Fantasy Football Player Notes

It's a tale of two seasons for JT and the Colts. After running pure before their bye week, JT has been the RB19. Unfortunately, there is no reason for that to change in the last week of the fantasy season. Especially against a Jaguars team that has become elite against the run, averaging the fourth fewest rushing yards to the position since Week 10. Taylor can always spring a big play, but he is a firm RB2 in a tough matchup in Championship Week.

In his two games with Philip Rivers, Tyler Warren has had a 23.8% target share, 24.5 receiving yards per game, 0.84 yards per route run, and a team-leading 28.6% first-read share. He has seen only one red zone target and zero deep targets. He has finished as the TE30 and TE22 in weekly scoring. Warren is only a low-end streaming option at tight end this week. Since Week 10, Jacksonville has allowed the third-fewest yards per target and the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.

Alec Pierce's downfield role provided again last week as Pierce finished as the WR3 for the week. In two games, with Philip Rivers, he has had only a 7.9% target share and 10.2% first-read share, but he has secured all five of his targets with a 19.0 aDOT, 51 receiving yards per game, and 1.73 yards per route run. In the last two games, he has had two deep targets and two red zone targets. Pierce is a desperation flex only, but he could pay off again this week. Since Week 10, Jacksonville has ranked 15th in deep ball completion rate and given up the tenth-most deep passing yards per game.

With Philip Rivers, Indy has increased its usage of 11 personnel as Downs has seen an 83.3% route share while soaking up a 22.2% target share and 26.5% first-read share while producing 39 receiving yards per game and 1.42 yards per route run. In those two games, Downs has had one touchdown, one red zone target, and three deep targets. Downs is a low-end flex play this week with a tough matchup. Since Week 13, Jacksonville has allowed the sixth-fewest PPR points per target and the ninth-lowest passer rating when targeted to slot receivers.