Fantasy Football Player Notes

Last week's playing time should be taken with a grain of salt, as the Jaguars did not need to run their star back into the ground while trouncing the Texans. In Weeks 13-16, Etienne played 71-88% of the snaps averaging 19.8 touches and 84.3 total yards. Etienne ranks 16th in weighted opportunities, third in red zone touches, and 19th in opportunity share. He's a big play waiting to happen, ranking 18th in yards per route run, 14th in yards created per touch, and fourth in breakaway runs. Etienne won't be a popular play this week against a Tennessee run defense that, since Week 12, has been third in rushing success rate and fourth in EPA per rush. Where Etienne could have a productive day is in the receiving department. Tennessee has allowed the sixth-most receptions to running backs while ranking 19th in receiving yards. Etienne has three targets in four of his last five games.

Kirk has seen a 22.9% target share with the 13-most deep targets and fifth-most red zone targets among wide receivers. He's 25th in yards per route run and 27th in route win rate this season. Kirk has 78 receptions and 1,009 receiving yards this season. This could be money week for Kirk as he has contract incentives paying him $500,000 at 80, 90, and 100 receptions and 1,100 and 1,200 receiving yards. It's time for Lawrence to get his number-one wide receiver a late Christmas gift. Kirk will run about 77% of his routes against Roger McCreary (71.3% catch rate, 112.9 passer rating).

Toss the last game out for the same reasons that we're disregarding Etienne's Week 17 performance. Engram destroyed this defense the last time he faced them with 15 targets, 11 receptions, and 162 receiving yards (two touchdowns). This is why he could rival Kelce as the most popular tight end on the slate (or at least get close). In Weeks 13-16, Engram played at an elite level with a 27% target share, 18.2% end zone target share, 77% route run rate, and 2.89 yards per route run. If Kirk and Jones don't crush Tennessee, Engram certainly can. Tennessee ranks 32nd in receiving yards, 29th in receptions, and 28th in yards per reception allowed to tight ends.

Jones has a 22.0% target share while ranking 17th in red zone targets and 32nd in total route wins. The last time these teams met, Jones snagged eight of his 12 targets for 77 receiving yards and a score. Jones will run about 60% of his routes against Tre Avery (56.8% catch rate, 105.3 passer rating) and Greg Mabin (66.7% catch rate, 96.3 passer rating). Jones could also get his pockets lined this week. He stands at 78 receptions and 802 receiving yards this season. Jones can collect $250,000 for reaching 80 receptions and another $250,000 for getting to 90 receptions. Jones can also pocket an extra $500,000 for reaching 900 receiving yards.