Fantasy Football Player Notes

Bucky Irving picked up a glute injury in Week 3, but he looks good to go this week. He opened the week with limited practice sessions on Wednesday and Thursday before upgrading to full on Friday. I expect Irving to handle his usual workload this week. In Weeks 1-2, Irving averaged 18 touches and 91.5 total yards with RB12 and RB15 finishes in weekly scoring. Among 43 qualifying backs, Irving ranks 18th in yards after contact per attempt and 15th in missed tackle rate. Irving should have a wonderful game against a run defense that has allowed the eighth-highest rushing success rate, the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the highest yards per carry and rushing success rate to zone runs (Irving: 52.5% zone). Irving should feast this week as Tampa Bay could lean on him with Jalon Daniels making his first start.

Emeka Egbuka is the WR33 in fantasy points per game, but the lack of production isn't his fault necessarily. Only 65% of his targets have been catchable. Among 86 qualifying receivers, Egbuka ranks 19th in separation and 15th in route win rate, so he's doing exactly what he's supposed to be doing. Getting open early and often. Egbuka has a 20.2% target share with 1.48 YPRR, two red zone targets, three deep targets, and a 24.6% first-read share. This week, he faces a Green Bay pass defense that has the sixth-highest two-high rate (64.4%). Against two high, Egbuka has led the team with a 21% target-per-route run rate and 1.92 YPRR. If rookie Jalon Daniels can get him the ball, Egbuka could surprise people this week against a secondary that has allowed the 12th-most yards per target and the sixth-most fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers.

Chris Godwin has looked cooked through three games as the WR59 in fantasy points per game. Godwin has an 11.1% target share with 1.14 YPRR, zero red zone targets, zero deep targets, and a 14.5% first-read share. Among 86 qualifying receivers, he ranks 57th in separation and 49th in route win rate. This week, he faces a Green Bay pass defense that has the sixth-highest two-high rate (64.4%). Against two-high, Godwin has only an 8% target-per-route run rate and 0.33 YPRR. Sit Godwin this week. Green Bay has allowed the tenth-fewest yards per target to slot receivers while ranking 17th in fantasy points per opportunity allowed.

Bucky Irving missed part of Week 3's action with a glute injury. Irving opened this week with a limited practice session. I don't trust Todd Bowles and injury reporting. I'll update Kenneth Gainwell's outlook on Friday. If Irving misses this week, I would expect Gainwell to lead the way for the Bucs backfield.