Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 13 Rankings
|
1.
Joe Mixon
RB - HOU (at JAC)
Outside of a Week 2 matchup in which he suffered an injury, last week was Joe Mixon's worst output as a Houston Texan. Mixon totaled just 45 scoreless yards in Houston's upset loss at the hands of the Tennessee Titans. Mixon is in a prime bounce-back spot in Week 13 when Houston faces the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars rank dead last in DVOA defensively and have allowed the second-most fantasy points to enemy running backs this year. Mixon has been getting all the touches he can handle, and Houston has an upcoming bye next week. This could lead to a massive workload for Mixon in a game that will likely include a positive game script. Consider Joe Mixon an elite RB1 this week.
|
|
2.
Saquon Barkley
RB - PHI (at BAL)
Saquon Barkley has scored a total of 77 fantasy points over his last two games. There are only 35 other running backs who have scored 77 fantasy points this season. Last week was the fourth time this season that Barkley has led his position in fantasy points for the week. He has finished as a top-three fantasy back in six of his 11 games. Barkley will have his hands full versus a Baltimore defense that ranks inside the top 10 in terms of run defense. But Barkley has beaten tough matchups before, and there is no reason to expect anything different this week.
|
|
3.
Alvin Kamara
RB - NO (vs . LAR)
Saints running back Alvin Kamara has nine top-20 weekly fantasy finishes in 11 games thus far in 2024. He has surpassed 100 scrimmage yards in six of eight games in which starting quarterback Derek Carr has played. Kamara should be able to add to both of those totals in Week 13 when New Orleans hosts the Los Angeles Rams. Los Angeles was just obliterated by Saquon Barkley to the tune of 302 total yards last week. Kamara's high floor and ceiling make him an overall RB1 candidate this week.
|
|
4.
Bijan Robinson
RB - ATL (vs . LAC)
In his most recent game before last week's bye, Bijan Robinson had a season-low 8.3 fantasy points in Half-PPR formats. But fantasy managers should not hold that against Robinson heading into this week's matchup with the Los Angeles Chargers. Los Angeles has allowed 140 scrimmage yards to both Chase Brown and Derrick Henry in their last two games. Robinson has proven to be one of the most versatile running backs in the league, so he should be able to find a way to get the best of this matchup.
|
|
5.
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB - DET (vs . CHI)
Jahmyr Gibbs has finished among the top 24 fantasy running backs in all 11 of his games this season. He has four top-10 finishes in his last six outings and trails only Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry in total fantasy points entering Week 13. Gibbs figures to keep rolling in a Thanksgiving matchup with the Chicago Bears. Chicago continues to be a run funnel defensively. The Bears rank 30th in the NFL in defensive DVOA versus the run while ranking 10th against the pass. Gibbs is a solid RB1 in all formats this week and could get a slight bump in volume if David Montgomery is limited by his shoulder injury.
|
|
6.
Derrick Henry
RB - BAL (vs . PHI)
Derrick Henry gashed the Los Angeles Chargers for 140 rushing yards in Baltimore's seven-point win on Monday night. However, the Ravens' running back failed to find the end zone for the first time all season long. Even without the benefit of a touchdown or a single reception, Henry finished the week as a top-12 fantasy running back. Henry gets a tough matchup in Week 13 when Baltimore hosts the Philadelphia Eagles. But Henry has proven that he can be a fantasy asset regardless of matchup. Continue to treat Henry as a top-10 running back until further notice.
|
|
7.
Kyren Williams
RB - LAR (at NO)
Kyren Williams has been treading water in recent weeks, but his involvement in the passing game has fallen off since wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua returned to action. Williams has not been targeted out of the backfield in either of the Rams' last two games. He may not need to do much as a receiver this week to reward fantasy managers versus the New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 31st in the NFL in DVOA against the run and has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this year. Williams may have a lower ceiling than the truly elite RB1s, but he should be a solid source of fantasy production this week.
|
|
8.
Christian McCaffrey
RB - SF (at BUF)
The frustration continues to mount for fantasy managers who used their first overall picks on 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey. First, the star running back missed the first half of the year due to an injury. Now, McCaffrey is back but has looked anything but the part of a number-one overall pick. McCaffrey has yet to score in three games and is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. He is getting enough volume to keep him relevant. However, San Francisco's offense looked broken without quarterback Brock Purdy last week. Purdy has gotten in some throwing to start the week but he is questionable to start in Buffalo on Sunday. McCaffrey should be a volume-based RB1 this week, but his upside is limited if Purdy cannot suit up.
|
|
9.
De'Von Achane
RB - MIA (at GB)
Only Saquon Barkley has scored more fantasy points over the past five weeks than De'Von Achane. That timeframe coincides with the return of Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa has peppered Achane with targets all season long. In seven games alongside Tagovailoa, Achane has 40 receptions and five receiving touchdowns. That is starter-level production without even factoring in his rushing exploits. Expect Achane's all-around skill set to be on display on Thursday versus the Green Bay Packers. The Packers rank right around league average in most defensive metrics. As long as Achane continues to be effective as both a runner and receiver, he is a weekly threat to post top five numbers.
|
|
10.
Jonathan Taylor
RB - IND (at NE)
Jonathan Taylor has scored just 10 total fantasy points in two games since the Indianapolis Colts reinserted Anthony Richardson as the team's starting quarterback. The good news is that Taylor's workload has remained solid. He has 35 carries across those two games. With that volume, fantasy production will eventually follow. That could happen as soon as this Sunday versus the New England Patriots. The Patriots rank 30th in DVOA defensively and are allowing 137.8 total yards per game to opposing running backs. The Colts are a slight favorite, so Taylor should get plenty of chances to rack up fantasy points in this game.
|
|
11.
Josh Jacobs
RB - GB (vs . MIA)
Josh Jacobs scored a trio of one-yard touchdown runs in Green Bay's blowout win versus the San Francisco 49ers last week. Jacobs is in line for another productive day on the ground when Green Bay hosts the Miami Dolphins on Thanksgiving night. Miami is a run-funnel defense, ranking 26th in the league in DVOA against the run. The Dolphins have given up 13 total touchdowns to running backs, so Jacobs is a solid bet to score in this matchup. That should put Jacobs in the mix for a top-10 weekly finish.
|
|
12.
Kenneth Walker III
RB - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
13.
Chase Brown
RB - CIN (vs . PIT)
To say that Chase Brown has been Cincinnati's bell-cow back since the season-ending injury to Zack Moss would be an understatement. Brown has handled all 81 backfield touches for the Bengals over their last three games. Cincinnati may begin to involve Khalil Herbert in the mix following last week's bye, but Brown is the Bengals' back to start in all formats. Even in a tough matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Chase Brown is a borderline RB1 in Week 13.
|
|
14.
Chuba Hubbard
RB - CAR (vs . TB)
Last week, Hubbard played a season-high 89% of snaps with 17 touches and 60 total yards. He has averaged 18.9 touches and 91.1 total yards this season. Hubbard is the RB14 in fantasy points per game, ranking eighth in snap share, ninth in opportunity share, seventh in weighted opportunities, and ninth in red zone touches. Among 54 qualifying backs, Hubbard ranks tenth in explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt. Hubbard should have another strong week. Since Week 7, Tampa Bay has allowed the 12th-most rushing yards per game, the tenth-highest explosive run rate, the seventh-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest yards per carry to zone runs (Hubbard 66.1% zone).
|
|
15.
Breece Hall
RB - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
16.
David Montgomery
RB - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
17.
James Cook
RB - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
18.
Bucky Irving
RB - TB (at CAR)
Since Week 7, Irving has been the RB12 in fantasy points per game, averaging 42% of the snaps, 14.4 touches, and 86.6 total yards. He has been an efficiency darling all season, ranking fourth in explosive run rate, third in missed tackles forced per attempt, and third in yards after contact per attempt. Irving should run wild again in Week 13. Since Week 7, Carolina has allowed the second-highest rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt, the fifth-highest yards before contact per attempt, and the highest rushing success rate in the NFL.
|
|
19.
Aaron Jones
RB - MIN (vs . ARI)
Jones is the RB17 in fantasy points per game, ranking 19th in snap share and 13th in weighted opportunities and red zone touches. He has averaged 19.2 touches and 98.4 total yards. Among 54 qualifying backs, Jones ranks 30th in explosive run rate and 16th in yards after contact per attempt. Jones is headed for a long day. Since Week 7, Arizona has held backs to the lowest explosive run rate, the second-highest stuff rate, and the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game.
|
|
20.
Ja'Marr Chase
WR - CIN (vs . PIT)
Ja'Marr Chase looks to pick up in Week 13 where he left off heading into last week's bye. Chase leads all wide receivers in fantasy points this season by a significant margin. He has 47.1 more fantasy points than any other wideout. Chase and the Cincinnati Bengals face a tough test when they host the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh is a top-10 pass defense in most significant metrics this year. But Chase has a higher ceiling than just about any player in the league, making him an elite WR1 option even in a difficult matchup.
|
|
21.
A.J. Brown
WR - PHI (at BAL)
A.J. Brown caught six of seven targets for 109 yards and a touchdown last week versus the Los Angeles Rams. Brown now has 80 or more receiving yards in six of eight games this year. What is even more impressive is that four of those outings have come in games where Brown has seen seven or fewer targets. Brown is averaging 12.98 targets for the season. Compare that to a wideout like Malik Nabers, who is averaging 6.51 yards per target. Brown should be able to continue his hyper-efficient ways this week versus the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers this year. If this game becomes a shootout, A.J. Brown's ceiling is as high as any wide receiver's in the league this week.
|
|
22.
Nico Collins
WR - HOU (at JAC)
Nico Collins had 92 receiving yards and a touchdown last week against the Tennessee Titans. Collins trails only Ja'Marr Chase in fantasy points per game this season among wide receivers. A case can be made for Collins to close that gap in Week 13 when he faces the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars rank dead last in the NFL in both DVOA and EPA versus the pass this year. They also deploy a lot of man coverage, which Collins has been adept at beating throughout his career. Collins makes a strong candidate to be this week's overall WR1.
|
|
23.
Puka Nacua
WR - LAR (at NO)
If you exclude the two games this season in which Puka Nacua has left prematurely, he is averaging 16.7 fantasy points per game. That would place Nacua second among all wide receivers in that category. Nacua should be in for another strong outing in Week 13 when the Los Angeles Rams travel to New Orleans to face the Saints. New Orleans is a bit of a run-funnel defensively. But with the rapport that quarterback Matthew Stafford has developed with both Nacua and Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles should continue to be a pass-happy offense. That keeps both Rams wideouts in the mix to be weekly WR1s regardless of matchups.
|
|
24.
James Conner
RB - ARI (at MIN)
Conner is the RB17 in fantasy points per game, ranking 16th in snap share and weighted opportunities and eighth in red zone touches. He has averaged 17.7 touches and 100.3 total yards. Among 54 qualifying backs, he ranks 17th in explosive run rate, second in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 13th in yards after contact per attempt. Conner will be running into brick walls this week. Since Week 7, Minnesota has allowed the third-fewest rushing yards per game, the sixth-lowest explosive run rate, and the seventh-lowest missed tackle rate.
|
|
25.
Rico Dowdle
RB - DAL (vs . NYG)
Last week, Dallas actually stayed competitive, and we saw Dowdle play 61% of the snaps with 22 touches and 98 total yards. Since Week 9, he has found his stride. Among 40 qualifying backs, he has ranked 16th in explosive run rate and 15th in yards after contact per attempt. Dowdle should steamroll the Giants this week. Since Week 7, they have allowed the highest explosive run rate, the most rushing yards per game, and the highest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
26.
Justin Jefferson
WR - MIN (vs . ARI)
Justin Jefferson has slowed down in recent weeks after a torrid first half of the season. The Vikings star receiver has scored a total of just 21.1 fantasy points over his last three contests. Jefferson should be able to bounce back to a degree in Week 13. But he also does not have the best matchup available. The Arizona Cardinals have been a very stout defense of late. Arizona has allowed just one offensive touchdown in their last three games. They are also more effective in man coverage, which is also Jefferson's strong suit. Jefferson has earned the reputation as an every-week WR1, but he may be on the lower end of that spectrum this week.
|
|
27.
Tony Pollard
RB - TEN (at WAS)
With Tyjae Spears back, expect Pollard to share the workload with Spears this week. In Week 10, they had a near-even split. Pollard played 54% of the snaps with 13 touches and 63 total yards. He had 52% of the passing down snaps and 50% of the red zone snaps. Pollard should see 13-15 opportunities this week in a good rushing matchup. Among 54 qualifying backs, Pollard ranks 16th in explosive run rate and sixth in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 7, Washington has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards per game, the seventh-highest missed tackle rate, and the eighth-highest rushing success rate.
|
|
28.
Cooper Kupp
WR - LAR (at NO)
Cooper Kupp injured his knee in Week 2 and returned in Week 8. He played just over half of the offensive snaps in each of those two games. If you remove those and count Kupp's other five contests, he is averaging 18.8 fantasy points per game. That pace is well ahead of every other wide receiver in the league, save for Ja'Marr Chase. Kupp scored last week in a tough matchup, and he profiles as a solid WR1 again this week in a mostly neutral matchup with the New Orleans Saints.
|
|
29.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB - NYG (at DAL)
Last week, before Tracy fumbled at the beginning of the third quarter, Tracy's role was solidified as the early down hammer. He played 67% of the rushing play snaps but only 22% of the passing down snaps, as Singletary handled the bulk of passing downs (67%). In the second half, the backfield dissolved into a three-headed committee. The Giants' backfield could be watered down into a situation like Denver's in the upcoming weeks, where they deploy the "hot hand," which makes essentially no one playable from the backfield. Right now, I don't necessarily think that's the case, but I wouldn't be shocked if the team approaches it like that this week. Tracy has proven to be a talented rusher. Among 54 qualifying backs, Tracy ranks eighth in explosive run rate, 17th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 11th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 7, Dallas has allowed the second-highest explosive run rate, the fourth-most rushing yards per game, and the second-highest yards before contact per attempt. It's questionable whether Tracy will be able to take advantage of it, though. He could be saddled with a volume-limiting committee approach this week or be game-scripted out if Devin Singletary takes over as the Giants' are getting throttled.
|
|
30.
Najee Harris
RB - PIT (at CIN)
Harris is the RB27 in fantasy points per game, ranking 26th in snap share, 12th in weighted opportunities, and ninth in red zone touches. He has averaged 19.5 touches and 85.8 total yards. Among 54 qualifying backs, Harris ranks fifth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 24th in yards after contact per attempt. Cincy remains a plus matchup for backs. Since Week 7, they have allowed the 13th-highest explosive run rate, the 13th-lowest stuff rate, and the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt. I do have some concerns about Harris this week after last week's game. Warren played a season-high 57% of the snaps and 67% of the red zone snaps. It's a one-game sample, but it's worth noting.
|
|
31.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR - DET (vs . CHI)
Amon-Ra St. Brown failed to score a touchdown last week. It was St. Brown's first game without a score since way back in Week 2. He still finished as a top-30 fantasy wideout in Half-PPR circles, so it was not as if he disappeared. St. Brown is dealing with a knee injury and must return on a short week to face a tough Chicago Bears pass defense. Detroit has plenty of playmakers who can carry the load if St. Brown is limited. Fantasy managers should not panic about St. Brown, but perhaps expectations should be tempered this week.
|
|
32.
Brian Robinson Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . TEN)
Robinson Jr. was limited all week in practice until upgrading to a full session on Friday (ankle). He doesn't have an injury designation heading into Week 13. Robinson Jr. has averaged 14.8 touches and 70.7 total yards per game. Among 54 qualifying backs, Robinson Jr. ranks 15th in explosive run rates and 21st in missed tackles forced per attempt. Robinson Jr. has a horrible matchup this week, and he likely needs a touchdown to overcome it to have a good day in fantasy for Week 13. Since Week 7, Tennessee has allowed the 11th-fewest rushing yards per game, the ninth-lowest explosive run rate, and the seventh-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
33.
Mike Evans
WR - TB (at CAR)
Mike Evans returned to action last week following a four-week absence and had an efficient if not spectacular day. Evans caught five of six targets for 68 yards. Tampa Bay did not need Evans to do much, as they easily dispatched the New York Giants. The Buccaneers have another favorable draw this week when they travel to Carolina. Though Carolina has a reputation as a bad run defense, their pass defense has been just as bad. They rank 31st in EPA and 30th in DVOA versus the pass this year. This is a matchup that Evans should dominate if given the opportunity.
|
|
34.
CeeDee Lamb
WR - DAL (vs . NYG)
With Cooper Rush as the starter, Lamb has had a 26.5% target share, a 24.2% air-yard share, 1.68 YPRR, and a 37.8% first-read share. He has had only one end-zone target. Lamb has been peppered with short area targets with his 5.7 aDOT. He has finished as the WR14 in weekly scoring in each of the last two weeks. Since Week 7, New York has allowed the fifth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Lamb will get fed PPR goodness again this week. His floor has been established with the volume from Rush. The question now is, can he provide a higher ceiling with this week's matchup? We'll see.
|
|
35.
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB - NE (vs . IND)
The Patriots tinker too much with personnel usage on a weekly basis, and it has crept back into the running back position. Last week, Stevenson's snap rate dropped to 42% as he finished with eight touches and 13 rushing yards. I'm sorry, Jerod Mayo, but the problem with the run game isn't Stevenson. It's the abysmal offensive line that he has run behind all season. The Patriots have the second-lowest adjusted yards before contact per attempt in the NFL. The only team with a worse offensive line is the Seattle Seahawks in terms of run blocking. Stevenson's tackle-breaking metrics haven't been great, but I don't know how healthy he truly is because he began the year crushing in every category. He has fallen off and currently ranks 31st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 33rd in yards after contact per attempt. Maybe Stevenson can get back on track this week, but there are no guarantees with this offense. He does have a great matchup this week, though. Since Week 7, Indy has allowed the 11th-most rushing yards per game, the eighth-highest explosive run rate, and the ninth-highest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
36.
George Pickens
WR - PIT (at CIN)
Pickens is the WR36 in fantasy points per game, which is disappointing as he has underperformed this season, considering his role. Pickens is the WR11 in expected fantasy points per game. Pickens has a 26.6% target share, a 46.7% air-yard share, 2.57 YPRR, and a 36.2% first-read share. Sadly, this doesn't project as a Pickens smash week unless Pittsburgh gets behind early and he gets peppered with targets. Since Week 10, Cincy has moved more to two high coverage with the 12th-highest rate (55.1%). Pickens' numbers have fallen against two high with a 19.2% target share, 1.66 YPRR, and a 28% first-read share. Cincy's corner struggles also help Pickens' Week 13 outlook. Since Week 7, Cincy has allowed the second-most receiving yards per game and the ninth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
37.
Tee Higgins
WR - CIN (vs . PIT)
When Higgins has been healthy, he has been amazing this season as the WR6 in fantasy points per game. In his six games played, he has six deep targets and nine red zone targets. Higgins has a 26.5% target share, 2.35 YPRR, and a 38.1% first-read share. The Steelers have utilized single-high at the highest rate in the NFL (71.6%). Against single-high, Higgins' numbers have remained strong with a 28.6% target share, 2.28 YPRR, and a 42.4% first-read share. Higgins could EAT this week if Joey Porter Jr. follows Ja'Marr Chase all day, but I won't rule Higgins getting the shadow, considering how well he has played against single-high and his role in the offense. Since Week 7, Pittsburgh has allowed the 13th-highest PPR points per target and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
38.
D'Andre Swift
RB - CHI (at DET)
|
|
39.
Tyreek Hill
WR - MIA (at GB)
Since Tua Tagovailoa's return, Hill has only seen an 18.8% target share, a 34.2% air-yard share, and a 23.1% first-read share (tied for the team lead) while producing 1.90 YPRR and 55.4 receiving yards per game. Since Week 8, Hill has six red zone targets. Since Week 6, Green Bay has utilized two high at the tenth-highest rate (52.8%). Across his last five games, against two high, Hill has had only a 16.5% target share with 1.36 YPRR and an 18.8% first-read share. It hasn't been pretty, and I don't think it will get any better this week. Since Week 7, Green Bay has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target and the fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
40.
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE (at DEN)
It hasn't been pretty for Chubb since returning. Last week, he played a season-high 66% of the snaps with 21 touches and 60 total yards. The two scores saved his day. Over the last two weeks, he still hasn't looked like his former self, with only a 6% missed tackle rate and 2.16 yards after contact per attempt. This week's matchup with Denver won't help evoke good memories of Chubb, either. Since Week 7, Denver has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game, the eighth-lowest rushing success rate and they have the third-highest stuff rate.
|
|
41.
Courtland Sutton
WR - DEN (vs . CLE)
Courtland Sutton has worked his way into WR1 consideration as his connection with rookie quarterback Bo Nix continues to develop. Sutton has bounced back from a Week 7 goose egg to be the overall WR2 across the subsequent five weeks. He has always been able to create explosive plays and now is getting the volume to match. In those five games, Sutton has 36 receptions for 467 yards and three touchdowns. A Week 13 date with the Cleveland Browns seems ideal for Sutton's skill set. Cleveland plays a lot of man coverage but struggles in that alignment. Sutton is averaging 2.57 yards per route run versus man coverage this year. Keep Courtland Sutton in Week 13 lineups as a borderline WR1.
|
|
42.
Malik Nabers
WR - NYG (at DAL)
Last week, Nabers finished as the WR25 for the week with a 28.1% target share, a 43.9% air-yard share, 64 receiving yards (1.73 YPRR), and a 34.8% first-read share. Nabers is in a similar situation as Lamb. Plenty of low-calorie targets are being fed in his direction weekly, but the offensive environment and putrid quarterback play are neutering him into a volume-based WR2. Since Week 6, Dallas has allowed the tenth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. We'll see if Nabers can take advantage of the plus matchup with DeVito under duress and chucking spoiled cutlets at him all day.
|
|
43.
Drake London
WR - ATL (vs . LAC)
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London has scored just one touchdown over his last four games. That has resulted in some subpar fantasy performances. London has finished outside the top 30 in three of his last four games. The Falcons return from last week's bye and will face the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13. The Chargers have an above-average pass defense, but London has been excellent at home this year. London has scored in three straight home games and four of his last five. Consider Drake London a touchdown-dependent WR1 in this matchup.
|
|
44.
Gus Edwards
RB - LAC (at ATL)
Last week in the second half, Edwards played 75% of the rushing play snaps, but he only played 18% of the passing down snaps and 33% of the red zone snaps as Hassan Haskins gobbled up the passing downs and the red zone snaps. Edwards will be a game script sensitive back while J.K. Dobbins is out. If the Bolts can keep the score close or play with a lead, then Edwards should be the back getting the early down work. If they fall behind in games, we could see Edwards head to the bench. Edwards has looked like a back on his last legs this season, with only a 5% missed tackle rate and 1.95 yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 7, Atlanta has been the smash rushing matchup they were at the beginning of the season, allowing the fourth-lowest rushing touchdown rate, the lowest missed tackle rate, the 14th-fewest rushing yards per game, and ranking 16th in yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
45.
Calvin Ridley
WR - TEN (at WAS)
In the three games with Levis back, Ridley has finished as the WR3, WR41, and WR20 in weekly fantasy scoring. He has seen a 26.6% target share, a 52.5% air-yard share, and a 33.9% first-read share, producing 78.3 receiving yards per game with 2.67 YPRR. He also has two red zone targets and two scores. Since Week 6, Washington has the third-highest single-high rate in the NFL (62.9%). Ridley has seen a boost against single high all year, and in the last three games, that has remained true. In this small sample, he has had a 29.4% target share, 3.03 YPRR, and a 36% first-read share against single-high. Since Week 6, Washington has held perimeter wide receivers to the 12th-lowest PPR points per target. The matchup is tough, but Ridley can likely overcome it.
|
|
46.
Garrett Wilson
WR - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
47.
Ladd McConkey
WR - LAC (at ATL)
McConkey is the WR31 in fantasy points per game and has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in four of his last eight games. Unfortunately, he has only had two red zone targets in his last five games, which has hurt his floor and ceiling. He hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 8. McConkey has a 21.6% target share, 2.37 YPRR, and a 27% first-read share. He is tied for the team lead with four end-zone targets. Since Week 6, Atlanta has had the fifth-highest rate of two high (55.6%). Against two high, McConkey is tied for the team lead with a 19.6% target share, ranks first with a 23.2% first-read share, and sadly has only had 1.53 YPRR. McConkey should lead the way against a secondary that has allowed the 11th-most fantasy points per game and ranked 17th in receiving yards per game allowed to slot receivers.
|
|
48.
DK Metcalf
WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
49.
Kareem Hunt
RB - KC (vs . LV)
Hunt is the RB16 in fantasy points per game, ranking 21st in snap share, seventh in opportunity share, and sixth in red zone touches. He has averaged 21.5 touches and 89 total yards this season. Hunt should retain the lion's share of the workload this week, even with Isiah Pacheco returning. I expect we'll see Pacheco get a handful of touches and snaps this week, as the team will likely ease him back in. This hurts Hunt's ceiling, but his floor for Week 13 is still high. Among 54 qualifying backs, he ranks 50th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 46th in yards after contact per attempt. The volume has been integral to Hunt's fantasy value, so I can't pretend that his value doesn't take somewhat of a hit this week and moving forward, especially with the Raiders' run defense improving. Since Week 7, Las Vegas has allowed the eighth-fewest rushing yards per game, the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, and the tenth-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
50.
Isiah Pacheco
RB - KC (vs . LV)
Pacheco will be active this week, but we shouldn't expect more than a handful of snaps and carries this week. Against what has been an improved Raiders run defense, Pacheco isn't flex-worthy this week. Since Week 7, Las Vegas has allowed the eighth-fewest rushing yards per game, the eighth-lowest explosive run rate, and the tenth-lowest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
51.
Zay Flowers
WR - BAL (vs . PHI)
Flowers is the WR22 in fantasy points per game, ranking tenth in deep targets among wideouts. He has finally seen his red zone usage return with three red zone looks across his last four games after zero red zone targets in Weeks 3-8. Flowers has a 25% target share, 2.34 YPRR, and a 29.5% first-read share. Since Week 8, Philly has ranked ninth in single high rate (58%). Against single-high, Flowers has had a 28.5% target share, 3.18 YPRR, and a 32.3% first-read share. Philly's secondary has been exceptional, so starting Flowers this week is a bet on talent and offensive environment. Since Week 7, Philly has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game and the lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
52.
Jayden Reed
WR - GB (vs . MIA)
Reed has fallen all the way to WR26 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 4, he has eclipsed 60 receiving yards in a game only twice and seen only three red zone targets during that span. This could be a bounce-back spot for Reed. With Kader Kohou in the starting slot corner spot, Miami has been tough against the slot. In Weeks 1-7, Miami held slot receivers to the 13th-lowest PPR points per target. Since Week 10, with his return to the lineup, Miami has kept slot receivers in check, giving up the eighth-lowest PPR points per target. The coverage matchup leans in Reed's direction, though. Since Week 7, Miami has utilized two high with 51% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 4, against two high, Reed has ranked second on the team with a 23% TPRR, first in YPRR (2.56), and first in first-read share (25%).
|
|
53.
Davante Adams
WR - NYJ (vs . SEA)
Since joining New York, Adams has been the WR32 in fantasy points per game with a 25.8% target share, a 29% air-yard share, 1.77 YPRR, and a 31% first-read share. He has two end-zone targets and seven red-zone targets across his last five games. Since Week 10, Seattle has had the ninth-highest two-high rate (56.4%). Since Week 7, against two high, Adams has had a 27.4% target share, 2.36 YPRR, and a 34% first-read share. Adams should lead the way through the air against Seattle's new-look pass defense. Since Week 10, they have allowed the third-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
54.
Taysom Hill
QB,TE - NO (vs . LAR)
Since Week 8, Hill has been the TE2 in fantasy points per game behind only George Kittle. Yes, his Week 11 performance is skewing that figure some, but Hill also posted 16 PPR points in Week 9, so let's not act like that one game is hopelessly leading people astray. Since Week 10, Hill has had a 57.9% route share while leading the team with a 22.2% target share with 2.61 YPRR and a team-leading 23.7% first-read share. Hill has been not only a rushing threat with five carries and 47.8 rushing yards per game since Week 8, but he has also been operating as New Orleans' WR1 without Chris Olave. Since Week 8, the Rams have allowed the eighth-most rushing yards per game. Los Angeles has also allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends. Regardless of how you approach Hill's role, he has a wonderful matchup this week.
|
|
55.
Terry McLaurin
WR - WAS (vs . TEN)
McLaurin is the WR17 in fantasy points per game, ranking fifth in deep targets among wideouts and drawing three red zone targets over his last four games. Since Week 10, Tennessee has utilized two high coverage at the fourth-highest rate (64%). Against two high, McLaurin has had a 19.6% target share, a 41.1% air-yard share, 1.72 YPRR, and a 25.5% first-read share. The efficiency has dipped some against two-high, but McLaurin should still get plenty of volume against a burnable secondary to pay off in Week 13. Since Week 7, Tennessee has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
56.
DJ Moore
WR - CHI (at DET)
|
|
57.
Travis Kelce
TE - KC (vs . LV)
Travis Kelce had six catches for 62 yards last week in Kansas City's win in Carolina. Kelce has reached each of those thresholds in six of his last eight games. He gets a fantastic Week 13 matchup when the Chiefs host the Las Vegas Raiders. Las Vegas has allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. Kelce scored 20 fantasy points in the Week 8 meeting in Vegas and is poised to have another big day this time around.
|
|
58.
Rachaad White
RB - TB (at CAR)
Since Week 7, White has been the RB8 in fantasy points per game, averaging 54% of the snaps with 12.4 touches and 66 total yards. This season, among 54 qualifying backs, he ranks 36th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt. White should have another nice day in Week 13. Since Week 7, Carolina has allowed the second-highest rushing yards per game, the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt, the fifth-highest yards before contact per attempt, and the highest rushing success rate in the NFL.
|
|
59.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR - JAC (vs . HOU)
Thomas Jr. is the WR28 in fantasy, ranking 22nd in deep targets among wideouts. In Weeks 1-9, with Lawrence, he had seven red zone targets, an 18.4% target share, 2.52 YPRR, and a 21.9% first-read share. In the Jags Week 4 meeting with Houston, the Texans utilized single high on 68.6% of their defensive snaps. In Weeks 1-9, against single high, Thomas Jr. had a 20.5% target share, 2.84 YPRR, and a 23.3% first-read share. That's a sizable bump for Thomas Jr., and he'll need it against a Houston secondary that, since Week 7, has held perimeter wide receivers to the fourth-lowest PPR points per target while also ranking 19th in receiving yards per game allowed.
|
|
60.
Tank Dell
WR - HOU (at JAC)
Since Nico Collins' return to the lineup, Dell has had a 17.9% target share, a 37.6% air-yard share, 2.14 YPRR, and a 20% first-read share. Those are solid market share and efficiency numbers, but they haven't translated to big fantasy days as Dell has finished as the WR41 and WR33 in weekly fantasy scoring. He hasn't seen a red zone target over the last two weeks after seeing six in his previous five games. Dell hasn't smashed, but that's not because he has been playing bad. Over the last two weeks, among 86 qualifying receivers, Dell ranks first in separation and 12th in route win rate. C.J. Stroud hasn't been playing good football and the offensive line has been a big concern. Assuming Stroud can look closer to his 2023 self this week, Dell should crush. Since Week 7, Jacksonville has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
61.
Brock Bowers
TE - LV (at KC)
Raiders' rookie tight end Brock Bowers had a rare dud last week in the team's 10-point loss to the Denver Broncos. Bowers only caught four of 10 targets for 38 scoreless yards. Bowers had entered last week's contest averaging 7.93 yards per target, so expect him to get back on track this week. The matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs is not ideal, but the volume should be enough to boost Brock Bowers back into top-five territory this week.
|
|
62.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
63.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR - ARI (at MIN)
Harrison Jr.'s rookie season has been a resounding disappointment. He is the WR39 in fantasy points per game, ranking tenth in deep targets among wide receivers. He has only two touchdowns and one red zone target since Week 5. This week's matchup won't help his season-long numbers either. Minnesota has the highest two high rate in the NFL (68.4%). Two high coverage has been Harrison Jr.'s kryptonite. Against two high, Harrison has a 17.9% target share, 1.46 YPRR, and a 25.7% first-read share. Since Week 7, Minnesota has allowed the tenth-highest receiving yards per game and PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Still, I don't know if Harrison will be able to take advantage of the soft secondary.
|
|
64.
Khalil Shakir
WR - BUF (vs . SF)
Since Week 7, Shakir has been the WR22 in fantasy points per game. During this stretch, he has had a 23.5% target share, 2.38 YPRR, and a 31.2% first-read share. He has been Buffalo's high-volume underneath threat. He has six red zone targets across his last five games. Shakir will see plenty of volume this week, but keep expectations in check. Since Week 7, the 49ers have allowed the second-fewest receiving yards per game and the lowest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
65.
Jameson Williams
WR - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
66.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR - SF (at BUF)
Samuel has had a tough season as the WR42 in fantasy points per game. He has four red zone targets in his last three games with Purdy starting, but he hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 6. Since Week 8, he has had a 22.2% target share, producing only 51.7 receiving yards per game with 1.74 YPRR and a 28.6% first-read share. We'll see if Samuel can get back on track this week. Samuel could struggle, though, as Buffalo has limited yards after the catch this season. They have held receivers to the sixth-fewest yards after the catch per reception and the 12th-fewest missed tackles.
|
|
67.
Trey McBride
TE - ARI (at MIN)
Trey McBride set career-highs in receptions (12), targets (15), and receiving yards (133) in last week's loss in Seattle. Fantasy managers have to love that type of volume, especially at the tight end position. However, it sure would be nice if McBride could catch a touchdown pass every once in a while. The third-year tight end still has not caught one this season. Could this be the week that changes? The odds say no. McBride faces the Minnesota Vikings this week. Minnesota has only given up two receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends this year. McBride should continue to earn enough volume for him to remain a top-five option this week, but his touchdown upside is lower than most of his peers atop the tight end rankings.
|
|
68.
Travis Etienne Jr.
RB - JAC (vs . HOU)
The workload division for this backfield this week is tough to project. Etienne began the season with the clear workhorse, which he operated as in Weeks 10-11, but Bigsby flashed all season and earned more work. Bigsby should factor in on early downs while Etienne handles the passing downs and half of the early down carries (maybe more). Among 54 qualifying backs, Etienne ranks 13th in explosive run rate and 37th in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 7, Houston has allowed the fourth-highest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt. Overall, this season, the Texans have given up the fourth-highest explosive run rate, the tenth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 13th-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Etienne 61% gap).
|
|
69.
Jaylen Warren
RB - PIT (at CIN)
Is the worm turning in the Pittsburgh backfield with Warren healthy? It's a question worth asking after last week's game. Warren played a season-high 57% of the snaps while also handling 67% of the red zone snaps. He finished with 14 touches and 64 total yards. Since Week 8, Warren has looked like himself with a 7% explosive run rate, a 28% missed tackle rate, and 2.60 yards after contact per attempt. This week's usage for Warren will be telling. The matchup sets up well for him to ball out this week. Since Week 7, Cincy has allowed the 13th-highest explosive run rate, the 13th-lowest stuff rate, and the eighth-highest yards after contact per attempt.
|
|
70.
Jakobi Meyers
WR - LV (at KC)
Meyers is the WR20 in fantasy points per game and has been a volume monster without Davante Adams on the team. Since Week 4, he has had a 24.5% target share, a 37% air-yard share, 1.89 YPRR, and a 32.9% first-read share. He averaged 71.2 receiving yards per game during that span, but sadly, he had only seen four red zone targets and scored one receiving touchdown. The last time Meyers faced Kansas City, he finished as the WR20 for the week with six receptions, 52 receiving yards, and a score. The Chiefs have been more vulnerable to perimeter wide receivers recently. Since Week 7, they have allowed the 13th-highest PPR points per target to the position. Meyers is a strong play again this week.
|
|
71.
Darnell Mooney
WR - ATL (vs . LAC)
While Mooney was on the injury report before the bye and had only a 56% snap rate against Denver, this was more due to the blowout nature of that game. In the first half of the game, Mooney played 100% of the offensive snaps. Mooney is the WR25 in fantasy points per game, ranking seventh in deep targets among wide receivers. He hasn't seen a red zone target since Week 7. Mooney has a 21.3% target share, 2.09 YPRR, and a 28.9% first-read share. Los Angeles has the second-highest two high rate in the NFL (60.8%). Mooney's target share against two high has remained stable while his YPRR has jumped to 2.71, and his first-read share has ticked up slightly to 29.2%. Mooney should have a solid day against the Chargers' secondary that, since Week 10, has ranked 18th in receiving yards per game and 16th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
72.
George Kittle
TE - SF (at BUF)
No Brock Purdy, no problem for San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle last week. Kittle caught all six targets from Brandon Allen for 82 yards and San Francisco's lone touchdown in their blowout loss last week in Green Bay. Of course, Kittle would be best served going forward (as would San Francisco's other skill players) if Purdy could return from his shoulder injury. Purdy's status is in question for Sunday night's Week 13 matchup in Buffalo. Fantasy managers should continue to start Kittle in all formats this week, but his upside would take a hit if Allen were forced into action again.
|
|
73.
Jauan Jennings
WR - SF (at BUF)
Since Week 10, with Purdy under center, Jennings has had a 32.8% target share, a 38.8% air-yard share, 2.71 YPRR, and a 41.3% first-read share. In those two games, he had four red zone targets and finished as the WR15 and the WR7 in weekly fantasy scoring. Since Week 7, Buffalo has allowed the 14th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Jennings should step up with another solid performance this week.
|
|
74.
Tank Bigsby
RB - JAC (vs . HOU)
The workload division for this backfield this week is tough to project. Bigsby began the season as a part-time player who earned more work and didn't contribute much to passing downs before seeing more passing down snaps with Travis Etienne getting hurt. My guess is that we see Bigsby on the early downs, with Etienne handling some of the early down work while taking the bulk of the passing down snaps. Bigsby has been awesome as a rusher this season, ranking fifth in explosive run rate and first in yards after contact per attempt (minimum 50 carries). Since Week 7, Houston has allowed the fourth-highest explosive run rate and yards after contact per attempt. Overall, this season, the Texans have given up the fourth-highest explosive run rate, the tenth-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the 13th-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Bigsby 50.5% gap).
|
|
75.
Keenan Allen
WR - CHI (at DET)
|
|
76.
Jordan Addison
WR - MIN (vs . ARI)
After last week's surprisingly massive game, Addison is now the WR33 in fantasy points per game. He has ten deep targets and only four red zone targets in his ten games played. He has seen three of those red-zone looks in the last four games. Since Week 6, Arizona has had the ninth-highest two high rate in the NFL (53.3%). Against two high, Addison has a 16.6% target share, 2.07 YPRR, and an 18.9% first-read share. Addison's efficiency is encouraging that he can possibly overcome this week's tough matchup. Since Week 7, Arizona has allowed the second-lowest PPR points per target and the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
77.
Jaylen Waddle
WR - MIA (at GB)
I'm not chasing Waddle's explosive outing last week. I love the player and the talent, but I hate his usage this season. Since Tua Tagovailoa's return, Waddle has had a 15.3% target share, 2.05 YPRR, and a 15.7% first-read share. It hasn't been pretty, as he has averaged only 55.8 receiving yards per game. Waddle has only one red zone target since Week 7. Since Week 6, Green Bay has utilized two high at the tenth-highest rate (52.8%). Across his last five games, against two high, Waddle has had only a 14.7% target share, 1.69 YPRR, and a 15% first-read share. Since Week 7, Green Bay has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target and the fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
78.
Javonte Williams
RB - DEN (vs . CLE)
No. Nope. No Denver Broncos running back should grace your starting lineup. There's no way I can trust a Denver running back in fantasy right now. After Williams led the way against the Falcons with 13 touches and 87 total yards in Week 11, he face-planted in Week 12. Yes, he played 56% of the snaps, but he only had ten touches and turned them into four total yards. Keep Williams on your rosters with the hope that this becomes a backfield we can trust again, but there's no way anyone can start him with a shred of confidence right now.
|
|
79.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - CLE (at DEN)
The Jeudy revenge game narratives could get squashed quickly this week if Patrick Surtain shadows him. For whatever reason, Surtain hasn't shadowed since Week 10, but don't count out Surtain shadowing Jeudy this week. Does anyone think that Denver wants Jeudy to pop off with a big game and rub it in their faces? I highly doubt it. The easiest way to keep that from happening is to put their best defensive player in his back pocket all game. Surtain has followed receivers on at least 60.4% of their routes five times this season. In those games, no receiver has eclipsed 30 receiving yards in his primary coverage. With Winston under center, Jeudy has had a 21.7% target share, 2.37 YPRR, and a 25.2% first-read share as the WR8 in fantasy points per game. He has two red zone targets in those four games. Since Week 7, Denver has allowed the 15th-most PPR points per target and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
80.
Christian Watson
WR - GB (vs . MIA)
If Love is looking to attack Miami deep this week, Watson should be a big part of the equation. Watson leads the team with 14 deep targets. Miami has faced the eighth-fewest deep attempts, but they have allowed the fourth-highest passer rating and the seventh-highest adjusted completion rate to deep passing. Please, Watson, for the love of everything holy and sacred in this world...catch the dang ball when it's thrown your way deep. Since Week 7, Miami has utilized two high with 51% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 4, against two high, Watson ranks fifth on the team in TPRR (16%), but he ranks second behind only Reed in YPRR (2.13). Since Week 7, Miami has allowed the seventh-lowest PPR points per target and the 11th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
81.
DeAndre Hopkins
WR - KC (vs . LV)
Kansas City has continued to water down Hopkins usage as they are utilizing a full-blown committee behind Xavier Worthy and Travis Kelce. Last week, Hopkins had a 44.7% route share, which ranked sixth on the team as he drew a 16.2% target share and 22.7% first-read share with two end zone targets, 1.67 YPRR (35 receiving yards), and a 23.8% air-yard share. This type of usage is nightmare fuel. When he's on the field, Hopkins is being targeted at strong rates, but the dwindling number of routes weekly is concerning that floor could drop out any week. This week against a middle-of-the-road secondary that has allowed the 17th-highest PPR points per target since Week 7 against perimeter wide receivers, Hopkins is a volatile flex play.
|
|
82.
Rome Odunze
WR - CHI (at DET)
|
|
83.
T.J. Hockenson
TE - MIN (vs . ARI)
Hockenson is the TE9 in fantasy points per game this season and has seen two red zone targets in his four games played. He has a 17.1% target share, 2.33 YPRR, and a 16.9% first-read share. He played a season-high 68% of the snaps last week and had a 76.3% route share. Hockenson will remain a TE1 but don't expect a smash game from him in Week 13. Arizona has held tight ends to the 11th-fewest receiving yards per game, the eighth-lowest yards per reception, and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game.
|
|
84.
Amari Cooper
WR - BUF (vs . SF)
In his last two games played for Buffalo, Cooper has had only a 54.9% route share, a 6.8% target share, 1.29 YPRR, and a 10.5% first-read share. It's tough to get excited about Cooper right now. He practiced in full all week, so hopefully, his route share will increase this week. That's also making the assumption that he has had the necessary time to ingest the playbook fully. Since Week 7, San Francisco has allowed the seventh-fewest receiving yards per game and the tenth-fewest fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. Cooper is a sketchy flex play this week.
|
|
85.
Xavier Worthy
WR - KC (vs . LV)
Since the Chiefs acquired DeAndre Hopkins, Worthy's route share has never dipped below 64.3%. In his five games with Hopkins, Worthy has played the field stretching role for two games, but in three games his role has been fairly consistent (Weeks 8, 11, & 12). In those games, Worthy has had a 10.3 aDOT, a 17.6% target share, 1.71 YPRR, and a 24.6% first-read share. In those games, (one of which was against Las Vegas), Worthy has seen three red zone targets. Worthy is just a middling flex play this week against a secondary that, since Week 7, has allowed the 17th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
86.
Jonnu Smith
TE - MIA (at GB)
Since Week 8, Smith has been the TE7 in fantasy points per game, with two games with at least 23.7 PPR points. Across his last five games, he has led the team with a 20% target share, 2.45 YPRR, and a 23.1% first-read share. He has four red zone targets in his last four games. Since Week 6, Green Bay has utilized two high at the tenth-highest rate (52.8%). Across his last five games, against two high, Smith has seen his target share rise to 22.9% with 2.46 YPRR and a 27.5% first-read share. Smith should smash again. Green Bay has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
87.
Xavier Legette
WR - CAR (vs . TB)
Since Week 8, with Bryce Young as the starter, Legette has finished as a WR3 twice (WR33, WR28). He has seen three red zone targets and scored twice. He has had a 17.7% target share, a 29.7% air-yard share, 1.50 YPRR, and a 20.4% first-read share. Since Week 10, Tampa Bay has utilized single-high at the third-highest rate (70.7%). Since Week 8, against single-high, Legette has had an 18.8% target share, 1.74 YPRR, and an 18.5% first-read share. He's a strong flex this week against a secondary that, since Week 7, has allowed the 13th-most receiving yards per game and the seventh-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
88.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR - IND (at NE)
Pittman Jr. might get the Christian Gonzalez shadow treatment this week. Last week, Gonzalez followed Tyreek Hill on 54.5% of his routes, allowing 48 receiving yards in his primary coverage. Gonzalez has followed eight receivers this season on at least 53.8% of their routes. Only D.K. Metcalf surpassed 67 receiving yards with Gonzalez attached to them. Over the last two games with Richardson back under center, Pittman Jr. has had a 24.1% target share, a 29.4% air-yard share, 2.96 YPRR, and a 28.3% first-read share while averaging 71 receiving yards per game. Pittman has one red zone target over the last two weeks. If Pittman can avoid a Gonzalez shadow on the majority of his routes, he could be productive this week. Since Week 7, New England has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game and the sixth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
89.
David Njoku
TE - CLE (at DEN)
With Winston under center, Njoku has been the TE8 in fantasy points per game. He has had a 16.8% target share, 1.25 YPRR, and a 15.1% first-read share. He has only two red zone targets across his last four games. I'd be looking for a streaming option this week instead of playing Njoku. Denver has allowed the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game and the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
90.
Cade Otton
TE - TB (at CAR)
|
|
91.
Evan Engram
TE - JAC (vs . HOU)
In Weeks 1-9 with Lawrence under center, Engram was the TE8 in fantasy points per game and saw three red zone targets in his five games played. He had a 24.3% target share, 1.89 YPRR, and a 25.9% first-read share. In the Jags Week 4 meeting with Houston, the Texans utilized single high on 68.6% of their defensive snaps. In Weeks 1-9, against single high, Engram had a 26% target share, 2.39 YPRR, and a 27.4% first-read share. Engram should have a nice day if Lawrence is back. Houston has allowed the tenth-highest yards per reception and the ninth-most receiving touchdowns per game to tight ends.
|
|
92.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR - NO (vs . LAR)
In his last two games, Valdes-Scantling has finished as the WR2 and WR22 in weekly fantasy scoring. I know what you're thinking..."There's no way that he can keep this up." Well, you're probably right, but there's a path for Valdes-Scantling to continue to thread the needle this week. Since Week 10, he has had a 68.4% route share, a 13% target share, a 46.6% air-yard share (26.4 aDOT), 5.03 YPRR, and an 18.4% first-read share. 57.1% of his target volume has been via deep targets. Since Week 7, the Rams have allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and third-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. The Rams have also had issues with defending deep passing all season. They have allowed the 12th-most deep passing yards per game and the fourth-highest deep-adjusted completion rate.
|
|
93.
Quentin Johnston
WR - LAC (at ATL)
Johnston is the WR43 in fantasy points per game, with four weeks this season as a WR3 or higher in weekly fantasy scoring. He ranks 22nd among wide receivers in deep targets while seeing three red zone targets across his last five games. Since Week 6, Atlanta has had the fifth-highest rate of two high (55.6%). The matchup is fantastic this week for Johnston, but I worry he will be on the outside looking in, considering Atlanta's lean to more two-high coverage. Against two high, he ranks seventh on the team in separation score and fourth in route win rate. Among all of the Bolts receivers with a minimum of 25 routes against two high, he is sixth in TPRR (13%), second in YPRR (1.93), and third in first-read share (17.7%). Johnston is a volatile flex play this week. There's a wide range of outcomes for his Week 13 outlook. Since Week 7, Atlanta has allowed the second-most receiving yards per game and the second-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
94.
Noah Brown
WR - WAS (vs . TEN)
Brown has three finishes this season as a WR3 or higher (WR23, WR35, WR23). He has two red zone targets across his last four games. Since Week 10, Tennessee has utilized two high coverage at the fourth-highest rate (64%). Since Week 3, against two high, Brown has had a 15.7% target share, 1.55 YPRR, and an 18.6% first-read share. Since Week 7, Tennessee has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Brown is a viable flex play this week.
|
|
95.
Dallas Goedert
TE - PHI (at BAL)
Goedert is the TE8 in fantasy points per game, with two red zone targets in his last three games. Last week, he didn't take advantage of a glorious matchup as Philly just fed Saquon Barkley all day in lieu of throwing the ball. Hopefully, Baltimore's awesome run defense and the Ravens' explosive offense will force Philly's hand and make them take to the air this week. Goedert has an 18.3% target share, 2.21 YPRR, and a 22.5% first-read share. He faces a Baltimore pass defense that has given up the third-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
96.
Elijah Moore
WR - CLE (at DEN)
With Winston starting, Moore has been the WR43 in fantasy points per game with two top 24 wide receiver weekly finishes (WR22, WR14). He has had a 20.5% target share, 1.49 YPRR, one red zone target, and a 22.7% first-read share. Moore is a flex play better left on your bench this week. Since Week 7, Denver has allowed the fifth-fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
97.
DeMario Douglas
WR - NE (vs . IND)
In his five full games with Maye under center, Douglas has had an 18.8% target share, 2.08 YPRR, 59.6 receiving yards per game, and a 23.1% first-read share. Douglas had only one red zone target during that stretch and scored only one touchdown this season. This lack of high-leverage usage caps his ceiling weekly. Douglas is still a decent weekly flex in PPR leagues. Since Week 7, Indy has limited slot receivers to the 13th-lowest PPR points per target and the sixth-fewest receiving yards per game.
|
|
98.
Alec Pierce
WR - IND (at NE)
Pierce is dealing with a foot issue. He didn't practice until Friday of this week, when he logged a full session. He has been listed as questionable for Week 13. Since Week 8, New England has leaned more toward two-high heavy, utilizing the coverage with at least 47.2% or higher of their defensive snaps. In Week 10, they deployed single high with 82.9% of their snaps, but that looks like an anomaly. If we exclude Week 10 from the sample, since Week 8, New England has utilized two-high with 52.2% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Pierce has had only a 17% TPRR, but he also has 2.26 YPRR against two high. Like Mitchell, his field-stretching role in the offense hasn't been conducive to drawing targets against two high coverage. Among 94 qualifying receivers, he ranks 22nd in separation and 27th in route win rate against two high. Pierce should also be able to flaunt his field-stretching talents this week against New England. He leads all wide receivers in deep targets this season. He faces a secondary that, since Week 6, has allowed the tenth-most deep passing yards per game, the 12th-highest passer rating to deep passing, and the seventh-highest deep adjusted completion rate. Pierce is a strong flex play this week with big-time upside.
|
|
99.
Hunter Henry
TE - NE (vs . IND)
In his six full games with Maye, Henry has finished as a TE1 four times and seen eight red zone targets. He has a 17.8% target share, 1.63 YPRR, and a 22% first-read share while averaging 51.7 receiving yards per game. Henry should flirt with TE1 production again this week against a pass defense that has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game and the ninth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
100.
Sam LaPorta
TE - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
101.
Dontayvion Wicks
WR - GB (vs . MIA)
If Doubs misses the game this week, Wicks will be a starter again for Week 13. Wicks (like Watson) should be highly involved if Love is going to challenge this secondary deep. He ranks second on the team in deep targets. Since Week 7, Miami has utilized two high with 51% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 4, against two high, Wicks has led the team in TPRR (27%) and ranks second in first-read share (20.5%), but he has ranked fifth in YPRR (1.20). If he can convert on a deep target (or two), he'll pay off, but it's tough to project this week as his efficiency has dropped off against two high. Since Week 7, Miami has allowed the seventh-lowest PPR points per target and the 11th-fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
102.
Rashod Bateman
WR - BAL (vs . PHI)
This isn't the game to consider Bateman in your flex spots. Since Week 8, Philly has ranked ninth in single high rate (58%). Against single-high, Bateman has only had a 13.4% target share with 1.22 YPRR and a 14.5% first-read share. Philly's pass defense has also been incredible recently. Since Week 7, Philly has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game and the lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Sit Bateman.
|
|
103.
Adonai Mitchell
WR - IND (at NE)
With Josh Downs out, Mitchell likely assumes the primary slot receiver role. In Weeks 1-1 with Downs out, Mitchell ran 54.8% of his routes from the slot. Since Week 8, New England has leaned more toward two-high heavy, utilizing the coverage with at least 47.2% or higher of their defensive snaps. In Week 10, they deployed single high with 82.9% of their snaps, but that looks like an anomaly. If we exclude Week 10 from the sample, since Week 8, New England has utilized two-high with 52.2% of their defensive snaps. Against two high, Mitchell has only had a 20% TPRR and 0.37 YPRR, but that doesn't really speak to his effectiveness against the coverage. He has played a part-time field stretching role this season, which isn't conducive to use against two-high. Mitchell leads the team in separation and route win rate against two high. Among 94 qualifying receivers, Mitchell ranks seventh in separation and fifth in route win rate against two high. If Christian Gonzalez is plastered to Micheal Pittman Jr., Mitchell should see strong usage in Week 13. New England has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game and the tenth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
104.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR - TEN (at WAS)
Westbrook-Ikhine has scored in six of his past seven games. I keep saying, "he won't do it again," and he does. With Levis back, he has seen a 16.5% target share with 2.20 YPRR and a 21.4% first-read share. Since Week 6, Washington has the third-highest single-high rate in the NFL (62.9%). In this small sample with Levis since Week 10, against single-high, his target share has fallen to 11.8% with only 0.28 YPRR. Sit Westbrook-Ikhine this week. Since Week 6, Washington has held perimeter wide receivers to the 12th-lowest PPR points per target.
|
|
105.
Ameer Abdullah
RB - LV (at KC)
Last week, Abdullah operated as Las Vegas's bell cow with 90% of the snaps, 13 touches, and 65 total yards. He could be the team's lead back again this week. He generated only 1.88 yards after contact per attempt and 0.79 YPRR, which isn't great, but if he's going to see this type of workload weekly, it puts him in the RB2/3 and flex conversation. Volume is king in fantasy, and Abdullah is seeing it. That was true last week, as he finished as the RB9 for the week. Since Week 7, Kansas City has allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game, the third-lowest explosive run rate, and the 14th-lowest missed tackle rate.
|
|
106.
Devaughn Vele
WR - DEN (vs . CLE)
Vele has finished as a top 24 wide receiver in weekly scoring in two of his last three games (WR21, WR22). He has two red zone targets in those three games. Since Week 10, Vele has had a 17.1% target share, 3.79 YPRR, and a 22.4% first-read share. He's a strong flex play again this week. Since Week 7, Cleveland has allowed the fifth-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
107.
Will Dissly
TE - LAC (at ATL)
Dissly is the TE19 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 weeks across his last six games. Since Week 6, Atlanta has had the fifth-highest rate of two high (55.6%). Against two high, he leads the team with a 29% TPRR and 2.29 YPRR while also ranking second in first-read share (20.7%). Atlanta has allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game and ranked 17th in yards per reception allowed to tight ends.Â
|
|
108.
Kyle Pitts
TE - ATL (vs . LAC)
Pitts will likely struggle this week. The Bolts have been electric at defending tight ends and Pitts has disappeared against two high coverage. Los Angeles has allowed the sixth-lowest yards per reception and the eighth-lowest fantasy points per game to tight ends. The Chargers have the second-highest rate of two high in the NFL (60.8%). Against two high, Pitts has had a 13.8% target share, 1.07 YPRR, and an 11.5% first-read share. Sit Pitts this week and stream a tight end.
|
|
109.
Mark Andrews
TE - BAL (vs . PHI)
Since Week 5, Andrews has been the TE8 in fantasy points per game, soaking up a 58.6% route share with a 14.9% target share, 2.23 YPRR, and a 16.2% first-read share. Andrews overcame a tough matchup last week against a Bolts secondary that hadn't allowed a receiving touchdown to tight ends all year, so I won't discount that he could do it again this week. Philly has allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game and only one receiving touchdown to tight ends this season.
|
|
110.
Tucker Kraft
TE - GB (vs . MIA)
Since Jordan Love's return in Week 4, Kraft has been the TE9 in fantasy with a 12% target share, 1.52 YPRR, a 12.7% first-read share, and six red zone targets. Since Week 7, Miami has utilized two high with 51% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 4, against two high, Kraft has seen his target share rise to 15.2% with 1.86 YPRR and a 14.8% first-read share. Kraft is a fringe TE1 this week against a pass defense that has allowed the 13th-most receiving yards per game while also ranking 17th in fantasy points per game given up to tight ends.
|
|
111.
Justice Hill
RB - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
112.
Joshua Palmer
WR - LAC (at ATL)
Last week, Palmer saw his second-highest route share of the season (81.8%) with a 22.2% target share and a season-high 26.3% first-read share. Sadly, he only produced 1.06 YPRR and 38 receiving yards, but the usage was a nice thing to see. Since Week 6, Atlanta has had the fifth-highest rate of two high (55.6%). Palmer could stay heavily involved this week as he is second behind only McConkey in separation and leads the team in route win rate against two high. Since Week 7, Atlanta has allowed the second-most receiving yards per game and the second-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
113.
Wan'Dale Robinson
WR - NYG (at DAL)
Robinson has dissolved into a low-end PPR flex play only. Last week, he had a 15.6% target share, a 5.8 aDOT, 47 receiving yards, and a 21.7% first-read share. Since Week 7, Robinson has managed double-digit fantasy points only once. He hasn't seen a red zone target since Week 8. Since Week 6, Dallas has allowed the 13th-most fantasy points per game and the highest PPR points per target to slot receivers, but it's a consistent theme with this offense. After considering the quarterback play and offensive environment, I don't know if Robinson can excel this week.
|
|
114.
Adam Thielen
WR - CAR (vs . TB)
Last week, Thielen returned to the huddle with a 70% route share, earning an 11.4% target share and 16% first-read share with 57 receiving yards (2.04 YPRR) and a red zone target. Thielen is a low-end flex play this week. Since Week 7, Tampa Bay has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers.
|
|
115.
Zach Ertz
TE - WAS (vs . TEN)
Ertz is the TE10 in fantasy points per game, ranking fifth in red zone targets among tight ends. He has been heavily involved inside the red zone, with five red zone targets across his last three games. Since Week 10, Tennessee has utilized two high coverage at the fourth-highest rate (64%). Against two high, Ertz has led the team with a 21.7% target share and ranked second with 2.05 YPRR and a 24.5% first-read share. Ertz has run 57.2% of his routes from the slot this season. Since Week 7, Tennessee has held slot receivers to the 11th-lowest PPR points per target. It's a tough matchup for the veteran, but he might get enough volume that it doesn't matter.
|
|
116.
David Moore
WR - CAR (vs . TB)
Last week, Moore led the team with an 87.5% route share, a 28.6% target share, 81 receiving yards, 2.31 YPRR, and a 36% first-read share. Moore had four red zone targets and finished as the WR11 for the week. He's a sneaky flex option this week that could crush again. Since Week 7, Tampa Bay has allowed the 13th-most receiving yards per game and the seventh-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
117.
Tyler Allgeier
RB - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
118.
Michael Wilson
WR - ARI (at MIN)
Murray hasn't been playing well enough to consistently support anyone through the air outside of Trey McBride and Marvin Harrison Jr. Wilson is likely headed toward another quiet day. Wilson has finished with less than eight PPR points in 64% of his games this season. Minnesota has the highest two high rate in the NFL (68.4%). Against two high, Wilson has had a 14.9% target share, 1.21 YPRR, and an 18.1% first-read share. Sit Wilson.
|
|
119.
Cole Kmet
TE - CHI (at DET)
|
|
120.
Demarcus Robinson
WR - LAR (at NO)
Since Week 8, Robinson has had an 11.8% target share, averaging 37.2 receiving yards per game with 1.23 YPRR and a 12.8% first-read share. He leads the team during this span in end-zone targets with six. He has been a touchdown-scoring machine with five scores in his last five games. I won't be surprised if he scores again this week against the Saints' soft secondary. Since Week 7, they have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game and the eighth-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
121.
Tyler Lockett
WR - SEA (at NYJ)
Lockett has fallen to a distant third in the target pecking order. Across the last four games, he hasn't seen more than four targets in any game. He has only once in that span surpassed 20 receiving yards and has zero red zone targets. Since Week 7, Lockett has managed double-digit fantasy points only once. He is droppable in all redraft formats.
|
|
122.
Braelon Allen
RB - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
123.
Dalton Schultz
TE - HOU (at JAC)
Schultz is the TE25 in fantasy points per game with only one TE1 game this season. He has a 13.6% target share, 1.11 YPRR, and a 13.4% first-read share. He has seen his red zone usage creep up in the last two games with two red zone targets. If you need a streamer this week, Schultz could fit the bill. Jacksonville has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and the fifth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
124.
Jalen Tolbert
WR - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
125.
Kayshon Boutte
WR - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
126.
Pat Freiermuth
TE - PIT (at CIN)
Freiermuth has had a rough season as the TE20 in fantasy points per game. He has surpassed 50 receiving yards only twice in his last seven games. His red zone usage has ticked up recently, with three red zone targets in his last three games. This week's matchup against Cincy does offer some hope for Freiermuth as he reenters the streaming list. Since Week 10, Cincy has moved more to two high coverage with the 12th-highest rate (55.1%). Against two high, Freiermuth is second on the team with a 12.3% target share while producing 1.47 YPRR and seeing a 14.7% first-read share (third on the team). Cincy has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game and the second-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
|
|
127.
Devin Singletary
RB - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
128.
Tre Tucker
WR - LV (at KC)
|
|
129.
Calvin Austin III
WR - PIT (at CIN)
Austin hits the flex radar this week. Since Week 10, Cincy has moved more to two high coverage with the 12th-highest rate (55.1%). Against two high, Austin has a 12.3% target share and 17.3% first-read share (both second on the team) while leading the team in percentage of receiving yards against two high (24.2%) and YPRR (2.41). Since Week 7, Cincy has allowed the 14th-most receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
|
|
130.
Jerome Ford
RB - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
131.
Jeremy McNichols
RB - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
132.
Dawson Knox
TE - BUF (vs . SF)
In Week 11, Kincaid missed the game, and Knox was the full-time starter for Buffalo. Knox had a 75.6% route share, a 15% target share, 1.18 YPRR, and a 17.6% first-read share. He finished with four receptions and 40 receiving yards as the TE17 for the week. He's headed for another TE2 finish this week. San Francisco has allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game and the fewest yards per reception to tight ends.
|
|
133.
Luke Schoonmaker
TE - DAL (vs . NYG)
With Jake Ferguson out this week (concussion), Schoonmaker will be the primary receiving tight end for Dallas again this week. Schoonmaker has finished as the TE9 in fantasy in each of the last two weeks. Since Week 11, he has had a 50% route share, a 14.8% target share, 2.31 YPRR (55 receiving yards per game), and an 18.6% first-read share. He hasn't seen a red zone target in either game. This isn't a good matchup for Schoonmaker. New York has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game and the third-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends.
|
|
134.
Noah Gray
TE - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
135.
Kendrick Bourne
WR - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
136.
Jalen McMillan
WR - TB (at CAR)
|
|
137.
Tyjae Spears
RB - TEN (at WAS)
Spears will be back this week. In Week 10, he had a near-even split, with Pollard playing 46% of the snaps with ten touches and 51 total yards. He played 48.5% of the passing down snaps and 50% of the red zone snaps. Spears has forced a missed tackle on 14% of his touches this season, with 2.51 yards after contact per attempt. These are decent but not amazing per-touch numbers. He has a nice matchup this week to improve upon those stats. Since Week 7, Washington has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards per game, the seventh-highest missed tackle rate, and the eighth-highest rushing success rate.
|
|
138.
Cam Akers
RB - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
139.
Mike Gesicki
TE - CIN (vs . PIT)
With Tee Higgins healthy, Gesicki is droppable. In the six games Higgins has been active, Gesicki's production has evaporated with only a 5.2% target share, 0.55 YPRR, and 11.8 receiving yards per game. If Higgins misses any more time this season, head back to the waiver wire immediately to pick up Gesicki, but his fantasy value is gone with HIggins in the lineup.
|
|
140.
Roschon Johnson
RB - CHI (at DET)
|
|
141.
Isaiah Likely
TE - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
142.
Zach Charbonnet
RB - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
143.
Juwan Johnson
TE - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
144.
Kimani Vidal
RB - LAC (at ATL)
|
|
145.
John Metchie III
WR - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
146.
Antonio Gibson
RB - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
147.
Ray Davis
RB - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
148.
Ricky Pearsall
WR - SF (at BUF)
Pearsall isn't playable in fantasy this week. He hasn't had a single receiving yard over the last two games. He has only two targets over his last two games. Stash him on the bench if you have the space, but if you need the bench spot for another player, you can safely cut Pearsall.
|
|
149.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
WR - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
150.
Audric Estime
RB - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
151.
Jaylen Wright
RB - MIA (at GB)
|
|
152.
Jaleel McLaughlin
RB - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
153.
Keon Coleman
WR - BUF (vs . SF)
Coleman has been limited in practice all week (wrist). He has been listed as questionable. Coleman is the WR54 in fantasy points per game with three games as a WR3 or higher this season (WR36, WR15, WR16). He has a 13.6% target share, 2.02 YPRR, and a 19.4% first-read share. Coleman has four red zone targets in his last three games played. Since Week 7, the 49ers have utilized single-high at the eighth-highest rate (59.3%). Against single-high, Coleman has seen his target share climb to 14.1% with 2.69 YPRR. Since Week 7, the 49ers have ranked 18th in PPR points per target allowed to perimeter wide receivers.
|
|
154.
Tyler Conklin
TE - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
155.
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
156.
Trey Benson
RB - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
157.
Theo Johnson
TE - NYG (at DAL)
Last week, Johnson had an 18.8% target share (six targets), a 21.7% first-read share, and a 60% route share. He finished with three receptions and 39 receiving yards in a fantastic matchup for tight ends. You know where I'm going with this. Dallas is a nice matchup for Johnson this week, but this offense hinders every skill player. Johnson is a low-end streaming option only. He has only one red zone target this season (Week 3). Dallas has allowed the fourth-highest yards per reception and the fourth-most receiving touchdowns per game to tight ends.
|
|
158.
Raheem Mostert
RB - MIA (at GB)
|
|
159.
Sterling Shepard
WR - TB (at CAR)
Last week, with Mike Evans back, Shepard was the underneath/designed target option for the offense. He led the team with a 23.3% target share and a 26.1% first-read share. He turned his five receptions into only 16 receiving yards. He had a 3.1 aDOT, and 42.9% of his targets were designed. At this stage of his career, Shepard is not an explosive yard after the catch threat. Last week, he had only 2.8 yards after the catch per reception. He is more of a PPR flex option moving forward if he retains this role. Since Week 7, Carolina has allowed the seventh-highest PPR points per target to slot receivers.
|
|
160.
Emanuel Wilson
RB - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
161.
Parker Washington
WR - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
162.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
163.
Chig Okonkwo
TE - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
164.
Tim Patrick
WR - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
165.
Darius Slayton
WR - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
166.
Kenneth Gainwell
RB - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
167.
Sean Tucker
RB - TB (at CAR)
|
|
168.
Jonathon Brooks
RB - CAR (vs . TB)
Last week, Brooks only played five snaps. He had two carries for seven yards. If you have the bench space, he's a stash, but he's not fantasy-viable.
|
|
169.
Blake Corum
RB - LAR (at NO)
|
|
170.
Jalen Nailor
WR - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
171.
Tyler Boyd
WR - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
172.
Ezekiel Elliott
RB - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
173.
Austin Hooper
TE - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
174.
Chris Brooks
RB - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
175.
Noah Fant
TE - SEA (at NYJ)
Fant will be back this week (groin). He has practiced in full all week and doesn't have an injury designation this week. Fant has a 10% target share, 1.32 YPRR, and a 12% first-read share. He's the TE24 in fantasy points per game and has seen only one red zone target this season. Fant is a TE2 better left on the waiver wire this week. The Jets have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends this season.
|
|
176.
KaVontae Turpin
WR - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
177.
Jordan Mason
RB - SF (at BUF)
|
|
178.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
179.
Darnell Washington
TE - PIT (at CIN)
|
|
180.
Brandin Cooks
WR - DAL (vs . NYG)
Cooks will likely be active this week, but with Rush under center and Cook's snap rate uncertain for Week 13, he's not fantasy viable this week. Pick him up in deep leagues if you have the bench space, but he's not a priority add.
|
|
181.
Justin Watson
WR - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
182.
Hassan Haskins
RB - LAC (at ATL)
|
|
183.
Troy Franklin
WR - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
184.
Tommy Tremble
TE - CAR (vs . TB)
|
|
185.
Curtis Samuel
WR - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
186.
Sincere McCormick
RB - LV (at KC)
|
|
187.
Samaje Perine
RB - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
188.
Foster Moreau
TE - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
189.
DeVonta Smith
WR - PHI (at BAL)
DeVonta Smith (WR)
Smith didn't practice on Wednesday (hamstring), but he closed the week with limited practice sessions on Thursday and Friday. He has been listed as questionable for Week 13. Smith is the WR32 in fantasy points per game. Philly's heavy lean on the run game has hurt his weekly floor, with less than 30 receiving yards in three of his last five games. He's also only seen two red zone targets over his last seven games, so it's not likely that a touchdown will save him weekly. With all that said, Baltimore has been a defense that has been far easier to pass against all season, which should help Philly's passing volume this week and Smith's fantasy outlook. Smith has a 23.3% target share, 2.07 YPRR, and a 32% first-read share. He faces a secondary that, since Week 7, has allowed the most fantasy points per game and receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. |
|
190.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WR - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
191.
Mike Williams
WR - PIT (at CIN)
In three games with Pittsburgh, Williams has one target and hasn't played more than 32% of the snaps in any game. He is droppable at this point. This trade feels eerily similar to Baltimore's move for Diontae Johnson.
|
|
192.
Tutu Atwell
WR - LAR (at NO)
|
|
193.
Mack Hollins
WR - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
194.
Khalil Herbert
RB - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
195.
Jahan Dotson
WR - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
196.
Van Jefferson
WR - PIT (at CIN)
|
|
197.
Diontae Johnson
WR - BAL (vs . PHI)
I don't know why Baltimore made the trade for Diontae Johnson at this point. Was this just done to block another team from getting him? I have no clue at this point. Last week, Johnson ran four routes. Yep, just four routes. He remains waiver wire fodder.
|
|
198.
Odell Beckham Jr.
WR - MIA (at GB)
|
|
199.
Emari Demercado
RB - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
200.
AJ Barner
TE - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
201.
Dare Ogunbowale
RB - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
202.
Bo Melton
WR - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
203.
Andrei Iosivas
WR - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
204.
DJ Turner
WR - LV (at KC)
|
|
205.
Ty Johnson
RB - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
206.
Jamaal Williams
RB - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
207.
Ja'Lynn Polk
WR - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
208.
Nelson Agholor
WR - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
209.
JaMycal Hasty
RB - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
210.
Dyami Brown
WR - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
211.
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB - PIT (at CIN)
|
|
212.
Malik Washington
WR - MIA (at GB)
|
|
213.
Trey Sermon
RB - IND (at NE)
|
|
214.
Cade Stover
TE - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
215.
Dameon Pierce
RB - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
216.
Davis Allen
TE - LAR (at NO)
|
|
217.
Kevin Austin Jr.
WR - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
218.
Jalen Reagor
WR - LAC (at ATL)
|
|
219.
Jamari Thrash
WR - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
220.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
221.
Greg Dortch
WR - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
222.
Jordan Akins
TE - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
223.
Luke McCaffrey
WR - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
224.
Keaton Mitchell
RB - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
225.
Carson Steele
RB - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
226.
Devin Duvernay
WR - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
227.
Kylen Granson
TE - IND (at NE)
|
|
228.
Jermaine Burton
WR - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
229.
Craig Reynolds
RB - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
230.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
WR - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
231.
Hunter Luepke
RB - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
232.
Brenton Strange
TE - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
233.
Michael Mayer
TE - LV (at KC)
|
|
234.
Xavier Gipson
WR - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
235.
Eric Gray
RB - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
236.
Adam Trautman
TE - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
237.
Colby Parkinson
TE - LAR (at NO)
|
|
238.
Robert Woods
WR - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
239.
Tanner Hudson
TE - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
240.
Malik Heath
WR - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
241.
Kyle Juszczyk
RB - SF (at BUF)
|
|
242.
Jordan Mims
RB - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
243.
Julius Chestnut
RB - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
244.
Elijah Higgins
TE - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
245.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
246.
Tyler Goodson
RB - IND (at NE)
|
|
247.
Dylan Laube
RB - LV (at KC)
|
|
248.
Lucas Krull
TE - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
249.
Malachi Corley
WR - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
250.
Jalen Brooks
WR - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
251.
Josh Whyle
TE - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
252.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
WR - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
253.
Trey Palmer
WR - TB (at CAR)
|
|
254.
Isaac Guerendo
RB - SF (at BUF)
|
|
255.
Jeremy Ruckert
TE - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
256.
Josh Reynolds
WR - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
257.
Michael Burton
RB - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
258.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
259.
Ty Chandler
RB - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
260.
Deven Thompkins
WR - CAR (vs . TB)
|
|
261.
Tyler Johnson
WR - LAR (at NO)
|
|
262.
Derius Davis
WR - LAC (at ATL)
|
|
263.
Johnny Mundt
TE - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
264.
Tylan Wallace
WR - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
265.
Rakim Jarrett
WR - TB (at CAR)
|
|
266.
Brock Wright
TE - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
267.
Jalin Hyatt
WR - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
268.
Drew Sample
TE - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
269.
Zay Jones
WR - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
270.
Grant Calcaterra
TE - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
271.
Britain Covey
WR - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
272.
Mo Alie-Cox
TE - IND (at NE)
|
|
273.
Jonathan Mingo
WR - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
274.
Drew Ogletree
TE - IND (at NE)
|
|
275.
Tucker Fisk
TE - LAC (at ATL)
|
|
276.
Ainias Smith
WR - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
277.
Tim Jones
WR - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
278.
Jake Bobo
WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
279.
Julian Hill
TE - MIA (at GB)
|
|
280.
Will Shipley
RB - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
281.
Patrick Ricard
RB - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
282.
Anthony Gould
WR - IND (at NE)
|
|
283.
Nick Vannett
TE - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
284.
Parris Campbell
WR - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
285.
Jaelon Darden
WR - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
286.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
WR - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
287.
Alec Ingold
RB - MIA (at GB)
|
|
288.
Keilan Robinson
RB - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
289.
Quintin Morris
TE - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
290.
Luke Farrell
TE - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
291.
DJ Chark Jr.
WR - LAC (at ATL)
|
|
292.
Kadarius Toney
WR - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
293.
Nate Adkins
TE - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
294.
Jordan Whittington
WR - LAR (at NO)
|
|
295.
Allen Robinson II
WR - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
296.
MyCole Pruitt
TE - PIT (at CIN)
|
|
297.
John Bates
TE - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
298.
Javon Baker
WR - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
299.
KhaDarel Hodge
WR - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
300.
Durham Smythe
TE - MIA (at GB)
|
|
301.
C.J. Ham
RB - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
302.
Bryce Oliver
WR - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
303.
Pharaoh Brown
TE - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
304.
Ryan Miller
WR - TB (at CAR)
|
|
305.
Brandon Powell
WR - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
306.
Sione Vaki
RB - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
307.
J.J. Taylor
RB - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
308.
Ronnie Rivers
RB - LAR (at NO)
|
|
309.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
310.
Ben Sims
TE - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
311.
Ben Skowronek
WR - PIT (at CIN)
|
|
312.
Hunter Long
TE - LAR (at NO)
|
|
313.
Stone Smartt
TE - LAC (at ATL)
|
|
314.
Kenny Yeboah
TE - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
315.
Travis Homer
RB - CHI (at DET)
|
|
316.
Adam Prentice
RB - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
317.
Payne Durham
TE - TB (at CAR)
|
|
318.
Kalif Raymond
WR - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
319.
Daniel Bellinger
TE - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
320.
Ben Sinnott
TE - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
321.
Eric Saubert
TE - SF (at BUF)
|
|
322.
Chris Conley
WR - SF (at BUF)
|
|
323.
Ross Dwelley
TE - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
324.
Kenny McIntosh
RB - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
325.
Zach Pascal
WR - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
326.
Cody White
WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
327.
Raheem Blackshear
RB - CAR (vs . TB)
|
|
328.
Irvin Charles
WR - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
329.
Tip Reiman
TE - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
330.
John FitzPatrick
TE - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
331.
DeAndre Carter
WR - CHI (at DET)
|
|
332.
Jacob Cowing
WR - SF (at BUF)
|
|
333.
Jordan Matthews
TE,WR - CAR (vs . TB)
|
|
334.
Isaiah Davis
RB - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
335.
Dallin Holker
TE - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
336.
Blake Whiteheart
TE - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
337.
Dalvin Cook
RB - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
338.
Zach Davidson
TE - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
339.
Cedric Tillman
WR - CLE (at DEN)
Tillman sustained a concussion last week. He remains in the concussion protocol and hasn't practiced this week. I will update his status on Saturday, but I would expect him to be out this week.
|
|
340.
Mason Tipton
WR - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
341.
Terrell Jennings
RB - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
342.
Jordan Franks
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
343.
Blake Watson
RB - DEN (vs . CLE)
|
|
344.
Charlie Woerner
TE - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
345.
Jaheim Bell
TE - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
346.
Stephen Sullivan
TE - CAR (vs . TB)
|
|
347.
Jha'Quan Jackson
WR - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
348.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
WR - LV (at KC)
|
|
349.
Connor Heyward
TE - PIT (at CIN)
|
|
350.
Dan Chisena
WR - CAR (vs . TB)
|
|
351.
Elijah Cooks
WR - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
352.
Kene Nwangwu
RB - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
353.
River Cracraft
WR - MIA (at GB)
|
|
354.
Laquon Treadwell
WR - IND (at NE)
|
|
355.
Shane Zylstra
TE - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
356.
Will Mallory
TE - IND (at NE)
|
|
357.
Anthony Firkser
TE - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
358.
Justin Shorter
TE,WR - LV (at KC)
|
|
359.
Gerald Everett
TE - CHI (at DET)
|
|
360.
Ko Kieft
TE - TB (at CAR)
|
|
361.
Jalen Coker
WR - CAR (vs . TB)
Coker is dealing with an injured quad. He was held out of last week's game and opened this week with a DNP. He's looking likely to miss Week 13. I'll update his status on Friday, but I'm not hopeful that he will play.
|
|
362.
Trayveon Williams
RB - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
363.
Nick Muse
TE - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
364.
Ronnie Bell
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
365.
Xavier Smith
WR - LAR (at NO)
|
|
366.
Tyreik McAllister
RB,WR - LV (at KC)
|
|
367.
Casey Washington
WR - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
368.
Cam Grandy
TE - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
369.
Jalen Virgil
WR - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
370.
Jermaine Jackson
WR - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
371.
Reggie Gilliam
RB - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
372.
Chris Manhertz
TE - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
373.
Marcedes Lewis
TE - CHI (at DET)
|
|
374.
Avery Williams
RB - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
375.
Jared Wayne
WR - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
376.
Irv Smith Jr.
TE - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
377.
Peyton Hendershot
TE - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
378.
Princeton Fant
TE - DAL (vs . NYG)
|
|
379.
DeeJay Dallas
RB - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
380.
Collin Johnson
WR - CHI (at DET)
|
|
381.
Zaire Mitchell-Paden
TE - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
382.
Jake Tonges
TE - SF (at BUF)
|
|
383.
Maurice Alexander
WR - FA (BYE)
|
|
384.
Charlie Kolar
TE - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
385.
C.J. Uzomah
TE - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
386.
Bryce Ford-Wheaton
WR - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
387.
Josiah Deguara
TE - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
388.
Robert Tonyan
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
389.
Brandon Johnson
WR - PIT (at CIN)
|
|
390.
Devontez Walker
WR - BAL (vs . PHI)
|
|
391.
Brady Russell
TE - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
392.
Jack Westover
TE - NE (vs . IND)
|
|
393.
Dee Williams
CB,WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
394.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
RB - MIA (at GB)
|
|
395.
Tom Kennedy
WR - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
396.
Marquez Callaway
WR - TB (at CAR)
|
|
397.
Mason Kinsey
WR - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
398.
Isaiah Williams
WR - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
399.
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR - NO (vs . LAR)
|
|
400.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
WR - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
401.
Austin Trammell
WR - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
402.
Justyn Ross
WR - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
403.
Montrell Washington
WR - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
404.
Kendric Pryor
WR - CIN (vs . PIT)
|
|
405.
James Proche II
WR - CLE (at DEN)
|
|
406.
Tyrell Shavers
WR - BUF (vs . SF)
|
|
407.
Alex Bachman
WR - LV (at KC)
|
|
408.
Danny Gray
WR - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
409.
Brycen Tremayne
WR - WAS (vs . TEN)
|
|
410.
Trishton Jackson
WR - MIN (vs . ARI)
|
|
411.
Isaiah Hodgins
WR - NYG (at DAL)
|
|
412.
Chris Blair
WR - ATL (vs . LAC)
|
|
413.
Velus Jones Jr.
RB,WR - JAC (vs . HOU)
|
|
414.
John Ross
WR - PHI (at BAL)
|
|
415.
Cornelius Johnson
WR - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
416.
Erik Ezukanma
WR - MIA (at GB)
|
|
417.
N'Keal Harry
TE,WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
418.
Stanley Morgan Jr.
WR - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
419.
Miles Boykin
WR - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
420.
Cody Thompson
WR - TB (at CAR)
|
|
421.
Tejhaun Palmer
WR - ARI (at MIN)
|
|
422.
Samori Toure
WR - CHI (at DET)
|
|
423.
Tanner Conner
TE - MIA (at GB)
|
|
424.
Tyler Mabry
TE - SEA (at NYJ)
|
|
425.
Andrew Beck
RB - HOU (at JAC)
|
|
426.
Devin Culp
TE - TB (at CAR)
|
|
427.
Tommy Sweeney
TE - CHI (at DET)
|
|
428.
Jared Wiley
TE - KC (vs . LV)
|
|
429.
Brenden Bates
TE - NYJ (vs . SEA)
|
|
430.
John Samuel Shenker
TE - LV (at KC)
|
|
431.
Parker Hesse
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
432.
Brayden Willis
TE - SF (at BUF)
|
|
433.
Luke Musgrave
TE - GB (vs . MIA)
|
|
434.
James Mitchell
TE - DET (vs . CHI)
|
|
435.
Thomas Odukoya
TE - TEN (at WAS)
|
|
|
436.
Daniel Hardy
TE - FA (BYE)
|
|
437.
Mitchell Wilcox
TE - NE (vs . IND)
|
