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Trey Lance or Aaron Rodgers

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Trey Lance
QB - SF
Trey Lance
Trey Lance
QB - SF
 
 
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Expert
Percent


73%
Recommended by
80 of 110 experts
27%
Recommended by
30 of 110 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 12# 13-
Best Rank# 6# 7-
Worst Rank# 16# 19-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total345.367.0-
Avg Game20.311.2-
Avg Projection318.0302.6-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank187-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Aaron RodgersTrey LanceAdd Player
    
Andy Behrens A. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
9 h
#14#15-
    
Morgan Colby M. Colby
The Fantasy Champions The Fantasy Champions
15 h
#10#13-
    
Jacob W. Dunne J. W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
15 h
#11#12-
    
Jacob Gibbs J. Gibbs
SportsLine SportsLine
15 h
#13#9-
    
Mauricio Gutierrez M. Gutierrez
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
16 h
#13#11-
    
Austin Lee A. Lee
365 Fantasy Football 365 Fantasy Football
16 h
#12#14-
    
Michael Beller M. Beller
The Athletic The Athletic
16 h
#12#16-
    
Dennis Sosic D. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
17 h
#12#18-
    
Wolf of Roto Street W. of Roto ...
Roto Street Journal Roto Street Journal
21 h
#15#14-
    
Daniel Mader D. Mader
Belly Up Sports Belly Up Sports
1 d
#12#19-
    
Pat Fitzmaurice P. Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 d
#12#9-
    
Brandon Murchison B. Murchison
RotoBaller RotoBaller
1 d
#12#15-
    
Bo McBrayer B. McBrayer
Going For 2 Going For 2
1 d
#8#11-
    
Jeff Boggis J. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire Fantasy Football E...
1 d
#6#14-
    
Scott Engel S. Engel
The Game Day The Game Day
1 d
#12#13-
    
Matthew Hill M. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football DataForce Fantasy ...
2 d
#14#15-
    
Craig Phillips C. Phillips
FF Prophet FF Prophet
2 d
#6#17-
    
Dalton Del Don D. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#14#7-
    
Luke Sawhook L. Sawhook
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
2 d
#14#8-
    
Matthew Freedman M. Freedman
FantasyPros FantasyPros
2 d
#14#8-
    
Dave Richard D. Richard
CBS Sports CBS Sports
2 d
#13#15-
    
Kyle Richardson K. Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
2 d
#11#13-
    
Tyler Orginski T. Orginski
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
2 d
#10#14-
    
Jacob Hubman J. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
2 d
#13#14-
    
Tim Metzler T. Metzler
FantasyPros FantasyPros
2 d
#16#10-
    
Huseyin Aksu H. Aksu
Fantasy Couch Fantasy Couch
3 d
#11#13-
    
Tommy Garrett T. Garrett
Pro Football Network Pro Football Network
3 d
#12#13-
    
Nick Spencer N. Spencer
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#12#14-
    
Alex Caruso A. Caruso
Footballguys Footballguys
3 d
#12#7-
    
Joe Bond J. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#10#12-
    
Joey Wright J. Wright
Front Yard Fantasy Front Yard Fantasy
4 d
#13#18-
    
Jon Jeune J. Jeune
Fantasy Football Diagnostics Fantasy Football D...
4 d
#13#11-
    
Scott Pianowski S. Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
4 d
#14#15-
    
Benjamin Klotz B. Klotz
Touchdown Squad Touchdown Squad
4 d
#11#13-
    
Robby Jeffries R. Jeffries
The Fantasy Authority The Fantasy Authority
5 d
#11#19-
    
Joe Pisapia J. Pisapia
FantasyPros FantasyPros
5 d
#12#14-
    
Michael Tomlin M. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
5 d
#13#17-
    
Aaron Larson A. Larson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
5 d
#12#11-
    
Clayton Cadieux C. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North Fantasy Football F...
5 d
#13#8-
    
Jaime Eisner J. Eisner
The Draft Network The Draft Network
5 d
#12#14-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
5 d
#11#19-
    
Blake Fincher B. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe Fantasy Football Cafe
5 d
#10#18-
    
Connor Rigg C. Rigg
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
6 d
#15#12-
    
Guilherme Gianni G. Gianni
Fantasy Futebolista Fantasy Futebolista
6 d
#12#18-
    
Austin Amandolia A. Amandolia
Club Fantasy FFL Club Fantasy FFL
6 d
#6#13-
    
Jamey Eisenberg J. Eisenberg
CBS Sports CBS Sports
6 d
#14#15-
    
Derek Brown D. Brown
FantasyPros FantasyPros
6 d
#18#12-
    
Adam Stark A. Stark
Everyday Fantasy Football Everyday Fantasy F...
7 d
#13#7-
    
Richard Savill R. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
7 d
#6#11-
    
Dave Kluge D. Kluge
Footballguys Footballguys
7 d
#9#14-
    
Liz Loza L. Loza
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
7 d
#13#17-
    
Wyatt Bertolone W. Bertolone
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
7 d
#13#16-
    
Nick Zylak N. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A...
7 d
#13#11-
    
Billy Mansell B. Mansell
IDP Army IDP Army
1 w
#12#15-
    
Justin Lampkin J. Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football Clock Management F...
1 w
#12#16-
    
Des Bieler D. Bieler
The Washington Post The Washington Post
1 w
#13#10-
    
Drew DeLuca D. DeLuca
QB List QB List
1 w
#12#15-
    
Tom Strachan T. Strachan
NFL Best Ball NFL Best Ball
1 w
#14#11-
    
Mark Ringo M. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts Sleepers and Busts
1 w
#13#19-
    
David Heilman D. Heilman
Gridiron Ratings Gridiron Ratings
1 w
#12#13-
    
Pierre Camus P. Camus
RotoBaller RotoBaller
1 w
#13#12-
    
Tommy Molioo T. Molioo
The Undroppables The Undroppables
1 w
#12#17-
    
Tim Jablonski T. Jablonski
The Hateful 8 The Hateful 8
1 w
#12#13-
    
Steven Pintado S. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches The Fantasy Coaches
1 w
#13#18-
    
Adam Murfet A. Murfet
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
2 w
#7#10-
    
Kyle Williams K. Williams
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#8#9-
    
Brandon Funston B. Funston
The Athletic The Athletic
2 w
#14#13-
    
Smitty S.
SleeperU SleeperU
2 w
#10#6-
    
Michael Fabiano M. Fabiano
Sports Illustrated Sports Illustrated
2 w
#11#13-
    
Anthony Cervino A. Cervino
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
2 w
#13#12-
    
Nate Marcum N. Marcum
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
2 w
#9#17-
    
Nathan Groot Nibbelink N. Groot Ni...
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
2 w
#12#11-
    
Jeff Bell J. Bell
Footballguys Footballguys
2 w
#12#13-
    
John Paulsen J. Paulsen
4for4.com 4for4.com
2 w
#10#12-
    
Adrian Alpanseque A. Alpanseque
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#13#19-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
FFToday FFToday
2 w
#11#15-
    
John Hesterman J. Hesterman
Dynasty League Football Dynasty League Foo...
2 w
#11#13-
    
Andrew Erickson A. Erickson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
2 w
#13#10-
    
Tim Brosnan T. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips Tim's Fantasy Tips
2 w
#12#13-
    
Michael Hauff M. Hauff
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
2 w
#12#14-
    
Francisco (Chato) Romero F. (Chato) ...
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#12#9-
    
Mike Maher M. Maher
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#9#13-
    
David Mendelson D. Mendelson
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
3 w
#10#16-
    
Andrew Seifter A. Seifter
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#12#14-
    
Matt Donnelly M. Donnelly
Dynasty Vipers Dynasty Vipers
3 w
#13#15-
    
Seth Miller S. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football Crossroads Fantasy...
3 w
#9#14-
    
Ellis Johnson E. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football True North Fantasy...
3 w
#9#10-
    
Bart Wheeler B. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football Hail to Fantasy Fo...
4 w
#11#26-
    
Kyle Krajewski K. Krajewski
First Seed Sports First Seed Sports
4 w
#9#17-
    
Kevin Wheeler K. Wheeler
The Draft Zone The Draft Zone
4 w
#13#14-
    
Zach Greubel Z. Greubel
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
4 w
#14#10-
    
Richard Cooling R. Cooling
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
4 w
#8#12-
    
Jody Smith J. Smith
FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy
05/28
#11#14-
    
Raju Byfield R. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League Win My Fantasy League
05/27
#13#8-
    
Dominick Petrillo D. Petrillo
The Athletic The Athletic
05/25
#8#15-
    
Andersen Pickard A. Pickard
Prime Time Sports Talk Prime Time Sports ...
3 w
#10#16-
    
Brad Evans B. Evans
Bally Sports Bally Sports
05/24
#11#16-
    
Walter Cherepinsky W. Cherepinsky
WalterFootball WalterFootball
2 w
#10#14-
    
Ryan Weisse R. Weisse
Footballguys Footballguys
05/17
#12#18-
    
Fantasy BR F. BR
Fantasy BR Fantasy BR
05/16
#13#14-
    
Matt Olson M. Olson
The Pigskin Pow Wow The Pigskin Pow Wow
05/14
#11#18-
    
Derek Lofland D. Lofland
FantasyPros FantasyPros
05/24
#13#15-
    
Kevin Hanson K. Hanson
EDSFootball EDSFootball
05/11
#14#13-
    
Justin Sablich J. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy 5th Down Fantasy
05/10
#14#10-
    
Richard King R. King
King Fantasy Sports King Fantasy Sports
4 w
#5#33-
    
Mick Ciallela M. Ciallela
Fantrax Fantrax
05/06
#13#14-
    
Matt Harmon M. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
05/02
#15#13-
    
Rich Piazza R. Piazza
Fantasy Shed Fantasy Shed
05/01
#14#15-
    
Jordan Rains J. Rains
The IDP Army The IDP Army
6 d
#12#17-
    
Jorge B. Edwards J. B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
2 w
#9#12-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Trey Lance
QB - SF
Trey Lance
Trey Lance
QB - SF
2022 Schedule 
Week 1 at MIN at CHI
Week 2 vs. CHI vs. SEA
Week 3 at TB at DEN
Week 4 vs. NE vs. LAR
Week 5 vs. NYG at CAR
Week 6 vs. NYJ at ATL
Week 7 at WAS vs. KC
Week 8 at BUF at LAR
Week 9 at DETBYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. DAL vs. LAC
Week 11 vs. TEN at ARI
Week 12 at PHI vs. NO
Week 13 at CHI vs. MIA
Week 14BYE WEEK vs. TB
Week 15 vs. LAR at SEA
Week 16 at MIA vs. WAS
Week 17 vs. MIN at LV
Week 18 vs. DET vs. ARI
Player Projections Comparison
 
Trey Lance
QB - SF
Trey Lance
Trey Lance
QB - SF
Passing
   
Pass Att562.3488.9
Pass Cmp378.5305.4
Pass Yards4,251.23,674.7
Pass TDs33.324.0
Ints6.713.7
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts38.1112.9
Rush Yards142.6506.6
Rush TDs1.94.5
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.12.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points318.0302.6
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Trey Lance
QB - SF
Trey Lance
Trey Lance
QB - SF
2021 Points 
Week 13.34.4
Week 226.8
Week 318.06.1
Week 424.120.4
Week 520.815.6
Week 623.7
Week 724.7
Week 815.7
Week 9
Week 1011.5
Week 1133.50.4
Week 1226.3
Week 13
Week 1429.6
Week 1523.8
Week 1620.0
Week 1720.320.1
Week 1814.2
Total345.367.0
Average20.311.2
Notes for Player Combination
 
Trey Lance
QB - SF
Trey Lance
Trey Lance
QB - SF
Expert 
Justin Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football
 This is a player that will be a rollercoasters with some very high point games and some very low point games. I don't like these players unless I'm in best ball formats.
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
 I'm starting to think Jimmy G may just stay in San Fran, but if he still goes somewhere like Carolina or even Seattle, Trey Lance will have top-10 upside for sure.
Andrew Erickson
FantasyPros
Placing Aaron Rodgers in the "players to avoid" category feels like grabbing at low-hanging fruit, but it's just so obvious his fantasy ceiling is going to be hindered this year without his No. 1 wide receiver, Davante Adams. The one game the Packers signal-caller played without his No. 1 receiver in 2021 was his third-worst fantasy finish of the season. And Rodgers' only healthy season-long fantasy finish outside the top-8 came in a season where Adams missed four games. The dynamic duo's chemistry was never more apparent in or near the red zone, with Rodgers-Adams combining for 64 touchdowns - double-digits on average - since 2016, 23 more than the next closest duo (Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill). Thirty-three percent of Rodgers touchdowns have gone to Adams over that period. Green Bay has bolstered their wide receiver room through free agency and the draft, but it's still improbable that they can make up for Adams' production - especially in the red zone. Without Adams, it's hard to buy Rodgers as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 2022.Trey Lance is falling in best ball ADP because of reports surfacing that he is underwhelming at OTAs and because Jimmy Garoppolo remains on the roster. But after the 49ers beat reporters butchered the Trey Sermon situation last season and the 49ers' massive investment in Lance last year, I view this situation as an easy buy-low scenario. Garoppolo's shoulder surgery is the reason he hasn't been traded. Once he is deemed healthy, I'd presume he gets moved to a QB-needy team or to a roster that sustains an injury at the position. Lance only started two games but showed off the rushing that excited fantasy managers during draft season. The 49ers' first-year signal-caller averaged 22.4 expected fantasy points and 60 rushing yards per game.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Aaron Rodgers will be back in Green Bay, but with no Davante Adams, he is going to probably have a dip in passing production. Rodgers is a high-end QB2 for fantasy purposes without an elite proven wide receiver on an offense that is probably going to focus on the running game more this year.Lance feels like he will be the starter in 2022 and his running ability makes him a candidate to have a breakout 2022 fantasy season on one of the better offenses in the NFL.
Derek Brown
FantasyPros
Aaron Rodgers doesn't look like he's lost a step at all after finishing last season as the QB8 in fantasy points per game. Rodgers was top-five in fantasy points per dropback and clean pocket completion rate. Losing his bae Davante Adams hurts his ceiling and per-play efficiency outlooks. Efficiency has been the driver of his fantasy goodness because he resides inside one of the NFL's slowest-paced offenses. Raw volume won't be there to help counteract the dip there, so Rodgers falls into the QB2 bucket with weekly top 12 upside.Every day that Jimmy Garoppolo remains on the 49ers' roster, it threatens Trey Lance's starting spot, but currently, I'm still projecting him to start this season. In the brief two-game sample of Lance starting last year, we got a glimpse at the biggest factor for his fantasy ceiling: the rushing upside. In those two games, Lance averaged 12 carries and 60 yards on the ground as the QB20 and QB10 in weekly scoring. Even with Garoppolo at the helm, the 49ers were sixth in EPA per play and second in yards per play. Lance's legs give him a top 12-15 fantasy quarterback floor with top-five upside should he light it up through the air.
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
Ouch. No Adams could severely limit Rodgers & GB, esp fantasy-wiseRumblings that Jimmy G may start ahead of him if not traded are terrifying. One of the most overrated early players in Best Ball
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
At age 38, Rodgers is still one of the best pure passers in the game, and there have been no discernible signs of decline. But make no mistake: Losing star WR Davante Adams is going to damage Rodgers' fantasy value. Expect at least incremental declines in both passing volume and efficiency. Rodgers has led the league in passer rating for two straight seasons and rarely throws interceptions, but he does very little running anymore. Without Adams, Rodgers' ceiling is probably low-end QB1, and it's probably best to view him as a high-end QB2.The 49ers are expected to install Lance as their starting quarterback in 2022. The No. 3 overall pick in last year's draft, Lance is a gifted athlete with a live arm and the speed to be an impact runner. He'll have no shortage of pass-catching weaponry with Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle. Experience is the missing ingredient, and most people are going to rank Lance too low simply because he doesn't have a track record. The upside here is intoxicating.