Fantasy Football Player Notes

Outside of a Week 2 matchup in which he suffered an injury, last week was Joe Mixon's worst output as a Houston Texan. Mixon totaled just 45 scoreless yards in Houston's upset loss at the hands of the Tennessee Titans. Mixon is in a prime bounce-back spot in Week 13 when Houston faces the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars rank dead last in DVOA defensively and have allowed the second-most fantasy points to enemy running backs this year. Mixon has been getting all the touches he can handle, and Houston has an upcoming bye next week. This could lead to a massive workload for Mixon in a game that will likely include a positive game script. Consider Joe Mixon an elite RB1 this week.

Nico Collins had 92 receiving yards and a touchdown last week against the Tennessee Titans. Collins trails only Ja'Marr Chase in fantasy points per game this season among wide receivers. A case can be made for Collins to close that gap in Week 13 when he faces the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars rank dead last in the NFL in both DVOA and EPA versus the pass this year. They also deploy a lot of man coverage, which Collins has been adept at beating throughout his career. Collins makes a strong candidate to be this week's overall WR1.

Since Nico Collins' return to the lineup, Dell has had a 17.9% target share, a 37.6% air-yard share, 2.14 YPRR, and a 20% first-read share. Those are solid market share and efficiency numbers, but they haven't translated to big fantasy days as Dell has finished as the WR41 and WR33 in weekly fantasy scoring. He hasn't seen a red zone target over the last two weeks after seeing six in his previous five games. Dell hasn't smashed, but that's not because he has been playing bad. Over the last two weeks, among 86 qualifying receivers, Dell ranks first in separation and 12th in route win rate. C.J. Stroud hasn't been playing good football and the offensive line has been a big concern. Assuming Stroud can look closer to his 2023 self this week, Dell should crush. Since Week 7, Jacksonville has allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game and the 12th-highest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

Schultz is the TE25 in fantasy points per game with only one TE1 game this season. He has a 13.6% target share, 1.11 YPRR, and a 13.4% first-read share. He has seen his red zone usage creep up in the last two games with two red zone targets. If you need a streamer this week, Schultz could fit the bill. Jacksonville has allowed the 11th-most receiving yards per game and the fifth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.