Fantasy Football Player Notes

Brown is the WR5 in fantasy, ranking second in deep targets. Brown has four red zone looks in his last five games. He's been relatively quiet over the last three games by his standards, only surpassing 60 receiving yards once. This week, Brown should smash. Since Week 7, the 49ers have utilized single-high on 57.5% of their defensive snaps, but last week, it climbed to 62.9% with Talanoa Hufanga out for the season. Among 88 qualifying receivers against single-high, Brown ranks second in target share (34.7%), first in air-yard share (51.2%), third in YPRR (3.87), and first in first-read share (45.1%). Among the same sample of wide receivers, Brown is third in fantasy points per route run against single-high. Brown will dominate this week. Week 13 Positional Value: WR1

Swift is the RB12 in fantasy, averaging 19.3 touches and 96.8 total yards (since Week 2). Swift ranks 14th in snap share, 13th in opportunity share, and 10th in weighted opportunities. He is also sixth in carries and 12th in red zone touches among running backs. Swift ranks 12th in explosive run rate and 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt. He should shred the 49ers' run defense that has massive discrepancies in what they've allowed to zone and gap runs this season. The 49ers haven't been impervious overall, ranking 15th in explosive run rate and ninth in yards after contact per attempt since Week 7, but where they truly struggle is against zone runs. Against gap runs, they have allowed only 3.16 yards per carry, but versus zone they have given up the tenth-highest yards per carry (4.53) and the second-highest success rate since Week 7. Swift should see 15-20 touches this week. Week 13 Positional Value: RB1/2

Smith is the WR17 in fantasy points per game, ranking 17th in deep targets. Since Week 7, the 49ers have utilized single-high on 57.5% of their defensive snaps, but last week, it climbed to 62.9% with Talanoa Hufanga out for the season. Against single-high, Smith has a 19.4% target share, a 27.6% air-yard share, 1.20 YPRR, and a 19.7% first-read share. His fantasy points per route run have cratered to 0.28, which, among 88 qualifying wide receivers, ranks 62nd immediately behind Robert Woods. This doesn't project as a Smith smash week. Week 13 Positional Value: WR3

Gainwell is only a handcuff at this stage. Over the last four weeks, he has played only 30-37% of the snaps, averaging 4.3 touches and 22.6 total yards. Stash him if you have Swift. Week 13 Positional Value: Handcuff

Goedert has been listed as doubtful. Even if Goedert returns this week, the matchup isn't great for him. Since Week 7, the 49ers have utilized single-high on 57.5% of their defensive snaps, but last week, it climbed to 62.9% with Talanoa Hufanga out for the season. In Weeks 1-9, against single-high, Godert saw strong usage with an 18.1% target share, 1.41 YPRR, and a 21.1% first-read share. The issue is that the 49ers have been good at defending tight ends, allowing the sixth-lowest fantasy points per game, the lowest yards per reception, and the second-fewest receiving touchdowns per game. We'll see if he can give it a go this week, but even if he suits up, Goedert is only a low-end TE1 this week. Week 13 Positional Value: Low-end TE1 (if active)