Fantasy Football Player Notes
Week 9 Half PPR Rankings
47.
Nick Chubb
RB - (vs . LAC)
Last week, Chubb saw a big uptick in his workload with 59% of the snaps, 16 carries, and 52 rushing yards. He played 74% of the snaps on rushing plays, saw a 54% snapshare on passing downs, and handled 57% of the red zone snaps. His efficiency numbers still didn't look great, but they also trended up with a 6.3% explosive run rate, a 13% missed tackle rate, and 2.25 yards after contact per attempt. I also have to mention that Baltimore has been a top-five run defense, so it's not like Chubb posted these numbers in a wonderful matchup. The Bolts are a slightly above-average matchup for Chubb this week. They have allowed the 11th-highest yards after contact per attempt, the 12th-highest yards per carry-to-zone runs, and the 13th-highest rushing success rate to zone runs (Chubb 51.9% zone).
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57.
David Njoku
TE - (vs . LAC)
David Njoku is tied for third among tight ends in total fantasy points over the last two weeks as the Cleveland Browns navigate life without Deshaun Watson and Amari Cooper. Quarterback Jameis Winston has targeted his tight end often, resulting in Njoku's recent hot streak. The volume does not figure to end anytime soon given the relative lack of pass catchers that the Browns have. This may not be the best matchup for Njoku, however. The Los Angeles Chargers rank in the top 10 in passing defense and against tight ends based on DVOA. Njoku's volume should keep him afloat as a TE1 in 12-team leagues, but the touchdown upside is less than it has been in recent weeks.
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69.
Cedric Tillman
WR - (vs . LAC)
Tillman has been awesome over the last two weeks as the WR10 and WR3 in weekly fantasy scoring. He has drawn a 22.6% target share (tied for the team lead), a 36.8% air-yard share, and a 27.3% first-read share (team-leading) with 2.22 YPRR and 90 receiving yards per game. He also tied for the team lead with three end-zone targets over the last two games. The Chargers have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59.5%). Since Week 7, against two high, Tillman ranks third on the team with an 18.8% target share, first with 2.63 YPRR, and third with an 18.2% first-read share. Tillman could keep the train rolling this week with the Chargers starting two backups (Cam Hart and Tarheeb Still) with Asante Samuel Jr. (IR since Week 6) and Kristian Fulton out. On paper, the Bolts have remained strong after losing Samuel Jr. (since Week 6, they have allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game and the third-lowest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers), but losing Fulton too this week could make it a more advantageous matchup for Tillman.
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78.
Jerry Jeudy
WR - (vs . LAC)
Since Week 7, Jeudy has ranked fourth on the team with a 14% target share while posing 1.07 YPRR and an 18.2% first-read share (fourth). He has been hopped in the target pecking order by Cedric Tillman and it looks like Elijah Moore. The Chargers have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59.5%). Since Week 7, against two high, Jeudy has had a 9.4% target share, 0.60 YPRR, and a 13.6% first-read share. Hold him on your bench if you have the space, but I have no issues with dropping him to the waiver wire if you have to.
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92.
Elijah Moore
WR - (vs . LAC)
Moore has flashed a pulse over the last two weeks with an 18.3% target share, 1.85 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. He has a red zone target in each of his last four games. The Chargers have the third-highest two high rate in the NFL (59.5%). Since Week 7, against two high, Moore has ranked second on the team with a 25% target share, had 2.09 YPRR, and had a 22.7% first-read share. He's a viable flex this week in deeper leagues in a tough matchup. The Chargers have allowed the eighth-lowest PPR points per target and the 12th-fewest receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
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175.
D'Onta Foreman
RB - (vs . LAC)
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193.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB - (vs . LAC)
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217.
Jerome Ford
RB - (vs . LAC)
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243.
Jordan Akins
TE - (vs . LAC)
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301.
Geoff Swaim
TE - (vs . LAC)
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332.
Jaelon Darden
WR - (vs . LAC)
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360.
Jamari Thrash
WR - (vs . LAC)
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400.
James Proche II
WR - (vs . LAC)
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417.
Blake Whiteheart
TE - (vs . LAC)
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482.
Kadarius Toney
WR - (vs . LAC)
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