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FanDuel MLB Value Plays: Tuesday (5/1)

by Shane Davies
May 1, 2018

Tuesday’s main slate on FanDuel features 14 games starting at 7:05 pm EST with several big-name pitchers scheduled to take the mound. Five pitchers are priced above $10,000, and I personally think targeting one of these pitchers is probably your safest route to cashing in most contests today. Luckily for you, there is plenty of value on the offensive end so you can afford to pay up for a high-end pitcher. I will personally be loading up on Boston’s Chris Sale, who is a heavy favorite at home against Kansas City, one of the worst lineups in all of baseball.

As always, be sure to pay close attention to the lineups when they are released and monitor the weather leading up to game time. For reference throughout the season, be sure to bookmark our overview of MLB Park Factors and how to Use Weather to Your Advantage in MLB DFS. Also, check out our GPP and Cash Games Primers to learn more about different daily fantasy game types specific to MLB.

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Pitchers

Michael Wacha (P – STL)
Don’t get me wrong. I will have very little exposure to Wacha or any other pitcher on this slate priced below $10K. There’s simply too much talent at the top and value amongst hitters to take a chance on a guy like Wacha. But he is priced at an affordable $7K on FanDuel and is facing off against the lowly Chicago White Sox. Wacha has also won four consecutive starts at Busch Stadium, so he’s pretty comfortable playing at home. He’s allowed only five earned runs in his last three starts.

Hitters

Zack Cozart (SS – LAA)
Cozart is cheap on FanDuel at $2,700 and is facing off against my favorite gas-can target in Baltimore’s RHP Alex Cobb tonight. Cobb has allowed 17 (yes, you read that correctly) earned runs in his last three appearances, including a whopping 30 hits. I’m not sure if it’s an injury or simply poor form but something seems to be wrong with Cobb in 2018 and I will continue to stack against him until he shows me otherwise.

Luis Valbuena (3B – LAA)
Valbuena is another cheap option starting against Alex Cobb. Most of Valbuena’s career success has come against right-handed pitching, with 93 home runs versus righties compared to just 15 against lefties. He can never be counted upon as someone to hit for a high average, but with Cobb allowing over 2.00 HR/9 in 2018, Valbuena is an intriguing tournament option on a slate where finding value hitters with big power upside seems like a recipe for success.

Wilson Ramos (C – TAM)
Ramos is currently day-to-day after experiencing tightness in both legs during Saturday’s game, but will likely return to the lineup today against Detroit. Ramos is red-hot at the plate, with three home runs in his last three games, including a 3-for-3 performance on April 28. He is facing off against LHP Matt Boyd, which is a great matchup for Mr. Ramos. He is sporting a .384 xWOBA vs. LHP, while Boyd historically struggles against right-handed hitters. For $2,900, he’s a steal.

Daniel Robertson (3B – TAM)
Robertson has been one of the best third basemen in all of baseball to start the 2018 season with a .333 batting average including a number of multi-hit games in his last 10 starts. There’s really only one statistic to focus on when deciding on whether or not to roster Robertson today: .490 xWOBA vs. Matt Boyd’s most frequently used pitch. For that reason alone, Robertson seems worth the $3,400 price tag.

Eddie Rosario (OF – TOR)
Rosario has been a much better player at home compared to on the road and gets a great matchup against Toronto’s Marco Estrada. Rosario is also subsequently a much better player against right-handed pitching, featuring a .261 ISO. Plus, the $3,000 salary on FanDuel is very much affordable.

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Shane Davies is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Shane, check out his archive and follow him @SBDAVIES7.

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