Justin Jefferson Week 4 Outlook - Vikings at Saints

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 29th 2022, 1:05pm EDT

Since his monster Week 1 performance, Jefferson has struggled. Over his last two games, he's seen a 22% target share with 22.5% of the team's air yards. Among the 58 wide receivers with ten or more targets over that span, he ranks 54th in yards per route run and 57th in PFF receiving grade. He'll run about 71% of his routes against Marshon Lattimore and Justin Evans. Lattimore has allowed a 42.9% catch rate and 51.5 passer rating. Evans has been more pliable with a 64.3% catch rate and 84.2 passer rating in coverage. Despite the tough corner matchups, Jefferson is set to crush in Week 4. The Saints' move to zone will be their undoing. Among all wide receivers with five or more zone targets, Jefferson is the 4th-highest grade receiver per PFF. He ranks third in yards per route run against zone coverage with 48.1% of his target volume against zone. Jefferson is a top-five receiver this week.