Fantasy Football Player Notes

Diggs could get shadowed by L'Jarius Sneed this week, who has been shadowing top receivers all season. Since Week 11, he has continued to shadow, following Romeo Doubs, Davante Adams, and A.J. Brown on roughly 71-83% of their routes. Doubs and Adams both surpassed 65 receiving yards in Sneed's primary coverage, so this matchup isn't the coffin nail that it was earlier in the season. Also, Brown was held to only eight receiving yards in Sneed's shadow, so there's still the chance that Sneed shuts him down. Diggs is the WR6 in fantasy, ranking sixth in red zone targets. Since Week 8, with Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid integrated into the offense, Diggs has had a 23% target share, a 21.3% air-yard share, 1.53 YPRR, and a 29.7% first-read share. Since Week 9, Kansas City has utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (74.3%). Over his last five games, against two-high, Diggs has had a 20.9% target share, 1.89 YPRR, and a 29.4% first-read share. Week 14 Positional Value: WR1

With Brady calling the shots, Cook has been thriving. Over his last two games, he has played 43-46% of the snaps, averaging 21 touches and 101 total yards as the RB10 and RB12 in weekly scoring. Since Week 11, Cook has garnered 50% of the backfield red zone opportunities. Among 58 qualifying backs, Cook ranks 27th in explosive run rate and 34th in yards after contact per attempt. Cook should have another field day against a Chiefs' run defense that, since Week 9, has allowed the sixth-highest explosive run rate and third-highest yards after contact per attempt while also logging the fourth-lowest stuff rate. Week 14 Positional Value: RB1

Davis is the WR41 in fantasy, ranking 13th in deep targets and 19th in red zone targets. If Allen is looking to attack deep, Davis should be part of the equation. He leads the team with 17 deep targets (Diggs 14). Since Week 8 with Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid integrated into the offense. Davis has seen a 17.1% target share, a 31.8% air-yard share (team-leading), and a 22.0% first read share with 1.39 YPRR. Since Week 9, Kansas City has utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (74.3%). Over his last five games, against two-high, Davis has a 15.1% target share, a 32.9% air-yard share, and a 19.6% first-read share. Since Week 8, he has led the team with three deep targets against two-high. If Sneed is covering Diggs all day, Davis will see Joshua Williams (66.7% catch rate and 119.2 passer rating) and Jaylen Watson (60% catch rate and 117.5 passer rating) all day. Davis is primed for a monster day. Week 14 Positional Value: WR3 with WR2 upside

Since Week 7, Kincaid has handled a 19.7% target share and a 21.8% first-read share, producing 1.90 YPRR. Since Week 7, Kincaid has been the TE7 in fantasy with four red zone targets. Since Week 9, Kansas City has utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (74.3%). Since Week 7, Kincaid has had a 20.4% target share, 1.90 YPRR, and a 23.7% first-read share against two-high. This doesn't project as a huge Kincaid game. Kansas City has allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game and the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends. Dawson Knox could be activated for this week's game. With how well Kincaid has played without Knox in the lineup, it's hard to see the team moving back to a two-tight-end system where Knox limits Kincaid's usage, but we'll see. Week 14 Positional Value: TE1

Since Week 8, Shakir has had an 11.2% target share, 2.29 YPRR, and a 6.8% first read share. Over the same timeframe, Shakir has ranked second on the team in deep targets, behind only Davis. Since Week 9, Kansas City has utilized two-high at the highest rate in the NFL (74.3%). Over his last five games, against two-high, Shakir has seen a 14% target share and a 16.8% air-yard share with a team-best 2.88 YPRR. Shakir will run about 76% of his routes against Trent McDuffie (70.9% catch rate and 104.1 passer rating). Shakir is a flex play that could crush all expectations this week. Since Week 8, Kansas City has allowed the third-most PPR points per target to slot receivers. Week 14 Positional Value: Flex play with WR3 upside