Who Should I Draft?

Mike Evans or Michael Thomas

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Experts' Pick
 
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
 
 
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Recommended by
3 of 152 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 5# 10-
Best Rank# 2# 3-
Worst Rank# 15# 23-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total154.5132.1-
Avg Game9.78.8-
Avg Projection169.8153.6-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1618-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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Michael ThomasMike EvansAdd Player
    
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  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. TB at NO
Week 2 vs. CLE vs. PHI
Week 3 at ATL vs. PIT
Week 4 at NYG at CHI
Week 5 vs. WASBYE WEEK
Week 6BYE WEEK at ATL
Week 7 at BAL vs. CLE
Week 8 at MIN at CIN
Week 9 vs. LAR at CAR
Week 10 at CIN vs. WAS
Week 11 vs. PHI at NYG
Week 12 vs. ATL vs. SF
Week 13 at DAL vs. CAR
Week 14 at TB vs. NO
Week 15 at CAR at BAL
Week 16 vs. PIT at DAL
Week 17 vs. CAR vs. ATL
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Receiving
   
Receptions99.381.4
Rec Yards1,249.01,128.6
Rec TDs7.66.9
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts0.20.0
Rush Yards0.80.0
Rush TDs0.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points169.8153.6
   
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2017 Points 
Week 14.5
Week 28.915.3
Week 314.76.7
Week 414.912.7
Week 54.9
Week 61.115.5
Week 78.214.8
Week 87.76.0
Week 96.51.3
Week 1011.7
Week 119.19.2
Week 125.27.8
Week 1313.03.3
Week 1417.72.5
Week 1515.313.9
Week 166.610.7
Week 179.47.5
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2017 Targets 
Week 18
Week 2109
Week 3812
Week 41111
Week 58
Week 668
Week 71110
Week 8810
Week 9116
Week 1010
Week 111110
Week 12812
Week 1396
Week 14145
Week 15118
Week 1658
Week 17813
  Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Expert 
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
A model of consistency, Thomas provided at least 9.5 PPR points in all but one game last season. He joins Antonio Brown and Julio Jones as the only wideouts to finish among the position's top 10 in each of the last two seasons. Drew Brees's go-to target is a good gig, one that has Thomas deserving of second-round consternation. Those pointing to positive TD regression for Brees should expect more than five end-zone visits from his premier pass-catcher.Jameis Winston's three-game suspension doesn't pose a major problem for Evans, who caught 14 of 30 targets for 265 yards and a TD in three full games with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yet an inefficient WR20 season still sparks concern regardless of Tampa Bay's signal-caller. He barely exceeded 1,000 yards (1,001) for the fourth time in as many years, but posted an underwhelming 52.9 catch % and five TDs. While high volume--his nine looks inside the 10 yielded just one score--should trigger a bounce-back, 2016's 96 catches is now the clear outlier in a career catalog with no other 75-catch output.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Starting an NFL career with 2,382 receiving yards on 196 receptions during the first two seasons shows just how special Thomas is. We may not have even seen the best of him yet. Don't be shocked if he leaps forward into the top tier at the position.Evans has managed 1,000+ yards each of his first four seasons, but he was just the WR20 in 2017. With Winston out the first three weeks, Evans' stock drops a little, but he is still a WR1 who can be targeted at the start of third rounds in 12-team leagues.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Maybe not a dynamic talent, but no less than rock solid - a King of Consistency that has more catches in first two seasons of NFL career (196) than any other player since AFL/NFL merger in 1970As far as power-forward WR types go, you'd be hard pressed to find a better specimen than Evans - look at last season (71-1001-5) as his floor and '16 (96-1321-12) as something close to his ceiling - I'm comfortable splitting that difference here
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
What Thomas lacked in upside in 2017, he made up for with consistency, as he was finished with WR2 or better numbers 75 percent of the time, which ranked second to only Deandre Hopkins. Should some of Alvin Kamara's regression go Thomas' way, you'll be getting a steal in the second-round, as he'll finish as a top-five wide receiver. Most don't realize that he finished top-eight last year despite scoring just five times. As long as Drew Brees is his quarterback, Thomas is worth a top-20 pick in any format. Since 2011, Thomas' 80.6 percent rate of finishing as a WR3 or better is the best in football, with Antonio Brown right behind him at 79.2 percent. Anyone who drafted Evans last year has a bad taste in their mouth, though we've always said that touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, even when you're 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds. Evans now has two 12 touchdown seasons under his belt, but the other two netted a combined eight touchdowns. Still, he's now produced 1,000 yards in each of his four seasons, which is something you need to value. If Jameis Winston takes a step forward in his career, Evans could be right back in the first-round conversation next year. The suspension to Winston for the first three weeks might turn out to be okay, because if you recall, Ryan Fitzpatrick produced two top-20 wide receivers with the Jets just a couple years ago in Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Alright folks, this is where we start spicing things up. Unlike Julio Jones, Odell Beckham Jr., or Keenan Allen, Thomas offers a truly elite mix of consistent target share, production with that target share, and a stable role in his top-tier offense with the only competing pass catchers being Ted Ginn, Cameron Meredith, or Benjamin Watson. Having only missed 1 game in the past two years, Thomas has a clean bill of health to his name as well, lending to his truly elite consistency. Thomas serves as a rock to any lineup week after week and his consistency and high scoring offense are what solidify's him as the #3 receiver in my book.Sitting atop the 3rd tier of my rankings is the Bucaneers' undisputed #1 receiver, Mike Evans. Typically thought of as a top 10 wideout, I have Evans in my fourth tier for a plethora of red flags which point to his down 2017 as more indicative of his 2018 than some might think. Evans sports a 52.2 % catch rate, good for 87th among wideouts. While a great deal of this poor catch rate might be due to poor quarterback play, this year looks no better in that department as he'll be catching passes from Harvard's resident genius Ryan Fitzpatrick, and embattled (former?) franchise quarterback Jameis Winston. Even if we decide to ignore that, he remains in an offense anchored by a subpar O-line and featuring several accessory pieces with established target shares and a young tight end in O.J. Howard poised for an expanded role in his sophomore season. You'll enjoy the highlight catches Evans can and will make, but know his upside is crippled due to the subpar team surrounding him.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Thomas should also see a bigger share of red zone targets as Mark Ingram sits out September. Thomas should top 100 receptions and 1,200 yards once again. Strong rebound target, Evans is being undervalued due to his disappointing 2017 that still resulted in 136 targets in 15 games and 1,000+ yards.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Thomas was fine in the receptions (104) and yardage (1,245) department, but he only scored 5 touchdowns. I think he should be fine in 2018 as a WR1 in fantasy and those touchdown numbers should be closer to double-digits in 2018.Evans had only 71 receptions for 1,001 yards and 5 touchdowns, but he is an elite talent and he should rebound next year. The likely 3-game suspension of QB Jameis Winston hurts his value early in the year, but he should still be in the high WR2 to low WR1 mix.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
 Jameis Winston is suspended for the first 3 games of the season. That's the first reason I have Mike Evans ranked as a WR 2 this season. The second is how difficult their schedule is. They face one of the hardest schedules of passing defenses in the league. When you add to that the amount of weapons that offense has (speaking in terms of total numbers) you get a guy who needs to win on efficiency in order to pay off. That's not something Evans has showed us he can do. I'm staying away this season and I suggest you do the same.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Thomas has immense upside but he's curbed a bit by a balanced system. I still think he's a lock for the top-10 and atop 5 threatHe's taking a massive hit in the first three weeks and his long-term outlook isn't overly appealing for 2018
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
Michael Thomas's 196 receptions are the most of any receiver in his first two seasons. He's ninth in yards (2,382) and fourth in catch % (72.6%). @4for4_John I think he comes back to WR1 form, but the Winston suspension will slow his start.
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Locked and loaded WR1 in PPR Gigantic upside but showed that he has a lower floor than the receivers listed above him