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Fantasy Football Player Notes

Week 12 Half PPR Rankings
Alvin Kamara Note
Alvin Kamara photo 10. Alvin Kamara RB - (at DEN)
While doing research for this game, I came across something pretty hilarious on Kamara. He's seen a remarkable 24.5 percent of the Saints targets, which ranks 11th in the NFL, but has seen just 3.0 percent of their air yards. These are the little tidbits I find that keep me amused. That target share number was actually 26.0 percent before Taysom Hill took over, so should we be worried about Kamara? I'll be honest, it's not great, as Kamara has totaled more than 14 carries just once all season. That receiving work is what offered most of his value. We can't completely panic about one game, and who knows, maybe the Falcons cornerbacks were just so bad that Hill couldn't help himself and didn't want to dump it down. But yes, it's worrisome. The matchup this week should allow for a lot of production on the ground, as the Broncos just haven't been the same since losing Mike Purcell on the defensive line. After being one of the best run defenses in the league, they've struggled to slow down much of anyone over the last five games, as they've allowed 595 rushing yards on 129 carries (4.61 yards per carry) with six rushing touchdowns. They've also allowed 143 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown over their last four games to running backs, so they're clearly struggling with the position, and it's not like their competition has been stellar. On top of that, their offense is struggling to put points on the board most weeks, which has led to running backs averaging 28.4 touches per game against them. You probably don't want to spend up for Kamara in cash games until we see his targets get back up to par, but you're still playing him as an RB1 in season-long formats in a plus-matchup. This is the first plus-matchup for Murray's role in quite a few weeks, as they've played the Bears, Bucs, 49ers, and Falcons over the last four weeks. Not many realize that Murray has just 15 fewer carries than Kamara on the year, though he's been on the short end of the stick in the touchdown department (Kamara 8, Murray 2). Knowing Murray has received at least nine touches in 9-of-10 games this year, he's in the low-end RB3/high-end RB4 conversation who just might make an appearance into the end zone.
3 days ago
Michael Thomas Note
Michael Thomas photo 23. Michael Thomas WR - (at DEN)
Who would've thought that having Taysom Hill under center would unlock Thomas? Through three games with Brees, Thomas had just 10 catches for 95 yards. Through one game with Hill, he has nine catches for 104 yards. To be fair, the game was against the Falcons, but Hill looked Thomas' way early and often. Thomas received 12 of Hill's 23 pass attempts for a massive 52.2 percent target share. He'll have a tougher test this week against the Broncos, who've allowed just 7.47 yards per target to wide receivers this year, which is the second-lowest mark in the NFL, behind only the Rams. With that being said, alpha wide receivers have done well against them. On the year, there have been six wide receivers who've seen more than eight targets against them, and every one of those receivers finished with 15-plus PPR points. There have also been 13 wide receivers who've finished with five-plus receptions against them, which should present a great floor for Thomas. For now, we'll put him back in the WR1 conversation even though it is a small sample size with Hill because all we really wanted to know was that his target share would be there, and it was.
3 days ago
Latavius Murray Note
Latavius Murray photo 99. Latavius Murray RB - (at DEN)
While doing research for this game, I came across something pretty hilarious on Kamara. He's seen a remarkable 24.5 percent of the Saints targets, which ranks 11th in the NFL, but has seen just 3.0 percent of their air yards. These are the little tidbits I find that keep me amused. That target share number was actually 26.0 percent before Taysom Hill took over, so should we be worried about Kamara? I'll be honest, it's not great, as Kamara has totaled more than 14 carries just once all season. That receiving work is what offered most of his value. We can't completely panic about one game, and who knows, maybe the Falcons cornerbacks were just so bad that Hill couldn't help himself and didn't want to dump it down. But yes, it's worrisome. The matchup this week should allow for a lot of production on the ground, as the Broncos just haven't been the same since losing Mike Purcell on the defensive line. After being one of the best run defenses in the league, they've struggled to slow down much of anyone over the last five games, as they've allowed 595 rushing yards on 129 carries (4.61 yards per carry) with six rushing touchdowns. They've also allowed 143 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown over their last four games to running backs, so they're clearly struggling with the position, and it's not like their competition has been stellar. On top of that, their offense is struggling to put points on the board most weeks, which has led to running backs averaging 28.4 touches per game against them. You probably don't want to spend up for Kamara in cash games until we see his targets get back up to par, but you're still playing him as an RB1 in season-long formats in a plus-matchup. This is the first plus-matchup for Murray's role in quite a few weeks, as they've played the Bears, Bucs, 49ers, and Falcons over the last four weeks. Not many realize that Murray has just 15 fewer carries than Kamara on the year, though he's been on the short end of the stick in the touchdown department (Kamara 8, Murray 2). Knowing Murray has received at least nine touches in 9-of-10 games this year, he's in the low-end RB3/high-end RB4 conversation who just might make an appearance into the end zone.
3 days ago
Emmanuel Sanders Note
Emmanuel Sanders photo 105. Emmanuel Sanders WR - (at DEN)
We've now had three weeks with Michael Thomas back, and it's official, Sanders is not a full-time player. His snap percentages with Thomas in the lineup this year are 48, 30, 58, and 59. That hasn't stopped him from getting some targets when on the field, but he hasn't topped five targets in any game Thomas has played, which certainly caps his appeal. Now going into a matchup with the Broncos who've allowed just 7.47 yards per target to wide receivers, which is the second-lowest mark in the league. Of the 16 wide receivers who've totaled double-digit PPR points against the Broncos, just two of them finished with less than five targets, and they both needed to score to get there. It's Hill's first start in a road game against a competent opponent, Sanders isn't seeing the field more than 58 percent of the time, and he has a five-target ceiling with Thomas in the lineup. Sanders looks like a relatively weak WR5 option this week.
4 days ago
Jared Cook Note
Jared Cook photo 145. Jared Cook TE - (at DEN)
He's fading into the background over the last three weeks, as he's failed to see more than three targets in each of those games, and he's caught just three ball for 36 yards in all three games combined. You think that's bad enough? Well, how about the fact that rookie Adam Trautman actually out-snapped Cook 32-25 in last week's game with Hill under center. Is it a changing of the guard? Cook has actually played 26 or less snaps in each of the last three weeks, so it's probably best to just move on. The Broncos have allowed just 1.68 PPR points per target to tight ends, which ranks as the 11th-lowest number in football, so there's not a whole lot of reason to even contemplate him.
4 days ago
Tre'Quan Smith Note
Tre'Quan Smith photo 193. Tre'Quan Smith WR - (at DEN)
Deonte Harris Note
Deonte Harris photo 208. Deonte Harris WR - (at DEN)
Adam Trautman Note
Adam Trautman photo 258. Adam Trautman TE - (at DEN)
Marquez Callaway Note
Marquez Callaway photo 293. Marquez Callaway WR - (at DEN)
Michael Burton Note
Michael Burton photo 334. Michael Burton RB - (at DEN)
Josh Hill Note
Josh Hill photo 335. Josh Hill TE - (at DEN)
Garrett Griffin Note
Garrett Griffin photo 376. Garrett Griffin TE - (at DEN)