Who Should I Draft?

Michael Thomas or Chris Carson

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Experts' Pick
 
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
 
 
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Recommended by
29 of 157 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 19# 22-
Best Rank# 8# 7-
Worst Rank# 35# 82-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total190.5181.4-
Avg Game11.913.0-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank166-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Michael ThomasChris CarsonAdd Player
    
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  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. HOU vs. CIN
Week 2 at LAR at PIT
Week 3 at SEA vs. NO
Week 4 vs. DAL at ARI
Week 5 vs. TB vs. LAR
Week 6 at JAC at CLE
Week 7 at CHI vs. BAL
Week 8 vs. ARI at ATL
Week 9BYE WEEK vs. TB
Week 10 vs. ATL at SF
Week 11 at TBBYE WEEK
Week 12 vs. CAR at PHI
Week 13 at ATL vs. MIN
Week 14 vs. SF at LAR
Week 15 vs. IND at CAR
Week 16 at TEN vs. ARI
Week 17 at CAR vs. SF
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2018 Points 
Week 122.05.9
Week 218.92.4
Week 312.918.4
Week 44.7
Week 57.412.7
Week 65.9
Week 712.9
Week 88.118.4
Week 927.14.0
Week 1019.0
Week 1115.212.3
Week 123.812.3
Week 134.010.8
Week 149.815.0
Week 154.920.8
Week 1616.923.6
Week 172.918.9
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2018 Targets 
Week 1175
Week 2131
Week 3102
Week 44
Week 551
Week 60
Week 79
Week 862
Week 9150
Week 108
Week 1140
Week 1262
Week 1384
Week 14130
Week 1596
Week 16130
Week 1771
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Three straight top-10 seasons to start your career? Not bad. The Saints are throwing the ball less and less which is why Thomas hasn't contended for the No. 1 spot in the wide receiver rankings, but he's steady and consistent, making him well worth a late first-round selectionThere are a lot of reasons to like Carson. Looking at how he finished the season, it's hard to not like him. From Week 12 on, he finished as the No. 4 fantasy running back behind only Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley. While Rashaad Penny is still there (and a former first-round pick), Mike Davis exited town, leaving behind plenty of touches for Penny. While Carson may not have the upside of others who are used in the pass-game consistently, he should be a solid RB2 provided he's healthy. This, of course, is a concern after hearing Carson "had a little work done" on his knee this offseason, so stay tuned for updates
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
MT is about as efficient as they come and plays much of the year indoors with an accurate quarterback. Yeah, he's a top 5 guy.It sounds like Carson is far and away the top guy in Seattle. He lacks flash, but he was the 15th best fantasy back in 2018. We can't ignore that.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Thomas has had an unreal efficiency throughout his career, and he's been incredibly consistent. He's never finished a season with fewer than 1,100 yards, and he had a superb 125 catches last year. With a lengthy contract extension taken care of, it should be business as usual for Thomas this year, and he should put up strong WR1 numbers as usual.Carson wasn't even expected to be the starting running back last year, let alone be a reliable weekly running back option in fantasy like he was. But after 1,151 yards and nine touchdowns, he came into camp this year as the clear starter. That role has only been solidified, with Rashaad Penny reportecly falling further behind Carson in the Seahawks' eyes according to beat writers. With Mike Davis gone, Carson's role could grow even more. If he can get more involved in the passing game, he could have RB1 upside, but draft him as a reliable RB2 for now.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
No one was more efficient with the targets they saw than Thomas last season. In fact, no one in NFL history has been that efficient. There is room for more, of course, if New Orleans decides to pepper him with targets, but they also don't throw much so that might just be wishful thinking.Carson is the ultimate boom or bust running back this season. Seattle may very well lead the league in carries again this season and Carson is about as efficient as they come. The concern, however, is that his knee will cause Carson to miss a few games or that Penny will play so well that he cuts into the workload. These are enough to keep him outside RB1 territory but barely.
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
 SEA RBs scored 352 FP (Std), 385 (half-PPR), 418 (PPR) last year. If Carson sees 67% = 236 (RB6 last year), 258 (RB6), 280 (RB6) If he sees 60% = 211 (RB8), 231 (RB9), 251 (RB9) 55% = 194 (RB11), 212 (RB12), 230 (RB12) Last year he scored 53%, 51% and 49% respectively. @4for4_John In 2018, the Seahawks had the highest run ratio with 55.6%. It was the highest in the #NFL since 2012 when the Seahawks led the league with 56.96%. Surprisingly enough though, Chris Carson didn't have a top five game in 0.5 formats will Week 16. @TheFFRealist
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Only player in NFL history with 300+ catches over 1st 3 seasons - Had WR-high 85% catch rate on his 147 targets last season (since '92, no other WR with at least 100 targets has eclipsed 80%)R. Penny apologists need to understand that Carson is exactly the kind of between the tackles, chain-moving workhorse that SEA wants to hitch its wagon to - and now it wants to use him more in the passing game too
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Thomas had 125 receptions for 1,405 yards and 9 touchdowns last season and he should be heavily targeted again in 2019.The big concern for Carson is going to be 2018 first round pick Rashaad Penny's role in the offense. The Seattle offense runs the ball enough to support two running backs, but Carson is hardly a guarantee to keep the bell cow role for the entire 2019 season.
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 Only six RBs had more rushes than Carson last season - behind Zeke, Barkley, DJ, Gurley, AP, and Jordan Howard (Very unlikely a lot of those guys make that list this year). In Seattle, Carson only received 55% of the team's carries. In comparison, Penny and Davis saw 19% and 26% last year. With Davis gone and not a real third option, why are we assuming Penny is going to take all of Davis' work? Or that He'll take Carson's job? If this becomes a 60-65/35-40 split, Carson will see MORE work than he saw last year. He's a steal at his ADP.
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
low floor attached to Brees, more weapons around him this yearknee surgery is OK. may hold Penny off again. massive upside still in heavy run scheme Brian Schottenheimer
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
Michael Thomas has proven that he has some of the best (if not THE best) hands in the NFL. He's a focal point of the Sean Payton offense and the Saints did little to change that perception this offseason. My only concern is whether or not we've begun to see the beginning of the end of Drew Brees, but whether that's the case or not, Thomas will still be an elite PPR option. 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
I preach safety in the first 4 rounds...and it doesn get any safer than Michael Thomas He has the more receptions over his first 3 seasons than any player in the history of the NFL. And he's first by 33 receptions! He also has the third most fantasy points ever over that stretch of time, behind just Randy Moss and Odell. Over his first three seasons he's averaged 107/1,262/7.67 TD's, including 125.1405/9 last season, which was the 4th highest approximate value of any WR ever Thomas has also been a model of health, missing just one game in his career. This sort of floor/upside combination shouldn't be available in the early second round. Thomas has finished as the WR 7/6/6 over the last three years, but I think this is the year that he finishes in the top 3. And honestly, he could easily end up as the WR 1Chris Carson put together an excellent second season last year, posting a 247/1151/9 stat line and finishing as the RB 15 in half ppr scoring. Had he played a full 16 weeks then he likely would have finished as a RB 1. This season I do expect him to get less carries. The Seahawks used a first round pick on Penny, and they're going to use him. He was better than people think last season, and teams love to be right with their early round picks. That by no means makes Carson a bad pick. The Seattle is going to run the ball a ton, so he can still pay off his ADP even if Penny gets a lot of work. I just prefer waiting and grabbing Penny later in drafts if I'm targeting this backfield.