Fantasy Football Player Notes

Jahmyr Gibbs struggled to get much going on the ground last week but had a touchdown catch among his six receptions to enable him to post his sixth top-12 weekly finish of the 2024 season. Gibbs and David Montgomery have been the best running back tandem in the league this year, and they should continue to be featured this week when the Lions host the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo has given up the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs this year. They also just allowed 44 points to the Los Angeles Rams last week. Gibbs has a very high ceiling in this matchup.

Negative touchdown regression has hit Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown in recent weeks. He has failed to score in three straight games. Because his volume is down this season due to Detroit's diverse offense, that has resulted in some unsavory fantasy finishes. St. Brown has posted weekly finishes of 30-35-38 in his last three games. Week 15 could present an opportunity for St. Brown to find the end zone. The Buffalo Bills allowed 44 points to the Los Angeles Rams last week. In that game, Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp combined for 53.5 fantasy points. Fantasy managers may be a bit gun-shy based on the last few weeks. But Amon-Ra St. Brown can hugely reward them on Sunday.

Williams is the WR37 in fantasy points per game. He has 11 deep targets and seven red zone targets in 11 games played. Williams has four top-24 wide receiver weeks this season. Overall, Williams has had a 17.9% target share, 2.37 YPRR, and a 24.2% first-read share. The Bills have had a radical shift in their coverage structure over the last two weeks. We'll see if it holds this week, but since Week 13, Buffalo has had the sixth-highest single-high rate (65.4%). Against single high, Williams has had a 15.8% target share, 2.14 YPRR, and a 20.4% first-read share. He has maintained his efficiency, but he has seen a decent drop in his volume market share. Williams can still walk away with a nice game this week, but I'm not predicting a smash game. The Bills have been giving to perimeter wide receivers in recent weeks, so maybe I'll be wrong. Since Week 9, Buffalo has allowed the sixth-most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.

LaPorta has helped his season-long stats recently and is now the TE14 in fantasy points per game. Across the last nine games, LaPorta has finished as a TE1 six times. In that nine-game stretch, he has ten red zone targets. Since Week 4, LaPorta has had a 15.4% target share, 1.84 YPRR, and a 16.6% first-read share. This will be a tough week for LaPota, though. Buffalo has been a brutal matchup for tight ends for the last few seasons. Buffalo has allowed the lowest yards per reception, the fourth-fewest receiving yards per game, and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends.