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NFL DFS Picks & Advice: Favorite Showdown Captains (Super Bowl LVII)

NFL DFS Picks & Advice: Favorite Showdown Captains (Super Bowl LVII)

Break out the wings (No, boneless wings are not wings. They are adult chicken nuggets) and Buffalo chicken dip. It’s Super Bowl time, baby! From betting on the length of the National Anthem to the color of Gatorade tossed on the winning coach, it’s a wonderful spectacle to enjoy with skin in the game via betting and DFS.

We’ll watch Patrick Mahomes continue to build on a possible Hall of Fame career with a W or Jalen Hurts firmly establish himself as one of the league’s best young signal callers. Only one Kelce brother will walk away from this game with a giant grin and a diamond-studded ring.

Enjoy it, fam. It’s the last game of the 2022 NFL Season.

Get ready for the big game with our Super Bowl LVII Betting Guide partner-arrow

Beyond our daily fantasy football content, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Football Tools. From our Lineup Optimizer – which allows you to build winning DFS lineups in seconds for Cash and GPP contests – to our DFS Cheat Sheets – that helps you get a quick read on the day’s players – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.

NFL DFS Lineup Advice: Super Bowl LVII (Chiefs vs. Eagles)

Let’s take a look at a few of our favorite NFL DFS Showdown Captains.

Favorite Showdown Captains

NFL DFS Player Picks & Notes

Check out all of our Super Bowl LVII player break downs here partner-arrow

Jalen Hurts: Since returning from injury, Hurts hasn’t been the same player. In three games of action, he’s completed 60.7% of his passes with 6.0 yards per attempt and a 54.8 PFF passing grade. With more time to recover from his shoulder injury, the hope is that Hurts more closely resembles the quarterback who was sixth in PFF passing grade, sixth in yards per attempt, 12th in big-time throws, and ninth in adjusted completion rate this season (minimum 150 dropbacks). Since Week 14, the Chiefs have been 11th in passing yards per game, fifth in EPA per drop back, and 14th in explosive pass rate allowed. There’s a path to a ceiling game for Hurts if he is closer to 100%. Since Week 15, the Chiefs have deployed zone coverage on 52-55% of their corners’ snaps. Hurts is 11th in EPA per play against zone this season. Since Week 13, the Chiefs have allowed 6.6 yards per carry and three rushing touchdowns to Joe Burrow, Russell Wilson, Davis Mills, and Trevor Lawrence. Mahomes will be the more popular of the two quarterbacks for showdown lineups. I do side with Mahomes if you’re looking to prioritize one of them or you’re only able to fit one quarterback into a lineup. Still, I’ll try constructing two quarterback lineups as much as possible to be contrarian.

Kenneth Gainwell: Gainwell has been on a tear in the playoffs. He’s played 37-42% of the snaps averaging 14.5 touches and 97.5 total yards. His 42% of the snaps last week matched his season-high. Gainwell has been explosive when he’s been utilized. He has seven games with at least five rushing attempts. In four of those contests, he managed at least 3.20 yards after contact per attempt. He has taken 17.7% of his carries for ten yards or more this season. Gainwell has breakaway run rates of 45.5% and 35.4% in his two playoff games this year. Gainwell has been the passing down back in the playoffs with a 10.4% target share, 35.8% route run rate, and 1.84 yards per route run. This is the perfect matchup to deploy Gainwell heavily in the passing game. The Chiefs have allowed the most receptions, the fourth-most receiving yards, and the seventh-most receiving touchdowns to running backs this season. Since Week 16, Gainwell has led the team in YAC per reception. Gainwell is a priority flex play, and a fantastic contrarian captain play.

Travis Kelce: Kelce has continued his playoff prowess this season. He’s seen a 34.2% target share averaging 11 receptions and 90.5 receiving yards with a 50% end zone target share and 2.62 yards per route run. Kelce will be among the most popular captain plays on this one game slate for good reason. He’s had at least 95 receiving yards in seven of his last eight playoff games. In those eight games he’s scored nine touchdowns. Since Week 15, the Eagles have been 23rd in catch rate and 26th in receiving yards per game allowed to tight ends.

Dallas Goedert: Since his Week 16 return, Goedert has had an 18.6% target share, a 14.3% end zone target share, and a 79.9% route run rate. Since Week 15, the Chiefs have been fourth in catch rate, 22nd in receiving yards per game, and 23rd in yards per reception allowed to tight ends. Goedert is among the elites at the tight end position in the NFL. He is fourth in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run among tight ends (minimum 30 targets). His biggest asset is his after the catch ability. Goedert ranks third in YAC per reception and ninth in missed tackles forced (minimum 30 targets). Kansas City has bled out YAC all year as they have struggled to tackle. The Chiefs have allowed the fifth-most YAC and sixth-most (tied) missed tackles in the NFL.

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section – including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners – or head to more advanced sports betting strategies – like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread – to learn more.

All data utilized in this article is courtesy of FantasyPros, ESPN analytics, PFF, SharpFootball Stats, Football Outsiders, FTN, 4for4, Rotoviz, RBdsm.com, The Edge from the 33rd Team, and Playerprofiler.com unless otherwise specified.

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