Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers
Date/Time: Sunday November 28, 4:25pm ET
BettingPros Consensus Spread: Rams -1
BettingPros Consensus Over/Under: 47.5 points
Implied Vegas point totals: Rams 24.25, Packers 23.25
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford: Stafford had been on cruise control for the Rams’ first eight games, but things went sideways for him in losses to the Titans and 49ers in Weeks 9-10. Stafford posted decent yardage totals in those two games (294 and 243) but threw a combined two TD passes and four interceptions. He also averaged an inefficient 6.0 yards per attempt in those two contests and was sacked seven times. Following a Week 11 bye, Stafford will try to get back on course in Green Bay. The Packers have shut down Kyler Murray, Patrick Mahomes, and Russell Wilson over the last month, but they let Kirk Cousins throw for 341 yards and three touchdowns against them last week. The Packers are missing CB Jaire Alexander and edge rusher Za’Darius Smith, and they could be without edge rusher Rashan Gary, who missed Week 11 with a hyperextended elbow. Stafford is a midrange QB1, and you’re surely starting him in season-long leagues. He’s not worth $7,100 on DraftKings, however.
Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers had his best game of the season last week in the Packers’ 34-31 loss to the Vikings, throwing for 385 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. He even ran for a season-high 21 yards despite dealing with a broken pinkie toe. That injury has generated a lot of news this week, but if his performance against the Vikings is any indication, the bum toe shouldn’t have a significant impact on Rodgers’ performance. He’s the QB9 this week against a respectable Rams pass defense that ranks 10th in DVOA.
Running Backs
Darrell Henderson: Henderson was the RB11 in fantasy scoring over the first eight games of the season, but the Rams’ offense stalled in losses to the Titans and 49ers in Weeks 9-10, and Henderson had only 99 yards from scrimmage in those two games and no touchdowns. Consider him a high-end RB2 this week against a Green Bay run defense that ranks 26th in DVOA.
Aaron Jones, A.J. Dillon: Jones missed Week 11 with an MCL sprain but got in a limited practice on Wednesday. He remains out of the Week 12 rankings for now, but if he plays, he’ll slot in as a mid-range RB2 against a solid Rams run defense. With Jones out last week, the Packers were pass-heavy, but Dillon still had a solid day with 11-53-0 rushing and 6-44-0 receiving. His usage in the passing game has been a pleasant surprise, and Dillon displayed his talent in that phase of the game with an artful grab of a high Aaron Rodgers throw last week. Dillon will be a back-end RB1 if Jones doesn’t play, a lower-end RB2 if Jones is active.
Wide Receivers
Cooper Kupp: Kupp continues to lead the league in receptions (85), receiving yards (1,141), and TD catches (10) even after the Rams’ Week 11 bye. He’s the overall WR1 this week and figures to feast in a matchup against Packers slot corner Chandon Sullivan, who’s giving up a 71% catch rate on throws into his coverage. Kupp’s DraftKings price is all the way up to $9,600, and yet he’s still a good value.
PRISTINE MATCHUP OF THE WEEK
Each week, we’ll pick a matchup of the week, presented by Pristine Auction. For Week 12, Cooper Kupp is our Pristine Matchup of the Week.
Van Jefferson: It will be interesting to see how impactful Jefferson can be the rest of the way. In the Rams’ first game after the season-ending injury to Robert Woods, Jefferson was targeted seven times and had 3-54-0 in a loss to the 49ers. He’s been targeted at least six times in each of his last four games, and there might be even greater target upside for Jefferson with Woods out for the year. Jefferson is a low-end WR3 this week against the Packers.
Odell Beckham: Beckham played only 15 snaps in his Rams debut and had 2-18-0 on three targets in a Week 10 loss to the 49ers. A lot of people are optimistic that OBJ can return to something close to his old form in a potent Rams passing game. It’s worth remembering, however, that Beckham has been dealing with injuries to both shoulders and may not be fully healthy again for the rest of the season. Beckham also has to process a new system and get in sync with QB Matthew Stafford, though perhaps the bye week helped with that. Beckham lands at WR41 in this week’s rankings.
Davante Adams: How much of Jalen Ramsey will Adams see when the Packers host the Rams in Week 12? “Some” is probably the best answer. Ramsey kind of shadowed Adams when the Packers beat the Rams in last season’s playoffs, covering him on many but not all plays. Adams had 9-66-1 on 10 targets in that game. Ramsey has largely been sticking to slot receivers this year but may travel a bit in a matchup against a team that has one great receiver and a bunch of average ones. Even if Ramsey does shadow, you’re rolling out Adams without question in season-long leagues. Maybe you’d want to fade him at $8,600 in DraftKings contests, although Adams is still more than capable of justifying that sort of expenditure.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: MVS is a home run specialist, and he hit one out of the park last week, connecting with Aaron Rodgers on a 75-yard touchdown with just over two minutes left in the game. Valdes-Scantling finished with 4-123-1 on 10 targets. The epitome of a boom-or-bust receiver, Valdes-Scantling checks in as a low-end WR4 this week against the Rams.
Randall Cobb: Cobb has gone three games without a touchdown and hasn’t had more than 50 receiving yards in a game since Week 4. He’s also probably going to see Rams CB Jalen Ramsey on at least 10-12 snaps this weekend. Keep Cobb out of your lineups in Week 12.
Tight Ends
Tyler Higbee: Will Higbee get a target bump with WR Robert Woods out for the season? We didn’t see it in the Rams’ first game without Woods in Week 10 when Higbee had 3-20-1 on five targets in a loss to the 49ers, but the Niners have the stingiest TE defense in the league. Higbee at least managed to score a touchdown that game, his first since Week 5. We may get a better indication of whether there’s a target boost coming for Higbee when he faces the Packers this weekend in Green Bay. Consider Higbee a high-end TE2 for that one.
Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens
Date/Time: Sunday November 28, 8:20pm ET
BettingPros Consensus Spread: Ravens -3.5
BettingPros Consensus Over/Under: 45.5 points
Implied Vegas point totals: Ravens 24.5, Browns 21
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield: Whether it’s the litany of injuries Mayfield is battling through or the lack of standout receiving threats, Mayfield has not been putting up top-tier production recently. He’s now finished four of his last five games outside the top-20 QBs on the week and there’s very little reason that we should be considering him here for redraft purposes in 1QB leagues. He’s a low-end QB2 at best this week.
Lamar Jackson: Jackson wasn’t healthy enough to go last week as he was dealing with an illness, but he should be good to go for Week 12. In a matchup against the Browns defense that’s allowing the 9th-most fantasy points to opposing QBs, Jackson’s worth plugging right back into your lineup this week as a top-5 play.
Running Backs
Nick Chubb: Did you know that Chubb is the RB6 on the season in Fantasy Points Per Game with 17.3? There were countless arguments surrounding Chubb coming into the year about his lack of receiving work and how that would prevent him from being a top-tier fantasy asset, but that hasn’t much mattered. Chubb has been rock solid whenever he’s been healthy and in your starting lineup and that’s invaluable from a fantasy perspective. The Ravens are middle of the pack when it comes to shutting down opposing RBs, but we should have zero concern about plugging Chubb into our starting lineups as a mid-range RB1 again this week. Kareem Hunt‘s potential presence this week could affect Chubb’s overall upside, but the floor is incredibly high. Start him with confidence.
Kareem Hunt: Hunt is reportedly close to returning to the active roster this week against the Ravens after a stint on IR. While we have zero idea on what his true health status is at the time of writing, Hunt absolutely belongs in starting consideration for fantasy football when he’s active. With so many other RB options struggling this season, Hunt’s a top-24 option when he’s fully healthy. We’ll need to monitor the practice reports closely with Hunt throughout the remainder of this week to see what his involvement in the offense will be, but if everything looks good to go, we should start him as a low-end RB2.
Devonta Freeman: Freeman got the job done for fantasy football yet again last week, despite the downgrade at QB to Tyler Huntley and Latavius Murray‘s return. Freeman has this RB1 job locked down in Baltimore now and he’s a solid fantasy option each week because of it. The offense should bounce back this week with Lamar back at QB and the scoring opportunities might increase in a matchup against the Browns defense that’s allowing .7 rushing touchdowns per game on average to the position. Freeman should be viewed as a high-end RB3 with upside if he can bring one in for six this week.
Latavius Murray: Murray returned to the lineup this last week and instantly saw 10 carries in his first game back. While he didn’t do much with the opportunity from an efficiency standpoint – only 3.2 Yards Per Attempt – he at least saw enough volume to put himself back on the redraft radar. In a week where many fantasy managers are struggling with injuries and bye weeks, Murray is a fine fill-in option in a matchup that doesn’t look terrible on paper. He can be viewed as a mid-range/low-end RB3.
Wide Receivers
Jarvis Landry: Landry was able to score on a broken play last week as a runner, but otherwise he has done very little here recently to warrant fantasy consideration. Even in a matchup that looks good on paper, Landry shouldn’t be viewed as anything more than a low-upside FLEX play against the Ravens. Landry missed practice Wednesday with a knee injury, leaving his Week 12 status up in the air.
Donovan Peoples-Jones: DPJ didn’t practice on Wednesday due to a lingering groin injury. If he’s able to suit up, he becomes at least an intriguing FLEX play for desperate fantasy managers. The Ravens have struggled to contain the big play on defense this season and Peoples-Jones is always a threat to reel in a deep pass downfield. We’ll need to monitor the practice reports as we get closer to kickoff, but DPJ shouldn’t be viewed as anything more than a boom-or-bust FLEX play if he does suit up.
Marquise Brown: Brown returned to practice on Wednesday after missing Week 11 due to illness and should be ready to roll for Week 12 against the Browns. He’ll be a borderline top-12 play against the Browns defense that’s middle of the pack against opposing WRs. This game could quickly become smash-mouth football and each team could want to rely on their ground game, but Brown comes with enough upside to deserve top-tier consideration.
Rashod Bateman: Bateman took a step backward this past week against Chicago, but that was to be expected with the QB downgrade to Huntley. With Jackson back – plus Marquise Brown assumedly back as well – Bateman belongs right back in starting lineups as a solid mid-range WR3 with upside. The Browns defense is middle of the pack in defending opposing wideouts and Bateman has been incredibly consistent when Jackson’s throwing him the ball. He can be started with confidence this week.
Tight Ends
Austin Hooper: Hooper has now seen 12 targets over his last two games and he’s becoming more of a necessity in this offense without OBJ on the field. While we still can’t trust him as a TE1 or anything close to that, he’s an interesting pivot option for fantasy managers that may have Travis Kelce on bye this week. The Ravens are allowing the 5th-most fantasy points to opposing TEs this season and Hooper could continue to see a healthy target share with some of the other receiving options banged up. He can be viewed as a mid-range TE2 this week.
Mark Andrews: It says a lot about the quality of the player when the backup QB can step in late in the week and the production stays the same. Andrews reeled in eight of his 10 targets last week for 73 yards and he ended the week as the TE6 in Half PPR scoring. With Jackson back now, we should expect Andrews to continue his top-tier production and there are very few options at the position that we should consider starting over him in our lineups. Andrews can be viewed as a top-5 option yet again this week.
Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Football Team
Date/Time: Monday November 29, 8:15pm ET
BettingPros Consensus Spread: Washington -1
BettingPros Consensus Over/Under: 46.5 points
Implied Vegas point totals: Washington 23.75, Seahawks 22.75
Quarterback
Russell Wilson: Wilson has been awful in his first two games back from a finger injury, completing 51.5% of his passes, averaging 5.6 yards per pass attempt, throwing no TD passes and two interceptions, and taking seven sacks. Can Wilson get back on track this week against a Washington pass defense that ranks 30th in both DVOA and opponent passer rating? The Football Team is giving up 7.7 yards per pass attempt and has allowed 24 TD passes. Washington has been slightly better against the pass in recent weeks, notably keeping Tom Brady under wraps in Week 10. But the Football Team managed to make Cam Newton look like a younger, peak-career Cam Newton in Week 11. Consider Wilson a low-end QB1 this week.
Taylor Heinicke: Coming off a three-TD performance on the road against a good Panthers defense, Heinicke returns home to face a Seattle pass defense that ranks 25th in DVOA and is giving up 279.6 passing yards per game. Heinicke is averaging 18.4 fantasy points per game, making him the QB18 in that category among quarterbacks with at least five starts. He’s the QB15 this week.
Running Backs
Alex Collins: Chris Carson‘s neck injury is going to keep him out for the balance of the year, so Collins, Travis Homer, DeeJay Dallas and perhaps the oft-injured (and currently injured) Rashaad Penny will divide work in the Seattle backfield. Collins is the only one worth considering for fantasy this week. He’s had double-digit carries in seven consecutive games, although he’s had exactly 10 carries in three straight. Collins has been held under 45 rushing yards in each of his last four games. He’s had only two catches and no touchdowns over that span, so he hasn’t produced much fantasy value over the last month. He’s a mid-range RB3 this week.
Antonio Gibson, J.D. McKissic: The Football Team has really ramped up Gibson’s workload in the two weeks since coming off its Week 9 bye, giving him 43 combined carries against the Buccaneers and Panthers. Washington won both of those games, and positive game scripts certainly worked in Gibson’s favor, but there’s also a case to be made that Washington won those games because of Gibson’s effectiveness. In those two games, he had 43-159-2 rushing and 2-14-0 receiving. Against a Seattle defense that’s giving up 23.8 fantasy points per game to running backs, Gibson is a midrange RB2. He’s also an intriguing DraftKings play at only $5,600. Gibson’s recent usage spike has meant fewer targets for McKissic, who has 5-39-0 receiving on six targets the last two weeks, although McKissic did have a season-high 46 rushing yards vs. Carolina last week. McKissic is a low-end RB3 in half-point PPR.
Wide Receivers
D.K. Metcalf: The Seahawks’ offensive struggles in their last two games have limited Metcalf to 7-57-0 on 16 targets over that stretch. He’s too good to be held down for long, and maybe the Washington Football Team will be his slump buster on Monday night. Washington is giving up a league-high 27.8 fantasy points per game to wide receivers, although Metcalf won’t have a particularly easy individual matchup against Washington CB Kendall Fuller. Metcalf checks in at WR8 this week. He’s a solid value at $6,500 on DraftKings.
Tyler Lockett: Seattle has struggled mightily on offense in its last two games, but Lockett managed to turn in a 4-115-0 performance last week, connecting with Russell Wilson on a couple of big plays. It was Lockett’s second 100-yard game in his last three outings, although he hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 2. Consider him a high-end WR2 this week in a favorable matchup against Washington.
Terry McLaurin: McLaurin had his fourth 100-yard game of the season and his fifth touchdown last week, posting 5-103-1 on seven targets in a 27-21 win over the Panthers. He has a solid matchup this week against a Seattle pass defense that ranks 25th in DVOA and 27th in PFF’s pass coverage grades. McLaurin is the WR11 this week.
Curtis Samuel: Samuel reportedly has a chance to return from a groin injury that’s kept him out of action since Week 5. We’ll need a “show me” game from Samuel before we consider plugging him into our lineups.
DeAndre Carter: Carter isn’t playable in fantasy this week unless you’re in an extraordinarily deep league, but he’s had a touchdown in three straight games and is at least worth monitoring. Over his last three games, Carter has 8-129-3 on 15 targets.
Tight Ends
Gerald Everett: While the Seahawks’ passing game has struggled the last two weeks, Everett’s usage has actually spiked. He’s had 11-100-0 on 12 targets over his last two games. Everett is a low-end TE2 this week.
Logan Thomas: Thomas has been out with a hamstring injury since Week 4, but he’s off IR, practiced on Wednesday, and has a good chance to play against the Seahawks in Week 12. He was a big part of the Washington offense down the stretch last season and was off to a solid start in 2021, with 12-117-2 in his first three games. I’m conservatively ranking him TE21 this week.
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Kyle Yates is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Kyle, check out his archive and follow him @KyleYNFL.
