Fantasy Football Player Notes

D.J. Moore's stock took a tumble last year as Moore sank to WR41 in fantasy points per game. Moore has a new home for 2026 and beyond after being traded to Buffalo as Josh Allen's new WR1. Moore had a 14.3% target share with 1.33 yards per route run, a 17.5% first-read share, and 0.063 first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). None of these numbers offer hope for 2026, but don't tune out just yet because I'm getting to the hope segment of this outlook. Buffalo hasn't had a dependable high-end target share earning receiving option since Stefon Diggs, and Joe Brady's previous experience with Moore has him and Buffalo believing that he can return to that form in 2026. Moore's deeper analytics agree with Brady. Last year, among 109 qualifying receivers, Moore was 47th and 49th in separation score and route win rate. The numbers get even better when we look at Moore as a perimeter receiver, which he'll be asked to do more than the 65% of the snaps that he played there last year. As an outside receiver last year, among the same sample of receivers, he was 36th in separation and 29th in route win rate. Moore looks like a nice bounceback candidate this season as a WR2/3 with upside for much more.

At this point in his career, we know who Khalil Shakir is. A low-ceiling WR3/4 or flex play on a weekly basis in PPR formats. Over the last two seasons, he has finished as the WR39 and WR33 in fantasy points per game. With the arrival of D.J. Moore this offseason, I don't see anything changing for Shakir. Last year, among 109 qualifying receivers, Shakir was 36th in target share, 55th in receiving yards per game, 41st in yards per route run, 38th in first-read share, and 80th in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Shakir is a bye-week replacement flex play at best this season.