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Fantasy Football Player Notes

Week 3 Rankings
Allen Robinson II Note
Allen Robinson II photo 22. Allen Robinson II WR - (at ATL)
It hasn't been a great start to the season for Robinson, who caught just 3-of-9 targets for 33 yards against the Giants last week. He also dropped a pass that fell into the defenders hands for an interception. Fortunately, he has a matchup with the Falcons on deck. Their cornerback duo of Isaiah Oliver and A.J. Terrell is one to target with wide receivers. We've already watched four different receivers total 16-plus PPR points against them, and none of those wide receivers even saw double-digit targets. Knowing that Robinson has seen at least seven targets in 16 of his last 18 games, he's going to produce against a secondary that's allowing 2.01 PPR points per target. Plug him in as a low-end WR1 this week and expect results. He should be someone to consider as a discounted stud in cash games, too.
1 day ago
David Montgomery Note
David Montgomery photo 24. David Montgomery RB - (at ATL)
The touch count for the Bears through two weeks is: Montgomery 33, Cohen 15, and Cordarrelle Patterson 14 (yes, I'm counting him as a running back). The way to see that is that Montgomery is the leader in essentially a 55/45 timeshare. That's not great considering the Bears are 2-0 and the gamescript fit his role perfectly in Week 2. He's run extremely well, averaging 5.0 yards per carry, and made a few shifty moves in the open field last week that led to a 28-yard receiving touchdown, but will those positive gamescripts continue? They are three-point underdogs in this game, and the Falcons have stopped the run extremely well considering their competition. Despite playing against Ezekiel Elliott and Chris Carson, they've allowed just 3.45 yards per carry through two weeks. There seem to be a variety of ways to score, though, as Carson caught two touchdowns, Elliott rushed for one, while Dak Prescott rushed for three. Montgomery is going to get the goal-line, which is the positive here, as the Bears are implied for 22 points. Where the Falcons struggle is to limit running backs through the air, as they've allowed 15-of-16 passes to be completed for 85 yards and two touchdowns. Since Dan Quinn became the Falcons coach, they've allowed an average of 6.4 receptions per game to running backs. Montgomery can have his role diminish in a highly negative gamescript, though oddsmakers have this as a close game. Plug him in as a low-end RB2 this week. Cohen is officially someone I'm worried about with just three targets through two games. Montgomery has six targets. Heck, Javon Wims has four targets. Cohen is not an early-down back who's going to grind out a high yards per carry. If he's not getting the targets, you can't use him in fantasy. The Falcons matchup suits him well, especially indoors, but he must be classified as a risky RB4/flex with some upside should Matt Nagy actually use him in the passing game.
1 day ago
Anthony Miller Note
Anthony Miller photo 102. Anthony Miller WR - (at ATL)
He's averaging 4.1 air yards per snap, which ranks as the second-highest mark in the NFL behind only DeSean Jackson. That's the good news. The bad news is that he's not an every-down player and wound up with a big fat zero in Week 2. He dropped what should've been a touchdown early in the game and played just 26 snaps against the Giants in a cake matchup. There were just three games he played less than 31 snaps in 2019, so his role has sadly not grown this year. The Falcons brought in Darqueze Dennard to cover the slot this year, but it hasn't panned out through two weeks, as he's allowed 16-of-20 passing for 160 yards through two weeks. Their entire cornerback unit is what I'd describe as below average. If Miller were to get the targets, he'd likely produce in this matchup, but we can't guarantee anything when he's playing less than 30 snaps. For now, he's just a talented WR4/5 who comes with a low floor in a plus-matchup.
1 day ago
Tarik Cohen Note
Tarik Cohen photo 114. Tarik Cohen RB - (at ATL)
The touch count for the Bears through two weeks is: Montgomery 33, Cohen 15, and Cordarrelle Patterson 14 (yes, I'm counting him as a running back). The way to see that is that Montgomery is the leader in essentially a 55/45 timeshare. That's not great considering the Bears are 2-0 and the gamescript fit his role perfectly in Week 2. He's run extremely well, averaging 5.0 yards per carry, and made a few shifty moves in the open field last week that led to a 28-yard receiving touchdown, but will those positive gamescripts continue? They are three-point underdogs in this game, and the Falcons have stopped the run extremely well considering their competition. Despite playing against Ezekiel Elliott and Chris Carson, they've allowed just 3.45 yards per carry through two weeks. There seem to be a variety of ways to score, though, as Carson caught two touchdowns, Elliott rushed for one, while Dak Prescott rushed for three. Montgomery is going to get the goal-line, which is the positive here, as the Bears are implied for 22 points. Where the Falcons struggle is to limit running backs through the air, as they've allowed 15-of-16 passes to be completed for 85 yards and two touchdowns. Since Dan Quinn became the Falcons coach, they've allowed an average of 6.4 receptions per game to running backs. Montgomery can have his role diminish in a highly negative gamescript, though oddsmakers have this as a close game. Plug him in as a low-end RB2 this week. Cohen is officially someone I'm worried about with just three targets through two games. Montgomery has six targets. Heck, Javon Wims has four targets. Cohen is not an early-down back who's going to grind out a high yards per carry. If he's not getting the targets, you can't use him in fantasy. The Falcons matchup suits him well, especially indoors, but he must be classified as a risky RB4/flex with some upside should Matt Nagy actually use him in the passing game.
1 day ago
Jimmy Graham Note
Jimmy Graham photo 171. Jimmy Graham TE - (at ATL)
I tried to warn you about Graham last week, saying he'll be a touchdown-or-bust option most weeks, but after seeing just one target in Week 2, you can't even consider him. He even saw his snaps decrease from 52 in the opener, to just 40 against the Giants. The Falcons secondary has had a rough start to the year against tight ends, allowing Greg Olsen to catch all four of his targets for 24 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, and then allowing backup tight end Dalton Schultz to obliterate them for nine catches, 88 yards, and a touchdown last week. It's difficult to know who to trust against the Falcons because almost all the matchups are so good, but this all comes back to the fantasy floor for Graham, which was one catch for 18 yards last week. He can't be a recommended streamer with a one-target floor, even in what appears to be a great matchup. He's a touchdown-dependent TE2.
1 day ago
Cordarrelle Patterson Note
Cordarrelle Patterson photo 176. Cordarrelle Patterson WR,RB - (at ATL)
Darnell Mooney Note
Darnell Mooney photo 183. Darnell Mooney WR - (at ATL)
Mooney has seen his role increase in this offense each week of the season and he looks like he's going to be a steal for the Bears in the draft. He's not worth looking at for redraft leagues just yet, but he should be rostered in every Dynasty league.
2 days ago
Ryan Nall Note
Ryan Nall photo 227. Ryan Nall RB - (at ATL)
Javon Wims Note
Javon Wims photo 232. Javon Wims WR - (at ATL)
Cole Kmet Note
Cole Kmet photo 283. Cole Kmet TE - (at ATL)
Ted Ginn Jr. Note
Ted Ginn Jr. photo 316. Ted Ginn Jr. WR - (at ATL)
Demetrius Harris Note
Demetrius Harris photo 318. Demetrius Harris TE - (at ATL)
J.P. Holtz Note
J.P. Holtz photo 384. J.P. Holtz TE - (at ATL)