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Most Accurate Experts vs. Consensus Rankings: Week 11

Most Accurate Experts vs. Consensus Rankings: Week 11

We’re here in Week 11 and after Thursday’s game, we hope you had Ben Roethlisberger or Antonio Brown in your lineup. If not, we hope you didn’t face either one of them. In any case, as you decide on which players to start for Sunday/Monday, we’re taking the time to ask the most accurate experts in the industry to help.

After ten weeks of football, we’re seeing some familiar names atop our accuracy list to go along with a few newcomers. Based on our consensus rankings, we identified fringe players that you might have questions about where these experts had differing opinions on compared to the consensus. See why they like and dislike the players listed below for this week.

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Likes More

Latavius Murray (RB – MIN): vs. LAR
Sean’s Rank: RB19 | Consensus: RB25
“Latavius now has 4 straight games of 15 or more carries so he offers a high floor with that sort of bankable usage. Despite his lack of passing game involvement, he is the better bet of the Vikings RBBC to score a TD. I think this home matchup with the Rams sets up as an above average spot for him.”
Sean Koerner (STATS)

Marshawn Lynch (RB – OAK): vs. NE
Jake’s Rank: RB15 | Consensus: RB23
“Seeing Marshawn Lynch bounce back before the bye was enough to get me back on board… somewhat. Before the season, I believed Lynch would be a fringe RB1 because Latavius Murray was just that last year despite having fewer than 200 carries. With the Patriots allowing an average of 5.0 YPC, Lynch doesn’t need 20 touches to have a good game and good chance to score. It helps that there are several messy backfield situations within the ranks as well.”
– Jake Ciely (RotoExperts)

Joe Mixon (RB – CIN): at DEN
Sean’s Rank: RB14 | Consensus: RB19
“This is by no means a great spot for Mixon. However, the RB2 group this week is very underwhelming so I would hesitate to say I “like him” a lot as opposed to simply finding more faults with those around him which are reflected in my projections/rankings. With Jeremy Hill on IR we at least get bankable usage from Mixon and, despite his o-line woes, anytime you can get a talented RB like Mixon more chances; the more likely he can break a huge run.”
Sean Koerner (STATS)

Mike Wallace (WR – BAL): at GB
Pat’s Rank: WR36 | Consensus: WR46
“It’s usually feast or famine with Wallace, and his owners could sure use a cheeseburger right about now. Fortunately, Dom Capers is one hell of a short-order cook. We Packers fans have grown accustomed to seeing Dom make a half-dozen or more ill-timed blitz calls per game, and I like the odds of Wallace beating single coverage for a big play or two. This ranking pegs Wallace as a back-end WR3, so I wouldn’t say he’s a must-start, but this seems like a pretty good spot for him.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (The Football Girl)

DeVante Parker (WR – MIA): vs. TB
Adam’s Rank: WR11 | Consensus: WR21
“The Tampa Bay corners are simply undersized, and that creates issues for them in coverage. Brent Grimes has been able to defy his age to an extent, but he plays almost exclusively on one side of the field. In games that he’s been healthy, Parker has seen a healthy amount of targets and I expect that to continue against the Buccaneers in Week 11.”
Adam Sutton (DraftStars)

Ryan Fitzpatrick (QB – TB): at MIA
Sean’s Rank: QB11 | Consensus: QB17
“Fitzpatrick was a bit of a letdown last week in a revenge game against the Jets. However, this week he gets his top WR in Mike Evans back from suspension and has a plus matchup against the Dolphins. He always gets in some sneaky rushing stats that are often overlooked too. I think he makes as a sneaky streamer play or DFS value driven play this week with the QB2 class being fairly weak in Week 11.”
– Sean Koerner (STATS)

Likes Less

Sammy Watkins (WR – LAR): at MIN
Justin’s Rank: WR51 | Consensus: WR41
“Do you feel confident starting a player who has seen just five total targets over his last two games? Sammy Watkins was able to deliver decent stat lines in those outings thanks to a pair of touchdowns, but he was also helped by facing extremely weak pass defenses. The Vikings, who have only allowed one receiver to gain more than 60 yards since Week 3, represent a much tougher challenge with Xavier Rhodes shutting down anyone he lines up against.”
Justin Boone (theScore)

Jamison Crowder (WR – WAS): at NO
Pat’s Rank: WR37 | Consensus: WR31
“Players who fit the undersized slot guy archetype are pretty consistent fades for me, so I was lower than most rankers on Crowder before the season and am usually below the ECR on him most weeks. Yeah, his usage has ticked up the last couple of games, and I’ll probably bump him up a few spots with Jordan Reed declared out. But with an average of 10.9 yards per catch, Crowder probably needs a touchdown to pay off in standard formats, and I’m not crazy about the odds of him getting his first TD of the season in a road game vs. a dramatically improved Saints pass defense.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (The Football Girl)

Jared Goff (QB – LAR): at MIN
DailyRoto’s Rank: QB16 | Consensus: QB11
“We’ve found QB projections to correlate highly with implied team total. The Rams sport the 11th or so highest implied total on the slate. Goff adds very little rushing production to his fantasy profile and has been super touchdown dependent for his fantasy value. In a game where the Rams implied total is down, we’re projecting fewer ways for Goff to separate from other QBs who have rushing projection upside to match him when the Rams have lower implied totals.”
DailyRoto (DailyRoto)


Thank you to the experts for explaining their dissenting opinions. Be sure to give them a follow on Twitter if you’re not already doing so and check out our latest podcast below for more great advice.


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