We’re less than a week away from the 2024 NFL Draft, which kicks off on Thursday, April 25. Beginning then and going through Saturday, April 27, there will be seven rounds and more than 250 picks.
As time goes on and new reports emerge, we’re learning more about potential landing spots of prospects and whether they’re rising up draft boards or falling.
Below, we’ll look at two risers and two fallers on the offensive side of the ball.
- 2024 NFL Draft Guide
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
2024 NFL Draft Risers & Fallers
Draft Riser
Outside of Caleb Williams, the No. 2 quarterback and beyond in this class has been a mixed bag of opinions. Numerous mock drafts have J.J. McCarthy going inside the top four with the Minnesota Vikings or New York Giants trading up, while others have him going No. 2 on the board to the Washington Commanders.
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, McCarthy is +2000 to go No. 2 overall, +275 to go No. 3, +175 to go No. 4, -175 to go in the top five and -900 to go in the top 10.
Last season, McCarthy attempted 333 passes for the National Champion Michigan Wolverines. That was 53rd in the country, according to Pro Football Focus (PFF).
PFF shows that McCarthy attempted 46 passes of 20+ yards downfield, completing 54.3% for 10 touchdowns and one interception.
He started two seasons for the Wolverines and attempted 714 passes in three seasons with the program.
Draft Faller
A popular player some months back to land with the Denver Broncos at No. 12 overall, Bo Nix is now +180 to be a first-round pick.
Dane Brugler of The Athletic recently posted a mock draft that had him going 52 overall to the Los Angeles Rams.
Keep in mind numerous mock drafts have quarterbacks flying off the board with the first four picks, which has never been done in NFL history.
Nix’s college career began at Auburn where he wasn’t successful whatsoever. Then, he transferred to Oregon, where he played well, taking on more of an Alex Smith-like role. Oregon’s offense was a lot of first-read plays and screens. Nix has shown he has some mobility and solid arm talent.
He’s not a player, at least in his current form, who will take sacks or make bad plays. He played more than 60 games in college.
His style of play could be morphed into a “lite” version of Drew Brees, which is why he’s often linked to the Broncos, but they don’t have a second-round pick.
Could the run of quarterbacks at the top mean a lull at the position until late in the first round and into the second? We’ll see.
Draft Riser
While he’s struggled with drops in his career (13 in three seasons, 9.3% drop rate), no one in this class has the measurables of Brian Thomas Jr.
At the NFL Combine, Thomas Jr. measured at 6-foot-3, 209 pounds, and ran a 4.33 40-yard dash.
He has the make-up to be a true No. 1 wide receiver and could be a popular target after the “big three” of Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers and Rome Odunze.
He could be a candidate for the Los Angeles Chargers after a potential trade-down, a target for the Indianapolis Colts at No. 15 or perhaps the Buffalo Bills trade up to get him.
Come draft day, it wouldn’t be a surprise if Thomas Jr. goes inside the top 15.
He caught 17 touchdowns last season on 87 targets and 68 catches. He also had 1,177 yards while operating in the same offense as Nabers.
Thomas Jr. will be, at minimum, the fourth wide receiver off the board.
Draft Faller
After posting a 4.21 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine, Worthy certainly caught the attention of draft analysts everywhere.
However, we’ll somewhat push back against that. We already knew Worthy was fast. If he ran a 4.30, that would still be excellent, but record-breaking speed will catch attention.
He’s 5-foot-11 and 165 pounds. With the Longhorns last season, he caught 75 balls on 119 targets for 1,014 yards and five scores.
Worthy will be a vertical threat at the NFL level. Should he land with the Miami Dolphins, he’ll be in an offense tailor-made for him and it’ll skyrocket his fantasy value.
He struggles against physical press coverage, so the offense he lands with, whether it’s the Dolphins or somewhere else, will need to scheme him open, motion him around and get the ball in his hands.
The hype of his record-breaking speed has calmed down. Despite him being -225 to go in the first round, he’s more of a second-round type of player.
More 2024 NFL Mock Drafts
Here are a few early predictions for the 2024 NFL Draft. We’ll continue to add our 2024 NFL Mock Drafts leading up to the start of Round 1.
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Thor Nystrom (1.0 | 2.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Matthew Jones (1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Andrew Erickson (1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Kent Weyrauch (1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Derek Brown (1.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft With Trades: Mike Fanelli (1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Russell Brown (1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: PJ Moran (1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft With Trades: Marco Enriquez (1.0 | 2.0)
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft With Trades: Dennis Sosic
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Two-Round Writer Collaborative
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: First Round Picks & Predictions
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Top 20 Picks & Predictions
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Top 10 Picks & Predictions
- 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Early Picks & Predictions
- Early 2024 NFL Mock Draft with Trades: Picks & Predictions
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