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Top 14 NFL DFS Plays of Week 3 (2020)

Sep 26, 2020

Miles Sanders is underpriced in Week 3 DraftKings contests.

We’re happy to announce that our Daily Fantasy Accuracy Cup is back for 2020! We’re back with over 90 experts competing for the title of Most Accuracy DFS Salary Cap Expert.

Each expert submits one optimal salary cap lineup each week. Experts are ranked based on the sum of the fantasy points scored by their lineups. These contests will be run through DraftKings. You can follow our DFAC Leaderboard here.

Beyond the competition, we’re asking our top scorers each week to provide their best plays of the slate. Here’s their advice for this week.

Salaries referenced are DraftKings

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Which stud ($6,500 or higher) are you locking into your lineups?

Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND): $7,000
I’m going back to the well for another bucket of fantasy points from Jonathan Taylor at the very reasonable salary of $7,000. In the wake of Marlon Mack’s Week 1 injury, the Colts featured Taylor in Week 2 with 26 carries and two targets. You’ll have to pay more for all the other high-priced studs with similar workloads on this week’s slate. The Jets rank third in rushing defense DVOA, but Taylor is a special talent, and Indy’s O-line has the horses to offset the tough matchup. Giddyup.
– Greg Smith (@gregsauce)

Taylor was nothing short of a workhorse in his second professional game and first without Marlon Mack healthy. He touched the ball 28 times with 26 carries for 101 rushing yards and a score and two receptions on both of his targets for nine yards. The hosting Colts are the biggest betting favorites this week. They’re playing 10.5 points to the visiting Jets, setting up a perfect game script for Taylor to eat.
– Josh Shepardson (@BChad50)

It’s hard to pass on Colts RB Jonathan Taylor. The Colts OL vs. the Jets DL is the biggest trench mismatch on the slate, and Taylor should see 20-25 carries.
– Dr. Roto (@drroto)

Miles Sanders (RB – PHI): $6,400
Sanders falls just below $6,500, but he will be a popular part of both cash game and GPP lineups. He certainly qualifies as ‘good chalk’ in this matchup against a woeful Bengals defense in what is likely a get-right spot for the Eagles. Sanders showed no signs of discomfort from a hamstring injury that kept him out in Week 1, as he trampled the Rams for 117 all-purpose yards and saw a whopping seven targets, 21.1 DK points even with the lost fumble. Game script should work in the Birds’ favor at home, in a game that has sneaky shootout potential. In addition to being their primary workhorse, it’s great to see the pass-game targets which should help bolster his floor.
– Vlad Sedler (@RotoGut)

I know the question wants a player over $6,500, but it isn’t my fault that Sanders is mispriced on DraftKings this week. After the Eagles were careful and held Sanders out in Week 1, he returned to the field in Week 2 and saw 77% of the snaps while getting 20 carries and seven targets for 131 total yards and a score. This week the Eagles are a home favorite against the Bengals, who have allowed a league-high average of 179 rushing yards to go along with two rushing scores per game to running backs this year. It isn’t often you can get a three-down back who also gets the red-zone work in a favorable matchup at this price.
– Brad Richter (@rotopilot)

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI): $6,800
Murray has been a top-six fantasy quarterback in each of the past two weeks, opening the season with MVP-caliber performances to propel the Cardinals to 2-0.  He has exhibited an immediate connection with new No. 1 wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. When targeting Nuk, Murray is 22-of-25 passing for 219-1-0 with a top-shelf mark of 9.6 adjusted yards per attempt. Because of injuries to their secondary, the Lions will likely start multiple backups at cornerback this week, so the Kyler-Hopkins connection could be especially potent.
– Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle)

Calvin Ridley (WR – ATL): $7,200
The Draftkings price for Calvin Ridley keeps going up, but I’m willing to pay it. Ridley has taken over as Matt Ryan’s favorite new target. After a heartbreaking loss to the Cowboys last week, I feel the Falcons are hard-pressed to get a Week 3 win. Ridley has four touchdowns in two games and is tied for first in receiving yards with Stefon Diggs. Their opponent, the 2-0 Chicago Bears barely squeaked out a win to the Giants last week and got luckily against the Lions in Week 1. I feel the Bears have overachieved, and I like the Falcons in a must-win home game this Sunday.
– Mike Rigz (@MikeRigz)

Amari Cooper (WR – DAL): $6,500
Though the Cowboys have a bevy of weapons at Dak Prescott’s disposal, he has the most rapport with Cooper, who has seen the second-most targets (25) through the first two weeks of NFL action. In a matchup with a whopping 55.5-point implied total involving two stellar offenses with subpar secondaries, it is difficult to imagine Cooper not being heavily involved. He has hit at least 18 DK points in each of his first two games and should have his way with Seattle cornerbacks Quinton Dunbar and Shaq Griffin. He has yet to hit paydirt, though I expect him to finally do so this Sunday.
– Vlad Sedler (@RotoGut)

Which value play ($5,000 or lower) are you rostering?

Joshua Kelley (RB – LAC): $5,000
In defiance of his status as a rookie fourth-rounder, Kelley has a team-high 29.3 expected fantasy points through two weeks and has firmly secured the grinder role vacated by Melvin Gordon III. He couldn’t have a better matchup as a big home favorite against the Panthers, who last year were No. 32 with a 15.9% rush-defense DVOA.
– Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle)

Dalton Schultz (TE – DAL): $4,500
I like Schultz ($4,500) this weak against the Seahawks. While the matchup isn’t ideal, the Cowboys will stick to what’s working after their amazing comeback against the Falcons. Schultz was a major part of the Cowboys’ come-from-behind win, making five of his seven catches in the second half — including his 10-yard touchdown to bring the team to within striking distance. In terms of a value play, there isn’t a better bang-for-buck TE than Schultz.
– Mike Rigz (@MikeRigz)

Curtis Samuel (WR – CAR): $4,000
I tend to avoid coach speak, but sometimes it makes sense. Carolina Panthers OC Joe Brady has talked about getting WR Curtis Samuel more involved in the offense. With Christian McCaffrey out, I can see him getting five-10 rushing attempts and three-five targets this week. At 4K, Samuel seems like a lock for 3x value.
– Dr. Roto (@drroto)

Darius Slayton (WR – NYG): $4,900
Golden Tate (WR – NYG): $4,500
Evan Engram (TE – NYG): $5,000

Darius Slayton ($4,900), Golden Tate ($4,500), and Evan Engram ($5,000) all fit this bill, and all are primed for bigger target shares now that Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard are on injured reserve. The Over/Under in their game against the 49ers is only 40.5, but I expect more scoring than the line implies because San Francisco’s defense has suffered key injuries of their own (Nick Bosa, Dee Ford, and Solomon Thomas). If I had to pick only one Giants receiver, Engram feels like the safest choice. But I like some other lower-salary values at TE, so give me the big-play upside of Slayton, who has more catches (nine) than Engram on the same number of targets (15) through two weeks.
– Greg Smith (@gregsauce)

Jerick McKinnon (RB – SF); $4,900
The 49ers backfield suffered injuries to both Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman last week, which opens the door for McKinnon and Jeff Wilson to assume the carries and targets out of the backfield this week. Wilson has a higher likelihood of a rushing score as the probable goal-line back, but McKinnon should split the carries and get all of the receiving work. That sets him up for a higher floor with DraftKings’ PPR scoring. There could also be more check-downs from backup QB Nick Mullens, which should allow McKinnon to get 10-15 opportunities (carries plus targets) this week as a road favorite against the Giants.
– Brad Richter (@rotopilot)

Damiere Byrd (WR – NE): $3,000
Byrd’s salary is the bare minimum at $3,000 despite leading New England’s receiver room in offensive snaps each of the first two weeks. He was held to a donut in Week 1, but he hauled in six of nine targets for 72 receiving yards last week. The Patriots were in a Week 2 shootout, which helped all of New England’s pass-catchers, Byrd included. However, they’re six-point favorites at home against the cross-country traveling Las Vegas Raiders, who are playing on a short week after winning their Monday Night Football contest against the Saints. Regardless of the potential for a game script that’s run-heavy for the host Patriots, Byrd’s Week 2 showing and hefty snap counts make him worth a dice roll at the minimum salary on at least a few GPP squads. I’ll be doing just that.
– Josh Shepardson (@BChad50)

Logan Thomas (TE – WAS): $3,700
There’s no price bump yet for the man dubbed LT3 despite seeing 17 targets through his first two outings. So far, very little blocking has been required of him (just four percent), as he runs routes on nearly all of his snaps. He has seen an 82 percent snap share thus far and is simply far too affordable to not consider against a Browns defense that has allowed over 50 DK points to opposing tight ends these last two weeks. Thomas will be a popular option, but his potential to hit over 5x value on that $3,700 tag is high.
– Vlad Sedler (@RotoGut)

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