Who Should I Draft?

Tyreek Hill or T.Y. Hilton

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Experts' Pick
 
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
 
 
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Recommended by
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 9# 11-
Best Rank# 6# 2-
Worst Rank# 20# 26-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total118.6164.2-
Avg Game7.410.9-
Avg Projection145.2153.5-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1732-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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T.Y. HiltonTyreek HillAdd Player
    
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  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. CIN at LAC
Week 2 at WAS at PIT
Week 3 at PHI vs. SF
Week 4 vs. HOU at DEN
Week 5 at NE vs. JAC
Week 6 at NYJ at NE
Week 7 vs. BUF vs. CIN
Week 8 at OAK vs. DEN
Week 9BYE WEEK at CLE
Week 10 vs. JAC vs. ARI
Week 11 vs. TEN at LAR
Week 12 vs. MIABYE WEEK
Week 13 at JAC at OAK
Week 14 at HOU vs. BAL
Week 15 vs. DAL vs. LAC
Week 16 vs. NYG at SEA
Week 17 at TEN vs. OAK
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Receiving
   
Receptions72.376.1
Rec Yards1,083.51,015.4
Rec TDs6.46.4
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts0.016.4
Rush Yards0.5100.2
Rush TDs0.00.8
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points145.2153.5
   
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
2017 Points 
Week 13.719.8
Week 24.94.9
Week 321.315.0
Week 43.03.5
Week 517.76.8
Week 61.92.5
Week 72.719.2
Week 81.51.8
Week 929.513.3
Week 102.3
Week 118.4
Week 121.55.4
Week 1311.130.5
Week 142.07.5
Week 154.114.8
Week 1610.010.8
Week 171.4
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
2017 Targets 
Week 178
Week 266
Week 398
Week 466
Week 596
Week 647
Week 788
Week 876
Week 994
Week 104
Week 117
Week 12511
Week 1369
Week 1446
Week 1576
Week 16127
Week 176
  T.Y. Hilton
WR - IND
T.Y. Hilton
Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Expert 
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Consistent only in his inconsistency, Hilton averaged 20.8 YPG in 13 contests where he failed to cross the pylons. All 40 TDs spanned at least 40 yards, making him the ultimate boom-or-bust player with too much emphasis on bust. This could all change with Andrew Luck's return, as the Indianapolis wideout was a volume monster (91 receptions, 1,448 yards) in 2016. A rising No. 29 ADP (WR11) shows no concern about Luck's health or Hilton's limited red-zone involvement. Hill handled more volume than anticipated with 75 receptions for 1,183 yards and seven TDs. Yet each score stretched at least 30 yards, as he vanished inside the red zone with two touches. Patrick Mahomes has the arm to make more deep magic, but he won't match Alex Smith's precision. Sammy Watkins will also threaten Hill's pedestrian 19.3 % target share, so don't touch the 5'10" playmaker at his bloated No. 28 overall ADP.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Andrew Luck is back, and while it hasn't looked ideal, there is significant upside in this offense. Sure, Hilton was lousy last year with Jacoby Brissett, but let's not be so quick to forget that Hilton was a top-five fantasy receiver the last time Luck played. There is a decent chance he leads the NFL in receiving again if his QB is back for good.Last season, Tyreek broke out for 1,183 yards and 7 TDs, but he didn't catch a single red-zone TD. That can't continue. Add in Sammy Watkins and downgrade from QB and we are looking at a major drop off in production from season to season.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
All indications are that QB Andrew Luck is healthy and ready to resurrect a moribund Indy offense. This should lead Hilton to the kind of numbers he averaged from 2013-2016. Has clicked very well with Pat Mahomes this preseason, including a welcomed presence in the red zone.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Has always been a rollercoaster ride of week-to-week production, but he's the obvious go-to guy in what should be a high-volume pass offense. and if QB Luck can still rip it downfield like he used to, a WR1 finish won't be too hard for TY to attain If you want to worry about new additions (WR Watkins) or big-play sustainability, that's your prerogative. I will happily take any discount you want to give me for the biggest home-run threat in the game
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
The first time seeing Andrew Luck in action was a good one in 2018, making me a bit more optimistic about Hilton. During the years he's played with Luck, Hilton finished in-between the WR5 and WR24 range every season. He's not someone you draft for consistency, however, as he's posted WR2 or better numbers in just 42.6 percent of his career games.It's clear that Tyreek Hill is among the most efficient wide receivers in the game, as his 11.3 yards per target in 2017 ranked first in the league among those with 70 or more targets. Not just that, but the closest player to him was Marvin Jones at 10.3 YPT (a whopping 9 percent difference). That number came up quite a bit from his 2016 total that was at 7.1 yards per target, so you might want to dial back those large expectations. The addition of Sammy Watkins isn't going to help him gain a higher target share, either, as they paid Watkins a generous $50 million. As high as you might be on Pat Mahomes, it's going to be incredibly hard for him to top Alex Smith's MVP-caliber 2017 season. There's regression coming for Hill, but his price does not reflect that. If you can snag him in the fourth-round, that's when you should feel okay with the risk.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Arguably the riskiest player in Tier #3, Hilton possesses elite sprint speed (4.34-40 time), and great hands which give him one of the highest weekly upsides in fantasy. However, it's not T.Y's skill that holds him back, but rather who is passing to him. Andrew Luck is set to return to the Colts this year with what he dubs as "no pain that's going to stay that way", and with Luck under center in 2016 Hilton posted almost 1500 yards receiving and six touchdowns. If Luck can play even close to the caliber he had prior to his shoulder injury, Hilton could be a true league winner, though subpar QB play from whoever is under center for the Colts will cap Hilton's value to an low-end WR2. As you may be able to tell form my ranking, my bet is on a healthy, productive Luck for the most part, but draft as you see fit, taking this massive risk and reward into account.The fastest man in fantasy, Tyreek Hill paid handsomely those who drafted him, recording nearly 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns while adding in a punt return touchdown and some rushing yards from trick plays. Why then is Hill stuck at #14 on the rankings you ask? Two reasons: there's a new sheriff in Kansas City named Patrick Mahomes, and Brett Veach (the Chiefs GM, and yes I had to look it up) is coocoo for Cocoa Puffs. To go alongside the speedy Hill, Veach spent $48 million for three years of the perennially overrated Sammy Watkins. So not only does Hill now have to worry about forming a report with the rookie Mahomes, but he'll have Watkins and Chris Conley chomping at his heels for the targets that resident mad-man Travis Kelce doesn't get. Know the upside is real, but draft accordingly.
Chet Gresham
WalterFootball
This ranking leans on the hope that Andrew Luck returns in 2018. The news isn't bad, but it's also not overly reassuring, so I wouldn't take Hilton too early just yet.Hill had plenty of doubters coming into last season, but he proved that he could take on the role of a No. 1 receiver and thrive. He'll have Pat Mahomes as his quarterback this season, so there will be some more doubt cast on this upcoming season, but even if there are some major learning curves, Mahomes looks good enough to keep Hill as a strong fantasy receiver.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
In the four games in which he received nine or more targets, he totaled 25 receptions on 39 targets for 605 yards and three touchdowns, and all were 100-yard games.Last year, Tyreek Hill (WR8) became the ONLY receiver since 2000 to finish as a fantasy WR1 (top-12) while seeing fewer than 20% of team targets and fewer than 10% of red-zone targets in his WR1 single-season. @GrahamBarfield He's very good, but he also had as many red zone targets as Virgil Green last year. All of his touchdowns were 30+ yards. Incredibly hard to sustain what he did last year, let alone with another able pass-catcher in the offense now. @LateRoundQB Small, but fast as lightening in an offensive scheme that fits his athleticism. He benefits greatly from the addition of Watkins pulling away any shut-down corners. At 24 years old he should be able to hold value for many years.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
QB Andrew Luck appears to be headed in the right direction, which puts Hilton in the high-end WR2 to low-end WR1 mix. Hill had a breakout year in his second season averaging 11.1 fantasy points per game. He could be even better if the Chiefs go with QB Patrick Mahomes II. While Mahomes II has little experience, he has a much stronger arm than QB Alex Smith and that could help Hill be an even better deep threat.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
The return of Luck makes TY relevant againHill can take any touch to the house but Watkins being added and a big QB change could complicate matters
Seth McKinley
FF Fellas
 High risk, high reward
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
With or without Luck Hilton proved he is a solid WR2 with WR1 upside and a WR3 floorWatkins will undoubtedly eat up some of his target share but the Chiefs promise to be much more explosive in 2018