Fantasy Football Player Notes

Chubb saw his snaps drop back into the 30% range last week as he finished with 34% of the snaps played with 11 touches and 45 total yards. In four of his six games played this season, he has played 30-36% of the snaps. Overall, he has averaged 14.5 touches and 45.7 total yards per game. He has continued to look like a shell of his former self on a per-touch basis. Among 57 qualifying backs, he ranks 54th in explosive run rate, 50th in missed tackle rate, and 52nd in yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 8, Pittsburgh has ranked 19th in rushing yards per game allowed while also giving up the 11th-lowest missed tackle rate and yards after contact per attempt. Chubb needs to get into the end zone this week to pay off in fantasy.

The last time the Browns played the Steelers, Jeudy only saw Joey Porter Jr. on 36% of his routes, so I'm not projecting him to shadow Jeudy this week. I could easily be wrong here, so factor the possibility of Porter Jr. following him into his range of outcomes this week. Since Week 8, Jeudy has been on fire as the WR3 in fantasy points per game, seeing a 21.9% target share with 2.84 YPRR and a 24.1% first-read share. Pittsburgh utilizes single high at the highest rate in the NFL (70.8%). Against single high, since Week 8, Jeudy has had a 24.5% target share with 3.33 YPRR and a 27.5% first-read share. Jeudy should slay again this week. Since Week 8, Pittsburgh has allowed the second-most receiving yards per game and the 13th-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

With Jameis Winston under center, Njoku has been the TE7 in fantasy points per game, seeing a 20.1% target share with 1.18 YPRR and a 19% first-read share. Across his last five games, he has five red zone targets and three scores. Pittsburgh utilizes single high at the highest rate in the NFL (70.8%). Against single high, since Week 8, Njoku has seen his target share fall to 18.9% while his YPRR has increased to 1.44, and his first-read share has bumped up to 22.5%. Njoku had a tough outing last time against the Steelers, securing only one of his five targets for nine scoreless yards. I'm not projecting a huge game this week from Njoku against a pass defense that shut him down last time and has held tight ends to the ninth-lowest yards per reception and 14th-fewest fantasy points per game.

Since Week 8, Moore has been the WR35 in fantasy points per game and has seen two red zone targets. During this stretch, he has had a 21.5% target share, 1.71 YPRR, and a 23.4% first-read share. Pittsburgh utilizes single high at the highest rate in the NFL (70.8%). Against single high, since Week 8, Moore has had a 24.5% target share, 2.21 YPRR, and a 23.8% first-read share. The Steelers have toughened up against slot receivers since Week 8, allowing the third-fewest receiving yards per game and the fifth-fewest PPR points per target. Moore should still see a healthy amount of volume this week despite the tough matchup, which keeps him on the flex radar.

Tillman opened this week with a DNP (concussion). I'll update his status on Friday, but he could be out another week.