Deebo Samuel Sr. Week 13 Outlook - Bills at 49ers

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 3rd 2020, 10:50am EST

It's safe to say he's healthy, eh? He went against a team that hadn't allowed a receiver more than 18.6 PPR points against them all year and delivered an 11-catch, 133-yard performance (24.3 PPR points). His average air yards per target on each target is 1.6 yards. There is no other wide receiver with a number lower than 5.1 yards (Greg Ward). They're getting creative and manufacturing touches for him to create after the catch, which is something he's one of the best in the league at doing. According to NFL's NextGenStats, he should be averaging 8.4 yards after the catch based on where defenders have been in proximity to him, but he's managed to average 13.0 per reception. The 4.6-yard difference is the highest in the NFL, slightly topping A.J. Brown's 4.1-yard gap. Of the fantasy production the Bills have allowed to skill-position players, wide receivers have accounted for just 45.7 percent of it, which ranks as the third-lowest mark in the league. But again, the Rams were even better than that. Tre'Davious White is their shadow cornerback, though he doesn't go into the slot, which is where Samuel is placed 34 percent of the time. Taron Johnson is the slot cornerback who's allowed 45-of-59 passing for 462 yards. There's only one cornerback who's allowed more slot yardage than him (Buster Skrine). It's also worth noting that 44 percent of the yardage Johnson has allowed in coverage has come after the catch. Samuel should be in lineups as a WR3 until we're given reason not to trust him.