Fantasy Football Player Notes

While Allgeier still has a firm grasp on red zone work, Robinson has asserted himself as the team's bellcow with each passing week. Robinson played 63% of the snaps in Week 1. That figure stood at 81% in Week 3. Robinson has averaged 17.7 touches and 105 total yards. Robinson's pass game usage has been juicy. He ranks second in route run per team dropback rate, first in Target share (19.3%!), and fifth in YPRR. I'm not trying to bury the lead, but he's also a special rushing talent, ranking sixth in missed tackles forced per attempt and 22nd in yards after contact per attempt. The Jaguars' run defense has been legit, but they have some exploitable weaknesses if Arthur Smith is willing to change things up this week. Jacksonville has held rushers to the third-lowest explosive run rate while they also have the third-highest stuff rate. Here's where things get interesting, though. The Jaguars have yielded the lowest yards per carry to zone runs, but they have permitted the fourth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (5.0). Robinson has only been used on gap runs on 28% of his attempts this season, but he has the fourth-highest yards per carry (6.9 nice!) on gap scheme runs. If Smith is willing to alter the run game plan, Robinson could have a huge day. The Jaguars will also allow production through the air for Robinson. They have given up the 12th-most receiving yards and seventh-most receptions to running backs. Week 4 Positional Value: Matchup proof RB1

London's numbers are difficult to look at. The production does not match the talent level, sadly. When you watch his all-22, he's open constantly, but with the current level of quarterback play and offensive design, he's not getting the target volume he deserves. London has a 17.0% Target share and a 23.5% air-yard share. That Target share has amounted to only five targets per game and 1.08 YPRR (68th out of 91 qualifying wide receivers). London is tough to trust weekly. He will run about 85% of his routes against Tyson Campbell (69.2% catch rate and 78.0 passer rating) and Darious Williams (71.4% catch rate and 100.6 passer rating). Week 4 Positional Value: WR3/4

Allgeier's role has dwindled weekly. Last week, he played only 30% of the snaps with nine touches and 29 total yards. Allgeier has dissolved into a handcuff only or a touchdown-or-bust flex play because of his red zone role. Week 4 Positional Value: Handcuff only

Pitts is the TE18 in fantasy points per game despite all of his usage metrics pointing to better days ahead. He is first in route run per team dropback rate (85%), eighth in Target share (19.3%), and sixth in routes. The problem has been that productivity hasn't followed as he's TE20 in YPRR (among 34 qualifying tight ends). Pitts is the TE4 in XFP/game. Jacksonville offers Pitts a plus matchup to get on track. The Jaguars have allowed the 14th-most receiving yards, 11th-highest yards per reception, and the third-most receiving touchdowns (tied) to tight ends. Week 4 Positional Value: TE1