Who Should I Start? - Week 1

Stefon Diggs or Patrick Mahomes

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Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
at JAC, Sun 1pm EDT
Stefon Diggs
WR - MIN
Stefon Diggs
vs. ATL, Sun 1pm EDT
 
 
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
11 of 12 experts
8%
Recommended by
1 of 12 experts
Add Player
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 1# 67-
Best Rank# 1# 65-
Worst Rank# 4# 69-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at JAC vs. ATL-
Matchup Rank278-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total417.0164.3-
Avg Game26.111.0-
2018 Average26.111.0-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
WeatherIndoor-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick MahomesStefon DiggsAdd Player
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
3 d
#1#66-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
1 w
#4#66-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
1 w
#1#69-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
2 w
#3#69-
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
2 w
#1#65-
    
Andrew GouldA. Gould
FantasyPros
2 w
#1#68-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
2 w
#1#68-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
3 w
#1#68-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
06/27
#38-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
06/17
#1#68-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
06/15
#1#68-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
05/13
#3#64-
    
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Stefon Diggs
WR - MIN
Stefon Diggs
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at JAC vs. ATL
Week 2 at OAK at GB
Week 3 vs. BAL vs. OAK
Week 4 at DET at CHI
Week 5 vs. IND at NYG
Week 6 vs. HOU vs. PHI
Week 7 at DEN at DET
Week 8 vs. GB vs. WAS
Week 9 vs. MIN at KC
Week 10 at TEN at DAL
Week 11 at LAC vs. DEN
Week 12BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 13 vs. OAK at SEA
Week 14 at NE vs. DET
Week 15 vs. DEN at LAC
Week 16 at CHI vs. GB
Week 17 vs. LAC vs. CHI
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Stefon Diggs
WR - MIN
Stefon Diggs
2018 Points 
Week 128.311.1
Week 238.826.9
Week 325.31.7
Week 422.912.3
Week 515.811.6
Week 627.04.2
Week 732.82.6
Week 826.017.9
Week 926.8
Week 1020.1
Week 1135.918.6
Week 1214.9
Week 1333.04.9
Week 1420.88.1
Week 1518.011.8
Week 1628.27.0
Week 1717.310.7
  Patrick Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
at JAC, Sun 1pm EDT
Stefon Diggs
WR - MIN
Stefon Diggs
vs. ATL, Sun 1pm EDT
Expert 
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
In terms of raw fantasy points, Mahomes broke the historical quarterback record, but when you compare him to the QB13, or above replacement value, he was merely 20th of all-time. While that is still great, of course, it was driven by an astronomical and unsustainable touchdown rate. Regress that to the expected mean and take Tyreek Hill away and there is no reason you should be considering him in the 2nd, let alone 1st round. If he drops to the late 3rd, you can consider drafting him then if you still like him more than Rodgers.