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Week 5 Quick Grades (2022 Fantasy Football Start or Sit Advice)

Week 5 Quick Grades (2022 Fantasy Football Start or Sit Advice)

Welcome to Week 5, friends. As always, we’re here to provide you with some Quick Grades (or Start/Sit Grades, if you prefer) for the week.

We tapped into our consensus projections and rankings and Derek Brown’s weekly Primer to generate this week’s Quick Grades. See below for the results and accompanying notes.

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Week 5 QB Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 5
1 A+ Josh Allen BUF PIT
2 A Jalen Hurts PHI ARI
3 A Lamar Jackson BAL CIN
4 A Patrick Mahomes II KC LV
5 A Justin Herbert LAC CLE
6 A- Joe Burrow CIN BAL
7 B+ Tom Brady TB ATL
8 B Kyler Murray ARI PHI
9 B Russell Wilson DEN IND
10 B Derek Carr LV KC
11 B- Kirk Cousins MIN CHI
12 B- Aaron Rodgers GB NYG
13 B- Trevor Lawrence JAC HOU
14 C+ Jared Goff DET NE
15 C Carson Wentz WAS TEN
16 C Geno Smith SEA NO
17 C- Matthew Stafford LAR DAL
18 C- Ryan Tannehill TEN WAS
19 D+ Teddy Bridgewater MIA NYJ
20 D Zach Wilson NYJ MIA
21 D Justin Fields CHI MIN
22 D- Marcus Mariota ATL TB
23 F Jacoby Brissett CLE LAC
24 F Matt Ryan IND DEN
25 F Jameis Winston NO SEA
26 F Jimmy Garoppolo SF CAR
27 F Andy Dalton NO SEA
28 F Cooper Rush DAL LAR
29 F Kenny Pickett PIT BUF
30 F Daniel Jones NYG GB
31 F Davis Mills HOU JAC
32 F Bailey Zappe NE DET
33 F Baker Mayfield CAR SF
34 F Tyrod Taylor NYG GB
35 F Mitch Trubisky PIT BUF
36 F Mac Jones NE DET
37 F Joe Flacco NYJ MIA
38 F Drew Lock SEA NO

Notes

Tom Brady: This week, Brady goes full scorched earth. Atlanta’s secondary play has fallen apart. They have yielded the fourth-highest success rate per dropback while also ranking tenth in yards per attempt and 12th in passing touchdown rate. The Falcons are seventh in explosive pass rate allowed. Atlanta has remained a zone-based defense (60% zone for their outside corners). Brady is third in passing accuracy and fourth in completion rate against zone.

Marcus Mariota: Mariota’s level of play has sharply declined as the season has worn on. He’s 27th in PFF passing grade and 35th in adjusted completion rate. Arthur Smith needs to continue to lean on his ground game this week to move the ball because Mariota could struggle mightily. Tampa Bay has limited opposing passers to the eighth-lowest success rate per dropback, fifth-lowest yards per attempt, and fifth-lowest EPA per dropback. The Buccaneers are 11th in pressure rate, which is concerning because Mariota is eighth in turnover-worthy play rate when pressured. Sit Mariota in Week 5.

Ryan Tannehill: Tannehill is an upside QB2 this week. He’s been playing better than his QB22 ranking in fantasy would suggest. He’s been a QB1 in 50% of his games so far this season (QB11, QB8). He’s 15th in PFF passing grade, second in adjusted completion rate, and seventh in yards per attempt (minimum 25 dropbacks). Washington has been giving this year to opposing quarterbacks sitting at fifth in EPA per dropback, fifth in yards per attempt, and first in passing touchdown rate allowed. The Commanders have also been blitz-happy, ranking ninth in blitz rate, which should help Tannehill this week. Tannehill is seventh in PFF passing grade against the blitz, 14th in adjusted completion rate, and second in aDOT. If Washington plans to bring the heat, Tannehill will look to launch it.

Carson Wentz: After flying out of the starting blocks with a two-game heater, Wentz has cooled off with back-to-back games outside the top 24 fantasy quarterbacks (QB30, QB27). His issues stem from pressure, as he’s outside the top 25 quarterbacks in under-pressure accuracy and pressured completion rate. Wentz can dice up this secondary if the Commanders can keep him upright. Tennessee is 26th in pass defense DVOA with the second-highest passing touchdown rate and yards per attempt allowed. Tennessee is 13th in pressure rate, but they are only 24th in blitz rate, so Washington has a chance to give Wentz some clean pockets. Wentz is reincarnating past fantasy memories of Blake Bortles. The fantasy results can be tasty, but please don’t watch the film, or you’ll never play him again. Wentz is a frightening QB2 option that could thread the needle into another top 12 fantasy week.

Davis Mills: There’s no reason even in the deepest of 2QB leagues to consider playing Mills. He has only thrown for multiple touchdowns in two games, yet to eclipse 250 yards passing in any game, and hasn’t finished higher than QB17 in any week. Jacksonville is seventh in pass defense DVOA with the 11th-lowest passing touchdown rate conceded.

Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence is a mid QB2. He’s the QB16 in fantasy points per game, but his fantasy stock is shinier than his real-life play. He’s 26th in PFF passing grade, 20th in big-time throw rate, and 20th in yards per attempt. Lawrence has been operating in play-it-safe mode, which has also led to him ranking ninth in adjusted completion rate and 27th in aDOT. Houston has conceded the tenth-highest yards per attempt and ninth-highest explosive pass rate, but they have been tough in the touchdown department (eighth-lowest passing touchdown rate). Lawrence has directed an offense that’s 24th in explosive pass rate, so he likely won’t take enough chances to take advantage here.

Jimmy Garoppolo: Yuck. That was my first response after typing the quarterback names for this contest. You can likely find better options to plug in over a quarterback that’s finished as the QB22 and QB28 over the last two weeks. Carolina has conceded the 11th-lowest passing touchdown rate and ninth-lowest success rate per dropback. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging 15.4 fantasy points per game (19th) against this defense. Garoppolo is a bottom-of-the-barrel QB2.

If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

Week 5 WR Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 5
1 A+ Cooper Kupp LAR DAL
2 A+ Justin Jefferson MIN CHI
3 A+ Stefon Diggs BUF PIT
4 A+ Davante Adams LV KC
5 A+ Ja’Marr Chase CIN BAL
6 A+ A.J. Brown PHI ARI
7 A Tyreek Hill MIA NYJ
8 A Deebo Samuel SF CAR
9 A Mike Evans TB ATL
10 A CeeDee Lamb DAL LAR
11 A Tee Higgins CIN BAL
12 A Courtland Sutton DEN IND
13 A Jaylen Waddle MIA NYJ
14 A Christian Kirk JAC HOU
15 A- Marquise Brown ARI PHI
16 A- Mike Williams LAC CLE
17 A- Chris Godwin TB ATL
18 A- Michael Pittman Jr. IND DEN
19 A- Chris Olave NO SEA
20 B+ Drake London ATL TB
21 B+ Terry McLaurin WAS TEN
22 B+ Amari Cooper CLE LAC
23 B DK Metcalf SEA NO
24 B Tyler Lockett SEA NO
25 B Brandin Cooks HOU JAC
26 B DeVonta Smith PHI ARI
27 B Curtis Samuel WAS TEN
28 B Jerry Jeudy DEN IND
29 B- Gabe Davis BUF PIT
30 B- Diontae Johnson PIT BUF
31 B- Allen Lazard GB NYG
32 B- Garrett Wilson NYJ MIA
33 B- Adam Thielen MIN CHI
34 C+ Romeo Doubs GB NYG
35 C+ Brandon Aiyuk SF CAR
36 C+ Robert Woods TEN WAS
37 C+ JuJu Smith-Schuster KC LV
38 C+ DJ Moore CAR SF
39 C+ Isaiah McKenzie BUF PIT
40 C Elijah Moore NYJ MIA
41 C Tyler Boyd CIN BAL
42 C Josh Reynolds DET NE
43 C George Pickens PIT BUF
44 C Darnell Mooney CHI MIN
45 C Rashod Bateman BAL CIN
46 C Corey Davis NYJ MIA
47 C Michael Gallup DAL LAR
48 C Joshua Palmer LAC CLE
49 C Allen Robinson II LAR DAL
50 C- Marquez Valdes-Scantling KC LV
51 C- Noah Brown DAL LAR
52 C- DeVante Parker NE DET
53 D+ Devin Duvernay BAL CIN
54 D Jarvis Landry NO SEA
55 C- Mack Hollins LV KC
56 C- Rondale Moore ARI PHI
57 D+ Russell Gage TB ATL
58 D Chase Claypool PIT BUF
59 D+ K.J. Osborn MIN CHI
60 D+ Nico Collins HOU JAC
61 D Alec Pierce IND DEN
62 D Donovan Peoples-Jones CLE LAC
63 D Nelson Agholor NE DET
64 D Robbie Anderson CAR SF
65 D Richie James Jr. NYG GB
66 D Marvin Jones Jr. JAC HOU
67 D- Mecole Hardman KC LV
68 F Zay Jones JAC HOU
69 F DeAndre Carter LAC CLE
70 D Ben Skowronek LAR DAL
71 D- Kendrick Bourne NE DET
72 F Julio Jones TB ATL
73 C Equanimeous St. Brown CHI MIN
74 F Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN WAS
75 F Christian Watson GB NYG
76 F Randall Cobb GB NYG
77 F Greg Dortch ARI PHI
78 F Kyle Philips TEN WAS
79 F Skyy Moore KC LV
80 F Marquez Callaway NO SEA
81 F Olamide Zaccheaus ATL TB
82 F Quez Watkins PHI ARI
83 F Jakobi Meyers NE DET
84 D- Demarcus Robinson BAL CIN
85 F Parris Campbell IND DEN
86 F Ashton Dulin IND DEN
87 F Jamal Agnew JAC HOU
88 F Jauan Jennings SF CAR
89 F Hunter Renfrow LV KC
90 F Braxton Berrios NYJ MIA
91 F K.J. Hamler DEN IND
92 F Michael Thomas NO SEA
93 F D.J. Chark Jr. DET NE
94 F Justin Watson KC LV
95 F Kalif Raymond DET NE
96 F Khalil Shakir BUF PIT
97 F David Bell CLE LAC
98 F Shi Smith CAR SF
99 F Wan’Dale Robinson NYG GB
100 F Keenan Allen LAC CLE
101 F David Sills V NYG GB
102 F Tre’Quan Smith NO SEA
103 F Dyami Brown WAS TEN
104 F Chris Moore HOU JAC
105 F Dante Pettis CHI MIN
106 F Darius Slayton NYG GB
107 F Trent Sherfield MIA NYJ
108 F Scotty Miller TB ATL
109 F Amon-Ra St. Brown DET NE
110 F A.J. Green ARI PHI
111 F Zach Pascal PHI ARI
112 F Marquise Goodwin SEA NO
113 F Cedrick Wilson Jr. MIA NYJ
114 F KhaDarel Hodge ATL TB
115 F Velus Jones Jr. CHI MIN
116 F Brandon Powell LAR DAL
117 F Breshad Perriman TB ATL
118 F Kendall Hinton DEN IND
119 F Rashard Higgins CAR SF
120 F Jahan Dotson WAS TEN
121 F Lil’Jordan Humphrey NE DET
122 F Laviska Shenault Jr. CAR SF
123 F Ray-Ray McCloud SF CAR
124 F Cody Hollister TEN WAS
125 F Tylan Wallace BAL CIN
126 F Jalen Reagor MIN CHI
127 F Mike Strachan IND DEN
128 F Quintez Cephus DET NE
129 F Cam Sims WAS TEN
130 F Tom Kennedy DET NE
131 F Jake Kumerow BUF PIT
132 F Dee Eskridge SEA NO
133 F Amari Rodgers GB NYG
134 F Keelan Cole Sr. LV KC
135 F Anthony Schwartz CLE LAC
136 F Michael Bandy LAC CLE
137 F James Proche II BAL CIN
138 F Phillip Dorsett II HOU JAC
139 F River Cracraft MIA NYJ
140 F Andre Baccellia ARI PHI
141 F Bryan Edwards ATL TB
142 F Dax Milne WAS TEN
143 F Danny Gray SF CAR
144 F Tim Jones JAC HOU
145 F Jeff Smith NYJ MIA
146 F Jaelon Darden TB ATL
147 F Josh Gordon TEN WAS
148 F Penny Hart SEA NO
149 F Tyrie Cleveland DEN IND
150 F Montrell Washington DEN IND
151 F Simi Fehoko DAL LAR
152 F Damiere Byrd ATL TB
153 F Tutu Atwell LAR DAL
154 F Mike Thomas CIN BAL
155 F Tyler Johnson HOU JAC
156 F Ihmir Smith-Marsette CHI MIN
157 F Jalen Nailor MIN CHI
158 F Jalen Tolbert DAL LAR
159 F KaVontae Turpin DAL LAR
160 F Deonte Harty NO SEA
161 F Miles Boykin PIT BUF
162 F Lance McCutcheon LAR DAL
163 F Stanley Morgan Jr. CIN BAL
164 F Marcus Johnson NYG GB

Notes

Brandon Aiyuk: Since Garoppolo has been back under center, Aiyuk has a 22.2% target share and 31.2% of the team’s air yards. Those numbers sound much better than they are because it equates to six targets and 38 receiving yards per game. Aiyuk has been the WR39 and WR50 since Week 3. He’s a weekly WR4 without any injuries to this depth chart. He’ll run about 77% of his routes against Horn and Jackson.

D.J. Moore: Moore has been hamstrung by pitiful quarterback play his entire career. This might be the worst of the lot, though. He’s been unable to get anything going with his 25.9% target share having to deal with a 51.7% catchable target rate (90th). It’s sad. Moore is 31st in PFF, receiving grade immediately ahead of Chris Godwin and Justin Jefferson. His ceiling with Mayfield this season has been as a WR3. He’ll line up opposite Emmanuel Moseley and Charvarius Ward on about 68% of his routes. Moseley has allowed a 70.6% catch rate and 91.5 passer rating. Ward has been even better with a 60% catch rate and 77.1 passer rating in coverage.

Noah Brown: Brown finished with the second-most targets in Week 4 (6, 23% target share). However, Brown ran a route on just 76% of team dropbacks because he was forced to leave late with a neck injury (79% snap share). The expectation is that he is back for Week 5. He’s been a nice story the last three weeks, commanding a 21% target share, 69 receiving yards and four catches per game as the WR31 in half-point scoring. However, the return of Michael Gallup makes it tougher to trust Brown as anything more than a WR4.

Michael Gallup: First game back for Michael Gallup: 83% route participation, three targets and one touchdown. He’s a plug-in-play fantasy WR upside option ahead of a juicy Rams matchup. I’d expect his snaps to increase another week removed from his injury.

DeVonta Smith: The Slim Reaper has granted the full WR3 boom-or-bust experience through the 1st month of the season. In two games he’s surpassed over 80 receiving yards with a WR1 overall performance. But outside those two games are two finishes outside the top-70. His upside alone and role in the Eagles offense – 10th overall in route participation (97%) and 22% target share – warrants FLEX consideration, especially in a solid matchup versus the Cardinals. Arizona perimeter defensive backs Marco Wilson and Trayvon Mullen are each bottom-15 graded CBs per PFF this season.

Marquise Brown: It’s hard not to be productive when your QB leads the NFL in pass attempts. Case in point with Hollywood Brown, who ranks third in the NFL in targets (11 per game) and fourth in the NFL in receptions (7.5 per game). He also ranks 6th in air yards (420). Brown plays such an integral role in the Arizona passing game that he has a super-high floor every single week, even in a tougher matchup versus the Eagles, who are middle-of-the-pack versus fantasy WRs this season. They do, however, play very favorably into chasing Brown’s volume as they have faced the second-most WR targets this season. Brown’s ultimate finish will hinder how efficient he is on the volume he gets, and I’d be optimistic after his slow start to the season. His yards per route run has increased every single week.

Rondale Moore: Rondale Moore played 86% of the snaps while running a route on 94% of dropbacks in Week 4. He relegated Greg Dortch back to the bench. Moore earned 5 targets and a 10.4 aDOT in his season debut, seeing two targets of 20-plus air yards. His downfield usage and lack of slot deployment (34% slot rate) were vastly different from his rookie-year usage. Considering Dortch was a top-36 WR for three straight weeks before Moore came back into the lineup, the second-year wideout owns sneaky WR4 appeal in Week 5. Especially if Darius Slay is healthy, who would likely force targets away from Marquise Brown. Moore picked up a knee injury this week and only managed limited practices on Thursday and Friday. He’s been listed as questionable. With A.J. Green not carrying an injury designation this week and back in the lineup, if Moore is active, I expect him to reprise his slot role. This would pin him against Josiah Scott, who has allowed a 72.7% catch rate and 140.3 passer rating in his career (22 targets). If Moore can’t play, fire up Greg Dortch, who would operate as the inside receiver.

Allen Lazard: Since his Week 2 return, Lazard has seen a 17.8% target share while running a route on 93.1% of Rodgers’ dropbacks. Over the last three games, he has led the team with six deep targets and is second in red zone targets to only Doubs (three vs. four). Lazard is likely to be shadowed by Adoree Jackson. Jackson has shadowed in three games this year, following Robert Woods, Robbie Anderson, and CeeDee Lamb on 65-91% of their routes. In shadow coverage, he’s allowed eight targets, six receptions, and 57 receiving yards (one score), with the bulk of that production coming from Lamb. Lazard could lose Jackson by moving into the slot. Lazard has played 36.7% of his snaps from the slot this year. He’s seen 35.3% of his target volume from the slot, with both of his touchdowns this year coming from the slot. In the slot, he’ll match up with Darnay Holmes, who allows a 50% catch rate and 64.3 passer rating. Lazard is a strong WR3 with upside this week if he can make the most of his targets away from Jackson.

Romeo Doubs: Doubs has been a full-time player over the last two games. He’s seen a 22.8% target share while earning a 94.5% route per dropback rate. He’s been the team’s red zone threat (leads the team with five red zone looks) and YAC guy. He has a 6.8 aDOT while ranking 12th in YAC per reception among all wideouts with at least ten targets this year. He’ll run about 83% of his routes on the perimeter. When he doesn’t see Jackson, he’ll get Fabian Moreau in coverage, which is likely most of the game if Jackson is in Lazard’s back pocket. Moreau has only seen eight targets in coverage this year, but last year he was a matchup to target with a 65.8% catch rate (seven touchdowns) and 116.3 passer rating surrendered.

Diontae Johnson: Johnson is still the clear leader of this passing attack. He’s seen elite usage with a 28.8% target share and 31.7% of the team’s air yards. This has amounted to the tenth-most targets among wide receivers. Sadly, all this volume has done nothing for Johnson, the WR43 in fantasy points per game being dragged down by Mitch Trubisky. We’ll see if Pickett can be any better in his rookie season, but he can’t be much worse for Johnson’s outlook. Johnson will run about 92% of his routes against Kaiir Elam and Dane Jackson as a volume-fueled WR3. Elam has allowed a 70% catch rate and 81.3 passer rating. Jackson has been even tougher with a 60% catch rate and 42.9 passer rating.

George Pickens: Yes, Pickens saw a 35.7% target share with Pickett under center last week. I’m not overreacting to a 14-pass attempt sample. Pickens is still likely the third option in this passing attack weekly. He’s handled a 16% target share with 28.1% of the team’s air yards as the field stretcher (17.0 aDOT). This isn’t exactly a role to get giddy over against a Buffalo secondary that’s seventh in DVOA against deep passing. He’ll run about 90% of his routes against Elam and Jackson. Pickens is a dart throw WR5.

Fantas Football Start-Sit Assistant

Week 5 RB Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 5
1 A+ Saquon Barkley NYG GB
2 A+ Nick Chubb CLE LAC
3 A+ Christian McCaffrey CAR SF
4 A Austin Ekeler LAC CLE
5 A Dalvin Cook MIN CHI
6 A Derrick Henry TEN WAS
7 A Joe Mixon CIN BAL
8 A Leonard Fournette TB ATL
9 A Aaron Jones GB NYG
10 A- Jamaal Williams DET NE
11 A- Alvin Kamara NO SEA
12 A- James Robinson JAC HOU
13 B+ Khalil Herbert CHI MIN
14 B+ Josh Jacobs LV KC
15 B+ Miles Sanders PHI ARI
16 B Dameon Pierce HOU JAC
17 B Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC LV
18 B Najee Harris PIT BUF
19 B Jeff Wilson Jr. SF CAR
20 B Breece Hall NYJ MIA
21 B- James Conner ARI PHI
22 B- Damien Harris NE DET
23 B- Kareem Hunt CLE LAC
24 B- Devin Singletary BUF PIT
25 B- AJ Dillon GB NYG
26 C+ Rhamondre Stevenson NE DET
27 C+ J.K. Dobbins BAL CIN
28 C+ Melvin Gordon III DEN IND
29 C Nyheim Hines IND DEN
30 C Rashaad Penny SEA NO
31 C Antonio Gibson WAS TEN
32 C Tyler Allgeier ATL TB
33 C Ezekiel Elliott DAL LAR
34 C Raheem Mostert MIA NYJ
35 C Cam Akers LAR DAL
36 C Travis Etienne Jr. JAC HOU
37 C- Tony Pollard DAL LAR
38 C- Darrell Henderson Jr. LAR DAL
39 D+ Mike Boone DEN IND
40 D+ Chase Edmonds MIA NYJ
41 D+ Michael Carter NYJ MIA
42 D J.D. McKissic WAS TEN
43 D Rachaad White TB ATL
44 D Mark Ingram II NO SEA
45 D- Alexander Mattison MIN CHI
46 D- Kenneth Gainwell PHI ARI
47 D- Isiah Pacheco KC LV
48 F Ken Walker III SEA NO
49 F Caleb Huntley ATL TB
50 F Eno Benjamin ARI PHI
51 F Rex Burkhead HOU JAC
52 F Jerick McKinnon KC LV
53 F Craig Reynolds DET NE
54 F Brian Robinson Jr. WAS TEN
55 F Dontrell Hilliard TEN WAS
56 F Phillip Lindsay IND DEN
57 F Samaje Perine CIN BAL
58 F Sony Michel LAC CLE
59 F Jaylen Warren PIT BUF
60 F Deon Jackson IND DEN
61 F Zack Moss BUF PIT
62 F James Cook BUF PIT
63 F Trestan Ebner CHI MIN
64 F Joshua Kelley LAC CLE
65 F Justice Hill BAL CIN
66 F Brandon Bolden LV KC
67 F Darrel Williams ARI PHI
68 F D’Onta Foreman CAR SF
69 F Matt Breida NYG GB
70 F Avery Williams ATL TB
71 F Chuba Hubbard CAR SF
72 F Kyle Juszczyk SF CAR
73 F Zamir White LV KC
74 F Jordan Mason SF CAR
75 F Justin Jackson DET NE
76 F DeeJay Dallas SEA NO
77 F Ameer Abdullah LV KC
78 F C.J. Ham MIN CHI
79 F Chris Evans CIN BAL
80 F Mike Davis BAL CIN
81 F Hassan Haskins TEN WAS
82 F Trey Sermon PHI ARI
83 F Jonathan Williams WAS TEN
84 F Tevin Coleman SF CAR
85 F Boston Scott PHI ARI
86 F David Montgomery CHI MIN
87 F Zander Horvath LAC CLE
88 F D’Ernest Johnson CLE LAC
89 F Ty Johnson NYJ MIA
90 F Ke’Shawn Vaughn TB ATL
91 F Patrick Ricard BAL CIN
92 F D’Andre Swift DET NE
93 F Dwayne Washington NO SEA
94 F Marlon Mack SF CAR
95 F Kenyan Drake BAL CIN
96 F Alec Ingold MIA NYJ
97 F Benny Snell Jr. PIT BUF
98 F Keaontay Ingram ARI PHI
99 F JaMycal Hasty JAC HOU
100 F Reggie Gilliam BUF PIT
101 F Gary Brightwell NYG GB
102 F Darrynton Evans CHI MIN
103 F Tyler Badie BAL CIN
104 F Dare Ogunbowale HOU JAC
105 F Pierre Strong Jr. NE DET
106 F Keith Smith ATL TB
107 F Demetric Felton Jr. CLE LAC
108 F Jakob Johnson LV KC
109 F Gus Edwards BAL CIN
110 F Michael Burton KC LV
111 F Malcolm Brown LAR DAL
112 F Derek Watt PIT BUF
113 F Rico Dowdle DAL LAR

Notes

Austin Ekeler: At first glance, Ekeler’s Week 4 usage doesn’t appear to be any different from his first three games. In Weeks 1-3, he averaged 17.7 touches, 73 total yards, and 56% of the snaps played. In Week 4, he turned 19 touches into 109 total yards with 59% of the snaps played. Yeah, not much different on the surface. When we dig deeper, we find he owned more of the early down work, ran more routes per drop back, and resecured all of the red zone work. If this trend continues, this is huge moving forward for both his floor and ceiling. Ekeler is locked back in as a top-five running back option against a porous Cleveland defense. The Browns have allowed the sixth-highest rushing success rate, third-highest rush EPA, and 12th-highest explosive run rate. If Ekeler isn’t chewing them up on the ground, he’ll find room to operate through the air against a team that’s 22nd in DVOA against receiving backs.

Khalil Herbert: Last week Herbert operated as the clear lead back with 20 touches, 101 total yards, 77% of the snaps played, and all of the red zone rushing attempts. He finished as the RB26 last week despite not getting into the endzone. He’s still been one of the most explosive runners in the NFL, ranking seventh in yards after contact per attempt and 12th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 15 carries). This week’s matchup against the swiss cheese run defense of the Vikings lands Herbert comfortably inside the top 15 RBs (assuming Montgomery is out). If Montgomery plays, Herbert is a low-end RB3. . Minnesota has been unable to stop running backs with the fourth-highest rush success, seventh-highest rush EPA, and sixth-highest explosive run rates allowed.

David Montgomery: Montgomery logged limited practices on Thursday and Friday. He’s been listed as questionable. I consider him closer to doubtful and unlikely to play. If he does suit up, I don’t foresee the Bears giving him the full workload, so he and Herbert would fall into the low-end RB3 range.

Jamaal Williams: While Williams operated as the Lions’ primary back his snap rate only marginally budged from 45% to 50% in Week 4. Over the last two weeks Williams has averaged 21 touches and 108 as the RB3 in fantasy. Williams has been getting it done on the ground as his 5.4% target share this year isn’t likely to save him if he flops on early downs. Luckily for Williams this is another cakewalk matchup on the ground for him to keep motoring along. The Patriots defense has been unable to slow down, stop, or curtail running back production. They have the second-highest rushing success rate, seventh-most rushing yards per game, and the eighth-highest explosive rush rate.

Damien Harris: Harris has led the way on early downs and has been the team’s preferred red zone back over the last two weeks. He’s averaged 16 touches and 65 total yards. While Harris isn’t a homerun hitter, that doesn’t mean he isn’t slippery in between the tackles. He ranks second in evaded tackles and juke rate. His touchdown equity has carried him to RB20 in fantasy with his ten red zone touches (13th). It pays to be the red zone back on a team that’s ninth in red zone rushing rate. If New England gets even average quarterback play, Harris could run wild on the Lions. Detroit walks into Week 5 with the fifth-highest rushing success rate, third-most rushing yards per game surrendered, and the fourth-highest explosive run rate allowed. Harris is a low-end RB2.

Rhamondre Stevenson: The Patriots’ bulldozing passing down back has finished as the RB42, RB8, and RB22 over the last three games since taking on a larger share of this backfield. Over that three-game span, he has averaged 14.7 touches and 80.3 total yards with a 14.9% target share and a 58.7% route run rate. Stevenson has been one of the best runners in the NFL, ranking fifth in yards after contact per attempt and 13th in PFF’s elusive rating (minimum 15 carries). Outside of the split backfield situation, what’s capping his upside is his lack of involvement when the team gets near paydirt. He’s only seen four touches inside the 20-yard line until that changes or his pass game usage climbs higher; he’s an upside RB3.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert has grabbed the majority of this backfield over the last two weeks. Last week he saw a season-high 15 carries and 72% snap share. He’s dominated the routes while leading in target share over Edmonds since Week 3. Mostert hasn’t shown much juice this year, ranking 49th in true yards per carry, 46th in yards created per touch, and 44th in juke rate. He’s a low-ceiling RB3 this week against an underrated Jets’ run defense. Facing the Browns’ elite run game in Week 2 skews their numbers upon the first pass. Remove that game; this defense would be sporting the fourth-lowest rushing yards per game, seventh-lowest EPA, and second-lowest explosive run rate allowed. Sit Mostert unless you don’t have any better options. I’d rather roll with a matchup-based receiver over him this week.

Chase Edmonds: Edmonds is a touchdown or bust flex. He’s seen his snap share drop each week, down from 63% in Week 1 to 28% last game. His 6.6 touches and 29.3 total yards per game over the last three weeks have been miserable. The only thing that has saved his fantasy value over this stretch has been red zone usage with his three total touchdowns. I’m not chasing hit-or-miss touchdown production from a player on a heater, and neither should you. Sit Edmonds until further notice.

Week 5 TE Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 5
1 A+ Travis Kelce KC LV
2 A Mark Andrews BAL CIN
3 A- Dallas Goedert PHI ARI
4 B+ Darren Waller LV KC
5 B+ T.J. Hockenson DET NE
6 B Tyler Higbee LAR DAL
7 B Zach Ertz ARI PHI
8 B- George Kittle SF CAR
9 C+ Kyle Pitts ATL TB
10 C David Njoku CLE LAC
11 C Gerald Everett LAC CLE
12 C- Pat Freiermuth PIT BUF
13 D+ Tyler Conklin NYJ MIA
14 D Logan Thomas WAS TEN
15 D+ Dawson Knox BUF PIT
16 D Dalton Schultz DAL LAR
17 D Hayden Hurst CIN BAL
18 D Robert Tonyan GB NYG
19 D Evan Engram JAC HOU
20 D- Irv Smith Jr. MIN CHI
21 D- Mo Alie-Cox IND DEN
22 F Hunter Henry NE DET
23 F Juwan Johnson NO SEA
24 F Cole Kmet CHI MIN
25 F Will Dissly SEA NO
26 F Taysom Hill NO SEA
27 F Daniel Bellinger NYG GB
28 F Mike Gesicki MIA NYJ
29 F Noah Fant SEA NO
30 F Cameron Brate TB ATL
31 F Kylen Granson IND DEN
32 F Isaiah Likely BAL CIN
33 F O.J. Howard HOU JAC
34 F Harrison Bryant CLE LAC
35 F Eric Saubert DEN IND
36 F Austin Hooper TEN WAS
37 F Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN WAS
38 F Albert Okwuegbunam DEN IND
39 F Jelani Woods IND DEN
40 F Durham Smythe MIA NYJ
41 F Cade Otton TB ATL
42 F Ian Thomas CAR SF
43 F Adam Trautman NO SEA
44 F Geoff Swaim TEN WAS
45 F Tommy Tremble CAR SF
46 F Trey McBride ARI PHI
47 F John Bates WAS TEN
48 F Parker Hesse ATL TB
49 F Tanner Hudson NYG GB
50 F Noah Gray KC LV
51 F Jake Ferguson DAL LAR
52 F Dan Arnold JAC HOU
53 F Jonnu Smith NE DET
54 F Jordan Akins HOU JAC
55 F Colby Parkinson SEA NO
56 F Jody Fortson KC LV
57 F Johnny Mundt MIN CHI
58 F Tre’ McKitty LAC CLE
59 F Anthony Firkser ATL TB
60 F Tyler Davis GB NYG
61 F Quintin Morris BUF PIT
62 F C.J. Uzomah NYJ MIA
63 F Mitchell Wilcox CIN BAL
64 F Josiah Deguara GB NYG
65 F Jack Stoll PHI ARI
66 F Peyton Hendershot DAL LAR
67 F Zach Gentry PIT BUF
68 F Chris Myarick NYG GB
69 F Ben Ellefson MIN CHI
70 F Ross Dwelley SF CAR
71 F Kyle Rudolph TB ATL
72 F Devin Asiasi CIN BAL
73 F Brevin Jordan HOU JAC
74 F Trevon Wesco CHI MIN
75 F Josh Oliver BAL CIN
76 F Brock Wright DET NE
77 F Eric Tomlinson DEN IND
78 F Ryan Griffin CHI MIN
79 F Andrew Beck DEN IND
80 F Foster Moreau LV KC
81 F Tyler Kroft SF CAR
82 F Marcedes Lewis GB NYG
83 F Grant Calcaterra PHI ARI
84 F Richard Rodgers LAC CLE
85 F Donald Parham Jr. LAC CLE
86 F Ko Kieft TB ATL
87 F Chris Manhertz JAC HOU
88 F Stephen Anderson ARI PHI
89 F Kendall Blanton LAR DAL
90 F Giovanni Ricci CAR SF
91 F Pharaoh Brown CLE LAC
92 F Stephen Sullivan CAR SF
93 F Tommy Sweeney BUF PIT
94 F Jeremy Ruckert NYJ MIA
95 F Maxx Williams ARI PHI
96 F Jesper Horsted LV KC
97 F Miller Forristall CLE LAC
98 F Armani Rogers WAS TEN
99 F Nick Boyle BAL CIN
100 F Mason Schreck HOU JAC
101 F Charlie Woerner SF CAR
102 F Noah Togiai PHI ARI
103 F Kevin Rader TEN WAS
104 F Matt Sokol NE DET
105 F Jake Tonges CHI MIN
106 F James Mitchell DET NE
107 F Luke Farrell JAC HOU
108 F Connor Heyward PIT BUF
109 F J.P. Holtz NO SEA
110 F Hunter Long MIA NYJ

Notes

Tyler Conklin: Conklin has been a volume-based TE1. He’s the unspectacular TE8 in fantasy scoring. He’s seen a 14.9% target share (14th) with “just a guy” type of efficiency (23rd in yards per route run). The fuel for his fantasy stock has been snaps and routes where he ranks seventh and second. He’s a strong streamer and could find himself inside the top 12 fantasy tight ends again this week. Miami is 31st in DVOA against tight ends, with the fifth-most receiving yards and tenth-most fantasy points allowed to inline tight ends (Conklin 60.4% inline).

Logan Thomas: Thomas finally crossed the 70% route run rate threshold (73.3%) in Week 4. With his 12.0% target share, he’s only the TE17 in fantasy points per game. After opening the year with encouraging efficiency stats, his yards per route run has dipped to 0.91. He still garnered high-value usage with two deep targets (seventh) and three red zone looks (tenth). This matchup against the Titans is a reason to snag him off the streamer pile and plug him in. Tennessee is dead last in DVOA against tight ends yielding the highest catch rate and fourth-highest receiving yards and yards per reception. If he’s good to go, Thomas is a high-end TE2/low-end TE1. There’s some worry, though, as he popped up with a DNP on Friday (calf).

Evan Engram: Engram is a matchup-based streaming tight end. He’s seen a 12.4% target share (19th) with nauseating efficiency (27th in yards per route run) and a minimal red zone role (one target), but the opponent is giving. Houston is 20th in DVOA, conceding the fifth-highest yards per reception and seventh-most receiving touchdowns to tight ends.

George Kittle: While public outrage is real over Kyle Pitts‘ usage, I sit here and scream into my hands weekly over Kittle’s misuse. Since Kyle Shanahan allows a talent like Kittle to only see 4.5 targets per game since his return, I’ll join in with the masses that say he’s an overrated head coach. Yes, Kittle is an elite blocker. We all get it, but there should be no game plan in existence that doesn’t feature Kittle as a primary piece in the passing attack. It’s criminal. I’ll leave the candle burning for a Kittle breakout game this week because the matchup calls for it. Good outside corners for the Panthers. Check. A defense that’s susceptible to tight ends. Check. Carolina is 26th in DVOA against tight ends allowing the second-highest catch rate and seventh-most receiving touchdowns. They are 31st in targets faced to the tight end position, so they haven’t been tested enough for this to be a screaming must-play Kittle spot. It still is, though. Play Kittle.

Tyler Higbee: As previously noted the Rams passing game is going through Kupp and Tyler Higbee. The Rams tight end ranks third in target share (24%) and first in raw targets (38) at the position this season. And he’s actually due for positive TD regression. Higbee ranks fifth in red-zone targets but has scored zero TDs. Keep starting him as a TE1 until the wheels fall off.

Dalton Schultz: The same cannot be said for Dalton Schultz, who is not startable as long as Cooper Rush is under center. The three-game sample size of Schultz playing with Rush has resulted in an average of fewer than 2 catches and 10 receiving yards per game. He caught zero passes on 3 targets last week. And that came with the Cowboys TE running a route on 79% of dropbacks on a 90% snap share. The Rams have also allowed the fewest catches to TEs this season despite facing Dawson Knox, Kyle Pitts, Zach Ertz and George Kittle the last four weeks.

CTAs

Week 5 D/ST Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 5
1 A+ Green Bay Packers GB NYG
2 A San Francisco 49ers SF CAR
3 A Buffalo Bills BUF PIT
4 A- Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ATL
5 B+ Dallas Cowboys DAL LAR
6 B+ Jacksonville Jaguars JAC HOU
7 B Philadelphia Eagles PHI ARI
8 B Denver Broncos DEN IND
9 B New Orleans Saints NO SEA
10 B- Los Angeles Rams LAR DAL
11 B- Minnesota Vikings MIN CHI
12 C+ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT BUF
13 C Baltimore Ravens BAL CIN
14 C Miami Dolphins MIA NYJ
15 C Los Angeles Chargers LAC CLE
16 C- Carolina Panthers CAR SF
17 D+ Tennessee Titans TEN WAS
18 D Cleveland Browns CLE LAC
19 D Kansas City Chiefs KC LV
20 D Cincinnati Bengals CIN BAL
21 D- Indianapolis Colts IND DEN
22 D- New York Giants NYG GB
23 F Seattle Seahawks SEA NO
24 F Chicago Bears CHI MIN
25 F Detroit Lions DET NE
26 F New York Jets NYJ MIA
27 F New England Patriots NE DET
28 F Atlanta Falcons ATL TB
29 F Washington Commanders WAS TEN
30 F Arizona Cardinals ARI PHI
31 F Houston Texans HOU JAC
32 F Las Vegas Raiders LV KC

 

Week 5 K Start/Sit Grades

Rank Grade Name Team Week 5
1 A Justin Tucker BAL CIN
2 B+ Tyler Bass BUF PIT
3 B Evan McPherson CIN BAL
4 B Ryan Succop TB ATL
5 C+ Daniel Carlson LV KC
6 C+ Greg Joseph MIN CHI
7 C Matt Gay LAR DAL
8 C Robbie Gould SF CAR
9 C Younghoe Koo ATL TB
10 C Brandon McManus DEN IND
11 C Dustin Hopkins LAC CLE
12 C Jason Sanders MIA NYJ
13 C Wil Lutz NO SEA
14 C Mason Crosby GB NYG
15 C Riley Patterson JAC HOU
16 C Cade York CLE LAC
17 D+ Brett Maher DAL LAR
18 C- Graham Gano NYG GB
19 D+ Jason Myers SEA NO
20 D+ Nick Folk NE DET
21 D+ Chase McLaughlin IND DEN
22 D Randy Bullock TEN WAS
23 D Chris Boswell PIT BUF
24 D Harrison Butker KC LV
25 D Greg Zuerlein NYJ MIA
26 D- Matthew Wright KC LV
27 D Austin Seibert DET NE
28 D Matt Ammendola ARI PHI
29 D- Cameron Dicker PHI ARI
30 F Ka’imi Fairbairn HOU JAC
32 F Eddy Pineiro CAR SF
33 F Joey Slye WAS TEN
34 F Cairo Santos CHI MIN

 

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