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Dan Harris

FantasyPros
Sam Hilliard (CF,RF - COL)
2w
Player Note on Sam Hilliard (CF,RF - COL)
With the addition of the designated hitter and with Ian Desmond opting out of playing in 2020, Hilliard should see everyday at-bats with the Rockies. In Triple-A last year, Hilliard hit 35 home runs and stole 22 bases in just 126 games, and he popped seven home runs in 27 MLB games. That's a player who you should have been grabbing at the end of every one of your drafts given his enormous upside, and should now be moving fast up your draft board.
Jose Leclerc (SP,RP - TEX)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Jose Leclerc (SP,RP - TEX)
The Rangers signed Leclerc to be their closer but he just absolutely refused to hold down the job in 2019. Bouts of ineffectiveness were followed by dominant stretches in mop-up duty, which were again followed by failures in the ninth inning. Above everything else, Leclerc has to again get his walks below four per nine innings as he did in 2018. Absent that, even though he'll begin the year as the Rangers' closer, he'll unlikely end it that way.
Shogo Akiyama (LF,CF - CIN)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Shogo Akiyama (LF,CF - CIN)
Akiyama should represent a fairly high-floor outfield option that you can get at a bargain basement price. He'll likely bat leadoff for the Reds, potentially hit 20 home runs and steal 10 bases, and pile on the runs scored. There's no Shohei Ohtani upside with the bat, particularly given Akiyama's age, but he'll likely be a decent five-category contributor who is basically free in drafts.
Andrew Heaney (SP - LAA)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Andrew Heaney (SP - LAA)
Heaney's 14.2% swinging strike rate was elite last year. But, as usual, he just couldn't put it all together. There's a monster somewhere inside Heaney - a 3.50 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 200 strikeout season lurks within. But it's still a mystery as to whether fantasy owners will ever see it. Draft him for his potential and hope to see it this year, but don't bank on the production.
German Marquez (SP - COL)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on German Marquez (SP - COL)
Although Marquez seemed like the rare pitcher who could conquer Coors Field, 2019 showed otherwise. Marquez pitched to a 3.67 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP on the road, but a 6.26 ERA and 1.55 WHIP at home. Can he overcome the thin air this year? It's possible, but history is littered with pitchers who managed to buck the trend for one year only to fail to do so again. Marquez has the skill, but his home park make it seem unlikely he can provide quality value.
Masahiro Tanaka (SP - NYY)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Masahiro Tanaka (SP - NYY)
Tanaka had a bizarre year. On the negative side, his ERA soared to 4.45 and his WHIP and strikeout rate went to a career worst 1.24 and 7.37/9, respectively. Yet he slightly lowered his walk rate from the past two years, cut his HR/FB rate, and got batters to swing at pitches outside the zone more than almost any other pitcher in the second half of the season. At this point in his career, given his home park, there's little optimism that Tanaka can ever develop into the ace he appeared to be during his debut. Draft him as a back-end-of-the-rotation starter in deeper leagues but nothing more.
Corey Dickerson (LF - MIA)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Corey Dickerson (LF - MIA)
Dickerson isn't special, but he almost always helps in batting average and should be batting in the middle of the Marlins lineup. Dickerson should contribute, albeit not excel, in four of the five rotisserie categories, which makes him ownable in all leagues 12 teams or deeper.
Mallex Smith (CF,RF - SEA)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Mallex Smith (CF,RF - SEA)
Stolen bases throughout the game are at an all-time low, and yet Smith, who has stolen 86 bases over the past two seasons, doesn't get a whiff until late in drafts. Yes, his average won't help you, he barely contributes any power, he'll likely bat ninth, and he could lose his job. But owners used to fall all over themselves to draft Billy Hamilton because he could single-handedly keep a fantasy team competitive in steals. Smith can do the same, and on a team with nothing to play for, he's likely to run at every possible opportunity.
Mark Melancon (RP - ATL)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Mark Melancon (RP - ATL)
Despite Melancon plainly not being the best reliever on his team, he'll likely enter the 2020 season as the Braves' closer. Melancon still has decent control, but the days of being a lockdown option are long gone. Draft him as a back-end closer, and understand that Will Smith will be looking over his shoulder all year.
Sean Doolittle (RP - WSH)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Sean Doolittle (RP - WSH)
Doolittle should likely close for the Nationals again in 2020, though Daniel Hudson's emergence in the late- and post-season last year could throw a wrench in Davey Martinez's plans. More concerning is Doolittle's dip in performance, as his ERA and WHIP were by far the worst of his career. A free agent next year, Doolittle's job security should be minimal, so don't target him as a closer in your fantasy drafts.
Sam Hilliard (CF,RF - COL)
2w
Player Note on Sam Hilliard (CF,RF - COL)
With the addition of the designated hitter and with Ian Desmond opting out of playing in 2020, Hilliard should see everyday at-bats with the Rockies. In Triple-A last year, Hilliard hit 35 home runs and stole 22 bases in just 126 games, and he popped seven home runs in 27 MLB games. That's a player who you should have been grabbing at the end of every one of your drafts given his enormous upside, and should now be moving fast up your draft board.
Jose Leclerc (SP,RP - TEX)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Jose Leclerc (SP,RP - TEX)
The Rangers signed Leclerc to be their closer but he just absolutely refused to hold down the job in 2019. Bouts of ineffectiveness were followed by dominant stretches in mop-up duty, which were again followed by failures in the ninth inning. Above everything else, Leclerc has to again get his walks below four per nine innings as he did in 2018. Absent that, even though he'll begin the year as the Rangers' closer, he'll unlikely end it that way.
Shogo Akiyama (LF,CF - CIN)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Shogo Akiyama (LF,CF - CIN)
Akiyama should represent a fairly high-floor outfield option that you can get at a bargain basement price. He'll likely bat leadoff for the Reds, potentially hit 20 home runs and steal 10 bases, and pile on the runs scored. There's no Shohei Ohtani upside with the bat, particularly given Akiyama's age, but he'll likely be a decent five-category contributor who is basically free in drafts.
Andrew Heaney (SP - LAA)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Andrew Heaney (SP - LAA)
Heaney's 14.2% swinging strike rate was elite last year. But, as usual, he just couldn't put it all together. There's a monster somewhere inside Heaney - a 3.50 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 200 strikeout season lurks within. But it's still a mystery as to whether fantasy owners will ever see it. Draft him for his potential and hope to see it this year, but don't bank on the production.
German Marquez (SP - COL)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on German Marquez (SP - COL)
Although Marquez seemed like the rare pitcher who could conquer Coors Field, 2019 showed otherwise. Marquez pitched to a 3.67 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP on the road, but a 6.26 ERA and 1.55 WHIP at home. Can he overcome the thin air this year? It's possible, but history is littered with pitchers who managed to buck the trend for one year only to fail to do so again. Marquez has the skill, but his home park make it seem unlikely he can provide quality value.
Masahiro Tanaka (SP - NYY)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Masahiro Tanaka (SP - NYY)
Tanaka had a bizarre year. On the negative side, his ERA soared to 4.45 and his WHIP and strikeout rate went to a career worst 1.24 and 7.37/9, respectively. Yet he slightly lowered his walk rate from the past two years, cut his HR/FB rate, and got batters to swing at pitches outside the zone more than almost any other pitcher in the second half of the season. At this point in his career, given his home park, there's little optimism that Tanaka can ever develop into the ace he appeared to be during his debut. Draft him as a back-end-of-the-rotation starter in deeper leagues but nothing more.
Corey Dickerson (LF - MIA)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Corey Dickerson (LF - MIA)
Dickerson isn't special, but he almost always helps in batting average and should be batting in the middle of the Marlins lineup. Dickerson should contribute, albeit not excel, in four of the five rotisserie categories, which makes him ownable in all leagues 12 teams or deeper.
Mallex Smith (CF,RF - SEA)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Mallex Smith (CF,RF - SEA)
Stolen bases throughout the game are at an all-time low, and yet Smith, who has stolen 86 bases over the past two seasons, doesn't get a whiff until late in drafts. Yes, his average won't help you, he barely contributes any power, he'll likely bat ninth, and he could lose his job. But owners used to fall all over themselves to draft Billy Hamilton because he could single-handedly keep a fantasy team competitive in steals. Smith can do the same, and on a team with nothing to play for, he's likely to run at every possible opportunity.
Mark Melancon (RP - ATL)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Mark Melancon (RP - ATL)
Despite Melancon plainly not being the best reliever on his team, he'll likely enter the 2020 season as the Braves' closer. Melancon still has decent control, but the days of being a lockdown option are long gone. Draft him as a back-end closer, and understand that Will Smith will be looking over his shoulder all year.
Sean Doolittle (RP - WSH)
Wed, May 27
Player Note on Sean Doolittle (RP - WSH)
Doolittle should likely close for the Nationals again in 2020, though Daniel Hudson's emergence in the late- and post-season last year could throw a wrench in Davey Martinez's plans. More concerning is Doolittle's dip in performance, as his ERA and WHIP were by far the worst of his career. A free agent next year, Doolittle's job security should be minimal, so don't target him as a closer in your fantasy drafts.
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