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Fantasy Football Trade Values: Week 12

Fantasy Football Trade Values: Week 12

Well, friends, this is it. Our final trade value article of the season. Somehow, without warning, our fantasy football regular season has reached its end, and the trade deadline in nearly every league has passed or is upon us.

Hopefully, I will see you back here next year (and, if you’re a fantasy baseball player, we’ll be rolling them out there for both dynasty and season-long formats, so read along). Rest assured, I take seriously all the feedback we receive via email or Twitter, and so I’ve compiled a list of some of my favorites over the last 12 weeks.

  • “Why do you value quarterbacks so high? Makes no sense.”
  • “Up your quarterback values. I’m not trading Drew Brees for an RB2.”
  • “Dude, is Lamar Miller your cousin? He ain’t worth that much.”
  • “How can I possibly trust this when it would have me accepting a trade of Evan Engram, Jimmy Graham, Delanie Walker, Charles Clay, and Jared Cook for Gronk? Who would do that?”
  • “Does Jamison Crowder have incriminating photos of you or something?”
  • “Why this say to trade Haltin for Aphull when ECR is not same?”

I’m not going to lie, I spent four hours trying to figure out what that last one meant. I think it may have been T.Y. Hilton for Ameer Abdullah, but I’m just guessing.

In all seriousness, the feedback, even the negative, that we’ve received on this article throughout the season has been tremendous. There were many extremely insightful and thoughtful comments, and I took them to heart. Thanks for reading along, and I hope everyone’s trades came up smelling like roses.

So, for the final time in the 2017 season – here are your fantasy football trade values.

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Quarterbacks

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Tom Brady 26 26
Russell Wilson 23 23
Carson Wentz 23 23
Cam Newton 17 17
Kirk Cousins 17 16 +1
Alex Smith 17 17
Drew Brees 17 16 +1
Dak Prescott 16 23 -7
Matthew Stafford 14 14
Marcus Mariota 14 11 +3
Matt Ryan 11 11
Philip Rivers 11 N/A +11
Ben Roethlisberger 11 N/A +11
Jared Goff 8 14 -6

 
As usual, there’s not all that much change in the quarterback values. Dak Prescott continues to lose trade value in light of his struggles over the last two games. Things should surely get a little better once Tyron Smith returns, but it’s fair to wonder whether the loss of Ezekiel Elliott will significantly downgrade Prescott’s performance. I’d still trade for him without hesitation, but wouldn’t quite value him as the top-five option he had been.

Heading the other way, Marcus Mariota, Ben Roethlisberger, and Philip Rivers all rise in value. If you’re a Mariota owner, this is what you’ve been waiting for – Colts, Texans, Cardinals, 49ers in the next four weeks. Yes, he’s been a disappointment, but if he’s healthy, it’s hard to see him being anything but a strong QB1 play in those matchups. As for Big Ben, it’s not quite as rosey, with a matchup in Cincinnati and against the Ravens. But as a whole, he goes home vs. the Packers, at the Bengals, home vs. the Ravens, home vs. the Patriots, at the Texans. That’s three home matchups and a road matchup against the Texans in the finals of most fantasy weeks (he’s home against the Browns in Week 17 for those whose season continues that long). Unless it’s against the Jaguars, trust home Ben. And Rivers has his full complement of weapons and gets the Cowboys, the Browns, the Redskins, the Chiefs, the Jets, and the Raiders. Hard to argue with that.

As for Jared Goff, his decline in value is mostly just about the increase in value in other quarterbacks. But don’t underestimate the loss of Robert Woods. I’m not panicking if I’m a Goff owner, but I’m not targeting him in any trades.

Running Backs

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Le’Veon Bell 70 70
Todd Gurley 68 68
Mark Ingram 60 60
Leonard Fournette 60 60
Alvin Kamara 55 55
Kareem Hunt 55 60 -5
Melvin Gordon 55 55
LeSean McCoy 55 55
Lamar Miller 41 41
Jordan Howard 41 41
Carlos Hyde 41 41
Christian McCaffrey 34 34
Samaje Perine 30 4 +26
Tevin Coleman 24 24
Devonta Freeman 24 20 +4
DeMarco Murray 24 34 -10
Jerick McKinnon 22 22
Dion Lewis 20 12 +8
Ameer Abdullah 17 17
Latavius Murray 17 8 +9
Orleans Darkwa 17 9 +8
Jay Ajayi 17 23 -6
Duke Johnson 14 9 +5
Joe Mixon 13 17 -4
Doug Martin 12 14 -2
Derrick Henry 12 12
Adrian Peterson 12 17 -5
Marshawn Lynch 12 17 -5
Alfred Morris 12 9 +3
Bilal Powell 9 9
Danny Woodhead 9 6 +3
Alex Collins 9 7 +2
Frank Gore 9 9
Isaiah Crowell 9 9
Ty Montgomery 9 12 -3
C.J. Anderson 7 9 -2
J.D. McKissic 7 N/A +7
Devontae Booker 6 N/A +6
Rex Burkhead 6 6
James White 6 4 +2
Jamaal Williams 6 8 -2
Kenyan Drake 6 17 -11
Damien Williams 6 6
Austin Ekeler 5 2 +3
Elijah McGuire 3 2 +1
LeGarrette Blount 3 3
Ezekiel Elliott 3 2 +1
Corey Clement 3 N/A +3
Rod Smith 2 4 -2
Jonathan Stewart 2 3 -1
Theo Riddick 2 3 -1
Tarik Cohen 2 N/A +2
Matt Forte 2 2
T.J. Yeldon 2 2
Marlon Mack 2 3 -1
Alfred Blue 2 N/A +2
Mike Davis 2 N/A +2
Chris Ivory 2 2

 
Figures that for our last trade values article of the season, we really don’t have all that much to talk about with the position that usually provides all the goods! But we’ll do our best.

Samaje Perine vaults in value both with his outstanding performance against the Saints and Chris Thompson’s season-ending injury. Opportunity is half the battle for a fantasy-relevant running back, and Perine, if healthy, should see upwards of 25 touches per game going forward. The schedule isn’t overly generous to running backs, but there are few reasons to avoid someone in Perine’s situation. Go forth and buy.

None of Dion Lewis, Latavius Murray, or Orleans Darkwa is a league-winner. But they’re all going to get you 15-20 touches per game and be the man when the team gets close to the goal-line. Take a good, long look at the running back position and you’ll see that things start getting pretty murky very quickly. Guys like the three above, who will rarely if ever give you a total dud and have a decent shot at a touchdown each week, are like offensive linemen – they rarely get the credit they deserve, but they’re integral to a championship team.

I refuse to believe Kenyan Drake is going to be irrelevant. I’ve started keeping track and 7.4 times per Dolphins game, I do this:

I don’t know what Adam Gase is doing most of the time, but I have to imagine that he’ll understand that giving Drake a significant workload is probably his best bet to succeed. With that said, it would be foolish not to downgrade Drake going forward, though I would be more than happy to swap any similarly-valued running back for him.

Finally, J.D. McKissic and Devontae Booker jump into the fray. Like Perine, McKissic is almost the last man standing for Seattle, and he should provide a decent floor with his pass-catching prowess. As for Booker, C.J. Anderson’s late fumble could be costly, especially with Mike McCoy getting fired and Paxton Lynch being named the starter for Week 12. With the Broncos’ season all but over, they may want to see more out of Booker, and it’s worth a gamble to find out.

Wide Receivers

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Antonio Brown 67 67
A.J. Green 56 60 -4
DeAndre Hopkins 56 56
Michael Thomas 56 56
Julio Jones 50 56 -6
Brandin Cooks 50 39 +11
Mike Evans 50 56 -6
Doug Baldwin 47 42 +5
Adam Thielen 45 29 +16
Alshon Jeffery 35 29 +6
Jarvis Landry 35 29 +6
Larry Fitzgerald 33 25 +8
Tyreek Hill 33 42 -9
Golden Tate 31 33 -2
Michael Crabtree 31 42 -11
Stefon Diggs 31 42 -11
Dez Bryant 31 42 -11
Keenan Allen 31 22 +9
Devin Funchess 25 25
Marvin Jones 25 22 +3
JuJu Smith-Schuster 22 22
Demaryius Thomas 22 22
Davante Adams 22 18 +4
Robby Anderson 20 20
T.Y. Hilton 20 18 +2
Amari Cooper 20 25 -5
Rishard Matthews 19 17 +2
Ted Ginn 19 14 +5
DeSean Jackson 18 15 +3
Devante Parker 18 22 -4
Sterling Shepard 17 19 -2
Emmanuel Sanders 17 20 -3
Chris Hogan 17 17
Sammy Watkins 15 12 +3
Corey Coleman 14 4 +10
Jamison Crowder 12 9 +3
Nelson Agholor 11 17 -6
Kenny Stills 11 6 +5
Corey Davis 10 10
Marqise Lee 10 10
Paul Richardson 9 7 +2
Cooper Kupp 9 11 -2
Mohamed Sanu 9 9
Josh Doctson 7 5 +2
Robert Woods 7 19 -12
Jeremy Maclin 7 7
Jordy Nelson 5 9 -4
Jermaine Kearse 5 5
Zay Jones 5 N/A +5
Will Fuller 5 5
Dontrelle Inman 5 3 +2
Mike Wallace 4 N/A +4
Dede Westbrook 4 N/A +4
Danny Amendola 3 2 +1
Kenny Golladay 3 2 +1
Josh Gordon 3 N/A +3
Marquise Goodwin 3 5 -2
Tyler Lockett 2 2
Randall Cobb 2 4 -2

 
As you can see, there is a ton of movement in value among the WR1s and WR2s. With so little time left, the movement is much more about setting tiers, and making sure that receivers who should likely have similar production going forward are deemed relatively close in value. Seriously, there’s little difference at this stage for me in owning Julio Jones, Brandin Cooks, Mike Evans, Doug Baldwin, or Adam Thielen. But you should take all those guys over Golden Tate, Michael Crabtree, Stefon Diggs, Dez Bryant, and Keenan Allen, who are similarly largely interchangeable. With likely only a day or two left to make a deal, thought it was important to make sure the tiers were set, and I’d recommend valuing the elite guys as set forth above.

The only other mover of significance is Corey Coleman who should be valued as a borderline WR3 right now. He has seen 24 targets in the three games he has played, and obviously has a connection with DeShone Kizer. The remaining schedule isn’t friendly (Bengals, Chargers, Packers, Ravens, Bears, Steelers), but the kid just dropped six catches for 80 yards on Jalen Ramsey. Even with Josh Gordon’s return on the horizon, I’d buy Coleman without hesitation.

Tight Ends

Player Current Value Previous Value +/-
Rob Gronkowski 48 48
Zach Ertz 34 34
Travis Kelce 29 29
Evan Engram 15 15
Jimmy Graham 15 12 +3
Delanie Walker 10 9 +1
Greg Olsen 10 9 +1
Jared Cook 7 9 -2
Vernon Davis 7 3 +4
Jack Doyle 6 6
Austin Seferian-Jenkins 6 4 +2
Cameron Brate 3 9 -6
Kyle Rudolph 3 6 -3
Tyler Kroft 3 3
Charles Clay 3 5 -2
Hunter Henry 3 3
Jason Witten 3 3
Jordan Reed 3 3
Austin Hooper 3 3

 
As usual, there isn’t much to talk about with tight ends. Jordan Reed does not appear (as of this writing) close to returning to action, which makes Vernon Davis a fine trade target at this point, in light of his high floor. But Ryan Fitzpatrick appears to have no interest in throwing the ball to Cameron Brate, which makes him largely irrelevant.

Frankly, you know the deal by now. If you can snag yourself a top-five or top-seven option, go ahead and do it. If not, you’re largely just streaming, as you should be.

And that’s all, my friends. I hope you’ve enjoyed this as much as I have. And, I’ll end our time together in the same way that my old pal George Costanza would do:



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Dan Harris is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him on Twitter at @danharris80.

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