Fantasy Football Player Notes

Since Week 10, Swift has been the RB30 in fantasy points per game, averaging 16.6 touches and 97.4 total yards. He has split the red zone work, with Kyle Monangai with each player seeing five red zone rushing attempts. Overall, among 57 qualifying backs, Swift ranks tenth in explosive run rate and 19th in missed tackle rate. This week, he has another tough matchup. Yes, I know Tony Pollard ran all over Cleveland last week, but this run defense still scares me. Since Week 10, they have allowed the 14th-lowest explosive run rate, the lowest rushing success rate, and had the second-highest stuff rate. Swift is a volume-based RB2/3.

Since Week 10, Kyle Monangai has been the RB28 in fantasy points per game, averaging 13.8 touches and 60 total yards. He has added little receiving value during this stretch, with only two receptions and 14 receiving yards total. Monangai has been a steamroller on early downs, though. Among 57 qualifying backs, he ranks 19th in explosive run rate and 20th in yards after contact per attempt. Monangai has split the red zone usage with D'Andre Swift, with each back seeing five red zone rushing attempts. This week, he has another tough matchup. Yes, I know Tony Pollard ran all over Cleveland last week, but this run defense still scares me. Since Week 10, they have allowed the 14th-lowest explosive run rate, the lowest rushing success rate, and had the second-highest stuff rate. Monangai is a volume-based RB2/3.

Since Week 12, Luther Burden has had a 54.7% route share with a 16% target share, 48.7 receiving yards per game, 2.28 yards per route run, and a 23.6% first-read share. In those three games, he has had one red zone target and zero deep targets. Burden had weekly scoring finishes of WR36, WR44, and WR25. Burden is a middling flex play again this week. The Browns have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game and the second-fewest receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season.

D.J. Moore has been an utter disappointment this season as the WR46 in fantasy points per game, with only four games this season as a top 36 wide receiver in weekly scoring. Chicago has been trying to get him more involved over the last three games, as he has had five red zone targets. Moore has a 14.4% target share with 38.3 receiving yards per game, 1.28 yards per route run, and a 17.3% first-read share. This week, he faces a Cleveland secondary that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (66.6%). Against single high, Moore has a 13.9% target share with 1.22 yards per route run and a 16.8% first-read share. Moore is a middling flex play again this week. Since Week 10, Cleveland has allowed the second-fewest PPR points per target and the fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers, but it'll help that Denzel Ward is out this week.

Since Week 10, Colston Loveland has been the TE15 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 weekly scoring outings. In those five games, he has had a 54.6% route share, a 13.8% target share, 40.2 receiving yards per game, 1.90 yards per route run, and a 14.1% first-read share. In that span, he has three red zone targets and zero deep targets. Loveland is best left on the bench this week. Cleveland has allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game and the 12th-fewest yards per target to tight ends this season.

Rome Odunze has been listed as questionable this week (foot) after practicing on a limited basis all week. He's dealing with a stress fracture in his foot. He didn't play last week. I have a hard time believing that he will be a full go this week with the foot still a serious issue. I also won't rule out that he will be out this week. Odunze is the WR29 in fantasy points per game, ranking first in deep targets and 21st in red zone targets among wide receivers. Odunze has a 21.9% target share with 55.1 receiving yards per game, 1.83 yards per route run, and a 26.2% first-read share. This week, he faces a Cleveland secondary that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (66.6%). Against single high, Odunze has led the team with a 22.5% target share while posting 1.79 yards per route run and a 24.8% first-read share. Since Week 10, Cleveland has allowed the second-fewest PPR points per target and the fewest receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers, but it'll help that Denzel Ward is out this week. Odunze is just a flex play this week with the matchup and health concerns.