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Alvin Kamara or Chris Carson

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 - Half Point PPR

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Alvin KamaraA. Kamara
RB - NO
Alvin Kamara
vs. SF, Sun 1pm EST
Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
at LAR, Sun 8pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Dec 8th, 2019
100%
Recommended by
135 of 135 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 135 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 7# 16-
Best Rank# 2# 13-
Worst Rank# 10# 31-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. SF at LAR-
Matchup RatingThis is a 1 star matchup. RBs perform worse than their average vs SFThis is a 3 star matchup. RBs perform close to their average vs LAR-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att2022.5
Rush Yds93.383.3
Rush TD0.40.6
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total147.6171.0-
Avg Game14.814.3-
Avg Projection17.412.9-
Week 1310.417.4-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
WeatherIndoor60 F, Clear-
    
Expert Ranks 
Alvin KamaraChris CarsonAdd Player
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
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3 d
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3 d
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The Athletic
3 d
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Fake Teams
3 d
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4 d
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SleeperU
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5 d
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  Alvin KamaraA. Kamara
RB - NO
Alvin Kamara
Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. HOU
13 rush, 97 yds, 0 td
8 tar, 7 rec, 72 yds, 0 td
vs. CIN
15 rush, 46 yds, 1 td
7 tar, 6 rec, 34 yds, 1 td
Week 2 at LAR
13 rush, 45 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 1 rec, 15 yds, 0 td
at PIT
15 rush, 60 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 3 rec, 27 yds, 0 td
Week 3 at SEA
16 rush, 69 yds, 1 td
10 tar, 9 rec, 92 yds, 1 td
vs. NO
15 rush, 53 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, -2 yds, 0 td
Week 4 vs. DAL
17 rush, 69 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 3 rec, 20 yds, 0 td
at ARI
22 rush, 104 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 41 yds, 0 td
Week 5 vs. TB
16 rush, 62 yds, 0 td
7 tar, 6 rec, 42 yds, 0 td
vs. LAR
27 rush, 118 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 5 yds, 1 td
Week 6 at JAC
11 rush, 31 yds, 0 td
8 tar, 7 rec, 35 yds, 0 td
at CLE
24 rush, 124 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 35 yds, 0 td
Week 7 at CHI
vs. BAL
21 rush, 65 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 3 rec, 9 yds, 0 td
Week 8 vs. ARI
at ATL
20 rush, 90 yds, 1 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
Week 9BYE WEEK vs. TB
16 rush, 105 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 28 yds, 0 td
Week 10 vs. ATL
4 rush, 24 yds, 0 td
10 tar, 8 rec, 50 yds, 0 td
at SF
25 rush, 89 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 12 yds, 0 td
Week 11 at TB
13 rush, 75 yds, 0 td
10 tar, 10 rec, 47 yds, 0 td
BYE WEEK
Week 12 vs. CAR
11 rush, 54 yds, 0 td
9 tar, 9 rec, 48 yds, 0 td
at PHI
8 rush, 26 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 31 yds, 0 td
Week 13 at ATL
11 rush, 61 yds, 0 td
8 tar, 4 rec, 23 yds, 0 td
vs. MIN
23 rush, 102 yds, 1 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 7 yds, 0 td
Week 14 vs. SF at LAR
Week 15 vs. IND at CAR
Week 16 at TEN vs. ARI
Week 17 at CAR vs. SF
  Alvin KamaraA. Kamara
RB - NO
Alvin Kamara
vs. SF, Sun 1pm EST
Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
at LAR, Sun 8pm EST
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts13.216.6
Rush Yards62.670.1
Rush TDs0.50.5
   
Receiving
   
Receptions5.92.5
Rec Yards46.818.3
Rec TDs0.20.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points17.412.9
   
  Alvin KamaraA. Kamara
RB - NO
Alvin Kamara
Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2019 Points 
Week 120.421.1
Week 26.58.2
Week 332.63.6
Week 410.416.5
Week 513.918.8
Week 610.123.9
Week 78.9
Week 815.0
Week 912.3
Week 1011.417.6
Week 1117.2
Week 1214.77.7
Week 1310.417.4
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  Alvin KamaraA. Kamara
RB - NO
Alvin Kamara
Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2019 Targets 
Week 187
Week 233
Week 3101
Week 434
Week 572
Week 684
Week 75
Week 81
Week 92
Week 10104
Week 1110
Week 1294
Week 1382
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  Alvin KamaraA. Kamara
RB - NO
Alvin Kamara
vs. SF, Sun 1pm EST
Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
at LAR, Sun 8pm EST
Expert 
Zach Brunner
FantasyPros
 Carson did not seem to be punished for the fumbles at all, so play Seattle's lead back like you normally would. The Rams have been middle of the road against RBs over the past five weeks, and Carson put up a 100-yard performance against him the first time around. We know Seattle would love to run the ball and control the clock all game long, so Carson is a high-end RB2 with some upside this week. Hopefully he doesn't take himself out in order to let Penny score again.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
It's been a rough season for Kamara, who's found the end zone just twice, and both of those came in the same game way back in Week 3. Since returning from his ankle sprain, Kamara has totaled 39 carries and 37 targets, which amounts to 19.0 opportunities per game. Volume is not an issue for him. On the other hand, Murray needs a positive gamescript, as he's averaged just 7.8 opportunities per game during that time. The 49ers have shown weakness against the run as of late, so the running backs should be busy in this game. Of the production allowed to running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends, the 49ers have allowed 52.3 percent of that to go to running backs, which ranks the 10th-highest mark in football. The 4.26 yards per carry they've allowed is slightly above average, but the lack of touchdowns has crushed running back production overall, as the 0.66 PPR points per opportunity is the best in the league. They've been getting slightly worse as the weeks go on, though. After not allowing a running back to finish better than RB30 over their first six games, the 49ers have allowed a top-18 running back in five of their last six games, including Kenyan Drake twice, Christian McCaffrey, Chris Carson, and Jamaal Williams. The only team who didn't have one was the Ravens last week, as Lamar Jackson steals production from Ingram and the running backs. The production comes on the ground, though, as the 1.21 PPR points per target is the lowest in the NFL. They've allowed just 79.7 PPR points through the air to running backs, by far the lowest mark in the league. Kamara should be played as a low-end RB1 who can explode at any moment, making him a good tournament play, though he's not a cash-game recommendation.So, as it turns out, Carson still retains the starting job, but Penny is much more involved. Carson totaled 24 touches against the Vikings that turned into 109 yards and a touchdown while Penny saw 19 touches that turned into 107 yards and a touchdown. There will not be 43 touches to go around every week. The good news is that there were 36 touches between them in the first meeting between these two teams. Carson totaled 123 yards and a touchdown in that game, while Penny finished with 51 total yards. The Rams have been the fifth-worst matchup for running backs from an efficiency standpoint, as they've allowed just 0.73 PPR points per opportunity. If we take away Christian McCaffrey's absurd performance in Week 1, they'd look even better. There's been just nine running backs all year who've finished better than the RB30 against the Rams, with eight of them totaling at least 15 carries. The Vikings were one of the best in the league against the run, so we surely aren't writing off these backs, but they both aren't going to finish as top-15 options again. Treat this as a 55/45 split until further notice, which makes Carson a low-end RB2 while Penny should be treated as a low-end RB3.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The 49ers are 2nd against fantasy running backs, but Kamara is a matchup proof RB1 that can excel against any matchup.Carson rushed 23 times for 102 yards and one touchdown, despite RB Rashaad Penny having 19 touches. Carson is still risky due to fumbling issues, but he is a RB2 against the Rams 11th ranked fantasy running back defense.
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