Week 2 Accuracy Scores: Which Experts Came Out on Top?

Sep 23, 2010

Report CardWith another week of the NFL season officially in the books, it’s time to check in on how the fantasy experts performed with their week 2 rankings. We’ll examine how the accuracy leaderboard is shaping up by position, based on our scoring methodology called PAY™, and take you under the hood to see how each expert raced ahead of the pack.

Without further ado, let’s take a look at the top 5 experts (out of 39) for each position.

RB Accuracy Scores

Edit
Accuracy Week 2 Accuracy YTD
Rank Expert PAY™ Rank Expert PAY™
1. Staff Projections – FantasySharks 72.7% 1. Site Rankings – Ultimate FFStrategy 72.0%
2. Site Rankings – Ultimate FFStrategy 70.4% 2. Staff Projections – FantasySharks 67.7%
3. Staff Rankings – KFFL 69.8% 3. John Paulsen – The Scores Report 66.8%
4. John Paulsen – The Scores Report 67.9% T-4. Site Rankings – FantasyFootballNerd 65.4%
5. Brad Richter – RotoPilot 65.5% T-4. Pat Fitzmaurice – ProFootballWeekly 65.4%

*YTD standings are compiled from experts that participated in both Week 1 and Week 2

Notes:

  • One of the key factors in the strong performance from Fantasy Sharks was that they did a better job than any other site of ranking week 2’s top RB, Jahvid Best. They had Best pegged as a breakout performer, ranking him as their RB #5 while the Expert Consensus Rank (ECR) for Best was much lower at RB #20.
  • The foresight to give Best a high ranking was far from the only reason for Fantasy Shark’s accuracy success, however. They also did a good job of consistently ranking the top performers ahead of the Expert Consensus. For example, of the top 10 fantasy RBs in week 2, Fantasy Sharks outperformed the consensus with their predictions for 7 of the players. This type of consistency across the rankings is ultimately what gave Fantasy Sharks its overall edge in RB accuracy.
  • Speaking of consistency, it’s notable that Ultimate FFStrategy was the only site to crack the top 5 for both week 1 and week 2. This is important since we’re primarily interested in determining which experts are the most accurate with their weekly predictions over the course of the whole season. So kudos to Ultimate FFStrategy for this distinction as it currently earns them the #1 position in the YTD accuracy standings for the RB position.

WR Accuracy Scores

Edit
Accuracy Week 2 Accuracy YTD
Rank Expert PAY™ Rank Expert PAY™
1. Sigmund Bloom – FootballGuys 76.5% 1. Sigmund Bloom – FootballGuys 67.8%
2. David Dodds – FootballGuys 71.9% 2. Erik Kuselias – ESPN 63.9%
3. Staff Composite – FantasyFootball.com 66.4% 3. Roger Rotter – Fox Sports 62.6%
4. John Paulsen – The Scores Report 66.2% 4. Josh Moore – 4for4.com 61.6%
T-5. Erik Kuselias – ESPN

Brad Richter – RotoPilot

66.1% 5. David Dodds – FootballGuys 61.1%

Notes:

  • Simply put, it was the week of FootballGuys at the WR position with Sigmund Bloom and David Dodds taking home the top two accuracy honors. We can only hope that FootballGuys subscribers took advantage of this solid advice!
  • The important thing to note about Bloom’s picks was that his success wasn’t just the result of nailing the top players. Sure, he had Andre Johnson pegged correctly as his WR #1 but so did most other experts. Bloom’s true advantage was that he did an excellent job of managing the middle and lower portion of his rankings. This is something we consider important when evaluating accuracy scores because the players in these spots are often involved in the tough start/sit decisions that fantasy owners must make.
  • Both Bloom and Erik Kuselias are the only experts to have made it into the top 5 for both weeks 1 & 2. Not surprisingly, they occupy the top 2 slots in the YTD leaderboard as a result. Of course, it’s still too early in the season to draw any definitive conclusions about who the most accurate experts will be over the long haul but both Bloom and Kuselias deserve credit for getting off to a great start at the WR position.

QB Accuracy Scores

Edit
Accuracy Week 2 Accuracy YTD
Rank Expert PAY™ Rank Expert PAY™
1. Josh Moore – 4for4.com 89.0% 1. Josh Moore – 4for4.com 80.7%
2. David Dodds – FootballGuys 88.0% 2. Sigmund Bloom – FootballGuys 79.4%
3. Mike Krueger – FFToday 84.9% 3. Site Rankings – FantasyFootballNerd 77.4%
4. Gregg Rosenthal – Rotoworld 83.3% 4. Staff Rankings – FantasyFootballCafe 75.3%
5. Sigmund Bloom – FootballGuys 83.1% 5. Ryan Lester – Lester’s Legends 74.4%

Notes:

  • The first thing to note is that this was a very strong week of accuracy at the QB position with the average PAY™ of the 39 experts in our field coming in at 74.1%. To put this in perspective, only two experts had a PAY™ higher than that last week (Ryan Lester – Lester’s Legends & Sigmund Bloom – FootballGuys). This goes to show just how volatile predictions can be across the board on a week to week basis.

  • Credit goes to Josh Moore from 4for4.com for landing the best result in such a highly competitive week. With a PAY™ of 89%, Moore rarely faltered with his QB picks. Of the top 10 fantasy QBs for week 2, he had 8 players pegged as well or better than the Expert Consensus. He also did a good job of managing the middle of his list by anticipating below average performances from Tom Brady, Joe Flacco and Brett Favre.

  • Despite the high accuracy scores, one surefire way for the experts to fall down the standings in week 2 was to have given Vince Young (-2.2 fantasy points), Brett Favre (1 fantasy point) and Joe Flacco high rankings. This proved to be no problem for Mike Krueger from FFToday. He was responsible for handing each player their worst ranking and this helped propel Krueger to a top 3 finish for the week.

TE Accuracy Scores

Edit
Accuracy Week 2 Accuracy YTD
Rank Expert PAY™ Rank Expert PAY™
1. Ryan Lester – Lester’s Legends 88.1% 1. Ryan Lester – Lester’s Legends 81.4%
2. Site Rankings – FanHouse 87.1% 2. Jamey Eisenberg – CBS Sports 80.9%
3. Jamey Eisenberg – CBS Sports 85.7% 3. Site Rankings – FanHouse 80.7%
4. Christopher Harris – ESPN 84.9% 4. Pat Fitzmaurice – ProFootballWeekly 79.5%
5. Josh Moore – 4for4.com 84.1% 5. Josh Moore – 4for4.com 78.4%

Notes:

  • Last week’s top QB prognosticator, Ryan Lester, took home the honor as the expert with the most accurate TE rankings in week 2. Similar to the other accuracy winners, Lester had the best score not only because he got the top guys right but also because he did a good job of slotting players in the middle and lower portion of his rankings.
  • Lester also turned in one of the best picks of the week as the only expert to rank Dustin Keller in his top 10. This turned out to be an important pick since Keller went on to become the 2nd highest scoring fantasy TE for the week.
  • There was a fair amount of turnover with the week 2 TE standings with only Jamey Eisenberg from CBS Sports making the top 5 both weeks. Despite Eisenberg’s consistency in the early going, Ryan Lester occupies the #1 position in the YTD TE rankings based off of his strong showing this past week.

If you’re curious about how every expert in our field of 39 stacks up against each other, you can visit our accuracy rankings page to see the results. The entire standings are offered at no cost to our registered members. Simply sign up for FREE and you’ll be able to view all of the accuracy scores!  And if you’re interested, we’re also tracking the accuracy results from the experts’ Kicker and DST weekly rankings.

Feel free to let us know if you have any questions or feedback regarding our accuracy process. We’ll be back with another wrap-up next week. Thanks!

What's your take? Leave a comment

1Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
2Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
3Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
4Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
5Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
6DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
7Davante Adams (GB)WR
8David Johnson (ARI)RB
9Le'Veon Bell (NYJ)RB
10James Conner (PIT)RB
 View All Rankings 
11Julio Jones (ATL)WR
12Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
13Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
14Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE)WR
15Travis Kelce (KC)TE
16Michael Thomas (NO)WR
17Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
18JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT)WR
19Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
20Antonio Brown (OAK)WR
21George Kittle (SF)TE
22Mike Evans (TB)WR
23T.Y. Hilton (IND)WR
24A.J. Green (CIN)WR
25Marlon Mack (IND)RB
26Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
27Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
28Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
29Sony Michel (NE)RB
30Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
1Mike Trout (LAA)CF,DH
2Christian Yelich (MIL)LF,CF
3Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
4Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
5J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
6Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
7Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
8Trevor Story (COL)SS
9Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
10Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
 View All Rankings 
11Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
12Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
13Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
14Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
15Paul Goldschmidt (STL)1B
16Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
17Trea Turner (WSH)SS
18Gerrit Cole (HOU)SP
19Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
20Chris Sale (BOS)SP
21Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
22Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
23Jose Ramirez (CLE)2B,3B
24Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
25Trevor Bauer (CLE)SP
26Blake Snell (TB)SP
27Adalberto Mondesi (KC)2B,SS
28Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
29Rhys Hoskins (PHI)1B,LF
30Andrew Benintendi (BOS)LF,CF
1Anthony Davis (NOR)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (GSW)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (OKC)PG
 View All Rankings 
11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (OKC)SG,SF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (TOR)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (HOU)PG
16Jimmy Butler (PHI)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (CHA)PG
18Kyrie Irving (BOS)PG,SG
19Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
26Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
Follow the Pros!

Follow us on Twitter @FantasyPros for exclusive advice and contests