Fantasy Football Player Notes

Two weeks back from his injury, Irving has posted back-to-back 15.1 Half PPR fantasy points in each game. Scoring both through the air and on the ground since his return, it is clear the Bucs missed their lead back. However, since returning, they have incorporated all three backs, with Irving hovering around 50% of snaps each of the last two games. Considering he is still seeing 15-plus carries and a couple of targets each game, he remains a great option for fantasy. This week, they face the Falcons, who have been slightly below average at stopping opposing backs over the last five weeks. With the limited snaps, Bucky is a low-end RB1 again this week.

Well, so much for the bounce back that I forecasted last week. Emeka Egbuka had nine targets that he turned into two receptions for 15 receiving yards. Since Week 7, he has had only two outings that landed him inside the top-36 for wide receiver weekly scoring (WR5, WR32). Since Week 7, he has had a 28.7% target share and a 36.4% first-read share that he has turned into only 48.1 receiving yards per game and 1.42 yards per route run. In those seven games, he has had eight red zone targets and six deep targets. Not all of Egbuka's struggles can be laid at his feet, as during this stretch, only 50% of his targets have been catchable. Much of this has been related to Baker Mayfield's struggles. Hopefully, with the Bucs at full strength in the wide receiver room this week, Egbuka can have a bounce-back game with Mayfield playing better. With the improved target competition, I do expect his market share in the offense to fall. Egbuka falls into the WR2/3 or flex territory this week. Since Week 10, Atlanta has allowed the second-most PPR points per target and the third-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.

Over the last two games, Godwin has had a 70.6% route share with a 20.7% target share, 66.5 receiving yards per game, 2.77 yards per route run, and a 22.2% first-read share. In those two games, he has had two red zone targets and one deep target. Godwin was the WR33 and WR27 in weekly scoring. Godwin is a strong WR3/flex. Since Week 10, Atlanta has allowed the 14th-most PPR points per target and the eighth-highest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.

Mike Evans will be back this week. I expect him to maybe be on a snap count, but to compensate for that with a high route share, as the Bucs will just limit his workload on rushing plays if they ease him in. We have no idea what to expect in terms of usage for Evans, Chris Godwin, and Emeka Egbuka as they haven't played a game all together in 2025. In Weeks 1-3, Evans was the clear leader of the passing attack with a 27.3% target share and 35.4% first-read share, churning out 46.7 receiving yards per game with 1.56 yards per route run. In those three games, Evans had five red zone targets and six deep targets. I expect him to see plenty of high cholesterol usage this week, even in a somewhat limited role. Since Week 10, Atlanta has allowed the second-most PPR points per target and the third-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Evans is at minimum a strong flex with WR2 upside.