Fantasy Football Player Notes

Over the last two games, Warren has fallen back behind Harris in the running back rotation. He has averaged only 13 touches and 59.5 total yards. The only category that he has bested Harris in is targets. Harris has seen more rushing attempts, routes, and red zone opportunities. Warren remains one of the most explosive backs in the league with the ball in his hands. He ranks first in missed tackles forced per attempt and third in yards after contact per attempt behind only DeVon Achane and Jaleel McLaughlin. Warren will have tough sledding this week. Since Week 8, New England has the 11th-lowest rushing touchdown rate and the lowest yards after contact per attempt allowed while also proudly sporting the highest stuff rate. Warren is a middling flex play this week. Week 14 Positional Value: RB3

Harris remains the lead back in this offense. Over the last two weeks, Harris has more rushing attempts, routes run, and red zone opportunities (eight vs. four) than Jaylen Warren. Harris ranks 28th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 25th in yards after contact per attempt. Harris is a good bet for 15-17 touches, but don't expect him to do much with them this week. New England has been a run-stopping brick wall all season. Since Week 8, they have the 11th-lowest rushing touchdown rate and the lowest yards after contact per attempt allowed while also proudly sporting the highest stuff rate. Week 14 Positional Value: RB3

Since his Week 7 return, Johnson has had a 25.8% target share, a 43.5% air-yard share, 1.80 yards per route run (YPRR), and a 32% first-read share. Over the last seven games, he leads the team with five end-zone targets. Since Week 8, the Patriots have still led the NFL in man coverage rate (43.7%). Since Week 7, Johnson has led the team with a 28.6% target share, a 50.6% air-yard share, and a 31.4% first read share against man coverage. Johnson will run about 80% of his routes against Jonatahn Jones (60.5% catch rate and 93.8 passer rating) and J.C. Jackson (55.2% catch rate and 96.8 passer rating). Since Week 7, New England has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3

Since Johnson's return in Week 7, Pickens has taken a step back with an 18.2% target share, a 35.9% air-yard share, 1.72 YPRR, and a 22.0% first-read share. Pickens could lead the team in receiving output this week, though. While his numbers have sagged with Johnson back in the lineup overall, his usage against man coverage has remained strong. Over the last seven games against man, Pickens has had a 26.2% target share, a 45.0% air-yard share, 3.53, and a 28.6% first-read share. Pickens will run about 85% of his routes against Jonatahn Jones (60.5% catch rate and 93.8 passer rating) and J.C. Jackson (55.2% catch rate and 96.8 passer rating). Since Week 7, New England has allowed the seventh-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3

Since his return to the fold, Freiermuth has had a 54% route run rate, an 18.2% target share, 2.89 YPRR, and an 18.2% first-read share. Most of those numbers are pumped up by his huge Week 12 performance. In the other two games since he came back, he hasn't seen more than five targets or finished with more than 30 receiving yards. New England has been tough against tight ends this season, allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game and only one touchdown this season. Week 14 Positional Value: TE2