Josh Jacobs Week 11 Outlook - Packers at Colts

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Nov 19th 2020, 9:31am EST

He's been trending up over the last three weeks, finishing as a top-15 running back in each game. He's racked up over 300 yards and three touchdowns the last three games, and that includes a game where the Raiders even let Devontae Booker have his way with the Broncos over the second half. Even better news is that Jacobs ran 17 pass routes, his highest since way back in Week 4 while Jalen Richard ran just three of them in Week 10. We know the Chiefs don't allow a whole lot of fantasy production to their opponents (eighth-fewest overall), but running backs account for a lot of the production they do allow, as they've scored 38.0 percent of the fantasy points allowed to skill-position players, which ranks as the third-highest number in the league. Against pass-catching running backs, the Chiefs rank as the fourth-worst team in the league, according to Football Outsiders' DVOA. Against the run in general, they rank as the third-worst team. Those metrics take into consideration the competition they've played and the production they've allowed. As a whole, running backs have scored 11.9 percent more fantasy points against the Chiefs than they do on average. Jacobs fits into that role, too, as he racked up 85 total yards and two touchdowns against them back in Week 5. There have been just six running backs who've totaled more than 14 touches against the Chiefs, and every single one of them finished with at least 100 total yards and/or a touchdown. Jacobs should be in lineups as an RB1 this week.