Fantasy Football Buy/Sell Picks (Week 11)
Whether you’re buying or selling, here’s a list of players to consider making a move on before it’s too late.
Players to Buy
Matt Ryan (QB – ATL)
After a less-than-stellar performance against the Browns, Ryan supporters may be abandoning ship. While it was a disappointing game for the Falcons as a team, they’ve done enough this year to deserve a bad week from time-to-time. Three of his next five games are at home, too, which is where he plays his best football.
Cam Newton (QB – CAR)
After putting together a terrible performance on primetime last week where everyone (including his owners) could see, they could be looking to rid themselves of the roller coaster that is Cam Newton. But looking forward to his playoff schedule, you’ll fall in love. He’ll get the Bucs, Browns, Saints, and Falcons in Weeks 13-16.
Mitch Trubisky (QB – CHI)
We consider Cam Newton an elite fantasy quarterback, right? At what point do we realize that Trubisky is a very similar option. While they don’t offer consistency in the passing game from week-to-week, their legs can carry them through. Look at their numbers side-by-side. Trubisky 2,304 yards and 19 passing touchdowns. Newton 2,086 yards and 17 passing touchdowns. Trubisky 320 rushing yards and three touchdowns, Newton 352 rushing yards and four touchdowns. You may want to wait until after this week to buy him, as he’ll play the Vikings extremely tough defense, but he won’t have another brutal matchup for the remainder of the season.
Marlon Mack (RB – IND)
Many might try to abandon the Mack ship after struggling against the Jaguars, but in reality, that should’ve been expected. You could wait until after Week 11 to buy him because his matchup against the Titans isn’t likely to produce big results, but as the lead back in a high-scoring offense, Mack will be valuable more often than not.
Tarik Cohen (RB – CHI)
When looking for games that Cohen will be heavily utilized, you want to find ones where the Bears are not cruising along and in the lead like they’ve been the last three weeks. If you’re in the playoffs for your league, you should make a move to get Cohen. In the fantasy playoffs, the Bears will play the Rams, Packers, and 49ers. While the 49ers are a game they should win, it’s on the road, so it may be a bit closer than expected. Whatever the case, the Bears aren’t going to be blowing out the Rams or Packers, which should help you cruise into Week 16, championship week.
Phillip Lindsay (RB – DEN)
If you’re a team who is looking forward to the playoffs, Lindsay should be a prime trade target for you. The Broncos will play at San Francisco, at home against the Browns, and then on the road against the Raiders. Not only are they all winnable games, but they all struggle against the run.
Robert Woods (WR – LAR)
Maybe the most underappreciated fantasy asset of 2018. He’s now totaled at least 70 yards in each of the last nine games, including 100 or more in three of them. That type of consistency doesn’t exist in today’s game of football, yet most view Woods as a WR2/3 type of asset. He’s closer to WR1 status than that, so go out there and see what it would take to acquire him. It’s that type of consistency you want in the fantasy playoffs.
Kenny Golladay (WR – DET)
After we nearly lost our minds wondering what happened to Golladay when he saw just five targets the last two weeks, our confidence has been restored after his 13-target performance against the Bears. It also appeared that Marvin Jones got dinged up at the end of the game, which could lead to an even bigger target share in the coming weeks. With how bad the Lions defense has looked, the Lions will be throwing more than they’d like in the coming weeks.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR – GB)
If you were to combine Valdes-Scantling’s Weeks 5-9 and Geronimo Allison‘s Weeks 1-4, you would’ve had 56 targets, 34 receptions, 606 yards, and four touchdowns. The closest comp would have been Tyler Boyd, who’s been considered a must-start for much of the season. With Allison on injured reserve and Randall Cobb still dealing with hamstring issues, Valdes-Scantling is the obvious No. 2 option in the offense, making him a rock-solid WR2/3 nearly every week.
Jack Doyle (TE – IND)
Get ready for the hate to flow in, as Eric Ebron scored three touchdowns and Doyle scored none against the Jaguars. But here’s the thing… snaps mean a lot to tight ends and Doyle is the clear-cut leader of the Colts. Since his return to the lineup, Doyle has totaled 105 snaps to just 38 for Ebron. Tight end is an extremely touchdown-volatile position, so we tend to follow snaps and targets for consistent production. Not only does Doyle top him in snaps, but he’s also out-targeted him 10 to 6 in those two games as well. Trust the process, not the results, which by the way, doesn’t mean that Ebron will be irrelevant.
Rob Gronkowski (TE – NE)
This might sound a bit crazy considering his lack of production this year combined with his injuries as of late, but think about this for a minute. How many tight ends can you plug into your lineup each and every week that you can rely on for top-12 production? Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, George Kittle… That’s the list. If you’re able to acquire Gronkowski for a WR3 on your team and he turns things around after his bye week, you’re in a great position to win your league. His potential is worth another tight end’s perceived “safety.” You win leagues by taking chances, and Gronkowski has proven to be one of (if not) the best tight ends of all-time.
Players to Sell
Drew Brees (QB – NO)
Since Mark Ingram returned to the offense, Brees has yet to tally more than 35 pass attempts, so we’re trending towards 2017 volume. Not just that, but they’re using Taysom Hill all over the field, including the red zone. Knowing that Hill, Alvin Kamara, and Mark Ingram are available in the red zone, Brees is going to have some serious volatility in his fantasy performances. He’s a better real-life quarterback than fantasy quarterback at this point in time.
Tom Brady (QB – NE)
If you just removed his name, you’d be looking at Brady completely differently. Coming into Week 10, he was the No. 16 quarterback on a points-per-game basis, so it’s not just one bad game for him. There had been 75 quarterback performances of 22-plus points this year. Brady has one of them. If you can sell him based on name-brand value, you should.
Matthew Stafford (QB – DET)
We’re now at the point in the season where you have to look at playoff schedules, and Stafford’s does not look pretty. The opening week will be at Arizona, who have been a top-five defense against the pass, then at Buffalo who have been top-three, and then at home versus the Vikings who he was just sacked 10 times by in Week 9. He’s borderline droppable at this point.
Tevin Coleman (RB – ATL)
Most don’t realize just how much of a run that Ito Smith is getting in the offense, as Coleman hasn’t topped 57 percent of the snaps since Week 3, showing he’s in a full-blown timeshare. With the injuries to the interior of the offensive line, it makes more sense for the Falcons to pass the ball and they have no shortage in pass-catching options.
Adrian Peterson (RB – WAS)
The fact that Peterson is down three offensive linemen should be enough to sell him, but looking at the upcoming schedule, you’ll definitely want to sell. He’ll play the Titans, Cowboys, Eagles, Jaguars, and Titans in five of his last six games, and all of them are top-12 defenses against the run. Week 10 was likely a sign of things to come.
Dalvin Cook (RB – MIN)
Everyone likely saw the highlight run that Cook had that amounted to 70 yards, but outside of that, he totaled nine carries for 19 yards against the beatable Lions run defense. Yes, it was his first game back, but he’s going to lose valuable snaps to Latavius Murray, who has played particularly well the last month. During their win over the Lions, each of them had 10 carries, but it was Murray who had three red zone carries, while Cook had none. He’s still in the middling to low-end RB2 range, but some may take this opportunity to buy him as more than that.
Jordan Howard (RB – CHI)
If you’ve sat down and watched the Bears this year (I’ve watched every game), you know why Howard is being phased out of the offense. He’s strictly a clock-killing running back who’s shown almost no explosion when handed the ball. It’s why we’ve seen Tarik Cohen on the field for more than half the plays in each of the last four games. He’s a game script-dependent running back.
Marvin Jones (WR – DET)
The downside of being the No. 1 option in the Lions pass-attack is that you’ll see opposing No. 1 cornerbacks the majority of weeks. The playoff schedule will not be kind to Jones, who will see Patrick Peterson, Tre’Davious White, and Xavier Rhodes in coverage. He’s not going to be worthless or anything, but he’s more in the high-end WR3 conversation than the perceived WR2 status he carries in fantasy leagues.
A.J. Green (WR – CIN)
Whenever you hear that a pass-catcher has a foot injury, run the other way. When we posted Green as a sell last week, there were plenty of fantasy owners who came to his defense, saying that it was maybe a 1-2 week injury. It’s those owners you want to sell Green to. The report was that he’d be out 1-2 weeks, and then they’d re-visit where he’s at. This Bengals team is going nowhere in a hurry and will likely be out of the playoff race sooner rather than later, giving Green little reason to return. If you can get someone like Amari Cooper or Allen Robinson for him, you should.
Sammy Watkins (WR – KC)
Similar to A.J. Green, Watkins is now dealing with some sort of a foot injury. While the Chiefs are expecting him to play through it and saying that it’s nothing serious, we’ve seen Watkins try to play through a foot injury back in 2016. It was easily his most inefficient season of his career, so feel free to move him with the increased risk moving forward.
Eric Ebron (TE – IND)
Here we go again. Yes, you should be selling when your tight end is viewed as a high-end TE1 and he’s seen just three targets in each of the last two games. He’s played just 38 snaps over the last two weeks, which explains the low target volume. With how efficient Andrew Luck has been, Ebron is still going to find his way into the top-12 conversation each week, but this efficiency cannot be sustained on such limited work.
David Njoku (TE – CLE)
It’s clear that Njoku is playing through injuries that have affected his performances over the last three weeks. After seeing 36 targets in a four-game stretch from Week 4-7, Njoku has totaled just six targets over the last three weeks combined, which netted just five catches for 71 yards in three plus matchups. Now going into a bye week, you may want to start looking at alternatives.