at NYJ)
Achane was part of the new wave of explosive young rushers to hit the scene last season. He finished as the RB5 in fantasy points per game. In the eight games he played at least 41% of the snaps, Achane averaged 14.2 touches and 113.8 total yards. Any fantasy gamer who falls in love with efficiency stats will love Achane. He was so damn good last year, ranking first in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). If he can overtake Raheem Mostert (and hold off Jaylen Wright) as the team's primary goal-line rusher, Achane could finish as a top-three back in 2024.
4 days ago
Amari Cooper Note
Amari Cooper photo 37. Amari Cooper WR - CLE (at BAL)
Cooper continues to chug along. Entering his age-30 season, he doesn't show any signs of slowing down. Last year, he finished as the WR17 in fantasy points per game while ranking 23rd in target share (22.1%), 13th in air-yard share (39%), and 12th in YPRR. While Deshaun Watson wasn't good last year, that didn't stop Cooper from excelling with Watson. In the five full games Watson played, Cooper averaged 96 receiving yards per game with 2.96 YPRR and 0.123 FD/RR. Over a full season, among 81 qualifying wide receivers (per Fantasy Points Data), Cooper would have ranked fourth, fifth, and 10th in those statistical categories if he kept up that pace. Cooper is a fantastic value pick this year that has some juicy upside.
4 days ago
Josh Jacobs Note
Josh Jacobs photo 38. Josh Jacobs RB - GB (vs . CHI)
Well, if you had worries about Josh Jacobs following up his nearly 400-touch season in 2022 with a dud last year, your fears were validated. Jacobs was limited to 13 games played (quad strain in Week 13) and looked like someone sucked out his tackle-breaking ability with a straw when he was active. Jacobs wasn't the same guy who, in 2022, ranked 18th in yards per touch, 13th in yards created per touch, and second in evaded tackles. Last season, Jacobs had the 12th-highest stuff rate while also crawling in at 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 44th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Jacobs could be this season's Rachaad White. A back who has an elite role while producing mediocre tackle-breaking stats en route to an RB1 season, but don't rule out MarShawn Lloyd playing a much bigger role this season than many anticipate. Jacobs is a shaky RB2.
4 days ago
Cooper Kupp Note
Cooper Kupp photo 39. Cooper Kupp WR - LAR (vs . SEA)
Kupp took a step back last year, and there's no denying it. Last year, he dealt with an ankle sprain and hamstring issues, which could be partially to blame, but at his advancing age (31 years old), it's no sure thing that he will reclaim all or any of his former glory in 2024. Does that mean it's time for Kupp to hang it up? No. Last year, in 12 games with him and Puka Nacua active, Kupp still commanded a 23.4% target share, produced 2.08 yards per route run, and was the WR23 in fantasy points per game (per Fantasy Points Data). Kupp could return WR2 value in 2024, but his days as a WR1 are likely over. Kupp is a player that my interest is lukewarm at best for 2024, but if I can get him as a WR3 for my fantasy teams, I'm more inclined to take the plunge in drafts.
4 days ago
DeVonta Smith Note
DeVonta Smith photo 40. DeVonta Smith WR - PHI (vs . NYG)
Smith has been entrenched as a playmaking WR2 in fantasy football over the last two seasons (WR20, WR14). Smith should run it back again this year with similar production. Last year, he was 21st in receiving yards per game and 29th in first read share while some of his deeper metrics sagged. Smith saw his FD/RR ranking drop to 39th, and his YPRR sat at only 33rd (minimum 50 targets). While this is concerning, the talent didn't disappear for Smith. Philly's offense was broken last year as rudimentary play calling held the entire show back from its potential. Smith and Metcalf go in the same range of drafts, and each player feels like a safe bet with some upside in 2024.
4 days ago
Joe Mixon Note
Joe Mixon photo 41. Joe Mixon RB - HOU (at TEN)
Joe Mixon and Rachaad White were the Spiderman GIF last season. Both were exceptionally inefficient runners who survived on volume and passing game work. Mixon was the RB11 last season, ranking eighth in snap share, third in opportunity share, and seventh in weighted opportunities. He was whopping fifth in carries and 13th in targets as Cincinnati worked in Chase Brown only sparingly. He has the opportunity to reprise that same workload in Houston. With only Dameon Pierce, Dare Ogunbowale, Jawhar Jordan, and J.J. Taylor behind Mixon, he should be the unquestioned bellcow for the Texans in 2024. Last season, Mixon's per-touch efficiency was horrendous. He was 36th in yards per touch, 35th in yards created per touch, and 41st in breakaway run rate. That didn't stop him from being an RB1 last year, and it likely won't this season.
4 days ago
Tee Higgins Note
Tee Higgins photo 42. Tee Higgins WR - CIN (at PIT)
Tee Higgins is saddled up with Cincy for at least one more season. He should be locked into two wide receiver sets as one of Joe Burrow's go-to options in the passing attack. Over the last three years, Higgins has seen his production take a downturn. His yards per route run have dropped in each of the last three seasons, and his fantasy points per game have slipped from 15.7 to 13.1, finally cratering at 11.5 points per game last year. Last year, his peripheral efficiency metrics were in the WR3 territory as he ranked 38th in yards per route run and 32nd in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Some of this can be blamed on Burrow's injury and the downstep in quarterback play to Jake Browning, but the decline had already begun for him prior to last season. Higgins could be a WR2 this season, but he's best viewed as a WR2/3.
4 days ago
Kenneth Walker III Note
Kenneth Walker III photo 43. Kenneth Walker III RB - SEA (at LAR)
Walker continues to hum along as a dependable RB2 in fantasy (RB20 last season) despite dealing with a myriad of injuries in 2023. Walker worked through a bruised shoulder, a strained oblique, a chest issue, and a tender calf last season. This didn't stop him from averaging 17.3 touches and 82 total yards in the 14 games that he played at least 41% of the snaps. Walker remains one of the best pure rushers in the game while sitting at fourth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 26th in explosive run rate last season (minimum 50 carries per Fantasy Points Data). Zach Charbonnet will continue to be a weekly worry as he siphons off red zone and pass game work, but Walker should still lead the backfield in touches this year.
4 days ago
James Cook Note
James Cook photo 44. James Cook RB - BUF (at NE)
After Joe Brady took over as the Bills' offensive coordinator, Cook's season took off. In Weeks 11-18, Cook was the RB11, averaging 19.6 touches and 104.3 total yards per game. Yes, he only played more than 60% of the snaps twice during that stretch, but it didn't matter. When he was on the field, he was being fed the rock, and his pass game usage skyrocketed. After Week 10, he was 16th in target share (11.4%) among 34 qualifying backs while also ranking 10th in TPRR, fourth in receiving yards per game, and second in YPRR. The touchdown worries and red zone usage remain concerning, especially with the addition of Ray Davis. Still, in the final seven games of the season, he did lead the running back room with a 48.1% snap rate inside the 20, but that number ranked 32nd out of 61 qualifying backs. Cook has top-12 upside, but he should best be viewed as an RB2.
4 days ago
Michael Pittman Jr. Note
Michael Pittman Jr. photo 45. Michael Pittman Jr. WR - IND (vs . JAC)
Pittman has proven to be one of the safest picks in fantasy drafts over the last three years, with WR14, WR21, and WR22 finishes. Despite catching passes from Gardner Minshew for most of the year, Pittman finished with his usual efficiency ranking 23rd in YPRR and 24th in FD/RR while gobbling up the volume (ninth in targets, fourth in target share). The Colts will remain a middling neutral pass rate team this year while pushing the pace envelope. Pittman should finish with another solid WR2 season, but he could offer more upside if he can ever break out with even reasonable touchdown numbers. Pittman hasn't had more than six receiving touchdowns over the last three years. He only spiked it four times last season despite ranking ninth in red zone targets. Pittman has a WR1 season in him, and I won't bet against him unleashing it in 2024.
4 days ago
George Pickens Note
George Pickens photo 46. George Pickens WR - PIT (vs . CIN)
Last season was a breakout campaign for George Pickens as the WR36 in fantasy points per game. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked 20th in yards per route run and 44th in first downs per route run while drawing a 20.8% target share and a 39% air-yard share (per Fantasy Points Data). While all these numbers tickle the senses, his splits without Diontae Johnson on the field last year are even more enticing. In Weeks 2-5 without Johnson, his target share climbed to 27.1%, his air-yard share stood at a whopping 50.1%, and he was the WR16 in fantasy points per game. The quarterback play of Russell Wilson (or Justin Fields), along with the run-heavy nature of Arthur Smith, could limit his ceiling, especially in the volume department, but Pickens could outpace his WR3 expectation in 2024.
4 days ago
Rachaad White Note
Rachaad White photo 47. Rachaad White RB - TB (vs . NO)
Rachaad White was Leonard Fournette 2.0 for Tampa Bay last season. An inefficient rusher whose pass game role and every down snap share vaults them to RB1 land. Last year, White was the RB10 in fantasy, ranking fourth in snap share, seventh in opportunity share, and fourth in weighted opportunities. He also ranked top-ten in carries (second), targets (ninth), and red zone touches (ninth). White didn't do nearly as much with that volume as we'd hoped. Among 49 qualifying backs, White ranked 42nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, 40th in explosive run rate, and 45th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). While he was eighth in overall target volume among running backs, he was only 43rd in targets per route run and 18th in yards per route run. White could easily roll back into 2024 as the Bucs do it all back, but don't be surprised if Bucky Irving helps him shoulder the load.
4 days ago
Mark Andrews Note
Mark Andrews photo 48. Mark Andrews TE - BAL (vs . CLE)
An ankle injury in Week 11 ended Mark Andrews' regular season prematurely, but before he went down, he was having a characteristically productive season, ranking fourth among tight ends in fantasy scoring. Andrews' yearly finishes in fantasy points per game (0.5 PPR) since his second-year breakout in 2019: TE4, TE4, TE1, TE3, TE4. Over that fruitful five-year run, he's averaged 4.9 receptions, 60.6 receiving yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game. Andrews should once again be a prominent contributor in the Baltimore passing attack in 2024 and should be one of the first five tight ends to come off the board in fantasy drafts.
4 days ago
Anthony Richardson Note
Anthony Richardson photo 49. Anthony Richardson QB - IND (vs . JAC)
Injuries limited Anthony Richardson to just four games in his rookie season, but that appetizer-sized portion of Richardson left fantasy managers craving an entree-sized portion in 2024. Richardson went on injured reserve in October after sustaining a grade-3 AC joint sprain in Week 5. He also missed a game after a Week 2 concussion. But in the two full games he played, Richardson was dazzling, with 21.9 fantasy points in Week 1 and 29.6 points in Week 4, good for weekly fantasy finishes of QB4 and QB2. Richardson had three TD passes and four TD runs. He averaged 0.43 fantasy points per snap. Putting that into perspective, Josh Allen, who led all QBs in fantasy scoring, averaged 0.36 fantasy points per snap. The 6-4, 244-pound Richardson has a rare combination of size and speed that makes him one of the best running QBs in the league. And based on the small 2023 sample, he may be a more advanced passer than he was billed as in the run-up to the 2023 NFL Draft. Richardson's fantasy stock is ready to soar.
4 days ago
Tank Dell Note
Tank Dell photo 50. Tank Dell WR - HOU (at TEN)
Yes, Dell now has to contend with Stefon Diggs for targets, too, but we need to put respect on Dell's name and understand that he could still fight for the team lead in targets in 2024. Last year, in the seven full games that Dell and Nico Collins played together, Dell bested him in every meaningful category. Dell led the duo in target share (22.5 vs. 22.1%), air-yard share (35.9 vs. 25.3%), weighted opportunity (59.0 vs. 50.9), and fantasy points per game (18.7 vs. 18.1). Overall last year Dell posted monster numbers in YPRR (2.40) and FD/RR (0.115) ranking 16th and 14th in these statistics. His recovery from a broken fibula will be huge, but if he is still the same guy we saw in 2023, there's plenty of reason to invest heavily in him smashing in 2024.
4 days ago
C.J. Stroud Note
C.J. Stroud photo 51. C.J. Stroud QB - HOU (at TEN)
A magnificent rookie season for C.J. Stroud has fans and fantasy managers clamoring for more in 2024, and the trade that brought WR Stefon Diggs to the Texans gives the young quarterback one of the best sets of pass catchers in the league. The second overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft behind Bryce Young, Stroud was a revelation in his first NFL season, throwing for 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns in 15 games. Stroud ranked third in the league in passing yardage per game (273.9) among QBs with at least six starts, third in yards per attempt (8.2), sixth in passer rating (101.8) and first in interception percentage (1.0%). The future looks bright for Stroud, who, in addition to Diggs, can also leverage the talents of exciting young WRs Nico Collins and Tank Dell. Stroud doesn't provide a great deal of rushing value, with only 167 rushing yards and three TD runs, but his proficiency as a passer will make him a coveted fantasy asset in 2024 drafts.
4 days ago
Malik Nabers Note
Malik Nabers photo 52. Malik Nabers WR - NYG (at PHI)
While we might have worries about the landing spot, there are two undeniable facts here. Nabers is a stone-cold baller, and he will vacuum up all the targets he can handle in 2024. During his final year at LSU, Nabers ranked third in YPRR, first in PFF receiving grade, and fourth in missed tackles forced. Nabers is the clear WR1 for New York this season, and it's not particularly close. No Giants wide receiver managed over a 16.9% target share last year, so there's no one standing in Nabers' way of soaking up a 23-25% target share in his rookie season. The Giants threw the ball 518 times last year. If Nabers can earn a 25% target share and the Giants don't pass any more than they did last season, he will theoretically see 130 targets. That would have been tied for 19th in targets among wide receivers last season. I'm willing to invest in Nabers' talent, and I'm just praying that we get at least league-average quarterback play from Daniel Jones and company this season.
4 days ago
Stefon Diggs Note
Stefon Diggs photo 53. Stefon Diggs WR - HOU (at TEN)
We've seen Diggs fall off in the second half of seasons in two consecutive years. If one year wasn't enough to scare you off, then last year should have been. In the final seven games of 2022, Diggs only logged one 100-yard receiving game with 1.95 yards per route run. It was a similar, except an even more gruesome story in 2023. In Weeks 10-18 last year, Diggs finished as the WR45 or higher in weekly scoring only twice. During that stretch, he only had one game with more than 80 receiving yards while finishing as the WR52 in fantasy points per game. Moving from Josh Allen to C.J. Stroud is a push as far as arm talent. The problem for Diggs is that even if you want to excuse away the back halves of the last two years, he'll be challenged for targets by a strong trio of pass catchers in Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and Dalton Schultz. I'll avoid Diggs in many drafts for the upside swing of Collins or the value play of Dell.
4 days ago
David Montgomery Note
David Montgomery photo 54. David Montgomery RB - DET (vs . MIN)
David Montgomery wrapped up his first season in Detroit as a resounding success in real-life football and fantasy. He was the RB15 in fantasy as he managed the second 1,000-yard rushing season of his NFL career. Montgomery did see his volume limited down the stretch some, as he averaged 15 touches and 75.7 total yards after his return in Week 10. He'll continue to share the backfield load with Jahmyr Gibbs weekly, but in one of the best offenses in the NFL, that shouldn't be a massive worry for his 2024 outlook. Montgomery will be the early down hammer (19th in missed tackles forced per attempt, per Fantasy Points Data) and be plenty involved in the red zone. Last season, he was 15th in carries and fifth in red zone touches as he scored 13 touchdowns (fourth-most).
4 days ago
Zay Flowers Note
Zay Flowers photo 55. Zay Flowers WR - BAL (vs . CLE)
Flowers had his moments as a rookie. While he didn't live up to the preseason hype, it wasn't a dreadful rookie showing by any stretch, especially after Mark Andrews was out. Without Andrews, Flowers saw his first read share increase to 30.7%, and his FD/RR rate increased ever so slightly from 0.081 to 0.085. Flowers, during that stretch (eight games), earned six end zone targets, which was awesome compared to the single end zone target he saw in Weeks 1-10. With Odell Beckham Jr. gone in 2024, the Baltimore passing attack will further consolidate around Flowers and Andrews.
4 days ago
Joe Burrow Note
Joe Burrow photo 56. Joe Burrow QB - CIN (at PIT)
If Joe Burrow gets a full season of good health in 2024, he'll likely be one of the more valuable fantasy assets at the QB position. The 2023 season was a frustrating one for Burrow, who got off to a slow start due in part to a calf injury he sustained in training camp, then went on injured reserve in mid-November with a wrist injury. Four games into the 2023 season, with his ailing calf clearly hindering his mobility and perhaps his throwing mechanics, Burrow was QB31 in fantasy scoring averaging 8.4 fantasy points per game. Then he caught fire, averaging 296.0 yards and 2.4 TD passes over a five-game stretch from Week 5 to Week 10 in which he was QB4 in fantasy points per game. That's the Burrow we hope to see in 2024 if his health cooperates. He'll once again get to work with his longtime LSU and Bengals teammate Ja'Marr Chase, one of the finest wide receivers in the game, not to mention high-quality No. 2 receiver Tee Higgins.
4 days ago
Dak Prescott Note
Dak Prescott photo 57. Dak Prescott QB - DAL (vs . WAS)
After a disappointing, injury-marred season in 2022, Dak Prescott rebounded with perhaps the finest season of his career in 2023. Prescott led all NFL quarterbacks in touchdown passes (36) and completions (410) last season and finished QB3 in fantasy scoring. Although he doesn't offer a great deal of value as a runner, Prescott is one of the better pure passers in the game. In 2023, he ranked second in completion percentage (69.5%) among QBs with at least six starts, second in passer rating (105.9) and sixth in yards per attempt (7.7). Prescott benefits from playing with CeeDee Lamb, one of the best young receivers in the game.
4 days ago
Kyler Murray Note
Kyler Murray photo 58. Kyler Murray QB - ARI (vs . SF)
A dangerous dual-threat quarterback, Kyler Murray will enter the 2024 season more than a year removed from the torn ACL that prematurely ended his 2022 season and delayed his first start of 2023 until Week 10. Since entering the NFL in 2019, Murray has averaged 20.9 fantasy points per game. We saw his ceiling in 2020, when Murray averaged 24.4 fantasy points per game and finished QB2 in fantasy scoring behind only Josh Allen. Murray is a decent passer, with a career completion percentage of 66.6% and a career average of 7.0 yards per pass attempt. But he is an exceptional runner who's averaged 37.7 rushing yards per game over his career and has 26 touchdown runs in 65 games. The Cardinals bolstered a below-average WR corps by spending the No. 4 pick in the NFL Draft on Marvin Harrison Jr., and the 2023 emergence of TE Trey McBride as a pass catcher should help give Murray sufficient pass-catching firepower.
4 days ago
Trey McBride Note
Trey McBride photo 59. Trey McBride TE - ARI (vs . SF)
Trey McBride had an impressive second-year breakout in 2023, finishing with 81 catches for 825 yards and three touchdowns, good for a TE7 fantasy finish in PPR scoring. McBride's 2023 season got off to a slow start. He had two or fewer catches in each of his first five games, and after seven weeks he was TE30 in PPR fantasy scoring. Then, Cardinals TE Zach Ertz went on IR with a quad injury, and McBride caught fire in an expanded role. From Week 8 on, McBride was TE3 in PPR scoring, averaging 6.6 catches and 65.5 receiving yards per game. McBride became the go-to receiver for an Arizona offense thin on talent at the WR position. The Cardinals took WR Marvin Harrison Jr. with the fourth overall pick of the NFL Draft, but the talented McBride figures to be the No. 2 target in the Arizona offense and a high-end fantasy tight end for years to come.
4 days ago
James Conner Note
James Conner photo 60. James Conner RB - ARI (vs . SF)
James Conner is like a finely aged bourbon. He keeps getting better as the years are piling up. Since he arrived in Arizona, he has finished as the RB7, RB9, and RB13 in fantasy points per game. On a per-touch basis, last season might have been his best year to date. Despite ranking 21st in rushing attempts, he was sixth in rushing yards in the NFL. Conner showed no signs that Father Time was starting to creep in as he ranked seventh in explosive run rate, eighth in missed tackles forced per attempt, and fifth in yards after contact per attempt. Conner will likely lead this backfield in snaps in 2024, but, with the addition of Trey Benson to the fold, don't be shocked if the team splits the work more evenly this season. Conner is an RB2/3.
4 days ago
Christian Kirk Note
Christian Kirk photo 61. Christian Kirk WR - JAC (at IND)
Kirk will be the Jaguars' WR1 in 2024. He was on his way to a monstrous season before getting derailed by injury. In Weeks 2-12, Krik was the WR19 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 22.6% target share and 30.5% air-yard share, producing 2.31 YPRR and 0.101 FD/RR (per Fantasy Points Data). If he had kept up that pace for the full season, he would have ranked 22nd, 17th, and 22nd in those categories. His full season counting stat pace was 138 targets, 94 receptions, and 1,278 receiving yards. With Calvin Ridley gone, Kirk's biggest competition for targets is Evan Engram. Engram didn't break out last year until Kirk was out, so I doubt Engram is the clear option over Kirk entering 2024. Gabriel Davis is a proven role player, and Brian Thomas Jr. is a rookie who will face growing pains in the NFL. Look for Trevor Lawrence to feed Kirk this year as one of the best values in fantasy drafts.
4 days ago
Terry McLaurin Note
Terry McLaurin photo 62. Terry McLaurin WR - WAS (at DAL)
McLaurin is primed for a bounce-back season in 2024. Last year, Sam Howell and his putrid passing sunk McLaurin's season. McLaurin still led the team with a 20.4% target share, a 34.7% air-yard share, 1.64 YPRR, and a 25.4% first-read share. Don't forget that this is the same receiver that ranked 16th in YPRR (2.20) and 19th in FD/RR (0.104) in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data). That talent didn't suddenly disappear. It was depressed by a quarterback last year that ranked 21st in CPOE and 25th in clean pocket passer rating. Last year, he was the WR34 in fantasy points per game and the WR21 in expected fantasy points per game. With Jayden Daniels under center, McLaurin could return to the WR2 ranks in 2024.
4 days ago
Rhamondre Stevenson Note
Rhamondre Stevenson photo 63. Rhamondre Stevenson RB - NE (vs . BUF)
To say Rhamondre Stevenson's 2023 season was a disappointment would be an understatement. Stevenson was the RB10 in 2022, averaging 86 total yards per game, but he couldn't come close to those numbers last year, finishing as the RB27 in fantasy points per game with 71.4 total yards per game. Stevenson's overall numbers stunk, but if we look further into how his season played out, there's hope for 2024. In Weeks 1-8, among 39 qualifying backs (minimum 50 rushing attempts per Fantasy Points Data), he ranked 33rd in missed tackles forced per attempt and 38th in yards after contact per attempt. In Weeks 9-13 (Stevenson missed the remainder of the season due to a high ankle sprain), he looked like the stud that we thought we were getting for the entire season. In that four-game stretch (minimum 25 carries), among 48 qualifying backs, he ranked 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and third in yards after contact per attempt. Stevenson could easily bounce back this season and be the hero for Zero RB drafters.
4 days ago
Jayden Reed Note
Jayden Reed photo 64. Jayden Reed WR - GB (vs . CHI)
Reed had a wonderful run out last year with ten total touchdowns (fifth-most) as the WR26 in fantasy points per game. It's going to be tough for him to reproduce those types of numbers again in 2024 unless he gets a bump in playing time and runs hot with high-leverage usage. Last year, Reed only saw a 17.6% target share (49th) and a 69.6% route participation (78th) while finishing as the WR43 in expected fantasy points per game. He did rank 21st in deep targets and 14th in red zone targets while also receiving a smattering of rushing work. With Green Bay utilizing 12 and 21 personnel at healthy rates and Reed locked into the slot role for 2024, his snap share is likely capped. I'll be below market consensus on Reed for 2024.
4 days ago
Alvin Kamara Note
Alvin Kamara photo 65. Alvin Kamara RB - NO (at TB)
Alvin Kamara retained his every-down role last year despite the team drafting Kendre Miller. Miller spent most of his rookie season on the injury report, so we'll see if Kamara can hold him off in 2024, but at least expect Kamara to be a workhorse (maybe not a bellcow). Last year, Kamara was tenth in opportunity share, eighth in weighed opportunities, and ninth in red zone touches. While Karmara's rushing prowess took another massive hit (40th out of 49 qualifying backs in missed tackles forced per attempt per Fantasy Points Data), his receiving chops remained strong. Last year, out of 60 qualifying backs, he ranked first in target share (18.1%) and sixth in yards per route run. Kamara might not have the same bounce in his step as he did during the Drew Brees era, but his pass game and high-leverage usage in 2024 should keep him firmly planted in the RB1 ranks.
4 days ago
Aaron Jones Note
Aaron Jones photo 66. Aaron Jones RB - MIN (at DET)
Father Time comes calling for all of us. The hope for Aaron Jones is that he can keep him at bay for one more year. Last season, Jones objectively wasn't healthy until the end of the season. Luckily for him, when he was healthy, we got to see that Jones has plenty left in the tank to consider reinvesting in him in fantasy for one more season. In Weeks 15-20, Jones averaged 21.6 touches and 120.3 total yards as he was a weekly stud. During that same stretch, among 47 qualifying backs, he was eighth in explosive run rate and 10th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Jones should lead the Vikings backfield in 2024 as an RB2 with RB1 upside if he can stay healthy.
4 days ago
Zamir White Note
Zamir White photo 67. Zamir White RB - LV (vs . LAC)
Zamir White proved capable of carrying the mail last year and should be the Raiders' workhorse in 2024. In Weeks 15-18, he averaged 23.3 touches and 114.3 total yards as the RB12 in fantasy points per game. During this cup of coffee as the team's starter, among 41 qualifying backs, he ranked 13th in explosive run rate, sixth in yards after contact per attempt, and 17th in success rate. With Josh Jacobs heading to Cheesehead town, White should be a volume-driven RB2 with upside for more in 2024.
4 days ago
Najee Harris Note
Najee Harris photo 68. Najee Harris RB - PIT (vs . CIN)
Harris finished last season with his third consecutive season with at least 1,000 rushing yards, eight total touchdowns, and 1,200 total yards, and still, it felt like a huge disappointment. Harris was the RB30, ranking 29th in snap share and 26th in opportunity share as he split with Jaylen Warren. Harris still finished sixth in carries and eighth in red zone touches among backs, but he saw his pass game usage plummet with only a 7.9% target share (33rd) while ranking 49th in route participation. Harris's stats were helped by the fact that Pittsburgh leaned heavily on the run down the stretch. This could happen again in 2024, but it's not for certain, and don't be surprised if Warren eats into Harris's work further. Harris is an RB3/flex option in 2024.
4 days ago
Jordan Love Note
Jordan Love photo 69. Jordan Love QB - GB (vs . CHI)
Jordan Love's first full season as an NFL starter raised hopes that he can be one of the better quarterbacks in the league for years to come. After an uneven start to his 2023 season, Love caught fire. Over his first nine starts, Love was averaging 223.2 passing yards per game, with 14 TD passes, 10 interceptions, a 58.7% completion rate and an average of 6.7 yards per attempt. Over his last eight starts of the 2023 regular season, Love averaged 268.8 passing yards per game, with 18 TD passes, one interception, a 70.3% completion percentage and 7.7 yards per attempt. He then went out and dissected the Cowboys in a wild-card game, completing 16-of-21 passes for 272 yards and three TDs. Love adds some value as a runner (247 rushing yards and four TD runs in 2023), and he has a gaggle of good young pass catchers. The future is bright for the Packers' heir apparent at quarterback.
4 days ago
Calvin Ridley Note
Calvin Ridley photo 70. Calvin Ridley WR - TEN (vs . HOU)
Ridley disappointed plenty of Fantasy GMs last year (including myself) with his WR27 finish. It was an incredibly bad run out for a receiver who was also the WR14 in expected fantasy points per game. While his market share was fine (21.6% target share, 38% air-yard share), his efficiency was frightening. Among 81 qualifying wide receivers, he was 44th in yards per route run and 42nd in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). We'll see if he can bounce back this year, but I'm not expecting it with the downgrade from Trevor Lawrence to Will Levis in quarterback play. Ridley is a WR3/4.
4 days ago
George Kittle Note
George Kittle photo 71. George Kittle TE - SF (at ARI)
If you value week-to-week consistency, George Kittle might not be the tight end for you. But if you're an adrenaline-fueled roller coaster enthusiast, Kittle is your guy. In 2023, Kittle had seven games in which he produced 16 or more PPR points and six games in which he produced 6 or fewer PPR points. The drawback with Kittle is that he doesn't see as many targets as other top tight ends. Over the last three seasons, Travis Kelce has averaged 8.5 targets a game, Mark Andrews has averaged 7.8, and Kittle has averaged 6.0. Kittle's well-rounded skill set can actually be a hindrance, since the 49ers like to leverage his exceptional blocking ability. But Kittle is quite a pass catcher, too. He's topped 1,000 receiving yards in three of the last six years and has averaged 9.8 yards per target for his career -- almost a full yard better than Kelce's career average of 8.9 yards per target. The TE5 in fantasy scoring last season, Kittle will again be a good bet for a top-five positional fantasy finish in 2024. Just realize it might not always be a smooth trip.
4 days ago
Raheem Mostert Note
Raheem Mostert photo 72. Raheem Mostert RB - MIA (at NYJ)
Raise your hand if you saw Raheem Mostert finishing last season as the RB4 in fantasy with 21 total touchdowns. Funny...I don't see any hands raised. Weird. Mostert thrived as the Dolphins' primary back, playing 15 games and finishing with 234 touches and almost 1,200 total yards. Yes, Mostert played in an explosive offense with plenty of touchdown opportunities propping up his fantasy value, but he was also stellar on a per-touch basis. Mostert finished 17th in yards per touch, sixth in explosive run rate, and 11th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). We'll see if he can hold off Devon Achane for another season as Miami's workhorse, but he should still be a consistent contributor with RB1/2 upside.
4 days ago
D'Andre Swift Note
D'Andre Swift photo 73. D'Andre Swift RB - CHI (at GB)
D'Andre Swift lands in Chicago with a contract that is large enough to consider him the clear starter for the Bears. Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson had their moments last season, but the aggression and contact size for Chicago speak volumes about how they feel about those two rushers. The Bears obviously felt that an upgrade was warranted. Swift ranked 17th in explosive run rate last season while disappointing in other tackle-breaking metrics as the RB24 in fantasy. Among 49 qualifying backs last season, Swift ranked 40th in yards after contact per attempt and 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Swift should be a solid RB2 in 2024.
4 days ago
Keenan Allen Note
Keenan Allen photo 74. Keenan Allen WR - CHI (at GB)
Allen enters a new offensive system while attempting to build rapport with his rookie quarterback. He could become a trusted weapon for Caleb Williams immediately, but with D.J. Moore and Rome Odunze also in town, his competition for targets just increased exponentially. Allen hasn't shown any falloff in his production or efficiency despite his advancing age. Last year, he was WR3 in fantasy points per game, second in target share (30.7%), and 11th in yards per route run and first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). It'll be tough for him to come close to reproducing any of those numbers in 2024, but Allen should remain a solid WR2/3 for fantasy.
4 days ago
Brock Purdy Note
Brock Purdy photo 75. Brock Purdy QB - SF (at ARI)
If there were any doubts about Brock Purdy's QB bona fides following his partial-season success in 2022, he dispelled them with an excellent performance in 2023. Purdy led all NFL quarterbacks in yards per attempt (9.6), passer rating (113.0) and QBR (72.8). He also led the league in touchdown rate (7.0%), although naysayers might suggest that such a high TD rate is destined for regression. Purdy has the benefit of an ideal ecosystem, with Kyle Shanahan as his playcaller and Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle as his pass catchers. After finishing QB7 in fantasy scoring in 2023, Purdy is destined to be a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 2024 drafts.
4 days ago
Kyle Pitts Note
Kyle Pitts photo 76. Kyle Pitts TE - ATL (vs . CAR)
Kyle Pitts was regarded as one of the best TE prospects to enter the league in years when the Falcons drafted him No. 4 overall in 2021. But after debuting with a 68-catch, 1,026-yard season as a rookie, Pitts has been considered a disappointment the last two seasons. Pitts played 10 games in 2022 before a torn MCL ended his season prematurely. He ranked TE18 in PPR fantasy scoring when he went down, with 28 catches for 356 yards and two touchdowns. Last season, Pitts had 53 catches for 667 yards and three touchdowns, finishing TE13 in PPR scoring. There are reasons to be optimistic that Pitts will rebound in 2024. Arthur Smith, notorious for not getting the ball into the hands of his best playmakers, was dismissed as Atlanta's head coach. Also, it's possible that Pitts was still bothered by the lingering effects of the knee injury, as we learned that he had also sustained PCL damage in addition to the MCL tear. The Falcons signed Kirk Cousins in the offseason, dramatically upgrading the QB position. Pitts has immense athletic talent and entered the league with a sterling college résumé. This might be a good time to buy in, with two dissatisfying seasons likely meaning a discounted price for Pitts in 2024 fantasy drafts.
4 days ago
Christian Watson Note
Christian Watson photo 77. Christian Watson WR - GB (vs . CHI)
I hate to break it to the Dontayvion Wicks and Jayden Reed hives, but when Watson was on the field last year, he remained the Packer's WR1. In Weeks 5-13, Watson led the team in target share (17.7%), air-yard share (36.7%), YPRR (1.79), end zone targets (14), first-read share (22.3%), and FD/RR (0.081). Hamstring woes have plagued Watson for the last two years, but Green Bay investigated further into it this offseason with the hopes of getting their stud third-year wide receiver right for 2024. If Watson can finally enjoy a fully healthy season, he can fulfill the potential we have seen in spurts over the last two seasons.
4 days ago
DeAndre Hopkins Note
DeAndre Hopkins photo 78. DeAndre Hopkins WR - TEN (vs . HOU)
Hopkins was the WR29 in fantasy points per game last season, drawing a 26.9% target share and 43.6% air-yard share. His numbers looked even better with Will Levis under center (Weeks 8-15), as he saw a 26.9% target share, a 46.1% air-yard share, and produced 2.40 yards per route run as the WR18 in fantasy points per game (per Fantasy Points Data). We'll see what a full season of the Levis experiment brings for Hopkins, but the addition of Calvin Ridley to the offense will likely bring his market share numbers down a smidge. Hopkins should still be sniffing around the WR3 production area code and be a decent flex play this season.
4 days ago
Diontae Johnson Note
Diontae Johnson photo 79. Diontae Johnson WR - CAR (at ATL)
Earning volume is a skill. It's a reflection of talent, and few do that better than Johnson year after year. Once he returned from injury in Week 7, he continued to gobble up targets like usual, ranking 14th in target share (23.7%), sixth in air-yard share (41.6%), and 20th in FD/RR (0.109). In that span, he was the WR33 in fantasy points per game. Johnson should have no issues earning similar volume this season in Carolina, flanked by Adam Thielen and Xavier Legette. Look for Bryce Young to pepper his new WR1. Johnson is a WR3/4 that could easily post WR2 production in 2024.
4 days ago
Hollywood Brown Note
Hollywood Brown photo 80. Hollywood Brown WR - KC (at DEN)
At this stage of his career, I don't know if Brown can be counted on for a full complement of games. He's only managed more than 14 games played once in his career. He has a long track record of food issues dating back to even the pre-draft process when he was entering the NFL. Even if we want to move past those worrisome question marks, Brown has seen his yards per route run fall in each of the last four seasons. Last season, among 81 qualifying wide receivers, he ranked 62nd in yards per route run and 48th in first downs per route run. I'll happily draft all of the other main cogs in the Kansas City passing offense this season, ie. Xavier Worthy, Travis Kelce, or Rashee Rice, but I'm avoiding Brown in most of my drafts this season. As a weekly WR3/4 or flex play, he's fine, but I'm not counting on him as anything more than that at this point.
4 days ago
Chris Godwin Note
Chris Godwin photo 81. Chris Godwin WR - TB (vs . NO)
Last year, Chris Godwin finished as the WR34 in fantasy points per game, which was his lowest finish in fantasy since 2018. His season was a letdown, but there's hope that a big bounce back is coming in 2024, especially if he continues the pace he was on to close last year. In Weeks 1-13, Godwin was the WR45 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 20.4% target share while producing 50.5 receiving yards per game, 1.62 yards per route run, and 0.088 first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). After Week 13, he turned up the heat, closing the season as the WR16 in fantasy points per game with a 28.7% target share, 83.6 receiving yards per game, 2.79 yards per route run, and 0.133 first downs per route run. This coincided with his slot rate bumping up from 36.1% to 44%. The Bucs have talked about Godwin moving from the perimeter in 2024 and back into his familiar slot role, which would be amazing for his production and 2024 outlook. Godwin looks like an incredible value in drafts.
4 days ago
Tony Pollard Note
Tony Pollard photo 82. Tony Pollard RB - TEN (vs . HOU)
I'll own the L here. Tony Pollard was a massive disappointment last year. He went from being one of the most explosive backs in the NFL to a rusher that left a ton of yards on the field. Pollard got the role that we all wanted last season, ranking seventh in snap share, 13th in opportunity share, and second in red zone touches. He was a volume-eating machine, ranking seventh in carries and 11th in targets among backs, but he did very little with the work. Pollard was the RB11 in expected fantasy points per game, but he was the RB23 in fantasy points per game. He was 44th in yards per touch and 37th in yards created per touch. Some of this could easily be due to the injury he sustained in the prior season because his numbers down the stretch were much better. In Weeks 11-18, among 44 qualifying backs, Pollard ranked 15th in yards after contact per attempt, so there's hope that he bounces back in 2024 with a full offseason to get back to 100%. Tennessee isn't the sexiest landing spot for Pollard, but considering the contract size and length and the team's yearning to move quickly to acquire his services, he should be considered their lead back in 2024. Tyjae Spears will push him at every turn, but money talks and Pollard got it this offseason.
4 days ago
Dalton Kincaid Note
Dalton Kincaid photo 83. Dalton Kincaid TE - BUF (at NE)
The first tight end selected in the 2023 NFL Draft, Dalton Kincaid had an uneven but promising rookie year, finishing with 73 catches for 673 yards and two touchdowns, good for a TE11 finish in PPR scoring. Kincaid was especially productive over a five-game midseason stretch when fellow Bills TE Dawson Knox was out with a wrist injury. With Knox on the shelf, Kincaid averaged 7.4 targets, 6.2 catches and 56.2 receiving yards per game. He also scored both of his touchdowns over that span. In games that Knox played, Kincaid averaged 4.9 targets, 3.8 catches and 35.6 receiving yards per game. Kincaid has considerable talent and plays with one of the NFL's best quarterbacks in Josh Allen. The Bills traded away WR Stefon Diggs and let WR Gabe Davis walk in free agency. They added WR Keon Coleman in the second round of the draft, but with Buffalo having so many vacated targets, Kincaid is poised to play an enhanced role in the Bills' passing game, making him one of the more desirable tight ends for fantasy.
4 days ago
Rashee Rice Note
Rashee Rice photo 84. Rashee Rice WR - KC (at DEN)
We'll see how long Rice is suspended for and where his ADP settles in at, but he is likely a strong value for 2024. Every year, we have to navigate these suspension waters for some players. His ADP could also vary widely from league to league. With that in mind, I'm more likely to take the leap and select Rice in leagues where he slips down the board, or I'm looking to "play catch up some" at wide receiver, depending on how my draft has unfolded. The additions of Xavier Worthy and Hollywood Brown to this passing attack have also muddied the waters for Rice. All of this uncertainty will make drafters wary of pressing the button, but the risk will be built into his ADP. While we can debate all of those factors, we can't debate that Rice is a supremely talented player catching passes from one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. In Weeks 12-18, Rice ranked 12th in target share (25.2%), 10th in YPRR (2.77) and FD/RR (0.123), and ninth in fantasy points per route run (0.60). Buy the dip.
4 days ago
Zack Moss Note
Zack Moss photo 85. Zack Moss RB - CIN (at PIT)
Moss parlayed his starting stint last year with the Colts into a possible starting gig with the Bengals. In the seven games he started and played at least 50% of the snaps, he finished with 21.1 touches and 98.5 total yards per game. Moss should handle the early downs in Cincinnati this season after ranking 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Chase Brown could eat into his pass game work as Moss was only 41st in yards per route run and 48th in targets per route run. Even if his passing game usage is capped, being the early down back on one of the league's best offenses still puts him in the RB2/3 conversation.
4 days ago
Brian Robinson Jr. Note
Brian Robinson Jr. photo 86. Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS (at DAL)
Brian Robinson's overall stat lines don't portray how good he was last season. Robinson was the RB14 in fantasy points per opportunity and the RB22 in fantasy points per game. He also stood out in efficiency categories, ranking 22nd in explosive run rate and 13th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). In the 12 games in which he played at least 40% of the snaps, Robinson averaged 15.5 touches and 77.9 total yards per game. He quietly displayed a three-down skillset last season, proving that he can play on passing downs, ranking fifth in yards per route run and 12th in PFF's pass-blocking grade (minimum 20 targets and 50 pass-blocking snaps). Robinson will have to fight Austin Ekeler for passing down snaps and red zone work as he settles into the RB2/3 zone for 2024.
4 days ago
Tua Tagovailoa Note
Tua Tagovailoa photo 87. Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA (at NYJ)
Tagovailoa was the QB16 in fantasy points per game last year despite leading the NFL in passing yards, ranking ninth in passing attempts, and fifth in passing touchdowns. The reason was his scoring came in waves with five games of at least 308 passing yards, but that was also married with eight games where he didn't cross 250 passing yards. If Tagovailoa can even out the production and increase his passing scores in 2024, he can be a QB1. He was elite in so many areas last year, ranking third in yards per attempt, fourth in passing yards per game, sixth in CPOE, and third in highly accurate throw rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Tagovailoa is a QB2 with QB1 upside.
4 days ago
Jared Goff Note
Jared Goff photo 88. Jared Goff QB - DET (vs . MIN)
Fantasy managers might not ever get excited about drafting Jared Goff, but after strong seasons with the Lions in 2022 and 2023, Goff should be regarded as no worse than a solid midrange QB2. Goff finished QB7 in fantasy scoring last season, although he was only QB13 in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks who made at least six starts. Over the last two years, he's averaged 265.1 passing yards and 1.7 TD passes a game. Goff adds very little value as a runner, but his solid passing production makes him a useful fantasy asset.
4 days ago
Jayden Daniels Note
Jayden Daniels photo 89. Jayden Daniels QB - WAS (at DAL)
The Washington Commanders selected this dynamic run-pass threat with the No. 2 pick in the draft and are hoping they've found a long-term answer at quarterback. Daniels won the Heisman Trophy last year, throwing for 3,812 yards and 40 touchdowns at LSU, with only four interceptions. He also ran for 1,134 yards and 10 touchdowns. Daniels completed 72.2% of his throws in his final college season and averaged an outrageous 11.7 yards per pass attempt. Daniels probably won't be able to replicate that sort of passing success in his first exposure to NFL defenses, but Daniels' rushing ability should make him immediately playable in fantasy leagues.
4 days ago
David Njoku Note
David Njoku photo 90. David Njoku TE - CLE (at BAL)
Njoku exploded last year with Joe Flacco under center as he concluded the season as the TE7 in fantasy points per game. Sadly, Flacco won't be under center in Cleveland this year, as Deshaun Watson is making his return. The numbers for Njoku were BAD, any way you slice them, with Watson playing last season. In the five games Watson played a full-time role, Njoku had a 15% target share with 1.23 yards per route run, 35.2 receiving yards per game, only one end zone target, and 0.035 first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). His 8.5 PPR points per game would have landed him as the TE17 last year. Njoku likely can manage low-end TE1 production this year if Watson improves, but in plenty of drafts, he'll be a name I'm avoiding in 2024.
4 days ago
Jake Ferguson Note
Jake Ferguson photo 91. Jake Ferguson TE - DAL (vs . WAS)
Ferguson finished last season as the TE10 in fantasy points per game. His role as the "WR2" in the Dallas offense helps prop him up more than his underlying efficiency metrics say it should. The role and usage are amazing, but the raw talent and efficiency aren't great. Ferguson ranked seventh in raw target volume while leading all tight ends in red zone targets. When you pop the hood on, his efficiency is when you realize his talent level. He was 17th in yards per route run and 15th in first downs per route run despite ranking tenth in receiving yards per game. While he did finish as the TE10 in fantasy points per game, he was the TE7 in expected fantasy points per game. The Cowboys roster remains largely unchanged with the passing depth chart, so I expect Ferguson to volume his way to another low-end TE1 season again in 2024.
4 days ago
Jordan Addison Note
Jordan Addison photo 92. Jordan Addison WR - MIN (at DET)
Addison's WR30 finish last year in fantasy points per game won't be replicable in 2024 unless he cures a BUNCH of massive red flags in his profile. His insane touchdown luck inflated his rookie season. He was 15th in end zone targets last year and ran hot with the fourth-most receiving touchdowns among wide receivers behind only Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, and CeeDee Lamb. All of his other metrics were in the toilet. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked 46th in target share, 59th in targets per route run, 51st in yards per route run, and 58th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Touchdowns are flukey. Everything points to Addison being a bust in 2024, so I'll be happily avoiding him. This is without equating any time he might miss related to a possible suspension for his off-the-field news.
4 days ago
Xavier Worthy Note
Xavier Worthy photo 93. Xavier Worthy WR - KC (at DEN)
A wide receiver drafted in the first round landing in Kansas City? Yes, please. Worthy has blinding speed and the ability to create big plays with the ball in his hands. In two of his final three collegiate seasons, he ranked inside the top 27 collegiate receivers in yards after the catch per reception (27th, 8th). Worthy was also in the 90th percentile in his final season at Texas in separation percentage. Hollywood Brown isn't a sure thing at this point in his career to stay healthy for an entire season. Rashee Rice has suspension questions looming. This offense, at some point this season, could boil down to Worthy and Travis Kelce as Patrick Mahomes' top two targets.
4 days ago
Trevor Lawrence Note
Trevor Lawrence photo 94. Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC (at IND)
Fantasy managers were hoping to see Trevor Lawrence take a major step forward in 2023 after a promising 2022 season. Much of Lawrence's third NFL season was a disappointment in that regard, but a strong finish raises hopes for 2024. Over the first 10 weeks of the 2023 season, Lawrence was QB19 in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks with at least four starts, averaging 235.6 passing yards and 1.0 TD passes per game. From Week 11 on, Lawrence was QB7 in fantasy points per game, averaging 270.9 passing yards and 1.7 TD passes a game. The former No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft was able to ramp up his production late in the year despite losing WR Christian Kirk to a core injury that kept him out of the last five games of the season. Lawrence has a fabulous toolkit that includes abundant arm talent and above-average rushing ability. Consistency is the missing ingredient, and maybe we'll finally get it from Lawrence in his fourth year in the league.
4 days ago
Caleb Williams Note
Caleb Williams photo 95. Caleb Williams QB - CHI (at GB)
The No. 1 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, Caleb Williams figures to be a Day 1 starter for the Bears, who have given their rookie quarterback an embarrassment of pass-catching riches with the WR trio of D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and No. 9 overall draft pick Rome Odunze. After transferring from Oklahoma to USC in 2022, Williams won the Heisman Trophy in his first season with the Trojans, throwing for 42 touchdowns and running for 10 more. Williams was slightly less spectacular in 2023 but still had a fine season for a defensively weak USC squad that asked its quarterback to carry the team all year. Williams has abundant arm talent and mobility. He's a creative quarterback who excels at making plays out of structure. There's always a steep learning curve for rookie quarterbacks, but C.J. Stroud just reminded us that a high-quality rookie QB can be fantasy-viable right away.
4 days ago
Evan Engram Note
Evan Engram photo 96. Evan Engram TE - JAC (at IND)
After being considered a fantasy disappointment for the majority of his first five years in the league, Evan Engram has become one of the most productive pass catchers at the position. Engram finished TE6 in half-point PPR fantasy scoring in 2022, then finished TE2 last year (though it should be noted that three TEs finished less than 3 points behind Engram). With 114 catches in 2023, Engram shattered his previous single-season high by 41 receptions. He also had a career-high 963 receiving yards, though Engram averaged a career-low 8.4 yards per catch. As QB Trevor Lawrence's favorite security blanket, Engram had four games with double-digit reception totals in 2023 and eight games with seven or more receptions. Drops are seemingly always an issue for Engram, and he hasn't scored more than four touchdowns in a single season since he was a rookie in 2017. But Engram has become a high-quality fantasy asset and will be a good bet to once again return TE1 value in 2024.
4 days ago
Gus Edwards Note
Gus Edwards photo 97. Gus Edwards RB - LAC (at LV)
Gus Edwards arrives in Los Angeles with a two-year deal that is essentially a one-year contract, with the money falling off after 2024. Last season, Edwards was the RB32 in fantasy, with the strength of 13 total touchdowns (fourth-most). Edwards is an early down grinder who only managed a 2.8% target share last season, so all of his value will have to come via rushing. Edwards looks like a player on the decline in the rushing department after finishing 51st in juke rate, 39th in evaded tackles, and 45th in yards created per touch last season. With J.K. Dobbins and Kimani Vidal brought in as competition, Edwards could be on the outside looking with volume this season.
4 days ago
Justin Herbert Note
Justin Herbert photo 98. Justin Herbert QB - LAC (at LV)
Herbert is coming off another solid fantasy season as the QB8 in fantasy points per game, but it's tough to see him repeating that production in 2024, and his underlying accuracy metrics from last year are concerning. Among 45 qualifying quarterbacks last season, he ranked 26th in yards per attempt, 22nd in CPOE, and 23rd in adjusted completion rate (per Fantasy Points Data). The arm talent is still there, though, because he was second in the highly accurate throw rate among the same sample size. In a run-first offense this year, Herbert's numbers will be muted unless he can compensate for the lost passing volume with efficiency and some rushing upside. It's easy to forget that Herbert is hyper-athletic with a 4.68 forty time, which he used to churn out two games last year with at least 45 rushing yards. Herbert is a QB2 who will have some QB1 spike weeks.
4 days ago
Devin Singletary Note
Devin Singletary photo 99. Devin Singletary RB - NYG (at PHI)
Devin Singletary steps in as the Giants' new lead back with some big shoes to fill with Saquon Barkley's departure. Last year, with the Texans, he proved again that he could be a solid starting tailback in the NFL as he stepped in during the middle of the season and stole the starting job away from Dameon Pierce in Houston. In Weeks 9-18, he averaged 19 touches and 86.6 total yards as the RB21 in fantasy points per game. Singletary continues to roll along as an efficient rusher. Last year, he was 19th in explosive run rate and 22nd in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). While the Giants aren't the sexiest landing spot, Singletary should flirt with RB2 production as the team's bellcow.
4 days ago
Nick Chubb Note
Nick Chubb photo 100. Nick Chubb RB - CLE (at BAL)
Chubb's 2023 season was cut short in Week 2 due to a gruesome injury. I don't want to say the deck is stacked against Chubb to be a meaningful contributor in 2024, but it won't be a cakewalk. Chubb will be entering his age-29 season, and while (with the pay cut) he'll be staying with the Browns, it's tough to count on him as anything more than a dart throw RB3 for 2024.
4 days ago
Javonte Williams Note
Javonte Williams photo 101. Javonte Williams RB - DEN (vs . KC)
Javonte Williams looked like a shelf of his former self in the first season. Yes, I know this was his first season coming off a devastating knee injury, but it still wasn't pretty. Volume wasn't the issue for the RB31 last season, as he rolled up 264 touches, but his efficiency numbers were scary. Among 49 qualifying backs last season, he ranked 41st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt. Williams also was 55th in fantasy points per opportunity and 53rd in yards per touch. Could he bounce back in 2024 and look more like the eventual stud we saw in 2021 and 2022? Sure, it's possible. Is it also possible that a back with a 40th percentile speed score and 72nd percentile burst score never regains his former juice? Yep. Williams looks entrenched as Denver's early down guy, but don't be surprised if Jaleel McLaughlin eats into his carries more this season and capsizes his pass-game usage. Williams is an RB2/3.
4 days ago
Jonathon Brooks Note
Jonathon Brooks photo 102. Jonathon Brooks RB - CAR (at ATL)
Brooks lands in CAR with second-round NFL Draft capital in a wide-open backfield, with his toughest competition being Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders. Yes, he's recovering from an ACL tear, but as soon as he's ready to shoulder most of the load for this backfield, it should be his job. Brooks displayed a three-down skillset last year at Texas, ranking 21st in yards after contact per attempt and yards per route run while also finishing ninth in PFF elusive rating. Brooks could begin the season as an RB3/flex but finish it as a stretch run hero.
4 days ago
Courtland Sutton Note
Courtland Sutton photo 103. Courtland Sutton WR - DEN (vs . KC)
Sutton returns as the defacto WR1 for the Denver Broncos. Last year, he was the WR38 in fantasy points per game, which was largely fueled by touchdowns. Sutton had the 12th-most red zone targets, which he turned into the 10th-most total touchdowns among receivers. The rest of his peripherals were lackluster, as he ranked 39th in target share, 37th in yards per route run, 44th in receiving yards per game, and 38th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). At this point in his career, we know who Sutton is, and I don't see Bo Nix elevating him. Sutton is an uninspiring WR4 again this season.
4 days ago
Jaylen Warren Note
Jaylen Warren photo 104. Jaylen Warren RB - PIT (vs . CIN)
Jaylen Warren was one of the most explosive and elusive backs in the NFL. This sounds like a hyperbolic statement I know, but it really isn't. Last season, he finished third in explosive run rate, first in missed tackles forced per attempt, and second in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). If these numbers don't jump off the page, then I don't know what else to tell you. Oh wait, he was also 12th in yards per route run and fifth in targets per route run. Warren is a stud and outperformed Najee Harris in nearly every metric. While he finished as the RB29 in fantasy points per game, that doesn't tell the entire story. Warren was an RB2 or better in weekly scoring in 50% of his games. Warren will still have to split a backfield this season with Harris, but if you're betting on talent (which you should be), there aren't many better options to grab in drafts that have his type of upside if anything were to happen to Harris.
4 days ago
Dallas Goedert Note
Dallas Goedert photo 105. Dallas Goedert TE - PHI (vs . NYG)
Goedert missed time again last year after suffering a broken arm in Week 10. Overall, he was the TE12 in fantasy points per game, ranking 11th in target share, 13th in receiving yards per game, and 15th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). In Kellen Moore's offense, he could get a bump. Last year, he was 14th among tight ends in red zone targets, but that number could climb in 2024. Last year, Moore's offense was seventh in red zone passing rate while Philly led the NFL in rushing rate inside the 20. If Goedert can stay healthy and the Eagles toss more in the red zone, he could pay off as a top 6-8 fantasy tight end this year.
4 days ago
Kirk Cousins Note
Kirk Cousins photo 106. Kirk Cousins QB - ATL (vs . CAR)
Before Kirk Cousins' season ended with the Achilles rupture, he was arguably having one of the best seasons of his career. Cousins was the QB8 in fantasy points per game and was superb in a number of accuracy metrics. Cousins was 13th in highly accurate throw rate, seventh in CPOE, and fourth in adjusted completion rate (per Fantasy Points Data). If he can return from the Achilles and look anything close to the same player, Cousins could again flirt with QB1 numbers in Atlanta with Drake London and Kyle Pitts flying high in 2024.
4 days ago
Rome Odunze Note
Rome Odunze photo 107. Rome Odunze WR - CHI (at GB)
No one should question Odunze's talent. In his final season in college, Odunze ranked 18th in YPRR and 8th in PFF receiving grade. It is fair to wonder about his ability to earn targets in year one, as D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen will flank him. There are reasons to be hopeful for Odunze, though. Unlike Jaxon Smith-Njigba last year, Odunze can still have splash weeks this year because of his ability to stretch the field, as his 15.5 aDOT in 2023 attests, so he can maximize some lost volume with big plays. The volume of this passing attack could surprise us as well, though. In 2021-2023, under new Bears' offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, Seattle ranked seventh in neutral pace and ninth in neutral passing rate. If the passing volume shocks the world and/or Keenan Allen or D.J. Moore misses any time, Odunze could outplay his ADP.
4 days ago
Matthew Stafford Note
Matthew Stafford photo 108. Matthew Stafford QB - LAR (vs . SEA)
Stafford was the QB14 in fantasy last year. At this stage of his career, it's difficult to expect more than QB2 production from him. Last year, despite ranking ninth in yards per attempt, he was also 37th in highly accurate throw rate, 26th in adjusted completion rate, and 21st in fantasy points per dropback (per Fantasy Points Data). Stafford could see some more passing touchdown production this year if Sean McVay continues the red zone philosophy shift we saw down the back half of last season. In Weeks 1-8, the Rams operated with the 13th-highest red zone rushing rate. After Stafford returned for Weeks 11-17, the Rams were 11th in red zone passing rate. Stafford should have plenty of streamable weeks where he could return QB1 fantasy output.
4 days ago
Jameson Williams Note
Jameson Williams photo 109. Jameson Williams WR - DET (vs . MIN)
The runway is clear for Jameson Williams to break out this year, but call me skeptical. I just don't know if it happens, considering what we've seen from him so far in his career. Last year he only managed to surpass 60% of the snaps in four games with only three games with at least six or more targets. Among 93 qualifying receivers last season, Williams was 62nd in target per route run rate, 55th in yards per route run, and 70th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). None of these numbers paint a pretty picture for an illustrious monster season in 2024, but that doesn't mean that Williams can't offer spike week upside as a WR5/6 for your fantasy squads.
4 days ago
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Note
Jaxon Smith-Njigba photo 110. Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR - SEA (at LAR)
Smith-Njigba's usage last year was comical. The team neutered him into a low aDOT player when he has the skills to be so much more. When he was aligned outside, he flashed the talent that had plenty of Fantasy GMs drafting him aggressively last year. Among 81 qualifying wide receivers last season, when he was running routes on the perimeter, Smith-Njigba ranked 15th in YPRR and fourth in TPRR. Among 61 qualifying receivers with at least 40 perimeter targets, he also ranked 14th in FD/RR. With a new head coach and offensive coordinator to revamp this offense and a retooled offensive line, Smith-Njigba should flourish in his sophomore season.
4 days ago
Brock Bowers Note
Brock Bowers photo 111. Brock Bowers TE - LV (vs . LAC)
Brock Bowers enters the NFL as one of the best tight-end prospects of recent memory. Across his three collegiate seasons, he never finished lower than sixth in receiving grade or yards per route run (per PFF). He enters a similar situation that Dalton Kincaid had last year for the Bills, where Bowers will have to distance himself from the incumbent, Michael Mayer. Can he do this possibly in short order? Sure. Is it also possible that it will take him a few weeks to get established as an every-down player in the Raiders offense? Yep, as well. Bowers should be considered clearly behind Davante Adams in the target pecking order as he fights Jakobi Meyers for the number two chair. A strong TE1 season is in the range of outcomes for 2024.
4 days ago
Tyjae Spears Note
Tyjae Spears photo 112. Tyjae Spears RB - TEN (vs . HOU)
RIP Tyjae Spears RB1 szn. It was fun while it lasted, but Tony Pollard's arrival has kiboshed that. That doesn't mean Tyjae Spears can't be 2021 Tony Pollard to Tony Pollard in Tennessee. Spears operated as discount De'Von Achane last season, ranking fifth in explosive run rate and 14th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). He proved that he can be a three-down explosive play monster as well, ranking seventh in target share, 10th in TPRR, and 17th in YPRR. If the Titans trot out an offense with an above-average neutral rushing rate and Spears can continue his insane efficiency, he will remain a strong RB3 who could finish as a low-end RB2 if this offense surprises people.
4 days ago
Ezekiel Elliott Note
Ezekiel Elliott photo 113. Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL (vs . WAS)
Elliott heads back to Dallas after a one-year stint with the Patriots. Last season should have fully proven that Elliott's tires are flat. Among 49 qualifying backs, he ranked 45th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 43rd in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Elliott will mix in with Rico Dowdle to form an uninspiring committee in Dallas. Elliott is a touchdown-dependant flex/RB4.
4 days ago
Dalton Schultz Note
Dalton Schultz photo 114. Dalton Schultz TE - HOU (at TEN)
Dalton Schultz and Cole Kmet have had similar off-season paths. Both were top 12 fantasy options at the tight end position last year, but they have seen their standing in the target tree diminished with the addition of talented receivers. The arrival of Stefon Diggs will make it difficult for Schultz to repeat his TE11 showing last year. Most of Schultz's efficiency numbers from last season do state that he was playing a bit over his head. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, he ranked 15th in target share, 11th in receiving yards per game, 14th in yards per route run, and 11th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Schultz is likely a high-end TE2 this season that returns some TE1 weeks.
4 days ago
Pat Freiermuth Note
Pat Freiermuth photo 115. Pat Freiermuth TE - PIT (vs . CIN)
After averaging 9.5 and 9.9 PPF fantasy points per game in his first two seasons in the league, Pat Freiermuth averaged only 6.4 PPR points per game in 2023, as he was thwarted by uneven QB play and a hamstring injury that cost him five games. Freiermuth had seven TD catches as a rookie in 2021. He only scored two touchdowns in 2022 but ramped up his yardage, finishing with 63 receptions for 732 yards. Freiermuth is adept at working the middle of the field, has dependable hands and is tough to bring down after the catch. A nine-catch, 120-yard performance vs. the Bengals in late November showed what Freiermuth is capable of. The Steelers aren't exactly loaded at the WR position, so Freiermuth should see enough targets in 2024 to give him a chance at low-end TE1 fantasy value.
4 days ago
Austin Ekeler Note
Austin Ekeler photo 116. Austin Ekeler RB - WAS (at DAL)
Austin Ekeler's 2023 season was a letdown, no matter how you look at it. Ekeler suffered an ankle sprain in Week 1, which led to three games being missed and possibly muted production for the rest of the season. Once he returned from injury, he averaged 16.1 touches and 69.2 total yards as the RB28 in fantasy points per game. It was a dramatic fall from grace for a back that had not finished outside the top-nine running backs in fantasy since 2018 (RB28). Ekeler retained some of his pass game prowess as he ranked eighth in target share and 19th in yards per route run (among 60 qualifying backs per Fantasy Points Data), but his rushing skills fell apart. Among 49 qualifying backs, Ekeler ranked 38th in yards after contact per attempt and 46th in missed tackles forced per attempt. Landing in Washington with Anthony Lynn was one of the better-case scenarios this offseason. He likely forms a frustrating committee with Brian Robinson in an Antonio Gibson-plus role for Washington.
4 days ago
Aaron Rodgers Note
Aaron Rodgers photo 117. Aaron Rodgers QB - NYJ (vs . MIA)
The Jets traded for Aaron Rodgers in 2023 in the hopes that he'd be the solution to their QB problems. Those hopes were dashed on Rodgers' fourth offensive snap with his new team, as he tore his Achilles when he was sacked by the Bills' Leonard Floyd. Rodgers will eventually be enshrined in the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but will he still be able to play at something close to a Hall-of-Fame level this season at age 40? Rodgers experienced some statistical slippage in his final season with the Packers in 2022, and now he's coming off a major injury. Two other reasons for concern about Rodgers 2024 fantasy output: (1) The Jets are likely to play at a slow offensive pace under offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, as was the case when Rodgers and Hackett were paired together in Green Bay, and (2) the Jets have a terrific defense, so Rodgers probably isn't going to be involved in a lot of high-scoring shootouts. Don't overpay for the brand name.
4 days ago
Ladd McConkey Note
Ladd McConkey photo 118. Ladd McConkey WR - LAC (at LV)
McConkey could become the Bolts' WR1 in short order. McConkey has a clear path to volume this year, with only Joshua Palmer and Quentin Johnston pushing him weekly. Is the passing volume in a Greg Roman offense a concern? Absolutely, but that's why his ADP is this low. During Roman's final four seasons with Baltimore, his offenses averaged 496 passing attempts. If McConkey can earn at least a 21% target share, then we're talking 102 targets, which might not sound like much, but that would have been tied for 32nd among wide receivers last season. There's plenty of upside for McConkey to earn an even larger slice of the target pie in 2024, considering the other pass catchers that are running opposite him and his inherent talent level. Last year at Georgia, McConkey was in the 98th percentile in receiving grade and receiving grade versus single coverage. He was also in the 91st percentile or higher in separation percentage and YPRR. If the Bolts' throw even more than I'm projecting, McConkey could be one of the best values of the fantasy draft season.
4 days ago
Trey Benson Note
Trey Benson photo 119. Trey Benson RB - ARI (vs . SF)
Benson will have to contend with a still-spry James Conner for touches all season. Yes, Conner hasn't played more than 13 games in a season over the last two years, so Benson could get some run as the team's starter in 2024. It's impossible to project that with the uncertainty of injuries, but it has to be mentioned. Even in a 1B role to Conner, Benson could make some noise with big plays. Over the last two collegiate seasons, Benson has ranked 10th and third in breakaway percentage and 42nd and first in elusive rating (per PFF). With an offense that ranked fourth in neutral script rushing rate last year, there should be enough rushing volume weekly for Benson to have flex viability. He's a priority handcuff this season with some standalone value.
4 days ago
Jerome Ford Note
Jerome Ford photo 120. Jerome Ford RB - CLE (at BAL)
Jerome Ford could be the Brown's starting tailback again this season. Nick Chubb's health remains up in the air. While the early returns have been encouraging for his recovery, he isn't guaranteed to play in the early parts of the season or at all in 2024. Last season, in Weeks 3-17, when Ford was the starter, he averaged 14.9 touches and 66.6 total yards as the RB20 in fantasy. Ford played well, ranking 13th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 16th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). If he is the team's starter again this season, he should be considered an RB2 with upside. He could see even more work this season if he can hold off D'Onta Foreman on early downs and Nyheim Hines for the pass game work.
4 days ago
Deshaun Watson Note
Deshaun Watson photo 121. Deshaun Watson QB - CLE (at BAL)
Will we ever again see the early-career version of Deshaun Watson -- the one who was a top-five fantasy quarterback in each of his first three full seasons as an NFL starter? Watson has struggled to recapture the magic of his run with the Texans from 2018 to 2020. He was understandably rusty when he made his Browns debut late in the 2022 season after serving an 11-game suspension for violating the NFL's personal-conduct policy. Watson wasn't significantly better in six 2023 starts for the Browns before a shoulder injury ended his season. In each of his two abbreviated seasons with Cleveland, Watson has averaged 15.1 fantasy points per game. He's completed 59.8% of his passes over the last two years and has averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Watson turns 29 at the beginning of the 2024 season, and it's seeming less and less likely that he'll ever recapture the electrifying form he showed when he first burst onto the NFL scene. Approach with caution.
4 days ago
Tyler Lockett Note
Tyler Lockett photo 122. Tyler Lockett WR - SEA (at LAR)
Lockett has begun to slow down. Last year, he continued a downward trend, with his yards per route run dropping for the third consecutive year and marking his lowest since 2017 (per PFF). He also logged the lowest yards after the catch per reception of his entire career. Last year, he managed a WR37 finish in fantasy points per game while ranking 40th in receiving yards per game and 36th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Lockett might have one more WR3 season left in him, but with Jaxon Smith-Njigba primed to break out, it's better to consider Lockett a WR4/5.
4 days ago
Brian Thomas Jr. Note
Brian Thomas Jr. photo 123. Brian Thomas Jr. WR - JAC (at IND)
Thomas Jr. had a monster final season at LSU before entering the NFL. He ranked 32nd in yards per route run, with big plays deep down the field littering his collegiate film. The problem for Thomas Jr. is that at this juncture, he is a more limited player in terms of route tree and projectable role in the NFL. He was a fade-and-go ball specialist at LSU. While he could easily evolve into more in the NFL, it's going to take him a while to do so. Expect the Jaguars to ease Thomas Jr. in as a deep threat as he fights Gabe Davis for those downfield targets. If Jacksonville tasks him with responsibilities similar to D.K. Metcalf in his rookie season, it could be a smashing success. Thomas Jr. is a dice roll WR4/5 with upside for this season.
4 days ago
Jakobi Meyers Note
Jakobi Meyers photo 124. Jakobi Meyers WR - LV (vs . LAC)
Last year, Jakobi Meyers surprised everyone as the WR24 in fantasy points per game. He was fueled by touchdowns with the fifth-most among wide receivers, but he also drew a 19.9% target share and 25.9% air-yard share. Dealing with subpar quarterback play all season, he only ranked 48th in yards per route run but was also 29th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). With the quarterback play not looking any better for 2024 for Las Vegas and now Meyers dealing with Brock Bowers for the WR2 weekly, it's best to view him as a flex play or WR4/5.
4 days ago
Rashid Shaheed Note
Rashid Shaheed photo 125. Rashid Shaheed WR - NO (at TB)
Shaheed is a big play threat that will receive a bump in volume this season with Michael Thomas gone. Last year, Shaheed finished as the WR45 in fantasy points per game with five weeks of top-24 fantasy receiver production. He was the lid lifter, ranking 10th in aDOT and 15th in deep targets. Look for him to get more looks in the short and intermediate areas of the field for YAC opportunities with Klint Kubiak in town. Last year, he drew a 13.6% target share and 23.5% air-yard share while ranking 43rd in yards per route run and 45th in receiving yards per game out of 81 qualifying receivers (per Fantasy Points Data). Shaheed is a WR4 that could offer consistent WR3 production this year.
4 days ago
Mike Williams Note
Mike Williams photo 126. Mike Williams WR - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Mike Williams was signed to a one-year deal worth $15 million by Gang Green, but he's going to be 30 years old in October, coming off a Week 3 torn ACL.
FWIW, Big Mike was extremely productive before he got hurt. The former Chargers WR ranked as WR15 overall and WR17 in points per game. Williams can at least slide in as the immediate No. 2 WR behind Garrett Wilson in an offense that will likely get improved QB play from Aaron Rodgers.
4 days ago
Chase Brown Note
Chase Brown photo 127. Chase Brown RB - CIN (at PIT)
Chase Brown remains a high-end handcuff bet for 2024 that could offer some stand-alone value if he can eat into Zach Moss's workload. Brown was impressive on a per-touch basis last season, although the sample size is pretty limited (44 carries). Among 77 backs with at least 40 carries, Brown ranked 12th in yards after contact per attempt and 16th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Brown is a player to get exposure with during draft season because the upside is there for him to outkick his ADP.
4 days ago
Baker Mayfield Note
Baker Mayfield photo 128. Baker Mayfield QB - TB (vs . NO)
Baker Mayfield looked rejuvenated in 2023, throwing for a career-high 4,044 yards with 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in his first season as the Buccaneers' starting quarterback. Mayfield finished QB10 in total fantasy scoring, though he was only QB18 in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks who played at least five games. The six-year veteran seemed to benefit from the tutelage of noted QB whisperer Dave Canales, who served as the Bucs' offensive coordinator last season. But Canales was named the Panthers' head coach in the offseason, and Mayfield will be working with a new offensive coordinator, Liam Coen, who was the offensive coordinator at the University of Kentucky last year. Mayfield lacks QB1 upside for fantasy but profiles as a competent QB2 and a reasonable option in superflex leagues.
4 days ago
Cole Kmet Note
Cole Kmet photo 129. Cole Kmet TE - CHI (at GB)
Kmet had a breakout season last year as the TE9 in fantasy points per game. Among 51 qualifying tight ends, Kmet ranked 12th in target share, seventh in yards per route run, and 10th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). He was the clear WR2 in the Chicago Bears' passing attack, which won't be the case in 2024. The additions of Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze push Kmet down to competing with D'Andre Swift for the fourth option in line. Despite Kmet's ascending talent, this passing attack won't run through him in 2024, leaving him as a borderline TE1 only.
4 days ago
Blake Corum Note
Blake Corum photo 130. Blake Corum RB - LAR (vs . SEA)
I have my worries about Corum, but the Rams investing third-round draft capital in him was interesting. Corum's yards after contact per attempt, breakaway percentage, and elusive ratings fell in each of his final three collegiate seasons (per PFF). That's not exactly the trend line that you want to have entering the NFL, but the Rams' third-round investment in the Michigan product is a decent vote of confidence that Corum can possibly get back to his 2021 form (24th in yards after contact per attempt per PFF). I doubt Corum is taking passing down snaps away from Kyren Williams, but he could help spell him on early downs and salt away the clock late in games. Corum is a high-end handcuff only right now.
4 days ago
Geno Smith Note
Geno Smith photo 131. Geno Smith QB - SEA (at LAR)
After a triumphant 2022 season in which he threw for 4,282 yards and 30 touchdowns, completing an NFL-high 69.8% of his passes, Geno Smith floated back down to earth in 2023. Despite working with the WR trio of D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Smith finished QB25 in fantasy scoring last year, averaging 15.3 fantasy points per game. So ... will the real Geno Smith please stand up? With Seattle's ample pass-catching weaponry, a return to the heights of 2022 is certainly possible for Smith. But the 33-year-old Smith has only had one good NFL season, so it's not inconceivable that he could play his way out of a starting job.
4 days ago
Brandin Cooks Note
Brandin Cooks photo 132. Brandin Cooks WR - DAL (vs . WAS)
Cook is on the back nine of his career and appears to be slowing down after a WR43 finish last year. Even after Dak Prescott flipped the switch, Cooks wasn't a player to get overly excited about for fantasy football. In Weeks 6-18 last year, among 83 qualifying receivers, Cooks ranked 45th in receiving yards per game, 61st in target share, 57th in yards per route run, and 44th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Cooks should be a WR4/5 again this season.
4 days ago
T.J. Hockenson Note
T.J. Hockenson photo 133. T.J. Hockenson TE - MIN (at DET)
T.J. Hockenson would have been drafted as a top-six tight end in the vast majority of 2024 fantasy leagues if he hadn't torn his ACL and MCL on Dec. 24, putting his early-season availability for the new season in doubt. It's possible that the recovery from multiple ligament tears will keep Hockenson out until around midseason, and that he won't be his typically impactful self immediately upon his return. A healthy Hockenson is a fantasy difference-maker. He had 86 catches for 914 yards and six touchdowns in 2022, good for a TE2 finish in PPR fantasy scoring behind only Travis Kelce. Hockenson was having an even better season in 2023, with 95 catches for 960 yards and five touchdowns before the injury. Monitor the reports on Hockenson's recovery throughout the offseason, and resist the temptation to overspend on a player trying to come back from major knee surgery.
4 days ago
Keon Coleman Note
Keon Coleman photo 134. Keon Coleman WR - BUF (at NE)
The Bills are building a basketball team. Each receiver depth chart has a mishmash of skill sets that offensive coordinators and quarterbacks can take advantage of in particular roles. The Bills drafted their power forward and red zone threat with the selection of Keon Coleman. I wasn't particularly high on Coleman as a prospect, as he never ranked higher than 72nd in yards per route run, receiving grade, or yards after the catch per reception in his final two seasons in college. I don't know if he'll ever develop into a refined route runner or high-end target share earner, but that doesn't mean he can't use size to his advantage in the red zone this year with Allen. Coleman is a solid late-round flier who could develop into more this year.
4 days ago
Zach Charbonnet Note
Zach Charbonnet photo 135. Zach Charbonnet RB - SEA (at LAR)
Zach Charbonnet played a complementary role in Seattle for most of his rookie season. Overall, he finished as the RB48 in fantasy points per game with 141 touches and 671 total yards. In the three games that he played at least 61% of the snaps, he averaged 19.7 touches and 75.3 total yards, with two top-18 running back finishes (RB18, RB13). Charbonnet did prove that he could carry the mail last year and surprised many with his top-20 rankings in explosive run rate (20th) and yards after contact per attempt (11th, per Fantasy Points Data). Charbonnet could eat into Kenneth Walker's work more in 2024, but he's likely best viewed as a high-end handcuff with some stand-alone flex value.
4 days ago
Romeo Doubs Note
Romeo Doubs photo 136. Romeo Doubs WR - GB (vs . CHI)
Romeo Doubs showcased improvement in his 2nd season, becoming a consistent target in their passing game. With 69 receptions on 105 targets for 908 yards and 9 touchdowns, he proved to be a valuable asset, particularly in the red zone. However, Doubs fell short of maximizing his potential within the offense, scoring fewer points than his expected output, creating doubt about his 2024 ceiling. Despite this, his performance solidified him as a reliable WR4 option in fantasy leagues.
4 days ago
Chuba Hubbard Note
Chuba Hubbard photo 137. Chuba Hubbard RB - CAR (at ATL)
Chuba Hubbard stole the lead back job in Carolina from Miles Sanders last year. Maybe injuries helped pave the way, but Hubbard proved the entire season that he was the better player on a per-touch basis. Hubbard rolled up the volume as Carolina's guy. In Weeks 6-18, as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, he averaged 19.2 touches and 77.7 total yards. His efficiency stats don't paint a pretty picture, as he was 30th in explosive run rate, 32nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 31st in yards after contact per attempt last season (per Fantasy Points Data). Look for Hubbard and Miles Sanders to play part-time roles this season until Jonathon Brooks is up to speed. Once that happens, Hubbard will be a weekly zero.
4 days ago
Curtis Samuel Note
Curtis Samuel photo 138. Curtis Samuel WR - BUF (at NE)
The last time we saw Curtis Samuel in a Joe Brady offense, he finished as the WR27 in fantasy points per game with 1,051 total yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns. While I don't think we see that type of resurgence from Samuel, he could surpass his WR48 standing last year, catching passes from Josh Allen. Last year, Samuel only managed a 14.7% target share with a 7.1 aDOT and 1.60 yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Samuel is a WR5/6 who could evolve into a steady flex play this season if he recaptures some of his former magic.
4 days ago
Will Levis Note
Will Levis photo 139. Will Levis QB - TEN (vs . HOU)
Will Levis quickened the pulses of fantasy football managers when he threw four TD passes against the Falcons in his first NFL start. But after those Levis pyrotechnics in Week 8, the rookie QB couldn't get much cooking for the rest of the season, throwing only four TD passes over his next eight starts. It's hard to tell what to make of Levis for 2024. The book on him coming out of college was that he had the Josh Allen starter kit (rocket arm, good mobility) but was far from a finished product. The good news is that the Titans seem committed to their young quarterback. They signed free-agent WR Calvin Ridley to a four-year, $92 million deal, giving Levis a veteran WR duo of Ridley and DeAndre Hopkins. Tennessee also signed veteran slot receiver Tyler Boyd and made investments in a leaky offensive line. Levis is probably going to encounter rough patches in his first full season as a starter, but a dramatically upgraded supporting cast gives him a fighting chance to be a pleasant fantasy surprise.
4 days ago
Gabe Davis Note
Gabe Davis photo 140. Gabe Davis WR - JAC (at IND)
At this point in his career, we know who Gabriel Davis is. A field stretcher who can pop off for massive spike weeks at any time. Last year, Davis ranked 15th in deep targets and 18th in total touchdowns, but he still finished as the WR50 in fantasy points per game. He has shown the ability to be a WR3 in fantasy, with his WR36 finish the year prior, but it's tough to project him to revisit that status. We can argue that Davis gets a small upgrade from Josh Allen to Trevor Lawrence in terms of the deep ball. Last year, Allen ranked 12th, followed by Lawrence at 13th in highly accurate throw rate on targets of 20 yards or deeper, but Lawrence buried Allen in catchable target rate on deep balls, ranking 12th while Allen checked in at 21st. Davis is a WR4/5 that could win you some weeks from the flex.
4 days ago
Joshua Palmer Note
Joshua Palmer photo 141. Joshua Palmer WR - LAC (at LV)
I know this won't be a popular opinion, but I like Palmer's prospects of leading the team in every meaningful receiving stat over Ladd McConkey. Last year, Palmer opened my eyes in the seven games he played without Mike Williams. In those contests, he garnered an 18.9% target share with a 31.4% air-yard share, producing 2.19 yards per route run and 71.1 receiving yards per game. Palmer is a fantastic pick in the later rounds with upside this season.
4 days ago
Rico Dowdle Note
Rico Dowdle photo 142. Rico Dowdle RB - DAL (vs . WAS)
Dowdle will fight Ezekiel Elliott for work in Dallas this season. Dowdle has long been a fav player of mine. Last year, among 53 qualifying backs, he ranked 16th in yards after contact per attempt while also having the 23rd lowest stuff rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Could Dowdle be the next Alexander Mattison? It's possible, but I'm willing to make the bet that he surprises people in 2024. He's an RB3/4 who could easily post RB2 numbers if he runs away from Elliott with the job.
4 days ago
Ty Chandler Note
Ty Chandler photo 143. Ty Chandler RB - MIN (at DET)
With Aaron Jones now in Minnesota, Ty Chandler will be a backup for the Vikings in 2024. In Weeks 15-18, he played at least 53% of the snaps in every game, averaging 15.3 touches and 81.8 total yards. Chandler topped 90 total yards once in that four-game span, and his per-touch efficiency was in the toilet overall. Among 49 qualifying backs, Chandler ranked 47th last season in missed tackles forced per attempt and yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Chandler had hope entering this offseason that he had hopefully done enough in 2023 to have a shot at the starter's role, but sadly, that isn't in the cards for next season.
4 days ago
Kendre Miller Note
Kendre Miller photo 144. Kendre Miller RB - NO (at TB)
Injuries decimated Kendre Miller's rookie season. He was limited to only eight games played, and he crossed the 30% snap mark only three times. Miller posted interesting/borderline impressive per-touch numbers when he got opportunities, with a 24% missed tackle rate and 3.07 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). We'll see how much work he can siphon off from Alvin Kamara this season, but don't be surprised if he can eat into his work and carve out a 40-50% snap role weekly. He does have to contend with Jamaal Williams as Kamara's understudy, so it's not a clear path to success. Miller is still an intriguing late-round pick/RB4 for 2024.
4 days ago
Luke Musgrave Note
Luke Musgrave photo 145. Luke Musgrave TE - GB (vs . CHI)
Rangy and athletic, Luke Musgrave has the tools to become one of the better pass-catching tight ends in the league. A second-round draft pick out of Oregon State, Musgrave produced modest rookie-year numbers: 34 catches for 352 yards and one touchdown. But Musgrave missed six games with a lacerated kidney and was averaging a respectable 7.3 PPR fantasy points per game before he got hurt. Musgrave gets to play with QB Jordan Love, a rising star. One concern, however, is that the Packers spent a third-round draft pick on another tight end last year, Tucker Kraft, who also had some impressive flashes as a rookie. Musgrave profiles as a midrange TE2 for 2024 fantasy drafts, but he could come on fast.
4 days ago
Jerry Jeudy Note
Jerry Jeudy photo 146. Jerry Jeudy WR - CLE (at BAL)
Jerry Jeudy secured 54 receptions for 758 receiving yards in the 2023 season with the Broncos. Despite his yardage production, Jeudy struggled to find the end zone, recording only two touchdowns throughout the year. His fantasy performance landed him as the WR50 overall, emphasizing the need for improved quarterback play in his first season with the Browns to elevate his fantasy value beyond the WR3 tier. Based on the contract Jeudy signed - 3-years and $52.5 million - it's his job to lose as the WR2 versus Elijah Moore.
4 days ago
Hunter Henry Note
Hunter Henry photo 147. Hunter Henry TE - NE (vs . BUF)
Henry had an up-and-down season, which can be traced to an ankle and knee issue. The ankle ailment slowed him down during the middle of the season (Weeks 6-8) and the knee problem ended his season early (Week 16). Henry had ten games last year where he was able to play at least 70% of the snaps. In that sample, he finished as a TE1 in 50% of his games while drawing a 15.2% target share with 1.35 yards per route run and 35.7 receiving yards per game. He averaged 10.8 fantasy points per game. The interesting takeaway in that sample was that among 41 qualifying tight ends, he ranked seventh in first downs per route run, and that fantasy points per game mark would have made him TE8 in fantasy if he had kept up the pace all year. Henry is a strong late-round tight end who could flirt with TE1 production this year.
4 days ago
Tyler Allgeier Note
Tyler Allgeier photo 148. Tyler Allgeier RB - ATL (vs . CAR)
Allgeier is a talented rusher, but last season, he was the thorn in the side of every Bijan Robinson drafter as Arthur Smith's prized pupil. Allgeier surprised in his rookie season as the RB31 in fantasy, finishing with 226 touches and nearly 1,200 total yards. While Allgeier shocked people in 2023 with 37 red zone touches (24th) and 186 carries, he couldn't carry his rookie season efficiency into last year. Last season, among 49 qualifying backs, he ranked 45th in explosive run rate and 35th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). With Smith out of town, Robinson will likely own this backfield in 2024, which leaves Allgeier as a handcuff only.
4 days ago
Antonio Gibson Note
Antonio Gibson photo 149. Antonio Gibson RB - NE (vs . BUF)
Gibson lands in New England on a three-year deal, which is essentially a puffed-up one-year deal. New England can get out of Gibson's contract after one season if he doesn't pan out as Rhamondre Stevenson's running mate this upcoming season. Last season, in a breather role, Gibson ranked first in missed tackles forced per attempt and eighth in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Gibson has displayed explosive playmaking when utilized properly, as well as also demonstrating the ability to be a volume rusher when it has been called for. Gibson should work in tandem with Stevenson as the pass-catching component of this backfield, but if Stevenson falters out the gate, don't be surprised if Gibson takes over the lead role. Gibson is an interesting RB3 with upside in 2024.
4 days ago
Jahan Dotson Note
Jahan Dotson photo 150. Jahan Dotson WR - WAS (at DAL)
Jahan Dotson's 2023 season was disappointing after a promising rookie campaign, characterized by inefficiency in a pass-heavy Commanders offense. However, Curtis Samuel's departure to the Bills opens up opportunities for Dotson to rebound in Year 3. Despite his struggles, Dotson showed flashes of potential in games where Samuel was absent or limited, posting strong numbers. With the Commanders' passing game relying heavily on volume over efficiency, Dotson, along with teammate Terry McLaurin, will depend on improved quarterback play from Jayden Daniels to elevate their fantasy value. Dotson's red-zone involvement in 2023 signals his potential for increased scoring opportunities with better quarterback performance.
4 days ago
Khalil Shakir Note
Khalil Shakir photo 151. Khalil Shakir WR - BUF (at NE)
After Week 7 last year, Shakir logged nine games in which he played at least 50% of the snaps. In those contests, he posted a strong 2.18 yards per route run with 0.085 first downs per route run, but he only managed to cultivate an 11% target share and 12% air-yard share (per Fantasy Points Data). In that stretch among 84 qualifying receivers, he was 42nd in fantasy points per game. The Bills need someone to step up among these pass catchers and lead the way, but it's likely not Shakir unless he somehow becomes a higher-end target earner. Sharkir is a WR5/6 in 2024.
4 days ago
Jaleel McLaughlin Note
Jaleel McLaughlin photo 152. Jaleel McLaughlin RB - DEN (vs . KC)
Fully expect me to be above consensus regarding Jaleel McLaughlin this season. Last year, he was electric with every touch he earned. Among all running backs with at least 50 rushing attempts or 20 targets, McLaughlin ranked 14th in explosive run rate, fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt, fourth in yards after contact per attempt, and fourth in yards per route run. Denver made it a point to get him involved in the passing game when he was on the field, as he also ranked first in targets per route run. McLaughlin could easily earn more opportunities this season, as Samaje Perine wasn't amazing last season, and Javonte Williams looked like a shadow of his former self. At this juncture, I'm not worried about Audric Estime and Blake Watson stealing any of McLaughlin's work this season. If McLaughlin earns Sean Payton's trust, he could be an RB3/4 that vaults into steady RB2 production.
4 days ago
Derek Carr Note
Derek Carr photo 153. Derek Carr QB - NO (at TB)
Derek Carr has played 10 NFL seasons, so by now we know what we're getting from him: serviceable but ordinary fantasy numbers and a low ceiling. Carr is pretty much the walking definition of a QB2: He's finished in QB2 range in each of the last seven years. Carr was QB16 in fantasy scoring, but he only ranked QB27 in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks who appeared in at least five games. Over the last five years, Carr has averaged 4,072 passing yards and 24 TD passes. Those aren't bad numbers, but since Carr is a nonfactor as a runner, he'd have to post dazzling passing numbers in order to be a must-start for fantasy. Carr's single-season high in rushing yardage is 140, and he hasn't scored a rushing touchdown since 2020. Carr is a reasonable budget option in superflex leagues, but he's not worth a roster spot in most 1QB leagues.
4 days ago
Josh Downs Note
Josh Downs photo 154. Josh Downs WR - IND (vs . JAC)
Before spraining his knee in Week 9, Downs was on his way to a wonderful rookie season. In Weeks 1-8, he was the WR36 in fantasy points per game with an 18.9% target share and 2.0 yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Downs has more target competition this year, with the team adding Adonai Mitchell, who is a sizable upgrade over Alec Pierce. Indy will likely be a middle-of-the-road passing rate team that looks to run the ball once in the red zone. Downs' upside is likely capped as a WR5 in fantasy this season.
4 days ago
Daniel Jones Note
Daniel Jones photo 155. Daniel Jones QB - NYG (at PHI)
Is it far-fetched to think that we might get a rebound from Daniel Jones in 2024 after his ugly, injury-shortened season in 2023? Optimists will note that Jones finished QB9 in fantasy points per game in 2022, fueled by 708 rushing yards and seven TD runs. They'll also point out that with the Giants spending the No. 6 pick in the NFL Draft on Malik Nabers, Jones will have a true No. 1 receiver for the first time in his professional career. The pessimists will note that in the six games Jones played last year before getting hurt, he posted a dismal passer rating of 70.5, with two TD passes and six interceptions. They'll add that Daniels has averaged fewer than 7.0 yards per pass attempt in all five of his NFL seasons. The ceiling for Jones may be higher than some fantasy managers realize, but it's entirely possible that Jones will stumble early in the season and be replaced by Drew Lock.
4 days ago
Khalil Herbert Note
Khalil Herbert photo 156. Khalil Herbert RB - CHI (at GB)
Last season, the Bears could not decide who they wanted to be their lead back as it rotated weekly from Khalil Herbert to Roschon Johnson to D'Onta Foreman. With D'Andre Swift in Chicago now, Herbert returns to a backup role, which is saddening. Last year, Herbert proved once again that when given the opportunity, he is one of the better rushing talents in the NFL. Last season, he ranked 12th in explosive run rate and ninth in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). In the eight games he played at least 43% of the snaps last season, he averaged 14 touches and 77.8 total yards. Herbert is a high-end handcuff currently with only fringe flex value for 2024.
4 days ago
MarShawn Lloyd Note
MarShawn Lloyd photo 157. MarShawn Lloyd RB - GB (vs . CHI)
Unless you've been living under a rock, you're probably already aware that MarShawn Lloyd was one of my man crushes throughout the NFL Draft cycle. While his landing spot has turned many off, I'm not fazed. Will Josh Jacobs be heavily involved weekly? Sure, but that doesn't mean that Lloyd is a zero or change-of-pace option only. Lloyd crushed every part of the predraft process after jumping off the stat sheet during his final two collegiate seasons. In each of those two years, he finished in the top 20 in yards after contact per attempt, breakaway percentage, and PFF elusive rating. Lloyd will quickly be a major factor in this backfield, with his main competition for touches (Josh Jacobs) hoping for a bounceback year. Last year, Jacobs struggled mightily to break tackles and create big plays as he ranked (among 49 qualifying backs last season per Fantasy Points Data) 41st in explosive run rate, 37th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 44th in yards after contact per attempt. Lloyd is an RB3/4 who can easily out-kick his ADP this season.
4 days ago
Taysom Hill Note
Taysom Hill photo 158. Taysom Hill QB,TE - NO (at TB)
Baltimore Ravens Note
Baltimore Ravens photo 159. Baltimore Ravens DST - BAL (vs . CLE)
J.K. Dobbins Note
J.K. Dobbins photo 160. J.K. Dobbins RB - LAC (at LV)
Dobbins has been snakebite over the last two years. First, it was the torn ACL that ended his 2022 season. Last year, in Week 1, Dobbins tore his Achilles. I would tread cautiously if you're looking to draft him in early redraft or best ball. Dobbins only carries a 50k dead cap hit if the team decides to move on from him.
4 days ago
Dontayvion Wicks Note
Dontayvion Wicks photo 161. Dontayvion Wicks WR - GB (vs . CHI)
Have you heard about Dontayvion Wicks? If you have any social media app and follow fantasy football content creators...I'm sure you have. Wicks has been discussed a ton this offseason because of his per-route efficiency in 2023. Among 81 qualifying receivers last year, he was 37th in target per route run rate, 17th in yards per route run, and 13th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). The problem for Wicks is that Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs on the outside block his path to playing time. In Weeks 5-13 last season, with Watson healthy, Wicks was fourth on the team with only a 30.3% route per dropback rate. As talented as Wicks is, he needs snaps and routes to score fantasy points, and I don't know if he will get more playing time in 2024 if Green Bay's receiving depth chart remains healthy. He's only a late-round dart throw right now with upside for much more if injuries strike.
4 days ago
Adonai Mitchell Note
Adonai Mitchell photo 162. Adonai Mitchell WR - IND (vs . JAC)
Adonai Mitchell had a standout season with the Texas Longhorns, achieving a 32% dominator rating with 11 touchdowns from 55 receptions. Standing at 6'2" and weighing 205 pounds, his physique is well-suited for an outside receiver role. While he boasts the physical tools and deep threat potential akin to D.J. Chark Jr. or Alec Pierce, Mitchell enters a situation where he may play third fiddle behind Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs. This could limit his weekly fantasy production, although his knack for big plays makes him a worthy consideration in best-ball formats, offering occasional high-scoring outings.
4 days ago
Bryce Young Note
Bryce Young photo 163. Bryce Young QB - CAR (at ATL)
San Francisco 49ers Note
San Francisco 49ers photo 164. San Francisco 49ers DST - SF (at ARI)
Marvin Mims Jr. Note
Marvin Mims Jr. photo 165. Marvin Mims Jr. WR - DEN (vs . KC)
Marvin Mims Jr., the second-year wideout for the Broncos, stands to benefit from the departure of Jerry Jeudy, which opens up more playing time and opportunities for him in the offense. Despite limited playing time in his rookie year, Mims showed flashes of potential, including a couple of impressive performances early in the season. However, his development was hindered by redundancy in roles with Jeudy and depth at the WR position. While there's optimism for Mims to step up in his 2nd season, the recent drafting of Troy Franklin with an overlapping skillset could potentially complicate his path to a significant role in the offense.
4 days ago
Adam Thielen Note
Adam Thielen photo 166. Adam Thielen WR - CAR (at ATL)
Adam Thielen's 2023 season provided the full-body experience of an older veteran WR with zero competition for targets. He started out of the gates red hot, as the WR11 overall through 11 weeks, scoring fantasy points per game at a top-15 rate at 13.7. But alas the 33-year-old could not continue his production with shoddy QB play from his rookie QB. WR51 from Weeks 12-18. Woof. With 103 receptions (10th) on 137 targets (25% target share, 14th), Thielen racked up 1,014 receiving yards, averaging 9.8 yards per reception, and notched 4 touchdown receptions running the 5th-most routes in the NFL. He ended the season with a 10.6 points per game average, securing him as the 25th overall wide receiver in half-PPR scoring. WR31 per game. He's under contract until 2026 and will be entering the offseason as the Panthers' No. 1 WR until they add more WRs in the draft/free agency - the latter of which will likely happen based on the Panthers' interest before this past year's trade deadline.
4 days ago
Elijah Mitchell Note
Elijah Mitchell photo 167. Elijah Mitchell RB - SF (at ARI)
Elijah Mitchell retains his backup/handcuff role in San Francisco for Christian McCaffrey. Mitchell struggled to stay healthy in the NFL, which continued in 2023. He was limited to 11 games played and 81 touches. Mitchell is a viable handcuff option in the later rounds of drafts again this season, but don't be surprised if Jordan Mason overtakes him as McCaffrey's backup. Mason was impressive with his limited work last season, with a 7.5% explosive run rate, a 23% missed tackle rate, and 2.95 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Mitchell is a player to still get some exposure to in the later rounds of best ball and redraft formats.
4 days ago
Dallas Cowboys Note
Dallas Cowboys photo 168. Dallas Cowboys DST - DAL (vs . WAS)
Michael Wilson Note
Michael Wilson photo 169. Michael Wilson WR - ARI (vs . SF)
The highlight of Week 18? Rookie Michael Wilson.
6 targets (21% target share) and 6 receptions for 95 yards. 68 air yards and 40% air yards share. The rookie posted a very under-the-radar campaign as a highly involved Cardinals WR. He ran a route on 80% of the dropbacks (35th among all WRs) which locks him into a full-time role in this offense next season, as long as he can fend off Zay Jones. Wilson also finished his season on a high note, averaging 15.5 points per game after his last two contests with Marquise Brown out.
4 days ago
Russell Wilson Note
Russell Wilson photo 170. Russell Wilson QB - PIT (vs . CIN)
Cade Otton Note
Cade Otton photo 171. Cade Otton TE - TB (vs . NO)
Darnell Mooney Note
Darnell Mooney photo 172. Darnell Mooney WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
Darnell Mooney's potential as a FA steal in the upcoming season is evident despite a challenging and injury-marred previous campaign. His track record of commanding a significant target share of 27%, especially during his standout performances in 2021-2022, underscores his ability to thrive in an offense. With a clear path to the WR2 role in Atlanta's receiving corps, Mooney could emerge as a valuable asset, particularly in a case of an injury. Coupled with his impressive yards after the catch per reception, Mooney's presence adds depth and reliability to the upgraded Falcons' passing game.
4 days ago
Quentin Johnston Note
Quentin Johnston photo 173. Quentin Johnston WR - LAC (at LV)
Quentin Johnston's rookie season left much to be desired, with disappointing production. Despite the Chargers' offseason moves opening up opportunities, including the departure of key receivers, Johnston failed to capitalize on his chances. With Ladd McConkey drafted early, Johnston's future role in the offense becomes uncertain. While it may be premature to label him a bust after just one season, his lack of impact in Year 1 (61st among 63 qualifying WRs in yards per route run) raises red flags for his fantasy value moving forward.
4 days ago
Roschon Johnson Note
Roschon Johnson photo 174. Roschon Johnson RB - CHI (at GB)
Roschon Johnson had a consistent role as a committee back in his rookie season, but he was never able to seize the backfield fully. In the three games he played at least 49% of the snaps, he did average 9.7 touches and 53.5 total yards while flashing upside in the passing game. Among 60 qualifying backs last year, he ranked 27th in yards per route run and 17th in targets per route run rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Sadly, though, Johnson's collegiate tackle-breaking prowess didn't translate to the NFL in year one as he finished outside the top 40 backs in explosive run rate (46th), missed tackles forced per attempt (49th), and yards after contact per attempt (42nd). Johnson is now buried as the RB3 on Chicago's depth chart and is only a late-round best-ball target at best.
4 days ago
Cleveland Browns Note
Cleveland Browns photo 175. Cleveland Browns DST - CLE (at BAL)
New York Jets Note
New York Jets photo 176. New York Jets DST - NYJ (vs . MIA)
DeMario Douglas Note
DeMario Douglas photo 177. DeMario Douglas WR - NE (vs . BUF)
The Patriots' wide receiver depth chart is wide open. Douglas's path to leading the team in targets this year is clear. Regardless of whether Drake Maye or Jacoby Brissett is under center, this offense has the chance to surprise people. Last year, in the eight games Douglas played at least 50% of the snaps, he commanded a team-leading 20.8% target share and 24.4% first read share. He was a WR3 or better in weekly fantasy scoring in five of those eight games. Douglas could be a strong weekly flex in 2024.
4 days ago
Juwan Johnson Note
Juwan Johnson photo 178. Juwan Johnson TE - NO (at TB)
Rashod Bateman Note
Rashod Bateman photo 179. Rashod Bateman WR - BAL (vs . CLE)
The Baltimore Ravens signed wide receiver Rashod Bateman to a 2-year contract through the 2026 season. Ravens OC Todd Monken says he's seen "tremendous growth" from WR Bateman and expects him to receive the ball a lot this season per Ryan Mink, Editorial Director for the Ravens.
4 days ago
Dameon Pierce Note
Dameon Pierce photo 180. Dameon Pierce RB - HOU (at TEN)
The expectations for Dameon Pierce to follow his stellar rookie season with a bang were palpable last summer. Sadly, that's now how Pierce's sophomore season panned out. In Weeks 1-8, he averaged 16.9 touches, producing only 58.7 total yards. He was running behind an offensive line that was beaten up and struggling in those first seven games as Houston ranked dead last in adjusted yards before contact per attempt (Weeks 9-18, 12th-best). Pierce sprained his ankle in Week 9, and when he returned from injury, he found himself replaced by Devin Singletary as the starter. With Joe Mixon in town, Pierce's hopes of reclaiming the starting role have essentially been snuffed out. He falls into middling handcuff status for 2024.
4 days ago
Ray Davis Note
Ray Davis photo 181. Ray Davis RB - BUF (at NE)
Davis should already be considered the favorite for the RB2 job with the Bills. James Cook will still lead this backfield and likely gobble up most (possibly all) of the passing game work. Davis has a three-down skillset, but his pass-game chops are not on the same level as Cook's. Expect him to ease the early down load for Cook with the upside to cut into his red zone volume some, but be mindful that the inside the five-yard line pie is smaller in Buffalo compared to some other teams, with Josh Allen always getting a decent share of the work. In his final collegiate season, Davis ranked 27th in yards after contact per attempt and 34th in breakaway rate (per PFF). Davis is a solid handcuff option that could offer flex value in a pinch.
4 days ago
Buffalo Bills Note
Buffalo Bills photo 182. Buffalo Bills DST - BUF (at NE)
Kansas City Chiefs Note
Kansas City Chiefs photo 183. Kansas City Chiefs DST - KC (at DEN)
Xavier Legette Note
Xavier Legette photo 184. Xavier Legette WR - CAR (at ATL)
Xavier Legette, a standout receiver from South Carolina, showcased his skills with exceptional performances, notably in his super senior year. At 6'3" and 227 lbs, his size and athleticism make him ideal for an outside receiver role. With strong hands and the ability to secure catches in traffic, he's reliable even without relying on his body. Despite concerns about consistency as a one-year wonder entering the NFL at 23, his physical traits resemble players like D.K. Metcalf, hinting at his potential. Drafted in the first round by the Carolina Panthers, his success may hinge on how well he's utilized in their scheme under new HC Dave Canales.
4 days ago
Chigoziem Okonkwo Note
Chigoziem Okonkwo photo 185. Chigoziem Okonkwo TE - TEN (vs . HOU)
A trendy sleeper choice a year ago, Chigoziem Okonkwo turned in a mildly disappointing season in 2023, but he's an intriguing post-hype sleeper candidate for 2024. After a promising rookie season in which he had 32 receptions for 450 yards and three touchdowns, Okonkwo boosted his reception and yardage totals in 2023, with 54 catches for 528 yards. But Okonkwo scored only one touchdown last season, and he went from 14.1 yards per catch and 2.61 yards per route run in 2022 to 9.6 yards per catch and 1.31 yards per route run in 2023. If young Titans QB Will Levis endures growing pains, Okonkwo's breakout chances could suffer. On the other hand, the Titans don't have a great deal of firepower at the WR position, which boosts Okonkwo's target outlook. Consider Okonkwo a midrange TE2 for 2024 fantasy drafts.
4 days ago
Pittsburgh Steelers Note
Pittsburgh Steelers photo 186. Pittsburgh Steelers DST - PIT (vs . CIN)
Justin Tucker Note
Justin Tucker photo 187. Justin Tucker K - BAL (vs . CLE)
Tyler Conklin Note
Tyler Conklin photo 188. Tyler Conklin TE - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Wan'Dale Robinson Note
Wan'Dale Robinson photo 189. Wan'Dale Robinson WR - NYG (at PHI)
Isaiah Likely Note
Isaiah Likely photo 190. Isaiah Likely TE - BAL (vs . CLE)
Jermaine Burton Note
Jermaine Burton photo 191. Jermaine Burton WR - CIN (at PIT)
Burton has a clear path to volume behind Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. He should be starting three wide sets from Day 1. Tyler Boyd has been a descending player for the last few seasons, and even as the team's third wheel, he drew between 83 and 98 targets per season. Burton could push for 100-plus in his rookie season. The passing volume should be there, as Cincinnati was third in neutral passing rate last year when Joe Burrow was healthy and looking like his usual self. Off-the-field issues are the only reason that Burton was available when the Bengals selected him in the NFL Draft. Based on talent alone, he should have been at least a second-round pick and could have honestly pushed for a first-round selection. In his final season at Alabama, Burton was in the 90th percentile against single coverage and 82nd percentile in YPRR. If Tee Higgins gets moved prior to Week 1 or holds out, Burton's stock will soar through the roof.
4 days ago
Brandon Aubrey Note
Brandon Aubrey photo 192. Brandon Aubrey K - DAL (vs . WAS)
Jaylen Wright Note
Jaylen Wright photo 193. Jaylen Wright RB - MIA (at NYJ)
Wright got decent draft capital (fourth-round) in the NFL Draft, but he landed in a nightmare situation. Raheem Mostert is coming off arguably the best season of his career, and De'Von Achane is one of the league's most explosive rushers. Wright looks to be on the outside looking in for rushing volume right now, but it only takes one injury to change that. Mostert and Achane haven't exactly been pictures of health in the NFL. Wright is the perfect late-round high-upside draft pick to covet this year. The talented rookie, who ranked fifth in yards after contact per attempt and 13th in elusive rating (per PFF), is only one domino's fall away from consistent RB2/3 production this year.
4 days ago
Ja'Lynn Polk Note
Ja'Lynn Polk photo 194. Ja'Lynn Polk WR - NE (vs . BUF)
After overcoming an injury in his sophomore year, Ja'Lynn Polk delivered a stellar senior season with 69 receptions for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns. Known for his quickness, strong hands, and excellent body control, Polk consistently makes difficult catches in traffic, showcasing his well-rounded skills. Drawing comparisons to NFL players like Mohamed Sanu, Tyler Boyd, and Joshua Palmer, Polk is considered a safe, reliable receiver. Selected in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft by the Patriots, he is poised to become a dependable part of their passing game.
4 days ago
New Orleans Saints Note
New Orleans Saints photo 195. New Orleans Saints DST - NO (at TB)
D'Onta Foreman Note
D'Onta Foreman photo 196. D'Onta Foreman RB - CLE (at BAL)
Miami Dolphins Note
Miami Dolphins photo 197. Miami Dolphins DST - MIA (at NYJ)
Philadelphia Eagles Note
Philadelphia Eagles photo 198. Philadelphia Eagles DST - PHI (vs . NYG)
Harrison Butker Note
Harrison Butker photo 199. Harrison Butker K - KC (at DEN)
Alexander Mattison Note
Alexander Mattison photo 200. Alexander Mattison RB - LV (vs . LAC)
Jason Sanders Note
Jason Sanders photo 201. Jason Sanders K - MIA (at NYJ)
Ricky Pearsall Note
Ricky Pearsall photo 202. Ricky Pearsall WR - SF (at ARI)
Pearsall Jr. could easily get squeezed for playing time and volume in year one, but he's one injury or Deebo Samuel trade away from being an exquisite value. Pearsall Jr. became one of my favorite players during the NFL Draft cycle. His film was fantastic as he oozes high-end route running prowess with the athleticism to stretch the field. In his final season at Florida, he finished in the 89th percentile in receiving grade, the 91st percentile in receiving grade against single coverage, and the 90th percentile in separation percentage. Pearsall Jr. could be a player that is dropped to waivers by Week 4, but the upside is there for him to absolutely crush as well in his rookie season.
4 days ago
Houston Texans Note
Houston Texans photo 203. Houston Texans DST - HOU (at TEN)
Keaton Mitchell Note
Keaton Mitchell photo 204. Keaton Mitchell RB - BAL (vs . CLE)
We'll see when Keaton Mitchell is active this season after tearing his ACL in Week 14, but when he's ready to go, Mitchell should be the primary backup to Derrick Henry in Baltimore. Mitchell was impressive in his rookie season. Among 71 qualifying backs, he buried the competition ranking first in explosive run rate, missed tackles forced per attempt, and yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Mitchell could have some stand-alone flex appeal working alongside Henry this season, but it likely won't be a consistent stream of fantasy points.
4 days ago
Noah Fant Note
Noah Fant photo 205. Noah Fant TE - SEA (at LAR)
Elijah Moore Note
Elijah Moore photo 206. Elijah Moore WR - CLE (at BAL)
Tucker Kraft Note
Tucker Kraft photo 207. Tucker Kraft TE - GB (vs . CHI)
Tyler Bass Note
Tyler Bass photo 208. Tyler Bass K - BUF (at NE)
Ben Sinnott Note
Ben Sinnott photo 209. Ben Sinnott TE - WAS (at DAL)
The Commanders spent a second-round draft pick on Kansas State TE Ben Sinnott, signaling that they see him as their tight end of the future. Washington signed Zach Ertz in the offseason, but Ertz turns 34 in November and has lost 17 games to injury over the last two seasons. Sinnott had 49 catches for 676 yards and six touchdowns at K-State last season. Keep an eye out for news on the Commanders' TE competition in early August. If Sinnott can win the starting job, he might be able to offer high-end to midrange TE2 value.
4 days ago
Bucky Irving Note
Bucky Irving photo 210. Bucky Irving RB - TB (vs . NO)
Irving becomes a Tampa Bay Buccaneer with mildly surprising fourth-round draft capital, considering his meh-level athletic testing (2.22 RAS). Irving should face some resistance from Chase Edmonds to become the direct backup to the team's workhorse in Rachaad White. If Irving can win the RB2 job, he should be on the handcuff radar. Last year, he ranked 17th in yards after contact per attempt and eighth in elusive rating (per PFF).
4 days ago
Jake Moody Note
Jake Moody photo 211. Jake Moody K - SF (at ARI)
Troy Franklin Note
Troy Franklin photo 212. Troy Franklin WR - DEN (vs . KC)
Troy Franklin capped his junior year at Oregon with nearly 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns, showcasing his deep-threat capabilities with a 29% dominator rating. Despite concerns about his slender frame at 6-foot-3 and 183 lbs, his rumored 4.35-second 40-yard dash underscores his potential as a top-tier receiver and early breakout age. Drafted early in Round 4 by the Broncos after a disappointing combine, Franklin finds a favorable situation under Sean Payton, who has a history of trading up for wide receivers. Positioned to play the "Z" role previously held by Jerry Jeudy, Franklin's existing chemistry with Broncos QB Bo Nix, his former college teammate, could enhance his opportunity to make an immediate impact.
4 days ago
Demarcus Robinson Note
Demarcus Robinson photo 213. Demarcus Robinson WR - LAR (vs . SEA)
It's like everyone is forgetting what Robinson did to close the 2023 season with Los Angeles. In Weeks 13-18, he went on a tear ranking (among 109 qualifying receivers), 36th in YPRR, 28th in FD/RR, and 26th in fantasy points per route run. In those six weeks, Robinson was the WR31 in fantasy points per game. Robinson is the perfect veteran receiver to pair with a high-upside rookie late. Robinson could be a strong weekly flex play from the outset before relinquishing his fantasy lineup duties mid-season to a stretch run rookie hammer.
4 days ago
J.J. McCarthy Note
J.J. McCarthy photo 214. J.J. McCarthy QB - MIN (at DET)
The Vikings have tabbed McCarthy as the successor to Kirk Cousins, trading up one spot to select the University of Michigan product with the No. 10 pick in the draft. McCarthy has a strong arm, good mobility and an impressive track record of success that includes a national championship last season and a 61-3 record as a starter since high school. McCarthy steps into a good situation, with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison at wide receiver and T.J. Hockenson at tight end (though Hockenson sustained a major knee injury late last year). Rookie struggles may be inevitable, but McCarthy has a chance to provide QB2 fantasy value as a rookie.
4 days ago
Ka'imi Fairbairn Note
Ka'imi Fairbairn photo 215. Ka'imi Fairbairn K - HOU (at TEN)
Braelon Allen Note
Braelon Allen photo 216. Braelon Allen RB - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Roman Wilson Note
Roman Wilson photo 217. Roman Wilson WR - PIT (vs . CIN)
Roman Wilson showed promise with 48 receptions for 789 yards and 12 touchdowns in his standout senior year at Michigan (37% dominator, 6th-highest in the class). However, concerns arise due to his late breakout age at 22 and limited overall production. With the Steelers likely maintaining a run-heavy offense under OC Arthur Smith and Wilson's role as a deep threat in college, the 2024 third-round draft pick's fantasy impact could be limited despite Pittsburgh's history of success with mid-round WR selections.
4 days ago
Jake Elliott Note
Jake Elliott photo 218. Jake Elliott K - PHI (vs . NYG)
Jalin Hyatt Note
Jalin Hyatt photo 219. Jalin Hyatt WR - NYG (at PHI)
Younghoe Koo Note
Younghoe Koo photo 220. Younghoe Koo K - ATL (vs . CAR)
Chicago Bears Note
Chicago Bears photo 221. Chicago Bears DST - CHI (at GB)
Kimani Vidal Note
Kimani Vidal photo 222. Kimani Vidal RB - LAC (at LV)
Vidal might have tumbled down the NFL draft board, but don't make the mistake of assuming that he lacks the talent profile to take over the Bolts' backfield. His competition (Gus Edwards & J.K. Dobbins) isn't exactly overwhelming. Last year, Vidal ranked 21st in PFF's elusive rating while proving that he can handle volume with at least 23 carries in 57% of his games. With Greg Roman at the controls, there will be plenty of rushing volume to chew on, so even if he doesn't claim the workhorse role. From 2019-2022 with Baltimore, Roman coordinated an offense that ranked first in neutral rushing rate. Vidal could be a flex play in Week 1 with the upside to grow into more (RB2) as the season moves along.
4 days ago
Darius Slayton Note
Darius Slayton photo 223. Darius Slayton WR - NYG (at PHI)
AJ Dillon Note
AJ Dillon photo 224. AJ Dillon RB - GB (vs . CHI)
The Packers initially brought back A.J. Dillon to back up Josh Jacobs. Sadly, with the team drafting MarShawn Lloyd, Dillon's fantasy value has turned to dust. Last year, he was only 48th in yards per touch, 51st in breakaway run rate, and 54th in juke rate. He had four games last year in which he played at least 60% of the snaps; only once did he surpass 80 total yards, and he finished outside the top 30 running backs twice in weekly scoring (RB33, RB69). Dillon is an avoid in drafts and don't be shocked if he gets cut in camp before Week 1.
7 weeks ago
Kenneth Gainwell Note
Kenneth Gainwell photo 225. Kenneth Gainwell RB - PHI (vs . NYG)
Audric Estime Note
Audric Estime photo 226. Audric Estime RB - DEN (vs . KC)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Note
Clyde Edwards-Helaire photo 227. Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB - KC (at DEN)
Evan McPherson Note
Evan McPherson photo 228. Evan McPherson K - CIN (at PIT)
Miles Sanders Note
Miles Sanders photo 229. Miles Sanders RB - CAR (at ATL)
Javon Baker Note
Javon Baker photo 230. Javon Baker WR - NE (vs . BUF)
Javon Baker's path to the NFL took a significant turn when he transferred from Alabama to UCF, where he excelled with impressive dominator ratings in his final two seasons. Standing at 6-foot-1 and 202 pounds, Baker's skill set as a big-play threat was evident, highlighted by his high average yards per reception and yards after catch ability. Often compared to DeVonta Smith, Baker brings added size and route-running prowess to the table. Drafted by the Patriots in the fourth round, he joins a team with a relatively thin receiver depth chart, offering him ample opportunity to shine. Despite being chosen after Ja'Lynn Polk, Baker's consistent ability to make plays downfield suggests a high ceiling and the potential to emerge as a key figure in New England's passing game.
4 days ago
Mike Gesicki Note
Mike Gesicki photo 231. Mike Gesicki TE - CIN (at PIT)
Minnesota Vikings Note
Minnesota Vikings photo 232. Minnesota Vikings DST - MIN (at DET)
Malachi Corley Note
Malachi Corley photo 233. Malachi Corley WR - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Malachi Corley demonstrated consistent productivity at Western Kentucky, particularly excelling in creating yards after the catch. Despite his smaller stature, his thick frame allowed him to navigate through defenses effectively. However, concerns arise regarding his play style being more akin to a running back than a traditional receiver. Coupled with doubts about the Jets' offensive creativity, Corley's potential may be limited in their system. Despite being a third-round pick, I'd exercise caution in investing in him for fantasy purposes.
4 days ago
Cameron Dicker Note
Cameron Dicker photo 234. Cameron Dicker K - LAC (at LV)
Jelani Woods Note
Jelani Woods photo 235. Jelani Woods TE - IND (vs . JAC)
Woods' 2023 season was lost to hamstring woes. I'm not ready to toss in the towel. I will be drafting him a ton in deep leagues, as well as in best ball and formats where I need/want a late tight-end flier. High-end athleticism is such an easy thing to bet on with tight ends, as you essentially need it to enter the elite conversation for fantasy. Woods has that with his 89th percentile 40 time, 95th percentile burst, and 82nd percentile agility score. In a small sample, he also popped in efficiency metrics. In 2022, he ranked 14th in YPRR, 16th in FD/RR, and ninth in YPRR against man coverage. Injuries be damned. I can't say I'm back in for 2024 if, technically, I never left.
4 days ago
Drake Maye Note
Drake Maye photo 236. Drake Maye QB - NE (vs . BUF)
Tyler Boyd Note
Tyler Boyd photo 237. Tyler Boyd WR - TEN (vs . HOU)
Tyler Boyd had 67 receptions on 98 targets, totaling 667 receiving yards at an average of 10 yards per catch, with a long catch of 64 yards. Boyd found the end zone twice. Over 17 games, Boyd earned 112.3 fantasy points, averaging 6.6 points per game as the WR64 in points per game. He will likely be a nice depth piece for the Titans in 2024, and possibly provide some early in-season production as he turns 30 years old.
4 days ago
Michael Mayer Note
Michael Mayer photo 238. Michael Mayer TE - LV (vs . LAC)
Michael Mayer had a somewhat disappointing rookie season for the Raiders, with 27 catches for 304 yards and two touchdowns in 14 games. He seemed like a candidate for a second-year breakout, but then the Raiders spent their first-round draft pick on mega-talented University of Georgia TE Brock Bowers, seemingly kneecapping Mayer's 2024 fantasy value. Mayer was wildly productive in college, with more than 800 receiving yards in his final two seasons at Notre Dame. Mayer averaged only 2.9 targets a game in 2023, and it's hard to imagine his weekly target counts significantly increasing when he has to share targets with Bowers and superstar WR Davante Adams.
4 days ago
Tank Bigsby Note
Tank Bigsby photo 239. Tank Bigsby RB - JAC (at IND)
Zay Jones Note
Zay Jones photo 240. Zay Jones WR - ARI (vs . SF)
Zay Jones' 2023 season was marred by injuries, limiting his impact to just 34 receptions for 321 yards and 2 touchdowns in 9 games. Despite the challenges, his performance in the final four games hinted at his potential when healthy, averaging 8 fantasy points and just south of 10 targets/game. His signing with the Arizona Cardinals after being released presents a fresh opportunity, and if he can maintain his health, he could become a valuable asset in their offense as No. 3 option.
4 days ago
Kendrick Bourne Note
Kendrick Bourne photo 241. Kendrick Bourne WR - NE (vs . BUF)
The Patriots re-signed Kendrick Bourne to a 3-year, $19.5 million contract. He will be 29 years old in 2024, coming off a Week 8 torn ACL injury. Before his injury, Bourne was the fantasy WR28 averaging 10.2 points per game in half-PPR (38th). Led the Patriots with a 19.4% target share with a 28% air yards share. He will likely be in the starter's chair until a rookie or younger WR usurps him on the depth chart.
4 days ago
Odell Beckham Jr. Note
Odell Beckham Jr. photo 242. Odell Beckham Jr. WR - MIA (at NYJ)
Odell Beckham Jr.'s tenure with the Ravens in 2023 didn't meet expectations, but he showed flashes of his former self, particularly in the second half of the season. Despite turning 31, he maintained his ability as a deep threat, ranking highly in average depth of target and PFF receiving grade. His signing with the Dolphins on a one-year deal provides him with a fresh start and the opportunity to contribute in a potentially more favorable offensive environment. While he may not be the fantasy star he once was, he still holds value as a matchup-dependent option or in case of injuries to Miami's receiving corps.
4 days ago
Bo Nix Note
Bo Nix photo 243. Bo Nix QB - DEN (vs . KC)
The Broncos are hoping Nix can stabilize their QB situation after spending the No. 12 overall draft pick on the Oregon quarterback in April. As a five-year college starter, Nix enters the NFL with a wealth of playing experience, having made 61 starts over three seasons at Auburn and two at Oregon. Nix completed 74.9% of his throws at Oregon the last two years, with 74 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions. Nix is an accurate short passer but doesn't have a big arm. The hope for fantasy is that Nix can be a poor man's Drew Brees for Broncos head coach Sean Payton.
4 days ago
Dustin Hopkins Note
Dustin Hopkins photo 244. Dustin Hopkins K - CLE (at BAL)
Matt Gay Note
Matt Gay photo 245. Matt Gay K - IND (vs . JAC)
Justice Hill Note
Justice Hill photo 246. Justice Hill RB - BAL (vs . CLE)
Jamaal Williams Note
Jamaal Williams photo 247. Jamaal Williams RB - NO (at TB)
Rondale Moore Note
Rondale Moore photo 248. Rondale Moore WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
Treylon Burks Note
Treylon Burks photo 249. Treylon Burks WR - TEN (vs . HOU)
Indianapolis Colts Note
Indianapolis Colts photo 250. Indianapolis Colts DST - IND (vs . JAC)
Per the FantasyPros projections, the Colts DST leads all teams in projected sacks.
4 days ago
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Note
Tyrone Tracy Jr. photo 251. Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB - NYG (at PHI)
Tracy's NFL career could be much better than his collegiate one when it's all said and done. Last year's tackle-breaking metrics should raise your eyebrows, especially for a player still acclimating to the position. Tracy ranked fourth in yards after contact per attempt and fifth in elusive rating (per PFF). Purdue offered him the most vanilla offensive role possible in the passing game with his receiver background. I expect the Giants to rectify that when he does garner snaps. Tracy only has to unseat Eric Gray to earn the RB2 role for the Giants. Gray didn't do anything to wow the team last year with his 2.8 yards per carry and 1.53 yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Devin Singletary looks like the team's workhorse, but if he goes down, Tracy could take over three-down duties. He's one of the best handcuff options in drafts.
4 days ago
A.T. Perry Note
A.T. Perry photo 252. A.T. Perry WR - NO (at TB)
DJ Chark Jr. Note
DJ Chark Jr. photo 253. DJ Chark Jr. WR - LAC (at LV)
The 27-year-old is hitting free agency (again) after playing a complimentary role with the Panthers in 2023. Chark caught a long pass that was initially ruled a TD in Week 18, but it was overturned to a fumble through the end zone. Woof. He is a free agent in 2024 and will likely land on a new team as a complimentary deep threat who misses games with injuries.
Chark was the WR58 overall in 2023, averaging 6.5 points per game (65th). He led the Panthers in TDs (5) and posted over 1,000 air yards on a team-high 31% air yards share (33rd). No player had more air yards with fewer targets (66) than Chark despite two missed games. D.J. Chark signed with the Chargers after the NFL Draft to a one-year deal worth $5 million.
4 days ago
Cairo Santos Note
Cairo Santos photo 254. Cairo Santos K - CHI (at GB)
Dawson Knox Note
Dawson Knox photo 255. Dawson Knox TE - BUF (at NE)
Jason Myers Note
Jason Myers photo 256. Jason Myers K - SEA (at LAR)
Jonathan Mingo Note
Jonathan Mingo photo 257. Jonathan Mingo WR - CAR (at ATL)
Justin Fields Note
Justin Fields photo 258. Justin Fields QB - PIT (vs . CIN)
Justin Fields is a dangerous dual-threat quarterback in fantasy football, but how much of a chance will he get to play in 2024? The Steelers acquired Fields from the Bears in a mid-March trade, giving up a sixth-round pick that could become a fourth-rounder depending on Fields' playing time this season. The modest compensation the Bears received -- particularly when there were other QB-needy teams that didn't make a play for Fields -- suggests that the league doesn't value the sack-prone young quarterback as much as fantasy managers may have. Fields now finds himself in the same QB room as Russell Wilson, whom the Steelers acquired earlier in the offseason, and early reports suggest that Wilson has the inside track to be the Week 1 starter. Fields has landed in QB1 range in fantasy points per game each of the last two seasons (6 starts minimum), finishing QB5 in FPPG in 2022 and QB12 in 2023. Fields' rushing production fell from 76.2 rushing yards per game and eight TD runs in 2022 to 50.5 rushing yards per game and four TD runs in 2023, but he averaged a career-high 197.1 passing yards per game last season.
4 days ago
Denver Broncos Note
Denver Broncos photo 259. Denver Broncos DST - DEN (vs . KC)
Gerald Everett Note
Gerald Everett photo 260. Gerald Everett TE - CHI (at GB)
Detroit Lions Note
Detroit Lions photo 261. Detroit Lions DST - DET (vs . MIN)
Per the FantasyPros projections, the Lions DST leads all teams in projected interceptions.
4 days ago
Will Shipley Note
Will Shipley photo 262. Will Shipley RB - PHI (vs . NYG)
Devontez Walker Note
Devontez Walker photo 263. Devontez Walker WR - BAL (vs . CLE)
Devontez Walker's college career showcased his explosiveness and knack for making big plays, especially evident in his remarkable dominator rating at Kent State. Despite his impressive physical attributes and speed, Walker's limitations in generating yards after the catch are notable. Drawing comparisons to Marvin Jones, he presents significant upside but also carries a boom-or-bust label, highly dependent on his landing spot for optimal performance. Joining the Ravens in the fourth round offers him the opportunity to work with Lamar Jackson, but he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps led by Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Walker's success in the NFL may hinge on his ability to carve out a role in a balanced offensive scheme.
4 days ago
Alec Pierce Note
Alec Pierce photo 264. Alec Pierce WR - IND (vs . JAC)
Jalen McMillan Note
Jalen McMillan photo 265. Jalen McMillan WR - TB (vs . NO)
Jalen McMillan's trajectory from his breakout season at Washington to his selection by the Buccaneers in the third round underscores his potential as a promising NFL receiver. Despite facing challenges like injuries and reduced opportunities in his final collegiate year, McMillan's strong route-running skills and experience in the slot position position him well for success at the professional level. He led the Washington Huskies in targets and catches in 2022 despite playing with future 1st and 2nd round picks.
With a clear path to the WR3 role in Tampa Bay's offense and the possibility of further advancement to WR2 in the coming seasons, McMillan's combination of talent and opportunity could make him a valuable asset.
4 days ago
Josh Reynolds Note
Josh Reynolds photo 266. Josh Reynolds WR - DEN (vs . KC)
Samaje Perine Note
Samaje Perine photo 267. Samaje Perine RB - DEN (vs . KC)
Gardner Minshew II Note
Gardner Minshew II photo 268. Gardner Minshew II QB - LV (vs . LAC)
Ja'Tavion Sanders Note
Ja'Tavion Sanders photo 269. Ja'Tavion Sanders TE - CAR (at ATL)
Trey Palmer Note
Trey Palmer photo 270. Trey Palmer WR - TB (vs . NO)
Jonnu Smith Note
Jonnu Smith photo 271. Jonnu Smith TE - MIA (at NYJ)
Smith is an underrated tight-end option this year in fantasy. Last year, among 43 qualifying tight ends, he was 17th in receiving yards per game, 11th in yards per route run, and fifth in missed tackles forced per reception (per Fantasy Points Data). He easily could be an every-down player this year, and he is the clear number three option in the passing attack. Smith could be a TE1 this season, and it doesn't take much squinting to see it.
4 days ago
K.J. Osborn Note
K.J. Osborn photo 272. K.J. Osborn WR - NE (vs . BUF)
Cincinnati Bengals Note
Cincinnati Bengals photo 273. Cincinnati Bengals DST - CIN (at PIT)
Their DST should be a strong Week 1 option play versus the Patriots.
4 days ago
Cedric Tillman Note
Cedric Tillman photo 274. Cedric Tillman WR - CLE (at BAL)
Tyler Higbee Note
Tyler Higbee photo 275. Tyler Higbee TE - LAR (vs . SEA)
Daniel Carlson Note
Daniel Carlson photo 276. Daniel Carlson K - LV (vs . LAC)
Andrei Iosivas Note
Andrei Iosivas photo 277. Andrei Iosivas WR - CIN (at PIT)
Trey Sermon Note
Trey Sermon photo 278. Trey Sermon RB - IND (vs . JAC)
Blake Grupe Note
Blake Grupe photo 279. Blake Grupe K - NO (at TB)
Jacksonville Jaguars Note
Jacksonville Jaguars photo 280. Jacksonville Jaguars DST - JAC (at IND)
Evan Hull Note
Evan Hull photo 281. Evan Hull RB - IND (vs . JAC)
Unfortunately, Evan Hull got injured in Week 1 of the NFL season, so we were not able to see him in action during the regular season outside of one carry. Hull walks into the 2024 season as Jonathon Taylor's immediate backup. Hull only had 17 rushing attempts in the preseason, but he finished with a passable 2.53 yards after contact per attempt (per PFF). Hull proved in college that he has a three-down skillset with over 1,400 total yards and a 17.3% target share in his final season at Northwestern. Hull is a high-priority handcuff for 2024. If Taylor misses any time, Hull could be this year's Zack Moss.
4 days ago
Michael Gallup Note
Michael Gallup photo 282. Michael Gallup WR - LV (vs . LAC)
Signed with the Raiders in free agency after being released by the Dallas Cowboys.
4 days ago
Sam Darnold Note
Sam Darnold photo 283. Sam Darnold QB - MIN (at DET)
Greg Dulcich Note
Greg Dulcich photo 284. Greg Dulcich TE - DEN (vs . KC)
Jeff Wilson Jr. Note
Jeff Wilson Jr. photo 285. Jeff Wilson Jr. RB - MIA (at NYJ)
Kadarius Toney Note
Kadarius Toney photo 286. Kadarius Toney WR - KC (at DEN)
Luke McCaffrey Note
Luke McCaffrey photo 287. Luke McCaffrey WR - WAS (at DAL)
Another NFL Draft cycle crush has crept into redraft season, with McCaffrey making this list. McCaffrey crushed every part of the process. He flashed big time at the Senior Bowl in Mobile, and then he opened a ton of eyes during his athletic testing. Despite his last name, I don't think many people were expecting him to walk away with a 4.46 forty time and a 96th percentile agility score. Don't be blown away when McCaffrey is starting in two wide receiver sets over Jahan Dotson. McCaffrey is still honing his game, especially against man coverage, but he already has a good feel for and understanding of how to beat zone coverage. In a league where every team utilizes zone coverage on at least 54.5% of their defensive snaps and 23 teams run it on at least 66% of their snaps, McCaffrey should be able to hit the ground running. Last year against zone among 111 qualifying FBS wide receivers, he ranked sixth in receiving grade and 28th in YPRR against zone. McCaffrey is a magnificent dart to toss in as many drafts as possible.
4 days ago
Deuce Vaughn Note
Deuce Vaughn photo 288. Deuce Vaughn RB - DAL (vs . WAS)
Noah Brown Note
Noah Brown photo 289. Noah Brown WR - HOU (at TEN)
Dylan Laube Note
Dylan Laube photo 290. Dylan Laube RB - LV (vs . LAC)
Aidan O'Connell Note
Aidan O'Connell photo 291. Aidan O'Connell QB - LV (vs . LAC)
Jordan Mason Note
Jordan Mason photo 292. Jordan Mason RB - SF (at ARI)
Zach Ertz Note
Zach Ertz photo 293. Zach Ertz TE - WAS (at DAL)
D'Ernest Johnson Note
D'Ernest Johnson photo 294. D'Ernest Johnson RB - JAC (at IND)
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Note
Chris Rodriguez Jr. photo 295. Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB - WAS (at DAL)
Israel Abanikanda Note
Israel Abanikanda photo 296. Israel Abanikanda RB - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Michael Carter Note
Michael Carter photo 297. Michael Carter RB - ARI (vs . SF)
Pierre Strong Jr. Note
Pierre Strong Jr. photo 298. Pierre Strong Jr. RB - CLE (at BAL)
Eric Gray Note
Eric Gray photo 299. Eric Gray RB - NYG (at PHI)
Kareem Hunt Note
Kareem Hunt photo 300. Kareem Hunt RB - FA (BYE)
Cordarrelle Patterson Note
Cordarrelle Patterson photo 301. Cordarrelle Patterson RB - PIT (vs . CIN)
Michael Thomas Note
Michael Thomas photo 302. Michael Thomas WR - FA (BYE)
Brenden Rice Note
Brenden Rice photo 303. Brenden Rice WR - LAC (at LV)
Brenden Rice brings a compelling combination of size, athleticism, and football pedigree to the wide receiver position, standing out with his 6'3" frame and impressive physical presence. While his collegiate journey included a breakout season at Colorado and a productive senior year at USC, his final season dominator rating fell slightly below expectations. Nevertheless, Rice's ability to make an impact in the red zone and his proficiency in catching touchdowns highlight his potential as a scoring threat at the next level. His comparison to Josh Palmer underscores the importance of his quarterback and offensive situation in maximizing his impact on the field. Joining the Chargers in the seventh round presents Rice with an opportunity to continue his development and carve out a role in their offense.
4 days ago
Isaac Guerendo Note
Isaac Guerendo photo 304. Isaac Guerendo RB - SF (at ARI)
New England Patriots Note
New England Patriots photo 305. New England Patriots DST - NE (vs . BUF)
Greg Zuerlein Note
Greg Zuerlein photo 306. Greg Zuerlein K - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Chase Edmonds Note
Chase Edmonds photo 307. Chase Edmonds RB - TB (vs . NO)
Las Vegas Raiders Note
Las Vegas Raiders photo 308. Las Vegas Raiders DST - LV (vs . LAC)
Tyler Scott Note
Tyler Scott photo 309. Tyler Scott WR - CHI (at GB)
Robert Woods Note
Robert Woods photo 310. Robert Woods WR - HOU (at TEN)
Jacob Cowing Note
Jacob Cowing photo 311. Jacob Cowing WR - SF (at ARI)
Jacob Cowing, though lacking in size at under 5-foot-9 and 168 pounds, compensates with exceptional speed, agility, and precise route-running, making him a constant threat on the field. With a career dominator rating of 32%, Cowing's dominance at Arizona and UTEP is undeniable, highlighted by elite single-season marks of 42% and 41% in 2020 and 2021 respectively. Despite concerns about his size, his senior year showcased his ability to stretch the field and create after the catch, amassing 89 receptions for 868 yards and 13 touchdowns. While a Senior Bowl injury may have dampened his stock, Cowing's K.J. Hamler-esque profile and sub-4.4 speed make him an intriguing prospect, particularly in a Kyle Shanahan-style offense like the one in San Francisco, where undersized receivers have thrived before.
4 days ago
Jacoby Brissett Note
Jacoby Brissett photo 312. Jacoby Brissett QB - NE (vs . BUF)
Greg Dortch Note
Greg Dortch photo 313. Greg Dortch WR - ARI (vs . SF)
Colby Parkinson Note
Colby Parkinson photo 314. Colby Parkinson TE - LAR (vs . SEA)
Jerick McKinnon Note
Jerick McKinnon photo 315. Jerick McKinnon RB - FA (BYE)
Emari Demercado Note
Emari Demercado photo 316. Emari Demercado RB - ARI (vs . SF)
Jalen Tolbert Note
Jalen Tolbert photo 317. Jalen Tolbert WR - DAL (vs . WAS)
Daniel Bellinger Note
Daniel Bellinger photo 318. Daniel Bellinger TE - NYG (at PHI)
Michael Penix Jr. Note
Michael Penix Jr. photo 319. Michael Penix Jr. QB - ATL (vs . CAR)
The Falcons drew heavy criticism by selecting Penix with the No. 8 pick in the draft after signing Kirk Cousins to a lucrative four-year contract in the offseason. Penix has no clear path to playing time in 2024, although it should be noted that Cousins is coming off a torn Achilles and is entering his age-36 season. Penix has a strong, accurate arm and is good at sack avoidance, having taken just 16 sacks over his last two college season. Penix has a worrisome injury history, however. He's torn his ACL twice and has also endured shoulder issues. Penix won't be draftable in most redraft leagues, though he'd become a popular waiver-wire addition if Cousins were to go down.
11 weeks ago
Green Bay Packers Note
Green Bay Packers photo 320. Green Bay Packers DST - GB (vs . CHI)
Isaiah Spiller Note
Isaiah Spiller photo 321. Isaiah Spiller RB - LAC (at LV)
Tutu Atwell Note
Tutu Atwell photo 322. Tutu Atwell WR - LAR (vs . SEA)
Rashaad Penny Note
Rashaad Penny photo 323. Rashaad Penny RB - CAR (at ATL)
Ronnie Rivers Note
Ronnie Rivers photo 324. Ronnie Rivers RB - LAR (vs . SEA)
Cam Akers Note
Cam Akers photo 325. Cam Akers RB - HOU (at TEN)
Theo Johnson Note
Theo Johnson photo 326. Theo Johnson TE - NYG (at PHI)
Hayden Hurst Note
Hayden Hurst photo 327. Hayden Hurst TE - LAC (at LV)
Dalvin Cook Note
Dalvin Cook photo 328. Dalvin Cook RB - FA (BYE)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Note
Marquez Valdes-Scantling photo 329. Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR - BUF (at NE)
Joshua Kelley Note
Joshua Kelley photo 330. Joshua Kelley RB - FA (BYE)
Allen Lazard Note
Allen Lazard photo 331. Allen Lazard WR - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Malik Washington Note
Malik Washington photo 332. Malik Washington WR - MIA (at NYJ)
Malik Washington's collegiate success at Virginia, highlighted by a dominant 47% dominator rating and nearly 1,400 receiving yards, translated well to the NFL Combine, where he showcased exceptional athleticism, with his remarkable 42.5-inch vertical jump. Despite his smaller stature, Washington's abilities as a YAC specialist make him a valuable addition to the Dolphins' offense, especially alongside playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. With Coach Mike McDaniel's evident enthusiasm for Washington's potential, coupled with the opportunity afforded by Miami's offensive scheme and quarterback talent, Washington could outperform expectations as a Day 3 pick.
4 days ago
Rasheen Ali Note
Rasheen Ali photo 333. Rasheen Ali RB - BAL (vs . CLE)
Salvon Ahmed Note
Salvon Ahmed photo 334. Salvon Ahmed RB - MIA (at NYJ)
Logan Thomas Note
Logan Thomas photo 335. Logan Thomas TE - SF (at ARI)
Sam Howell Note
Sam Howell photo 336. Sam Howell QB - SEA (at LAR)
Kalif Raymond Note
Kalif Raymond photo 337. Kalif Raymond WR - DET (vs . MIN)
Matt Breida Note
Matt Breida photo 338. Matt Breida RB - FA (BYE)
Donald Parham Jr. Note
Donald Parham Jr. photo 339. Donald Parham Jr. TE - LAC (at LV)
Nelson Agholor Note
Nelson Agholor photo 340. Nelson Agholor WR - BAL (vs . CLE)
JuJu Smith-Schuster Note
JuJu Smith-Schuster photo 341. JuJu Smith-Schuster WR - NE (vs . BUF)
Tre Tucker Note
Tre Tucker photo 342. Tre Tucker WR - LV (vs . LAC)
Royce Freeman Note
Royce Freeman photo 343. Royce Freeman RB - DAL (vs . WAS)
Skyy Moore Note
Skyy Moore photo 344. Skyy Moore WR - KC (at DEN)
Wil Lutz Note
Wil Lutz photo 345. Wil Lutz K - DEN (vs . KC)
John Metchie III Note
John Metchie III photo 346. John Metchie III WR - HOU (at TEN)
Donovan Peoples-Jones Note
Donovan Peoples-Jones photo 347. Donovan Peoples-Jones WR - DET (vs . MIN)
Jauan Jennings Note
Jauan Jennings photo 348. Jauan Jennings WR - SF (at ARI)
The 49ers also re-signed Jauan Jennings to an extension to his rookie contract through the 2025 season. The deal is worth a guaranteed $10.5 million and is comparable to the extension Rashod Bateman received with the Ravens. Jennings had moments in 2024, most notably in his single spot start back in Week 7 against the Vikings with Deebo Samuel inactive. Jennings was targeted a team-high 9 times (31% Target share) and caught 5 passes for 54 yards. He filled in admirably for Samuel. And he performed well in the 49ers' postseason run. Jennings caught 5 of 6 targets for 61 yards in the divisional round versus Green Bay. In the Super Bowl, Jennings was making his case for MVP with 4 catches for 42 yards and 1 TD in addition to a passing TD to Christian McCaffrey. If the team trades Samuel, Jennings is an underrated player who could seize a larger role in the 49ers offense.
4 days ago
Hunter Renfrow Note
Hunter Renfrow photo 349. Hunter Renfrow WR - FA (BYE)
Bo Melton Note
Bo Melton photo 350. Bo Melton WR - GB (vs . CHI)
Calvin Austin III Note
Calvin Austin III photo 351. Calvin Austin III WR - PIT (vs . CIN)
Keaontay Ingram Note
Keaontay Ingram photo 352. Keaontay Ingram RB - KC (at DEN)
Michael Badgley Note
Michael Badgley photo 353. Michael Badgley K - DET (vs . MIN)
Craig Reynolds Note
Craig Reynolds photo 354. Craig Reynolds RB - DET (vs . MIN)
Tim Patrick Note
Tim Patrick photo 355. Tim Patrick WR - DEN (vs . KC)
Los Angeles Rams Note
Los Angeles Rams photo 356. Los Angeles Rams DST - LAR (vs . SEA)
Kenny Pickett Note
Kenny Pickett photo 357. Kenny Pickett QB - PHI (vs . NYG)
New York Giants Note
New York Giants photo 358. New York Giants DST - NYG (at PHI)
Drew Lock Note
Drew Lock photo 359. Drew Lock QB - NYG (at PHI)
Tanner Hudson Note
Tanner Hudson photo 360. Tanner Hudson TE - CIN (at PIT)
Erick All Jr. Note
Erick All Jr. photo 361. Erick All Jr. TE - CIN (at PIT)
Kylen Granson Note
Kylen Granson photo 362. Kylen Granson TE - IND (vs . JAC)
Xavier Gipson Note
Xavier Gipson photo 363. Xavier Gipson WR - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Brandon McManus Note
Brandon McManus photo 364. Brandon McManus K - FA (BYE)
Joe Flacco Note
Joe Flacco photo 365. Joe Flacco QB - IND (vs . JAC)
Brevin Jordan Note
Brevin Jordan photo 366. Brevin Jordan TE - HOU (at TEN)
Jawhar Jordan Note
Jawhar Jordan photo 367. Jawhar Jordan RB - HOU (at TEN)
Noah Gray Note
Noah Gray photo 368. Noah Gray TE - KC (at DEN)
Cedrick Wilson Jr. Note
Cedrick Wilson Jr. photo 369. Cedrick Wilson Jr. WR - NO (at TB)
Van Jefferson Note
Van Jefferson photo 370. Van Jefferson WR - PIT (vs . CIN)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Note
Tampa Bay Buccaneers photo 371. Tampa Bay Buccaneers DST - TB (vs . NO)
Seattle Seahawks Note
Seattle Seahawks photo 372. Seattle Seahawks DST - SEA (at LAR)
The streaming DST de jour might be the Seattle Seahawks. Weeks 1-2 they will face the Broncos/Patriots. Doesn't get much easier than that from a matchup perspective.
4 days ago
Latavius Murray Note
Latavius Murray photo 373. Latavius Murray RB - FA (BYE)
Brandon Powell Note
Brandon Powell photo 374. Brandon Powell WR - MIN (at DET)
Ty Johnson Note
Ty Johnson photo 375. Ty Johnson RB - BUF (at NE)
Parris Campbell Note
Parris Campbell photo 376. Parris Campbell WR - PHI (vs . NYG)
Will Dissly Note
Will Dissly photo 377. Will Dissly TE - LAC (at LV)
Greg Joseph Note
Greg Joseph photo 378. Greg Joseph K - GB (vs . CHI)
Johnny Wilson Note
Johnny Wilson photo 379. Johnny Wilson WR - PHI (vs . NYG)
Johnny Wilson brings a unique blend of size and athleticism to the wide receiver position, standing out with his imposing 6'6" frame. While he faced challenges with a late breakout age and a dip in production in his final collegiate season, his standout performances at Florida State underscore his potential as a red zone threat and contested catch specialist. Wilson's ability to exceed expectations in terms of target rate highlights his impact on the field, despite any statistical fluctuations. The interest from NFL teams in potentially transitioning him to tight end adds another dimension to his potential role at the next level, offering fantasy managers additional flexibility in their roster considerations. Joining the Eagles in the sixth round presents an opportunity for Wilson to further develop and carve out a niche in Philadelphia's offense.
4 days ago
Parker Washington Note
Parker Washington photo 380. Parker Washington WR - JAC (at IND)
Ainias Smith Note
Ainias Smith photo 381. Ainias Smith WR - PHI (vs . NYG)
Ainias Smith emerged as a versatile playmaker for the Aggies, showcasing his skills both as a receiver and running back. Despite a setback in 2022 due to injury and off-field issues, he rebounded in his final season with impressive receiving yardage and punt return ability. While not the fastest, his dynamic open-field prowess and versatility make him an intriguing prospect, especially for teams like the Philadelphia Eagles, who have shown interest in him during the pre-draft process. If Smith can put his red flags behind him, he has the potential to contribute early on, possibly even cracking the starting lineup in Philadelphia's receiver corps.
4 days ago
Jaheim Bell Note
Jaheim Bell photo 382. Jaheim Bell TE - NE (vs . BUF)
Isaiah Davis Note
Isaiah Davis photo 383. Isaiah Davis RB - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Matt Prater Note
Matt Prater photo 384. Matt Prater K - ARI (vs . SF)
Los Angeles Chargers Note
Los Angeles Chargers photo 385. Los Angeles Chargers DST - LAC (at LV)
The LAC DST also looks like an intriguing option late in fantasy drafts given the ease of the schedule to open the year against LV, CAR and PIT. They also boast a top-4 schedule overall per the FP SOS tool.
4 days ago
Justin Watson Note
Justin Watson photo 386. Justin Watson WR - KC (at DEN)
Jameis Winston Note
Jameis Winston photo 387. Jameis Winston QB - CLE (at BAL)
Xavier Hutchinson Note
Xavier Hutchinson photo 388. Xavier Hutchinson WR - HOU (at TEN)
Trenton Irwin Note
Trenton Irwin photo 389. Trenton Irwin WR - CIN (at PIT)
Jarrett Stidham Note
Jarrett Stidham photo 390. Jarrett Stidham QB - DEN (vs . KC)
Anders Carlson Note
Anders Carlson photo 391. Anders Carlson K - GB (vs . CHI)
Chase McLaughlin Note
Chase McLaughlin photo 392. Chase McLaughlin K - TB (vs . NO)
Cade Stover Note
Cade Stover photo 393. Cade Stover TE - HOU (at TEN)
Chris Boswell Note
Chris Boswell photo 394. Chris Boswell K - PIT (vs . CIN)
Jeremy Ruckert Note
Jeremy Ruckert photo 395. Jeremy Ruckert TE - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Carolina Panthers Note
Carolina Panthers photo 396. Carolina Panthers DST - CAR (at ATL)
Atlanta Falcons Note
Atlanta Falcons photo 397. Atlanta Falcons DST - ATL (vs . CAR)
Eddy Pineiro Note
Eddy Pineiro photo 398. Eddy Pineiro K - CAR (at ATL)
Washington Commanders Note
Washington Commanders photo 399. Washington Commanders DST - WAS (at DAL)
Jake Browning Note
Jake Browning photo 400. Jake Browning QB - CIN (at PIT)
Davis Allen Note
Davis Allen photo 401. Davis Allen TE - LAR (vs . SEA)
Graham Gano Note
Graham Gano photo 402. Graham Gano K - NYG (at PHI)
Riley Patterson Note
Riley Patterson photo 403. Riley Patterson K - JAC (at IND)
Johnny Mundt Note
Johnny Mundt photo 404. Johnny Mundt TE - MIN (at DET)
Darnell Washington Note
Darnell Washington photo 405. Darnell Washington TE - PIT (vs . CIN)
Chase Claypool Note
Chase Claypool photo 406. Chase Claypool WR - BUF (at NE)
Braxton Berrios Note
Braxton Berrios photo 407. Braxton Berrios WR - MIA (at NYJ)
Emeka Egbuka Note
Emeka Egbuka photo 408. Emeka Egbuka WR - FA (BYE)
Mecole Hardman Jr. Note
Mecole Hardman Jr. photo 409. Mecole Hardman Jr. WR - KC (at DEN)
Frank Gore Jr. Note
Frank Gore Jr. photo 410. Frank Gore Jr. RB - BUF (at NE)
KaVontae Turpin Note
KaVontae Turpin photo 411. KaVontae Turpin WR - DAL (vs . WAS)
Adam Trautman Note
Adam Trautman photo 412. Adam Trautman TE - DEN (vs . KC)
Blake Watson Note
Blake Watson photo 413. Blake Watson RB - DEN (vs . KC)
Charlie Jones Note
Charlie Jones photo 414. Charlie Jones WR - CIN (at PIT)
Mac Jones Note
Mac Jones photo 415. Mac Jones QB - JAC (at IND)
Ryan Flournoy Note
Ryan Flournoy photo 416. Ryan Flournoy WR - DAL (vs . WAS)
Austin Hooper Note
Austin Hooper photo 417. Austin Hooper TE - NE (vs . BUF)
Jake Bobo Note
Jake Bobo photo 418. Jake Bobo WR - SEA (at LAR)
Zach Evans Note
Zach Evans photo 419. Zach Evans RB - LAR (vs . SEA)
Tyrod Taylor Note
Tyrod Taylor photo 420. Tyrod Taylor QB - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Spencer Rattler Note
Spencer Rattler photo 421. Spencer Rattler QB - NO (at TB)
Sean Tucker Note
Sean Tucker photo 422. Sean Tucker RB - TB (vs . NO)
Kenny McIntosh Note
Kenny McIntosh photo 423. Kenny McIntosh RB - SEA (at LAR)
Joshua Karty Note
Joshua Karty photo 424. Joshua Karty K - LAR (vs . SEA)
Cole Turner Note
Cole Turner photo 425. Cole Turner TE - WAS (at DAL)
Leonard Fournette Note
Leonard Fournette photo 426. Leonard Fournette RB - FA (BYE)
Jase McClellan Note
Jase McClellan photo 427. Jase McClellan RB - ATL (vs . CAR)
Isaiah McKenzie Note
Isaiah McKenzie photo 428. Isaiah McKenzie WR - NYG (at PHI)
Jamari Thrash Note
Jamari Thrash photo 429. Jamari Thrash WR - CLE (at BAL)
Jamari Thrash's college career boasted impressive production, highlighted by his standout seasons at both Georgia State and Louisville. His ability to consistently produce at a high level, even after transferring to a higher level of competition, speaks to his maturity and readiness for the NFL. Thrash's agility and skill in gaining yards after the catch stand out as key strengths, evidenced by his rankings in YAC/reception and broken tackle rate. However, his vertical game and route consistency are areas that may need refinement at the next level. Joining the Browns in the fifth round offers him an opportunity to further develop under NFL coaching while competing for a role in their receiving corps.
4 days ago
Foster Moreau Note
Foster Moreau photo 430. Foster Moreau TE - NO (at TB)
Malik Davis Note
Malik Davis photo 431. Malik Davis RB - DAL (vs . WAS)
Cody Schrader Note
Cody Schrader photo 432. Cody Schrader RB - SF (at ARI)
Donovan Edwards Note
Donovan Edwards photo 433. Donovan Edwards RB - FA (BYE)
Chris Moore Note
Chris Moore photo 434. Chris Moore WR - ARI (vs . SF)
Nick Folk Note
Nick Folk photo 435. Nick Folk K - TEN (vs . HOU)
Bub Means Note
Bub Means photo 436. Bub Means WR - NO (at TB)
Jared Wiley Note
Jared Wiley photo 437. Jared Wiley TE - KC (at DEN)
Joshua Dobbs Note
Joshua Dobbs photo 438. Joshua Dobbs QB - SF (at ARI)
Arizona Cardinals Note
Arizona Cardinals photo 439. Arizona Cardinals DST - ARI (vs . SF)
David Bell Note
David Bell photo 440. David Bell WR - CLE (at BAL)
Justyn Ross Note
Justyn Ross photo 441. Justyn Ross WR - KC (at DEN)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine Note
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine photo 442. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine WR - TEN (vs . HOU)
Tennessee Titans Note
Tennessee Titans photo 443. Tennessee Titans DST - TEN (vs . HOU)
Casey Washington Note
Casey Washington photo 444. Casey Washington WR - ATL (vs . CAR)
Ameer Abdullah Note
Ameer Abdullah photo 445. Ameer Abdullah RB - LV (vs . LAC)
Quez Watkins Note
Quez Watkins photo 446. Quez Watkins WR - PIT (vs . CIN)
Kyle Philips Note
Kyle Philips photo 447. Kyle Philips WR - TEN (vs . HOU)
AJ Barner Note
AJ Barner photo 448. AJ Barner TE - SEA (at LAR)
Mack Hollins Note
Mack Hollins photo 449. Mack Hollins WR - BUF (at NE)
Mack Hollins is entering his age 31 season (wait what) and signed with the Buffalo Bills this offseason, presumably to operate as a field-stretcher and downfield blocker. Our new cardio king.
Hollins has only had one productive season in the NFL (2022 with the Raiders as the fantasy WR41) when finished 10th in routes run per dropbacks (93%) and commanded 1,153 air yards as the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver.
The journeyman new landing spot will likely be completely overlooked by fantasy managers, but a WR running a route on 90% or more of Josh Allen's dropbacks (the Gabe Davis role) is pretty tantalizing, especially at a free price tag.
Just don't get carried away with Hollins as anything more than a depth fantasy WR4/5 a best. Worth an addition in deeper WR formats.
4 days ago
Kevin Harris Note
Kevin Harris photo 450. Kevin Harris RB - NE (vs . BUF)
Nyheim Hines Note
Nyheim Hines photo 451. Nyheim Hines RB - CLE (at BAL)
Trayveon Williams Note
Trayveon Williams photo 452. Trayveon Williams RB - CIN (at PIT)
Josh Oliver Note
Josh Oliver photo 453. Josh Oliver TE - MIN (at DET)
Austin Seibert Note
Austin Seibert photo 454. Austin Seibert K - NYJ (vs . MIA)
Brett Maher Note
Brett Maher photo 455. Brett Maher K - FA (BYE)
Terrace Marshall Jr. Note
Terrace Marshall Jr. photo 456. Terrace Marshall Jr. WR - CAR (at ATL)
Jamison Crowder Note
Jamison Crowder photo 457. Jamison Crowder WR - WAS (at DAL)
Joey Slye Note
Joey Slye photo 458. Joey Slye K - NE (vs . BUF)
Lucas Krull Note
Lucas Krull photo 459. Lucas Krull TE - DEN (vs . KC)
Cornelius Johnson Note
Cornelius Johnson photo 460. Cornelius Johnson WR - LAC (at LV)
Dyami Brown Note
Dyami Brown photo 461. Dyami Brown WR - WAS (at DAL)
Zach Wilson Note
Zach Wilson photo 462. Zach Wilson QB - DEN (vs . KC)