Fantasy Football Player Notes

Corey Kiner will assume the lead back duties for New England. Last week, in the fourth quarter, Kiner played 52.9% of the snaps with 87.5% of the rushing work, and zero routes. During this quarter, Lan Larison was also involved, but he only had one route with a 47.1% snap rate (one carry). Larison will contribute on passing downs this week, but I expect Kiner to lead the way in snaps and rushing attempts. Kiner has been impressive with his limited touches, with a 14.9% explosive run rate, 2.48 yards after contact per attempt, and a 30% missed tackle rate. Kiner will need all the volume he can get and a score this week to pay off for fantasy. Detroit's run defense has been nasty lately. Over their last five games, they have allowed the fourth-lowest rushing success rate, the tenth-lowest rushing yards over expectation per attempt, and the second-lowest yards after contact per attempt.

Since Week 6, DeMario Douglas has been the WR17 in fantasy points per game. In those four games, he has had a 75.5% route share, a 19.4% target share, 2.66 YPRR, one red zone target, four deep targets, and a 20.5% first-read share. Douglas is a strong flex again this week. Over their last five games, Detroit has allowed the 14th-most yards per target and the seventh-most receiving fantasy points per game to slot receivers.

Last week, as he played through a foot injury, Hunter Henry had only a 50.8% snap rate, a 47.8% route share, a 7.3% target share, and a 10% first-read share. I need to see what his practice reports look like this week. I'm hoping they are more positive this week because the matchup is glorious. I'll update his outlook on Friday. Over their last five games, Detroit has allowed the second-most receiving fantasy points per game and the fourth-most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.

A.J. Brown (knee/ankle) opened this week with a limited practice. He traveled with the team to Germany. It seems like a coin flip that he plays this week. I'll update his outlook on Friday.