Fantasy Football Player Notes

Arguably the most consistent RB of the season, Achane has been phenomenal for fantasy. To make it even better, he has the best matchup for fantasy RBs in your fantasy playoffs. The Bengals can not stop anyone. Averaging the most fantasy points to the position both on the season and over the last five weeks, Ahcane should feast. The Dolphins have quietly turned their season around, despite being out of playoff contention for a few weeks now. With their defense stepping up and Mike McDaniels creating great schemes, I would be worried if I saw Achane on the other side of my playoff matchup.

Since Week 10, the Dolphins have moved to being a run-first team, and it has hurt Waddle as the WR28 in fantasy points per game since then. Since Week 10, his per-route numbers and market share have remained awesome, but the decrease in passing volume has lowered his weekly ceiling and floor. Across his last five games, he has had a 27.4% target share with 50.4 receiving yards per game, 2.38 yards per route run, and a 35.6% first-read share. That market share has amounted to only 6.2 targets per game. In that span, he has had only two red zone targets and seven deep targets. Add in a possible shadow from DJ Turner this week, and the uncertainty of Quinn Ewers under center and Waddle becomes a shaky player to start. DJ Turner has followed DK Metcalf (twice), Justin Jefferson, Romeo Doubs, Zay Flowers (twice), and Gabe Davis on 62.9-90.3% of their routes. None of those receivers surpassed 50 receiving yards in his coverage, and only Flowers scored a touchdown (in their second meeting).

Excluding the Week 7 game, where Waller left early with the pec injury, he has had a 61.5% route share with a 15.7% target share, 40.5 receiving yards per game, 2.11 yards per route run, and an 18.9% first-read share. In those six games, Waller has had seven red zone targets, four deep targets, and six touchdowns. In that span, he has averaged 13.5 PPR points per game, which over the course of the entire season would make him the TE5 in fantasy points per game. Waller the Baller should cook again this week. The Bengals have allowed the most receiving yards and the most fantasy points per game to tight ends.