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Dan Harris

FantasyPros

Sean Manaea (SP - SD)
Sun, Apr 3
Player Note on Sean Manaea (SP - SD)
Manaea was traded to the Padres on the eve of the season, and it's a bit of a mixed bag for his value. His win potential certainly improves given the quality of the offense behind him now, but he'll see a downgrade in home park. Putting aside, the trade, Manaea was really inconsistent last year, and had just one month where his ERA was within two runs of the previous month. There were some overall gains, including a fastball that randomly found almost two miles of velocity. But in the end, Manaea just sort of is what he is. He doesn't have the secondary stuff to be a big strikeout pitcher, and his best-case scenario, absent a massively lucky season, is a mid-3.00 ERA with a WHIP that doesn't hurt you. Draft him for the back end of your rotation but do not expect a great leap.
Craig Kimbrel (RP - LAD)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Craig Kimbrel (RP - LAD)
Kimbrel bounced back in a huge way last season, cutting his walk rate to 9.8%, his lowest since 2017. He was vintage Kimbrel, piling up the strikeouts and saves until a mid-season trade to the White Sox where he became the setup man to Liam Hendriks. He was slated to be a late-round pick with Chicago, but with the trade to the Dodgers, he immediately becomes a top-5 closer. Expect 35-plus saves and elite ratios.
Dylan Floro (RP - MIA)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Dylan Floro (RP - MIA)
Floro is slated to be the Marlins' closer but he is battling an arm injury right now that could threaten his availability for Opening Day. When healthy, he's an above-average reliever, though not one with a classic closer's outlook. He doesn't throw that hard or have elite command, but he limits hard contact at an elite rate, and that's really the key to his success. Assuming he's ready for the beginning of the season or shortly thereafter, he should be good for at least 15 saves. Anything more is gravy.
Lucas Sims (RP - CIN)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Lucas Sims (RP - CIN)
Sims is going to begin the year on the IL after battling some elbow soreness, but he'll factor in for saves once he's healthy. He has major strikeout stuff with his fastball and slider combination, but his control wanes at times, enough to keep him from becoming a lockdown, guaranteed option in the ninth inning. He is worth drafting late, but do so expecting 15 saves or fewer.
Christian Vazquez (1B,C - HOU)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Christian Vazquez (1B,C - HOU)
Vazquez's power fell off a cliff last year, as his barrel percentage and hard-hit rate plummeted to some of the worst in the league. He's 31 years old now, about the time that a catcher begins to head downhill, so expecting a rebound is probably overly optimistic. He'll likely still have decent runs and RBI for a catcher just by virtue of playing for the Red Sox, but he's no longer someone to draft as your starting backstop in a one-catcher league.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (SS - NYY)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Isiah Kiner-Falefa (SS - NYY)
Kiner-Falefa had eight home runs and 20 steals last season, but he was the ultimate compiler with 677 plate appearances. He'll move to a better lineup and home park with the Yankees but, realistically, his value was at his ceiling last year. He doesn't hit the ball particularly hard or get on base much, but his defense should keep him in the lineup enough to again compile enough stats to at least be interesting for fantasy. But "interesting" is basically his ceiling.
Lou Trivino (RP - NYY)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Lou Trivino (RP - NYY)
Trivino is going to begin the year as the closer for the A's after racking up 22 saves last season. He throws hard and mixes his pitches extremely well for a reliever, but he struggles with his control at times and was a bit lucky last year. The A's should be wone of the worst teams in baseball after trading away many of their impact players, so saves may be hard to come by in any event. But there aren't many relievers who are guaranteed to have the ninth-inning to themselves to start the season, and Trivino is one of them. That makes him worth drafting everywhere.
Bailey Ober (SP - MIN)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Bailey Ober (SP - MIN)
Ober is a really intriguing name to watch this year, as his strikeout rate and elite command have all the makings of an impact fantasy starter. He gave up way too many homers last year (1.95/9 innings), but that's due for regression given his minor-league track record. His stuff isn't overwhelming, and he sits at just about 92 MPH on his fastball. But his pedigree and performance last year are good enough for you to take a shot on late in your drafts.
Kyle Lewis (CF,DH - SEA)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Kyle Lewis (CF,DH - SEA)
Lewis is dealing with knee issues and likely won't be ready for Opening Day. When healthy, he's a talented but low-floor option, as he doesn't have a ton of speed or power and his strikeout rate (29.5% career) keeps his batting average in check. He's just 26 years old so, of course, there's upside for more. But the knee issues are enough of a reason to look elsewhere when you're considering a late-round outfielder.
Garrett Whitlock (RP,SP - BOS)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Garrett Whitlock (RP,SP - BOS)
Whitlock pitched out of the bullpen last year and many speculated that he might be a candidate to close this season after Matt Barnes struggled down the stretch. But instead he's being stretched out and is battling it out for a rotation spot. If he fails, he'll likely be a long-reliever and have little fantasy value. But, if he does lock down a starting spot, he has a great deal of upside. His fastball sits at 95 miles per hour and both his changeup and slider are above average. Monitor the reports as we head into the season but keep him on your radar in case he does land in the rotation.
Sean Manaea (SP - SD)
Sun, Apr 3
Player Note on Sean Manaea (SP - SD)
Manaea was traded to the Padres on the eve of the season, and it's a bit of a mixed bag for his value. His win potential certainly improves given the quality of the offense behind him now, but he'll see a downgrade in home park. Putting aside, the trade, Manaea was really inconsistent last year, and had just one month where his ERA was within two runs of the previous month. There were some overall gains, including a fastball that randomly found almost two miles of velocity. But in the end, Manaea just sort of is what he is. He doesn't have the secondary stuff to be a big strikeout pitcher, and his best-case scenario, absent a massively lucky season, is a mid-3.00 ERA with a WHIP that doesn't hurt you. Draft him for the back end of your rotation but do not expect a great leap.
Craig Kimbrel (RP - LAD)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Craig Kimbrel (RP - LAD)
Kimbrel bounced back in a huge way last season, cutting his walk rate to 9.8%, his lowest since 2017. He was vintage Kimbrel, piling up the strikeouts and saves until a mid-season trade to the White Sox where he became the setup man to Liam Hendriks. He was slated to be a late-round pick with Chicago, but with the trade to the Dodgers, he immediately becomes a top-5 closer. Expect 35-plus saves and elite ratios.
Dylan Floro (RP - MIA)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Dylan Floro (RP - MIA)
Floro is slated to be the Marlins' closer but he is battling an arm injury right now that could threaten his availability for Opening Day. When healthy, he's an above-average reliever, though not one with a classic closer's outlook. He doesn't throw that hard or have elite command, but he limits hard contact at an elite rate, and that's really the key to his success. Assuming he's ready for the beginning of the season or shortly thereafter, he should be good for at least 15 saves. Anything more is gravy.
Lucas Sims (RP - CIN)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Lucas Sims (RP - CIN)
Sims is going to begin the year on the IL after battling some elbow soreness, but he'll factor in for saves once he's healthy. He has major strikeout stuff with his fastball and slider combination, but his control wanes at times, enough to keep him from becoming a lockdown, guaranteed option in the ninth inning. He is worth drafting late, but do so expecting 15 saves or fewer.
Christian Vazquez (1B,C - HOU)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Christian Vazquez (1B,C - HOU)
Vazquez's power fell off a cliff last year, as his barrel percentage and hard-hit rate plummeted to some of the worst in the league. He's 31 years old now, about the time that a catcher begins to head downhill, so expecting a rebound is probably overly optimistic. He'll likely still have decent runs and RBI for a catcher just by virtue of playing for the Red Sox, but he's no longer someone to draft as your starting backstop in a one-catcher league.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (SS - NYY)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Isiah Kiner-Falefa (SS - NYY)
Kiner-Falefa had eight home runs and 20 steals last season, but he was the ultimate compiler with 677 plate appearances. He'll move to a better lineup and home park with the Yankees but, realistically, his value was at his ceiling last year. He doesn't hit the ball particularly hard or get on base much, but his defense should keep him in the lineup enough to again compile enough stats to at least be interesting for fantasy. But "interesting" is basically his ceiling.
Lou Trivino (RP - NYY)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Lou Trivino (RP - NYY)
Trivino is going to begin the year as the closer for the A's after racking up 22 saves last season. He throws hard and mixes his pitches extremely well for a reliever, but he struggles with his control at times and was a bit lucky last year. The A's should be wone of the worst teams in baseball after trading away many of their impact players, so saves may be hard to come by in any event. But there aren't many relievers who are guaranteed to have the ninth-inning to themselves to start the season, and Trivino is one of them. That makes him worth drafting everywhere.
Bailey Ober (SP - MIN)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Bailey Ober (SP - MIN)
Ober is a really intriguing name to watch this year, as his strikeout rate and elite command have all the makings of an impact fantasy starter. He gave up way too many homers last year (1.95/9 innings), but that's due for regression given his minor-league track record. His stuff isn't overwhelming, and he sits at just about 92 MPH on his fastball. But his pedigree and performance last year are good enough for you to take a shot on late in your drafts.
Kyle Lewis (CF,DH - SEA)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Kyle Lewis (CF,DH - SEA)
Lewis is dealing with knee issues and likely won't be ready for Opening Day. When healthy, he's a talented but low-floor option, as he doesn't have a ton of speed or power and his strikeout rate (29.5% career) keeps his batting average in check. He's just 26 years old so, of course, there's upside for more. But the knee issues are enough of a reason to look elsewhere when you're considering a late-round outfielder.
Garrett Whitlock (RP,SP - BOS)
Fri, Apr 1
Player Note on Garrett Whitlock (RP,SP - BOS)
Whitlock pitched out of the bullpen last year and many speculated that he might be a candidate to close this season after Matt Barnes struggled down the stretch. But instead he's being stretched out and is battling it out for a rotation spot. If he fails, he'll likely be a long-reliever and have little fantasy value. But, if he does lock down a starting spot, he has a great deal of upside. His fastball sits at 95 miles per hour and both his changeup and slider are above average. Monitor the reports as we head into the season but keep him on your radar in case he does land in the rotation.
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