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Fantasy Football Player Notes

2022 Draft Rankings

Josh Allen Note
Josh Allen photo 1. Josh Allen BUF (vs . NE)
The back-to-back reigning fantasy QB1 showed no signs of slowing down in 2021. Allen led the quarterback position averaging 24.6 fantasy points per game and a whopping 26.7 expected fantasy points - nearly three points more than the next closest signal-caller. The Bills quarterback's dual-threat ability - third in rushing yards (763) and rushing attempts (122) - provides him a fantasy ceiling that only a few other quarterbacks can match. No quarterback had more top-3 finishes or top-8 weekly finishes than Allen did a season ago

That's why he's deserving of being the first quarterback drafted across all formats.

Because even after taking a slight step back as a passer in 2021 - 104.9 passer rating vs. 97.9 passer rating - a higher passing touchdown ceiling exists for Allen in 2022. His 5.6% TD rate was worse than in 2020 and ranked just ninth in 2021. Case in point: despite finishing No. 1 overall, Allen ended with the 5th-most fantasy points under expectation.
5 weeks ago
Justin Herbert Note
Justin Herbert photo 2. Justin Herbert LAC (at DEN)
Justin Herbert finished third in touchdowns and fifth in PFF passing grade (91.8) from a clean pocket in 2021. The Bolts quarterback also wrapped up the season as PFF's third-highest-graded quarterback overall, third in fantasy points per game (22.7) and fifth in expected fantasy points per game (21.7)

The Los Angeles Chargers signal-caller is a certified stud - a top-five, elite-tier fantasy quarterback in 2022. Only Tom Brady and Josh Allen posted as many top-5 weeks as Herbert did last season. He and Brady led the NFL with nine 300-yard passing games. Since entering the NFL in 2020, Herbert has thrown for 300-plus yards in 53% of his games played.

Even if his rushing doesn't stack up with the league's elite, Herbert's cannon provides almost everything he needs to close the gap.
5 weeks ago
Patrick Mahomes II Note
Patrick Mahomes II photo 3. Patrick Mahomes II KC (at LV)
Despite the ups-and-downs of the KC Chiefs offense as a response to the Cover 2 defense, Patrick Mahomes was as a stellar as ever from a fantasy perspective. The former MVP ranked fourth in fantasy points per game (22.0) tying Justin Herbert with 12 weekly top-12 QB finishes. Still, Mahomes averaged fewer fantasy points per game than in 2020 (25.2).

Additionally, the loss of Tyreek Hill cannot be ignored heading into 2022. The duo ranks second in combined passing touchdowns (41) since 2016 - despite Mahomes not becoming the starter until the 2018. Mahomes can't totally be written off as a top-five fantasy option - .QB4 without Hill through the first five weeks of 2019 averaging 25 fantasy points per game - but there's real concern about his top-tier weekly ceiling without Hill.

Especially coming off a season where he posted a career-low PFF passing grade (77.5) and career-high in interceptions (16). He's likely being overvalued as the QB2 in early best ball drafts on name recognition alone.
5 weeks ago
Lamar Jackson Note
Lamar Jackson photo 4. Lamar Jackson BAL (at CIN)
Lamar Jackson had a season to forget in 2021, as he dealt with a plethora of injuries/illnesses and regressed immensely as a passer. Two key metrics at PFF that are important to analyze for QBs are performance in a clean pocket and throwing at the intermediate level.

Jackson ranked 28th in passer rating from a clean pocket (90.4) and 22nd in PFF passing grade at the intermediate level (70.0). Despite all his shortcomings as a passer, Jackson still finished the season second in expected fantasy points per game (23.8) and seventh in fantasy points per game (21.3).

His expected fantasy point per game output marked the highest of his career thanks to the Ravens' willingness to throw more in 2021. From 2019-2020, Jackson had 37 or more passing attempts in a game only four times. He did so five times in 2021, with Baltimore throwing at a 60% clip.

However, I would not anticipate the pass-heavy approach to continue into 2022. Their philosophical change on offense was forced out of necessity based on the injuries. But a lack of passing doesn't impact Jackson they way it does most other QBs with his greatest fantasy asset being his legs.

Jackson may never recapture his 2019 rare MVP form when he averaged north of 28 fantasy points per game, but a 22-point per game average seems like his norm based on his last two years of fantasy production. In 2020, he led all QBs in fantasy points per dropback. That cements him as a clear-cut top-5 fantasy QB.
5 weeks ago
Jalen Hurts Note
Jalen Hurts photo 5. Jalen Hurts PHI (vs . NYG)
In his first full season, Jalen Hurts was the QB6 in fantasy points per game as the Eagles starting quarterback. An ankle sprain dropped his rushing numbers from 57.9 to 29.7 yards per game over his final three contests. Without that ding, his full-season numbers could have been even better. With another season in this offensive system incoming and A.J. Brown now on the roster, Hurts has "the QB1 overall" fantasy quarterback upside in 2022.
5 weeks ago
Kyler Murray Note
Kyler Murray photo 6. Kyler Murray ARI (at SF)
Last season was another tale of two halves for Kyler Murray. In Weeks 1-8, with DeAndre Hopkins healthy, he was on fire as the QB6 completing 72.6% of his passes with 8.8 yards per attempt while averaging 284.5 passing yards per game. After Week 9, with Hopkins banged up and in and out of the lineup, Murray was the QB16 with a 65.3% completion rate, 6.7 yards per attempt, and 251.8 passing yards per game. Fast forward to this season, and Hopkins is now slated to miss the first six games of the season. The trade to acquire Marquise Brown's services and drafting Trey McBride will help.
4 weeks ago
Joe Burrow Note
Joe Burrow photo 7. Joe Burrow CIN (vs . BAL)
Joe Burrow finished the regular season as PFF's highest-graded passer (91.2) while also ranking first in super sticky stats like passing grade from a clean pocket (94.6) and passing grade throwing at the intermediate level (95.6). He finished the season as the QB8 averaging just north of 20.5 fantasy points per game.

The Bengals quarterback has undoubtedly entered the conversation as one of the league's best real-life NFL passers, but might be slightly overvalued based on early best ball ADP with impending regression. He's the QB6 despite finishing as a top-6 fantasy quarterback just thrice in 2021.

No quarterback scored more fantasy points over expectation, which hints that regression will hit Burrow in 2022. The LSU product also rushed for just 118 yards and two TDs. He rushed for fewer yards than Mac Jones, who is notorious for being ranked low across consensus due to his lack of upside as a rusher.

However, there is a legitimate path for Burrow's upside to be further unlocked if the Bengals increase their pass rate as they did during his rookie season and down the playoff stretch. Burrow led the NFL in passing attempts per game (40.4) during his rookie season and averaged 38 passing attempts/23.0 fantasy points per game in his final six weeks

An uptick in passing volume won't help Burrow's efficiency per se, but his fantasy numbers will be much more stable from week to week.

Also can't forget to mention the Bengals revamped their offensive line as they look to not let their franchise quarterback get sacked 70 times - 22 more than the next closest quarterback.
5 weeks ago
Russell Wilson Note
Russell Wilson photo 8. Russell Wilson DEN (vs . LAC)
Russell Wilson's weapons/supporting cast overall are pretty even going from Seattle to Denver, but Nathaniel Hackett calling the shots is an upgrade over Pete Carroll.

Hackett's obviously had success with Aaron Rodgers that has translated into fantasy, so a top-five fantasy quarterback outcome is firmly in play with Wilson in 2022. After all, Wilson's long track record of efficient fantasy play is undeniable - he has finished among the top-six fantasy QBs five times since 2014.

I like his chances of making it seven in 2022. Because Wilson is still among the league's elite passers when healthy. Before the finger derailed his season, Russ led the NFL in yards per attempt (10.4), passer rating (133.6) and passer rating from a clean pocket (130.9) before Week 5. Wilson also finished the season on a high note, averaging over 24 fantasy points per game in his last three contests.

All in all, 2021 was a typical season for Wilson: peaks and valleys. He averaged 23 fantasy points per game from Weeks 1-4 and Weeks 16-18. In his six games post-injury, Wilson averaged an abysmal 13 fantasy points per game. Buy the inevitable 2022 dip on the future Hall of Fame quarterback in a new situation.

That combined with a plethora of weapons in Denver, makes it very plausible he sees similar immediate success that other quarterbacks like Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford have had since changing teams late into their careers.

However a QB10 ADP might be too rich, as I think he belongs in the same tier as Kirk Cousins, Derek Carr, and Matthew Stafford.

Currently, he's the only QB drafted inside the top-12 that failed to hit the fantasy QB1 mark at least 50% of the time in 2021.

He also has the lowest top-6 hit rate (15%), lowest top-12 rate (46%), and second-highest bust rate among the top-12 ADP.

Considering the only "upgrade" Wilson has moved from Denver to Seattle is more favorable coaching (not necessarily receiver personnel, especially with the underrated loss of Tim Patrick), he's likely going to be inconsistent and overvalued due to a lack of rushing juice.
5 weeks ago
Tom Brady Note
Tom Brady photo 9. Tom Brady TB (at ATL)
At age 44, Tom Brady attempted the most passes in the league (719) and finished with the most passing yards (5,316) and second-most passing touchdowns (43) in any single season of his career. Brady was the QB3 in fantasy points per game. While he might not reach those heights in 2022, he will still be leading one of the NFL's fastest-paced and most talented offenses. If Brady's fountain of youth and avocado milkshakes can hold off father time, he's a top 5-10 option at the position in fantasy.
4 weeks ago
Dak Prescott Note
Dak Prescott photo 10. Dak Prescott DAL (at WAS)
Dak Prescott rebounded nicely from a lost 2020 season (due to injury) as the QB9 in weekly fantasy scoring. Prescott's former rushing floor evaporated as he finished with the lowest rushing yardage total (146) for a full season of his career. Despite losing Amari Cooper this offseason, the Cowboy's passing attack should be fine as the team retained Michael Gallup and Dalton Schultz and added Jalen Tolbert. Dallas led the NFL in neutral pace last season. With heightened play volume helping his passing numbers, Prescott should have no issues compensating for the lost rushing production as a locked-in top ten fantasy quarterback. The loss of Tyron Smith could lead to some of his rushing production returning.
4 weeks ago
Trey Lance Note
Trey Lance photo 11. Trey Lance SF (vs . ARI)
Even with Jimmy Garoppolo remaining on the team in a backup role, Trey Lance should be considered the team's starter barring a full faceplant this season. In the brief two-game sample of Lance starting last year, we got a glimpse at the biggest factor for his fantasy ceiling: the rushing upside. In those two games, Lance averaged 12 carries and 60 yards on the ground as the QB20 and QB10 in weekly scoring. Even with Garoppolo at the helm, the 49ers were sixth in EPA per play and second in yards per play. Lance's legs give him a top 12-15 fantasy quarterback floor with top-five upside should he light it up through the air.
5 weeks ago
Matthew Stafford Note
Matthew Stafford photo 12. Matthew Stafford LAR (at SEA)
Matthew Stafford is thoroughly enjoying his new marriage with Sean McVay. His first year in a Rams jersey led to a career-high completion rate (67.2%) and tying his career-high in passing touchdowns (41) en route to a Super Bowl title. Stafford was the QB11 in fantasy points per game after ranking inside the top ten in deep ball attempts, deep ball completion percentage, and pressured completion rate. Stafford should be considered a rock-solid back-end QB1.
5 weeks ago
Aaron Rodgers Note
Aaron Rodgers photo 13. Aaron Rodgers GB (vs . DET)
Aaron Rodgers doesn't look like he's lost a step after finishing last season as the QB8 in fantasy points per game. Rodgers was top-five in fantasy points per dropback and clean pocket completion rate. Losing his bae Davante Adams hurts his ceiling and per-play efficiency outlooks. Efficiency has been the driver of his fantasy goodness because he resides inside one of the NFL's slowest-paced offenses. Raw volume won't be there to help counteract the dip there, so Rodgers falls into the QB2 bucket with weekly top 12 upside.
4 weeks ago
Kirk Cousins Note
Kirk Cousins photo 14. Kirk Cousins MIN (at CHI)
Kirk Cousins is the ugly duckling fantasy quarterback who found his way inside the top 12 producers (QB11, QB12) in back-to-back seasons. Cousins did so last season by directing a surprisingly up-tempo and more pass-heavy Vikings offense. Last year Minnesota was eighth and 12th in neutral pace and passing rate. With Kevin O'Connell at the controls this season, the passing rate could continue to be healthy (LAR, seventh), but the neutral pace could decline (LAR, 16th). If this happens and Adam Thielen takes a step back entering his age 32 season, Cousins will be rendered as a mid QB2.
4 weeks ago
Derek Carr Note
Derek Carr photo 15. Derek Carr LV (vs . KC)
The biggest winner in the aftermath of the Davante Adams trade is Derek Carr. He now has the luxury of throwing to a surplus of offensive weapons including arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL in his old college teammate.

Let's not forget that when Carr had everybody available last season, the Raiders quarterback ranked second in the NFL in passing yards and 15th in fantasy points per game. However, his ceiling was limited due to his lack of mobility and weaponry; Carr did not finish better than a top-8 quarterback at any point in 2021.

But Adams figures to provide Carr with a red-zone weapon like no other that will unlock his fantasy ceiling. He's the exact positive touchdown regression that should launch Carr's fantasy numbers. Carr's 3.7 TD rate in 2021 was below his career average (4.3). And his 23 total passing touchdowns were seven below expectation.

Fully anticipate Carr throwing for 30-plus laser scores bare minimum with Adams at his disposal. Every quarterback last season that threw for at least 30 touchdowns finished inside the top-10 in 2021.
5 weeks ago
Tua Tagovailoa Note
Tua Tagovailoa photo 16. Tua Tagovailoa MIA (vs . NYJ)
Somebody on the Miami Dolphins is in for a rude awakening come September. Mike Gesicki, Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill are all being pushed up the rankings/draft boards with hopes that Tua Tagovailoa takes a massive step forward in Year 3 under first-year head coach Mike McDaniel.

I am not as optimistic that Tagovailoa can be the vehicle to deliver fantasy goodness to all these pieces in South Beach because this offense is going to be run-heavy. McDaniel made his way up the coaching ranks under Kyle Shanahan as a standout run-game coordinator. And should he follow in the footsteps of Shanahan as the offensive mastermind in Miami, fantasy managers should expect a lot of rushing and YAC schemes.

49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo ranked 29th in aDOT in 2021 (7.6) after ranking 39th and 35th in the category the two years prior. Tagovailoa's aDOT was 34th in the league (7.6) in 2021.

Jimmy G's most productive seasons have seen him average just north of 16 fantasy points per game - good for QB17 in 2021. Tagovailoa has yet to eclipse 14 fantasy points per game two years into his career. He also ranked 31st in throwing at the intermediate level (62.5 PFF grade) among 37 qualifying passers last season.

So although Tua is viewed as a popular late-round quarterback among fantasy circles, I have to admit I won't be pulling the trigger on him in 1QB redraft formats. Especially with his brutal early schedule. New England, Baltimore and Buffalo are hardly the stream-worthy spots you will be confident in starting the southpaw QB. In the Dolphins quarterback's four combined starts versus those teams in 2021, his fantasy finishes were QB23, QB24, QB18 and QB16.
5 weeks ago
Justin Fields Note
Justin Fields photo 17. Justin Fields CHI (vs . MIN)
Justin Fields closed the season out with a promising stretch run as a top ten fantasy quarterback in each of his final four full starts. Fields showed growth in this quartet of games, completing 62.5% of his passes with 7.6 yards per attempt. The rushing is what we covet with the Windy City signal-caller, and we got a look at that as well, as he averaged 64.2 yards per game on the ground. Losing Allen Robinson hurts even more, with the team replacing him with Byron Pringle, Equanimeous St. Brown, and Velus Jones. The massive weekly upside is still in the cards for Fields with his playmaking ability, but he's tough to trust as anything more than a QB2 or matchup play, considering the cast of characters surrounding him.
4 weeks ago
Trevor Lawrence Note
Trevor Lawrence photo 18. Trevor Lawrence JAC (vs . TEN)
Joe Burrow's massive second-year jump is encouraging for this year's second-year QBs like Trevor Lawrence. The Jags quarterback finished with the same expected fantasy points per game average as Burrow in 2021 (17.3) but underwhelmed tremendously in a poor situation. His -72.3 fantasy points versus expectation were the most of any QB in 2021.

Lawrence posted a season-high 85.1 PFF passing grade in the season-finale, offering some hope that he can turn things around in 2022 with a new coaching staff in place.

There's a strong chance that Jacksonville dials up the passing attempts with Doug Pederson calling the shots on offense. During his five-year tenure in Philadelphia, only once did the offense not finish top-10 in pass attempts.
5 weeks ago
Jameis Winston Note
Jameis Winston photo 19. Jameis Winston NO (vs . CAR)
Last year the Saints put the handcuffs on YOLO Jameis Winston. They ran a slow as molasses offense, relying on their run game and limiting Winston to 25.2 pass attempts and 185.7 passing yards per game. This could easily be the case again in 2022, but there are some reasons for optimism here. Winston will be entering his third season of this offensive scheme, so he should know it inside and out by now. Hopefully, the Saints can keep Michael Thomas healthy to pair with Chris Olave. Jarvis Landry is arguably one of the best WR3s in the NFL. This cast of weapons with Alvin Kamara also on board could lead to more passing attempts that we didn't see in 2021.
4 weeks ago
Matt Ryan Note
Matt Ryan photo 20. Matt Ryan IND (vs . HOU)
After spending his entire 14-year NFL career with the Atlanta Falcons, Matt Ryan will be the starting quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts in his 15th season. Atlanta traded Matt Ryan to the Colts for a 2022 third-round pick.
It's a major upgrade for Ryan's fantasy appeal that he was able to get out of Atlanta - a franchise that looks to be in a massive rebuild. Last season, Ryan lacked a strong supporting cast which contributed to his lackluster numbers.
Calvin Ridley played five games, and the Falcons owned the league's second-worst blocking offensive line per PFF. Ryan faced pressure at the sixth-highest rate (40%).
That won't be the case in Indianapolis with a better offensive line in place, a stable running game, and playmakers like Michael Pittman Jr. and Jonathan Taylor to boot.
Ryan was also vastly underrated as a passer despite the ongoing turmoil ranking above average in many of PFF's sticky efficiency metrics in 2021: 12th in PFF passing grade from a clean pocket, second throwing at the intermediate level, and ninth throwing on early downs.
Entering a Frank Reich system that prides itself on churning out play-action (5th) and screen passes (10th) will make Ryan's life a helluva lot easier than it was in Atlanta.
Ryan ranked 33rd in screen throw rate and 12th in play-action rate in 2021. The new Colts quarterback is back on the fantasy QB2 radar for 2022.
5 weeks ago
Ryan Tannehill Note
Ryan Tannehill photo 21. Ryan Tannehill TEN (at JAC)
A.J. Brown's absurd efficiency and YAC-ability in Tennessee was a primary driving force behind Ryan Tannehill's fantasy success as a Titan. Even with Treylon Burks in the fold, it's hard to get overly excited about the Tennessee QB in one of the NFL's most run-heavy offenses devoid of any elite, proven pass-catchers. He got exposed without offensive coordinator Arthur Smith and weapons last season in 2021, finishing the season with his lowest passer rating to date as a Titan (88.1, 23rd). Tannehill's passer rating off play action throws also fell off (96.1 versus 109.5). 2022 is going to be a rude awakening for Tannehill, who has the largest cap hit in the NFL this year ($38.6M).
5 weeks ago
Daniel Jones Note
Daniel Jones photo 22. Daniel Jones NYG (at PHI)
Daniel Jones finished last year as the QB17 in fantasy points per game, but his rushing (298 yards, 11 games) was a decent part of that production. As a passer, he still struggled, ranking outside the top 20 at his position in pressured accuracy, catchable pass rate, and true completion rate. Jones better hope Brian Daboll has the secret sauce to get him on track because it's not looking good. This year, Jones is a matchup play that I'll happily leave on the waiver wire in 12-team formats.
4 weeks ago
Mac Jones Note
Mac Jones photo 23. Mac Jones NE (at BUF)
The rookie quarterback was highly efficient as a passer, finishing 18th in PFF passing grade, throwing 10-19 yards, 13th from a clean pocket and 10th on early downs. Those specific metrics tend to be sticky year over year and more predictive than raw counting stats.

Still, those numbers were equally impressive for Jones, who posted the sixth-highest passer rating (92.5) and second-highest completion percentage (67.6%) for a rookie quarterback with at least 300 attempts in NFL history.
5 weeks ago
Jared Goff Note
Jared Goff photo 24. Jared Goff DET (at GB)
This season, Jared Goff is a sneaky streamer or QB2 option for Superflex leagues. The artillery cupboard is full to the brim with D.J. Chark, Jameson Williams, Amon-Ra St. Brown, T.J. Hockenson, and D'Andre Swift all at his disposal. After Week 11 last year, the Lions increased their passing rate to 55% (20th) in close games, and Goff responded with some efficient outings. He completed 69.5% of his throws in that five-game sample while throwing for multiple touchdowns four times (three passing touchdowns twice). You might have to pinch your nose when you press the draft button, but you could be smelling roses a few weeks into the season.
4 weeks ago
Carson Wentz Note
Carson Wentz photo 25. Carson Wentz WAS (vs . DAL)
The Commanders will learn the same thing that the Colts did last year. Carson Wentz can manage a game, but don't ask him to lift up your passing attack. Wentz was 20th in clean pocket completion and 32nd in catchable pass rates. Washington was 11th in neutral rushing rate last year, which could creep even higher in 2022.
4 weeks ago
Baker Mayfield Note
Baker Mayfield photo 26. Baker Mayfield CAR (at NO)
Last season before Baker Mayfield reinjured the partially torn labrum in his left shoulder (Weeks 1-5), he was on his way to a solid if not underrated season in Cleveland. While he was on QB23 in fantasy points per game, his efficiency metrics painted a rosier picture. He was 14th in big-time throw rate, seventh in yards per attempt, and held the eighth-lowest turnover-worthy play rate (minimum 20 dropbacks, per PFF).

While Carolina looks like a lousy landing spot, Mayfield will be flanked by Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore, which isn't a bad start for any quarterback. If Ben McAdoo can recreate his former magic as an offensive coordinator, Mayfield could be an easy QB2 target with some upside. Before taking the head coaching reins in New York, he led an offense that was top 13 in yards and total points in back-to-back seasons.
4 weeks ago
Davis Mills Note
Davis Mills photo 27. Davis Mills HOU (at IND)
Houston Texans quarterback Davis Mills is one of my biggest offseason risers. He ranked outside my top-40 dynasty quarterbacks as a rookie after being selected by the Texans in the third round of the 2021 NFL Draft. Mills was extremely shaky to start the year, sitting with the league's 31st-ranked PFF passing grade through his first nine games.

The Stanford product turned it on over the final five weeks of the 2021 season, finishing with a 9-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio while averaging a respectable 17.4 fantasy points per game.

With a full offseason ahead as the presumed starter, Mills is shaping up to be a strong fantasy QB2 with room to grow in 2022.
5 weeks ago
Marcus Mariota Note
Marcus Mariota photo 28. Marcus Mariota ATL (vs . TB)
Marcus Mariota is best viewed as a QB3 in Superflex or a redraft streamer. However, there could be sneaky upside here if he holds the job all year. Mariota looked revitalized in the preseason flashing his mobility and rushing while pushing the ball down the field. As the very last of the Konami quarterbacks in drafts, Mariota offers some appeal.
4 weeks ago
Zach Wilson Note
Zach Wilson photo 29. Zach Wilson NYJ (at MIA)
Everything about Wilson's situation is improved from a year ago. The Jets have stockpiled their offense with WR Garrett Wilson, OG Laken Tomlinson, RB Breece Hall and a plethora of tight ends to give their young quarterback a chance of succeeding in his second season.
If New York's offensive line can hold up in pass protection, Wilson has a chance of delivering fantasy value.
5 weeks ago
Mitch Trubisky Note
Mitch Trubisky photo 30. Mitch Trubisky PIT (vs . CLE)
After backing up Josh Allen in Buffalo last season, Trubisky will get a chance to start, this time with the Steelers. He'll have to beat out first-round rookie Kenny Pickett, however. Trubisky's 2018 season with the Bears raised hopes; his 2019 and 2020 seasons dashed them. Running ability and an NFL-caliber arm raise hopes that Trubisky's fantasy value can be rehabilitated.
22 weeks ago
Deshaun Watson Note
Deshaun Watson photo 31. Deshaun Watson CLE (at PIT)
Deshaun Watson is a top-five option when he gets back on the field after his six-game suspension.

He was exactly that from 2019-2020, and there is no reason to think the 26-year-old won't pick up where he left off. During his last season of play, Watson led the NFL in passing yards and yards per attempt (8.9).

Considering some best ball leagues are won in November/December, not September, he's worth stashing if you opt to wait on the quarterback position.
5 weeks ago
Kenny Pickett Note
Kenny Pickett photo 32. Kenny Pickett PIT (vs . CLE)
Pickett wasn't on the prospect radar until he blew up as a fifth-year senior at Pittsburgh, throwing for 4,319 yards and 42 TDs in 13 games. Now, he'll compete with Mitchell Trubisky to be the Steelers' starter after being the only QB taken in the first round of the NFL Draft. Pickett's intangibles might be better than his raw tools, but the tools aren't bad.
22 weeks ago
Geno Smith Note
Geno Smith photo 33. Geno Smith SEA (vs . LAR)
Don't label me as a Geno Smith stan, but I was pleasantly surprised by his metrics last year during his brief run as the starter for Seattle. Last season he was the 16th highest graded passer per PFF while also sitting at third in big-time throw rate and second in adjusted completion rate (minimum 100 dropbacks, per PFF). While it's impossible to expect him to keep up this lofty pace for a full season, even borderline league-average play from Smith would greatly improve the outlook for all of the skill players in this offense, beginning with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. While Smith won't be on my radar in drafts outside of sicko 16-team Superflex leagues, he might be good enough this season to support Seattle's other fantasy options.
5 weeks ago
Drew Lock Note
Drew Lock photo 34. Drew Lock SEA (vs . LAR)
Drew Lock has been nothing short of terrible so far in the NFL. He has never finished higher than 32nd in PFF passing grades while also watching his adjusted completion rate dip in each season (minimum 100 dropbacks, per PFF). I'll be fading Seattle pass catchers this season if Lock gets the nod any week.
4 weeks ago
Jacoby Brissett Note
Jacoby Brissett photo 35. Jacoby Brissett CLE (at PIT)
Jacoby Brissett was less than awe-inspiring in his last extended runs as a starting quarterback. He finished as the QB23 and QB28 in fantasy points per game in 2017 and 2019 while starting at least 15 games each season. Brissett was the 33rd and 35th highest graded passer per PFF, with anemic big-time throw rates ranking 39th and 42nd. While Deshaun Watson is suspended, the Browns can only hope for game manager level play as they attempt to grind out wins with their running game and defense. Even if you're streaming quarterbacks in fantasy, Brissett is unlikely to make the list often this season.
5 weeks ago
Jimmy Garoppolo Note
Jimmy Garoppolo photo 36. Jimmy Garoppolo SF (vs . ARI)
Jimmy Garoppolo is a middling backup to Trey Lance these days. Last year he was QB15 in fantasy points per game with a stacked skill player cupboard around him. Without any rushing upside to speak of and a pop gun arm Garoppolo's weekly upside is vanilla at best. He's a better NFL quarterback than a fantasy option. Garoppolo ranked first in pressured completion rate and second in play-action completion rate last year.
4 weeks ago
Desmond Ridder Note
Desmond Ridder photo 37. Desmond Ridder ATL (vs . TB)
Four-year starter at Cincinnati has intriguing mobility and an NFL-caliber arm, but he needs refinement. Ridder isn't likely to start early in his rookie season but will get a shot to replace Marcus Mariota as the Atlanta starter at some point.
22 weeks ago
Sam Darnold Note
Sam Darnold photo 38. Sam Darnold CAR (at NO)
Got off to a fast start in 2021, with five TD passes, five TD runs and three 300-yard games in his first four starts. Then the roof caved in, with Darnold throwing four TD passes and 10 INTs in his other seven starts. So much for the idea that Adam Gase was entirely to blame for Darnold's non-development. He's entering his age-25 season, so there's a flicker of hope left, but the Panthers' acquisition of Baker Mayfield suggests that they've given up hope of turning around Darnold's career.
12 weeks ago
Joe Flacco Note
Joe Flacco photo 39. Joe Flacco NYJ (at MIA)
Malik Willis Note
Malik Willis photo 40. Malik Willis TEN (at JAC)
A slide into the third round of the NFL Draft was ruinous to Willis' fantasy value. He landed with the Titans, who don't seem to be in any hurry to replace starter Ryan Tannehill. Willis has a big arm and is a potential difference-maker as a runner, but he needs a lot of refinement. Whenever Willis gets his first NFL playing time, the results are more likely to be reminiscent of late-career Cam Newton than current Josh Allen.
22 weeks ago
Tyrod Taylor Note
Tyrod Taylor photo 41. Tyrod Taylor NYG (at PHI)
Taylor can still run even though he'll be entering his age-33 season, but he's always been a below-average passer.
12 weeks ago
Tyler Huntley Note
Tyler Huntley photo 42. Tyler Huntley BAL (at CIN)
Made four starts in place of the injured Lamar Jackson in 2021. Huntley ran for two TDs and threw for two TDs in a Week 15 win over the Packers, finishing as the QB1 for the week, but his overall performance in his second NFL season was a mixed bag at best. Huntley's rushing ability makes him worth monitoring.
34 weeks ago
Teddy Bridgewater Note
Teddy Bridgewater photo 43. Teddy Bridgewater MIA (vs . NYJ)
Turned in an efficient if unspectacular season for the Panthers in 2020 but failed to unlock the Broncos' considerable pass-catching talent in 2021. Will now back up Tua Tagovailoa in Miami.
20 weeks ago
Gardner Minshew II Note
Gardner Minshew II photo 44. Gardner Minshew II PHI (vs . NYG)
His mustache and meme games are strong; his QB skill set makes him better suited to be a high-quality backup than a starter. When he plays, he's good enough to stream against bad defenses, not good enough to be an every-week fantasy starter. Destined to start the 2022 season behind Jalen Hurts.
34 weeks ago
Sam Howell Note
Sam Howell photo 45. Sam Howell WAS (vs . DAL)
Threw for 38 TDs as a freshman at North Carolina and then boosted his overall efficiency as a sophomore, but his final-year production dipped after teammates Javonte Williams, Michael Carter and Dyami Brown turned pro. Howell won't turn 22 until September, so there's plenty of room for growth here, and his willingness to run is a plus. There may be limited upside, however, and the fact that he fell to the fifth round suggests he won't be pushing for a starting job in Washington this year.
22 weeks ago
Andy Dalton Note
Andy Dalton photo 46. Andy Dalton NO (vs . CAR)
Now 34, the Red Rifle won't get a chance to start anywhere, but he's the sort of veteran backup who'll draw interest when he hits free agency in March.
34 weeks ago
Jordan Love Note
Jordan Love photo 47. Jordan Love GB (vs . DET)
Now that the Packers have given Aaron Rodgers a multiyear contract extension, Love's future is cloudy. Love has thrown only 62 passes in two NFL seasons. His lone start -- a 2021 road game against the Chiefs when Rodgers was on the COVID-19 list -- yielded disappointing results. Love has NFL-caliber tools but has offered no evidence that he knows how to use them.
28 weeks ago
Taylor Heinicke Note
Taylor Heinicke photo 48. Taylor Heinicke WAS (vs . DAL)
The notion that he might be a long-term answer at QB for Washington was dispelled after an uneven performance in 15 starts last season. Heinicke is a quality backup but doesn't have the goods to be a full-time starter.
34 weeks ago
Case Keenum Note
Case Keenum photo 49. Case Keenum BUF (vs . NE)
Quality backup acquitted himself well in a pair of 2021 starts, leading the Browns to victories in both games. Worth a roster spot in deep dynasty leagues.
34 weeks ago
John Wolford Note
John Wolford photo 50. John Wolford LAR (at SEA)
Chad Henne Note
Chad Henne photo 51. Chad Henne KC (at LV)
Blaine Gabbert Note
Blaine Gabbert photo 52. Blaine Gabbert TB (at ATL)
Kyle Trask Note
Kyle Trask photo 53. Kyle Trask TB (at ATL)
Colt McCoy Note
Colt McCoy photo 54. Colt McCoy ARI (at SF)
Brandon Allen Note
Brandon Allen photo 55. Brandon Allen CIN (vs . BAL)
Kyle Allen Note
Kyle Allen photo 56. Kyle Allen HOU (at IND)
C.J. Beathard Note
C.J. Beathard photo 57. C.J. Beathard JAC (vs . TEN)
Nick Mullens Note
Nick Mullens photo 58. Nick Mullens MIN (at CHI)
Jarrett Stidham Note
Jarrett Stidham photo 59. Jarrett Stidham LV (vs . KC)
Chase Daniel Note
Chase Daniel photo 60. Chase Daniel LAC (at DEN)
Nick Foles Note
Nick Foles photo 61. Nick Foles IND (vs . HOU)
Mason Rudolph Note
Mason Rudolph photo 62. Mason Rudolph PIT (vs . CLE)
Brian Hoyer Note
Brian Hoyer photo 63. Brian Hoyer NE (at BUF)
Trevor Siemian Note
Trevor Siemian photo 64. Trevor Siemian CHI (vs . MIN)
Bailey Zappe Note
Bailey Zappe photo 65. Bailey Zappe NE (at BUF)
A surprise fourth-round pick of the New England Patriots, Zappe doesn't have a big arm, but he posted some gaudy college numbers and could wind up in the no-man's-land between low-end NFL starter and high-end backup.
22 weeks ago
Sam Ehlinger Note
Sam Ehlinger photo 66. Sam Ehlinger IND (vs . HOU)
Brett Rypien Note
Brett Rypien photo 67. Brett Rypien DEN (vs . LAC)
Mike White Note
Mike White photo 68. Mike White NYJ (at MIA)
Nate Sudfeld Note
Nate Sudfeld photo 69. Nate Sudfeld DET (at GB)
Cooper Rush Note
Cooper Rush photo 70. Cooper Rush DAL (at WAS)
PJ Walker Note
PJ Walker photo 71. PJ Walker CAR (at NO)
Kellen Mond Note
Kellen Mond photo 72. Kellen Mond CLE (at PIT)
Joshua Dobbs Note
Joshua Dobbs photo 73. Joshua Dobbs CLE (at PIT)
Skylar Thompson Note
Skylar Thompson photo 74. Skylar Thompson MIA (vs . NYJ)
Feleipe Franks Note
Feleipe Franks photo 75. Feleipe Franks ATL (vs . TB)
Ian Book Note
Ian Book photo 76. Ian Book PHI (vs . NYG)
Bryce Perkins Note
Bryce Perkins photo 77. Bryce Perkins LAR (at SEA)
Trace McSorley Note
Trace McSorley photo 78. Trace McSorley ARI (at SF)
Cam Newton Note
Cam Newton photo 79. Cam Newton FA (BYE)
He's still a dangerous runner, but Cam's arm is shot. It seems unlikely he'll get another chance to start anywhere because he's simply not capable of making an NFL passing attack go.
34 weeks ago
Brock Purdy Note
Brock Purdy photo 80. Brock Purdy SF (vs . ARI)
Josh Rosen Note
Josh Rosen photo 81. Josh Rosen CLE (at PIT)
Easton Stick Note
Easton Stick photo 82. Easton Stick LAC (at DEN)
Josh Johnson Note
Josh Johnson photo 83. Josh Johnson DEN (vs . LAC)
Jake Browning Note
Jake Browning photo 84. Jake Browning CIN (vs . BAL)
David Blough Note
David Blough photo 85. David Blough MIN (at CHI)
Shane Buechele Note
Shane Buechele photo 86. Shane Buechele KC (at LV)
Tim Boyle Note
Tim Boyle photo 87. Tim Boyle DET (at GB)
Matt Barkley Note
Matt Barkley photo 88. Matt Barkley BUF (vs . NE)
Carson Strong Note
Carson Strong photo 89. Carson Strong FA (BYE)
Collin Hill Note
Collin Hill photo 90. Collin Hill FA (BYE)
Brett Hundley Note
Brett Hundley photo 91. Brett Hundley FA (BYE)
Jacob Eason Note
Jacob Eason photo 92. Jacob Eason CAR (at NO)
Logan Woodside Note
Logan Woodside photo 93. Logan Woodside TEN (at JAC)
Chris Oladokun Note
Chris Oladokun photo 94. Chris Oladokun KC (at LV)
Davis Webb Note
Davis Webb photo 95. Davis Webb NYG (at PHI)
Taysom Hill Note
Taysom Hill photo 96. Taysom Hill NO (vs . CAR)
Hill is a big-time runner but a CFL-caliber passer. The rushing ability gives him fantasy value whenever he sees the field, but the passing limitations prevent him from being anything but a Band-Aid for an NFL team. Possible he opens the 2022 season as the Saints' starter, but he'd probably only be keeping the seat warm for someone else.
34 weeks ago
Anthony Gordon Note
Anthony Gordon photo 97. Anthony Gordon FA (BYE)
Ben DiNucci Note
Ben DiNucci photo 98. Ben DiNucci FA (BYE)
Jake Luton Note
Jake Luton photo 99. Jake Luton NO (vs . CAR)
Chase Garbers Note
Chase Garbers photo 100. Chase Garbers LV (vs . KC)
Brady White Note
Brady White photo 101. Brady White FA (BYE)
Brian Lewerke Note
Brian Lewerke photo 102. Brian Lewerke FA (BYE)
Case Cookus Note
Case Cookus photo 103. Case Cookus FA (BYE)
Mike Glennon Note
Mike Glennon photo 104. Mike Glennon FA (BYE)
Jack Coan Note
Jack Coan photo 105. Jack Coan FA (BYE)
Chris Streveler Note
Chris Streveler photo 106. Chris Streveler NYJ (at MIA)
Cole Kelley Note
Cole Kelley photo 107. Cole Kelley FA (BYE)
Reid Sinnett Note
Reid Sinnett photo 108. Reid Sinnett MIA (vs . NYJ)
E.J. Perry Note
E.J. Perry photo 109. E.J. Perry JAC (vs . TEN)
D'Eriq King Note
D'Eriq King photo 110. D'Eriq King FA (BYE)
Dustin Crum Note
Dustin Crum photo 111. Dustin Crum FA (BYE)
Jake Fromm Note
Jake Fromm photo 112. Jake Fromm FA (BYE)
Garrett Gilbert Note
Garrett Gilbert photo 113. Garrett Gilbert FA (BYE)
Jeff Driskel Note
Jeff Driskel photo 114. Jeff Driskel HOU (at IND)
John Lovett Note
John Lovett photo 115. John Lovett MIA (vs . NYJ)
Kevin Hogan Note
Kevin Hogan photo 116. Kevin Hogan FA (BYE)
Jalen Morton Note
Jalen Morton photo 117. Jalen Morton FA (BYE)
James Morgan Note
James Morgan photo 118. James Morgan FA (BYE)
Jamie Newman Note
Jamie Newman photo 119. Jamie Newman FA (BYE)
Sean Mannion Note
Sean Mannion photo 120. Sean Mannion SEA (vs . LAR)
Josh Love Note
Josh Love photo 121. Josh Love FA (BYE)
K.J. Costello Note
K.J. Costello photo 122. K.J. Costello FA (BYE)
Kai Locksley Note
Kai Locksley photo 123. Kai Locksley FA (BYE)
Anthony Brown Note
Anthony Brown photo 124. Anthony Brown BAL (at CIN)
Will Grier Note
Will Grier photo 125. Will Grier DAL (at WAS)
Kaleb Eleby Note
Kaleb Eleby photo 126. Kaleb Eleby FA (BYE)
Kenji Bahar Note
Kenji Bahar photo 127. Kenji Bahar FA (BYE)
Danny Etling Note
Danny Etling photo 128. Danny Etling GB (vs . DET)
Khalil Tate Note
Khalil Tate photo 129. Khalil Tate FA (BYE)
Malik Cunningham Note
Malik Cunningham photo 130. Malik Cunningham FA (BYE)
Ryan Griffin Note
Ryan Griffin photo 131. Ryan Griffin TB (at ATL)
Roland Rivers III Note
Roland Rivers III photo 132. Roland Rivers III FA (BYE)
Nate Stanley Note
Nate Stanley photo 133. Nate Stanley FA (BYE)
Spencer Sanders Note
Spencer Sanders photo 134. Spencer Sanders FA (BYE)
Steven Montez Note
Steven Montez photo 135. Steven Montez FA (BYE)
Tanner Morgan Note
Tanner Morgan photo 136. Tanner Morgan FA (BYE)
Jarrett Guarantano Note
Jarrett Guarantano photo 137. Jarrett Guarantano ARI (at SF)
Nathan Peterman Note
Nathan Peterman photo 138. Nathan Peterman CHI (vs . MIN)
Zerrick Cooper Note
Zerrick Cooper photo 139. Zerrick Cooper FA (BYE)
AJ McCarron Note
AJ McCarron photo 140. AJ McCarron FA (BYE)
Blake Bortles Note
Blake Bortles photo 141. Blake Bortles FA (BYE)