You don’t need us to tell you this is a big week for fantasy owners. If you’re reading this, you’re either (1) scratching and clawing for a playoff position (2) looking to maintain your league standing or (3) hanging on life support as you wonder why you drafted Darren McFadden, Greg Jennings & Cam Newton with your top 3 picks while stashing away Jahvid Best for late-season use. We quadruple-checked this and those are the only 3 scenarios that exist for our site visitors.
To give you an edge at this critical time, we’ve taken it upon ourselves to analyze the week 10 rankings of this season’s most accurate experts. In doing so, we uncovered which players the top pundits are favoring compared to our Expert Consensus (ECR) as well as the guys they like less than the Consensus. Given that each expert has been on the mark with their predictions this season, the following should hopefully serve as helpful advice from the best of the best. If that doesn’t ring true, then there will be a new “best of the best” atop our accuracy standings next week!
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Here are the players the top experts like MORE than the expert consensus this week (read on for expert commentary)
Expert | Site | Player | Expert’s Rank | Consensus (ECR) | Rank vs. ECR |
Jody Smith | Gridiron Experts | C.J. Spiller | RB #9 | RB #15 | +6 |
John Paulsen | 4for4.com | Darrius Heyward-Bey | WR #28 | WR #39 | +11 |
Sablich Brothers | The N.Y. Times | Mike Wallace | WR #6 | WR #13 | +7 |
Mike Tagliere | Tags Fantasy Football | Ryan Mathews | RB #8 | RB #13 | +5 |
Mike Tagliere | Tags Fantasy Football | Dustin Keller | TE #10 | TE #15 | +5 |
Austin Lee | Pro Football Focus | Carson Palmer | QB #10 | QB #14 | +4 |
Austin Lee | Pro Football Focus | Chris Johnson | RB #6 | RB #14 | +8 |
Nick Raducanu | The Fantasy Fix | Garrett Hartley | K #4 | K #13 | +9 |
Ken Zalis | Fans Fantasy Football | Jeremy Maclin | WR #19 | WR #29 | +10 |
Ken Zalis | Fans Fantasy Football | Mikel LeShoure | RB #13 | RB #18 | +5 |
*Note: Ranks are subject to change leading up to Sunday
Here are the guys the top experts like LESS than the expert consensus this week (read on for expert commentary)
Expert | Site | Player | Expert’s Rank | Consensus (ECR) | Rank vs. ECR |
Jody Smith | Gridiron Experts | Steve Smith | WR #28 | WR #17 | -11 |
Jody Smith | Gridiron Experts | Pierre Thomas | RB #32 | RB #25 | -7 |
John Paulsen | 4for4.com | Steven Jackson | RB #34 | RB #29 | -5 |
Sablich Brothers | The N.Y. Times | Michael Vick | QB #16 | QB #12 | -4 |
Mike Tagliere | Tags Fantasy Football | Cam Newton | QB #11 | QB #8 | -3 |
Austin Lee | Pro Football Focus | Tony Gonzalez | TE #9 | TE #3 | -6 |
Nick Raducanu | The Fantasy Fix | Demaryius Thomas | WR #13 | WR #8 | -5 |
Ken Zalis | Fans Fantasy Football | Mike Williams | WR #29 | WR #21 | -8 |
*Note: Ranks are subject to change leading up to Sunday
#1 Accuracy: Jody Smith (Gridiron Experts)
Likes Him More
BUF @ NE
Jody’s Rank: RB #9
“The guy’s averaging 7.2 yards per carry and the plan is to get him more touches. What a novel idea. I see an opportunity for him to make a big impact as a pass-catcher in the second half of what should be a high-scoring contest.”
Likes Him Less
“I was very optimistic on Thomas last week, but after seeing how the Saints divided the carries between their three backs, it’s hard to envision Thomas getting enough touches to make a huge impact and he’s not likely to be featured near the goal line on short runs either.”
#2 Accuracy: John Paulsen (4for4.com)
Likes Him More
OAK @ BAL
John’s Rank: WR #28
“DHB has been solid lately, posting at least 74 yards or scoring a TD in three straight games. With Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson sidelined, the Raiders are going to have to lean on Carson Palmer and the passing game, and Heyward-Bey should benefit.”
Likes Him Less
STL @ SF
John’s Rank: RB #34
“Jackson is splitting time with Daryl Richardson and has a terrible matchup this week against the 49ers, who by our calculations give up the fewest adjusted fantasy points to running backs. Not good.”
#3 Accuracy: Sablich Brothers (The New York Times)
Likes Him More
PIT vs. KC
Sablich Bros’ Rank: WR #6
“Our high ranking of Mike Wallace this week has a lot to do with the absence of his teammate Antonio Brown and Kansas City’s secondary is on the softer side of the fantasy spectrum. The Chiefs allow the seventh-most fantasy points to quarterbacks (19.1), and without Brown we think Wallace will be reaping the rewards of a very strong performance from Ben Roethlisberger.”
Likes Him Less
PHI vs. DAL
Sablich Bros’ Rank: QB #16
“A season-ending ankle injury will add the right tackle Todd Herremans to the list of Eagles’ offensive line casualties that already included Jason Peters, Jason Kelce and Danny Watkins. It doesn’t take a football genius to figure out that the smelly block of Swiss cheese the Eagles call an offensive line was the reason Vick was sacked a season-high seven times by the lowly Saints defense on Monday night. Things can only get worse as the Cowboys are a top-four pass defense and are limiting quarterbacks to 14 fantasy points a game this year.”
#4 Accuracy: Mike Tagliere (Tags Fantasy Football)
Likes Him More
SD @ TB
Mike’s Rank: RB #8
“While I do understand the frustration with Mathews this year, I also don’t dismiss players that quickly that are proven producers. San Diego’s offensive line had some health issues earlier in the year, but are near full health now. Mathews finished as the #7 fantasy back last year despite missing 2.5 games. When he breaks out, you don’t want him on your bench.”
Likes Him More
NYJ @ SEA
Mike’s Rank: TE #10
“With the Jets, you can never feel really good about starting any pass catcher. But with tight ends it has been hit or miss all year. Keller is now fully healthy and has racked up 14 catches for 160 yards over their last two games with a TD. The Seahawks have legit starting corners that should take care of Kerley and Hill, so look for Sanchez to target his safety blanket Keller.”
Likes Him Less
CAR vs. DEN
Mike’s Rank: QB #11
“It seems like all year we have been waiting for Newton to have a true breakout game. Last week is when it should have been against the Redskins, and Cam was good, although not great. He has only thrown for over 253 yards twice all year and had just 6 passing scores through 8 games. His rushing keeps him somewhat afloat in fantasy, but he shouldn’t be considered a top 10 QB unless it’s a great matchup. Denver is not that.”
#7 Accuracy: Austin Lee (Pro Football Focus)
Likes Him More
OAK @ BAL
Austin’s Rank: QB #10
Likes Him More
TEN @ MIA
Austin’s Rank: RB #6
Likes Him Less
ATL @ NO
Austin’s Rank: TE #9
“Tony Gonzalez only has 10.7 total fantasy points over the past three games. Five tight ends had more points than that in week nine alone. Gonzalez hauled in 7.8 receptions per game in his first five games but hasn’t caught more than four passes in a game in over a month. The Falcons face the Saints’ sieve of a defense this week, but New Orleans allows the sixth fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends. Julio Jones, Roddy White, and Michael Turner will have no problem racking up nice fantasy totals at the Superdome this weekend while Gonzo has another light fantasy day.”
#9 Accuracy: Nick Raducanu (The Fantasy Fix)
Likes Him More
NO vs. ATL
Nick’s Rank: K #4
“I’ll preface this ranking with saying that kickers are a crapshoot and I have almost as much faith that Hartley will finish as a top 10 kicker this week as I do that he’ll finish in the bottom 10 (talk about hedging your bets!). I can see what other experts are thinking having Hartley at 13 since we are talking about a guy who is currently the 28th-ranked kicker and has only hit seven field goals all year. Part of Hartley’s fantasy struggles are due to the fact that the Saints offense is rarely limited to a field goal (they’re currently the league’s most efficient red zone offense), but they go up against a relatively strong Falcons defense this week and I’m banking on Hartley getting a few more field goal opportunities to help pad his score.”
Likes Him Less
DEN @ CAR
Nick’s Rank: WR #13
“I actually think Thomas is a very good player so this ranking is a lot more about the other wide receivers I ranked ahead of him more than it is about Thomas’ deficiencies. There are guys like Wes Welker, Marques Colston, and Mike Wallace (who are their team’s #1 WR) that I just couldn’t bring myself to rank below a guy who has less targets than Eric Decker (who I also have ranked ahead of Thomas) over the Broncos’ last four games. The Bengals are somewhere towards the middle of the pack in terms of fantasy points allowed to wide receivers so Thomas is easily worth a top 15 rank this week, but Peyton is looking toward Decker more than Thomas owners would like and I just couldn’t bring myself to rank him above some of the aforementioned wideouts.”
#10 Accuracy: Ken Zalis (Fans Fantasy Football)
Likes Him More
PHI vs. DAL
Ken’s Rank: WR #19
“For the season, the Cowboys are giving up the 6th lowest output to WRs but over the last three weeks they have increased from giving up 18 fantasy points per game to WRs to now 22 ppg. They are regressing as a pass defense. Last year Maclin scored in each game vs the Cowboys, while averaging 60 plus yards per game. He will work underneath and could catch 7 or more balls this week.”
Likes Him More
DET @ MIN
Ken’s Rank: RB #13
“Over the last three weeks only the Buffalo Bills have given up more points per game to Fantasy RBs. The Vikings have given up an average of 30 points per game to opposing RBs during that stretch. At the same time, LeShoure has averaged over 4.7 yards a carry. This combo bodes well for the Detroit RB.”
Likes Him Less
TB vs. SD
Ken’s Rank: RB #29
“Mike Williams has 68 yards receiving in his last 2 games and has scored a TD in each game. At the same time, the Chargers has given up the 12th most fantasy points to WRs. So why the low ranking? The Chargers give up yards and not TDs (only 14 this year) and Doug Martin is hot, so fewer passes could be thrown. Williams has stuggled in 3 of his team’s 6 games and I see him as more of a flex play this week than a solid WR2.”
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Thanks to this week’s Featured Pros for sharing their insight with us. If you’d like to read more of the experts’ advice, please be sure to check out their sites and follow them on Twitter. Best of luck to everyone this weekend!