Fantasy Football Player Notes

Derrick Henry might be the RB13 in fantasy points per game overall, but that doesn't tell the entire story. Since Week 4, without Lamar Jackson, he has been the RB28 in fantasy points per game, averaging 19.8 touches and 73.6 total yards. Among 42 qualifying backs, he is still performing well, ranking 18th in explosive run rate and 17th in yards after contact per attempt. Henry is now a volume-based RB2 with a horrible matchup this week. Yes, Jacksonville just lost DaVon Hamilton, but they should still field a solid, if not strong, run defense. Over their last five games, the Jags have allowed the third-lowest explosive run rate, the lowest rushing success rate, and the third-lowest missed tackle rate.

In Weeks 4-8, without Lamar Jackson under center for the majority of games, Zay Flowers has been the WR14 in fantasy points per game with two 100-yard receiving days. In those games, Flowers has had a 28.3% target share with 2.31 YPRR, four red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 35.5% first-read share. There are obvious quarterback play concerns with Baltimore now that could persist for the rest of the season. Flowers can still rely on volume weekly, but his range of outcomes is much wider. This week, he'll need all the volume possible. Over their last five games, the Jags have allowed the seventh-fewest yards per target and the 12th-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to slot receivers.

In Weeks 4-8, Mark Andrews has been the TE34 in fantasy points per game. He had eclipsed six PPR points only once during that span. Since Week 4, he has had a 15.1% target share with 0.81 YPRR, six red zone targets, two deep targets, and a 16.8% first-read share. Volume and red zone equity haven't been the issue. Andrews just isn't doing anything with the opportunities. I think this week is more of the same. Sit Andrews. Over their last five games, the Jags have allowed the fewest yards per target and the third-fewest fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.